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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Mitigation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at a large public university

In Fall 2020, universities saw extensive transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among their populations, threatening health of the university and surrounding communities, and viability of in-person instruction. Here we report a case study at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, where a multimodal “SHIELD: Target, Test, and Tell” program, with other non-pharmaceutical interventions, was employed to keep classrooms and laboratories open. The program included epidemiological modeling and surveillance, fast/frequent testing using a novel low-cost and scalable saliva-based RT-qPCR assay for SARS-CoV-2 that bypasses RNA extraction, called covidSHIELD, and digital tools for communication and compliance. In Fall 2020, we performed >1,000,000 covidSHIELD tests, positivity rates remained low, we had zero COVID-19-related hospitalizations or deaths amongst our university community, and mortality in the surrounding Champaign County was reduced more than 4-fold relative to expected. This case study shows that fast/frequent testing and other interventions mitigated transmission of SARS-CoV-2 at a large public university.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Python catemis package for DARHT Axis-II Dispenser-Cathode Emissivity and Temperature Analysis

The catemis python package includes the analysis methods used in paper "DARHT Axis-II Dispenser-Cathode Emissivity and Temperature", which was presented at the 2021 Weapons Engineering Symposium and Journal (WESJ) hosted by Los Alamos National Laboratory. The paper (LA-UR-21-25647) and presentation (LA-UR-21-28231) report on a temperature and emissivity model that has been developed and applied to data from diagnostics used to measure the surface temperature of the DARHT Axis-II hot dispenser cathode over more than a decade of operation. The catemis package provides all the methods used in reporting these results along with the data files used to create the plots and tables in the paper. This includes methods for loading and processing FAR spectral pyrometer data along with methods for temperature calibration of cathode images.

Koglin, Jason↗
DOE OSTI2024

XFOL FY25 Omega 3 pager [Slides]

The XFOL campaign is continuing to study radiation flow in stochastic media. Purpose: Simultaneously measure the ionization state of the background and inclusions of a binary stochastic media using the COAX/OUTI diagnostic. Motivation: Radflow is stochastic media is of wide, growing interest and COAX is a new powerful diagnostic that can characterize the radflow physics and validate codes, models, and their underlying assumptions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Validation of edge turbulence codes against the TCV-X21 diverted L-mode reference case

Self-consistent full-size turbulent-transport simulations of the divertor and scrape-off-layer (SOL) of existing tokamaks have recently become feasible. This enables the direct comparison of turbulence simulations against experimental measurements. In this work, we perform a series of diverted ohmic L-mode discharges on the tokamak à configuration variable (TCV) tokamak, building a first-of-a-kind dataset for the validation of edge turbulence models. This dataset, referred to as TCV-X21, contains measurements from five diagnostic systems from the outboard midplane (OMP) to the divertor targets—giving a total of 45 one- and two-dimensional comparison observables in two toroidal magnetic field directions. The experimental dataset is used to validate three flux-driven 3D fluid-turbulence models—GBS, GRILLIX and TOKAM3X. With each model, we perform simulations of the TCV-X21 scenario, individually tuning the particle and power source rates to achieve a reasonable match of the upstream separatrix value of density and electron temperature. We find that the simulations match the experimental profiles for most observables at the OMP—both in terms of profile shape and absolute magnitude—while a comparatively poorer agreement is found towards the divertor targets. The match between simulation and experiment is seen to be sensitive to the value of the resistivity, the heat conductivities, the power injection rate and the choice of sheath boundary conditions. Additionally, despite targeting a sheath-limited regime, the discrepancy between simulations and experiment also suggests that the neutral dynamics should be included. The results of this validation show that turbulence models are able to perform simulations of existing devices and achieve reasonable agreement with experimental measurements. Where disagreement is found, the validation helps to identify how the models can be improved. By publicly releasing the experimental dataset and validation analysis, this work should help to guide and accelerate the development of predictive turbulence simulations of the edge and SOL.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing the reliability of medical resource demand models in the context of COVID-19

Abstract Background Numerous medical resource demand models have been created as tools for governments or hospitals, aiming to predict the need for crucial resources like ventilators, hospital beds, personal protective equipment (PPE), and diagnostic kits during crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the reliability of these demand models remains uncertain. Methods Demand models typically consist of two main components: hospital use epidemiological models that predict hospitalizations or daily admissions, and a demand calculator that translates the outputs of the epidemiological model into predictions for resource usage. We conducted separate analyses to evaluate each of these components. In the first analysis, we validated various hospital use epidemiological models using a recent validation framework designed for epidemiological models. This allowed us to quantify the accuracy of the models in predicting critical aspects such as the date and magnitude of local COVID-19 peaks, among other factors. In the second analysis, we evaluated a range of demand calculators for ventilators, medical gowns, and COVID-19 test kits. To achieve this, we decoupled these demand calculators from the underlying epidemiological models and provided ground truth data for their inputs. This approach enabled a direct comparison of the demand calculators, comparing them against each other and actual usage data when available. The code is available athttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13712387. Results Performance varied greatly across the epidemiological models, with greater variability in COVID-19 hospital use predictions than for COVID-19 deaths as analyzed previously. Some models did not have any peaks. Among those that did, the models under-estimated date of peak approximately as often as they over-estimated, but were more likely to under-estimate magnitude of peak, with typical relative errors around 50%. Regarding demand calculator predictions, there was significant variability, including five-fold differences in predictions for gown models. Validation against actual or surrogate usage data illustrated the potential value of demand models while demonstrating their limitations. Conclusions The emerging field of demand modeling holds promise in averting medical resource shortages during future public health emergencies. However, achieving this potential necessitates focused efforts on standardization, transparency, and rigorous model validation before placing reliance on demand models in critical public health decision-making.

Medical Informatics↗
DOE OSTI2021

A mathematical framework for ejecta cloud dynamics with application to source models and piezoelectric mass measurements

We present a mathematical framework for describing the dynamical evolution of an ejecta cloud generated by a generic ejecta source model. We consider a piezoelectric sensor fielded in the path of an ejecta cloud, for experimental configurations in which the ejecta are created at a singly shocked planar surface and fly ballistically through vacuum to the stationary sensor. To do so, we introduce the concept of a time- and velocity-dependent ejecta “areal mass function.” We derive expressions for the analytic (“true”) accumulated ejecta areal mass at the sensor and the measured (“inferred”) value obtained via the standard method for analyzing piezoelectric voltages. In this way, we derive an exact expression and upper bound for the error imposed upon a piezoelectric ejecta mass measurement (in a perfect system) by the assumption of instantaneous creation, which is commonly required for momentum diagnostic analyses. This error term is zero for truly instantaneous source models; otherwise, the standard piezoelectric analysis is guaranteed to overestimate the true mass. When combined with a piezoelectric dataset, this framework provides a unique solution for the ejecta particle velocity distribution, subject to the assumptions inherent in the data analysis. The framework also leads to strong boundary conditions that any ejecta source model must satisfy in order to be consistent with apparently global properties of piezoelectric measurements from a wide range of experiments. We demonstrate this methodology by applying it to the Richtmyer–Meshkov instability+self-similar velocity distribution ejecta source model currently under development at Los Alamos National Laboratory.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Filamentation and focusing of electron beams due to interactions with plasma waves

Results of numerical modeling of the interaction of an electron beam propagating across relativistic plasma waves indicate that electron beam filamentation and focusing may occur under certain conditions. The model is based on solving the relativistic equation of motion in three dimensions for the individual electrons in a tenuous Gaussian beam, as they pass through a relativistic plasma wave. Several electron beam and plasma wave parameters were varied, and the results are summarized. One of the results is that the spacing of the electron beam filaments correlates with the wavelength of the plasma wave. The electron beam filaments appear as vertical slabs after the beam exits the plasma waves. The electron beam also compresses to a focus after it exits the plasma, and the focal distance depends on several parameters including the electron beam energy and phase velocity of the relativistic plasma wave. It is suggested that these focusing and filamentation phenomena may be the basis for diagnostics schemes for laser plasma interactions. The parameters used in the model were electron beam energies in the 5–50 keV range and plasma wave properties typical for the beat-wave produced by CO2 lasers, which correspond to the facilities available in our laboratory. The limitations of these results to lower energy density beam and plasma regimes and to higher energy density regimes will be discussed.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

View factor estimation of hot spot velocities in inertial confinement fusion implosions at the National Ignition Facility

nertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) suffer from asymmetries in thex-ray drive that degrade capsule performance compared to expectations for a symmetric one-dimensional implosion.Mode 1, or pole-to-pole, drive asymmetry can reduce confinement and implosion efficiency, driving a bulk motion ofthe hot spot that is detectable with neutron diagnostics. Understanding and removing sources of mode 1 asymmetry inICF implosions is important for improving performance, and the three-dimensional nature of the problem makes high-resolution radiation-hydrodynamic modeling extremely computationally expensive. This work describes a reducedorder view factor model that calculates the drive asymmetry induced by beam-to-beam variations in laser delivery andhohlraum diagnostic windows along the equator. Capsule response is estimated by coupling to a Green’s function thatrelates final hot spot velocity to the applied time-varying mode 1 asymmetry. The model makes several predictionsabout the impact of mode 1 drivers such as laser delivery and target misalignment, and achieves good agreementin both magnitude and vector direction for several shots in three families of high-performance platforms. However,notable discrepancies suggest other potential sources of mode 1 asymmetry not captured by the model are also at play

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Experiments and simulations of isochorically heated warm dense carbon foam at the Texas Petawatt Laser

An experimental and simulation study of warm dense carbon foams at ambient density (n e ~10 21 cm –3 ) is presented. This study of isochorically heated foams is motivated by their potential application in carbon-atmosphere white-dwarf envelopes, where there are modeling uncertainties due to the equation of state. The foams are heated on an approximately picosecond time scale with a laser-accelerated proton beam. The cooling and expansion of the heated foams can be modeled with appropriately initialized radiation-hydrodynamics codes; xRAGE code is used in this work. The primary experimental diagnostic is the streaked optical pyrometer, which images a narrow band of radiation from the rear surface of the heated material. Presented are xRAGE modeling results for both solid aluminum targets and carbonized resorcinol-formaldehyde foam targets, showing that the foam appears to cool slowly on the pyrometer because of partial transparency. So that simulations of cooling foam are processed properly, it is necessary to account for finite optical depth in the photosphere calculation, and the methods for performing that calculation are presented in depth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Identification of Plasma Current Center by Neural Network Inference in EAST

For the efficient and safe operation of experimental advanced superconducting tokamak (EAST), it is necessary to accurately identify and control the plasma current and its central position. In this article, neural network is used to identify the position of the plasma current center. The model trained by the basic back-propagation neural network can well match the relationship between the electromagnetic diagnostic signals and plasma current center positions. Both noisy simulation data and experimental data are applied to train and test the neural network inference model. Adding 0.1% noise to the training data is proven to improve the noise immunity of the inference model. Basic neural networks trained with both noisy simulation data and actual experimental data show good results with sufficient inputs; however, in both cases, the performance degrades significantly when only the poloidal field coil currents are given as inputs. For this kind of time-series problem, the dynamic neural network containing delay and feedback architecture is introduced, and an improved model requiring much fewer inputs is trained and tested for current center inference. Furthermore, some parameters of this model are compared and analyzed in this article. With suitable neural network architecture, the mapping between the controlled variables (poloidal field coil currents) and response variables (plasma current center) can be well-established.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Towards a Stronger Foundation: Digitizing Commercial Buildings with Brick to Enable Portable Advanced Applications

Most large commercial buildings have digital controls for their heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) and lighting systems with the potential to implement advanced control strategies and data analytics. However, advanced control strategies and data analytics are rarely deployed at scale due to non-standard naming conventions and heterogenous building configurations. Semantic metadata standards, like Brick, show promise to proliferate these applications across many buildings, but they have not been widely adopted by industry due to barriers such as perceived risk and unfamiliarity with the technology. This paper describes the workflow we established and evaluated while using it to develop over ten Brick models of existing buildings. Through this process, we observed that digitizing existing commercial buildings is a cost and labor-intensive effort in which understanding the buildings’ data streams is the major bottleneck. Yet, we conclude this investment is worthwhile since various use case applications such as fault detection and diagnostics, thermal comfort analysis, and HVAC control optimization can utilize the same Brick model. The paper also explores the challenges and lessons learned we encountered while creating these data models, such as: 1) difficulties in finding metadata descriptions and relationships for existing buildings; 2) handling missing concepts in the schema needed to model a building; 3) lack of guidance on how to structure the data model or how much detail to include; 4) unfamiliarity with technologies, which makes the learning curve steep for applications developers. Finally, we also describe future directions for semantic metadata research and development to make such transformative technologies more accessible to practitioners.

Roa, Carlos Duarte↗
DOE OSTI2019

Single-Shot Diagnostics of Microbunched Electrons in Laser-Driven Plasma Accelerators and Free-Electron Lasers

aThe need for single-shot diagnostics of the periodic longitudinal density modulation of relativistic electrons at the resonant wavelength (microbunching) in a free-electron laser (FEL) or at broadband visible wavelengths as in a laser-driven plasma accelerator (LPA) has been reaffirmed. In the self-amplified spontaneous emission (SASE) FEL case, statistical fluctuations in the microbunching occur in the startup- from-noise process. In the LPA, the plasma itself is chaotic and varies shot to shot. Fortunately, we have shown that coherent optical transition radiation (COTR) techniques, can assess beam size, divergence, spectral evolution, and z-dependent gain (100,000) of microbunched electrons in a past SASE FEL experiment at 530 nm*. Recently, the application to LPAs has been demonstrated with single-shot near-field (NF) and far-field (FF) COTR imaging done at the exit of an LPA for the first time**. In this case few-micron beam sizes and extensive fringes due to su b-mrad divergences were measured based on point-spread-function effects and an analytical model for COTR interferometry (COTRI), respectively. A new COTR-based diagnostics application to pre-bunched electron beams formed by co-propagating a laser pulse and the electron pulse in a short undulator (modulator) is also described.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Synchronization of Alternative Models in a Supermodel and the Learning of Critical Behavior

“Supermodeling” climate by allowing different models to assimilate data from one another in run time has been shown to give results superior to those of any one model and superior to any weighted average of model outputs. The only free parameters, connection strengths between corresponding variables in each pair of models, are determined using some form of machine learning. It is demonstrated that supermodeling succeeds because near critical states, interscale interactions are important but unresolved processes cannot be effectively represented diagnostically in any single parameterization scheme. In two examples, a pair of toy quasigeostrophic (QG) channel models of the midlatitudes and a pair of ECHAM5 models of the tropical Pacific atmosphere with a common ocean, supermodels dynamically combine parameterization schemes so as to capture criticality, associated critical structures, and the supporting scale interactions. The QG supermodeling scheme extends a previous configuration in which two such models synchronize with intermodel connections only between medium-scale components of the flow; here the connections are trained against a third “real” model. Intermittent blocking patterns characterize the critical behavior thus obtained, even where such patterns are missing in the constituent models. In the ECHAM-based climate supermodel, the corresponding critical structure is the single ITCZ pattern, a pattern that occurs in neither of the constituent models. In conclusion, for supermodels of both types, power spectra indicate enhanced interscale interactions in frequency or energy ranges of physical interest, in agreement with observed data, and supporting a generalized form of the self-organized criticality hypothesis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A human-in-the-loop explanation framework for morphologically transparent AI predictions from whole-slide images

Deep learning models enable the prediction of clinical endpoints from whole-slide images (WSIs), but many such models function as “black boxes”, lacking transparency about whether and which histomorphological patterns drive their predictions, hindering interpretability and clinical adoption. Here we propose a human-in-the-loop explanation framework, MorphoXAI, which provides both local and global interpretability for deep learning models by incorporating human-expert interpretations. At the global level, it reveals the histomorphological patterns on which the model consistently relies to distinguish between classes of WSIs, as well as the patterns associated with confusion between classes. At the local level, it indicates which of these patterns are used in the prediction of an individual WSI and which regions within the slide correspond to such patterns. We validated our method across multiple deep learning–based WSI analysis tasks spanning different tissue types. The results show that our framework generates explanations that accurately reflect the histomorphology underlying the model’s predictions at both global and local levels. For interpretability and clinical utility in diagnostic contexts, human evaluation results showed that our explanations were easy to interpret, rich in diagnostic features, and directly helpful for diagnostic decision-making, thereby enhancing pathologist-AI collaboration. Our work highlights that unifying global and local explanations and grounding them in expert-interpreted morphology enhances the interpretability and verifiability of deep learning models, thereby facilitating the transparent deployment of such models in clinical practice.

Lou, Peiliang↗
DOE OSTI2024

Status of the Spallation Neutron Source beam test facility and progress of beam dynamics studies

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) Beam Test Facility (BTF) supports the study of beam dynamics in the front end of a high power LINAC. The BTF combines a replica of the SNS front end, including nearly-identical ion source, RFQ and MEBT, with extensive phase space diagnostics and a FODO transport line. Diagnostic capabilities include direct measurement of 6D phase space distribution and detection of halo distributions to a sensitivity of greater than one part-per-million. The goal of on-going BTF studies is to demonstrate accurate particle-in-cell modeling of halo growth and evolution by leveraging unprecedented accuracy in the description of the initial beam distribution. This work is motivated by operational experience at the SNS, which currently operates with beam loss that cannot be described by any model. This paper summarizes progress in the BTF beam study program as well as diagnostics development and recent upgrades to the beamline configuration.

Ruisard, Kiersten↗
DOE OSTI2025

System Engineers and Decisions: It?s All about Knowledge

In order to guarantee that a system meets adequate levels of reliability and availability, system performances are continuously monitored and analyzed thanks to the technological advancements driving the Industry 4.0 revolution. An Industry 4.0 approach is typically based on advanced statistical, big data mining, machine learning, and internet-of-things methods designed to detect anomalies in the behavior of system, detect the most likely failure modes, and provide indications to system engineers on when maintenance activities should be performed before system performance are deemed unacceptable (which can be generated by diagnostic and prognostic methods). However, these analyses, which are designed to automatize and increase the efficacy of the system maintenance program, require large amount of data which can come in various forms: numeric, textual, images, sounds etc. Such data constitutes the historic knowledge benchmark to track system performances and support system engineer decisions. Here we claim that data is not sufficient to support this kind of analyses when applied to systems characterized by complex architectures and behaviors. Robust system engineer decisions require the ability to understand the system operational context that lies behind the observed data elements. In this respect, system models are in fact necessary to “put data in context” and capture relationships between data elements. Industry 4.0 methods require in fact contextual knowledge as a basis upon which hypotheses can be generated and assumptions tested. In our view, for complex systems, model-based system engineering (MBSE) models can afford this contextual knowledge, as they are typically used to describe systems architecture and dynamic behaviors. System knowledge is here intended as the blending of collected data and system architecture which takes the form of a “knowledge graph”. A knowledge graph is a database which consists of a large set of nodes (in our case an entity can be either a data or an MBSE element) which are linked to each other. The types of nodes and links follow a pre-defined topology, sometimes also refers as an ontology, that is designed to fit the actual decisions that needs to be performed. We show here how a knowledge graph can be defined to support system engineer maintenance decisions and how the same graph can be built based on system MBSE models and pre-processed data from numeric (through anomaly detections and diagnostic methods) and textual elements (through technical language processing TLP).

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Diagnosing the DARHT Electron Beam-Target Interaction and Hydrodynamic Expansion [Dissertation]

Quantitative electron beam-target interaction studies on the Dual-Axis Radiographic Hydrodynamic Test (DARHT) electron linear induction accelerators have only been performed recently. This includes characterization of the temperature, density, pressure, extent, and expansion velocity of the plasma plume. The results presented in this dissertation present a detailed and unified overview of the accelerator systems, target heating physics, beam transport, and diagnostic tools. Additional information includes calibration sources, radiation hydrodynamics, spectroscopic-quality radiation transport modeling, experimental measurements, and analyses of electron beam driven aluminum experiments. The first set of spatially and temporally resolved spectroscopic measurements of electron beam driven aluminum are presented. Contamination quantification analyses are used to understand the origin of the strong Na-I 3p-3s lines that are observed in absorption within the aluminum plasma continuum. These results inform the creation of the first spectroscopic-quality radiation transport model that links several atomic physics codes to interpret the conditions from which the Na-I lines originate. A good agreement is found between the surface analysis results and the model which confirms the concentration of the sodium present within the aluminum alloy foil material. It also demonstrates, for the first time on electron beam-driven target experiments, the ability to interpret plasma conditions from measured absorption lines. In a second experimental campaign which focuses on pure aluminum, the Al-I 3p-4s and 3p3d doublets are both measured in emission. A detailed analysis of the Al-I 3p-4s doublet reveals that the lines undergo moderate self-absorption. A simple model of the self-absorption effect is successfully used to match measured spectra at various temperature/density/plasma scale length combinations. These measurements led to the realization of the minimum density that can be resolved by the spectrometers for the Al-I 3p-4s lines due to the large slit width required to observe a signal on aluminum. These measurements also demonstrate the sensitivity of visible and long wave UV spectroscopy to minor changes in both temperature and density. The simple self-absorption model will be useful for analysis of other beam-target interaction experiments with spectra exhibiting either self-absorption or full self-reversal. Substantial headway has been made on the modeling front by linking together several codes needed to model both the energy deposition, hydrodynamic motion, and atomic kinetics to produce synthetic spectral calculations that are compared with experimental measurements. There exists ample space for improvement, especially with benchmarking the hydrodynamics codes and equation-of-state tables with experimental measurements. The X-ray diagnostics required to make these new measurements along with the simulation capabilities required to interpret the results are under development and will be the subject of future studies.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Production of Heavy α -Elements and 44 Ti in Cas A: Comparison to Abundances from 1D Core-collapse Supernova Models and Evidence for Carbon–Oxygen Shell Mergers

The merger between the carbon (C) and oxygen (O) shells hours to days before the collapse of a massive star significantly changes its nucleosynthesis, which is reflected in the elemental ratios observed in supernova remnants (SNRs). We present a nucleosynthesis study of 44 Ti production in core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe), highlighting large silicon (Si), sulfur (S), calcium (Ca), and, most importantly, argon (Ar) to neon (Ne) ratios as diagnostics for carbon–oxygen (C–O) shell mergers. We compare yields from eight different sets of CCSNe models to observations of Cassiopeia A (Cas A), and show that C–O shell mergers are consistently the models that best match X-ray and infrared observations. These models produce high Ar/Ne ratios (≳0.1), due to 20 Ne depletion and production of 36 Ar and 38 Ar, while lower ratios are obtained from nonmerger cases. Based on the Ar/Ne diagnostic, we compare the range of expected 44 Ti produced by C–O shell mergers, which is up to ∼20%–30% of the overall 44 Ti, but expected to be located outside the reverse shock. Based on the sets of models considered, the photon flux expected from the 44 Ti synthesized in the C–O shell merger in Cas A is below the NuSTAR and COSI detection limits, compatible with current limits locating most of the 44 Ti interior to the reverse shock, but might be detectable from proposed missions like ASCENT. Finally, for the SNR of 1987A, a dominant C–O merger origin of the observed 44 Ti is unlikely based on the observed redshift in its 44 Ti line.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗