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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Climate models project increasing precipitation in the US Southwest in 2024–2100

We analyzed the measured precipitation in the southwestern US and found that, from 1900 to 2024, precipitation decreased at an average rate of − 1.2 cm per year per 100 years. The most significant precipitation decreases occurred in the three-month period from February to April. At the same time, precipitation during the southwestern monsoon season (July, August, and September) remained relatively stable. The ensemble mean of all CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6) climate models, along with the regression model incorporating anthropogenic aerosol (AER) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) as predictors, projects precipitation to increase from 2024 to 2100. This projected precipitation increase relies on the anticipated decrease in emissions of anthropogenic aerosols, which is associated with the transition from fossil fuel burning to renewable and nuclear energy sources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Validation of Phasor-Domain Transmission and Distribution Co-simulation Against Electromagnetic Transient Simulation

The rapid deployment of renewable energy resources has led to the widespread use of power electronics in modern power systems. As these systems transition from being dominated by large synchronous machines to increasingly incorporating inverter-based resources (IBRs), traditional methods are becoming inadequate. Addressing this challenge, this paper introduces a scalable phasor-domain T\&D co-simulation framework based on open-source software. It focuses on the framework's validation against the PSCAD Electromagnetic Transient (EMT) analysis tool. The validation results demonstrate the framework's high-fidelity and a computational time speed-up of 60 to 100 times, marking a pioneering validation effort in T\&D co-simulation research.

Inverter-based resources, co-simulation, Electroma↗
DOE OSTI2021

Flow visualisation in real-size optical injectors of conventional, additised, and renewable gasoline blends

Research on renewable and alternative fuels is crucial for improving the energy and environmental efficiency of modern gasoline internal combustion engines. To highlight the influence of fuel rheological and thermodynamic properties on phase change and atomisation processes, three types of gasoline blends were tested. More specifically, the campaign comprised a reference gasoline, an ethanol/gasoline blend (10% v/v) representative of renewable fuels, and an additised gasoline sample treated with viscoelasticity-inducing agents. High-speed imaging of the transient two-phase flow field arising in the internal geometry and the near-nozzle spray region of gasoline injectors was performed employing Diffuse Backlight Illumination. The metallic body of a commercial injector was modified to fit transparent tips realising two nozzle layouts, namely a two-hole real size model resembling the Engine Combustion Network spray G injector and an enraged replica with an offset hole. Experiments were conducted at realistic operating conditions comprising an injection pressure of 100 bar and ambient pressures in the range of 0.1–6.0 bar to cover the entire range of chamber pressures prevailing in Gasoline Direct Injection engines. The action of viscoelastic additives was verified to have a suppressive effect on in-nozzle cavitation (6% reduction in cavitation extent) , while also enhancing spray atomisation at flash-boing conditions, in a manner resembling the more volatile gasoline/ethanol blends. Finally, persisting liquid ligaments were found to form after the end of injection for the additised sample, owing to the surfactant nature of the additives.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Size-Dependent Adsorption and Adhesion Energetics of Ag Nanoparticles on Graphene Films on Ni(111) by Calorimetry

Interest in the use of carbon supports for late transition metal nanoparticle catalysts has expanded rapidly due to the increasing importance of electrocatalysts for clean energy and environmental technologies and the use and storage of renewable electricity. Compared to oxide supports, almost nothing is known about the effect of metal nanoparticle size on the energies of the metal atoms within carbon-supported nanoparticles, yet these energies are crucial for understanding their surface reactivity and sintering kinetics. Here, the growth morphology and adsorption energetics of vapor-deposited Ag onto clean graphene/Ni(111) surfaces have been studied using a combination of single-crystal adsorption calorimetry (SCAC) and He + low-energy ion scattering (LEIS). The differential heat of Ag adsorption is 207 kJ/mol for making ~30 atom Ag particles on graphene terraces at 100 K and 16 kJ/mol higher for making ~9 atom Ag clusters at defect sites at the same temperature. The heat of adsorption increases rapidly with Ag coverage as 3D Ag nanoparticles nucleate and grow in size, asymptotically reaching within 5 kJ/mol of the bulk Ag sublimation enthalpy (285 kJ/mol) by 2 ML. The heats of adsorption and Ag nanoparticle densities from LEIS (~10 16 /m 2 ) were combined to provide the Ag/graphene adhesion energy (E adh = 1.8 J/m 2 in the large-particle limit) and the Ag chemical potential (μ) versus effective particle diameter (D). The Ag chemical potential was well-fitted by μ(D) = (3γ v /M – E adh )(1 + (1.5 nm)/D)(2V m /D), where γ v /M is the surface energy of bulk Ag and V m is its molar volume. The same equation is known to fit similar data for late transition metals on clean surfaces of metal oxide single crystals. The adhesion energy of Ag measured here on graphene falls within the wide range measured for Ag on those oxide surfaces and is almost as large as on the oxide that binds Ag particles most strongly, namely CeO 2 (111), which is well-known to be very effective at resisting catalyst deactivation by metal sintering. Furthermore, these results imply that carbon supports will be effective at resisting sintering and that Ag particles smaller than 6 nm on graphene will bind small adsorbed reaction intermediates more weakly than supports with weaker adhesion to Ag, like MgO(100).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Demand Response in Residential Energy Code: Technical Brief

As buildings account for over 75% of U.S. electricity use, effectively managing their loads can greatly facilitate the transition towards a clean, reliable grid. Grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs) combine efficiency and demand flexibility with smart technologies and communication to provide occupant comfort and productivity while serving the grid as a distributed energy resource (DER). In turn, GEBs can play a key role in ensuring access to an affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern U.S. electric power system. Their national adoption could provide $\$$100-200 billion in U.S. electric power system cost savings over the next two decades. The associated reduction in CO 2 emissions is estimated at 6% per year by 2030 (DOE 2021). Building codes represent standard design practice in the construction industry and continually evolve to include advanced technologies and innovative practices. Historically, national model energy codes establish minimum efficiency requirements for new construction (ICC 2020). Expanding codes to support GEB capabilities is a pivotal step towards realizing demand flexibility in support of a clean grid by addressing capabilities to improve interoperability between smart building systems, the grid, and renewable energy resources. Realizing GEBs requires buildings with automated demand response (DR) capabilities that enable standardized communication with or control of, subject to explicit consumer consent, energy smart appliances or home energy management systems. This is achieved through direct or indirect (i.e., via an aggregator) communication between appliances and the electric grid. Energy codes can also support DR communication standardization and advance the deployment of building-integrated DERs such as energy storage, generation, and electric vehicles (EVs). Incorporating automated DR capabilities in energy codes provides many benefits to the consumers. Specifically, it aligns building electric load demand with intermittent renewable energy source availability, decreases peak load on the electric grid, allows buildings to respond to utility price signals, supports electrical network reliability and market growth of products and processes aligned with clean economic growth. The incorporation of DR into the model residential energy codes was considered for both the 2021 and 2024 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) code development cycles. The approved DR measures in the 2021 cycle were removed in response to appeals (ICC 2020). Updated language was presented for consideration again for the 2024 IECC, where it was negotiated and again approved, and again removed in response to appeals (ICC 2024). This resulted in many sections, including sections on demand responsive controls, being moved to the credits options or an appendix as a voluntary application. This technical brief updates the proposed DR components such that they can be considered by states and local governments for direct incorporation into their codes, as well as for future IECC energy code development. The proposal refinements are intended to support consistency in approach and provide a degree of certainty for building owners, designers, contractors, manufacturers, and building and fire safety professionals. The scope of this technical brief includes three strategies for DR in residential buildings: 1) smart thermostats with demand-responsive control, 2) electric water heating incorporating demand-responsive controls and communication and 3) grid Integrated solar and energy storage systems.

2021 IECC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Diesel Oxidation Catalyst Performance with Biodiesel Formulations

Biodiesel (i.e., mono-alkyl esters of long chain fatty acids derived from vegetable oils and animal fats) is a renewable diesel fuel providing life-cycle greenhouse gas emission reductions relative to petroleum-derived diesel. With the expectation that there would be widespread use of biodiesel as a substitute for ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD), there have been many studies looking into the effects of biodiesel on engine and aftertreatment, particularly its compatibility to the current aftertreatment technologies. The objective of this study was to generate experimental data to measure the effectiveness of a current technology diesel oxidation catalysts (DOC) to oxidize soy-based biodiesel at various blend levels with ULSD. Biodiesel blends from 0 to 100% were evaluated on an engine using a conventional DOC. In the steady-state performance test where fuel dosing rate was increased at fixed DOC inlet temperature, B20 performed similarly to ULSD at the lowest flow rate or exhaust temperature over 340 degrees C for medium and high flows. B50 blends performed nearly as well under most conditions. Higher blends exhibited reduced thermal efficiency and DOC outlet temperature with increasing dosing rate under most conditions and required exhaust temperatures over 400 degrees C to achieve or nearly achieve performance similar to ULSD. In the steady-state light of test where fuel dosing rate is fixed but exhaust temperature is increased incrementally, B20 generally performed similarly to ULSD at the highest inlet temperature, with only minor deficiencies at lower temperatures. Higher blends exhibited lower thermal efficiency and did not achieve as high DOC outlet temperatures. In the transient light-off test light-off temperature for ULSD was typically less than 225 degrees C, while for B100 it ranged from 290 degrees C to 330 degrees C. Based on the data set, it can be concluded that biodiesel fuels have a higher light-off temperature primarily because of their higher boiling points, with a minor secondary impact of their lower energy content.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Catalytic production of tetrahydropyran (THP): a biomass-derived, economically competitive solvent with demonstrated use in plastic dissolution

Tetrahydropyran (THP) is a five-carbon heterocyclic ether that is non-carcinogenic, non-peroxide forming, biodegradable, and economically competitive with tetrahydrofuran (THF) as a solvent. In this work, THP has been synthesized from renewable biomass at >99.8% selectivity and 98% yield via hydrogenation of furfural-derived 3,4-dihydropyran (DHP) over Ni/SiO 2 in a continuous flow reactor at 150–200 °C. The apparent activation energy of THP formation is 31 kJ mol -1 , and the reaction orders with respect to the partial pressures of H 2 , DHP, and THP are: 2, 1, and -0.3. The kinetic data has been fitted to a Hougen–Watson model where the rate limiting step is the hydrogenation of adsorbed DHP. Ni/SiO 2 is shown to have a low deactivation rate constant of 0.012 h -1 over 100 h time on stream and can be regenerated in situ. As a performance advantage, THP is shown to be resistant to ring opening polymerization under strongly acidic conditions that THF is not, revealing it to be a superior solvent. Further, the minimum selling price of THP is competitive with the market price of THF ($$900 – 1400 per ton ) at a DHP feedstock cost of $1000 per ton. Conductor-like Screening Model for Real Solvents (COSMO-RS) and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations with 1008 solvents and 8 common plastics have demonstrated that THP can serve as an alternative solvent to THF, 2-methyltetrahydrofuran (MeTHF), and cyclopentyl methyl ether (CPME) for plastic dissolution, especially low-density polyethylene (LDPE), polypropylene (PP), polystyrene (PS) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC). This work establishes THP as a green solvent with excellent thermal, chemical and peroxidative stability that can be used for numerous applications, including waste plastic recycling.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Measuring the effectiveness of high-performance Co-Optima biofuels on suppressing soot formation at high temperature

Soot emissions in combustion are unwanted consequences of burning hydrocarbon fuels. The presence of soot during and following combustion processes is an indication of incomplete combustion and has several negative consequences including the emission of harmful particulates and increased operational costs. Efforts have been made to reduce soot production in combustion engines through utilizing oxygenated biofuels in lieu of traditional nonoxygenated feedstocks. The ongoing Co-Optimization of Fuels and Engines (Co-Optima) initiative from the US Department of Energy (DOE) is focused on accelerating the introduction of affordable, scalable, and sustainable biofuels and high-efficiency, low-emission vehicle engines. The Co-Optima program has identified a handful of biofuel compounds from a list of thousands of potential candidates. In this study, a shock tube was used to evaluate the performance of soot reduction of five high-performance biofuels downselected by the Co-Optima program. Current experiments were performed at test conditions between 1,700 and 2,100 K and 4 and 4.7 atm using shock tube and ultrafast, time-resolve laser absorption diagnostic techniques. The combination of shock heating and nonintrusive laser detection provides a state-of-the-art test platform for high-temperature soot formation under engine conditions. Soot reduction was found in ethanol, cyclopentanone, and methyl acetate; conversely, an α-diisobutylene and methyl furan produced more soot compared to the baseline over longer test times. For each biofuel, several reaction pathways that lead towards soot production were identified. The data collected in these experiments are valuable information for the future of renewable biofuel development and their applicability in engines.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Comparison of juvenile white sturgeon blade strike survival through a conventional and a novel hydropower turbine

Hydropower is a globally important renewable energy source with profound impacts on aquatic organisms, including direct injury and mortality to fish that move through hydropower facilities. While it is expected that the characteristics of turbine design and operation influence the type, frequency, and magnitude of injuries suffered by entrained fish, few direct comparisons exist to illustrate differences in fish survival outcomes for conventional and novel turbine designs. This study evaluated blade strike-associated injury and mortality rates for juvenile white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) passed through a model-scale turbine equipped with a runner having conventional blade profiles (thin, straight leading edges) and the same turbine equipped with a runner designed for improved fish survival (thick, slanted leading edges). In both trials, head and turbine runner rotational speeds were matched to produce five blade peripheral speeds between 15.0 and 27.6 m/s. High-speed video was captured for all turbine passage events. Fish were assessed for injuries following passage, and mortalities were assessed immediately after passage and after 48 h. Conventional runner passage resulted in 42% to 78% survival after 48 h, with approximately one-third of all tested fish killed by severing. Under the same test conditions, immediate and 48 h survival rates through the novel runner were 100% except at the highest speed condition (95.6% survival at 48 h). These results clearly indicate that turbine design has a profound effect on fish survival, and suggest that thoughtful redesign of hydropower equipment could significantly ameliorate the risks of blade strike mortality.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Effect of Solvent on the Interaction of Lignin with a Zeolite Nanosheet in the Condensed Phase

Lignin is the essential building block of lignocellulosic biomass, an excellent renewable source of different aromatic monomers for the polymer and biofuel industry. The depolymerization of lignin into value-added chemicals and fuels through the catalytic process poses a significant challenge due to the complex structure of lignin. Understanding lignin’s conformational diversity and dynamics in the liquid phase is crucial to designing an effective depolymerization process. Here, we conducted all-atom molecular dynamics simulations to understand the conformation and dynamics of softwood lignin on the all-silica zeolite nanosheet based on the MFI topology in a binary mixture of water–methanol at three different molar compositions (0%, 50%, and 100% methanol). We observed that the methanol–surface interaction is stronger than the water–surface interaction, and methanol readily diffused into the MFI core. Lignin surface contacts decrease with increasing methanol composition due to higher solubility and dynamics. Lignin dynamics on the surface in neat water is an order of magnitude smaller than methanol. Here, we also found that lignin adopts a slightly extended conformation when it stays on the surface than in the bulk solution phase for the pure water case, whereas for pure methanol and the binary solution structures are statistically similar.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Metal-to-Ceramic Joining Methods to Support Development of Advanced Ceramic-Based CSP Components

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Missouri University of Science and Technology (MS&T), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and Colorado School of Mines (CSM) collaborated to design, develop, and test a material concept at bench scale which will be used to achieve a ceramic-to-metal (C2M) joint between a selected metal HTF loop material and a selected ceramic material used by the Gen3 CSP technology pathway. The final joint assembly will need to possess sufficient mechanical properties to withstand static high-temperature (650 degrees-700 degrees C) and high-pressure (20 MPa) and thermal cycling (between 650 degrees C and 100 degrees C) conditions. The material concept consists of three key components: (1) a ceramic matrix composite (CMC) that serves as a compliant transition material aiming to mitigate the stresses due to the mismatch of coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) from a direct ceramic-to-metal joint, (2) a metal-end joint utilizing a multi-principal element alloy (MPEA) with changing percentage of particle loading to bond the candidate metal to the CMC, and (3) a ceramic-end joint utilizing a glass ceramic to bond the candidate ceramic to the CMC.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

An All-Soluble Fe/Mn-Based Alkaline Redox Flow Battery System

Redox flow batteries (RFBs) are membrane-separated rechargeable flow cells with redox electrolytes, offering the potential for large-scale energy storage and supporting renewable energy grids. Yet, creating a cost-effective, high-performance RFB system is challenging. In this work, we investigate an Fe/Mn RFB alkaline system based on the [(TEA)Fe–O–Fe(TEA)] 3– / 4– and MnO 4 – / 2– redox couples with a theoretical cell voltage of ~1.43 V. This combination has not been systematically studied previously, but it can lead to a very low-cost and sustainable materials for high energy storage. Constant current cycling tests were performed at ±41 mA cm –2 between 20% and 80% SOC over 800 h (400 cycles) with an apparent Coulombic efficiency (CE) approaching 100%, while the voltage efficiency (VE) gradually decreased from ~75.3% to ~61.4% due to increasing internal resistances. Finally, the voltage efficiency loss can be mitigated through a periodic acid treatment to remove MnO 2 deposits from the separator.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Evolution of 1 / f Flux Noise in Superconducting Qubits with Weak Magnetic Fields

The microscopic description of 1/f magnetic flux noise in superconducting circuits has remained an open question for several decades despite extensive experimental and theoretical investigation. Recent progress in superconducting devices for quantum information has highlighted the need to mitigate sources of qubit decoherence, driving a renewed interest in understanding the underlying noise mechanism(s). Though a consensus has emerged attributing flux noise to surface spins, their identity and interaction mechanisms remain unclear, prompting further study. Here, we apply weak in-plane magnetic fields to a capacitively shunted flux qubit (where the Zeeman splitting of surface spins lies below the device temperature) and study the flux-noise-limited qubit dephasing, revealing previously unexplored trends that may shed light on the dynamics behind the emergent 1/f noise. Notably, we observe an enhancement (suppression) of the spin-echo (Ramsey) pure-dephasing time in fields up to B = 100 G. With direct noise spectroscopy, we further observe a transition from a 1/f to approximately Lorentzian frequency dependence below 10 Hz and a reduction of the noise above 1 MHz with increasing magnetic field. Here, we suggest that these trends are qualitatively consistent with an increase of spin cluster sizes with magnetic field. These results should help to inform a complete microscopic theory of 1/f flux noise in superconducting circuits.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing the Solar Photovoltaic Potential in Puerto Rican Brownfields and Reservoirs: Analysis and Modeling [Slides]

This study by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) evaluates the potential for solar photovoltaic (PV) development on brownfields and reservoirs in Puerto Rico. Redeveloping these sites offers significant benefits, such as expanding energy infrastructure, supporting environmental remediation, and enhancing community revitalization. The study identifies up to 3.3 gigawatts (GW) of solar PV capacity, including 213 megawatts (MW) on closed landfills, 1-2.5 GW on contaminated sites, 78 MW on decommissioned plants, 21-50 MW on transmission line rights-of-way, and 636 MW on waterbodies for floating PV. This research highlights the strategic importance of investments and regulatory support to achieve Puerto Rico's goal of 100% clean energy by 2050.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing the Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Potential in Puerto Rican Brownfields and Reservoirs: Detailed Results and Methodology Annex [Slides]

This is the technical annex for "Assessing the Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Potential in Puerto Rican Brownfields and Reservoirs." This study by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) evaluates the potential for solar photovoltaic (PV) development on brownfields and reservoirs in Puerto Rico. Redeveloping these sites offers significant benefits, such as expanding energy infrastructure, supporting environmental remediation, and enhancing community revitalization. The study identifies up to 3.3 gigawatts (GW) of solar PV capacity, including 213 megawatts (MW) on closed landfills, 1-2.5 GW on contaminated sites, 78 MW on decommissioned plants, 21-50 MW on transmission line rights-of-way, and 636 MW on waterbodies for floating PV. This research highlights the strategic importance of investments and regulatory support to achieve Puerto Rico's goal of 100% clean energy by 2050.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Rare earth element enrichment in coal and coal-adjacent strata of the Uinta Region, Utah and Colorado

This study aims to quantify rare earth element enrichment within coal and coal-adjacent strata in the Uinta Region of central Utah and western Colorado. Rare earth elements are a subset of critical minerals as defined by the U.S. Geological Survey. These elements are used for a wide variety of applications, including renewable energy technology in the transition toward carbon-neutral energy. While rare earth element enrichment has been associated with Appalachian coals, there has been a more limited evaluation of western U.S. coals. Here, samples from six active mines, four idle/historical mines, four mine waste piles, and seven stratigraphically complete cores within the Uinta Region were geochemically evaluated using portable X-ray fluorescence ( n = 3,113) and inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry ( n = 145) elemental analytical methods. Results suggest that 24%–45% of stratigraphically coal-adjacent carbonaceous shale and siltstone units show rare earth element enrichment (>200 ppm), as do 100% of sampled igneous material. A small subset (5%–8%) of coal samples display rare earth element enrichment, specifically in cases containing volcanic ash. This study proposes two multi-step depositional and diagenetic models to explain the enrichment process, requiring the emplacement and mobilization of rare earth element source material due to hydrothermal and other external influences. Historical geochemical evaluations of Uinta Region coal and coal-adjacent data are sparse, emphasizing the statistical significance of this research. These results support the utilization of active mines and coal processing waste piles for the future of domestic rare earth element extraction, offering economic and environmental solutions to pressing global demands.

Coe, Haley H.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Synthesis of Butyl-Exchanged Polyoxymethylene Ethers as Renewable Diesel Blendstocks with Improved Fuel Properties

Methyl-terminated polyoxymethylene ethers (MM-POMEs), having the formula CH3O–(CH2O)n–CH3 (n = 3–5), are a high-cetane, low-sooting group of oxygenates that have recently attracted attention as potential diesel blendstocks. Despite these attractive fuel properties, MM-POMEs have shortcomings due to their low energy density and high water solubility. Guided by a computational fuel property assessment for POMEs with longer end-groups, the most promising improvements in the desired compression ignition fuel properties were observed for butyl-terminated POMEs. Here, an acid-catalyzed transacetalization reaction was developed to exchange the methyl end-groups of MM-POMEs (n = 3–6) with butyl end-groups. The reaction utilizes an ion-exchange resin as the acid catalyst at mild reaction conditions of 60 °C and atmospheric pressure. Approximately 100 mL of butyl-exchanged POMEs in the diesel boiling range were produced, enabling laboratory-scale fuel property testing. The butyl-terminated POME mixture possesses the advantaged fuel properties of the parent MM-POMEs (low-soot, high-cetane) while exhibiting improved energy density (lower heating value (LHV) of 30 MJ/kg) and substantially reduced water solubility (7.3 g/L) compared to the parent MM-POME mixture (LHV of 19 MJ/kg , water solubility of 258 g/L).

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Explained: Maintaining a Reliable Future Grid with More Wind and Solar

Since the early 2000s, maintaining grid reliability has become more complex due to a variety of factors, including the changing generation mix, the creation of wholesale energy markets, and a growing number of extreme weather events. Parts of the U.S. grid are already operating with significant amounts of wind and solar generation - with 2022 annual wind and solar generation in the range of 25% to 40%. Even without considering the effects of extreme weather, maintaining reliability will require new capacity to address both growth in electric demand and retiring capacity. Based on the 2022 North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) Long-Term Reliability Assessment, the combination of both growth in peak demand and retirements suggests a need for more than 100 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity by 2032. In general, there are a five categories of resources that are expected to be deployed and used to meet the challenge of maintaining an adequate source of supply in the coming decades: new wind and solar resources (accounting for their reliability contributions), energy storage, demand response resources, expanded transmission, and continued use of thermal generators.

power grid↗