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DOE OSTI2021

Simulation of dynamic crystal plasticity with a Lagrangian discontinuous Galerkin hydrodynamic method

Here we present a new Lagrangian modal discontinuous Galerkin (DG) hydrodynamic method that supports a dynamic dislocation based crystal plasticity model for simulating the mechanical behavior of crystallographic materials, both single crystal and polycrystalline, under dynamic conditions. A modal DG approach is used to evolve fields relevant to conservation laws. These fields are approximated by Taylor series polynomials of varying degree. These polynomials describe macro-scale hydrodynamic behavior while their evolution is determined by evaluating the dynamic crystal plasticity model at material points within the element. The dynamic crystal plasticity model is sensitive to the time increment size, with too large of time increments leading to instability in the model. To mitigate this, the temporal evolution of the dynamic crystal plasticity model is achieved with the combination of a sub-incrementing scheme with Heun’s third-order time integration scheme, which is also used to temporally evolve the governing equations. The implementation of the dynamic crystal plasticity model within the DG framework is tested using a 2D approximation of the Taylor impact test with a single crystal material, using quadratic elements that have faces that can bend. In addition to the standard continuous material modeling, we propose a new simulation method that would represent the heterogeneous behavior of polycrystalline microstructures within an element by varying the position and material properties of the material points within the element. This method is demonstrated using random orientation distributions on materials points that are arranged in both structured and random configurations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Numerical Investigation of Enhanced Dehumidification Processes By Using Dielectrophoresis Principles in Moist Airflows

Dispersed particle-laden flows are encountered in many building and industrial applications, such as flow in a fluidized bed, hydrocarbon transportation in pipelines, and the fouling of air-cooled heat exchangers (Kuruneru et al., 2016; Ray et al., 2019; Wang et al., 2019). Computational fluid dynamic (CFD) models have been developed in recent years to depict particle-fluid and particle-particle interactions in laminar or turbulent flows with increasing accuracy and stability. One particular particle-laden system of interest for moisture control is electrically-enhanced condensation in air and water droplet flows. Electrically-enhanced condensation consists of the use of highly charged water droplets injected in the moist air. The droplets become electric seeds that attract polar water vapor molecules to their surfaces and promote condensation. The nucleation and growth of the charged droplets deplete the vapor phase near a droplet, which is compensated for by the dielectrophoresis flow and diffusion. Dielectrophoresis flow involves surrounding vapor at a distance of about 10 to 100 nm for droplets charged by an electrospray compared to ~2 nm for a single electron charge in a droplet. As the vapor molecules collapse on the surface of the droplets, their initial electrical charge decreases with time due to the neutralization of the ions. While the physics of this phenomena is well known, engineering models for predicting the condensation rates are not available. This work computationally investigates dehumidification of moist airflow in a converging rectangular duct. The objective is to develop an engineering model that predicts water vapor condensation by employing dielectrophoresis principles. We construct a Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) model of the duct with electrically-enhanced condensation. The model is implemented in the open-source software OpenFOAM. We utilize the Multi-Phase Particle-In-Cell (MP-PIC) method coupled with a Population Balance Equation (PBE) approach to simulate the particle-laden system. This methodology is an Eulerian-Lagrangian approach used to simulate the droplets' behavior in the humid air. The MP-PIC approach (Andrews and O'Rourke, 1996) mitigates the computational cost by parceling several fundamental particles with similar properties (such as types, sizes, and temperature) into one computational particle. Thus, the billions of particles can be substituted by millions of computational particles without significant loss of information. The PBE was considered with the Lagrangian frame to combine the particle distribution function used in MP-PIC (Kim et al., 2020). This approach preserves mass and energy conservation between the phases in the Eulerian and Lagrangian structures. The PBE in this procedure was directly linked to the discrete parcels, making the simulation of the particle distribution computationally efficient and robust. The MP-PIC-PBE approach used in the present work was applied to the dehumidification of air. Water droplets were injected in the air stream and forced to grow according to experimentally derived correlation. The experiments were conducted on a converging duct with the same geometry and boundary conditions used to build the CFD model. This approach enabled us to approximate the effect of dielectrophoresis phenomena on the droplet and air interface. This presentation will discuss the details of the new CFD model built for the duct, the implementation of the model in OpenFOAM CFD programming language, and the experimental validation of the newly developed model. The results revealed a moderate yet measurable increase in droplet diameter due to water vapor condensation at the vapor-liquid interface of the electrically charged droplets' surface. The seed water droplet particles grew in size by capturing the water vapor in the surrounding air. The OpenFOAM model predicted reductions of humidity in the air from 5 to 10 percent.

Yel Mahi, Maliha↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Semi-Empirical Density Law for Ternary, Homogeneous PuCl 3 /HCl/H 2 O Solutions

Nuclear material operations pose unique hazards that are not encountered in other chemical, energy, or manufacturing industries. One of these hazards is the potential for a nuclear criticality accident when handling fissile isotopes such as 235 U and 239 Pu. These hazards are particularly high when fissile material is dissolved in solution as the neutron behaviors of the system can change rapidly with the physical and chemical changes accessible in solution. Current estimates of solution density used for criticality safety are outdated and hinder fissile material handling. Developing new estimates for these safety calculations requires experimental characterization and the derivation of empirical density models. We have derived a density law describing PuCl 3 /HCl/H 2 O solutions from experimental data characterizing solution density. Density data was treated using a Pitzer-derived eight-parameter equation, defining density as a function of analyte concentrations, temperature, and interactions between these variables. The model is predictive across the concentration and temperature ranges from which it was derived. The potential effects of varying oxidation states of plutonium, which are easily accessible in aqueous media, on the bulk solution density of the ternary system were also investigated. The resulting Pitzer-derived density law was applied to a nuclear criticality safety model, and the impact of the experimental characterization of solution density relative to previous estimates was demonstrated to be significant and suggest that the current approach to estimating density in nuclear criticality safety calculations may lead to overly conservative controls.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Numerical algorithms for water waves with background flow over obstacles and topography

Abstract We present two accurate and efficient algorithms for solving the incompressible, irrotational Euler equations with a free surface in two dimensions with background flow over a periodic, multiply connected fluid domain that includes stationary obstacles and variable bottom topography. One approach is formulated in terms of the surface velocity potential while the other evolves the vortex sheet strength. Both methods employ layer potentials in the form of periodized Cauchy integrals to compute the normal velocity of the free surface, are compatible with arbitrary parameterizations of the free surface and boundaries, and allow for circulation around each obstacle, which leads to multiple-valued velocity potentials but single-valued stream functions. We prove that the resulting second-kind Fredholm integral equations are invertible, possibly after a physically motivated finite-rank correction. In an angle-arclength setting, we show how to avoid curve reconstruction errors that are incompatible with spatial periodicity. We use the proposed methods to study gravity-capillary waves generated by flow around several elliptical obstacles above a flat or variable bottom boundary. In each case, the free surface eventually self-intersects in a splash singularity or collides with a boundary. We also show how to evaluate the velocity and pressure with spectral accuracy throughout the fluid, including near the free surface and solid boundaries. To assess the accuracy of the time evolution, we monitor energy conservation and the decay of Fourier modes and compare the numerical results of the two methods to each other. We implement several solvers for the discretized linear systems and compare their performance. The fastest approach employs a graphics processing unit (GPU) to construct the matrices and carry out iterations of the generalized minimal residual method (GMRES).

Ambrose, David M.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Correlations of conserved quantities at finite baryon density

Correlations involving the seven conserved quantities, namely energy, baryon number, electric charge, strangeness, and the three components of momentum, give rise to correlations in heavy-ion collisions. Through the utilization of a simple one-dimensional hydrodynamic model, we calculate the evolution of the entire 7×7 matrix of correlations as a function of relative spatial rapidity. This comprehensive analysis accounts for finite baryon density, which results in off-diagonal correlations between the charge-related quantities and the energy-momentum quantities. These correlations in coordinate space are subsequently transformed into correlations in momentum space using statistical weighting. As a result, the entire matrix of correlations is revealed to be highly sensitive to the equation of state, viscosity, and diffusivity.

Equations of state of nuclear matter↗

DOE OSTI2024

Quantum field theory, worldline theory, and spin magnitude change in orbital evolution

A previous paper [Z. Bern et al., Binary dynamics through the fifth power of spin at 𝑂⁡(𝐺 2 ), Phys. Rev. Lett. 130, 201402 (2023)] identified a puzzle stemming from the amplitudes-based approach to spinning bodies in general relativity: additional Wilson coefficients appear compared to current worldline approaches to conservative dynamics of generic astrophysical objects, including neutron stars. In this paper we clarify the nature of analogous Wilson coefficients in the simpler theory of electrodynamics. We analyze the original field-theory construction, identifying definite-spin states some of which have negative norms, and relating the additional Wilson coefficients in the classical theory to transitions between different quantum spin states. We produce a new version of the theory which also has additional Wilson coefficients, but no negative-norm states. We match, through 𝒪⁡(𝛼 2 ) and 𝒪⁡(𝑆 2 ), the Compton amplitudes of these field theories with those of a modified worldline theory with extra degrees of freedom introduced by releasing the spin supplementary condition. We build an effective two-body Hamiltonian that matches the impulse and spin kick of the modified field theory and of the worldline theory, displaying additional Wilson coefficients compared to standard worldline approaches. The results are then compactly expressed in terms of an eikonal formula. Our key conclusion is that, contrary to standard approaches, while the magnitude of the spin tensor is still conserved, the magnitude of the spin vector can change under conserved Hamiltonian dynamics and this change is governed by the additional Wilson coefficients. For specific values of Wilson coefficients the results are equivalent to those from a definite spin obeying the spin supplementary condition, but for generic values they are physically inequivalent. These results warrant detailed studies of the corresponding issues in general relativity.

classical black holes↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Review of the Resuspension of Radioactively Contaminated Particles by Vehicle and Pedestrian Traffic—Current Theory, Practice, Gaps, and Needs

Here, the resuspension of radioactively contaminated particles in a built environment, such as from urban surfaces like foliage, building exteriors, and roadways, is described empirically by current plume and dosimetry models used for hazard assessment and long-term risk purposes. When applying these models to radiological contamination emergencies affecting urban areas, the accuracy of the results for recent contamination deposition is impacted in two main ways. First, the data supporting the underlying resuspension equations was acquired for open, quiescent conditions with no vehicle traffic or human activities, so it is not necessarily representative of the urban environment. Second, mechanical disturbance by winds in urban canyons and during emergency operations caused by vehicle traffic and human activities are not directly considered by the equations. Accordingly, plume and dosimetry models allow the user to input certain compensating values, but the models do not necessarily supply users instructions on what values to use. This manuscript reviews the available literature to comprehensively and consistently pool data for resuspension due to mechanically induced resuspension applicable to urban contamination. Because there are few studies that directly measured radioactive resuspension due to vehicles and pedestrians, this review novelly draws on a range of other studies involving non-radioactive particles, ranging from outdoor air pollution emissions to indoor allergen transport. The results lead to tabulated, recommended values for specific conditions in the emergency phase to help users of plume and dosimetry models maintain the conservativeness needed to properly capture the potential radiation dose posed by mechanically induced resuspension. These values are of benefit to model users until better data are available. The results also suggest the types of data that may result in improved plume and dose modeling.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Development and Evaluation of Distributed Energy Resource Device Models: Electric Vehicles, Electric Water Heaters, and Commercial Refrigeration Systems

In order to validate distributed energy resource (DER) models operated with grid services in the GMLC 1.4.2 team’s February (GMLC 2019a) and July (GMLC 2019b) reports, a test and measurement program using actual DER devices was conducted by national laboratories for three devices: (1) electric vehicles (EVs), (2) water heaters, and (3) commercial refrigeration. Test procedures were developed and carried out to identify the mathematical models and their parameters that describe the operational function, characterize the physics, and obey transient response of the devices. This report focuses on the experimental results obtained to develop and verify simulations of three specific EV models. This section summarizes elements of the mathematical model and shows the necessity data collected from the EVs while charging and discharging (driving). In the course of the study, we found it necessary to make some modifications to the model to deal with observed transient behavior. Section 1.2 details the model assumptions and equations, Section 1.3 provides details of the EVs tested, Section 1.4 outlines the test procedures developed for the projects, and Section 1.5 presents the experimental results obtained for the three different EVs tested and how these results compare to the models running the same test profiles.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Tree hydrodynamic modelling of the soil–plant–atmosphere continuum using FETCH3

Modelling the water transport along the soil–plant–atmosphere continuum is fundamental to estimating and predicting transpiration fluxes. A Finite-difference Ecosystem-scale Tree Crown Hydrodynamics model (FETCH3) for the water fluxes across the soil–plant–atmosphere continuum is presented here. The model combines the water transport pathways into one vertical dimension, and assumes that the water flow through the soil, roots, and above-ground xylem can be approximated as flow in porous media. This results in a system of three partial differential equations, resembling the Richardson–Richards equation, describing the transport of water through the plant system and with additional terms representing sinks and sources for the transfer of water from the soil to the roots and from the leaves to the atmosphere. The numerical scheme, developed in Python 3, was tested against exact analytical solutions for steady state and transient conditions using simplified but realistic model parameterizations. The model was also used to simulate a previously published case study, where observed transpiration rates were available, to evaluate model performance. With the same model setup as the published case study, FETCH3 results were in agreement with observations. Through a rigorous coupling of soil, root xylem, and stem xylem, FETCH3 can account for variable water capacitance, while conserving mass and the continuity of the water potential between these three layers. FETCH3 provides a ready-to-use open access numerical model for the simulation of water fluxes across the soil–plant–atmosphere continuum.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

A collision operator for describing dissipation in noncanonical phase space

The phase space of a noncanonical Hamiltonian system is partially inaccessible due to dynamical constraints (Casimir invariants) arising from the kernel of the Poisson tensor. When an ensemble of noncanonical Hamiltonian systems is allowed to interact, dissipative processes eventually break the phase space constraints, resulting in a thermodynamic equilibrium described by a Maxwell–Boltzmann distribution. However, the time scale required to reach Maxwell–Boltzmann statistics is often much longer than the time scale over which a given system achieves a state of thermal equilibrium. Examples include diffusion in rigid mechanical systems, as well as collisionless relaxation in magnetized plasmas and stellar systems, where the interval between binary Coulomb or gravitational collisions can be longer than the time scale over which stable structures are self-organized. Here, we focus on self-organizing phenomena over spacetime scales such that particle interactions respect the noncanonical Hamiltonian structure, but yet act to create a state of thermodynamic equilibrium. We derive a collision operator for general noncanonical Hamiltonian systems, applicable to fast, localized interactions. This collision operator depends on the interaction exchanged by colliding particles and on the Poisson tensor encoding the noncanonical phase space structure, is consistent with entropy growth and conservation of particle number and energy, preserves the interior Casimir invariants, reduces to the Landau collision operator in the limit of grazing binary Coulomb collisions in canonical phase space, and exhibits a metriplectic structure. We further show how thermodynamic equilibria depart from Maxwell–Boltzmann statistics due to the noncanonical phase space structure, and how self-organization and collisionless relaxation in magnetized plasmas and stellar systems can be described through the derived collision operator.

Boltzmann equation↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding Catalyst ‘Volcano’ Dependence Through Fermi-Level Controlled Kinetics Using Electronic Theory

The ubiquitous two-step Michaelis–Menten and Temkin–Boudart reaction mechanisms are extended to include the influence of the catalyst electronic subsystem in a 5-step mechanism. The resulting kinetic equation provides an alternative explanation for the well-known volcano-shaped dependence found in catalysis. The equilibrium constants of fast electronic steps are highlighted for their influence on adsorption and desorption through the relative concentration of charged versus neutral intermediates. This generalized concept can be widely applied to determine the optimal catalyst, based on the Fermi level of the material, for reactions proceeding via this universal reaction.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Axion anomalies

We study fermions derivatively coupled to axion-like or pseudoscalar fields, and show that the axial vector current of the fermions is not conserved in the limit where the fermion is massless. This apparent violation of the classical chiral symmetry is due to the background axion field. We compute the contributions to this anomalous Ward identity due to the pseudoscalar field alone, which arise in Minkowski space, as well as the effects due to an interaction with an external gravitational field. For the case of massless fermions, these interactions induce terms in the axion effective action that can be removed by the addition of local counterterms. We demonstrate that these counterterms are generated by the transformation of the path integral measure when transforming the theory from a form where the chiral symmetry is manifest to one where the symmetry is only apparent after using the classical equations of motion. We work perturbatively in Minkowski space and include the effects of interactions with a linearized gravitational field. Using the heat kernel method, we study the transformation properties of the path integral measure, and include the effects of non-linear gravity as well as interactions with gauge fields. Finally, we verify our relation by considering derivatively coupled fermions during pseudoscalar-driven inflation and computing the divergence of the axial current in de Sitter spacetime.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2020

Nonoverlapping Localized Exponential Time Differencing Methods for Diffusion Problems

In this paper, we propose nonoverlapping localized exponential time differencing (ETD) methods for diffusion problems. The model time-dependent diffusion equation is first reformulated on subdomains based on the nonoverlapping domain decomposition, in which Neumann boundary conditions are imposed on the interfaces for the subdomain problems and Dirichlet type conditions are enforced to form a space-time interface problem. After spatial discretization by standard central finite differences and temporal integration with the first or second order ETD methods, the fully discrete interface problem is obtained. Such an interface problem is then solved iteratively either at each time step or over the whole time interval: the former involves the solution of stationary problems in each subdomain at each iteration while the latter involves the solution of time-dependent subdomain problems at each iteration. For both approaches, we prove that localized ETD solutions conserve mass exactly and converge in time to the exact space semidiscrete solution. Numerical experiments in two dimensions are also presented to illustrate the performance of the proposed methods.

Mass conservation↗

DOE OSTI2023

Multi-mode quasi-static excitation for systems with nonlinear joints

Finite element models can be used to model and predict the hysteresis and energy dissipation exhibited by nonlinear joints in structures. As a result of the nonlinearity, the frequency and damping of a mode is dependent on excitation amplitude, and when the modes remain uncoupled, quasi-static modal analysis has been shown to efficiently predict this behavior. However, in some cases the modes have been observed to couple such that the frequency and damping of one mode is dependent on the amplitude of other modes. To model the interactions between modes, one must integrate the dynamic equations in time, which is several orders of magnitude more expensive than quasi-static analysis. This work explores an alternative where quasi-static forces are applied in the shapes of two or more modes of vibration simultaneously, and the resulting load–displacement curves are used to deduce the effect of other modes on the effective frequency and damping of the mode in question. This methodology is demonstrated on a simple 2D cantilever beam structure with a single bolted joint which exhibits micro-slip nonlinearity over a range of vibration amplitudes. The predicted frequency and damping are compared with those extracted from a few expensive dynamic simulations of the structure, showing that the quasi-static approach produces reasonable albeit highly conservative bounds on the observed dynamics. This framework is also demonstrated on a 3D structure where dynamic simulations are infeasible.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

From Existing and New Nuclear and Astrophysical Constraints to Stringent Limits on the Equation of State of Neutron-Rich Dense Matter

Through continuous progress in nuclear theory and experiment and an increasing number of neutron-star (NS) observations, a multitude of information about the equation of state (EOS) for matter at extreme densities is available. To constrain the EOS across its entire density range, this information needs to be combined consistently. However, the impact and model dependency of individual observations vary. Given their growing number, assessing the various methods is crucial to compare the respective effects on the EOS and discover potential biases. For this purpose, we present a broad compendium of different constraints and apply them individually to a large set of EOS candidates within a Bayesian framework. Specifically, we explore different ways of how chiral effective field theory and perturbative quantum chromodynamics can be used to place a likelihood on EOS candidates. We also investigate the impact of nuclear experimental constraints, as well as different radio and x-ray observations of NS masses and radii. This is augmented by reanalyses of the existing data from binary neutron star coalescences, in particular of GW170817, with improved models for the tidal waveform and kilonova light curves, which we also utilize to construct a tight upper limit of 2.39 M ⊙ on the TOV mass based on GW170817’s remnant. Our diverse set of constraints is eventually combined to obtain stringent limits on NS properties. We organize the combination in a way to distinguish between constraints where the systematic uncertainties are deemed small and those that rely on less conservative assumptions. For the former, we find the radius of the canonical 1.4 M ⊙ neutron star to be R 1.4 = 12.2 6 − 0.91 + 0.80 km and the TOV mass at M TOV = 2.2 5 − 0.22 + 0.42 M ⊙ (95% credibility). Including all the presented constraints yields R 1.4 = 12.2 0 − 0.48 + 0.50 km and M TOV = 2.3 0 − 0.20 + 0.07 M ⊙ . When comparing these limits to individual data points, we find that the quoted radius of HESS J1731-347 displays noticeable tension with other constraints. Constraining microphysical properties of the EOS proves more challenging. For instance, the symmetry energy slope is restricted to L sym = 48 − 25 + 21 MeV , where this constraint is mainly dominated by our reanalysis of the PREX-II and CREX experiment. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Efficient Bayesian inference with latent Hamiltonian neural networks in No-U-Turn Sampling

When sampling for Bayesian inference, one popular approach in the computational field is to use Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and specifically the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), which automatically decides the end time of the Hamiltonian trajectory. However, HMC and NUTS can require numerous numerical gradients of the target density and can prove slow in practice when relying on computationally expensive forward models. We propose Latent Hamiltonian neural networks (L-HNNs) with HMC and NUTS for solving Bayesian inference problems. Once trained, L-HNNs do not require numerical gradients of the target density during sampling, and hence numerous evaluations of the forward computational model. Moreover, L-HNNs satisfy important properties such as perfect time reversibility and Hamiltonian conservation, making them well-suited for use within HMC and NUTS because stationarity can be shown. We also propose the integration of L-HNNs in an online error monitoring scheme, in which numerical gradients of the target density are used for a few samples whenever the L-HNNs prediction errors are large. This online error monitor scheme prevents sample degeneracy in regions of low probability density and ensures robust uncertainty quantification. We demonstrate L-HNNs in NUTS with online error monitoring on several analytical examples involving complex, heavy-tailed, and high-local-curvature probability densities. We then demonstrate the applicability of L-HNNs in NUTS to two computational case studies, namely the Allen-Cahn stochastic partial differential equation and an elliptic partial differential equation with 25 and 50 inference parameters, respectively. Overall, the L-HNNs in NUTS with online error monitoring satisfactorily inferred these probability densities. In conclusion, compared to traditional NUTS, L-HNNs in NUTS with online error monitoring required 1–2 orders of magnitude fewer numerical gradients of the target density and improved the effective sample size (ESS) per gradient (which is a measure of both the sampling quality and the computational expense) by an order of magnitude.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Thermal Management System for an Electric Machine With Additively Manufactured Hollow Conductors With Integrated Heat Pipes

Here, this paper discusses steps taken to develop a novel thermal management system for an aircraft propulsion electric machine containing additively manufactured coils integrated with heat pipes aimed at boosting its specific power. Experimental setups are used to size and characterize heat pipes for the application and 3D thermal finite element analysis is used to determine optimum heat transfer coefficient of the convective boundaries. For some of the convective boundaries, fin-based surface area enhancement is required to reach a target combined overall heat transfer coefficient and surface area performance (UA). This enhancement is worked out using a combination of the Engineering Equation Solver tool and 3D thermal FEA. The thermal management system's UA, and by extension its specific power, sensitivity to coolant temperature is explored. Temperature distribution plots of optimized machine components are also presented and discussed. Lastly, additional heat pipe testing is carried out to study its maximum heat transfer capability's sensitivity to condenser coolant temperature and configuration.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Agent-based simulations of shared automated vehicle operations: reflecting travel-party size, season and day-of-week demand variations

Here, this paper explores the effects of day of week and season of year demand variations for shared rides, along with realistic travel party sizes, on shared autonomous vehicle (SAV) services across the Austin, Texas region. Using the agent-based POLARIS program, synthetic person-trips that reflect travel-party size (from one to four persons) and demand variations over days and months, as evident in the National Household Travel Survey data were simulated in each scenario over a 24 h travel day. Results show that realistic party sizes can bring considerable changes to SAV fleet performance, including up to 8.5% higher service rates (number of requests accepted within 15 min), 5 min shorter journey times (wait time + travel time), 28% higher vehicle occupancies on weekends, and roughly 4% lower empty fleet VMT. Weekend travel is most impacted by season of year, with weekday travel patterns looking more uniform (thanks to work and school trips). Various performance metrics for the Austin network, like total and empty VMT, change by up to 30% when considering realistic variations in party size and time of year. This paper underscores the value of recognizing day-to-day and month-to-month variations in travel demand, and the importance of agent-based model equations to reflect travel-party size. Such realism can help quantify SAV seat occupancies more accurately, highlighting the importance of shared mobility. However, it also creates demand and supply issues for operators that now need more information on party size to manage dynamic ride-sharing, or those that may wish to shift their fleet vehicles to other regions for special events to protect profits while offering reasonable wait times to customers throughout the year.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗