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20-Year Experience With Intraoperative High-Dose-Rate Brachytherapy for Pediatric Sarcoma: Outcomes, Toxicity, and Practice Recommendations

Purpose: To assess outcomes and toxicity of high-dose-rate intraoperative radiation therapy (HDR-IORT) in the management of pediatric sarcoma. Methods and Materials: Seventy-five pediatric patients underwent HDR-IORT for sarcoma from May 1993 to November 2013. The median age was 9 years old (36 patients were ≤6 years old). HDR-IORT was part of initial therapy in 37 patients (49%) and for recurrent disease in 38 patients (51%). Forty-one patients (55%) received HDR-IORT and postoperative external beam RT (PORT), and 22 patients (29%) were previously treated with external beam radiation therapy to the IORT site. Local control (LC), overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods. Results: At a median follow-up of 7.8 years for surviving patients, 5-year projected rates of LC, EFS, and OS were 63% (95% confidence interval [CI] 50%-76%), 33% (95% CI 21%-45%), and 43% (95% CI 30%-55%), with a median survival of 3.1 years. The 5-year LC, EFS, and OS rates for patients with recurrent disease were 46% (95% CI, 28%-64%), 30% (95% CI, 13%-46%), and 36% (95% CI, 18%-54%). Acute toxicity ≥grade 3 occurred in 2 (2.5%) treatments; late toxicity ≥grade 3 occurred in 4 (5.3%) patients 0.3-9.9 years after HDR-IORT. The incidence of toxicity ≥grade 3 was not associated with HDR-IORT applicator size, HDR-IORT dose, prior RT or PORT, or prior or postoperative chemotherapy, but all toxicity ≥grade 3 occurred in patients ≤6 years treated with HDR-IORT doses ≥12 Gy. Conclusions: HDR-IORT is a well-tolerated component of multimodality therapy for pediatric sarcoma, allowing additional local treatment while reducing external beam exposure. Taking clinical considerations into account, doses between 8-12 Gy are appropriate for HDR-IORT in patients ≤6 years of age.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

The role of oxygen in stimulating methane production in wetlands

Methane (CH 4 ), a potent greenhouse gas, is the second most important greenhouse gas contributor to climate change after carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). The biological emissions of CH 4 from wetlands are a major uncertainty in CH 4 budgets. Microbial methanogenesis by Archaea is an anaerobic process accounting for most biological CH 4 production in nature, yet recent observations indicate that large emissions can originate from oxygenated or frequently oxygenated wetland soil layers. To determine how oxygen (O 2 ) can stimulate CH 4 emissions, we used incubations of Sphagnum peat to demonstrate that the temporary exposure of peat to O 2 can increase CH 4 yields up to 2000-fold during subsequent anoxic conditions relative to peat without O 2 exposure. Geochemical (including ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry, X-ray absorbance spectroscopy) and microbiome (16S rDNA amplicons, metagenomics) analyses of peat showed that higher CH 4 yields of redox-oscillated peat were due to functional shifts in the peat microbiome arising during redox oscillation that enhanced peat carbon (C) degradation. Novosphingobium species with O 2 -dependent aromatic oxygenase genes increased greatly in relative abundance during the oxygenation period in redox-oscillated peat compared to anoxic controls. Acidobacteria species were particularly important for anaerobic processing of peat C, including in the production of methanogenic substrates H 2 and CO 2 . Higher CO 2 production during the anoxic phase of redox-oscillated peat stimulated hydrogenotrophic CH 4 production by Methanobacterium species. The persistence of reduced iron (Fe(II)) during prolonged oxygenation in redox-oscillated peat may further enhance C degradation through abiotic mechanisms (e.g., Fenton reactions). The results indicate that specific functional shifts in the peat microbiome underlie O 2 enhancement of CH 4 production in acidic, Sphagnum-rich wetland soils. They also imply that understanding microbial dynamics spanning temporal and spatial redox transitions in peatlands is critical for constraining CH 4 budgets; predicting feedbacks between climate change, hydrologic variability, and wetland CH 4 emissions; and guiding wetland C management strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-layered Energy Management Framework for Extreme Fast Charging Stations Considering Demand Charges, Battery Degradation, and Forecast Uncertainties

To achieve a cost-effective and expeditious charging experience for extreme fast charging station (XFCS) owners and electric vehicle (EV) users, the optimal operation of XFCS is crucial. It is however challenging to simultaneously manage the profit from energy arbitrage, the cost of demand charges, and the degradation of a battery energy storage system (BESS) under uncertainties. This paper, therefore, proposes a multi-layered multi-time scale energy flow management framework for an XFCS by considering long- and short-term forecast uncertainties, monthly demand charges reduction, and BESS life degradation. In the proposed approach, an upper scheduling layer (USL) ensures the overall operation economy and yields optimal scheduling of the energy resources on a rolling horizon basis, thereby considering the long-term forecast errors. A lower dispatch layer (LDL) takes the short-term forecast errors into account during the real-time operation of the XFCS. Per the latest research, monthly demand charges can be as high as 90% of the total monthly bills for EV fast charging stations; to this end, this paper takes the first attempt at the reduction of demand charges cost by considering the trade-off between the energy cost and monthly demand charges. Contrasting literature, this work allocates an energy reserve in the BESS stored energy to deal with the impact of short-term forecast errors on the optimized real-time operation of the XFCS. Moreover, degradation modeling considers the trade-off between short-term benefits and long-term BESS life degradation. As a result, case studies and a comparative analysis prove the efficacy of the proposed framework.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Iodine-129 and Iodine-127 speciation in groundwater at the Hanford Site, U.S.: iodate incorporation into calcite

The Hanford Site, the most contaminated nuclear site in the United States, has large radioactive waste plumes containing high 129I levels. The geochemical transport and fate of radioiodine depends largely on its chemical speciation that is greatly affected by environmental factors. This study reports, for the first time, the speciation of stable and radioactive iodine in the groundwater from the Hanford Site. Iodate was the dominant species and accounts for up to 84%, followed by organo-iodine and minimal levels of iodide. The relatively high pH and oxidizing environment may have prevented iodate reduction. Our results identified that calcite precipitation caused by degassing of CO2 during deep groundwater sampling incorporated between 7 to 40% of dissolved iodine (including 127I and 129I) that was originally in the groundwater, transforming dissolved to particulate iodate during sampling. In order to understand the mechanisms underlying iodine incorporation by calcite, laboratory experiments were carried out to replicate this iodine sequestering processes. Two methods were utilized in this study, 1) addition of sodium carbonate; 2) addition of calcium chloride followed by sodium carbonate where the pH was well controlled at ~8.2, which is close to the average pH of Hanford Site groundwater. It was demonstrated that iodate was the main species incorporated into calcite and this incorporation process could be impeded by elevated pH and decreasing ionic strength in groundwater. This study provides critical information for predicting the long-term fate and transport of 129I at the Hanford Site and reveals a potential means for improved remediation strategies of 129I.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Assessment and Use of State-Specific Factors in the Implementation of Safeguards

The use of safeguards-relevant features and characteristics of a State in the implementation of safeguards has been a long-standing practice of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). These ‘State-specific factors’ can affect the development of State-level safeguards approaches and the planning, conduct and evaluation of safeguards activities. The IAEA has identified six State-specific factors for systematic consideration and use in the application of the State-level concept. These factors are: (i) the type of safeguards agreement in force for the State and the nature of the safeguards conclusion drawn by the IAEA; (ii) the nuclear fuel cycle and related technical capabilities of the State; (iii) the technical capabilities of the State or regional system of accounting for and control of nuclear material; (iv) the ability of the IAEA to implement certain safeguards measures in the State; (v) the nature and scope of cooperation between the State and the IAEA in the implementation of safeguards; and (vi) the IAEA’s experience in implementing safeguards in the State. State-specific factors are not to be used for rating or grading a State’s safeguards credentials but to identify issues that could affect the effectiveness or efficiency of safeguards implementation for the State. IAEA reports and presentations on the State-level concept have described these factors and have given examples of information that could be considered in assessing each factor. This paper expands upon the IAEA examples and makes recommendations as to how State-specific factors could be assessed by the IAEA and how these factors might affect safeguards implementation. Although quantitative metrics were considered for assessing the State-specific factors, it was determined that the general State characteristics comprising the factors cannot be meaningfully quantified; however, performance indicators can be developed for some elements comprising some factors. The paper thus discusses ‘considerations’ that the IAEA should assess with respect to the State-specific factors (iii), (v), and (vi) and how those considerations could affect safeguards implementation.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

The Role of Technical Guidance and Analysis Tools in Remedy Decisions, Implementation, and Closure - 18307

Selection, design, and implementation of environmental remedies are conducted under regulatory frameworks that define the activities, communication, and documentation requirements for the remediation process. However, there are site situations that are not well described in the basic regulatory frameworks, and technical guidance and analysis tools can help facilitate remedy decisions and actions. An example where technical guidance and analysis tools are helpful is in the transition from pump-and-treat (P and T) remediation to monitored natural attenuation (MNA). Standard MNA regulatory guidance does not account for a plume initially controlled by P and T hydraulic conditions rather than natural-gradient conditions. For instance, MNA guidance discusses demonstrating plume stability as a means to evaluate the suitability of MNA. However, plume stability under long-term natural gradient conditions cannot be directly demonstrated while the plume is being contained by a P and T system. Thus, additional guidance is needed to describe other measures that can be used to support transition from P and T to MNA. As an additional example, standard MNA regulatory guidance is not written to provide suitable information for application to vadose-zone contamination; discussion and examples in the regulatory guidance are predominantly for groundwater. Use of contaminant transport assessments is an important component of vadose-zone remedy decisions where technical guidance and analysis tools can facilitate these decisions. For volatile compounds, the assessment may need to also consider flux to the surface and constraints associated with vapor intrusion. Recent technical guidance and associated analysis tools provide sites with approaches to support remedy decisions for the above conditions. In particular, these recent approaches target developing and implementing P and T and soil vapor extraction remediation exit strategies and facilitating assessment and implementation of remedies for coupled vadose-zone/groundwater contamination. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Analysis of Tank 38H (HTF-38-25-36, -32) and Tank 43H (HTF-43-25-33, -35) Samples for Support of the Enrichment Control and Corrosion Control Programs

Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) analyzed samples from Tank 38H and Tank 43H to support the Enrichment Control Program (ECP) and Corrosion Control Program (CCP). The results indicate the concentrations of most soluble species in the Tank 38H surface sample are similar to the previous Tank 38H surface sample. The current Tank 38H subsurface sample shows similar Na, free hydroxide, and anions in comparison to the previous subsurface sample. The current Tank 38H subsurface sample appears brown in color. Measurement of the wt.% insoluble solids in the Tank 38H subsurface sample and associated uncertainty analysis indicates that the calculated average wt.% insoluble solids is 5.5 ± 3.6 wt.%. Significant differences in the concentrations of major components between the Tank 38H surface and subsurface samples indicate stratification of solution species between these two locations within the Tank 38H. The current Tank 43H surface sample is ~ 10% diluted versus the previous Tank 43H surface sample and the Tank 43H subsurface sample is similar in composition to the previous Tank 43H subsurface sample. Information provided by SRMC on tank additions since the last ECP sampling indicates that a total of about 4,062 gallons of water was added to Tank 43H. This addition could account for the observed relatively small dilution of ~ 10% in the Tank 43H surface sample. Similar solution compositions measured in the current Tank 43H surface and subsurface samples indicate a minimal stratification within the tank.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

History and Logic Model NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Instrument and Payload Systems Engineering Technical Performance Study

Historically, some NASA missions have exceeded schedule and cost commitments. Studies suggest technical performance is a contributor. The 1980 NASA Project Management Study concluded, "one of the most significant contributors to cost and schedule growth is inadequate definition of technical and management aspects of a program..." (as cited in GAO/NSIAD-93-97, p. 11). The 1991 NASA Roles and Missions Report identified a "need for increased emphasis on technological readiness and requirements on the front end of a program" (as cited in GAO/NSIAD-93-97, p. 11). The 1992 NASA Program Costs Report stated that NASA officials identified, among other things, "insufficient definition studies... [and] program redesigns and technical complexities" as reasons for cost and schedule overruns (GAO/NSAID-93-97, p. 11). The 2002 Task Force on Acquisition of National Security Space Programs found "requirements definition and control issues, unhealthy cost bias in proposal evaluation, widespread lack of budget reserves required to implement high risk programs on schedule, and an overall underappreciation of the importance of appropriately staffed and trained system engineering staff to manage the technologically demanding and unique aspects of space programs" (DoD, 2003, p.i.) In 2007, The NASA Office of the Chief Engineer chartered the NASA Instrument Capability Study (NICS) “to determine whether NASA instrument developers are facing challenges that impact the capability to design and build quality instruments or whether there are flaws in the acquisition strategy evidenced by schedule delays, cost overruns, and increased technical risk via design deficiencies. The... team was also chartered to determine if occurrences [are]... isolated cases or if there are generic issues... If the issues [are] found to be generic, the team [is] to offer solutions to recover such capability" (NICS Report, 2008, p. vi). The 2008 NICS Report, led by Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), identified challenges to instrument technical performance consistent with findings from previous reports. In 2017, the Instrument Project Division (IPD) Implementation Study was initiated to determine if there was a change in meeting schedule and cost commitments after implementing certain NICS recommendations. In 2018, the Instrument Technical Performance Study was initiated to determine the current state of Instrument Technical Performance in the GSFC Payload & Instrument Systems Engineering Branch. The purpose of the combined studies is to answer the question, "Is there a relationship between meeting NASA scientific instrument technical success and meeting schedule and cost commitments? If yes, what is the relationship?" References Department of Defense Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics. (2003). The report of the defense science board/ air force scientific advisory board joint task force on acquisition of national security space programs. Washington DC. Government Accounting Office. (1992). NASA program costs: Space missions require substantially more funding than initially estimated. GAO/NSIAD-93-97. Washington DC. National Aeronautics and Space Administration, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency, Department of Defense. (2008). The NASA instrument capability study final report. NP-2008-11-058-GSFC. Washington DC.

Robbins, Geraldine↗

Corporate Delivery of a Global Smart Buildings Program

Buildings account for about 40 percent of the total energy consumption in the U.S. and emit approximately one third of greenhouse gas emissions. But they also offer tremendous potential for achieving significant greenhouse gas reductions with the right savings strategies. With an increasing amount of data from buildings and advanced computational and analytical abilities, buildings can be made “smart” to optimize energy consumption and occupant comfort. Smart buildings are often characterized as having a high degree of data and system integration, connectivity and control, as well as the advanced use of data analytics. These “smarts” can enable up to 10–20% savings in a building, and help ensure that they persist over time. In 2009, Microsoft Corporation launched the Energy-Smart Buildings (ESB) program with a vision to improve building operations services, security and accessibility in services, and new tenant applications and services that improve productivity and optimize energy use. The ESB program focused on fault diagnostics, advanced analytics and new organizational processes and practices to support their operational integration. In addition to the ESB program, Microsoft undertook capital improvement projects that made effective use of a utility incentive program and lab consolidations over the same duration. The ESB program began with a pilot at Microsoft's Puget Sound campus that identified significant savings of up to 6–10% in the 13 pilot buildings. The success of the pilot led to a global deployment of the program. Between 2009 and 2015, there was a 23.7% reduction in annual electricity consumption (kWh) at the Puget Sound campus with 18.5% of that resulting from the ESB and lab consolidations. This article provides the results of research conducted to assess the best-practice strategies that Microsoft implemented to achieve these savings, including the fault diagnostic routines that are the foundation of the ESB program and organizational change management practices. It also presents the process that was adopted to scale the ESB program globally. We conclude with recommendations for how these successes can be generalized and replicated by other corporate enterprises.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

State-of-the-art of data collection, analytics, and future needs of transmission utilities worldwide to account for the continuous growth of sensing data

Nowadays, transmission system operators require higher degree of observability in real-time to gain situational awareness and improve the decision-making process to guarantee a safe and reliable operation. Digitalization of energy systems allows utilities to monitor the system dynamic performance in real-time at fast time scales. The use of such technologies has unlocked new opportunities to introduce new data driven algorithms for improving the stability assessment and control of the system. Motivated by these challenges, a group of experts have worked together to highlight and establish a baseline set of these common concerns, which can be used as motivation to propose innovative analytics and data-driven solutions. In this document, the results of a survey on 10 transmission system operators around the world are presented and it aims to understand the current practices of the participating companies, in terms of data acquisition, handling, storage, modelling and analytics. The overall objective of this document is to capture the actual needs from the interviewed utilities, thereby laying the groundwork for setting valid assumptions for the development of advanced algorithms in this field.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Tritium accountancy in fusion systems

The US Department of Energy (DOE) has clearly defined requirements for nuclear material control and accountability (MCA) of tritium whereas the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) does not since tritium is not a fissile material. MCA requirements are expected for tritium fusion machines and will be dictated by the host country or regulatory body where the machine is operated. Material Balance Areas (MBA) are defined to aid in the tracking and reporting of nuclear material movements and inventories. Material sub-accounts (MSA) are established along with key measurement points (KMP) to further subdivide a MBA to localize and minimize uncertainties in the inventory difference (ID) calculations for tritium accountancy. Fusion systems try to minimize tritium inventory which may require continuous movement of material through the MSA. The ability of making meaningful measurements of these material transfers is described in terms of establishing the MSA structure to perform and reconcile ID calculations. For fusion machines, changes to the traditional ID equation will be discussed which includes breeding, burn-up, and retention of tritium in the fusion device. The concept of 'net' tritium quantities consumed or lost in fusion devices is described in terms of inventory taking strategies and how it is used to track the accumulation of tritium in components or fusion machines. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Improvements to the operational efficiency of the Portsmouth 'Blue Box' Assay system - 15162

The 'Blue Box' in Building 326 at Portsmouth comprises a dual cargo container lined with high density polyethylene with 5% (elemental) boron that acts as a neutron shield. This construction provides a low environmental neutron background to support the capability to attain low values of minimal detectable activity (MDA). A Non-destructive Assay (NDA) measurement platform known as the Fluor B and W Portsmouth Slab Counter (FBPSC) is housed inside the Blue Box. This comprises four neutron slab detectors supported with an electronic system supplying power and associated signal processing. The system is operated by a laptop computer which has data acquisition and analysis capabilities. Each slab contains five {sup 3}He proportional counters embedded in polyethylene. The system is designed to measure the mass of U-235 in coolers from the Portsmouth site using passive neutron counting. The system was calibrated by taking measurements with {sup 252}Cf sources attached to various positions on the outside surfaces of a surrogate cooler. In addition, Monte-Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) simulations were performed to extend the baseline calibration for coolers of various sizes used in the gaseous-diffusion process. The basic principle of operation is to measure the total neutron emission from the item and determine the mass of {sup 235}U using the system efficiency (determined from MCNP calculations combined with the calibration measurements) combined with known isotopic information ({sup 235}U enrichment and U-235/U-234 ratio), assumed chemical composition, and gross cooler mass. The FBPSC analysis program calculates the mass of U-235 within the cooler being assayed, together with the associated Total Measurement Uncertainty (TMU). A background correction is performed that accounts for the measured environmental background with a cosmic-ray spallation correction (based on the cooler's gross weight). The software suite developed for the system also includes the capability to track and trend measurement control data in order to quickly identify conditions where the system has drifted outside of its quality control envelope. The MDA of the system has been determined to be less the 15 g of U-235 for count times that are typically less than 5 minutes (depending on the uranium isotopics). This is primarily the result of the low neutron background rate inside the Blue Box (approximately 3 times lower than at nearby locations outside the box). Additionally, various software features have been designed to yield optimum counting performance for the system including count time adjustment and interval filtering to reject statistical outliers that are usually associated with cosmic spallation events. The operation of the system has proven to be very efficient, with the short measurement time providing a high throughput rate of coolers through the Blue Box NDA system. Significant operational benefits and improved data traceability have been yielded compared to the previous measurement process, which involved operators taking measurement with counter/scalers and manually entering data into spreadsheets. As of August 2014, this system successfully measured all coolers required to support completion of a contractually-required Performance Milestone. There are approximately 1900 coolers available for measurement. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Criticality Control Overpack Fire Testing (Phase III)

This report will describe the one test conducted during phase III of the Pipe Overpack Container (POC) test campaign, present preliminary results from these tests, and discuss implications for the Criticality Control Overpack (CCO). The goal of this test was to see if aerosol surrogate material inside the Criticality Control Container (CCC) gets released when the drum lid of the CCO comes off during a thirty-minute long, fully-engulfing, fire test. As expected from POC tests conducted in Phase I and II of this test campaign, the CCO drum lid is ejected about one minute after the drum is exposed to fully-engulfing flames. The remaining pressure inside the drum is high enough to eject the top plywood dunnage a considerable distance from the drum. Subsequently, most of the bottom plywood dunnage supporting the CCC burns off during and after the fire. High pressure buildup inside the CCC and inside two primary containers holding the surrogate powder also results in damage to the filter media of the CCC and the filter-house, thread attachment of the primary canisters. No discernable release of surrogate powder material was detected from the two primary containers when pre- and post-test average mass were compared. However, when the average masses are corrected to account for possible uncertainties in mass measurements, error overlap does not preclude the possibility that some surrogate powder mass may have been lost from these primary canisters. Still, post-test conditions of the secondary canisters enclosing these two primary canisters suggest it is very unlikely this mass loss would have escaped into the CCC.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Cleaning up Hanford: A Deep Borehole Disposal Concept for the Cs/Sr Capsules - 16249

The Hanford site in Washington State is possibly the most radioactive-contaminated site in the USA presenting a major environmental problem requiring urgent clean-up. Sealed capsules containing halides of strontium (Sr) and cesium (Cs) account for over a third of the total radioactivity. Interim storage for a period of 10-half-lives is an unappealing option since many of the capsules contain Cs-135, which has a half-life of 2.3 million years, and the dose received from the shorter-lived isotopes would remain dangerously high for several generations. Deep geological disposal of the capsules would be a safer solution. We discuss a new and revised conceptual model for disposal of the entire Hanford capsule inventory in a single deep geological borehole with a diameter that could be as little as 31 cm. The concept involves placing thirty capsules inside a steel-disposal container. Holes up to this size are regularly drilled to depths much greater than 5 km by the hydrocarbon industry and are well within current drilling capabilities. Numerical modeling work demonstrates the feasibility of the conceptual model. In particular we examine the thermal envelope generated as a function of time enabling decisions to be made on possible fillings for the borehole annulus. Variations on the disposal concept include disposing different combinations of capsules to control the heat output and thus the temperature rise. The results lend support to a comment attributed to Secretary Moniz that the Hanford capsules could be the world's first HLW to be disposed of in a deep borehole. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Strategic and Tactical Functions in an Autonomous Air Traffic Management System

This paper evaluates, by means of fast-time simulation, performance of a candidate system for autonomous air traffic management. Advancing towards autonomy in air traffic management may be necessary in order for new air vehicle types such as electric Vertical Take Off and Landing (eVTOL) to operate safely and efficiently in airspace shared with conventional traffic. To account for uncertain prediction, autonomous air traffic management was divided into two integrated and coordinated subsystems: strategic scheduling, performed at predeparture, and tactical conflict detection and resolution, performed throughout the flight. The conflict detection and resolution subsystem contained a second tactical scheduling function that applied to flights operating in the airspace near the destination airport. This paper compares and contrasts the two subsystems and uses fast-time simulation to demonstrate the comparisons. A scenario of 54 flights inbound to Newark Liberty International Airport was simulated multiple times with different parameters. The scenario was created using flight plans recorded from the National Airspace System on a low weather, average traffic day in April 2018. Whereas the routes were not changed, the departure times of the flights were modified to increase arrival rates at the Newark runway and arrival meter fixes. Results of the simulations showed that the autonomous air traffic management system was able to safely manage the traffic, even with prediction uncertainty. In addition, they showed the importance of including flight holding maneuvers, in addition to path stretching, in conflict detection and resolution and of coordinating strategic and tactical scheduling. Finally, a tradeoff between absorbing the delay calculated by strategic scheduling on the ground versus in the air showed that taking most of the delay on the ground is cost effective for a simple idealized cost function. However, taking a little of the delay in the air prevented throughput on the runway from dropping for short periods due to trajectory prediction uncertainty.

air traffic control↗

Strategic and Tactical Functions in an Autonomous Air Traffic Management System

This paper evaluates, by means of fast-time simulation, performance of a candidate system for autonomous air traffic management. Advancing towards autonomy in air traffic management may be necessary in order for new air vehicle types such as electric Vertical Take Off and Landing (eVTOL) to operate safely and efficiently in airspace shared with conventional traffic. To account for uncertain prediction, autonomous air traffic management was divided into two integrated and coordinated subsystems: strategic scheduling, performed at predeparture, and tactical conflict detection and resolution, performed throughout the flight. The conflict detection and resolution subsystem contained a second tactical scheduling function that applied to flights operating in the airspace near the destination airport. This paper compares and contrasts the two subsystems and uses fast-time simulation to demonstrate the comparisons. A scenario of 54 flights inbound to Newark Liberty International Airport was simulated multiple times with different parameters. The scenario was created using flight plans recorded from the National Airspace System on a low weather, average traffic day in April 2018. Whereas the routes were not changed, the departure times of the flights were modified to increase arrival rates at the Newark runway and arrival meter fixes. Results of the simulations showed that the autonomous air traffic management system was able to safely manage the traffic, even with prediction uncertainty. In addition, they showed the importance of including flight holding maneuvers, in addition to path stretching, in conflict detection and resolution and of coordinating strategic and tactical scheduling. Finally, a tradeoff between absorbing the delay calculated by strategic scheduling on the ground versus in the air showed that taking most of the delay on the ground is cost effective for a simple idealized cost function. However, taking a little of the delay in the air prevented throughput on the runway from dropping for short periods due to trajectory prediction uncertainty.

air traffic control↗

Accounting for hydrological and microbial processes on greenhouse gas budgets from river systems (Final Report)

River systems have a disproportionately large impact on carbon and nitrogen cycling on this planet. For instance, despite their much smaller size in area, it is estimated that global carbon dioxide emission from river systems exceed the emission from lakes and reservoirs, and are on par with the estimated oceanic and land carbon sinks. Closing carbon and nitrogen budgets in river systems requires knowledge of end member greenhouse gas (GHG) products (e.g. carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, methane), which typically have not been measured in river systems. Moreover, while the production of these gasses is thought to be microbially derived, little is known about microbial activities in sediments of large rivers, despite their potentially high influence on biogeochemical budgets. Typically, when we think of rivers we visualize the channels that carve through the earth, but this only represents a small part of the hydrologic exchange that a river participates in. Rivers are more than conduits; they are dynamically exchanging water and materials with surrounding terrestrial and subsurface environments. In fact, 96% of the carbon dioxide produced within river systems occurs in hyporheic zones, or sediment regions beneath and alongside a river where groundwater and river water mix. In fact, it is widely recognized that microbial processes in hyporheic zones, also known as the river’s liver, strongly influence the fate of carbon, nutrients, and contaminants transported through watersheds. Despite this general knowledge, observational studies linking nitrogen and carbon gas production to microbial activity, and studies of overall gas emissions, are limited across river systems, but especially absent from larger rivers. To identify microbial processes responsible for GHG emissions from large rivers, and to quantify their environmental drivers and dependencies, we selected the Columbia River as a representative field site. This is the largest river west of the North American Continental Divide, and produces a drainage and discharge roughly double of the Nile in Egypt. This river is also an important source for agricultural irrigation and generates more hydroelectric power than any other North American river. Dams manage the release of water in the river, with these changes in river discharge patterns strongly impacting microbial activities in hyporheic zones. Specifically, we target a region down-river from the Priest Rapids Dam (WA) associated with the PNNL SFA, where water discharge from the dam is highly controlled, resulting in 1.5 m fluctuations in river stage daily. This dynamic river stage creates an ideal research opportunity for investigating hydrological perturbations in GHG production, uptake, and emission from large river systems. In this exploratory 1-year project, we conducted data-driven field research to provide observations needed to support predictions about GHG flux from river ecosystems. Using porewater dialysis and surface flux measurements, we observed where and when GHGs were produced and is the emission impacted by river stage. Using meta-omics tools, we determined what microbial processes control production and consumption of GHG in these systems. Finally, we provided key observations to parameterize models that could predict the effect of environmental conditions on GHG emission in the Columbia River near shore environment, at the scale that the modeled processes operate. Closing knowledge gaps in the linkages between river stage, microbial processes, and GHG production and emission, as well as the spatial distribution and ecosystem dependencies of these processes, is necessary to better parameterize land surface models. We provide some of the first, detailed GHG measurements paired microbial activity from large river systems. Our findings have direct relevance to many other large rivers with flows altered by hydroelectric energy, reservoirs, snowmelt, tides, or agriculture.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Deformation of pores in response to uniaxial and hydrostatic stress cycling in Marcellus Shale: Implications for gas recovery

One of the main challenges during gas production from shale reservoirs is low recovery rate. One contributing factor to this outcome is an insufficient understanding of pore systems, especially pore behaviour following changes in reservoir conditions or resulting from gas production practices. Because the pressure in the producing well can be controlled, understanding the effects of pressure variation on the pore size distribution and methane trapping is necessary to help design optimal conditions to improve the gas recovery rate. This work is the first systematic study of sub-millimeter pore deformation in shale caused by uniaxial and hydrostatic stress up to 100 MPa. Overmature samples from the Middle Devonian Marcellus Shale were analyzed using neutron scattering (SANS and USANS) techniques to interpret the response of nanopores to stress cycling of magnitude and duration compatible with the hydraulic fracturing treatments. Experiments reported here are performed at a series of uniaxial pressures up to 100 MPa and at hydrostatic pressures of deuterated methane 0 and 50 MPa. Since at the original depth of the shale samples’ burial of 2184 m the hydrostatic pressure is approximately 27 MPa and the lithostatic pressure is about 55 MPa, the experimental conditions reasonably well simulate the reservoir pressure regime. Our SANS and USANS results show that different pore sizes are affected by uniaxial stress in different ways. Specifically, in the pore size range from 1 nm to 800 nm, a decrease of pore density with pressure is observed, with the most depleted being mesopores of about 100 nm in diameter. The observed decrease is likely related to deformation of kerogen, followed by a loss of pore nano-volume, as well as methane trapped in the micropores. For pores larger than 5 μm, USANS data suggest that the negative trend is reversed at above 74 MPa, and the number density of large macropores may increase with increased stress even above the original value. The increased number of macropores at high pressure may create new interconnected conduits for gas migration, resulting in a better recovery rate. Another important finding of this study is an irreversible rearrangement of pore size distribution taking place after pressure cycling. Furthermore, this irreversible reorganization of pore size distribution should be taken into account during management of well production to maximize recovery rate.

03 NATURAL GAS↗