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At least 451 records · Page 25

Implementation of low-burnup swelling focused assessment case and enhancement of FIPD-BISON integration framework

This report summarizes the activities and achievements made by Argonne National Laboratory for the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) BISON code metallic fuel validation and verification (V&V) project in FY2023, with a focus on the capability development and assessment case development for steady state irradiation experiments. The X423 IFR experiment assessment case, which is focused on the evaluation of low burnup swelling behavior of both binary and ternary metallic fuel, has been developed. It covers 58 fuel pins with various fuel compositions and 158 sets of post-irradiation examination (PIE) data with burnup ranging from ~0.5 at.% to ~5.0 at.%, providing a powerful tool within BISON for the calibration, evaluation, verification and validation of both existing and future metallic fuel swelling models at low burnup. Meanwhile, the X447 IFR experiment assessment case established in FY2022 was enhanced to utilize the latest advanced features in BISON, such as automatic differentiation and Mortar contact models. With such enhancements, especially the Mortar mechanical contact model with friction, BISON is now capable of predicting axial fuel growth that is consistent with experimental measurements. Additionally, during the development, gaps and potential scopes were identified and explorative efforts were made, providing insight for future works.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Numerical investigation of mixing and heat transfer in a 7.9 m JP-8 pool fire

The response of objects engulfed in, and adjacent to, large-scale pool fires is of interest in accident and safety assessments. In this study, Fuego, a low-Mach turbulent reacting flow code was used to study conjugate heat transfer in a 7.9 m diameter JP-8 pool fire. Simulations were designed to replicate past experimental measurements (Blanchat et al., 2006) of incident heat flux to three cylindrical calorimeters in and around the pool fire. Two turbulent combustion models were compared directly - the eddy dissipation concept and a more recently developed unsteady flamelet model. First and second order spatial and temporal discretization schemes were also compared to assess the performance of low-dissipation numerical operators. Heat flux predictions to the transportation size calorimeter outside the fire were within experimental uncertainties. Inside the fire, experimental measurements were higher than predicted values and may have been a consequence of soot deposition and augmented participating media radiation from soot and fuel vapor. Simulation predictions improved in cases where turbulent kinetic energy and mixing were more resolved. This work, and others referenced herein, suggest that spatial resolution on the order of 0.5–1.0 cm may be required to fully resolve fluid instabilities, vortex production between fire plumes and crosswind, soot production, and fuel-air mixing. This presents a substantial computational challenge for safety assessments of engulfed objects in fully turbulent pool fires.

Conjugate heat transfer↗

R&D for Safety Codes and Standards: Hydrogen Behavior

Overall objectives of the project are: Develop a science & engineering basis for the release, ignition, and combustion behavior of hydrogen across its range of use (including high pressure and cryogenic); and, Facilitate the assessment of the safety (risk) of hydrogen systems and enable use of that information for revising regulations, codes, and standards (RCS), and permitting hydrogen fueling stations.

08 HYDROGEN↗

The report of Task Group 100 of the AAPM: Application of risk analysis methods to radiation therapy quality management

The increasing complexity of modern radiation therapy planning and delivery challenges traditional prescriptive quality management (QM) methods, such as many of those included in guidelines published by organizations such as the AAPM, ASTRO, ACR, ESTRO, and IAEA. These prescriptive guidelines have traditionally focused on monitoring all aspects of the functional performance of radiotherapy (RT) equipment by comparing parameters against tolerances set at strict but achievable values. Many errors that occur in radiation oncology are not due to failures in devices and software; rather they are failures in workflow and process. A systematic understanding of the likelihood and clinical impact of possible failures throughout a course of radiotherapy is needed to direct limit QM resources efficiently to produce maximum safety and quality of patient care. Task Group 100 of the AAPM has taken a broad view of these issues and has developed a framework for designing QM activities, based on estimates of the probability of identified failures and their clinical outcome through the RT planning and delivery process. The Task Group has chosen a specific radiotherapy process required for “intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT)” as a case study. The goal of this work is to apply modern risk-based analysis techniques to this complex RT process in order to demonstrate to the RT community that such techniques may help identify more effective and efficient ways to enhance the safety and quality of our treatment processes. The task group generated by consensus an example quality management program strategy for the IMRT process performed at the institution of one of the authors. This report describes the methodology and nomenclature developed, presents the process maps, FMEAs, fault trees, and QM programs developed, and makes suggestions on how this information could be used in the clinic. The development and implementation of risk-assessment techniques will make radiation therapy safer and more efficient.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Energy and Energy Cost Savings Analysis of the 2018 IECC for Commercial Buildings

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Building Energy Codes Program supports the development and implementation of building energy codes and standards, which set minimum requirements for energy-efficient design and construction for new and renovated buildings, and impact energy use and greenhouse gas emissions for the life of buildings. As required by federal statute (42 USC 6833), DOE recently issued a determination that ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2016 would achieve greater energy efficiency in buildings compared to the 2013 edition of the standard. In support of DOE’s determination, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) conducted an energy savings analysis for Standard 90.1-2016 (DOE 2017). While Standard 90.1 is the national model energy standard for commercial buildings (42 USC 6833), many states have historically adopted the International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) for both residential and commercial buildings. This report provides an assessment as to whether new buildings constructed to the commercial energy efficiency provisions of the 2018 IECC would save energy and energy costs as compared to the 2015 IECC.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The international implications of national and local coordination on building energy codes: Case studies in six cities

Building energy efficiency is an important strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions globally. In fact, 55 countries have included building energy efficiency in their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. This research uses building energy code implementation in six cities across different continents as case studies to assess what it may take for countries to implement the ambitions of their energy efficiency goals. Specifically, we look at the cases of Bogota, Colombia; Da Nang, Vietnam; Eskisehir, Turkey; Mexico City, Mexico; Rajkot, India; and Tshwane, South Africa, all of which are “deep dive” cities under the Sustainable Energy for All's Building Efficiency Accelerator. The research focuses on understanding the baseline with existing gaps in implementation and coordination. The methodology used a combination of surveys on code status and interviews with stakeholders at the local and national level, as well as review of published documents. We looked at code development, implementation, and evaluation. The cities are all working to improve implementation, however, the challenges they currently face include gaps in resources, capacity, tools, and institutions to check for compliance. Better coordination between national and local governments could help improve implementation, but that coordination is not yet well established. For example, all six of the cities reported that there was little to no involvement of local stakeholders in development of the national code; only one city reported that it had access to national funding to support code implementation. More robust coordination could better link cities with capacity building and funding for compliance, and ensure that the code reflects local priorities. By understanding gaps in implementation, it can also help in designing more targeted interventions to scale up energy savings.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Characteristics of Vertical Ground Motions and Their Effect on the Seismic Response of Bridges in the Near-Field: A State-of-the-Art Review

Despite the evidence from past earthquakes and several numerical investigations demonstrating the detrimental impact of vertical ground motions (VGMs) on the integrity of bridge structures, incorporating their effects into seismic assessment and design procedures has traditionally been given limited consideration. Current codes utilize rather simplistic approaches to account for the concurrent effects of vertical and horizontal motions in structural performance evaluations, potentially leading to unconservative estimates of structural demands. This paper reviews the main features of VGMs and their effect on the seismic response of bridges. The methods and empirical models available to estimate vertical motions for design purposes are discussed, and research gaps and related research needs are identified. Finally, the emerging role of physics-based ground-motion simulations, as well as their limitations, in supporting future research and informing the development of simplified design procedures is examined. The main areas of interest for future research are identified in the need to carry out systematic sensitivity studies to gain insight into the main earthquake parameters that influence key VGMs features, understand the influence of soil nonlinearities on VGMs amplitude and frequency content, inform the development of empirical models that cover a range of site conditions and source-to-site distances where current models are poorly constrained, generate arrays of motions to update coherency models to properly inform the analysis of distributed infrastructure, investigate the impulsive character of VGMs, and assess the approximations made in estimating VGMs with 1D site response analyses. Furthermore, specific focus is laid on large-magnitude earthquakes in the near-field.

Asynchronous ground motion↗

Qualitative Risk Assessment of Legacy Wells within the Estimated Prairie State Generating Company Area of Review

This report details the digitization of a legacy wellbore database, including data processing assumptions, parameter estimation, and risk assessment methodology. The database, comprising 6,454 documents, was provided by ISGS. It includes valuable data from the Prairie State Generating Company (PSGC) and One Earth Energy (OEE) sites of the CarbonSAFE Phase III – Illinois Storage Corridor project. The report focuses on wells within a 15-mile radius from the Lively Grove #1 (LG#1) well at PSGC site, evaluating subsurface conditions and potential risks. A total of 4,386 wellbores within 15 miles of the LG#1 well were filtered based on depth and formation codes. LG#1 is the stratigraphic well at the PSGC site drilled in 2021. Ninety-four (94) wells penetrating the Maquoketa Shale Group (the primary confining unit) within the estimated area-of-review (AoR) for the PSGC site were evaluated using a qualitative risk assessment (QRA) methodology. The QRA developed by Arbad et al. 2022 focuses on legacy wells within the AoR and categorizes them based on well construction details. The QRA identifies wells that need immediate attention by categorizing them based on penetration depth and protection. Wells within the AoR were categorized into nine groups based on penetrations and protections. These categories range from Type 1 wells, with no documentation, to Type 9 wells, which do not penetrate the primary confining unit or storage reservoir (unit). Well accessibility within the AoR varies based on well status, including Dry & Abandoned (DA), Plugged & Abandoned (PA), Injection (INJ), Oil/Gas Producing (PROD), and Observation (Obs) wells. Accessibility levels were determined by well construction, with DA wells being the least accessible and Observation wells the most accessible, impacting gas leakage detection possibilities. Remedial action priority of wells decreases from Type 1 to Type 9 wells. Type 1 to Type 6 wells with status DA and PA require immediate attention, while Type 7 and Type 8 wells are low priority. A risk matrix used to prioritize corrective actions for legacy wells is proposed to categorize wells within an AoR based on penetrations, protections, and accessibility. The methodology involves data acquisition, well categorization into nine types, and determining CO 2 leakage pathways using well schematics and geospatial mapping. This approach is particularly useful for managing the integrity of legacy wells throughout the lifecycle of a Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) project. A qualitative risk assessment of 94 wells within the AoR of the PSGC site identified 54 wells with high priority for corrective action due to penetration of the primary containment seal. The assessment utilizes color-coded maps to categorize well types and prioritize corrective actions, providing a comprehensive analysis. Schematics of wells penetrating the primary confining unit were drawn, and leakage pathways were identified. Details of all wells penetrating the confining zone are provided in the appendix, including information on well types, plugging, and casing status.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

An Assessment of MELCOR 2.1: Containment Thermal-Hydraulic Tests in the Heissdampfreaktor (HDR) Facility

MELCOR is being developed at Sandia National Laboratories for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. MELCOR is a fully integrated code (encompassing the reactor coolant system and the containment building) that models the progression of postulated accidents in light water reactor power plants. It provides a capability for independently auditing analyses submitted by reactor manufacturers and utilities. In order to assess the adequacy of containment thermal - hydraulic modeling incorporated in the MELCOR code, a key containment test facility was analyzed. This report documents MELCOR code calculations for simulating steam - water blowdown tests performed in the Heissdampfreaktor ( HDR) de-commissioned containment facility located near Frankfurt , Germany . These tests are a series of blowdown experiments in a large scaled test facility ; including some tests with the addition of hydrogen release which are intended to simulate a variety of postulated break s inside large containment buildings. The key objectives of this MELCOR assessment are to study: (1) the expansion and transport of high energy steam - water releases, (2) heat and mass transfer to structural passive heat sinks, and (3) containment gas mixing and stratification. Moreover, MELCOR results are compared to the CONTAIN code for the same tests.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Assessment of Macroscopic k-e Model of CUPID for a Subchannel Analysis

Subchannel analysis codes have been widely used for the rod bundle analysis in reactor core. In the subchannel analysis, turbulent mixing which account for cross flows is very important and has to be modeled considering different flow geometry. In this study, macroscopic k-e turbulence model is used for the replacement of the turbulence mixing term. However, since the macroscopic k-e turbulence model is developed mainly for sphere-packed bed and channel or pipe bundle problems, for the flows including strong cross flows which contain strong dispersion effect the macroscopic models should be validated. This paper aims to explain the validity of the macroscopic k-e turbulence model of the CUPID code with two types of rod bundle validation problems. In this study, the macroscopic k-e model has been validated for the application to subchannel analysis. It has been implemented in the CUPID code and validated against CNEN 4x4 and PNL 7x7 rod bundle tests. The results showed that the macroscopic k-e turbulence model can estimate the experiments properly. Especially when the major flow direction is longitudinal to the rod bundle, the macroscopic turbulence model was the same with the subchannel turbulence mixing model. For the flows across the blockage, the strong dispersion around the blockage can may affect the deviation of velocity. For the future work, the macroscopic k-e turbulence model will be modified to include the dispersion effect. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Studying visual search without an eye tracker: an assessment of artificial foveation

Abstract Eye tracking is a useful tool for studying human cognition, both in the laboratory and in real-world applications. However, there are cases in which eye tracking is not possible, such as in high-security environments where recording devices cannot be introduced. After facing this challenge in our own work, we sought to test the effectiveness of using artificial foveation as an alternative to eye tracking for studying visual search performance. Two groups of participants completed the same list comparison task, which was a computer-based task designed to mimic an inventory verification process that is commonly performed by international nuclear safeguards inspectors. We manipulated the way in which the items on the inventory list were ordered and color coded. For the eye tracking group, an eye tracker was used to assess the order in which participants viewed the items and the number of fixations per trial in each list condition. For the artificial foveation group, the items were covered with a blurry mask except when participants moused over them. We tracked the order in which participants viewed the items by moving their mouse and the number of items viewed per trial in each list condition. We observed the same overall pattern of performance for the various list display conditions, regardless of the method. However, participants were much slower to complete the task when using artificial foveation and had more variability in their accuracy. Our results indicate that the artificial foveation method can reveal the same pattern of differences across conditions as eye tracking, but it can also impact participants’ task performance.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Georgia

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessments (PSHA) form the basis for most contemporary seismic provisions in building codes around the world. The current building code of Georgia (2009) is not fully compatible with seismic hazard and design concepts of modern codes. The Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia is currently undertaking an update to the building code to align it with EuroCode. In conjunction with EuroCode, a National Annex specific to Georgia is needed, including seismic hazard values for the territory of Georgia. A comprehensive earthquake catalogue is fundamental to a robust PSHA in the region. The Caucasus has had an uneven seismic recording and reporting history both temporally and spatially. Therefore, there has been a strong regional effort to bring together data from all the countries in the Caucasus, to digitize and standardize paper-based data from the Soviet era, and to re-examine magnitude and location calculations. The earthquake catalogue resulting from this effort forms the basis for a reliable seismic hazard assessment. Recognizing these needs, the U.S. Department of Energy through Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) initiated a project in 2015 to engage and train local scientists in the Caucasus to install new equipment, to enhance the quality of seismic monitoring and reporting, and to improve and harmonize the regional earthquake catalogue. In 2016, the project scope was expanded to include the modernization of seismic hazard assessments. To this end, a series of workshops were held in Georgia, the first one of which presented an overview of PSHA and its components to various participants from the universities and other research organizations in the region. This kick-off workshop was followed by numerous hands-on training workshops in 2017 and 2018, covering all aspects of PSHA. In addition to their training goals, the workshops brought together existing and new information relevant to PSHA studies in the region, providing a platform for local scientists/engineers and experts from other parts of the world to interact, cooperate and discuss various pieces of the PSHA input. This report outlines the aspects of the earthquake catalogue development and PSHA project that were specifically undertaken to form the basis for the building code update in Georgia. Georgia straddles the Greater Caucasus and Lesser Caucasus Fold and Thrust belts, where the convergent tectonic setting generates significant earthquake activity. To the east of the country, evidence indicates the possibility of a remnant subducting slab that causes earthquakes deeper than 40km. This study systematically compiles and improves all available data on local seismicity, active faults, and ground motion attenuation characteristics of the region; and builds a framework to enable a contemporary PSHA to be carried out with the engagement of local scientists. To this end, six regional workshops were organized in total over a three-year period of time, with participation from the United States, Canada and Hungary as well as countries in the Caucasus: Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Turkey. The workshops served multiple purposes such as training, data collection, interactions between local earth scientists and engineers, and brainstorming and knowledge exchange among local and international experts.

Geosciences↗

SOLPS-ITER validation with TCV L-mode discharges

This work presents a quantitative test of SOLPS-ITER simulations against tokamak a configuration variable (TCV) L-mode experiments. These simulations account for drifts, currents, kinetic neutrals, and carbon impurities providing the most complete edge transport simulations for TCV to date. The comparison is performed on nominally identical discharges carried out to assess the effectiveness of TCV’s divertor baffles in the framework of the European Plasma Exhaust program and employs numerous edge diagnostics providing a detailed code-experiment benchmark for TCV. The simulations show a qualitative consistency, but the quantitative differences remain, which are assessed herein. It is found that, for a given separatrix density, the simulations most notably yield a colder, and denser, divertor state with a higher divertor neutral pressure than measured.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evaluating design safety margins in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers graphite core components design-by-analysis assessments

Graphite is an important material being used for core components in next-generation high-temperature gas-cooled nuclear reactors. The selection of graphite grade for a specific Designer is a complex task, dependent on reactor conditions, component functionality, and required reliability. The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) provides two semi-probabilistic design-by-analysis assessments to evaluate graphite core components against design reliability targets. The simplified assessment uses a 2-parameter Weibull distribution to describe the graphite grade’s tensile-strength distribution to establish component stress limits. The full assessment uses the 3-parameter Weibull distribution and a modified Weakest-Link Theory approach to calculate a component design probability of failure. The paper defines recommended assessment rules, which are the as-written simplified assessment and the full assessment with parameter lower bounds, the modulus update with threshold reduction, and the 2027 grouping rules. Code rules are applied to three grades: 2114, IG-110, and NBG-18. The baseline margin calculation is developed using the experimental tensile dogbone specimen. Percent margin is defined as the percent reduction in the median experimental load to obtain the allowable load per ASME assessments. Under the recommended rules, the SRC–1 margin in the simplified assessment ranged from 40.2 % to 52.7 % among the grades in this study and from 36.1 % to 49.8 % in the full assessment. The full assessment only decreases the margins by 2.5–4.5 % for the SRC-1 components and 0–1.5 % for the SRC-2 components for this baseline case. Margin is inversely related to material median strength (i.e., the strongest grade, 2114, has the lowest margin).

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NRAP-Open-IAM: NRAP Open Source Integrated Assessment Model

Note: This is the last version (a2.6.1) of NRAP-Open-IAM released during NRAP Phase II in 2022. The latest version of NRAP-Open-IAM is available here: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/phase-iii-nrap-open-iam NRAP-Open-IAM is an open-source software product that enables quantification of containment effectiveness and leakage risk at storage sites in the context of system uncertainties and variability. NRAP-Open-IAM represents the next-generation in a line of systems-based computational models developed for quantitative geological carbon storage (GCS) risk assessment. The model comprises a set of reduced-order and analytical models of various components of the GCS system, potential leakage pathways, receptors of concern including impact to groundwater resources and the atmosphere, a framework to support stochastic simulation, time stepping, uncertainty quantification, other analytical functionality for scenario and risk-performance evaluation, and a basic graphical user interface to support scenario development, data input simulation definition, and basic post-processing and results display. As the NRAP Open-IAM functionality continues to evolve, we continue to add to its capability to develop quantitative, probabilistic, and time-dependent profiles of the evolution of risk at a GCS site and evaluate the influence of uncertain parameters on uncertainty in predicted risk. It can be used to quantify the dynamics of reservoir saturation plume and pressure-affected area, for evaluation of the area of potential groundwater impact (i.e., Area of Review) and monitoring requirements to support cost and regulatory analysis, and for consideration of different post-injection site care and closure scenarios. This submission contains the current version of NRAP-Open-IAM available for evaluation and testing. To use the NRAP-Open-IAM, download the source code (https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/08f396c8-bc5f-44ad-a028-6e98a6ea6d70/resource/4c24a3da-3b40-4ffe-9892-c807ae9f8760) then open the NRAP-Open-IAM user's guide (https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/08f396c8-bc5f-44ad-a028-6e98a6ea6d70/resource/8b27335a-343c-4836-b8a3-3ad0bdc9e669) to read more about the tool. Installation instructions for Windows, Mac, and Linux can be found in the "installers" folder of the extracted NRAP-Open-IAM folder and describe setup of environment (e.g., Python libraries) needed for proper work of the tool. Test of installation can be done by running "python openiam_setup_tests.py" in the "setup" folder. The installation test also runs a test suite to see if the NRAP-Open-IAM has been installed correctly. To run the test suite separately, run "python iam_test.py" in the "test" folder. User's guide: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/08f396c8-bc5f-44ad-a028-6e98a6ea6d70/resource/8b27335a-343c-4836-b8a3-3ad0bdc9e669 Developer's guide: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/08f396c8-bc5f-44ad-a028-6e98a6ea6d70/resource/3bc6ee7d-609d-4eb6-80ba-fa6130ee0313 Reservoir simulation data used in some examples distributed with NRAP-Open-IAM: - Kimberlina: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/08f396c8-bc5f-44ad-a028-6e98a6ea6d70/resource/eb62cece-61b2-4037-9b6d-32407dde2ab8 - Kimberlina (compartmentalized): https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/08f396c8-bc5f-44ad-a028-6e98a6ea6d70/resource/366f9530-3b32-4b84-affe-ab2df1d9a8b5 - FutureGen 2.0: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/futuregen-2-0-1008-simulation-reservoir-lookup-table NRAP-Open-IAM GitLab repository: https://gitlab.com/NRAP/OpenIAM Related publications: - Bacon, D., Yonkofski, C., Brown, C., Demirkanli, D. and Whiting, J., 2019. Risk-based post injection site care and monitoring for commercial-scale carbon storage: Reevaluation of the FutureGen 2.0 site using NRAP-Open-IAM and DREAM. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 90: 102784. - Bacon, D. Demirkanli, D., and White, S., 2020. Probabilistic risk-based Area of Review (AoR) determination for a deep-saline carbon storage site. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 102: 103153. - Harp, D., Oldenburg, C., and Pawar, R., 2019. A metric for evaluating conformance robustness during geologic CO2 sequestration operations. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 85: 100-108. - Lackey, G., Vasylkivska, V., Huerta, N., King, S., and Dilmore, R., 2019. Managing well leakage risks at a geologic carbon storage site with many wells, International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 88 :182-194. - Vasylkivska, V., Dilmore, R., Lackey, G., Zhang, Y., King, S., Bacon, D., Chen, B., Mansoor, K., and Harp, D., 2021. NRAP-Open-IAM: A flexible open-source integrated assessment model for geologic carbon storage risk assessment and management, Environmental Modelling & Software, 143: 105114. Presentations: - Chen, B., Harp, D., and Pawar, R., A data assimilation approach (ES-MDA) coupling with NRAP-Open-IAM for quantifying uncertainty reduction in geological CO2 sequestration. AGUFM 2019: T44A-02. - Chen, B., and Harp, D., Improving risk analysis precision for geologic CO2 sequestration by quantifying the uncertainty reduction before and after acquiring monitoring data. 14th Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies Conference, Melbourne, Australia, 2018, pp. 21-26. - Harp, D., National Risk Assessment Partnership Task 2: Containment Assurance. No. LA-UR-19-28654, Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States), 2019. - Vasylkivska, V., King, S., Bacon, D., Harp, D., Chen, B., Mansoor, K., Onishi, T., Yang, Y., Zhang, Y., and Keating, E., NRAP-Open-IAM: An open-source integrated assessment model, poster, Mastering the Subsurface Through Technology Innovation, Partnerships and Collaboration: Carbon Storage and Oil and Natural Gas Technologies Review Meeting, Pittsburgh, PA, August 13-16, 2018. - Vasylkivska, V., Lackey, G., King, S., Wentworth, A., Huerta, N., Creason, C., DiGiulio, J., Yang, Y., and Dilmore, R., Long-term risk analysis of a geologic CO2 storage project during the post-injection period, SIAM Conference on Computational Science and Engineering, Spokane, WA, February 25-March 1, 2019. - Vasylkivska, V., Overview of the NRAP-Open-IAM tool for carbon storage (beta release), 2019 Annual NRAP Tool Users Meeting, Pittsburgh, PA, August 27, 2019. - Vasylkivska, V., Bacon, D., Chen, B., Dilmore, R., Harp, D., King, S., Lackey, G., Lindner, E., Liu, G., Mansoor, K. and Zhang, Y., NRAP-Open-IAM: A new, open-source code for integrated assessment of geologic carbon storage containment effectiveness and leakage risk, poster, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2020 (virtual meeting), December 2020. - Vasylkivska, V., NRAP open-source integrated assessment model and relevant application, oral presentation, NRAP workshop "NRAP Tools for Geologic Carbon Storage Risk-Based Decision Making" held in conjunction with Groundwater Protection Council (GWPC) 2021 Annual Forum (virtual meeting), Salt Lake City, UT, September 2021. - Vasylkivska, V., NRAP-Open-IAM: open-source integrated assessment model, digital poster/demonstration, software demonstration session, 2022 Carbon Management Project Review Meeting, August 16, 2022

AoR↗

Development of the Advanced D1S for Shutdown Dose Rate Calculations in Fusion Reactors

The assessment of the shutdown dose rate due to neutron activation is fundamental for shielding design, materials selection, licensing and planning of maintenance operations in high performances fusion devices. The shutdown dose rate calculations require the combined use of radiation transports and inventory codes. The typical approach consists in a two steps procedure. A pure neutron transport simulation is performed in a first step to calculate the spatial distribution of neutron spectra. The results are used as input for an activation calculation that provides the decay gamma source used in a second step for a pure gamma transport simulation (rigorous-two step, R2S). The Direct 1-Step (D1S) approach has been developed more than ten years ago by ENEA and the ITER team: this technique relies on a coupled neutron-decay gamma transport in a single simulation. It is based on the use of a modified version of the MCNP5 Monte Carlo code with specially tailored nuclear cross-section data for transport and FISPACT inventory code for temporal behaviour. The 'Advanced-D1S' is an improved version of D1S in which additional computational features have been introduced, such as the mesh tally capability and continuous time evolution assessment of the dose rate in single run dose. It has been validated through measurements at JET tokamak and comparison with R2S codes and a future benchmark experiment during next high performance deuterium-tritium campaign is in preparation at JET. It has also been extensively used for ITER calculations and recently applied to DEMO assessment. Present limitations and in progress code improvement strategy are described and discussed in this paper.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

SAPHIRE 8 Basics An Introduction to Probabilistic Risk Assessment via the Systems Analysis Program for Hands-On Integrated Reliability Evaluations (SAPHIRE) Software P-201

The SAPHIRE Basics course material is intended to both (1) provide guidance for learning SAPHIRE during the Basics class and (2) become a stand-alone reference document after finishing the class. Thus, the format for the class material is a combination of the traditional “overhead-type” of presentation information with a structured, reference-type document.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Analysis of Empirical Probability of Detection Data for Dissimilar Metal Welds

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) Standard Review Plan (SRP) 3.6.3 describes leak-before- break (LBB) assessment procedures that can be used to assess compliance with the 10 CFR 50 Appendix A, General Design Criteria (GDC)-4 requirement that primary system pressure piping exhibit an extremely low probability of rupture. SRP 3.6.3 does not allow for assessment of piping systems with active degradation mechanisms, such as primary water stress corrosion cracking (PWSCC), which is currently occurring in systems that have been granted LBB approvals. To address those piping systems approved for LBB that are experiencing PWSCC, the NRC Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research (RES) working cooperatively with the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) conducted a multi-year project to develop a probabilistic fracture mechanics code called eXtremely Low Probability of Rupture (xLPR) that can be used to assess compliance with the regulations. xLPR is a probabilistic computational tool capable of evaluating degradation in reactor coolant piping welds leading to rupture with extremely low probabilities of occurrence. This tool models the effects of active degradation mechanisms and the inspection and mitigation activities that are being undertaken to manage PWSCC degradation. Crack initiation and growth due to fatigue and primary water stress corrosion, along with mitigation methods (mechanical mitigation as well as chemical mitigation) and the effects of in-service inspection (ISI) and leak detection can be analyzed using this tool.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗