Apparent radiation properties of a rough surface.
Apparent thermal radiation properties for one dimensionally rough surface, discussing variance with property models employed in engineering analysis of radiant transfer
Hering, R. G.↗
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Geographical representation of radial orbit perturbations due to ocean tides: Implications for satellite altimetry
In analogy to the geographical representation of the zeroth-order radial orbit perturbations due to the static geopotential, similar relationships have been derived for radial orbit perturbations due to the ocean tides. At each location these perturbations are seen to be coherent with the tide height variations. The study of this singularity is of obvious importance to the estimation of ocean tides from satellite altimeter data. We derive analytical expressions for the sensitivity of altimeter derived ocean tide models to the ocean tide force model induced errors in the orbits of the altimeter satellite. In particular, we focus on characterizing and quantifying the nonresonant tidal orbit perturbations, which cannot be adjusted into the empirical accelerations or radial perturbation adjustments commonly used during orbit determination and in altimeter data processing. As an illustration of the utility of this technique, we study the differences between a TOPEX/POSEIDON-derived ocean tide model and the Cartwright and Ray 1991 Geosat model. This analysis shows that nearly 60% of the variance of this difference for M(sub 2) can be explained by the Geosat radial orbit eror due to the omission of coefficients from the GEM-T2 background ocean tide model. For O(sub 1), K(sub 1), S(sub 2), and K(sub 2) the orbital effects account for approximately 10 to 40% of the variances of these differences. The utility of this technique to assessment of the ocean tide induced errors in the TOPEX/POSEIDON-derived tide models is also discussed.
Bettadpur, Srinivas V.↗
Monitoring and Assessing Heat Vulnerability to Identify Locations for Heat Mitigation Efforts in Sarasota, Florida
Located in the coastal subtropical region, Florida’s Sarasota County receives plenty of sunlight for more than half of the year. However, the ongoing rise in summer temperatures attributed to climate change poses an increasing vulnerability to extreme heat for the residents. Moreover, the area's high relative humidity exacerbates the discomfort of high temperatures, thereby intensifying the severity of heat events and elevating the risks of heat-related illnesses. Our collaborations with Sarasota County Sustainability underscore shared concerns about the impact of urban heat island (UHI) on the community. We utilized Earth observation data from NASA Landsat 8 and Landsat 9’s Thermal Infrared Sensors (TIRS) and the International Space Station’s Ecosystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS) to model UHI effects within the county during the summer from 2019 to 2023. By implementing the open-source Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) Urban Cooling software model, ArcGIS ModelBuilder, and principal component analysis, we identified the land surface temperature variance within the county and areas that are least capable of mitigating the effects of UHI. In addition, we use socioeconomic and demographic data as indicators to quantify vulnerability at the census tract level. The results revealed that heat intensity varies significantly across Sarasota County, with the highest temperatures being in the more developed western part of the region. We pinpointed that at least three vulnerable communities reside in high-heat regions: North Sarasota, Venice, and North Port. These areas demonstrate a confluence between socioeconomic sensitivity and environmental hazard, indicating a high priority in future heat mitigation efforts.
Theresia Phoa↗
Hierarchical analysis of spatial pattern and processes of Douglas-fir forests
There has been an increased interest in the quantification of pattern in ecological systems over the past years. This interest is motivated by the desire to construct valid models which extend across many scales. Spatial methods must quantify pattern, discriminate types of pattern, and relate hierarchical phenomena across scales. Wavelet analysis is introduced as a method to identify spatial structure in ecological transect data. The main advantage of the wavelet transform over other methods is its ability to preserve and display hierarchical information while allowing for pattern decomposition. Two applications of wavelet analysis are illustrated, as a means to: (1) quantify known spatial patterns in Douglas-fir forests at several scales, and (2) construct spatially-explicit hypotheses regarding pattern generating mechanisms. Application of the wavelet variance, derived from the wavelet transform, is developed for forest ecosystem analysis to obtain additional insight into spatially-explicit data. Specifically, the resolution capabilities of the wavelet variance are compared to the semi-variogram and Fourier power spectra for the description of spatial data using a set of one-dimensional stationary and non-stationary processes. The wavelet cross-covariance function is derived from the wavelet transform and introduced as a alternative method for the analysis of multivariate spatial data of understory vegetation and canopy in Douglas-fir forests of the western Cascades of Oregon.
Bradshaw, G. A.↗
Comparison of asteroid and meteorite spectra - Classification by principal component analysis
The spectra of 103 meteorites and 411 asteroids have been statistically compared via principal component analysis, in order to arrive at an overview of spectral similarities between and among asteroids and meteorites; the result is a map of statistically defined relative spectral similarities measured by distance. There is much more spectral variance in the meteorites than in the asteroids. The analysis indicates no direct meteorite analogs from the outer-belt B, D, F, P, and T type asteroids, indicating that only a limited portion of the inner asteroid belt is sampled by meteorites.
Britt, Daniel T.↗
Anisotropy and minimum variance directions of solar wind fluctuations in the outer heliosphere
Voyager 2 magnetic field and plasma data are examined over time intervals of 1 to 12 hours in the heliospheric range of 1 to 10 AU to study the evolution of the anisotropy of solar wind fluctuations. Consistent with previous results, the directions of minimum variance vectors of magnetic fluctuations are found to be close to the mean magnetic field direction with an increasing component along the field at larger scales. At large radial distances there is more spread in the minimum variance directions than at smaller radial distances. The power in smaller-scale fluctuations in the magnetic field components perpendicular to the local mean field B(0) is in the ratio of about 5:1 near 1 AU at the scale of 1 hour but decreases to about 3:1 further out. No evidence for selective enhancement of out-of-the-ecliptic components of fluctuations is found. In contrast to results for field fluctuations, analysis of velocity fluctuations shows that the minimum variance direction systematically remains more radially oriented and becomes increasingly less oriented along B(0) with increasing heliocentric distance. The velocity fluctuations are generally more isotropic than the magnetic fluctuations. The observations cannot be explained by a superposed wave picture, and thus are consistent with the view that nonlinear turbulent evolution is responsible for the anisotropy in the fluctuations.
Klein, Larry W.↗
Factor analytic reduction of the carotid-cardiac baroreflex parameters
An accepted method for measuring the responsiveness of the carotid-cardiac baroreflex to arterial pressure changes is to artificially stimulate the baroreceptors in the neck. This is accomplished by using a pressurized neck cuff which constricts and distends the carotid artery and subsequently stimulates the baroreceptors. Nine physiological responses to this type of stimulation are quantified and used as indicators of the baroreflex. Thirty male humans between the ages 27 and 46 underwent the carotid-cardiac baroreflex test. The data for the nine response parameters were analyzed by principle component factor analysis. The results of this analysis indicated that 93 percent of the total variance across all nine parameters could be explained in four dimensions. Examination of the factor loadings following an orthogonal rotation of the principle components indicated four well defined dimensions. The first two dimensions reflected location points for R-R interval and carotid distending pressure respectively. The third dimension was composed of measures reflecting the gain of the reflex. The fourth dimension was the ratio of the resting R-R interval to R-R interval during simulated hypertension. The data suggests that the analysis of all nine baroreflex parameters is redundant.
Ludwig, David A.↗
Evidence for equatorial Kelvin modes in Nimbus-7 LIMS
Equatorial Kelvin waves have emerged as an important source of westerly momentum for the tropical stratosphere. The present investigation is concerned with an analysis of remotely derived temperatures from Nimbus-7 LIMS (Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere). It is found that eastward propagating disturbances are present in two independent LIMS data sets. The disturbances manifest themselves consistently at several levels throughout the stratosphere and account for much of the tropical temperature variance out to latitudes where extratropical signals become large. Compelling evidence is found for several distinct phase velocities. Spectral analysis indicates isolated eastward variance at principally two frequencies for both wavenumbers.
Salby, M. L.↗
Centimeter, Millimeter, and Submillimeter Observations of Comet l03P/Hartley 2
The close approach (0.12 AU) of Comet 103P/Hartley 2 to the Earth only 8 days prior to perihelion provided a unique opportunity to probe the chemical composition of this object. Additionally, supporting data was acquired during the EPOXI (Extrasolar Planet Observation and Deep Impact Extended Investigation) flyby mission [1], which provided high resolution infrared spectra and images. Observations were conducted from four facilities, contributing to the large ground-based consortium organized in support of the EPOXI mission [2]. The Arizona Radio Observatory's 12m telescope, Kitt Peak, AZ, and Submillimeter telescope, Mt. Graham, AZ, as well as the James Clerk Maxwell Telescope, Mauna Kea, HI and the Greenbank 100m telescope, Greenbank, WV, were employed for this study covering 20 cm, 3 cm, and 0.8-3 mm. Data were obtained, collectively, from 12 October 2010 to 5 November 2010 [3]. HCN, CH3OH, H2CO, HNC, OH, and CS were detected, and upper limits on the abundance of H2S, SO2, c-C3H2, and deuterated isotopologues of HCN, H2CO, and H2O were measured. Upper limits on the D/H ratio derived from DCN gave D/H less than 0.01[3]. Detailed analysis of these data will help constrain the temperature, abundances, variance or periodicity of a given species, and can be compared to results from other comets, as well as support the data obtained from the EPOXI mission. The full analysis and comparison will be presented.
Milam, Stefanie N.↗
Study of LANDSAT-D thematic mapper performance as applied to hydrocarbon exploration
Analysis of the tapes of the Detroit, Michigan scene, which were received in fully processed format with geometric and radiometric correction, shows evidence of an along line data slip every sixteenth line in TM channel 2. Very large scale products were therefore generated in false color using channels 1, 3, and 4. Subjective evaluation of these enhanced scenes indicates that they are acceptable for interpretation at scales up to 1:50,000 and should be useful for change mapping probably up to 1:24,000 scale. The significant striping visible in water bodies for both the natural color and false color products indicates that the detector calibration is probably performing below the preflight specification. Variance-covariance matrices were computed and principal component analysis were performed for a set of 512 x 512 windows within the Arkansas scene. Initial analysis shows the shortwave infrared channels (TM 5 and 6) are a highly significant data source. The thermal channel (TM 7) shows negative correlation with TM 1 through 4.
Source record↗
Sequential estimation of observation error variances in a trajectory estimation problem.
Sequential trajectory estimation improved by implementing simple running estimates of observation error variances
TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS↗
A Standardized Analysis Process Using Digital Image Correlation to Calculate In Situ Cladding Strain from Modified Burst Tests for Fuel Performance Code Validation
Historical data collection on nuclear fuel cladding materials has focused on generating a statistically significant amount of data to assess the material and its failure behavior. Furthermore, data generated to support material model and failure criteria development were previously posttest evaluations, so a large number of tests was required to gain new understanding. A way to expedite this process is to develop techniques capable of generating large, high-fidelity data sets from a single test with lower uncertainty or quantified uncertainty. One such example of this approach is Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s use of modified burst tests (MBTs) to analyze the mechanical behavior and failure conditions of cladding during a simulated reactivity-initiated accident (RIA). Each test incorporates digital image correlation (DIC) analysis techniques that are used to assess the accumulated strain in situ, as well as eventual cladding failure. This work has been fruitful in defining strain-to-failure conditions for materials like silicon carbide (SiC) fiber–reinforced/SiC matrix composite tubes (SiC/SiC), iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) alloy tubes, and chromium-coated Zircaloy-4 tubes. However, there are numerous DIC software available, including open-source and proprietary software. The different DIC software use various algorithms to process images and calculate displacement values. Using these different software and algorithms can lead to varying results, and perhaps larger-than-expected uncertainties. In the present study, previously published MBT data encompassing a variety of test conditions were reanalyzed with two different DIC software to assess the variance in the calculated strain results. The data consisted of SiC/SiC, FeCrAl, and chromium-coated Zircaloy-4 tubes. Plots of the calculated strains during the transient revealed good agreement between the two DIC software. The average root-mean-square errors between the two software was 0.20% strain, which is slightly larger than a previously reported error value for these tests. In conclusion, this variance in results is low enough that this analysis method can be used for code validation.
Reactivity-initiated accident↗
On the error in crop acreage estimation using satellite (LANDSAT) data
The problem of crop acreage estimation using satellite data is discussed. Bias and variance of a crop proportion estimate in an area segment obtained from the classification of its multispectral sensor data are derived as functions of the means, variances, and covariance of error rates. The linear discriminant analysis and the class proportion estimation for the two class case are extended to include a third class of measurement units, where these units are mixed on ground. Special attention is given to the investigation of mislabeling in training samples and its effect on crop proportion estimation. It is shown that the bias and variance of the estimate of a specific crop acreage proportion increase as the disparity in mislabeling rates between two classes increases. Some interaction is shown to take place, causing the bias and the variance to decrease at first and then to increase, as the mixed unit class varies in size from 0 to 50 percent of the total area segment.
Chhikara, R.↗
Toward the application of the Kalman filter to regional open ocean modeling
A partial differential equation model is defined for ocean meteorological prediction and synoptic analysis. The Kalman filter used for data assimilation is described and applied to the one-dimensional linear barotropic quasi-geostrophic model with periodic and open boundary conditions. The model accounts for eddy scale dynamics in the ocean. The assumptions made in the forecast model are discussed, along with comparisons of the error variances expected with the filter and from an objective analysis method. The effectiveness of the Kalman filter is demonstrated and subsequent efforts to extend the filter to two dimensions are indicated.
Miller, R. N.↗
UV–Vis–NIR Reflectance Spectroscopy and Chemometrics for Monitoring Pu Directly on an Ion Exchange Column
Here, we present a fiber-optic UV–vis–NIR reflectance spectroscopy method for direct, noninvasive monitoring of Pu(IV) in a glass ion exchange column during dynamic loading and elution in a glovebox. A movable probe enables spatially resolved spectral acquisition along the column axis, capturing distinct features associated with Pu(IV) nitrate complexes during loading and free ions during elution. Principal component analysis was applied to extract the dominant spectral variance and resolve relative concentration profiles without requiring precise knowledge of optical penetration depth or species identity. This in situ approach reveals spatial gradients and speciation dynamics in real time, which provides actionable insight into Pu(IV) ion migration, resin saturation, and breakthrough behavior under evolving flow conditions. The method offers a practical, fiber-compatible strategy to monitor glass column–based separations for Pu and other lanthanides or actinides and to characterize metal–resin interactions in flow-through systems.
actinide↗
Applied recursive estimation problems and techniques
Semiwideband and adaptive noise variance recursive estimation techniques applicable to spacecraft trajectory analysis
Dennis, A. R.↗
Evaluation of Skylab IB sensitivity to on-pad winds with turbulence
Computer simulation was performed to estimate displacements and bending moments experienced by the SKYLAB 1B vehicle on the launch pad due to atmospheric winds. The vehicle was assumed to be a beam-like structure represented by a finite number of generalized coordinates. Wind flow across the vehicle was treated as a nonhomogeneous, stationary random process. Response computations were performed by the assumption of simple strip theory and application of generalized harmonic analysis. Displacement and bending moment statistics were obtained for six vehicle propellant loading conditions and four representative reference wind profile and turbulence levels. Means, variances and probability distributions are presented graphically for each case. A separate analysis was performed to indicate the influence of wind gradient variations on vehicle response statistics.
Coffin, T.↗
Scintillation statistics measured in an earth-space-earth retroreflector link
Scintillation was measured in a vertical path from a ground-based laser transmitter to the Geos 3 satellite and back to a ground-based receiver telescope and, the experimental results were compared with analytical results presented in a companion paper (Bufton, 1977). The normalized variance, the probability density function and the power spectral density of scintillation were all measured. Moments of the satellite scintillation data in terms of normalized variance were lower than expected. The power spectrum analysis suggests that there were scintillation components at frequencies higher than the 250 Hz bandwidth available in the experiment.
Bufton, J. L.↗