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At least 433 records · Page 24

Carbon Storage and Enhanced Oil Recovery in Pennsylvanian Morrow Formation Clastic Reservoirs: Controls on Oil–Brine and Oil–CO2 Relative Permeability from Diagenetic Heterogeneity and Evolving Wettability

The efficiency of carbon utilization and storage within the Pennsylvanian Morrow B sandstone, Farnsworth Unit, Texas, is dependent on three-phase oil, brine, and CO2 flow behavior, as well as spatial distributions of reservoir properties and wettability. We show that end member two-phase flow properties, with binary pairs of oil–brine and oil–CO2, are directly dependent on heterogeneity derived from diagenetic processes, and evolve progressively with exposure to CO2 and changing wettability. Morrow B sandstone lithofacies exhibit a range of diagenetic processes, which produce variations in pore types and structures, quantified at the core plug scale using X-ray micro computed tomography imaging and optical petrography. Permeability and porosity relationships in the reservoir permit the classification of sedimentologic and diagenetic heterogeneity into five distinct hydraulic flow units, with characteristic pore types including: macroporosity with little to no clay filling intergranular pores; microporous authigenic clay-dominated regions in which intergranular porosity is filled with clay; and carbonate–cement dominated regions with little intergranular porosity. Steady-state oil–brine and oil–CO2 co-injection experiments using reservoir-extracted oil and brine show that differences in relative permeability persist between flow unit core plugs with near-constant porosity, attributable to contrasts in and the spatial arrangement of diagenetic pore types. Core plugs “aged” by exposure to reservoir oil over time exhibit wettability closer to suspected in situ reservoir conditions, compared to “cleaned” core plugs. Together with contact angle measurements, these results suggest that reservoir wettability is transient and modified quickly by oil recovery and carbon storage operations. Reservoir simulation results for enhanced oil recovery, using a five-spot pattern and water-alternating-with-gas injection history at Farnsworth, compare models for cumulative oil and water production using both a single relative permeability determined from history matching, and flow unit-dependent relative permeability determined from experiments herein. Both match cumulative oil production of the field to a satisfactory degree but underestimate historical cumulative water production. Differences in modeled versus observed water production are interpreted in terms of evolving wettability, which we argue is due to the increasing presence of fast paths (flow pathways with connected higher permeability) as the reservoir becomes increasingly water-wet. The control of such fast-paths is thus critical for efficient carbon storage and sweep efficiency for CO2-enhanced oil recovery in heterogeneous reservoirs.

Rasmussen, Lindsey↗

Homomorphic Encryption for Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Applications

Third-party and expert analysis is a cost-effective solution for solving specialized problems or processing large datasets related to reactor structural health monitoring and nondestructive evaluation. However, when handling proprietary information, third-party and expert analysts pose a privacy risk. To address this challenge, Homomorphic Encryption (HE) permits arithmetic operations on encrypted data without exposing the underlying data. Implementations of Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms using HE greatly enhances the capabilities of third-party analysts while maintaining a low security risk. This paper details current success in applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Fully Connected Neural Networks (NN) using the Microsoft SEAL implementation of the popular CKKS Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) algorithm. The MNIST Handwritten Dataset is analyzed as a proof-of-concept demonstration of the implementations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

2021 Annual Site Environmental Report

This report provides the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and the public with information on the level of radioactive and non-radioactive pollutants (if any) that are added to the environment as a result of Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory’s (PPPL) operations. The results of PPPL’s 2021 environmental surveillance and monitoring program are presented and discussed. The report also summarizes environmental initiatives, assessments, and community involvement programs that were undertaken in 2021. PPPL’s on-site operations were significantly curtailed in 2021 due to the global coronavirus pandemic. PPPL has engaged in fusion energy research since 1951. The Laboratory’s mission is to develop the scientific knowledge and advanced engineering to enable fusion to power the U.S. and the world, and to developing the understanding of plasmas from the nano- to the astrophysical scale. PPPL’s primary experiment, the National Spherical Torus Experiment-Upgrade (NSTX-U) is a collaboration among national laboratories, universities, and national and international research institutions and is a major element in the US Fusion Energy Sciences Program. Its design tests the physics principles of spherical torus (ST) plasmas, playing an important role in the development of smaller, more economical fusion reactors. Due to previous operational issues, NSTX-U did not operate in 2021. PPPL is engaged in a project to replace key NSTX-U components and systems to enable operation of this international fusion user facility. In 2021, PPPL’s radiological environmental monitoring program measured tritium in the air at the NSTX-U Stack and at onsite sampling stations. Using highly sensitive air monitors, PPPL is capable of detecting small changes in the ambient levels of tritium. The operation of an in-stack monitor located on D-site is used to demonstrate compliance with the National Emission Standard for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAPs) regulations. Also included in PPPL’s radiological environmental monitoring program, are water monitoring – ground, surface, and waste waters. PPPL’s radiological monitoring program characterized the background levels of tritium in the environment and those data are presented in this report. Ground water monitoring continued under New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection’s (NJDEP) Site Remediation Program regulations. PPPL monitored for non-radiological contaminants, mainly volatile organic compounds (components of common degreasing solvents). In 2021, PPPL complied with permit limits for surface and sanitary discharges. PPPL was honored with awards for EPEAT-certified electronics purchasing and use of peracetic acid as an alternative water treatment chemical in its non-potable process water systems an NJDEP recycling award.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Exploring small-scale chemostats to scale up microbial processes: 3-hydroxypropionic acid production in S. cerevisiae

The physiological characterization of microorganisms provides valuable information for bioprocess development. Chemostat cultivations are a powerful tool for this purpose, as they allow defined changes to one single parameter at a time, which is most commonly the growth rate. The subsequent establishment of a steady state then permits constant variables enabling the acquisition of reproducible data sets for comparing microbial performance under different conditions. We performed physiological characterizations of a 3-hydroxypropionic acid (3-HP) producing Saccharomyces cerevisiae strain in a miniaturized and parallelized chemostat cultivation system. The physiological conditions under investigation were various growth rates controlled by different nutrient limitations (C, N, P). Based on the cultivation parameters obtained subsequent fed-batch cultivations were designed.We report technical advancements of a small-scale chemostat cultivation system and its applicability for reliable strain screening under different physiological conditions, i.e. varying dilution rates and different substrate limitations (C, N, P). Exploring the performance of an engineered 3-HP producing S. cerevisiae strain under carbon-limiting conditions revealed the highest 3-HP yields per substrate and biomass of 16.6 %C-mol and 0.43 g gCDW -1 , respectively, at the lowest set dilution rate of 0.04 h -1 . 3-HP production was further optimized by applying N- and P-limiting conditions, which resulted in a further increase in 3-HP yields revealing values of 21.1 %C-mol and 0.50 g gCDW -1 under phosphate-limiting conditions. The corresponding parameters favoring an increased 3-HP production, i.e. dilution rate as well as C- and P-limiting conditions, were transferred from the small-scale chemostat cultivation system to 1-L bench-top fermenters operating in fed-batch conditions, revealing 3-HP yields of 15.9 %C-mol and 0.45 g gCDW -1 under C-limiting, as well as 25.6 %C-mol and 0.50 g gCDW -1 under phosphate-limiting conditions. Small-scale chemostat cultures are well suited for the physiological characterization of microorganisms, particularly for investigating the effect of changing cultivation parameters on microbial performance. In our study, optimal conditions for 3-HP production comprised (i) a low dilution rate of 0.04 h -1 under carbon-limiting conditions and (ii) the use of phosphate-limiting conditions. Similar 3-HP yields were achieved in chemostat and fed-batch cultures under both C- and P-limiting conditions proving the growth rate as robust parameter for process transfer and thus the small-scale chemostat system as powerful tool for process optimization.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Analysis of buffer-IPyC separation in TRISO fuel particles

During High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) operation, and due to the neutron irradiation in the reactor core, damage of the nuclear fuel coating layers occurs. The mechanism of damage formation in the TRISO fuel is explored by the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Fuel Development and Qualification Program, in which the debonding process between coating layers was also investigated. The purpose of this paper is to report simulation results for two models. Firstly, the debonding restricted model, where no gap formation between buffer and IPyC layers is permitted. Secondly, a debonding enabled model, where the gap between those layers is created. The simulations were performed with the Bison code. The inputs of the simulated models are based on data from the AGR-1 experiment. Further, the research included simulations on spherical and aspherical fuel types. The simulations match results obtained by the AGR-1 experiment, which as such shows that the Bison code is a good computational method for simulating the behavior of the gap between buffer and IPyC layers in TRISO fuel. Based on the irradiation experiments, and the Bison simulations, it was concluded that the most common scenario is a gap formation along the buffer-IPyC interface, while the least possible scenario is the situation where there is no gap formation at the buffer-IPyC junction. The computational results confirmed that the sphericity of the fuel influences the thickness of the gap that occurs at the buffer-IPyC junction, in a way that with increasing aspect ratio the gap thickness increases. In addition, the fuel sphericity does not influence the Weibull failure probability. The results obtained for spherical and aspherical fuel are nearly identical.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Hydrogen Storage for Load-Following and Clean Power: Duct-firing of Hydrogen to Improve the Capacity Factor of NGCC Plants (Final Report, Phase II Pre-Front End Engineering Design Study)

GTI Energy (GTI) and team members Southern Company Services (SCS), Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) performed a Phase II Pre-Feed Study under contract DE-FE0032008 for Hydrogen Storage for Load-Following and Clean Power. The configuration of the proposed system consists of subsystems for on-site H 2 production, on-site H 2 storage (up to 54 MWth in commercial vessels) and H 2 combustion in a duct burner in a Heat Recovery Steam Generator (HRSG) integrated with an existing fossil asset. Here, the firing rate of the duct burner is varied to let the plant respond to fluctuations of electrical load and H 2 production is relatively constant by storing H 2 . The proposed system is an improvement over alternate low carbon dispatchable power options. Technoeconomic analyses show H 2 produced with GTI’s patented Compact Hydrogen Generator (CHG) with inherent carbon capture will be lower cost (Levelized Cost of Hydrogen, LCOH) relative to hydrogen produced with a Steam Methane Reformer (SMR) with an amine system for carbon capture. This lower cost hydrogen enables our integrated system to deliver electricity (Levelized Cost of Electricity, LCOE) at 17.4% lower cost relative to a SMR sourced H 2 -fired HRSG (with an amine system for carbon capture) – Steam Turbine Generator (STG). Our analysis using EPRI’s US REGEN macroeconomic model shows our system will have significant demand in the power market and therefore require significant capacity expansion (CHG plants built to deliver hydrogen) to deliver low cost, low carbon power. In Phase II, our Team has completed a detailed system definition including the development of process models, definition of battery limits, Process Flow Diagrams (PFDs), Piping and Instrumentation Drawings (P&IDs), and a plant layout. A preliminary design for the key components of the CHG was developed including component lists & specifications. An evaluation of environmental and permitting considerations was completed and included the development of an Environmental Information Volume (EIV). The duct burners, which are flexible and can burn hydrogen and/or natural gas, were defined and initial CFD analyses were completed.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Addendum 2 to the Closure Report for CAU 577 Area 5 Chromium Containing Waste Disposal Cells, NNSS, Nevada

Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 577, “Area 5 Chromium Containing Waste Disposal Cells,” includes five low-level waste cells at the Nevada National Security Site Area 5 Radioactive Waste Management Site where buried waste received from Nuclear Fuel Services, Inc., was subsequently determined to contain chromium that exceeded the toxicity characteristic leaching procedure regulatory limit, which would require the waste to carry hazardous waste code D007. CAU 577 was created to satisfy the requirements of the Settlement Agreement (SA) executed between the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection (NDEP) and the U.S. Department of Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration Nevada Field Office (NNSA/NFO) on April 25, 2019 (NDEP 2019). The SA required that the chromium-containing waste received from NFS would be addressed following the closure process laid out in the Federal Facility Agreement and Consent Order (FFACO). The FFACO process ensures proper closure of the chromium-containing waste and documentation of that closure through FFACO-type documents. The following three Corrective Action Sites (CASs) were closed, and their closure was documented in the Closure Report for Corrective Action Unit 577: Area 5 Chromium Containing Waste Disposal Cells, Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, DOE/EMNV--0030, dated September 2021 (U.S. Department of Energy [DOE] Environmental Management [EM] Nevada Program 2021a): • CAS 05-21-02, Waste Disposal Cell 12 • CAS 05-21-03, Waste Disposal Cell 15 • CAS 05-21-04, Waste Disposal Cell 17 Closure of the following CAS was previously documented in the Addendum to the Closure Report for Corrective Action Unit 577: Area 5 Chromium Containing Waste Disposal Cells, Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, DOE/EMNV--0030-ADD, dated September 2022 (DOE EM Nevada Program 2022): • CAS 05-21-05, Waste Disposal Cell 20 This second addendum to the Closure Report documents the closure activities that have occurred for CAS 05-21-06, Waste Disposal Cell 21. This is the last CAS in CAU 577. The final waste shipment was placed in the waste disposal cell on November 21, 2022. Following this, closure activities began on November 28, 2022, and were conducted according to the Corrective Action Decision Document/Corrective Action Plan (CADD/CAP) for CAU 577 (DOE EM Nevada Program 2021b). The following closure activities were performed: • Constructing an engineered evapotranspiration cover • Installing two subsidence monuments and vadose zone monitoring equipment • Seeding the cover with a mixture of native plant species • Installing four concrete monuments on the corners of the cover and placing two use restriction (UR) warning signs on each monument These activities fulfill applicable federal and state regulations for closure of CAS 05-21-06 and minimize potential future exposure pathways to buried waste. Completed closure activities are also consistent with closure of the nine historical Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) units included in Section 10.2.2 of the RCRA Permit that governs hazardous waste management activities at the Nevada National Security Site (Permit NEV HW0101) (NDEP 2023). UR documentation for this CAS is included in Appendix B of this report. The post-closure plan is presented in detail in the CADD/CAP for CAU 577 (DOE EM Nevada Program 2021b), and the requirements are summarized in Section 5.2 of this document. In accordance with paragraph 5D of the SA, a request to incorporate the requirements for post-closure monitoring of CAU 577 was included with the permit application for RCRA Permit NEV HW0101 that was submitted in January 2022 (NNSA/NFO 2022). The request included the post-closure requirements for the three CASs that had been closed at the time of submittal of the application as well as requirements that would be implemented upon future approval of closure of the remaining two CASs. All CAU 577 post-closure monitoring requirements have been captured in the April 4, 2023, Revision 7 of the RCRA Permit (NDEP 2023). As the RCRA Permit NEV HW0101 has been revised since the submittal of the original CAU 577 Closure Report (DOE EM Nevada Program 2021a) and Addendum 1 (DOE EM Nevada Program 2022), the post-closure requirements in this Addendum 2 report do not align with the previous documents. Specific changes resulting from the issuance of Revision 7 of the RCRA Permit are discussed in Section 5.2 of this report. The requirements in this report are consistent with the current permit (NDEP 2023) and supersede all requirements listed in the CAU 577 Closure Report and Addendum 1. All CAU 577 post-closure requirements should be conducted in accordance with the version of the RCRA Permit that is current at the time of the activities being performed. The DOE EM Nevada Program is requesting a Notice of Completion from NDEP for closure of CAU 577. Although CAU 577 is not a legacy site, the FFACO process is being followed to ensure proper closure of the chromium-containing waste. Therefore, transfer of CAU 577 from Appendix III of the FFACO to Appendix IV, Closed Corrective Action Units, is requested, as all closure activities have been completed.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Impacts of Biomass Feedstock Pre-Processing on Heat and Mass Transfer During Pyrolysis Using X-Ray Computed Tomography and Multiscale Modeling

Knowledge of the transport properties of biomass particles such as porosity, tortuosity, and permeability is paramount for high-fidelity modeling of biomass pyrolysis due to the heat and mass transfer limitations imposed by particle microstructure. X-ray computed tomography (XCT) is a non-destructive imaging method that enables full 3D reconstructions of the biomass particle microstructure with high resolution, permitting direct calculation of porosity, tortuosity, and permeability from real particle geometries. In this study, XCT imaging revealed the 3D microstructures of particles and chars from pyrolytic conversion of cylindrically cut or milled/pelletized loblolly pine samples. The porosity, tortuosity, and permeability were calculated directly from the XCT geometries via open-source microstructural analysis tool MATBOX+TauFactor (https://github.com/NREL/MATBOX_Microstructure_analysis_toolbox) and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations using our solver, Mesoflow (https://github.com/NREL/mesoflow). These properties were used in a reactor scale model developed in COMSOL of the single particle reactor at NREL to investigate the impact of feedstock pre-processing on biomass conversion during pyrolysis with rigorous experimental validation.

biomass↗

Evaluation of precipitation across the contiguous United States, Alaska, and Puerto Rico in multi-decadal convection-permitting simulations

Abstract This study is an early effort to generate a multi-decadal convection-permitting regional climate dataset that covers nearly the entire North American continent. We assessed a 20 year dynamically downscaled regional climate simulation at a 4 km spatial resolution with explicit convection across the contiguous United States (CONUS), Alaska, and Puerto Rico. Specifically, we evaluated the model’s performance in representing mean, 95th percentile, and extreme precipitation across regions. Our findings indicate that when compared with ERA5 reanalysis, the forcing data, convection-permitting simulation improves representations of seasonal, 95th percentile, and extreme precipitation over a large portion of the CONUS, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, particularly in areas where precipitation is heaviest. The simulation adds value over its forcing data (ERA5) in up to 53% of all grid cells in the CONUS, 68.8% in Alaska, and 84.0% in Puerto Rico. It is important to note that, however, despite improvements, model errors in Puerto Rico remain large. Similar improvements are observed in extreme indices, including consecutive dry days, maximum 5 days precipitation, and extreme precipitation. Analysis of the diurnal cycle of mean hourly precipitation suggests that representations of convective processes—including onset, dissipation, suppression, downstream propagation, and local circulation—improved overall.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Moist Process Biases in Simulations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Episodes Observed during the AMIE/DYNAMO Field Campaign

Two Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) episodes observed during the 2011 Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program MJO Investigation Experiment (AMIE)/DYNAMO field campaign are simulated using a regional model with various cumulus parameterizations, a regional cloud-permitting model, and a global variable-resolution model with a high-resolution region centered over the tropical Indian Ocean. Model biases in relationships relevant to existing instability theories of MJO are examined and their relative contributions to the overall model errors are quantified using a linear statistical model. The model simulations capture the observed approximately log-linear relationship between moisture saturation fraction and precipitation, but precipitation associated with the given saturation fraction is overestimated especially at low saturation fraction values. This bias is a major contributor to the excessive precipitation during the suppressed phase of MJO. After accounting for this bias using a linear statistical model, the spatial and temporal structures of the model-simulated MJO episodes are much improved, and what remains of the biases is strongly correlated with biases in saturation fraction. The excess precipitation bias during the suppressed phase of the MJO episodes is accompanied by excessive column-integrated radiative forcing and surface evaporation. A large portion of the bias in evaporation is related to biases in wind speed, which are correlated with those of precipitation. Furthermore, these findings suggest that the precipitation bias sustains itself at least partly by cloud radiative feedbacks and convection–surface wind interactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Nanocrystals for Triplet Sensitization: Molecular Behavior from Quantum-Confined Materials

Semiconductor inorganic quantum dot-molecular constructs represent an emerging class of materials functioning as triplet photosensitizers. Basic investigations into the exciton transfer/transduction processes at the interface of these hybrid materials have revealed parallels in the operable mechanisms to those established in purely molecular systems. The similarities in the governing energy migration mechanisms in these quantum-confined materials permit conventional photophysical strategies to be implemented in future research endeavors. This Viewpoint offers a perspective on this emerging field of inorganic quantum dots as photosensitizers, in particular the transfer of triplet excitons at the molecule-nanomaterial interface. The current state-of-the-art will be explored while highlighting areas of potential growth toward exploiting these materials in photofunctional solar energy conversion schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Spectroscopic Signature of Chemical Bond Dissociation Revealed by Calculated Core-Electron Spectra

The advent of ultrashort soft X-ray pulse sources permits the use of established gas-phase spectroscopy methods to investigate ultrafast photochemistry in isolated molecules with element and site specificity. In the present study, we simulate excited-state wavepacket dynamics of a prototypical process, the ultrafast photodissociation of methyl iodide. Using the simulation, we calculate time-dependent excited-state carbon edge photoelectron and Auger electron spectra. We observe distinct signatures in both types of spectra and show their direct connection to C–I bond dissociation and charge rearrangement processes in the molecule. Finally, we demonstrate at the CH 3 I molecule that the observed signatures allow us to map the time-dependent dynamics of ultrafast photoinduced bond breaking with unprecedented detail.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Photoinduced diffusion molecular transport

We consider a Brownian photomotor, namely, the directed motion of a nanoparticle in an asymmetric periodic potential under the action of periodic rectangular resonant laser pulses which cause charge redistribution in the particle. Based on the kinetics for the photoinduced electron redistribution between two or three energy levels of the particle, the time dependence of its potential energy is derived and the average directed velocity is calculated in the high-temperature approximation (when the spatial amplitude of potential energy fluctuations is small relative to the thermal energy). The thus developed theory of photoinduced molecular transport appears applicable not only to conventional dichotomous Brownian motors (with only two possible potential profiles) but also to a much wider variety of molecular nanomachines. The distinction between the realistic time dependence of the potential energy and that for a dichotomous process (a step function) is represented in terms of relaxation times (they can differ on the time intervals of the dichotomous process). As shown, a Brownian photomotor has the maximum average directed velocity at (i) large laser pulse intensities (resulting in short relaxation times on laser-on intervals) and (ii) excited state lifetimes long enough to permit efficient photoexcitation but still much shorter than laser-off intervals. A Brownian photomotor with optimized parameters is exemplified by a cylindrically shaped semiconductor nanocluster which moves directly along a polar substrate due to periodically photoinduced dipole moment (caused by the repetitive excited electron transitions to a non-resonant level of the nanocylinder surface impurity).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

How heteroepitaxy occurs on strontium titanate

In traditional models of heteroepitaxy, the substrate serves mainly as a crystalline template for the thin-film lattice, dictating the initial roughness of the film and the degree of coherent strain. Here, performing in situ surface x-ray diffraction during the heteroepitaxial growth of LaTiO 3 on SrTiO 3 (001), we find that a TiO 2 adlayer composed of the ( 13 × 13 ) R 33.7° and ( 2 × 2 ) R 45.0° reconstructions is a highly active participant in the growth process, continually diffusing to the surface throughout deposition. The effects of the TiO 2 adlayer on layer-by-layer growth are investigated using different deposition sequences and anomalous x-ray scattering, both of which permit detailed insight into the dynamic layer rearrangements that take place. Our work challenges commonly held assumptions regarding growth on TiO 2 -terminated SrTiO 3 (001) and demonstrates the critical role of excess TiO 2 surface stoichiometry on the initial stages of heteroepitaxial growth on this important perovskite oxide substrate material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ORION Code Infrastructure Upgrades

Prior to this update, ORION was capable of processing cases and data that spanned a single UTM zone and assumed that all spatial inputs were given in units of meters. During the 2024 SMART bridge funding period, we completed upgrades to the code that permit general spatial projections, basin-scale datasets, and units.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Simulation-Based Improvement in the Models for Tool-Inventory Management at Manufacturing Plants

Tool-inventory management at manufacturing plants is of great theoretical and practical importance. The main management problem here is that it is impossible to take precise account of all the changes in the tool stock for the basic production process. The relevant dynamics may be random as a consequence of the simultaneous action of several factors. In the present work, attention focuses on statistical modeling, which allows many factors to be taken into account and permits the creation of a more precise model of planning, production, and tool consumption at an industrial enterprise.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Fueling Nuclear Research at MFC: The Environmental Backbone of Nuclear Operations

The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) review guidelines are an essential part of the approval process of any construction or modification being done at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The Material and Fuels Complex (MFC) Environmental team is responsible for writing and reviewing Environmental Impact Statements (EISs), Environmental Assessments (EAs), Environmental Compliance Permits (ECPs), Air Permitting Applicability Determinations (APADs), and other NEPA compliance documentation. This documentation allows for innovation in MFC research by permitting the introduction of new laboratory equipment, research facilities, and materials for researchers to use in their experiments. Without the work of the Environmental team, nuclear research and operations at MFC would not be possible.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Assessing the New Home Market Opportunity: Case Study and Cost Modeling for Solar and Storage in 2030

Residential solar and storage markets are growing in the United States. With approximately 1 million new homes constructed every year, this represents a significant opportunity for solar and storage installations. Some homebuilders have begun to build new homes with solar and storage included as a standard offering. It is not clear how solar and storage is incorporated into the new construction process and at what cost. Further, it is unclear what barriers or opportunities exist to scale this model nationwide. To fill this gap in the literature, this research conducts a case study of Mandalay Homes' new solar and storage community in Arizona to gather lessons learned. From this foundation, we further generate a set of pathways to reduce install costs and expand solar and storage market penetration in this sector. To model existing and 2030 solar and storage costs, we use the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) bottom-up cost model. This modeling is further informed by 12 interviews conducted with new home builders, solar contractors, and other subject matter expert organizations. Our case study analysis generated three key considerations for other homebuilders including: 1. Educating local permitting, inspection, and in some cases utility officials on solar and storage products, designs, and code compliant building practices may be required. The need for education may decline as more local governments and utilities review and approve solar and storage projects. 2. Incorporating solar and storage systems into the homebuilding process can add complexity and related coordination challenges. This does not need to result in home construction delays, but can result in costly contractor "dry runs" to construction sites. 3. Deploying solar and storage at the time of new construction has significant economies of scale, which can improve the value proposition of the systems. The case study, extant literature, and interviews were used to model both existing and future solar and storage installation costs at time of new construction. Here, we find three key cost reduction opportunities relating to solar and battery storage hardware, customer acquisition, and overhead. If future contractors can maximize the cost reduction opportunities outlined here, residential new construction costs could decline by 8 - 25% by 2030, depending on the modeled scenario. Though we expect costs to decline through 2030, it is unclear which of these scenarios may ultimately appear. Interviewees further identified a variety of barriers across each cost category that could temper the savings shown here. At the same time, interviewees described several pathways to scale the new construction solar and storage market, beyond installation cost savings. Interviewees confirmed that changes in finance, rate design, resilience policies, deployment mandates, and DER aggregation could all support more market adoption than seen today. These findings suggest that there are significant opportunities to expand new construction markets and this research can serve as a baseline to assess progress in this segment through 2030.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗