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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2024

Description of FY25 Theory and Simulation Performance Target: Development of an integrated modeling framework for fusion reactor design and assessment

The urgency to deliver fusion power is growing now more than ever, with increasing pressure for both public programs and private companies to meet milestones timelines and overcome significant remaining technical challenges to ensure growth of a nascent fusion industry in time to meet rapidly growing clean energy demands. With incredible advancements in computation and years of investment in fusion model development and validation, integrated modeling is poised to fill a key role in accelerating the timeline to a fusion pilot plant (FPP). Future fusion pilot plants will operate in regimes far beyond current experience, and device design will rely on physics-based prediction and extrapolation. Many concepts will also rely on simulation to assess safety (shielding, tritium management, materials activation and lifetimes), economics and scalability before the decision to build. Importantly, integrated simulation can be used to reveal and solve the complexities of system integration that may otherwise not be apparent in physical components or models developed in isolation. New experimental test facilities that produce relevant conditions to validate and resolve key technical challenges for various subsystems (materials, blankets, fuel cycle, etc.) have been repeatedly called for by the fusion community but are not yet realized. Integrated modeling has an important role in identifying realistic load conditions (thermal, electromagnetic, plasma, neutron and photon loads, etc.) and defining the components and experiments for these test facilities in order to ensure meaningful validation that sufficiently reduces modeling uncertainties and technical risk for the full integrated reactor. The Fusion REactor Design and Assessment (FREDA) SciDAC project is building a component-based integrated modeling framework & data structure to enable self-consistent, multi-fidelity, iterative optimization workflows for the fusion reactor design process. FREDA aims to shorten the time to viable designs by providing a set of flexible workflows to support the various stages of the design process using an integrated model hierarchy, ranging from the simple analytic descriptions to the highest fidelity, theory-based plasma and engineering modeling developed by the fusion and fission communities. These tools are expected to be needed for timely support of FPP design in the milestone program and in the FIRE collaboratives. The plasma simulation backbone of FREDA is IPS-FASTRAN with newly developed coupled Core-Edge Pedestal-SOL (CESOL) workflows, which is being extended to the far-SOL region up to the plasma facing components. FREDA incorporates the FERMI engineering modeling suite and will enable self-consistent evaluation of the thermal shields, limiters, blanket, magnets, and other surrounding structures with predictions of temperatures, erosion, dpa, activation, tritium generation and transport, creep, corrosion, material degradation, etc. Parametric generation of 3D CAD enables rapid iteration of component geometry in response to plasma and loading specifications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Non-Electricity Based Renewable Fuels: Theory and Computation for Solar Thermochemical Hydrogen

Dominated by photovoltaics and wind, current renewable energy sources generate mostly electricity, but 80% of the global final energy consumption occurs in form of fuels. Therefore, direct solar fuel generation would be a major breakthrough for the energy transition. Solar thermochemical hydrogen (STCH) is one of the very few potential routes towards scalable renewable fuels, but currently suffers from lack of an oxide working material that could optimally perform energy conversion within the thermodynamic boundary conditions. Theory and computation can contribute in two distinct ways, through materials search and discovery, but also by providing detailed mechanistic models for specific systems so to advance our understanding of possible design strategies. To enable high-throughput materials screening, we developed a defect graph neural network (dGNN) machine learning approach,[1] which accelerates the prediction of defect formation energies by replacing the tedious density functional theory (DFT) supercell calculations for all possible defect sites. This approach enables high-throughput database screening of oxides, which was integrated with thermodynamic modeling to extract the reduction entropies as additional selection criterion for STCH. Once potential candidate materials are identified, detailed models can guide materials design by predicting performance characteristics. One challenge is to quantitatively predict thermochemical equilibria at high concentrations when the redox active defects start to interact with each other, thereby impeding the formation of additional defects. Introducing a model for the free energy of defect interaction, parametrized on the basis of DFT data, we simulated the complete STCH redox cycle for (Sr,Ce)MnO3 alloys, achieving near-quantitative agreement with experimental data.[2] The analysis of these simulations reveals how defect interactions diminish the reduction entropy and H2 yield, suggesting to include these interactions in design considerations. Finally, we revisit the popular van't Hoff method for analyzing reduction enthalpies and entropies. This method is not ideal, as it involves a temperature-dependent convolution of gas-phase and solid-state entropies, causing uncertainties in the same order of magnitude as the physical quantities of interest. To avoid this problem, we suggest a simple alternative approach which can be applied to experimental and simulated data alike.

first-principles calculations↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nuclear Materials Packaging, Transportation, and Systems Analysis Group Software Quality Assurance Plan: ANSYS Mechanical Finite Element Analysis Software Version 2023R1

ANSYS Inc. develops and markets engineering simulation software and services used in the aerospace, automotive, manufacturing, electronics, biomedical, energy, defense, and many other industries. ANSYS is dedicated to engineering simulation and is the world’s leading software provider. ANSYS was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania. ANSYS provides an engineering analysis tool combining structural, thermal, computational fluid dynamics, acoustic, and electromagnetic simulation capabilities. ANSYS has two main programs, which use the same solvers: (1) Mechanical APDL (ANSYS Design Parametric Language), a Fortran-based coding platform, and (2) ANSYS Workbench, which uses a graphical user interface to aid in finite element analysis implementation. This plan covers both APDL and Workbench. The ANSYS computer program is a large-scale, multipurpose finite element program that can be used to solve several classes of engineering analyses. The analysis capabilities of ANSYS include the ability to solve static and dynamic structural analyses, steady-state and transient heat transfer problems, mode-frequency and buckling eigenvalue problems, static or time-varying magnetic analyses, and various types of field and coupled-field applications. The program contains many special features that allow nonlinearities or secondary effects such as plasticity, large strain, hyperelasticity, creep, swelling, large deflections, contact, stress stiffening, temperature dependency, material anisotropy, and radiation to be included in the solution. As ANSYS has been developed, other special capabilities such as substructuring, submodeling, random vibration, kinetostatics, kinetodynamics, free convection fluid analysis, acoustics, magnetics, piezoelectrics, coupled-field analysis, and design optimization have been added to the program. These capabilities contribute further to making ANSYS a multipurpose analysis tool for varied engineering disciplines. The ANSYS program has been in commercial use for over 50 years and has been used extensively in the aerospace, automotive, construction, electronic, energy services, manufacturing, nuclear, plastics, oil, and steel industries. Additionally, many consulting firms and hundreds of universities have used ANSYS for analysis, research, and educational purposes. ANSYS is recognized worldwide as one of the most widely used and capable programs of its type. Ansys design analysis software is the first created within a quality system with ISO 9001 certification, the internationally accepted quality standard. Product development, testing, maintenance and support processes also meet the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission's quality requirements, as they have for nearly four decades. The Quality Assurance Service Agreement is suitable for the customers working in the nuclear industry who need to meet specific federal regulations including 10CRF50 Appendix B and provisions of 10CFR21. ANSYS has retained its original International Organization for Standardization (ISO) 9001 accreditation certificate since1995-05-04, It’s current certificate is valid until 2027-05-29.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sorption Enhanced Mixed Matrix Membranes for Hydrogen (H 2 ) Purification and Carbon Dioxide (CO 2 ) Capture

The technical objective of this project was to develop sorption enhanced mixed matrix membranes with H 2 permeance of 500 gas permeance units (GPU) and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 30 at 150-200 °C. These membranes will be the central component in the design of membrane based systems for 90% capture of CO 2 from coal-derived syngas, with 95% CO 2 purity at a cost of electricity 30% less than baseline capture approaches. The unique approach in this proposal is to design crosslinked polymers containing Pd-based nanoparticles achieving strong H 2 sorption and size sieving ability and thus H 2 /CO 2 selectivity. The specific objectives for each budget period (BP) are described below. BP 1: Identify polymer matrix with strong size sieving ability and palladium (Pd)-containing nanomaterials to prepare freestanding mixed matrix films with H 2 permeability of 50 Barrer and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 30 at 150-200°C with simulated syngas. BP 2: Prepare and optimize thin film mixed matrix composite membranes materials with H 2 permeance of 500 GPU and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 30 at 150-200 °C, and complete the modification of the membrane test unit for the field test in the BP 3. BP 3: Conduct a 20-day field test of the membranes with real syngas at Center for Advanced Energy Research (CAER) of the University of Kentucky (UKy). During the BP2, we have successfully prepared thin-film composite (TFC) membranes based on mixed matrix materials (MMMs) containing Pd nanoparticles in polymers, and demonstrated their superior and robust performance for H 2 /CO 2 separation at 150 – 225 °C. (1) Production of the Pd based nanoparticles with a diameter of 4 nm has been scaled up to 200 mg/day. (2) We have prepared TFC membranes with H 2 permeance above 500 GPU and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity above 30 at temperatures up to 225 °C, which meet the targets for the BP2. (3) We have conducted parametric studies of TFC membranes with a mixed gas containing H 2 S and H 2 O and demonstrated the stability of the membranes. (4) We have established a new testing plan at the Center for Advanced Energy Studies (CAER) at the University of Kentucky because NCCC decided to shut down their gasifier. During this project, four Ph.D. students received the inter-disciplinary training and graduated, including Shailesh Konda, Maryam Omidvar, Deqiang Yin, and Lingxiang Zhu. One postdoctoral researcher (Dr. Liang Huang) and two Ph.D. students (Abhishek Kumar and Hien Nguyen) are involved in this project. The project leads to one provisional patent application, eight peer-reviewed articles, and one manuscript in preparation. The details are shown below.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

CG-Kit: Code Generation Toolkit for performant and maintainable variants of source code applied to Flash-X hydrodynamics simulations

CG-Kit is a new Code Generation tool-Kit that we have developed as a part of the solution for portability and maintainability for multiphysics computing applications. The development of CG-Kit is rooted in the urgent need created by the shifting landscape of high-performance computing platforms and the algorithmic complexities of a particular large-scale multiphysics application: Flash-X. To efficiently use computing resources on a heterogeneous node, an application must have a map of computation to resources and a mechanism to move the data and computation to the resources according to the map. Most existing performance portability solutions are focussed on abstracting the expression of computations so that a unified source code can be specialized to run on different resources. However, such an approach is insufficient for a code like Flash-X, which has a multitude of code components that can be assembled in various permutations and combinations to form different instances of applications. Similar challenges apply to any code that has composability, where a single specified way of apportioning work among devices may not be optimal. Additionally, use cases arise where the optimal control flow of computation may differ for different devices while the underlying numerics remain identical. This combination leads to unique challenges including handling an existing large code base in Fortran and/or C/C++, subdivision of code into a great variety of units supporting a wide range of physics and numerical methods, different parallelization techniques for distributed and shared memory systems and accelerator devices, and heterogeneity of computing platforms requiring coexisting variants of parallel algorithms. All of these challenges demand that scientific software developers apply existing knowledge about domain applications, algorithms, and computing platforms to determine custom abstractions and granularity for code generation. There is a critical lack of tools to tackle those problems. CG-Kit is designed to fill this gap by providing a user with the ability to express their desired control flow and computation-to-resource map in the form a pseudocode-like recipe. It consists of standalone tools that can be combined into highly specific and, we argue, highly effective portability and maintainability toolchains. Here we present the design of our new tools: parametrized source trees, control flow graphs, and recipes. The tools are implemented in Python. They are agnostic to the programming language of the source code targeted for code generation. In conclusion, we demonstrate the capabilities of the toolkit with two examples, first, multithreaded variants of the basic AXPY operation, and second, variants of parallel algorithms within a hydrodynamics solver, called Spark, from Flash-X that operates on block-structured adaptive meshes.

Algorithmic portability↗
DOE OSTI2021

PERFORMANCE CHARACTERIZATION OF THE DIRECT CONTACT MEMBRANE DISTILLATION MODULE OPERATED WITH HIGHLY CONCENTRATED SOLUTION

The experimental study was conducted to characterize the performance of the flat sheet Direct Contact Membrane Distillation. The length degradation was studied in a short and long module with and without spacers. The experimental study is validated using the predicted flux for a wide range of operating conditions using deionized water. Three different membranes are used in the parametric study for feed Reynolds number varied between 500 and 2000, and inlet feed temperature varied between 45°C and 80°C. PTFE membrane was shown to be more effective than the PVDF due to its higher permeability coefficient and higher hydrophobicity. Fouling study was conducted on the selected PTFE membrane with various feed Reynolds numbers between 500 and 2000 and feed inlet temperature between 50°C and 80°C. Membranes used in the fouling study were characterized using scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) for the morphology and chemical composition of the fouling layer. 36 hours of operation with 10 wt% NaCl (100,000 ppm) at feed inlet temperatures 80°C and 60°C and fixed Reynolds 2000 demonstrated a drop in flux by 31% and 27%, respectively. Low flow rate and high temperature are favorable conditions for fouling formation and reduced permeate flux for highly concentrated solutions. The spacers improved the flux by 30.8% and 27.6% at the operating Reynolds numbers 2000 the short and long channel modules. This study helps to design and optimize DCMD modules for industrial-size desalination and water treatment applications.

Kim, Deliya↗
DOE OSTI2020

A machine learning approach to emulation and biophysical parameter estimation with the Community Land Model, version 5

Abstract. Land models are essential tools for understanding and predicting terrestrial processes and climate–carbon feedbacks in the Earth system, but uncertainties in their future projections are poorly understood. Improvements in physical process realism and the representation of human influence arguably make models more comparable to reality but also increase the degrees of freedom in model configuration, leading to increased parametric uncertainty in projections. In this work we design and implement a machine learning approach to globally calibrate a subset of the parameters of the Community Land Model, version 5 (CLM5) to observations of carbon and water fluxes. We focus on parameters controlling biophysical features such as surface energy balance, hydrology, and carbon uptake. We first use parameter sensitivity simulations and a combination of objective metrics including ranked global mean sensitivity to multiple output variables and non-overlapping spatial pattern responses between parameters to narrow the parameter space and determine a subset of important CLM5 biophysical parameters for further analysis. Using a perturbed parameter ensemble, we then train a series of artificial feed-forward neural networks to emulate CLM5 output given parameter values as input. We use annual mean globally aggregated spatial variability in carbon and water fluxes as our emulation and calibration targets. Validation and out-of-sample tests are used to assess the predictive skill of the networks, and we utilize permutation feature importance and partial dependence methods to better interpret the results. The trained networks are then used to estimate global optimal parameter values with greater computational efficiency than achieved by hand tuning efforts and increased spatial scale relative to previous studies optimizing at a single site. By developing this methodology, our framework can help quantify the contribution of parameter uncertainty to overall uncertainty in land model projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Critical impact of experimentally-driven strut level anisotropic material models in advanced stress analysis of additively manufactured lattice structures

The rapid acceleration in materials discovery may overshadow the importance of thoroughly understanding the mechanical performance of newly developed materials in demanding environments. The recent interest in combining parametric studies with machine learning techniques to explore how changes in specific processing parameters or model inputs affect the overall behavior of a material system can only be truly beneficial if the governing constitutive relations describing material behavior are accurately established. In this study, we demonstrate the critical impact of accurately representing strut-level anisotropic material behavior in advanced stress analysis of additively manufactured lattice structures (AMLS). We introduce a systematic experimental and modeling approach for developing strut-level anisotropic elastoplastic material models that account for the influence of microstructural features such as porosity, texture, and surface roughness on the development of local anisotropic mechanical properties, which vary with strut orientation relative to the build direction (BD). As a result the presented material model captures and relates the statistics of spatially varying struts’ microstructural features to the local stress distribution. Our findings suggest that incorporating strut-level anisotropic material behavior into unit cell analysis significantly influences the load distribution and evolution of local stresses within the structure. Therefore, accounting for this anisotropy is critical for developing an understanding of unit cell behavior and performance, including subsequent topology/component design optimization based on this analysis.

Sahoo, Subhadip [University of Arizona]↗
DOE OSTI2022

GenMod: A generative modeling approach for spectral representation of PDEs with random inputs

Here, we propose a method for quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional PDE systems with random parameters, where the number of solution evaluations is small. Parametric PDE solutions are often approximated using a spectral decomposition based on polynomial chaos expansions. For the class of systems we consider (i.e., high dimensional with limited solution evaluations) the coefficients are given by an underdetermined linear system in a regression formulation. This implies additional assumptions, such as sparsity of the coefficient vector, are needed to approximate the solution. Here, we present an approach where we assume the coefficients are close to the range of a generative model that maps from a low to a high dimensional space of coefficients. Our approach is inspired be recent work examining how generative models can be used for compressed sensing in systems with random Gaussian measurement matrices. Using results from PDE theory on coefficient decay rates, we construct an explicit generative model that predicts the polynomial chaos coefficient magnitudes. The algorithm we developed to find the coefficients, which we call GenMod, is composed of two main steps. First, we predict the coefficient signs using Orthogonal Matching Pursuit. Then, we assume the coefficients are within a sparse deviation from the range of a sign-adjusted generative model. This allows us to find the coefficients by solving a nonconvex optimization problem, over the input space of the generative model and the space of sparse vectors. We obtain theoretical recovery results for a Lipschitz continuous generative model and for a more specific generative model, based on coefficient decay rate bounds. We examine three high-dimensional problems and show that, for all three examples, the generative model approach outperforms sparsity promoting methods at small sample sizes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Efficient Modeling of Structural, Electronic, and Optical Properties of Silver and Gold Metal Nanoclusters and Alloys Using Optimized SCC-DFTB Parameters

Computation of optical properties using conventional time-dependent density functional theory (TD-DFT) is time-consuming and memory-intensive. In this study, we investigate the accuracy and efficiency of the density functional tight binding (DFTB) framework with newly optimized Slater–Koster (SK) parameters for modeling the structural, electronic properties, and absorption spectra of silver and gold nanoclusters and their alloys. Our investigation of the ground state (GS) properties demonstrates that the newly developed GS-SK parameters enable DFTB to closely approximate DFT-calculated bond lengths for octahedron, tetrahedron, icosahedra, and truncated octahedron with sizes Ag n /Au n (n = 19, 20, 38, 55), nanoclusters and Ag 20 /Au 20 nanoalloys, with a maximum deviation of approximately 0.15 Å. Formation energy results indicate that the GS-SK parameters can closely estimate changes in formation energies with alloy composition, and the comparison of electronic structures for Ag 20 , Au 20 , and AgAu alloy nanoclusters using the DFTB approximation reveals good agreement in the projected density of states (DOS) profiles and energy levels. A second set of SK parameters, ES-SK, has been developed to describe excited state (ES) properties, including the absorption spectra of silver octahedron Ag 19 , tetrahedral Ag n (n = 20, 56, 84), truncated octahedron Ag 38 , and icosahedra Ag 55 closed-shell clusters and their gold and alloy counterparts over a broad range of alloy compositions. This parametrization uses TD-DFTB calculations and fine-tunes the d and p eigenvalues by comparing them to reference absorption spectra from first-principles TD-DFT. This enables the generation of absorption spectra that closely match the reference spectra when plasmon excitation is dominant, as demonstrated by studying the plasmonic properties of icosahedral Ag n and Au n (n = 309 and 561) nanoparticles. This includes the rapid loss in plasmon quality when Au partially replaces Ag in alloy clusters. Furthermore, these results provide a foundation for addressing computational bottlenecks in plasmonics and with new prospects for applications in the quantum plasmonics for bimetallic alloys.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Development of a Fast Spectrum Test Loop at the Advanced Test Reactor

The United States currently has no infrastructure to provide a fast neutron flux for research purposes. With the increased interest in Sodium Fast Reactor (SFR) technology, this type of infrastructure is necessary for further development of key components such as Versatile Test Reactor. The purpose of this research is to characterize the thermal hydraulics of a test loop capable of providing SFR like operating conditions. This includes showcasing feasibility in mechanical design, reaching a high fast to thermal neutron flux ratio ideally near 15, an inlet temperature of 600 K, a temperature increase of 50 K from inlet to outlet, and test chamber radial temperature profiles similar to SFR fuel rods. Existing infrastructure must be used to provide the neutron flux for the test loop, and it was decided that the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) was the optimal choice due to its availability and previous work conducted similar to this project. To achieve the goals of this project, several mechanical designs were put forward with the most feasible design being chosen. The neutronics and thermal hydraulics analysis were conducted in tandem, with an iterative process used to maximize efficiency of both systems. Analysis of the neutronics system was done using Attila and MCNP while the thermal hydraulic analysis was done using RELAP5. This document outlines the thermal hydraulic analysis, though it includes the results from the mechanical design and neutronics analysis. The loop design includes a primary system with molten sodium, a set of “booster fuel plates” to increase the fast flux within the test section, a water system to cool the booster fuel plates, a helium system to separate the sodium and water systems, and a thermal neutron shield to decrease the thermal flux. Each of these systems is modeled in the neutronics and thermal hydraulic analyses. The RELAP5 model showcased the feasibility of the design proposed by this report. For all designs tested, the desired 50 K temperature increase from inlet to outlet was reached. The fuel rod radial temperature profile was lower than was expected, likely due to a lower rod thermal power than expected. A parametric study was also conducted to characterize the system with three fuel pins. This study showed the effect of thermal power, fluid pressure, fluid velocity, and inlet temperature on the system. ©Copyright by Anton Higgins December 11, 2019 All Rights Reserved

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Precision Kinematic Sunyaev--Zel'dovich Measurements Across Halo Mass and Redshift with DESI DR2 and ACT DR6: Part II. Bright Galaxy Survey and Emission-Line Galaxies

We present the first high-significance spectroscopic stacked kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) measurements of circumgalactic gas profiles for both Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS) and Emission Line Galaxy (ELG) tracers, combining DESI Data Release 2 with ACT Data Release 6. Using reconstructed line-of-sight velocities from the DESI galaxies and high-resolution ACT temperature maps, we detect the kSZ signal at high significance, reaching signal-to-noise ratios of up to $\sim$9 for BGS and $\sim$7.5 for ELGs in optimal stellar-mass selections. Together with the LRG measurements presented in Paper I, these constitute the most significant kSZ detections from any spectroscopic survey to date. We perform the analysis in both real and harmonic space, obtaining consistent results. By splitting both tracers into stellar-mass bins, we study the scaling of the kSZ amplitude with galaxy properties. Combining the kSZ measurements with ACT Data Release 6 (DR6) CMB lensing maps enables a joint calibration of the galaxy-halo connection and the gas fractions of host halos. For the BGS galaxies, we observe low gas fractions around the virial radius relative to standard expectations, likely attributable to active galactic nuclei (AGN) activity. We find some evidence for higher-mass halos retaining a larger fraction of their baryons, consistent with more efficient feedback in lower-mass systems. For the ELG sample, dominated by blue, star-forming galaxies, we provide the first detection of the gas distribution in ELG host halos. The ELGs appear to exhibit relatively high gas fractions, which points to the possibility of weaker feedback (due to e.g. low AGN and supernova feedback activity) at their mass scale. Finally, we present generalized Navarro-Frenk-White (GNFW) fits to the harmonic-space measurements, providing a compact parametrization of gas profiles for forward modeling in large-scale structure analyses.

Hadzhiyska, B. [Cambridge U.; Cambridge U., Inst. ↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dynamic calibration of differential equations using machine learning, with application to turbulence models

We present a methodology for calibration of parametric ordinary and partial differential equation models, using off-the-shelf software for back-propagation in Neural Networks (NN). As a prototypical example, we consider calibration of a Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence closure model, against ground truth data from direct numerical simulations (DNS) of two different turbulent flows. Numerical time integration is represented as a custom NN, where only the RANS model parameters are trainable. A loss function is defined to quantify the mismatch between the NN prediction and the ground truth over a predefined, finite time integration window. This loss function is then minimized using a gradient descent method utilizing the back-propagation algorithm. Furthermore, this dynamic approach to training is to be contrasted with a static approach, wherein a least square regression estimate for parameters is obtained in the limit of an infinitesimal time integration window. In a first test of static and dynamic approaches against ground truth data generated by the model, the former proves to be significantly faster and more accurate than the latter at recovering the parameters. When both calibration approaches are tested against DNS data, for which it is known that the model cannot achieve a perfect fit, the static approach yields a good prediction only for short times, while the dynamic approach results in physical and stable predictions over the entire integration window. After optimization of the dynamic approach for time step, spatial resolution, stability, and physics-based constraints, we obtain a 50% improvement of outcomes over those obtained from the existing, manually calibrated set of parameters, demonstrating the merits of this systematic and automated procedure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermo-hydraulic steam pipe models for district heating simulations: Simplifications to balance accuracy and simulation speed

Steam piping networks are essential for optimizing performance in industrial processes and district heating systems. However, dynamic models that balance thermo-hydraulic accuracy with computational efficiency remain limited. In response, this paper presents a new discretized steam pipe model based on the plug flow approach, capturing key thermo-hydraulic behaviors while simplifying steam phase change processes. Implemented in Modelica, the model accurately calculates temperature and pressure distributions along steam pipelines. To improve computational efficiency for district-scale simulations, five model simplifications are introduced: lumped thermo-hydraulic functions, empirical correlations, fluid state approximations, steady-state dynamics and inclusion of flow derivatives. These simplified models achieve 85%-98% accuracy in predicting pressure drop and condensation losses, including dynamic condensate behavior during pipe warm-up—a factor often overlooked in existing models. The models support diverse network configurations, scaling effectively to systems with multiple distribution pipes and connected building loads. Discrete models provide detailed insights but exhibit a cubic increase in simulation time as the network scales by N connected building O(N 2.42 ). In contrast, lumped models simulate 10–28 times faster than discrete, offering quadratic scaling of simulation time O(N 1.73 ). However, they still require 6 times more computation time than a lossless network, highlighting the inherent computational challenges of modeling compressible fluid flow. In conclusion, the steady-state lumped variant, with its near-linear scalability in computational time O(N 1.01 ), emerges as an efficient solution for preliminary design evaluations and extensive parametric studies.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

An extensive assessment of the performance of pairwise and many-body interaction potentials in reproducing ab initio benchmark binding energies for water clusters n = 2–25

We assess the performance of 7 pairwise additive (TIP3P, TIP4P, TIP4P-ice, TIP5P, OPC, SPC, SPC/E) and 8 families of many-body potentials (q-AQUA, HIPPO, AMOEBA, EFP, TTM, WHBB, MB-pol, MB-UCB) in reproducing high-level ab initio benchmark values, CCSD(T) or MP2 at the complete basis set (CBS) limit for the binding energy and the many-body expansion (MBE) of water clusters n = 2–11, 16–17, 20, 25. By including a large range of cluster sizes having dissimilar hydrogen bonding networks, we obtain an understanding of how these potentials perform for different hydrogen bonding arrangements that are mostly outside of their parameterization range. While it is appropriate to compare the results of ab initio based many-body potentials directly to the electronic binding energies (D e 's), the pairwise additive ones are compared to the enthalpies at T = 298 K, ΔH(298 K), as the latter class of force fields are parametrized to reproduce enthalpies (implicitly accounting for zero-point energy corrections) rather than binding energies. We find that all pairwise additive potentials considered overestimate the reference ΔH values for the n = 2–25 clusters by >13%. For the water dimer (n = 2) in particular, the errors are in the range 83–119% for the pairwise additive potentials studied since these are based on an effective rather than the true 2-body interaction specifically designed as a means of partially accounting for the missing many-body terms. This stronger 2-body interaction is achieved by an enhanced monomer dipole moment that mimics its increase from the gas phase monomer to the condensed phase value. Indeed, for cluster sizes n ≥ 4 the percent deviations become slightly smaller (albeit all exceeding 13%). In contrast, we find that the many-body potentials perform more accurately in reproducing the electronic binding energies (D e 's) throughout the entire cluster range (n = 2–25), all reproducing the ab initio benchmark binding energies within ±7% of the respective CBS values. We further assess the ability of a subset of the many-body potentials (MB-UCB, q-AQUA, MB-pol, and TTM2.1-F) to also reproduce the magnitude of the ab initio many-body energy terms for water cluster sizes n = 7, 10, 16 and 17. The potentials show an overall good agreement with the available benchmark values. However, we identify characteristic differences upon comparing the many-body terms at both the ab initio-optimized geometries and the respective potential-optimized geometries to the reference ab initio values. Additionally, by applying this analysis to a wide range of cluster sizes, trends in the MBE of the potentials with increasing cluster size can be identified. Finally, in an attempt to draw a parallel between the pairwise additive and many-body potentials, we report the analysis of the individual molecular dipole moments for water clusters with 1 to ~4 solvation shells with the TTM2.1-F potential. We find that the internally solvated water molecules have in general a larger molecular dipole moment ranging from 2.6–3.0 D. This justifies the use of an enhanced, with respect to the gas-phase value, molecular dipole moment for the pairwise additive potentials, which is intended to fold in the many body terms into an effective (enhanced) pairwise interaction through the choice of the charges. These results have important implications for the development of future generations of efficient, transferable, and highly accurate classical interaction potentials in both the pairwise additive and many-body categories.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty quantification of a physics-informed model based on sparse identification of a Thermal Energy Distribution System

Integrated energy systems (IES)s are crucial for enhancing the economy and efficiency of power generation sources (e.g., nuclear energy) necessary to unleash American energy dominance. These systems can be integrated with thermal energy storage (TES) and intermittent renewable energies to optimize overall energy use, peak-load regulation, and demand-side responses. However, the stabilization of energy generation, transport, and utilization introduces operational complexities that exceed the challenges of managing each sub-component individually. Currently, though IESs rely on human operators for efficiency and stability, reducing human error risk and enhancing performance through automation is highly desirable. Recent advances at Idaho National Laboratory have demonstrated successful control of the Thermal Energy Distributed System (TEDS). However, the automatic control system depends on a deterministic Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics with Control (SINDyC) model, which are trained based on simulation data from physics-based simulations. Because of uncertainties in physics-based simulation, SINDyC model results in large discrepancies against experimental data and cannot be reliably used in automatic control. In this paper, we present an innovative approach to address these discrepancies by quantifying uncertainties and developing a more robust model. We first generated trajectories by using first-principles physics codes to encapsulate the experiment. Next, we trained thousands of models by randomly sampling these trajectories. We then collapsed all those models into one probabilistic SINDyC by fitting a multivariate Gaussian distribution onto the resulting coefficient’s distribution. Despite its simplicity, our approach successfully produced 95% confidence intervals that captured the experimental trajectories. It even did so with a higher probability and better U-pooling score across six of the seven relevant quantities of interest (QoIs), as compared to other classical approaches. In conclusion, ongoing research is focusing on generating new experimental trajectories to validate this approach, and on employing Bayesian calibration to refine parametric uncertainties and guide future model development efforts.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Parametric Study of Panel PCM–Air Heat Exchanger Designs

Heat exchangers, devices for the transfer of heat between two or more working fluids, are extensively used in cooling applications and heating applications. Heat exchangers in buildings are typically components of space-conditioning systems, as well as of water-heating applications. Heat exchangers are also sometimes used in applications that require storage and release of energy at specific times. Phase change materials (PCMs) enhance these heat-exchange processes, given their ability to melt and solidify at a fixed range of temperatures, absorbing or releasing significant amounts of latent heat. Five different configurations of PCM–air heat exchangers for thermal control in buildings are analyzed in this work. The heat exchangers were fitted with PCM encapsulated in plastic and composite pouches of various shapes, and packaged in stackable panel layers. Three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling of coupled incompressible fluid and conjugate heat transfer were performed on the designs. The phase change process was numerically modelled using the apparent heat capacity method. Steady-state CFD simulations provided quantification of pressure drop as a function of air flow velocity. Transient simulation results describe the thermal evolution of PCM in the pouches, helping to determine the best performing configuration with respect to total thermal charging time.

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