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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2021

Extracting Material Property Measurement Data from Scientific Articles

Machine learning-based prediction of material properties is often hampered by the lack of sufficiently large training datasets. The majority of such measurement data is embedded in scientific literature and the ability to automatically extract these data is essential to support the development of reliable property prediction methods. In this work, we describe a methodology for an automatic property extraction framework using material solubility as the target property. We create an annotated dataset containing tags for solubility-related entities using a combination of regular expressions and manual tagging. We then compare five entity recognition models leveraging both token-level and span-level architectures on the task of classifying solute names, solubility values, and solubility units. Additionally, we explore a novel pretraining approach that leverages automated chemical name and quantity extraction tools to generate large datasets that do not rely on intensive manual effort. Finally, we perform an analysis to identify the causes of classification errors.

Panapitiya, Gihan U.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Review of machine learning and deep learning models for toxicity prediction

The ever-increasing number of chemicals has raised public concerns due to their adverse effects on human health and the environment. To protect public health and the environment, it is critical to assess the toxicity of these chemicals. Traditional in vitro and in vivo toxicity assays are complicated, costly, and time-consuming and may face ethical issues. These constraints raise the need for alternative methods for assessing the toxicity of chemicals. Recently, due to the advancement of machine learning algorithms and the increase in computational power, many toxicity prediction models have been developed using various machine learning and deep learning algorithms such as support vector machine, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, ensemble learning, and deep neural network. This review summarizes the machine learning- and deep learning-based toxicity prediction models developed in recent years. Support vector machine and random forest are the most popular machine learning algorithms, and hepatotoxicity, cardiotoxicity, and carcinogenicity are the frequently modeled toxicity endpoints in predictive toxicology. It is known that datasets impact model performance. The quality of datasets used in the development of toxicity prediction models using machine learning and deep learning is vital to the performance of the developed models. The different toxicity assignments for the same chemicals among different datasets of the same type of toxicity have been observed, indicating benchmarking datasets is needed for developing reliable toxicity prediction models using machine learning and deep learning algorithms. This review provides insights into current machine learning models in predictive toxicology, which are expected to promote the development and application of toxicity prediction models in the future.

Research & Experimental Medicine↗
DOE OSTI2015

Peculiarities of high-overtone transition probabilities in carbon monoxide revealed by high-precision calculation

In the recent work devoted to the calculation of the rovibrational line list of the CO molecule [G. Li et al., Astrophys. J., Suppl. Ser. 216, 15 (2015)], rigorous validation of the calculated parameters including intensities was carried out. In particular, the Normal Intensity Distribution Law (NIDL) [E. S. Medvedev, J. Chem. Phys. 137, 174307 (2012)] was employed for the validation purposes, and it was found that, in the original CO line list calculated for large changes of the vibrational quantum number up to Δn = 41, intensities with Δn > 11 were unphysical. Therefore, very high overtone transitions were removed from the published list in Li et al. Here, we show how this type of validation is carried out and prove that the quadruple precision is indispensably required to predict the reliable intensities using the conventional 32-bit computers. Based on these calculations, the NIDL is shown to hold up for the 0 → n transitions till the dissociation limit around n = 83, covering 45 orders of magnitude in the intensity. The low-intensity 0 → n transition predicted in the work of Medvedev [Determination of a new molecular constant for diatomic systems. Normal intensity distribution law for overtone spectra of diatomic and polyatomic molecules and anomalies in overtone absorption spectra of diatomic molecules, Institute of Chemical Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Chernogolovka, 1984] at n = 5 is confirmed, and two additional “abnormal” intensities are found at n = 14 and 23. Criteria for the appearance of such “anomalies” are formulated. The results could be useful to revise the high-overtone molecular transition probabilities provided in spectroscopic databases.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Accomplishments and Year-End Performance Report; Wind Energy Program: Fiscal Year 2021

The National Wind Technology Center (NWTC), located at the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) Flatirons Campus, has been a driving force in advancing wind energy technology research worldwide since its designation as a DOE national research center in 1992. Enabled by the Flatirons Campus's world-class facilities, scientists, engineers, analysts, and researchers are pushing the frontiers of science to pursue wind energy innovation. In Fiscal Year (FY) 2021, NREL continued to provide the technical expertise, research capabilities, and industry understanding to support DOE's ambitious climate action and research goals by advancing technology, addressing market and deployment barriers, and driving down costs with more efficient, reliable, and predictable wind energy systems. One of several highlights, NREL received an R&D 100 Special Recognition Award for its Thermoplastic Resin System for Wind Turbine Blades. This breakthrough in the wind turbine manufacturing process will enable the production of recyclable blades that are stronger, longer, and less expensive, while increasing energy capture, decreasing energy and transportation costs, and increasing blade reliability. In a year when the entire U.S. economy struggled to address workforce gaps, an NREL study compared wind industry needs, training programs, and hiring practices with perspectives from students and recent college graduates. Researchers hope that, by pinpointing areas of disconnect, the expectations of employers who have difficulty filling entry-level jobs can better align with the preparation of the potential applicants who find it hard to break into the field. The lab also made numerous new data and modeling resources available in FY 2021. Recent NREL releases include a modeling tool for predicting the power performance and structural loads of wind turbines within a wind farm (FAST.Farm), a computational framework for modeling golden eagle behavior near wind farms, and 20 years of offshore wind data. Updates were also made to the widely used Wind Plant Integrated Systems Design and Engineering Model (WISDEM), which couples engineering and cost models to examine system-level trade-offs. Now, bolstered by a renewed national commitment to tackle climate change and revitalize the U.S. economy through increased investment in clean energy - particularly in offshore wind energy - NREL stands poised to lead the way to a sustainable future that powers the United States with significant levels of reliable, low-cost, accessible wind energy. This report provides an overview of the achievements NREL made on behalf of DOE's Wind Energy Technologies Office (WETO) and other partners during FY 2021 (between Oct. 1, 2020, and Sept. 30, 2021).

Flatirons Campus↗
DOE OSTI2015

Collision prediction software for radiotherapy treatments

Purpose: This work presents a method of collision predictions for external beam radiotherapy using surface imaging. The present methodology focuses on collision prediction during treatment simulation to evaluate the clearance of a patient’s treatment position and allow for its modification if necessary. Methods: A Kinect camera (Microsoft, Redmond, WA) is used to scan the patient and immobilization devices in the treatment position at the simulator. The surface is reconstructed using the SKANECT software (Occipital, Inc., San Francisco, CA). The treatment isocenter is marked using simulated orthogonal lasers projected on the surface scan. The point cloud of this surface is then shifted to isocenter and converted from Cartesian to cylindrical coordinates. A slab models the treatment couch. A cylinder with a radius equal to the normal distance from isocenter to the collimator plate, and a height defined by the collimator diameter is used to estimate collisions. Points within the cylinder clear through a full gantry rotation with the treatment couch at 0° , while points outside of it collide. The angles of collision are reported. This methodology was experimentally verified using a mannequin positioned in an alpha cradle with both arms up. A planning CT scan of the mannequin was performed, two isocenters were marked in PINNACLE, and this information was exported to AlignRT (VisionRT, London, UK)—a surface imaging system for patient positioning. This was used to ensure accurate positioning of the mannequin in the treatment room, when available. Collision calculations were performed for the two treatment isocenters and the results compared to the collisions detected the room. The accuracy of the Kinect-Skanect surface was evaluated by comparing it to the external surface of the planning CT scan. Results: Experimental verification results showed that the predicted angles of collision matched those recorded in the room within 0.5°, in most cases (largest deviation −1.2°). The accuracy study for the Kinect-Skanect surface showed an average discrepancy between the CT external contour and the surface scan of 2.2 mm. Conclusions: This methodology provides fast and reliable collision predictions using surface imaging. The use of the Kinect-Skanect system allows for a comprehensive modeling of the patient topography including all the relevant anatomy and immobilization devices that may lead to collisions. The use of this tool at the treatment simulation stage may allow therapists to evaluate the clearance of a patient’s treatment position and optimize it before the planning CT scan is performed. This can allow for safer treatments for the patients due to better collision predictions and improved clinical workflow by minimizing replanning and resimulations due to unforeseen clearance issues.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Stereo-particle image velocimetry uncertainty quantification

Particle image velocimetry (PIV) measurements are subject to multiple elemental error sources and thus estimating overall measurement uncertainty is challenging. Recent advances have led to a posteriori uncertainty estimation methods for planar two-component PIV. However, no complete methodology exists for uncertainty quantification in stereo PIV. In the current paper, a comprehensive framework is presented to quantify the uncertainty stemming from stereo registration error and combine it with the underlying planar velocity uncertainties. The disparity in particle locations of the dewarped images is used to estimate the positional uncertainty of the world coordinate system, which is then propagated to the uncertainty in the calibration mapping function coefficients. Next, the calibration uncertainty is combined with the planar uncertainty fields of the individual cameras through an uncertainty propagation equation and uncertainty estimates are obtained for all three velocity components. The methodology was tested with synthetic stereo PIV data for different light sheet thicknesses, with and without registration error, and also validated with an experimental vortex ring case from 2014 PIV challenge. Thorough sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the relative impact of the various parameters to the overall uncertainty. The results suggest that in absence of any disparity, the stereo PIV uncertainty prediction method is more sensitive to the planar uncertainty estimates than to the angle uncertainty, although the latter is not negligible for non-zero disparity. Overall the presented uncertainty quantification framework showed excellent agreement between the error and uncertainty RMS values for both the synthetic and the experimental data and demonstrated reliable uncertainty prediction coverage. Finally, this stereo PIV uncertainty quantification framework provides the first comprehensive treatment on the subject and potentially lays foundations applicable to volumetric PIV measurements.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2019

Distributed Wind Resource Assessment Framework: Functional Requirements and Metrics for Performance and Reliability Modeling

The focus of the distributed wind resource assessment (DWRA) performance framework is to first clarify the key parameters that define the wind resource for any distributed wind turbine project and then describe the loss and uncertainty factors associated with long-term performance of wind turbine projects. Next it will identify and define the key parameters required to analyze the operational performance of a project. This framework could then be the foundation for understanding the predictability of the power and revenue from a project. Improving the predictability and reliability of wind power generation and operations will reduce costs and potentially establish a framework to attract new capital to the distributed wind industry sector. This report is the first part of a research effort to investigate the impact that improved resource assessment and energy estimation for distributed wind can have on consumer confidence, cost of capital, cost of ownership and operations, perception of financial risk, and levelized cost of energy.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2015

The anharmonic quartic force field infrared spectra of three polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons: Naphthalene, anthracene, and tetracene

Current efforts to characterize and study interstellar polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) rely heavily on theoretically predicted infrared (IR) spectra. Generally, such studies use the scaled harmonic frequencies for band positions and double harmonic approximation for intensities of species, and then compare these calculated spectra with experimental spectra obtained under matrix isolation conditions. High-resolution gas-phase experimental spectroscopic studies have recently revealed that the double harmonic approximation is not sufficient for reliable spectra prediction. In this paper, we present the anharmonic theoretical spectra of three PAHs: naphthalene, anthracene, and tetracene, computed with a locally modified version of the SPECTRO program using Cartesian derivatives transformed from Gaussian 09 normal coordinate force constants. Proper treatments of Fermi resonances lead to an impressive improvement on the agreement between the observed and theoretical spectra, especially in the C–H stretching region. All major IR absorption features in the full-scale matrix-isolated spectra, the high-temperature gas-phase spectra, and the most recent high-resolution gas-phase spectra obtained under supersonically cooled molecular beam conditions in the CH-stretching region are assigned.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty-Aware Machine Learning for Small-Angle X-ray Scattering Analysis in Autonomous Experimentation

Small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) is a powerful high-throughput characterization tool for probing nanoscale structure in native sample environments, providing real-time morphological information such as nanoparticle size and shape during synthesis. However, automated SAXS data analysis for extracting meaningful structural parameters is non-trivial and remains a bottleneck in closed-loop experimentation towards autonomous materials discovery, which demands fast, reliable, and uncertainty-aware data analysis. Here, we develop a machine-learning approach for automated SAXS analysis tailored to closed-loop nanoparticle synthesis. A Random Forest (RF) regression model is trained on 100,000 synthetic SAXS curves generated from polydisperse spherical nanoparticles with realistic background contributions. Using normalized one-dimensional SAXS intensity profiles as input, the RF model directly predicts nanoparticle radius, size polydispersity, and background parameters, while the ensemble standard deviation across trees provides built-in uncertainty quantification (UQ). On synthetic data, we show that combining fit-quality metrics (R 2 , MAE) with thresholds on prediction uncertainty reliably identifies accurate parameter estimates without access to ground truth. We then apply the trained model to 365 experimental SAXS profiles of citrate-reduced gold nanoparticles synthesized using an automated droplet-flow microreactor with in situ SAXS at a synchrotron beamline, classifying the results into high- and low-confidence subsets based on UQ metrics. Finally, we integrate RF-based SAXS analysis into a simulated closed-loop optimization campaign using Gaussian process Bayesian optimization to minimize nanoparticle polydispersity, benchmarking against conventional automated Levenberg–Marquardt fitting. The RF-guided campaign exhibits substantially faster convergence and lower relative opportunity cost (∼0.07 vs ∼0.3), demonstrating that uncertainty-aware machine-learning SAXS analysis significantly enhances the efficiency and robustness of autonomous nanomaterials synthesis workflows.

Bayesian optimization↗
DOE OSTI2015

Theoretical modeling of the linear and nonlinear optical properties of organic crystals within the rigorous local field theory (RLFT)

This contribution summarizes our current findings in the field of calculating and predicting the linear and second-order nonlinear electric susceptibility tensor components of organic crystals. The methodology used for this purpose is based on a combination of the electrostatic interaction scheme developed by Munn and his coworkers (RLFT) with high-level electronic structure calculations. We compare the results of calculations with available experimental data for several examples of molecular crystals. We show the quality of the final results is influenced by i) the chromophore geometry, ii) the method used for molecular properties calculations and iii) the partitioning scheme used. In conclusion we summarize further plans to improve the reliability and predictability of the method.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Influence of alloy solidification path on melt pool behavior in additive manufacturing

Numerical models used to study transport phenomena in laser-powder bed fusion processes often rely on assumptions and simplifications to reduce their computational expense. One common simplification is in the description of latent heat evolution during the solid-liquid phase change (i.e., the solidification pathway), justified by the fact that the mushy zone thickness is similar to the numerical grid spacing used for continuum transport models. The lack of resolution of transport phenomena in the mushy zone motivates the use of computationally convenient solidification paths such as linear or sigmoidal relationships over pathways derived from fundamental solidification theory such as equilibrium or Scheil models. In the present work, an uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework is used to analyze the influence of solidification pathway selection on the solidification dynamics and melt pool geometries in laser based additive manufacturing (AM) of IN625. Results show the solidification pathway has a quantifiable influence on the cooling rate at the liquidus isotherm, mushy zone thickness, and solidification time. Due to similarities in the latent heat evolution at the beginning of solidification, the equilibrium and Scheil models predict similar cooling rates near the liquidus isotherm, however the wider freezing range of Scheil leads to a wider mushy zone compared to equilibrium. The non-physical latent heat release profiles of sigmoidal and linear paths lead to significant overpredictions of cooling rates at the liquidus isotherm compared to equilibrium and Scheil. Finally, these results indicate that careful consideration should be given to the choice of solidification pathway to ensure reliable model predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2015

Diagnosing Undersampling in Monte Carlo Eigenvalue and Flux Tally Estimates

This study explored the impact of undersampling on the accuracy of tally estimates in Monte Carlo (MC) calculations. Steady-state MC simulations were performed for models of several critical systems with varying degrees of spatial and isotopic complexity, and the impact of undersampling on eigenvalue and fuel pin flux/fission estimates was examined. This study observed biases in MC eigenvalue estimates as large as several percent and biases in fuel pin flux/fission tally estimates that exceeded tens, and in some cases hundreds, of percent. This study also investigated five statistical metrics for predicting the occurrence of undersampling biases in MC simulations. Three of the metrics (the Heidelberger-Welch RHW, the Geweke Z-Score, and the Gelman-Rubin diagnostics) are commonly used for diagnosing the convergence of Markov chains, and two of the methods (the Contributing Particles per Generation and Tally Entropy) are new convergence metrics developed in the course of this study. These metrics were implemented in the KENO MC code within the SCALE code system and were evaluated for their reliability at predicting the onset and magnitude of undersampling biases in MC eigenvalue and flux tally estimates in two of the critical models. Of the five methods investigated, the Heidelberger-Welch RHW, the Gelman-Rubin diagnostics, and Tally Entropy produced test metrics that correlated strongly to the size of the observed undersampling biases, indicating their potential to effectively predict the size and prevalence of undersampling biases in MC simulations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2015

Diagnosing undersampling in Monte Carlo eigenvalue and flux tally estimates - 14515

This study explored the impact of undersampling on the accuracy of tally estimates in Monte Carlo (MC) calculations. Steady-state MC simulations were performed for models of several critical systems with varying degrees of spatial and isotopic complexity, and the impact of undersampling on eigenvalue and fuel pin flux/fission estimates was examined. This study observed biases in MC eigenvalue estimates as large as several percent and biases in fuel pin flux/fission tally estimates that exceeded tens, and in some cases hundreds, of percent. This study also investigated five statistical metrics for predicting the occurrence of undersampling biases in MC simulations. Three of the metrics (the Heidelberger-Welch RHW, the Geweke Z-Score, and the Gelman-Rubin diagnostics) are commonly used for diagnosing the convergence of Markov chains, and two of the methods (the Contributing Particles per Generation and Tally Entropy) are new convergence metrics developed in the course of this study. These metrics were implemented in the KENO MC code within the SCALE code system and were evaluated for their reliability at predicting the onset and magnitude of undersampling biases in MC eigenvalue and flux tally estimates in two of the critical models. Of the five methods investigated, the Heidelberger-Welch RHW, the Gelman-Rubin diagnostics, and Tally Entropy produced test metrics that correlated strongly to the size of the observed undersampling biases, indicating their potential to effectively predict the size and prevalence of undersampling biases in MC simulations. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Characterization and verification of a two-body wave energy converter with a novel power take-off

The lack of high efficient, predictable and reliable power take-off (PTO) systems limits developments of ocean wave energy technology. In this paper, a two-body self-reacting wave energy converter (WEC) with a novel PTO is designed, modelled and implemented for efficiency enhancement. A novel mechanical motion rectifier (MMR) using a ball screw mechanism and an enclosed gear set is integrated to improve the energy harvesting efficiency and reliability by rectifying the oscillatory wave motion into unidirectional rotation of the generator. Detailed design and dynamic modelling for the proposed WEC are presented. A prototype of the PTO is tested in a dry lab to characterize and refine the dynamic modelling. The characterized PTO model is combined with the WEC model to create an overall system model. A water tank test is conducted to verify the overall system dynamics, which proves the accuracy of the model and shows the advantages of the proposed WEC on efficiency and predictability. Following the method of how the WEC system is characterized, performance prediction of the proposed WEC with MMR PTO can be achieved with high accuracy.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2018

Study on hot deformation behavior and workability of squeeze-cast 20 vol%SiCw/6061Al composites using processing map

Highlights: • Prasad’s and Murty’s criteria were better than Gegel’s criterion in predicting the flow instability for the composites. • Partial melting and DRX at high temperature and high strain rate improved the workability of the composites. • The softening mechanism changed from DRV to DRX with the increase of deformation temperature and strain rate. • The safe deformation region of the composites was at higher temperature of 450-500°C and higher strain rate of 0.1-1s{sup -1}. • The safe deformation region predicted by processing maps was validated by uniaxial upsetting and two-directional forging. - Abstract: The hot deformation behavior and workability of squeeze-cast 20 vol%SiCw/6061Al composites were investigated by isothermal compression test and development of processing map, which was verified by uniaxial upsetting and two-directional forging of big cylindrical billets. Due to dispersed strengthening caused by SiC whiskers, the activation energy of 20 vol%SiCw/6061Al composites was much higher than the self-diffusion activation energy of pure Al. Both the DMM and MDMM were reliable in predicting the safe deformation regions. The instability regions predicted by the Prasad's and Murty's instability criterion were smaller than the actual ones, while the Gegel's instability criterion was not appropriate in predicting the instability regions of 20 vol%SiCw/6061Al composites. The optimum deformation region was at higher temperature of 450–500 °C and higher strain rate of 0.1–1 s{sup − 1}, in which the compressed samples exhibited perfect surface without cracks and microstructure with few of cavities due to the occurrence of partial melting and dynamic recrystallization. With the increase of deformation temperature and strain rate, the deformation mechanism changed from dynamic recovery to dynamic recrystallization. Squeezing casting technique with high filtration pressure may also contribute to the increase of strain rate of DRX, which was helpful for hot forging of Al matrix composites with high productivity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of Cutter Blade Wear in Rotary Shear Mills

Following development of an analytical abrasive wear model to predict wear of components in a rotary shear mill, the team used a finite element analysis (FEA) approach to calculate forces and loads acting on particles responsible for abrasive wear. The analytical model related critical rotary shear process parameters (shear geometry and rotational speed) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, and aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness and elastic modulus) that enabled us to model the wear of shear cutters in a rotary shear milling system developed by Forest Concepts. With proper knowledge of the forces acting between abrasive particles and cutter components built into it, the model can accurately predict wear of the cutters and provides a quality by design (QbD) approach to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches. During this reporting period, researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory applied an FEA package to simulate the local stresses and forces between an abrasive silica particle and two rotary shear cutters as the distance between the cutters decreases. The output of the FEA was used to provide more accurate projections of the loads applied to the particles in the analytical wear model. Comparison of the FEA force calculations are in good agreement with the loads assumed in the analytical predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2016

Uncertainty Quantification with MCMC method and BFBT Data

The reliability of predictions of the system codes is closely related to the validation of their physical models. For example, the accuracy of void fraction prediction in a Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) using TRACE code depends on the uncertainties of closure relations developed for the two-phase flow models. This work focus on quantifying the uncertainties of two physical models, interfacial drag model and subcooled boiling model, using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and BFBT experimental benchmark data. We applied the MCMC and MLE algorithms to BFBT benchmark data and estimated the uncertainty distribution of two model parameters: subcooled boiling heat transfer coefficient and interfacial drag (bubbly/slug rod bundle) coefficient. These algorithms tend to give various estimation results. Despite the differences in these algorithms, we find that the estimation results are consistent. After obtaining the uncertainty estimates, we validated the uncertainty estimates by applying the estimated distributions of model parameters to TRACE prediction. The new predictions succeed in reducing the void fraction prediction error, but it is not possible to eliminate all prediction error. We are only adjusting two model parameters, and there exists uncertainties in all model parameters. Application of the algorithms to other physical models and experimental data will be helpful for future work. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗