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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 433 records · Page 24
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Machine learning prediction and experimental verification of Pt-modified nitride catalysts for ethanol reforming with reduced precious metal loading

Ethanol is the smallest molecule containing C–O, C–C, C–H, and O–H bonds present in biomass-derived oxygenates. The development of inexpensive and selective catalysts for ethanol reforming is important towards the renewable generation of hydrogen from biomass. Transition metal nitrides (TMN) are interesting catalyst support materials that can effectively reduce precious metal loading for the catalysis of ethanol and other oxygenates. Herein theoretical and experimental methods were used to probe platinum-modified molybdenum nitride (Pt/Mo 2 N) surfaces for ethanol reforming. Computations using density-functional theory and machine learning predicted monolayer Pt/Mo 2 N to be highly active and selective for ethanol reforming. Temperature-programmed desorption (TPD) experiments verified that ethanol primarily underwent decomposition on Mo 2 N, and the reaction pathway shifted to reforming on Pt/Mo 2 N surfaces. Additionally, high-resolution electron energy loss spectroscopy (HREELS) results further indicated that while Mo2N decomposed the ethoxy intermediate by cleaving C–C, C–O, and C–H bonds, Pt-modification preserved the C–O bond, resulting in ethanol reforming.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mechanistic study of heterogeneous propene metathesis on WO x /SiO 2 catalysts

Silica-supported tungsten oxides are widely used industrial catalysts for olefin metathesis due to their low cost and robustness, yet the mechanisms for heterogeneously catalyzed metathesis reactions remain comparatively less understood. In this work, density-functional theory (DFT) calculations were used to study the model reactions of propene metathesis. Our calculations confirm that the metathesis reactions catalyzed by WO x /SiO 2 largely follow the Chauvin cycle, with an overall energetic barrier of 142 kJ/mol. To understand how the initial alkylidene active sites are generated, three mechanisms were examined: The pseudo-Wittig mechanism was found to be most favorable and proceeds with a metallacycle intermediate, while the allylic and vinylic C-H activations are much more difficult and require the reduction of surface sites to W(+4). Relative to the adsorbed reactant state, the overall intrinsic barriers for three mechanisms were computed to be 193, 261, and 355 kJ/mol, respectively. In conclusion, the higher barriers for active-site formation than for the metathesis cycle are consistent with the difficult, high-temperature pretreatment required in experiments to activate WO x /SiO 2 catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Fast resonance decays in nuclear collisions

Here, we present a new method to calculate the final decay spectrum of direct resonance decays directly from hydrodynamic fields on a freeze-out surface. The method is based on identifying components of the final particle spectrum that transform in an irreducible way under rotations in the fluid-restframe. Corresponding distribution functions can be pre-computed including all resonance decays. Just a few of easily tabulated scalar functions then determine the Lorentz invariant decay spectrum from each space-time point, and simple integrals of these scalar functions over the freeze-out surface determine the final decay products. This by-passes numerically costly event-by-event calculations of the intermediate resonances. The method is of considerable practical use for making realistic data to model comparisons of the identified particle yields and flow harmonics, and for studying the viscous corrections to the freeze-out distribution function.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A metal-supported single-atom catalytic site enables carbon dioxide hydrogenation

Nitrogen-doped graphene-supported single atoms convert CO 2 to CO, but fail to provide further hydrogenation to methane – a finding attributable to the weak adsorption of CO intermediates. To regulate the adsorption energy, here we investigate the metal-supported single atoms to enable CO 2 hydrogenation. We find a copper-supported iron-single-atom catalyst producing a high-rate methane. Density functional theory calculations and in-situ Raman spectroscopy show that the iron atoms attract surrounding intermediates and carry out hydrogenation to generate methane. The catalyst is realized by assembling iron phthalocyanine on the copper surface, followed by in-situ formation of single iron atoms during electrocatalysis, identified using operando X-ray absorption spectroscopy. The copper-supported iron-single-atom catalyst exhibits a CO 2 -to-methane Faradaic efficiency of 64% and a partial current density of 128 mA cm –2 , while the nitrogen-doped graphene-supported one produces only CO. The activity is 32 times higher than a pristine copper under the same conditions of electrolyte and bias.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

The electron-transfer intermediates of the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) as polarons by in situ spectroscopy

The conversion of diffusive forms of energy (electrical and light) into short, compact chemical bonds by catalytic reactions regularly involves moving a carrier from an environment that favors delocalization to one that favors localization. While delocalization lowers the energy of the carrier through its kinetic energy, localization creates a polarization around the carrier that traps it in a potential energy minimum. The trapped carrier and its local distortion—termed a polaron in solids—can play a role as a highly reactive intermediate within energy-storing catalytic reactions but is rarely discussed as such. Here, we present this perspective of the polaron as a catalytic intermediate through recent in situ and time-resolved spectroscopic investigations of photo-triggered electrochemical reactions at material surfaces. The focus is on hole-trapping at metal–oxygen bonds, denoted M–OH*, in the context of the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) from water. The potential energy surface for the hole-polaron defines the structural distortions from the periodic lattice and the resulting “active” site of catalysis. This perspective will highlight how current and future time-resolved, multi-modal probes can use spectroscopic signatures of M–OH* polarons to obtain kinetic and structural information on the individual reaction steps of OER. A particular motivation is to provide the background needed for eventually relating this information to relevant catalytic descriptors by free energies. Lastly, the formation of the O–O chemical bond from the consumption of M–OH*, required to release O 2 and store energy in H 2 , will be discussed as the next target for experimental investigations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Electronic Structure of Compressively Strained Bilayer Nickelate Thin Film

The discovery of superconductivity in bulk bilayer nickelates under high pressure, and its subsequent stabilization in compressively strained thin films at ambient pressure, has established a new platform for exploring high-𝑇 c superconductivity beyond the cuprates. Central to this development is the prominent role of the 3⁢𝑑$^2_𝑧$ orbital in shaping the low-energy electronic structure, imposing constraints on microscopic theories and fueling debate over the superconducting mechanism. Here we report a systematic in situ angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy study of compressively strained bilayer nickelate thin films spanning Ca doping, oxygen stoichiometry and film thickness. Despite variations in oxygen-vacancy disorder and surface termination, the electronic structure remains robust and exhibits a systematic strain-driven evolution consistent with an intermediate-correlation regime. In particular, we demonstrate a Ca-doping-induced electronic structure evolution that is consistent with Fermi-level crossing of the 𝛾 band and is decoupled from the presence of superconductivity, suggesting that, while important for the 𝛾 band to be near the Fermi level, the debated 𝛾 crossing and the resulting Fermi pocket may not be a prerequisite for superconductivity. Together, our results establish key spectroscopic constraints on the minimal fermiology and correlation strength relevant to superconductivity in bilayer nickelates, providing an experimental foundation for microscopic theories of their pairing mechanism.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Origin of metal-insulator transitions in the parent compounds of ruthenium-pnictide superconductors

Here we study the interplay of the structural phase transition, flat electronic band dispersion, and metal-to-insulator transition (MIT) in the parent compounds of the Ru-pnictide superconductors by using first-principles calculations. Our electron and phonon calculations reveal that Ru(P,As) undergo MIT accompanied by orthorhombic to monoclinic distortion at low temperature, but RuSb stays orthorhombic and metallic in agreement with the experimental findings. It is demonstrated that electronic correlation, as treated in DFT + U, DFT + Gutzwiller, and dynamical mean-field theory (DMFT), cannot induce MIT in the undistorted crystal structure. We find that, although small monoclinic distortion can remove the van Hove singularity at the Fermi level, it does not immediately gap out the Fermi surface and a large value of monoclinic distortion is necessary for a clear MIT, suggesting the possibility of an intermediate pseudogapped monoclinic metallic phase. Furthermore, we predict a light-induced two-step insulator-to-metal and structural transitions in the monoclinic phases of RuP and RuAs, which can be tested in future ultrafast pump-probe experiments as an alternative ideal playground to VO 2 .

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

Benzene Ring Knitting Achieved by Ambient-Temperature Dehalogenation via Mechanochemical Ullmann-Type Reductive Coupling

The current approaches capable of affording conjugated porous networks (CPNs) still rely on solution-based coupling reactions promoted by noble metal complexes or Lewis acids, on-surface polymerization conducted in ultrahigh-vacuum environment at very high temperatures (>200 °C), or mechanochemical Scholl-type reactions limited to electron-rich substrates. To develop simple and scalable approaches capable of making CPNs under neat and ambient conditions, herein, a novel and complementary method to the current oxidative Scholl coupling processes is demonstrated to afford CPNs via direct aromatic ring knitting promoted by mechanochemical Ullmann-type reactions. The key to this strategy lies in the dehalogenation of aromatic halides in the presence of Mg involving the formation of Grignard reagent intermediates. Products (Ph-CPN-1) obtained via direct C-C bond formation between 1,2,4,5-tetrabromobenzene (TBB) monomer feature high surface areas together with mesoporous architecture. The versatility of this approach is confirmed by the successful construction of various CPNs via knitting of the corresponding aromatic rings (e.g., pyrene and triphenylene), and even highly crystalline graphite product was obtained. The CPNs exhibit good electrochemical performance as the anode material in lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). Overall, this approach expands the frontiers of CPN synthesis and provides new opportunities to their scalable applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Nanoparticle Assembly Induced Ligand Interactions for Enhanced Electrocatalytic CO 2 Conversion

The microenvironment in which the catalysts are situated is as important as the active sites in determining the overall catalytic performance. Recently, it has been found that nanoparticle (NP) surface ligands can actively participate in creating a favorable catalytic microenvironment, as part of the nanoparticle/ordered-ligand interlayer (NOLI), for selective CO 2 conversion. However, much of the ligand–ligand interactions presumed essential to the formation of such a catalytic interlayer remains to be understood. In this study, by varying the initial size of NPs and utilizing spectroscopic and electrochemical techniques, we show that the assembly of NPs leads to the necessary ligand interactions for the NOLI formation. The large surface curvature of small NPs promotes strong noncovalent interactions between ligands of adjacent NPs through ligand interdigitation. This ensures their collective behavior in electrochemical conditions and gives rise to the structurally ordered ligand layer of the NOLI. Thus, the use of smaller NPs was shown to result in a greater catalytically effective NOLI area associated with desolvated cations and electrostatic stabilization of intermediates, leading to the enhancement of intrinsic CO 2 -to-CO turnover. Our findings highlight the potential use of tailored microenvironments for NP catalysis by controlling its surface ligand interactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bidentate Lewis Base Ligand-Mediated Surface Stabilization and Modulation of the Electronic Structure of CsPbBr 3 Perovskite Nanocrystals

The desorption of conventional ligands from the surface of halide perovskite nanocrystals (NCs) often causes their structural instability and the deterioration of the optoelectronic properties. To address this challenge, we present an approach of using a bidentate Lewis base ligand, namely, 1,4-bis(diphenylphosphino)butane (DBPP), for the synthesis of CsPbBr 3 NCs. The phosphine group of DBPP has a strong interaction with PbBr 2 precursor, forming a highly crystalline intermediate complex during the reaction. In the presence of oleic acid, the uncoordinated phosphine group of DBPP is converted into the phosphonium cation, which strongly binds with the surface bromide of the formed CsPbBr 3 NCs through hydrogen bonding. Density functional theory calculations suggest that DBPP can strongly bind to the undercoordinated lead and surface bromide ions of CsPbBr 3 NCs through its unprotonated and protonated phosphine groups, respectively. The robust binding of DBPP with the surface of perovskite NCs helps to preserve their structural integrity under various environmental stresses. Moreover, the electron density and energy levels are regulated in DBPP-capped CsPbBr 3 NCs via the efficient transfer of electrons from the ligands to the NCs, resulting in their improved photocatalytic CO 2 reduction performance. Furthermore, our study highlights the potential of using bidentate ligands to stabilize the surface of perovskite NCs and modulate their optical and electronic properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Ab initio molecular dynamics on quantum computers

Ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) is a valuable technique for studying molecules and materials at finite temperatures where the nuclei evolve on potential energy surfaces obtained from accurate electronic structure calculations. In this work, we present an approach to running AIMD simulations on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ)-era quantum computers. The electronic energies are calculated on a quantum computer using the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) method. Algorithms for computation of analytical gradients entirely on a quantum computer require quantum fault-tolerant hardware, which is beyond NISQ-era. Therefore, we compute the energy gradients numerically using finite differences, the Hellmann-Feynman theorem, and a correlated sampling technique. This method only requires additional classical calculations of electron integrals for each degree of freedom without any additional computations on a quantum computer beyond the initial VQE run. As a proof of concept, AIMD simulations are demonstrated for the H-2 molecule on IBM quantum devices. In addition, we demonstrate the validity of the method for larger molecules using full configuration interaction wave functions. As quantum hardware and noise mitigation techniques continue to improve, the method can be utilized for studying larger molecular systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Methanol Partial Oxidation on Cu(111) and PtCu(111) Single-Atom Alloy Surfaces: Effect of Surface Oxygen Coverage on Selectivity

The selective oxidation of methanol to formaldehyde on Cu surfaces is an important and well-studied reaction. However, a systematic analysis of product selectivity as a function of oxygen coverage on Cu(111) and Cu-based single-atom alloys (SAAs) has not been previously reported. In this work, we present a comprehensive investigation of deuterated methanol (CD 3 OH) partial oxidation on Cu(111) and 1% PtCu(111) SAA surfaces as a function of preadsorbed oxygen coverage. Temperature-programmed desorption (TPD) and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) reveal that isolated Pt atoms inhibit the initial surface oxidation of Cu(111) under low oxygen exposures. Despite this difference in oxidation kinetics, the product selectivity remains largely unaffected: on both Cu(111) and PtCu(111), formaldehyde (CD 2 O) is the predominant partial oxidation product over a broad range of oxygen coverages. The selectivity toward formaldehyde peaks at intermediate oxygen coverages (∼0.3 monolayers, ML), indicating the existence of an optimal oxygen loading for partial oxidation. Notably, the similar product selectivities on Cu(111) and PtCu(111) over a range of surface oxygen coverage indicate that Pt single atoms do not significantly alter the reaction pathway or shift the optimal oxygen coverage for formaldehyde formation. Control experiments confirm that Cu(111) is unreactive toward methanol in the absence of oxygen, while PtCu(111) surfaces produce a small amount of formaldehyde even when oxygen is not preadsorbed, indicating that isolated Pt atoms facilitate O−H activation at below 150 K, leading to H 2 desorption, followed by C−D activation at higher temperatures (∼350 K). Density functional theory (DFT)-based calculations show that Pt atoms increase the O 2 dissociation barrier relative to Cu(111), consistent with the observed inhibition of oxidation at low exposures. Overall, this work provides the first detailed selectivity map for methanol oxidation on oxidized Cu(111) and PtCu(111) SAA surfaces. By linking classical mechanistic insights such as methoxy- and formate-mediated pathways with single-atom alloy catalyst design, this work demonstrates that while Pt substitution modulates the oxidation kinetics and oxygen binding, the overall selectivity toward formaldehyde is governed primarily by oxygen coverage. These findings underscore the potential of isolated dopants to tune surface oxidation behavior without compromising the intrinsic partial oxidation selectivity of copper-based catalysts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Intermediate Sr 2 Co 1.5 Fe 0.5 O 6-δ Tetragonal Structure between Perovskite and Brownmillerite as a Model Catalyst with Layered Oxygen Deficiency for Enhanced Electrochemical Water Oxidation

The generation of hydrogen in an environmentally benign way is highly essential to meet future energy demands. However, in the process of splitting water electrochemically, sluggish kinetics of the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) curtails its applicability, as it drags energy input. Herein, we synthesized SrCo-Fe-O oxides to optimize their OER activity by varying the Co/Fe ratio. Among them, Sr 2 Co 1.5 Fe 0.5 O 6-δ exhibited the best OER catalytic activity in the series, with an overpotential of 318 mV at 10 mA cm -2 and Tafel slope of 44.8 mV dec -1 . High-resolution neutron powder diffraction analysis identified an intermediate structure between the perovskite and brownmillerite, with alternating layers of disorderly orientated oxygen-deficient tetrahedra and fully stoichiometric octahedra. The unique stacking of tetrahedral and octahedral units facilitates desired interactions between the electrode surface and electrolyte. Theoretical calculations revealed that increased covalency of Co 3d and O 2p in Sr 2 Co 1.5 Fe 0.5 O 6-δ oxide is another primary contributor to its augmented water oxidation ability. As a model for developing catalysts with such an intermediate structure, the synergetic effect of oxygen vacancy and hybridization between Co 3d and O 2p assured the Sr 2 Co 1.5 Fe 0.5 O 6-δ oxide as a better catalyst for its enhanced OER activity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Pentavalent Uranium Enriched Mineral Surface under Electrochemically Controlled Reducing Environments

Redox reactions of uranium (U) in aqueous environments have important impacts on the mobility and isotopic fractionation of U in the geosphere. Pentavalent U as the cationic uranyl ion, UO 2 +, is rarely observed in naturally occurring samples because of its limited lifetime, but it may be an important intermediate state controlling the redox kinetics between hexavalent and tetravalent U. Increasing evidence has indicated that U(V) can be stabilized under laboratory conditions. Here, we showed that U(V) is the dominant species on the magnetite (Fe 3 O 4 ) surface under reducing conditions controlled by electrochemical methods. Cyclic voltammetry reveals coupled redox peaks corresponding to the U(VI)O 2 2+ /U(V)O 2+ one-electron redox reaction. Magnetite electrodes polarized at a series of potentials to reduce U(VI)O 2 2+ were characterized by X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS), and Auger electron mapping. Overall, the results showed that up to twice the amount of U(V) to U(VI) was present on the magnetite surface. U(V) adopted a typical uranyl-type structure, and the U coverage on the magnetite surface increased with decreasing potentials. The formation of mixed-valence U(V)/U(VI) species on the surface of magnetite may hinder the U(V) disproportionation reaction, thereby eliminating the presence of tetravalent U. These results show that U(V) can exist over short time scales as the dominant U species on mineral surfaces under selected reducing conditions by the controlled polarization of a mineral electrode.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling the Effect of Surface Platinum–Tin Alloys on Propane Dehydrogenation on Platinum–Tin Catalysts

Uncertainty analysis, reported experimental literature data, and density functional theory were synthesized to model the effect of surface tin coverage on platinum-based catalysts for nonoxidative propane dehydrogenation to propylene. Here, this study tests four different platinum–tin skin surface models as potential catalytic sites, Pt 3 Sn/Pt(100), PtSn/Pt(100), Pt 3 Sn/Pt(111), and Pt 2 Sn/Pt(211), and compares them to the corresponding pure Pt surface sites using an uncertainty analysis methodology that uses BEEF-vdW with its ensembles (BMwE) to generate the uncertainty for the energies of the intermediates and transition states. One experimental data set with two experimental observations, selectivity to propylene and turnover frequency of propylene, was used as a calibration data set to evaluate the impact of the experimental data on informing the models. This study finds that the prior model for Pt 3 Sn/Pt(100) is the most active and Pt 2 Sn/Pt(211) is the most selective toward propylene. Active sites on the (100) facet have the highest probability of being responsible for C 1 and C 2 product formations (C–C bond cleavage). Increasing the Sn coverage on the (100) surface facet to a PtSn/Pt(100) active site leads to a significantly reduced rate and might explain the experimentally observed higher selectivity of Sn-doped catalysts relative to pure Pt catalysts. Next, this study finds that for all surfaces, except PtSn/Pt(100), the rate-controlling steps are the initial dehydrogenation steps alongside some partially rate-controlling second dehydrogenation steps. For PtSn/Pt(100), only the initial terminal dehydrogenation step to CH 3 CH 2 CH 2 * and second dehydrogenation steps are rate-controlling. Next, the calibrated models for all surfaces were found to be selective toward propylene production and model the reported turnover frequency successfully. Nevertheless, Pt 2 Sn/Pt(211) emerges as the active site with some (minor) evidence as the main active site based on Jeffreys’ scale interpretation of Bayes factors. This observation agrees with prior studies that also found step sites to be most likely the most relevant active sites for pure Pt catalysts. Overall, the results indicate that tin, in addition to affecting the binding strength of the adsorbed species, prevents deeper dehydrogenation (reducing coking) and cracking reactions through increasing activation barriers for unwanted side reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Strain Effect in Palladium Nanostructures as Nanozymes

While various effects of physicochemical parameters (e.g., size, facet, composition, and internal structure) on the catalytic efficiency of nanozymes (i.e., nanoscale enzyme mimics) have been studied, the strain effect has never been reported and understood before. Herein, we demonstrate the strain effect in nanozymes by using Pd octahedra and icosahedra with peroxidase-like activities as a model system. Strained Pd icosahedra were found to display 2-fold higher peroxidase-like catalytic efficiency than unstrained Pd octahedra. Theoretical analysis suggests that tensile strain is more beneficial to OH radical (a key intermediate for the catalysis) generation than compressive strain. Pd icosahedra are more active than Pd octahedra because icosahedra amplify the surface strain field. As a proof-of-concept demonstration, the strained Pd icosahedra were applied to immunoassay of biomarkers, outperforming both unstrained Pd octahedra and natural peroxidases. The findings in this research may serve as a strong foundation to guide the design of high-performance nanozymes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Stability and degradation mechanisms of silver–nickel nanoparticle catalysts for electrochemical CO 2 reduction

The Ni incorporation in the Ag–Ni alloy catalyst increases the density of active sites and promotes electron transfer between the active sites and reaction intermediates. A comparative investigation of the degradation mechanisms of pure Ag and Ag–Ni catalysts demonstrates that Ni incorporation suppresses surface reconstruction of the NPs, thereby enhancing the catalytic stability.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

ClimGen: Learning the Forcing-Response Relationship in Climate System

Solar Radiation Management (SRM) is emerging as a potential geoengineering strategy to address the anthropogenic impact on climate, but its effective implementation requires an iterative and large ensemble of highly accurate and efficient climate projections. Traditional climate projections rely on executing computationally demanding and time-consuming numerical climate models. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) aim to enhance these approaches by emulating traditional methods. In this work, we propose a novel framework for directly learning the relationship between solar radiation flux at the top of the atmosphere and the corresponding surface temperature response. To evaluate the feasibility of this direct ML-based projection, we developed a dataset using an intermediate complexity model, incorporating a comprehensive suite of different forcing patterns and evaluation metrics to rigorously assess the ML model’s performance. We introduce a Conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (cDDPM) for this task, which demonstrates encouraging skill in representing climate statistics under previously unseen forcing patterns. This approach provides a promising pathway for direct climate projections by accurately learning the forcing-response relationship, with a wide range of applications in impact mitigation, emissions policy design, and SRM strategies.

Chen, Tse-Chun [BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)] (ORCID:↗