Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Accuracy and stability”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Disruption Prediction and Avoidance in High Beta Long Pulse KSTAR Plasmas

This research is a concentrated and coordinated experimental and physics analysis program by a small U.S. team, focused on the topical area of “Long Pulse Control” as stated in the proposal solicitation. The overall goal of the research is to produce world-class analysis regarding forecasting and avoidance of disruptions in a long-pulse, superconducting tokamak at high stability parameters (e.g. normalized beta) with direct, quantifiable figures of merit (i.e. plasma disruption rate - “disruptivity”) and its reduction based on improved stability physics and control. The research targets the backbone of the problem – the basic, main issues – to produce this quantitative analysis by: (1) Creating and applying a new physics-based paradigm to understand how to eliminate disruptions: disruption event characterization, and event chain analysis – a direct manifestation of the approach suggested in the DOE Transients Report, (2) Ensuring that the components required to produce high-quality measurements and analysis needed for disruption event characterization for the tokamak in question (here, KSTAR) exist (e.g. pressure profile peaking, high-accuracy pitch angle data, compensated low frequency toroidal mode number n = 1 mode measurement) to create a primarily physics-based disruption forecasting capability, and (3) Addressing disruption avoidance for the first time in KSTAR by attacking primary disruption ‘event chains’, utilizing the most important associated plasma measurements (dynamic n = 1 field). The focus of this work will be avoidance of macroscopic instabilities, especially global modes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

The fast camera (Fastcam) imaging diagnostic systems on the DIII-D tokamak

Two camera systems are installed on the DIII-D tokamak at the toroidal positions of 90° (90° system) and 225° (225° system), respectively. The cameras have two types of relay optics, namely, a coherent optical fiber bundle and a periscope system. The periscope system provides absolute intensity calibration stability while sacrificing resolution (10 lp/mm), while the fiber system provides high resolution (16 lp/mm) while sacrificing calibration stability. The periscope is available only for the 90° system. The optics of the 225° system were designed for view stability, repeatability, and easy maintenance. The cameras are located inside optimized neutron, x ray and magnetic shielding in order to reduce electronics damage, reboots, and magnetic and neutron interference, increasing the overall system reliability. An automated filter wheel, providing remote filter change, allows for remote wavelength selection. A software suite automates camera acquisition and data storage, allowing for remote operation and reduced operator involvement. System metadata is used to streamline the data analysis workflow, particularly for intensity calibration. Here, the spatial calibration uses multiple observable wall features, resulting in a reconstruction accuracy ≤2 cm.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Understanding the Active Site Structures and Achieving Catalytic Activity Tuning of Atomically Dispersed FeN 4 Sites for Oxygen Reduction Reaction

Atomically dispersed Fe–—N—C catalysts with high oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) activity have attracted great attention since the last decade. Due to comparable ORR activity and low material cost, they are promising platinum group metal (PGM)-free catalysts that can replace the commercialized Pt/C materials; furthermore, it can facilitate the efficiency of the fuel cell technologies and mitigate dependence on fossil fuels. Great advancements have been made to experimentally optimize the synthesis approach of the Fe–—N—C catalysts, enhance the ORR activity, and improve the catalyst stability. Similarly, recent theoretical studies also provide enriched understanding of the active site structures, properties, and reaction mechanisms. In this review, discussions are made upon utilizing combined experimental and computational spectroscopy to reveal the active site structures, employing mechanistic studies to investigate reaction thermodynamics and kinetics, as well as developing scaling relationships to assist the design and development of future PGM-free catalyst materials. Furthermore, recent advances in studying Fe–—N—C catalysts utilizing electrified surface models and explicit solvation models are also discussed. Not only can these aspects improve the accuracy of theoretical simulation and predictions but also deepen the understanding of the catalyst properties and reaction mechanisms under the effect of surface charges and solvent molecules.

Fe single-atom catalysts↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Chip-Scale Oscillation-Mode Optomechanical Inertial Sensor Near the Thermodynamical Limits

Modern navigation systems integrate the global positioning system (GPS) with an inertial navigation system (INS), which complement each other for correct attitude and velocity determination. Here, the core of the INS integrates accelerometers and gyroscopes used to measure forces and angular rate in the vehicular inertial reference frame. With the help of gyroscopes and by integrating the acceleration to compute velocity and distance, precision and compact accelerometers with sufficient accuracy can provide small–error location determination. Solid–state implementations, through coherent readout, can provide a platform for high performance acceleration detection. In contrast to prior accelerometers using piezoelectric or capacitive readout techniques, optical readout provides narrow–linewidth high–sensitivity laser detection along with low–noise resonant optomechanical transduction near the thermodynamical limits. Here an optomechanical inertial sensor with an 8.2 µg Hz –1/2 velocity random walk (VRW) at an acquisition rate of 100 Hz and 50.9 µg bias instability is demonstrated, suitable for applications, such as, inertial navigation, inclination sensing, platform stabilization, and/or wearable device motion detection. Driven into optomechanical sustained–oscillation, the slot photonic crystal cavity provides radio–frequency readout of the optically–driven transduction with an enhanced 625 µg Hz –1 sensitivity. Measuring the optomechanically–stiffened oscillation shift, instead of the optical transmission shift, provides a 220× VRW enhancement over pre–oscillation mode detection.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Spark plasma sintering of fuel meats for U 3 O 8 based dispersion fuels

Research and test reactors often use dispersion-type fuel due to its increased thermal conductivity and burn-up capabilities compared to conventional fuel. Al-U 3 O 8 (aluminumtriuranium octaoxide) dispersion fuels have several advantages over their competitors, such as higher service temperature and better stability of oxygen stoichiometry. However, the two-step fabrication of dispersion fuel causes undesirable porosity in cold-pressed fuel meats that is preserved in co-extruded fuel plates. To combat this, spark plasma sintering (SPS) was used for the fabrication of Al-15, 20, and 30 vol% U 3 O 8 and 8 and 12 vol% Mo-U 3 O 8 fuel meats for the Al-U 3 O 8 time. The in situ SPS data was used to construct and validate Master Sintering Curves (MSCs) with accuracies in Al fuels at 0.02 g/cm 3 , and Mo fuels at 0.07 and 0.17 g/cm 3 . The as-sintered fuel meats were characterised using x-ray diffraction (XRD) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) to understand chemical and physical changes following the SPS process. The pellets exhibited very high relative densities, the U 3 O 8 was observed to undergo reduction to UO 2 .

Aluminium↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of Surface Roughness on Dynamic Stall in Pitching Motion

Dynamic stall plays a critical role in determining the performance and stability of a wide range of fluid-dynamics systems in various engineering applications. This unsteady aerodynamic phenomenon is particularly significant for maneuvering aircraft wings, jet aircraft subjected to gust encounters, helicopter rotor blades, and wind turbine blades [1–3]. The prediction of the dynamic stall vortex (DSV) is challenging due to factors such as unsteady aerodynamics, three-dimensional (3-D) effects, turbulence and flow separation, incoming gust, and surface impact effects [4–6]. Hence, advanced computational techniques and modeling approaches in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) would be required to enhance the accuracy and reliability of DSV predictions in dynamic stall scenarios. In the past, Batther and Lee [7] employed delayed detached eddy simulations (DDES) to understand the flow physics associated with the onset of dynamic stall. Their approach demonstrated that DDES achieves results comparable to those obtained from large-eddy simulations at a reduced computational cost. In another study, Khalifa et al. [8] examined the 3-D aspects of dynamic stall on a NACA 0012 airfoil using DES solvers. In conclusion, the findings underlined the superiority of 3-D simulations over two-dimensional approaches, particularly in predicting the lift coefficient values and capturing dynamic stall stages more precisely.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Realizability-preserving discontinuous Galerkin method for spectral two-moment radiation transport in special relativity

Here we present a realizability-preserving numerical method for solving a spectral two-moment model to simulate the transport of massless, neutral particles interacting with a steady background material moving with relativistic velocities. The model is obtained as the special relativistic limit of a four-momentum-conservative general relativistic two-moment model. Using a maximum-entropy closure, we solve for the Eulerian-frame energy and momentum. The proposed numerical method is designed to preserve moment realizability, which corresponds to moments defined by a nonnegative phase-space density. The realizability-preserving method is achieved with the following key components: (i) a discontinuous Galerkin phase-space discretization with specially constructed numerical fluxes in the spatial and energy dimensions; (ii) a strong stability-preserving implicit-explicit time-integration method; (iii) a realizability-preserving conserved to primitive moment solver; (iv) a realizability-preserving implicit collision solver; and (v) a realizability-enforcing limiter. Component (iii) is necessitated by the closure procedure, which closes higher order moments nonlinearly in terms of primitive moments. The nonlinear conserved to primitive and the implicit collision solves are formulated as fixed-point problems, which are solved with custom iterative solvers designed to preserve the realizability of each iterate. With a series of numerical tests, we demonstrate the accuracy and robustness of this discontinuous-Galerkin-implicit-explicit method.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Iterative Stability Enforcement in Adaptive Antoulas–Anderson Algorithms for \({\boldsymbol{\mathcal{H}_2}}\) Model Reduction

This paper presents an extension of the Adaptive-Antoulas-Anderson (AAA) algorithm for rational modelling. Specifically, our new stable multi-input multi-output AAA (smiAAA) algorithm builds rational approximations of multi-input signals with a common set of stable poles. A new methodology is presented for iteratively enforcing stability constraints on the poles. We demonstrate the strengths of this approach compared to the stability enforcement in the FastAAA algorithm. Results using the smiAAA algorithm are compared with the commonly used Vector Fitting algorithm and the more recently published RKFIT algorithm. Vector Fitting and RKFIT both require the user to input the number of poles to use in the approximations. If the final approximation is not accurate enough, the user must re-start Vector Fitting or RKFIT with a larger number of poles and/or a new starting location for the poles. In contrast, the smiAAA algorithm is designed to allow the user to simply input the desired accuracy of the approximations, and the necessary number of poles is detected automatically. This permits users to produce approximations of a desired accuracy with no knowledge about the underlying order of the system being approximated, preventing the algorithm from ever needing to be rerun. An additional feature for preventing extraneous poles from being returned by AAA is also discussed. The cause of these extraneous poles is efficiently detected and removed by our presented methodology. In conclusion, the examples presented demonstrate that smiAAA can efficiently produce approximations of similar or better accuracy than Vector Fitting and RKFIT while requiring less input from the user.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

FY-24 Progress on Computational Modeling of the Water Based NSTF

This report summarizes the computational modeling of the Natural Convection Shutdown Heat Removal Test Facility (NSTF) completed in FY24. This year’s modeling campaign focuses on the continual testing of the RELAP5 model against experimental data. Several fault cases were simulated with the RELAP5 model in FY23 to study the accuracy of the model under complex flow conditions. Similarly, in FY24, a case is simulated where the chimney outlet is throttled with a valve while the flow is undergoing two-phase oscillations. The purpose of this case is to study the effects of increasing pressure drop in the two-phase region on the system behavior. Even though the model is able to capture the experimental data qualitatively, it overpredicts the pressure drops experienced by the flow in the two-phase regime. Nevertheless, the model and the experiment show that oscillations are stabilized with increased pressure drop in the two-phase region.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Why Perovskite Thermal Stress is Unaffected by Thin Contact Layers

Metal halide perovskite photovoltaics have emerged as a high efficiency, low-cost alternative that can potentially rival or enhance conventional silicon technology. Despite exceptional initial power conversion efficiencies, achieving compliance with international standards and widespread adoption requires further enhancements to their operational stability. Notably, addressing mechanical strain and stress in brittle perovskites has emerged as a pivotal approach to mitigate chemical degradation and improve reliability during thermal cycling. Here, in this study, a popularized strain engineering strategy is investigated in which a high coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) hole transport layer (i.e., PDCBT) is cast onto inorganic perovskite (CsPbI 2 Br) at 100 °C. Contrary to previously published results, the X-ray diffraction (XRD):Sin 2 ψ and substrate curvature measurement techniques show that the hole transport layer has no discernible impact on perovskite strain. The accuracy of the XRD:Sin 2 ψ method for measuring strain is highlighted in contrast to an analysis based on shifts of single XRD peaks which can be influenced by multiple artifacts. The findings in this study are in accordance with mechanics theory: thin layers are unable to induce significant strain changes in perovskite thin films as the force they apply is negligible compared to that applied by a thick and stiff substrate.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Clock Precision beyond the Standard Quantum Limit at 10 −18 Level

Optical atomic clocks with unrivaled precision and accuracy have advanced the frontier of precision measurement science and opened new avenues for exploring fundamental physics. A fundamental limitation on clock precision is the standard quantum limit (SQL), which stems from the uncorrelated projection noise of each atom. State-of-the-art optical lattice clocks interrogate large ensembles to minimize the SQL, but density-dependent frequency shifts pose challenges to scaling the atom number. The SQL can be surpassed, however, by leveraging entanglement, though it remains an open problem to achieve quantum advantage from spin squeezing at state-of-the-art stability levels. Here, we demonstrate clock performance beyond the SQL, achieving a fractional frequency precision of 1.1 × 10 −18 for a single spin-squeezed clock. With cavity-based quantum nondemolition measurements, we prepare two spin-squeezed ensembles of ∼30 000 strontium atoms confined in a two-dimensional optical lattice. A synchronous clock comparison with an interrogation time of 61 ms achieves a metrological improvement of 2.0(2) dB beyond the SQL, after correcting for state preparation and measurement errors. These results establish the most precise entanglement-enhanced clock to date and offer a powerful platform for exploring the interplay of gravity and quantum entanglement.

cavity quantum electrodynamics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Sensitive parameter identification and uncertainty quantification for the stability of pipeline conveying fluid

In this study, several uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis methods are used to determine the most sensitive geometric and material input parameters of a cantilevered pipeline conveying fluid when uncertainty is introduced to the system at the onset of instability. The full nonlinear equations of motion are modeled using the extended Hamilton’s principle and then discretized using Galerkin’s method. A parametric study is first performed, and the Morris elementary effects are calculated to obtain a preliminary understanding of how the onset speed changes when each parameter is introduced to a ± 5% uncertainty. Then, four different input uncertainty distributions, mainly, uniform and Gaussian distribution, are chosen to investigate how input distributions affect uncertainty in the output. A convergence analysis is used to determine the number of samples needed to maintain simulation accuracy while saving the most computational time. Then, Monte Carlo simulations are run, and the output distributions for each input distribution at ± 1%, ± 3% and ± 5% input uncertainty range are found and discussed. Additionally, the Pearson correlation coefficients are evaluated for different uncertainty ranges. A final Monte Carlo study is performed in which single parameters are held constant while all others still have uncertainty. Overall, the flow speed at the onset of instability is the most sensitive to changes in the outer diameter of the pipe.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Forecasting the Decay of Hybrid Perovskite Performance Using Optical Transmittance or Reflected Dark-Field Imaging

The practicality and economic viability of hybrid perovskite solar cells hinge on their operational lifetime, and methods for forecasting the performance of perovskites under different operational stresses are urgently needed. Here, we explore the evolution of material-level optoelectronic properties as MAPbI 3 degrades and discover universal behaviors where the carrier diffusion length (L D ) decays before quasi-Fermi-level splitting (ΔE F ), regardless of the specific stress protocol (oxygen, humidity, thermal stress, or a combination). We employ a machine learning greedy feature selection model that uses initially measured properties to predict the time it takes L D to decrease to 85% of its initial value with a prediction accuracy of 12.8%. This model reveals a strong correlation between the initial rate of transmittance change and the time until loss of transport. We translate this material-level finding to photovoltaic device-level forecasting by demonstrating that the rate of change of transmittance is equivalent to the rate of change of the spatial standard deviation of dark-field image intensity (i.e., scattered light intensity) collected in reflection mode (and thus applicable to devices with opaque contacts). Furthermore, this work demonstrates that transmittance and scattering methods are highly effective for accelerated material (and device) stability evaluation and forecasting.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

High-fidelity multiphysics load following and accidental transient modeling of microreactors using NEAMS tools: Application of NEAMS codes to perform multiphysics modeling analyses of micro-reactor concepts

The feasibility of modeling microreactors using high-fidelity models with the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) tools is investigated in this report. Three overarching questions guided this research: can NEAMS tools readily be applied for high-fidelity multiphysics modeling of different types of transients in microreactor designs; how accurate are the results obtained; and are improvements needed in accuracy or user experience of NEAMS tools, especially considering newly developed capabilities? This work builds upon FY-2022 work, and two microreactor concepts considering heat pipe (HP-MR) and gas-cooled (GC-MR) technologies were further analyzed using high-fidelity multiphysics simulations. The NEAMS tools considered and coupled within the MultiApp environment are Griffin for neutronics, BISON for thermo-mechanics, Sockeye for heat pipe modeling (in HP-MR), SAM for 1D Fluid – 3D solid modeling of coolant channels and system modeling of balance of plant components (in GC-MR), and the SWIFT code for hydrogen redistribution in hydride moderator. The Heat Pipe MicroReactor (HP-MR) concept was further analyzed in FY-2023 to demonstrate the stochastic TRISO failure modeling capability in BISON to check operational limits of the TRISO fuel. A new full-core Gas-Cooled MicroReactor (GC-MR) model was developed based on the initial assembly-model used in Y-2022 and used for steady-state and accidental depressurization transient simulations. Accuracy of the simulations performed was assessed through 1) verification analyses completed on the different physics with code-to-code comparison, and 2) validation of the multiphysics simulations based on modeling of the Kilopower Reactor Using Stirling Technology (KRUSTY) experiment. In FY-2023, the mesh and model of KRUSTY was updated to closely match publicly available data, and the neutronic model was verified and validated against experimental control rod worth measurements. The multiphysics model of KRUSTY was developed and used for steady-state analysis and for modeling reactivity insertion transient. The calculated power increase and stabilization agrees well with experimental data following adjustment in fuel thermal expansion coefficient. As an important component of this project, the ANL team gathered experience with a wide range of NEAMS tools: the MOOSE Mesh System, Griffin, BISON, SWIFT, Sockeye, SAM, Workbench, and the MOOSE MultiApp System, and provided assessment of new capabilities. Noteworthy are the user assessment of the “vapor-only” flow model in Sockeye and development of a multiphysics startup transient in HP-MR unit cell for use as tutorial in Sockeye. The full-core GC-MR model was used for assessment of SAM for balance of plant modeling and for demonstrating the SWIFT code capability for hydrogen redistribution modeling in multiphysics transient analyses. In this process, several bugs/issues were identified and reported to developers. Finally, the assembly GC-MR model developed in FY-2022 coupling Griffin, BISON and SAM through flow blockage and rod ejection transients was published to the National Reactor Innovation Center (NRIC) Virtual Test Bed (VTB). The Heat Pipe MicroReactor (HP-MR) concept high-fidelity multiphysics coupling of Griffin/BISON/Sockeye in load-following and heat pipe failure transients was also published on the VTB. Those submissions are enabling thorough review of these models as well as wide distribution to industry, regulator, and university users. In this analysis, several new research questions were uncovered, and follow-up analyses are recommended to further improve some models, consider additional transients, and continue development of VTB models.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-order accurate solutions of the point kinetics equations with the spectral deferred correction method

Solving initial value problems with higher-order methods can improve the accuracy of the simulation results or the efficiency of the calculation. In this paper, we apply the spectral deferred correction (SDC) method to solve the initial value problem of the point kinetics equations (PKE). SDC is a stable, robust, and efficient high-order time-integration method capable of an arbitrary order of accuracy. For our implementation we show that it is A-stable for orders up to 8 and the order of accuracy is verified for PKE problems with a range of different reactivities. A 5.-order SDC method was then implemented to solve the exact PKE (EPKE) in the Transient Multilevel (TML) method of MPACT. The error from solutions of the EPKE is shown to be negligible. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Pulsar Movement Animation and its Corresponding Signal Visualization for Timing Source

The global positioning system, widely used for synchronization in energy systems, faces vulnerabilities, while Pulsars—natural cosmic clocks—offer long-term stability as potential backup timing sources. Existing research lacks sufficient exploration of Pulsar signal animation under astrophysical factors, limiting practical applications. This study establishes a mathematical model based on the rotation dynamics of dual-beam Pulsars and implements dynamic signal visualization through MATLAB. The model dynamically illustrates the relative motion between Pulsar beams and observers via timeline calculations, beam intensity modeling, and rotation matrix derivation. A case study on the millisecond Pulsar J1939+2134 reveals that observer angles influence signal peak timing, while beam widths determine signal duration, highlighting the critical role of parameter calibration for timing accuracy. Open-source code and animation results are publicly shared, providing tools for interdisciplinary research. This study validates the feasibility of Pulsar-based timing in energy systems, offering new insights to enhance synchronization robustness.

Wu, Ori [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000326723410)↗
DOE OSTI2026

EXERGETIC: De-Risking Next-Generation Resilient Geothermal Hybrids via At-Scale Evaluation Using Virtual Emulation Digital Twin Environment for Efficient Operation

The DOE-GTO-funded project, award number 5.1.2.12, entitled "EXERGETIC - De-risking Next Generation Resilient Geothermal Hybrids via at-Scale Evaluation Using a Virtual Emulation Digital Twin Environment for Efficient Operation," advances the solution to these challenges by developing and validating a geothermal co-emulation environment implemented at the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR)'s Advanced Research on Integrated Energy Systems (ARIES) platform. This framework enables the de-risking of next-generation geothermal and geothermal hybrid systems through high-fidelity modeling, real-time digital emulation, advanced control strategies, and techno-economic assessment. The project focused on geothermal hybrid configurations that integrate geothermal power plants with concentrated solar power and underground thermal energy storage, enabling enhanced efficiency, flexibility, and grid support capabilities. The main goal of this project was the development of a geothermal digital co-emulation environment to demonstrate the technical and economic value of geothermal hybrid systems and their contribution to grid stability and flexibility. The EXERGETIC framework combined physics-based models, controls, and real assets at ARIES, including digital real-time simulators (DRTS), a 20-MW-scale controllable grid interface (CGI), and a 2-MW conventional generator. Detailed transient models were developed for the key subsystems of a hybrid geothermal plant, including parabolic trough solar collectors, reservoir thermal energy storage (RTES), and a binary Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) power plant. The ORC model explicitly captured thermal inertia and off-design operation and integrated control strategies to dynamically respond to electric load profiles. The models were validated against published experimental and numerical studies, demonstrating strong agreement and confirming the accuracy and robustness of the modeling approach. The resulting digital twin represents geothermal-solar-storage systems at multiple scales (1 MW to 100 MW) and enables realistic emulation of grid-connected operation. The control architecture allows the geothermal resource to provide stable baseload generation, while solar and stored thermal energy supply flexible, dispatchable support during periods of high demand or variable grid conditions. A key contribution of the EXERGETIC project is the demonstration that geothermal hybrid systems can be designed to be active grid assets rather than passive baseload generators. Using the ARIES platform, the digital twin was evaluated under multiple grid scenarios, including load following, voltage support at the distribution level, and frequency response at the transmission level. Results show that hybrid geothermal systems can respond effectively to dynamic grid conditions, providing inertia-like behavior, primary frequency support, and voltage regulation through coordinated control. In addition to the performance and grid services capability analysis of geothermal and hybrid geothermal systems, the EXERGETIC project also focused on scalability and techno-economic analysis of geothermal hybrid plants. In particular, for the scalability analysis, machine-learning (ML)-based surrogate models were trained using data generated from the geothermal digital twin under different grid-connected scenarios and plant capacities. These ML models demonstrated strong interpolation and extrapolation capabilities across plant sizes, accurately reproducing both steady-state and transient responses with very low errors. Regarding the techno-economic analysis, plant performance results were integrated with cost models for hybrid geothermal systems, and the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) was used as the main economic metric to evaluate system performance across a range of system capacities, solar shares, solar multiples, and storage durations. Results indicate that economies of scale significantly reduce geothermal LCOE as plant capacity increases, with large-scale systems (25-100 MW) achieving substantially lower costs than small plants. Hybridization with solar thermal energy and storage further improves economic performance by increasing capacity utilization and enabling flexible dispatch. In addition, thermal storage plays a critical role in reducing LCOE by maximizing geothermal, solar, and stored energy resources. In summary, the results from this project demonstrate that geothermal hybrid systems represent a promising alternative for increasing the energy conversion efficiency of geothermal technologies, contributing to the preservation of geothermal resources, and supporting the transition of geothermal plants from traditional baseload resources into flexible, resilient, and cost-competitive energy conversion technologies.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Unified Metric for Fast Frequency Response in Low-Inertia Power Systems

Future power systems with more inverter-based resources (IBRs), will be vulnerable to frequency decline contingencies. Fast frequency response (FFR) provided by IBRs is a good candidate to arrest frequency excursions. Diverse types of FFR have been proposed, and some have been deployed in our power systems. Without a unified quantification of FFR, it is hard for the grid operators to compare and fully leverage the FFR capabilities of IBRs. This work introduces a potential unified metric that quantifies two key characteristics of FFR and describes its application to three prevailing FFR types. We then use metric-to-frequency mapping to validate the accuracy of the metric in predicting the impact of a given FFR on the trajectory of a frequency event. The results show that the proposed metric is simple yet accurately captures the ability of diverse forms of FFR to improve system frequency dynamics.

effective inertia↗