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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 433 records · Page 24

Intrinsic synaptic plasticity of ferroelectric field effect transistors for online learning

Nanoelectronic devices emulating neuro-synaptic functionalities through their intrinsic physics at low operating energies is imperative toward the realization of brain-like neuromorphic computers. In this work, we leverage the non-linear voltage dependent partial polarization switching of a ferroelectric field effect transistor to mimic plasticity characteristics of biological synapses. Here, we provide experimental measurements of the synaptic characteristics for a 28nm high-k metal gate technology based device and develop an experimentally calibrated device model for large-scale system performance prediction. Decoupled read-write paths, ultra-low programming energies and the possibility of arranging such devices in a cross-point architecture demonstrate the synaptic efficacy of the device. Our hardware-algorithm co-design analysis reveals that the intrinsic plasticity of the ferroelectric devices has potential to enable unsupervised local learning in edge devices with limited training data

42 ENGINEERING↗

CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability

Monsoons affect the economy, agriculture, and human health of two thirds of the world’s population. Therefore, predicting variations in monsoon precipitation is societally important. We explore the ability of climate models from the sixth phase of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project to predict summer monsoon precipitation variability by using hindcasts from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Component A). The multi-model ensemble-mean shows significant skill at predicting summer monsoon precipitation from one year to 6–9 years ahead. However, this skill is dependent on the model, monsoon domain, and lead-time. In general, the skill of the multi-model ensemble-mean prediction is low in year 1 but increases for longer-lead times and is largely consistent with externally forced changes. The best captured region is northern Africa for the 2–5 and 6–9 year forecast lead times. In contrast, there is no significant skill using the ensemble-mean over East and South Asia and, furthermore, there is significant spread in skill among models for these domains. By sub-sampling the ensemble we show that the difference in skill between models is tied to the simulation of the externally forced response over East and South Asia, with models with a more skilful forced response capable of better predictions. A further contribution is from skilful prediction of Pacific Ocean temperatures for the South Asian summer monsoon at longer lead-times. Therefore, these results indicate that predictions of the East and South Asian monsoons could be significantly improved.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Latent Twins

Over the past decade, scientific machine learning has transformed the development of mathematical and computational frameworks for analyzing, modeling, and predicting complex systems. From inverse problems to numerical partial differential equations (PDEs), dynamical systems, and model reduction, these advances have pushed the boundaries of what can be simulated. Yet they have often progressed in parallel, with representation learning and algorithmic solution methods evolving largely as separate pipelines. With Latent Twins, we propose a unifying mathematical framework that creates a hidden surrogate in latent space for the underlying equations. Whereas digital twins mirror physical systems in the digital world, Latent Twins mirror mathematical systems in a learned latent space governed by operators. Through this lens, classical modeling, inversion, model reduction, and operator approximation all emerge as special cases of a single principle. We establish the fundamental approximation properties of Latent Twins for both ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and PDEs and demonstrate the framework across three representative settings: (i) canonical ODEs, capturing diverse dynamical regimes; (ii) a PDE benchmark using the shallow-water equations, contrasting Latent Twin simulations with deep operator network and forecasts with a four-dimensional variational method baseline; and (iii) a challenging real-data geopotential reanalysis dataset, reconstructing and forecasting from sparse, noisy observations. Latent Twins provide a compact, interpretable surrogate for solution operators that evaluate across arbitrary time gaps in a single-shot, while remaining compatible with scientific pipelines such as assimilation, control, and uncertainty quantification. Looking forward, this framework offers scalable, theory-grounded surrogates that bridge data-driven representation learning and classical scientific modeling across disciplines.

Latent Twins↗

On the Use of Satellite Nightlights for Power Outages Prediction

Hurricanes are a dominant disaster in the Caribbean, always causing serious power outages throughout the islands. Hurricane Maria was a prime example, causing unimaginable destruction of the power infrastructure of Puerto Rico (PR). Consequently, one month after the hurricane landfall, approximately 80% of the population was still without power. After an event of such massive destruction, the electric power restoration process progresses very slowly. This timeline can be improved using power outage (PO) forecast models that help identify the vulnerable places before the hurricane landfall. Generally, these models are trained with historical power outages records, associated data on weather conditions, and additional information about the natural and built environments. However, PO records are often difficult to acquire, and, in many instances, the power utility companies may not record them. This study utilizes a satellite-based Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) night light data product as a surrogate for the power delivery to predict hurricane-induced PO in areas having limited to nonexistent historical data records. The processed satellite data is then used along with geographic variables, and simulated weather data to formulate machine learning-based algorithms to predict PO for future hurricane events. These models are applied and validated in the context of the PR catastrophic storm, Hurricane Maria.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Digital Twin for an Inverter-Based Resource Power Plant: Real-time data streaming unlocks situation awareness

Here, this study presents the development and successful implementation of a digital twin specifically designed for a grid-connected IBR power plant. By integrating a reduced-order model of the IBR system and dynamically updating the grid impedance with real-time data, the digital twin effectively captures and replicates the behavior of the physical system. Its accuracy and reliability are validated through critical test scenarios, including a three-phase fault and a line-tripping event. The results confirm that the digital twin closely emulates its physical counterpart, demonstrating its strong potential for real-time analysis, system monitoring, and predictive decision making in modern power systems.

Digital twins↗

World Record Demonstration of > 30% Thermophotovoltaic Conversion Efficiency

Thermophotovoltaic (TPV) devices are solid-state heat engines that convert thermal radiation into electricity using semiconductor diodes, and have applications in energy storage, primary power conversion, and waste heat recovery. Higher temperature emitters and wider band gap photovoltaics (PVs) generally afford higher TPV efficiencies. High temperature emitters are accessible in thermal energy storage applications. We have demonstrated a world record 31% +/- 2% TPV conversion efficiency with a 0.9 cm2 GaAs-based PV device under a 2430 °C thermal emitter, producing an electrical output power of 2.23 W. Critical to the result was the cell’s high reflectance of photon energies below the device band gap. Unlike solar PV, for which sub-band gap (SBG) light is lost, a TPV cell can reflect and recycle SBG light to the thermal emitter. The demonstration was made on a custom-built measurement platform in which a ~100 cm2 graphite thermal emitter was heated under vacuum up to 2430 °C. The TPV efficiency was evaluated by comparing the measured electrical output power of the TPV with the calorimetrically measured total net power incident on the cell. The measured TPV efficiency as a function of thermal emitter temperature was corroborated by our full system modeling predictions. As far as the authors are aware, this is the highest TPV conversion efficiency ever measured, and device improvements should yield > 40% efficiency in the near future.

27 ARPA - Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy↗

Cryogenic Design and Thermal Analysis of EIC Central Detector (ePIC) Solenoid Magnet (MARCO)

The Electron Ion Collider (EIC) physics program utilizes a 2.0 T superconducting magnet at the heart of its ePIC detector system. This approximately 3.5 m long and 2.84 m diameter warm bore magnet has a 20 tons cold mass which is conduction-cooled using liquid helium at 4.5 K. A closed loop active thermosiphon system is chosen to facilitate the cooling and to maintain a minimum of 2 K temperature margin on the peak operating temperature (4.7 K) of the superconductor. Here, this paper presents the cryogenic design of the cooling system and the thermal analysis of the solenoid. A Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model was developed to quantify the performance of the two–phase closed thermosiphon system and predict the temperature gradient on the cold mass.

Gopinath, Sandesh [Thomas Jefferson National Accel↗

Amazon rainforest photosynthesis increases in response to atmospheric dryness

Earth system models predict that increases in atmospheric and soil dryness will reduce photosynthesis in the Amazon rainforest, with large implications for the global carbon cycle. Using in situ observations, solar-induced fluorescence, and nonlinear machine learning techniques, we show that, in reality, this is not necessarily the case: In many of the wettest parts of this region, photosynthesis and biomass tend to increase with increased atmospheric dryness, despite the associated reductions in canopy conductance to CO 2 . These results can be largely explained by changes in canopy properties, specifically, new leaves flushed during the dry season have higher photosynthetic capacity than the leaves they replace, compensating for the negative stomatal response to increased dryness. As atmospheric dryness will increase with climate change, our study highlights the importance of reframing how we represent the response of ecosystem photosynthesis to atmospheric dryness in very wet regions, to accurately quantify the land carbon sink.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantum Circuit Cutting for Classical Shadows

Classical shadow tomography is a sample-efficient technique for characterizing quantum systems and predicting many of their properties. Circuit cutting is a technique for dividing large quantum circuits into smaller fragments that can be executed more robustly using fewer quantum resources. We introduce a divide-and-conquer circuit cutting method for estimating the expectation values of observables using classical shadows. We derive a general formula for making predictions using the classical shadows of circuit fragments from arbitrarily cut circuits and provide the sample complexity analysis for the case when observables factorize across fragments. Then, we numerically show that our divide-and-conquer method outperforms traditional uncut shadow tomography when estimating high-weight observables that act non-trivially on many qubits and discuss the mechanisms for this advantage.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

EFFORT (EFFectiveness Of Rate sTructure for enabling demand response)

This tool helps utilities evaluate potential time of use price-plans and find effective hours for price plan on peak periods and the potential price-elastic demand response. An optimization model can be used to find tiered prices for the time of use tariffs and analyze the impact on load profiles, energy consumption, utility, and customer savings. The tool is equipped with an optimization model to determine the energy consumption of electric appliances that can leverage survey data containing information on the number of appliances owned by customers. Lastly, a statistical model can be used to predict system-level load based on exogenous parameters such as weather, time of day, month, type of day, and year. The tool is scripted in Python and uses the Pyomo python optimization language.

Duwadi, Kapil↗

Utah FORGE 6-3712: Probabilistic Estimation of Seismic Response Using Physics-Informed Recurrent Neural Networks - 2024 Annual Workshop Presentation

This is a presentation on the Probabilistic Estimation of Seismic Response Using Physics-Informed Recurrent Neural Networks by GTC Analytics, presented by Jesse Williams. This video slide presentation discusses the development of machine learning-based predictive tools to estimate the magnitude-frequency response of stimulation-induced seismicity. This presentation was featured in the Utah FORGE R&D Annual Workshop on August 15, 2024.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

COMPASS-FME Terrestrial Ecosystem Manipulation to Probe the Effects of Storm Treatments (TEMPEST) Experiment Tree Inventory

This is the tree inventory (diameter, species, and live/dead status) data from the Terrestrial Ecosystem Manipulation to Probe the Effects of Storm Treatments (TEMPEST) experimental site. This manipulative, ecosystem-scale TEMPEST experiment is part of the COMPASS-FME (Coastal Observations, Mechanisms, and Predictions Across Systems and Scales: Field Measurements and Experiments; see https://compass.pnnl.gov/FME/COMPASSFME) project. It addresses the potential for freshwater and estuarine-water disturbance events to alter tree function, species composition, and ecosystem processes in a deciduous coastal forest in eastern Maryland, USA. The experiment uses a large-unit (2000 m2), un-replicated experimental design, with three 50 m × 40 m plots serving as control, freshwater, and estuarine-water treatments.This dataset includes:- An overall dataset README file.- The tree inventory data in both "wide" and "long" forms. These contain the same information but are structured differently, with the former more useful for human viewers and the latter more amenable for programmatic analyses.- A key to the species/genus codes used, which follow the U.S. Department of Agriculture's PLANTS schema (https://plants.usda.gov/).- A copy of the R code used to generate the wide- and long-form data files.All files are comma-separated value (CSV) and no special software is required to read them.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

COMPASS-FME Synoptic Site Tree Greenhouse Gas Concentrations

These data are tree stem greenhouse gas concentrations collected from tree gas wells at some of the COMPASS-FME (Coastal Observations, Mechanisms, and Predictions Across Systems and Scales; see https://compass.pnnl.gov/) 'synoptic' sites in the Chesapeake Bay region: Moneystump (MSM), Goodwin Islands (GWI), and GCReW (GCW). The sap flow monitoring trees at these sites in the Upland (UP) and Transition (TR) zones were cored and had gas wells installed at breast height. There were also some dead standing trees cored, gas well installed, and sampled at MSM and GWI. The GCW UP samples overlap with the TEMPEST experiment control plot, so the GCW UP data was pulled from the TEMPEST page and included here. These data provide crucial information about possible pathways for the greenhouse gas (carbon dioxide and methane, CO2 and CH4 respectively) production and emission (or in the case of CH4, perhaps taken up from) the atmosphere.All data are plain text CSV (comma separated value) files and require no special software to read.Updated 2025-10-09 to fix two missing dates (lines 77 and 78 in the data file).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Data for Kim et al., "Variations in the optical and molecular composition of dissolved organic matter exported from coastal wetlands"

Knowledge about sources and composition of marsh-derived dissolved organic matter (DOM) is critical for understanding the role of marshes in coastal biogeochemical cycling and the fate of marsh-derived DOM in the ocean. To investigate tidal variability in composition of marsh-derived DOM, Kim et al. examined the optical and molecular characteristics of hourly surface water samples at three tidal creeks in the Chesapeake Bay. Groundwater samples along the terrestrial landscape gradient as well as estuarine water from the adjacent estuary at each site were also collected to help resolve sources of surface water DOM. Samples were collected in summer 2024 at three sites – SWH: Sweet Hall Marsh, GCW: Kirkpatrick Marsh, and GWI: Goodwin Islands – which are part of synoptic sites in the Chesapeake Bay region of the COMPASS-FME (Coastal Observations, Mechanisms, and Predictions Across Systems and Scales - Field, Measurements, and Experiments) project. Surface water samples were collected hourly over a 48-hour period at each site. Groundwater and estuarine water samples were collected once. This dataset includes- Surface water depth and salinity- Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and total dissolved nitrogen (TDN) concentrations- Optical indices and relative composition of parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC) components- High resolution mass spectrometry data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Distribution of nickel(II) ions adsorbed at the muscovite mica (001)-water interface determined by in-situ resonant anomalous X-ray reflectivity

Mineral-water interfaces mediate adsorption, ion exchange, and secondary mineral formation that control element mobility in natural and engineered systems. Reliable prediction and control of these processes require a fundamental understanding of the interfacial structure that links adsorbed ion speciation to macroscopic sorption capacity and strength. Here, we determine atomic-scale changes in hydration and distribution of Ni(II) at the muscovite mica (001)-water interface using in situ high-resolution X-ray reflectivity (XR) and resonant anomalous X-ray reflectivity (RAXR) at 1 mM NiCl2 and pH 5.7. XR reveals reorganization of the primary hydration structure relative to that in deionized water: the water layer adsorbed in the cavity sites at a height of ~1.3 Å disappears, while distinct solution layers emerge at ~2.3, ~4.1, and ~5.6 Å above the basal oxygen plane. RAXR resolves three interfacial Ni(II) species: a dominant outer-sphere complex at 3.65 Å (~80% of the total coverage), a minor inner-sphere complex at 0.75 Å, and a low-coverage, more distant outer-sphere species at 5.63 Å. These three adsorbed Ni(II) species account for a total Ni(II) coverage of 0.54 ± 0.02 ion per unit cell area that compensates for the surface charge. These results highlight the role of interfacial hydration in controlling the speciation and stability of adsorbate cations on the negatively charged mica surface, providing quantitative insight into predicting the geochemical behavior of divalent metal cations in the aqueous environments.

Lee, Sang Soo↗

High Performance Computing for Phase Predictions for Multi – Component Alloy Systems (Final CRADA Report)

The goal of this work is to establish important alloy new data from rigorous, first-principles-based computational approaches, for systems that presently lack critical data. The focus is on lightweight alloys due to their importance in energy-efficient applications for transportation and other areas, particularly for alloy compositions such as Al-Li-Ti where existing data is limited. By providing input on this class of compositions, we seek to significantly reduce the effort, expense and energy of experimental explorations of these materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗