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At least 433 records · Page 24

Lightning activity and severe storm structure

Space-time mapping of VHF sources from four severe storms on June 19, 1980 reveals that lightning processes for cloud-to-ground (CG) and large intracloud (IC) flashes are confined to an altitude below about 10 km and closely associated with the central regions of high reflectivity. Another class of IC flashes produces a splattering of sources within the storms' main electrically active volumes and also within the large divergent wind canopy aloft. There is no apparent temporal association between the small high altitude IC flashes that occur almost continuously and the large IC and CG flashes that occur sporadically in the lower portions of storms.

Taylor, W. L.↗

Interplanetary radio storms. I - Extension of solar active regions through the interplanetary medium

About 100 storms of type-III solar radio bursts have been identified in the ISEE-3 radio-experiment data during the 4-yr period around the maximum of the 21st solar cycle. They demonstrate the very frequent presence of streams of suprathermal electrons. Their durations range from 1 to 10 d or more. They are observed up to 100-170 solar radii. Their rate of occurrence is 2 to 3 per solar rotation near solar maximum. It is shown that the time variations of the daily radio-emission intensities correlate with the sunspot-number variations and with the solar activity in general. More specifically, a very good correlation is found with the meter-wave type-III and type-I storms, which demonstrates that the suprathermal electrons responsible for the radio emission have been accelerated below 2 solar radii heliocentric. The different lags observed between the sunspot-number variations, the S-component, and the type-I and type-III storms are discussed.

Bougeret, J.-L.↗

Centralized Storm Information System (CSIS)

A final progress report is presented on the Centralized Storm Information System (CSIS). The primary purpose of the CSIS is to demonstrate and evaluate real time interactive computerized data collection, interpretation and display techniques as applied to severe weather forecasting. CSIS objectives pertaining to improved severe storm forecasting and warning systems are outlined. The positive impact that CSIS has had on the National Severe Storms Forecast Center (NSSFC) is discussed. The benefits of interactive processing systems on the forecasting ability of the NSSFC are described.

Norton, C. C.↗

Test and evaluation plan for the Centralized Storm Information System

The installation of the Centralized Storm Information System (CSIS) at the NOAA operational complex in Kansas City, Missouri is described. This complex includes the National Severe Storms Forecast center and a Satellite Field Service Station which is denoted in this research plan as NSSFC. CSIS computers will act in concert to merge analyze the many data sets needed to forecast severe convective storms. Specific aspects of CSIS are evaluated against the CSIS objectives. The functions to be evaluated characterize the attributes of a generalized interactive computer system. A major development in the CSIS program will allow communication between CSIS and the NSSFC Eclipse computer.

Source record↗

Areal coverage of storm precipitation

The probability distributions of the spatial distribution of precipitation from storms of different types were studied. The occurrence of wetted rainstorm area within a catchment was modeled as a Poisson arrival process in which each storm is composed of stationary, nonoverlapping, independent random cell clusters whose centers are Poisson-distributed as through fractals. The portion of a catchment covered by a stationary rainstorm was modeled by the common area of two overlapping circles. The first two moments of the distribution of the common area were derived from purely geometrical considerations. The spatial structure of the depth of rainfall from a stationary rainstorm was investigated using point process techniques. Total storm rainfall at the center of each cell is a random variable, and rainfall is distributed around the center specified by a spread function that may incorporate random parameters.

Eagleson, P. S.↗

Satellite microwave observations of a storm complex: A comparative analysis

The hypothesis that cold events correspond to a particular stage in a class of thunderstorms was tested. That class is a storms class which updrafts are: (1) strong, broad and moist, and (2) extend well above the freezing level. Condition (1) implies strong mesoscale forcing. Condition (2) implies a tall updraft or a relatively low freezing level. Such storms should have big, intense radar echoes and cold, fast-growing anvils. The thunderstorm events were analyzed by radar, rain gauge and GOES infrared observations. Radar was the starting point for detection and definition of the hypothesized thunderstorms. The radar signature is compared to the signature of the storm in rain gauge observations, satellite infrared images and satellite microwave images.

Martin, D. W.↗

Severe Storms Branch research report (April 1984 April 1985)

The Mesoscale Atmospheric Processes Research Program is a program of integrated studies which are to achieve an improved understanding of the basic behavior of the atmosphere through the use of remotely sensed data and space technology. The program consist of four elements: (1) special observations and analysis of mesoscale systems; (20 the development of quanitative algorithms to use remotely sensed observations; (3) the development of new observing systems; and (4) numerical modeling. The Severe Storms Branch objectives are the improvement of the understanding, diagnosis, and prediction of a wide range of atmospheric storms, which includes severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, flash floods, tropical cyclones, and winter snowstorms. The research often shed light upon various aspects of local weather, such as fog, sea breezes, air pollution, showers, and other products of nonsevere cumulus cloud clusters. The part of the program devoted to boundary layer processes, gust front interactions, and soil moisture detection from satellites gives insights into storm growth and behavior.

Dubach, L.↗

Moments of catchment storm area

The portion of a catchment covered by a stationary rainstorm is modeled by the common area of two overlapping circles. Given that rain occurs within the catchment and conditioned by fixed storm and catchment sizes, the first two moments of the distribution of the common area are derived from purely geometrical considerations. The variance of the wetted fraction is shown to peak when the catchment size is equal to the size of the predominant storm. The conditioning on storm size is removed by assuming a probability distribution based upon the observed fractal behavior of cloud and rainstorm areas.

Eagleson, P. S.↗

The possible influence of upstream upper-level baroclinic processes on the development of the QE II storm

An analysis of the QE II storm of September 9-11, 1978 presents evidence for the existence of upper-level baroclinic processes upstream of the rapidly developing cyclone. The analysis shows that a deepening shortwave trough was located 400 to 500 km upstream of the site of the storm 12 h prior to rapid cyclogenesis. The trough was associated with: (1) a polar jet marked by 65 m/s winds in its core and significant vertical and horizontal wind shear, (2) positive vorticity advection and divergence at the 300 mb level, and (3) an intense frontal zone that extended from 300 mb down to the surface. It also appears that a tropopause fold likely extruded stratospheric air down to the 700-800 mb level, 400-500 km upstream of the surface low and 12 h prior to the explosive development phase of the cyclone. These findings raise questions about Gyakum's (1983) assertion that the QE II storm developed in an area in which the baroclinic support was confined to the lower troposphere and the related assertion by Anthes et al. (1983) that upper-level forcing upstream of the area of rapid cyclogenesis was weak and apparently not important in this case.

Uccellini, L. W.↗

Spatial analysis of storm depths from an Arizona raingage network

Eight years of summer rainstorm observations are analyzed by a dense network of 93 raingages operated by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, in the 150 km Walnut Gulch experimental catchment near Tucson, Arizona. Storms are defined by the total depths collected at each raingage during the noon-to-noon period for which there was depth recorded at any of the gages. For each of the resulting 428 storm days, the gage depths are interpolated onto a dense grid and the resulting random field analyzed to obtain moments, isohyetal plots, spatial correlation function, variance function, and the spatial distribution of storm depth.

Fennessey, N. M.↗

Interannual variability of global dust storms on Mars

Under the assumption that the cross-equatorial Hadley circulation plays a key role in the onset of Martian global dust storms, numerical simulations indicate that a northern hemisphere dust haze weakens its intensity and, thereby, its contribution to the surface stress in the southern hemisphere. Since this in turn reduces the possibility of global dust storm development, the interannual variability observed is the result of either a competition between circulations in opposite hemispheres, in which case the variability has a random component, or it is the result of dust cycling between hemispheres, so that the variability is related to the characteristics of the global dust storms themselves.

Haberle, Robert M.↗

Evolution of the ring current during two geomagnetic storms

Two geomagnetic storms in September 1984 were studied to examine the progressive changes in the radial profiles of particle pressure, plasma beta, and electric currents of the ring current region during the course of geomagnetic storms. It is shown that enhancements in the particle pressure occur initially in the outer region and reach the inner region in the late phase of the storm. Structures suggestive of multiple particle injections are seen in the pressure profile. The leading and trailing edges of the particle injection structures are respectively associated with the depressions and enhancements of the westward current densities of the ring current. The location of the maximum ring current particle pressure can be several earth radii from where the most intense westward ring current flows.

Lui, A. T. Y.↗

Suggested severe local storm operational scenario for GOES I-M

The GOES I-M satellite system is expected to provide continuous high resolution estimates of temperature and moisture profiles, winds from cloud motions, surface temperature, cloud properties, and precipitation for severe local storm and tropical cyclone events. The suggested operational schedule for the GOES I-M satellite emphasizes the observation frequencies, spatial coverage, spectral bands, etc. for the GOES I-M imager and sounder instruments that are expected to optimize the determination of the relevant meteorological parameters. During severe local storm events, the imager would be programmed to perform high frequency imaging (less than or= 3.5 min) for determining winds from cloud motions and for monitoring severe convection. In addition, the sounder would provide temperature and moisture profiles every hour over a 3000 X 3000 km domain during the antecedent stage or over a 1000 X 1000 km area every 10 minutes during the mature storm stage.

Shenk, William E.↗

Criteria of interplanetary parameters causing intense magnetic storms (Dst of less than -100 nT)

An analysis of ISEE-3 field and plasma data shows that 10 intense magnetic storms that occurred in 1979 were caused by long-duration, large-amplitude (13-30 nT) and negative (less than -10 nT) IMF Bz events associated with interplanetary duskward-electric fields of greater than 5 mV/m. The results suggest that these criteria may be used as predictors of intense storms. A study of opposite polarity (northward) Bz events with the same criteria shows that their occurrence is similar both in number and in their relationship to interplanetary disturbances. The amplitudes of the storms were not found to vary with shock strengths.

Gonzalez, Walter D.↗

The effects of magnetic storm phases on F layer irregularities below the auroral oval

Observations of F-layer irregularity development and intensity were obtained between September and October 1981, primarily over subauroral latitudes in the area of the plasmapause. The results reveal the descent of the auroral irregularity region to include subauroral latitudes in the general area of the plasmapause during the main phases of a series of magnetic storms. Irregularities were found primarily at lower latitudes during the subauroral or plasmapause storm. A model for the subauroral irregularities in recovery phases of magnetic storms is proposed in which energy stored in the ring current is slowly released.

Aarons, J.↗

Origin of interplanetary southward magnetic fields responsible for major magnetic storms near solar maximum (1978-1979)

Simultaneous ISEE-3 field and plasma data were used to examine interplanetary phenomena associated with 10 major magnetic storms detected from August 16, 1978, to December 28, 1979, in a study of Gonzalez and Tsurutani (1987), and, in particular to determine the origins of the southward magnetic fields which caused the storms. In nine of the 10 cases, the responsible interplanetary events were found, as expected, to be associated with the high magnetic fields in the stream-stream interaction regions (sheaths) or driver gases, with the events following the interplanetary shocks. The tenth event was found to be associated not with a high-speed stream, but with a noncompressional density-enhancement event. The results of this study indicate the equal importance of both the sheath fields or draped fields and the driver gas fields for the generation of major geomagnetic storms.

Tsurutani, Bruce T.↗

Satellite remote sensing and cloud modeling of St. Anthony, Minnesota storm clouds and dew point depression

Rawinsonde data and geosynchronous satellite imagery were used to investigate the life cycles of St. Anthony, Minnesota's severe convective storms. It is found that the fully developed storm clouds, with overshooting cloud tops penetrating above the tropopause, collapsed about three minutes before the touchdown of the tornadoes. Results indicate that the probability of producing an outbreak of tornadoes causing greater damage increases when there are higher values of potential energy storage per unit area for overshooting cloud tops penetrating the tropopause. It is also found that there is less chance for clouds with a lower moisture content to be outgrown as a storm cloud than clouds with a higher moisture content.

Hung, R. J.↗

The great dust storm of 1986

It is reported that on the global scale, no major dust storm activity was seen during telescopic observations of Mars during the several months or so preceeding this conference. However, the corresponding season on Mars was early fall, which is at the beginning of the dust storm season. It was too early to tell, therefore, if a great dust storm was going to occur that year. Current observations and what they show about present atmospheric conditions and the recession of the South Polar Cap is discussed.

Martin, L. J.↗