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At least 451 records · Page 25

Sustainable Biofuels for Low-Carbon Maritime Transportation

The marine shipping sector heavily depends on fossil fuels and is one of the largest petroleum fuel consumers [1,2]. The annual global marine fuel consumption was estimated to be around 400 million metric tons in 2019 (2.5 billion barrels). Moreover, ocean shipping is one of the most significant contributors to sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, and particulate matter emissions. Global shipping contributes 13% of human-caused sulfur emissions and 2.6% of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. As a major source of pollutant emissions, the marine industry faces several challenges related to emission regulations. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has established a framework for reducing the carbon intensity of shipping: 40% reduction relative to 2008 levels by 2030 and 70% reduction by 2050. As the aviation sector, the maritime shipping sector is difficult to decarbonize through electrification. Biofuels offer the best opportunities for decarbonizing marine shipping in the near and medium-term. Advanced biofuels such as pyrolysis bio-oil offer the low-cost potential for meeting carbon reduction goals. For instance, the pyrolysis bio-oil exhibited promising marginal CO2 abatement costs at less than $100/tonne CO2-equivalent at a heavy fuel oil price greater than $1.10/gal [1]. As a potential biofuel option for low-carbon maritime shipping, this presentation focuses on a comparative techno-economic analysis (TEA) of bio-oils produced via a fast pyrolysis-based conversion pathway. The pathway converts a 50/50 blend of forest residues and clean pine to bio-oil via three process options: fast pyrolysis without vapor upgrading, and fast pyrolysis with vapor phase upgrading over ZSM-5 zeolite catalyst and Pt/TiO2 catalyst. The process configuration and operation variation led to different capital and operating costs, as well as the resulting raw bio-oil’s yield and quality, e.g., the water content, total acid number, and carboxylic acid number. The study also determined the minimum upgrading of bio-oils required to enable blending with very low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO), with the associated costs reflected in TEA. This study shows that bio-oil could be a cost-effective fuel option for decarbonizing maritime shipping. Further research is required with respect to biofuel blending properties, such as compatibility with existing fuel system infrastructure and suitable engine performance.

BIOMASS FUELS↗

Bipolar membrane polarization behavior with systematically varied interfacial areas in the junction region

The palette of applications for bipolar membranes (BPMs) has expanded recently beyond electrodialysis as they are now being considered for fuel cell and electrolysis applications. Their deployment in emerging electrochemical technologies arises from the need to have a membrane separator that provides disparate pH environments and to prevent species crossover. Most materials research for BPMs has focused on water dissociation catalysts and less emphasis has been given to the design of the polycation–polyanion interface for improving BPM performance. Here, soft lithography fabricated a series of micropatterned BPMs with precise control over the interfacial area in the bipolar junction. Polarization experiments showed that a 2.28× increase in interfacial area led to a 250 mV reduction in the onset potential. Additionally, the same increase in interfacial area yielded marginal improvements in current density due to the junction region being under kinetics-diffusion control. A simple physics model based on the electric field of the junction region rationalized the reduction in the overpotential for water dissociation as a function of interfacial area. Finally, the soft lithography approach was also conducive for fabricating BPMs with different chemistries ranging from perfluorinated polymer backbones to alkaline stable poly(arylene) hydrocarbon polymers. These polymer chemistries are better suited for fuel cell and electrolysis applications. The BPM featuring the alkaline stable poly(terphenyl) anion exchange membrane had an onset potential of 0.84 V, which was near the thermodynamic limit, and was about 150 mV lower than a commercially available variant.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Quantification of energy and cost reduction from decreasing dissolved oxygen levels in full‐scale water resource recovery facilities

Abstract Aeration systems often lack the efficiency to maintain a desired residual dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration in the tank in part because little consideration is given to the dynamic daily and seasonal loading conditions. Although advanced aeration controllers exist, the majority of plants have DO set points typically based on common practice and literature values rather than site‐specific conditions, which can result in DO set points higher than those necessary to meet treatment objectives. DO set point reduction strategies have primarily been proposed through either static or dynamic simulations. In this study, the substantial improvements associated with DO set point reduction are demonstrated at full scale. A yearlong characterization of full‐scale aeration dynamics captured the effect of diurnal and seasonal fluctuations on oxygen transfer and energy demand and so facilitated the estimation of the potential savings of DO reduction strategies. Full‐scale validation provided direct evidence of DO reduction strategies inducing an overall enhancement of oxygen transfer efficiency along the different bioreactors, while confirming that energy savings as high as 20% were feasible. This study quantifies the influence of oxygen transfer efficiency on operating choices and site‐specific conditions (control strategy, loading conditions, and influent flow variability). Practitioner points We quantified the energy reduction and cost savings associated with a DO reduction in an aeration tank. For each 0.2 mg/L of DO decreased, the average power demand reduction per unit water treated exceeded 17%. Field measurements of dynamic alpha values eliminate the uncertainty in estimating aeration energy and cost savings from DO variations.

Pasini, Federico↗

C-C Coupling Mechanism on Cu(100) A Molecular Dynamics Study at 298K

The electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) into valuable fuels such as C1 (syngas, methane) and C2 (ethylene, ethanol) products is a key strategy for achieving a carbon-neutral economy. Computational studies of C-C coupling, a critical step in CO2 reduction, are essential for designing more efficient catalysts. However, simulating these processes under realistic electrochemical conditions, including temperature and solvent effects, is computationally demanding. In this work, we develop a machine learning-based atomistic potential to study CO2 reduction on Cu(100) surfaces, accounting for temperature and explicit water solvent effects. We compute thermodynamic free energies of the possible C-C coupling pathways, CO*+CO*→OCCO*, CO*+CHO*→OCCHO*, CO*+COH*→OCCOH*, CHO*+COH*→OHCCOH*, COH*-COH*→HOCCOH*, and CHO*-CHO*→OHCCHO*. Our results quantify the thermodynamic tendencies of these reactions and reveal that, in addition to the well-established CO* + CO* → OCCO* pathway, CHO* is a critical intermediate in the formation of C2 products on Cu(100). Furthermore, we demonstrate that the machine learning approach offers a cost-efficient framework for studying CO2 reduction on diverse catalysts under realistic electrochemical conditions.

machine learning↗

Developing Scaling Relationships for Molecular Electrocatalysis through Studies of Fe-Porphyrin-Catalyzed O 2 Reduction

The oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) is a multiproton/multielectron transformation in which dioxygen (O 2 ) is reduced to water or hydrogen peroxide and serves as the cathode reaction in most fuel cells. The ORR (O 2 + 4e – + 4H + → 2H 2 O) involves up to nine substrates and thus requires navigating a complicated reaction landscape, typically with several high-energy intermediates. Many catalysts can perform this reaction, though few operate with fast rates and at low overpotentials (close to the thermodynamic potential). Attempts to optimize these parameters, both in homogeneous and heterogeneous electrocatalytic systems, have focused on modifying catalyst design and understanding kinetic/thermodynamic relationships between catalytic intermediates. One such method for analyzing and predicting catalyst reactivity and efficiency has been the development of “molecular scaling relationships”. In this work, we share our experience deriving and utilizing molecular scaling relationships for soluble, iron-porphyrin-catalyzed O 2 reduction in organic solvents. These relationships correlate turnover frequencies (TOF max ) and effective overpotentials (η eff ), properties uniquely defined for homogeneous catalysts. Following a general introduction of scaling relationships for both homogeneous and heterogeneous electrocatalysis, we describe the components of such scaling relationships: (i) the overall thermochemistry of the reaction and (ii) the rate and rate law of the catalyzed reaction. We then show how connecting these thermodynamic and kinetic parameters reveals multiple molecular scaling relationships for iron-porphyrin-catalyzed O 2 reduction. For example, the log(TOF max ) responds steeply to changes in ηeff that result from different catalyst reduction potentials (18.5 decades in TOF max /V in η eff ) but much less dramatically to changes in η eff that arise from varying the pKa of the acid buffer (5.1 decades in TOF max /V in η eff ). Thus, a single scaling relationship is not always sufficient for describing molecular electrocatalysis. This is particularly evident when the catalyst identity and reaction conditions are coupled. Using these multiple scaling relationships, we demonstrate that the metrics of turnover frequency and effective overpotential can be predictably tuned to achieve faster rates at lowered overpotentials. This Account uses a collection of related stories describing our research on soluble iron-porphyrin-catalyzed ORR to show how molecular scaling relationships can be derived and used for any electrocatalytic reaction. Such scaling relationships are powerful tools that connect the thermochemistry, mechanism, and rate law for a catalytic system. We hope that this collection shows the utility and simplicity of the molecular scaling approach for understanding catalysis, for enabling direct comparisons between catalyst systems, and for optimizing catalytic processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Dicationic fac -Re(bpy)(CO) 3 Cl for CO 2 Electroreduction at a Reduced Overpotential

Here, a dicationic Re bipyridine-type complex, fac-Re(6,6'-(2-((trimethylammonio)-methyl)phenyl)-2,2'-bipyridine)(CO) 3 Cl hexafluorophosphate (1 2+ ), has been synthesized and its electrochemical behavior under Ar and CO 2 has been investigated. The presence of pendent tetra-alkylammonium cations induces an anodic shift in the electrocatalytic potential for CO 2 reduction relative to structurally similar model complexes. The electrochemical mechanisms in anhydrous CH 3 CN and in the presence of weak acids (water or trifluoroethanol) have been analyzed using cyclic voltammetry assisted by infrared spectroelectrochemistry and theoretical calculations. The dication enables catalysis at a diminished potential through coulombic stabilization of the doubly reduced pentacoordinate species, its CO 2 adduct, the hydroxide anion, and the conjugate base formed during acid-assisted C-OH bond cleavage of the metallocarboxylic acid to the metallocarbonyl and H 2 O. The major reduction product is CO, but in the presence of trifluoroethanol, formate is also produced with 14% Faradaic efficiency.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Analysis of pressure test results of tube fittings for the potential application in cryo systems for helium leak rate reduction

Due to the nature of Helium, it is notoriously difficult to maintain a closed system without experiencing helium inventory loss through leakage in large tubing and piping runs. There are two standard fitting options readily available for piping and tubing assemblies, welded fittings or Swagelok ® . Welding is the best option for leak rate reduction, but more costly than Swagelok ® . A new style of fitting has come to the attention of BNL C-AD Cryo group, and a pressure test and leak rate analysis were performed to evaluate the viability of incorporating this new style fitting into current engineering design of warm helium tubing runs for the purpose of leak rate reduction.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Electrolyte Engineering for Efficient Electrochemical Nitrate Reduction to Ammonia on a Titanium Electrode

Nitrates from agricultural runoff and industrial waste streams are a notorious waste product and hazardous pollutant. Traditional electrochemical water remediation approaches aim to solve this problem by converting nitrates to environmentally benign N 2 while minimizing the production of environmentally hazardous side products such as ammonia and nitrous oxide in a process known as “denitrification”. We modify this concept and outline an opportunity to optimize the conversion of nitrates into ammonia, which is also a key commodity product used as a fertilizer, potential fuel, and chemical precursor. The electrochemical conversion of nitrates to ammonia recycles the fixed nitrogen and offers an appealing and supplementary alternative to the energy- and resource-intensive Haber-Bosch process. In this study, we investigated the effect of varying electrochemical conditions (pH, nitrate concentration, and applied potential) on the selective reduction of nitrate to ammonia at a titanium cathode. We observed that high concentrations of both protons and nitrate ions are needed to achieve high selectivity, reaching a peak of 82% Faradaic efficiency to ammonia at an applied potential of -1 V versus RHE and a partial current density to NH 3 of -22 mA/cm 2 , using 0.4 M [NO 3 – ] at pH ~0.77. The Ti electrode, as a poor hydrogen evolution catalyst with notable corrosion resistance, provides a large window of operating conditions to achieve high selectivity in the reduction of nitrate anions. Stability of the system was evaluated, and we found a high Faradaic efficiency throughout the course of an 8 h experiment. After electrochemical testing, titanium hydride was observed at the cathode surface. We also show a preliminary technoeconomic study, indicating that it may be feasible to employ an electrochemical strategy for the production of ammonium nitrate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Probabilistic Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Renewable Energy and Storage Requirements for NM's Energy Transition Act (SAND Report)

This report provides a study of the potential impacts of climate change on intermittent renewable energy resources, battery storage, and resource adequacy in Public Service Company of New Mexico’s Integrated Resource Plan for 2020 – 2040. Climate change models and available data were first evaluated to determine uncertainty and potential changes in solar irradiance, temperature, and wind speed in NM in the coming decades. These changes were then implemented in solar and wind energy models to determine impacts on renewable energy resources in NM. Results for the extreme climate-change scenario show that the projected wind power may decrease by ~13% due to projected decreases in wind speed. Projected solar power may decrease by ~4% due to decreases in irradiance and increases in temperature in NM. Uncertainty in these climate-induced changes in wind and solar resources was accommodated in probabilistic models assuming uniform distributions in the annual reductions in solar and wind resources. Uncertainty in battery storage performance was also evaluated based on increased temperature, capacity fade, and degradation in round-trip efficiency. The hourly energy balance was determined throughout the year given uncertainties in the renewable energy resources and energy storage. The loss of load expectation (LOLE) was evaluated for the 2040 No New Combustion portfolio and found to increase from 0 days/year to a median value of ~2 days/year due to potential reductions in renewable energy resources and battery storage performance and capacity. A rank-regression analyses revealed that battery round-trip efficiency was the most significant parameter that impacted LOLE, followed by solar resource, wind resource, and battery fade. An increase in battery storage capacity to ~25,000 – 30,000 MWh from a baseline value of ~14,000 MWh was required to reduce the median value of LOLE to ~0.2 days/year with consideration of potential climate impacts and battery degradation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

In Situ ATR–SEIRAS of Carbon Dioxide Reduction at a Plasmonic Silver Cathode

Illumination of a voltage-biased plasmonic Ag cathode during CO 2 reduction results in a suppression of the H 2 evolution reaction while enhancing CO 2 reduction. This effect has been shown to be photonic rather than thermal, but the exact plasmonic mechanism is unknown. Here in this paper, we conduct an in situ ATR–SEIRAS (attenuated total reflectance–surface-enhanced infrared absorption spectroscopy) study of a sputtered thin film Ag cathode on a Ge ATR crystal in CO 2 -saturated 0.1 M KHCO 3 over a range of potentials under both dark and illuminated (365 nm, 125 mW cm –2 ) conditions to elucidate the nature of this plasmonic enhancement. We find that the onset potential of CO 2 reduction to adsorbed CO on the Ag surface is -0.25 V RHE and is identical in the light and the dark. As the production of gaseous CO is detected in the light near this onset potential but is not observed in the dark until -0.5 V RHE , we conclude that the light must be assisting the desorption of CO from the surface. Furthermore, the HCO 3 – wavenumber and peak area increase immediately upon illumination, precluding a thermal effect. We propose that the enhanced local electric field that results from the localized surface plasmon resonance (LSPR) is strengthening the HCO 3 – bond, further increasing the local pH. This would account for the decrease in H 2 formation and increase the CO 2 reduction products in the light.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Selective Reduction of Carbon Dioxide in Water Using [M(bpy2+)(CO)3(I)]2+ (M = Mn, Re) Electrocatalysts with Pendent Cations

Manganese(I) carbonyl complexes are promising electrocatalysts for CO2 reduction, yet their application in homogeneous aqueous media remains limited by poor solubility and selectivity. Here, we report water-soluble Mn(I) and Re(I) complexes fac-[M(bpy2+)(CO)3X]2+ (X = I or Cl), featuring bipyridine ligands functionalized with -Ph-CH2-(NMe3)+ cationic ammonium groups that integrate water solubility with secondary-sphere stabilization. In bicarbonate buffer at pH 6.8, the Mn catalyst is completely selective for CO production at a low overpotential (η = 0.3 V), operating by a protonation-first mechanism with observed rates of ~10 s−1. Pulse radiolysis reveals that the one-electron reduced Mn species undergoes dimerization in the absence of CO2 but uniquely reacts competitively with CO2 through an initial pre-equilibrium followed by fast formation of a dinuclear CO2-bridged species (ΔGo = −12.4 kcal mol−1). At a higher 0.6 V over-potential, a faster reduction-first pathway (~100 s−1) is available upon reduction of the metallo-carboxylic acid intermediate, Mn-CO2H2+; however, this regime is functionally limited by the formation of a resistive, noncatalytic film on the electrode surface. Comparison to the analo-gous water-soluble Re catalyst (kobs = 440 s−1, η = 0.6 V) highlights the distinct mechanistic ad-vantages of earth-abundant Mn in low-potential catalysis. These results demonstrate how cati-onic second-sphere design enables selective, homogeneous CO2 reduction in water while reveal-ing competing radical and electrode-mediated processes that govern catalytic performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Photoelectrochemical CO 2 Reduction to CO Enabled by a Molecular Catalyst Attached to High-Surface-Area Porous Silicon

A high-surface-area p-type porous Si photocathode containing a covalently immobilized molecular Re catalyst is highly selective for the photoelectrochemical conversion of CO 2 to CO. It gives Faradaic efficiencies of up to 90% for CO at potentials of –1.7 V (versus ferrocenium/ferrocene) under 1 sun illumination in an acetonitrile solution containing phenol. Here, the photovoltage is approximately 300 mV based on comparisons with similar n-type porous Si cathodes in the dark. Using an estimate of the equilibrium potential for CO 2 reduction to CO under optimized reaction conditions, photoelectrolysis was performed at a small overpotential, and the onset of electrocatalysis in cyclic voltammograms occurred at a modest underpotential. The porous Si photoelectrode is more stable and selective for CO production than the photoelectrode generated by attaching the same Re catalyst to a planar Si wafer. Further, facile characterization of the porous Si-based photoelectrodes using transmission mode FTIR spectroscopy leads to highly reproducible catalytic performance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Photoelectrocatalytic reduction of CO 2 to formate using immobilized molecular manganese catalysts on oxidized porous silicon

The reduction of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) to formate using molecular catalysts immobilized on high surface area porous silicon is described. Manganese complexes of the type ( R bpy)Mn(CO) 3 Br (bpy = 2,2′-bipyridine) were prepared with silatrane groups on the bpy ligand for attachment to oxide-coated porous silicon (SiO x -porSi). SiO x -porSi wafers were formed by heating hydrogen-terminated p-type porous silicon wafers under air, and the manganese complexes were immobilized on SiO x -porSi by heating at 80°C. The resulting hybrid photoelectrodes are photoelectrocatalysts for CO 2 reduction in acetonitrile containing 2.0 M triethylamine and 2.0 M isopropanol, yielding formate with high selectivity (>96%) and current density (∼0.6 mA/cm 2 ), excellent reproducibility, and a photovoltage of 280 mV at −1.75 V (versus ferrocenium/ferrocene) under 1 sun illumination. Here, the applied potential is close to the equilibrium potential for CO 2 reduction to formate. This work presents rare examples of immobilized molecular catalysts for CO 2 reduction to formate and the first on semiconducting silicon.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Wind power costs driven by innovation and experience with further reductions on the horizon

The costs of wind power have declined to levels on par with or below those of conventional sources in many parts of the world. Wind power has become one of the fastest-growing sources of new electricity generation. We take stock of wind power cost evolution over the past 20 years, review methodologies commonly used for cost assessment, discuss the potential for continued cost reduction, and identify anticipated cost and value drivers. Our scope includes both onshore and offshore wind technologies. We draw from a vast body of literature on these topics to highlight key trends, approaches, and limitations. Furthermore, we discuss strategies for wind power assets to enhance their marginal economic value to the broader power system and consumers. We identify a myriad of factors that are expected to influence the future cost and value of wind power, including siting, project scale, turbine size, operational synergies, commodity prices, advancements in turbine technologies, enhanced management of the wind resource, and novel control technologies that provide value for the electricity grid. Because the common methods for forecasting future costs each have their own strengths and weaknesses, we find the best insights are elicited from a combination of methods. Overall, researchers and analysts anticipate further sizable cost reductions for onshore and offshore wind. Midrange forecasts for levelized cost of energy in 2050 are generally between $20 and $30/MWh for onshore wind and $40 and $60/MWh for offshore wind, a reduction to approximately half of today's levels. Optimistic forecasts anticipate these levels as early as 2030.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Revisiting the electrochemical reduction of CO 2 on Au 25 (SR)$\overline{_{18}}$ nanocluster

Experiments show that Au25(SR)$\overline{_{18}}$ is a potential electrocatalyst for the electrochemical reduction of CO 2 , but elucidation of the reaction mechanisms remain challenging experimentally. We evaluate key steps in the active site formation, CO 2 reduction, and H 2 evolution on the nanocluster employing density functional theory coupled with an explicit solvent model of the electrochemical interface to calculate activation barriers. The predicted preferred pathway for activating the nanocluster involves dethiolation, resulting in an exposed Au site that is both active and selective for CO 2 reduction. Finally, the alternative S site is found to be kinetically prohibitive and does not facilitate CO 2 reduction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Root lateral interactions drive water uptake patterns under water limitation

The plasticity of root water uptake determines the maintenance of transpiration during periods of water limitation and drought. However, the mechanistic basis of plant water uptake, as well as the implications of water uptake strategies at the individual and ecosystem scale remain elusive. We model three-dimensional root water uptake under variably saturated conditions for a one-hectare temperate forest plot for a growing season with a pronounced mid-season dry period. Variations in root architecture, hydraulic properties, and degree of lateral interaction between root systems produce divergent local responses to water limitation and provide insights on individual and community response to meteorological conditions. Results demonstrate the plasticity of ecosystem-scale responses to surface drying, where interacting roots shift regions of active uptake to deeper soil layers with less abundant root biomass. These shifts, a product of both root system and soil hydraulic properties, illustrate intimate links between root and soil hydraulics in determining plant water sourcing. Furthermore, we demonstrate that root lateral interactions are beneficial at the ecosystem-scale, even when trees compete for water. Specifically, a more spatially extensive root system facilitates access to a larger soil water reservoir, often ameliorating water limitation and reducing sharp water potential gradients. While the reduction of water stress is a benefit, it can be offset by increased root construction and maintenance costs associated with the larger rooting system. A plausible “viability” region of root communal co-existence is therefore implied where competitive pressures and root production costs are balanced by a potential water benefit.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The role of chemical potential in compensation control in Si:AlGaN

Reduction in compensation in Si-doped Al-rich AlGaN is demonstrated via chemical potential control (CPC). The chemical potentials and the resulting formation energies of carbon on the nitrogen site (C N ) and cation vacancy complex with Si (V III + nSi III ) were related to growth variables through a thermodynamic supersaturation model, which quantitatively predicted the incorporation of C N and the generation of the V III + nSi III complex. The compensation “knee” behavior, i.e., decreasing conductivity with increasing Si incorporation beyond a certain concentration, was successfully controlled. The maximum free carrier concentration was improved by impeding the formation of V III + nSIi III complexes under III-richer conditions, while the impurity compensation by C N was reduced by making the growth environment N-richer. The results of Hall effect measurement and photoluminescence agreed well with quantitative theoretical predictions of the CPC model. Based on the developed model, the highest conductivity of 160 Ω -1 cm -1 with free carrier concentration of 3 × 10 19 cm -3 in Al 0.7 Ga 0.3 N ever reported was achieved on single crystal AlN substrates. The demonstrated predictive power of the CPC model should greatly reduce the empirical analysis or iterative experimentation that would otherwise be necessary.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Balancing renewable energy and river resources by moving from individual assessments of hydropower projects to energy system planning

As governments and non-state actors strive to minimize global warming, a primary strategy is the decarbonization of power systems which will require a massive increase in renewable electricity generation. Leading energy agencies forecast a doubling of global hydropower capacity as part of that necessary expansion of renewables. While hydropower provides generally low-carbon generation and can integrate variable renewables, such as wind and solar, into electrical grids, hydropower dams are one of the primary reasons that only one-third of the world’s major rivers remain free-flowing. This loss of free-flowing rivers has contributed to dramatic declines of migratory fish and sediment delivery to agriculturally productive deltas. Further, the reservoirs behind dams have displaced tens of millions of people. Thus, hydropower challenges the world’s efforts to meet climate targets while simultaneously achieving other Sustainable Development Goals. In this paper, we explore strategies to achieve the needed renewable energy expansion while sustaining the diverse social and environmental benefits of rivers. These strategies can be implemented at scales ranging from the individual project (environmental flows, fish passage and other site-level mitigation) to hydropower cascades to river basins and regional electrical power systems. While we review evidence that project-level management and mitigation can reduce environmental and social costs, we posit that the most effective scale for finding balanced solutions occurs at the scale of power systems. We further hypothesize that the pursuit of solutions at the system scale can also provide benefits for investors, developers and governments; evidence of benefits to these actors will be necessary for achieving broad uptake of the approaches described in this paper. We test this hypothesis through cases from Chile and Uganda that demonstrate the potential for system-scale power planning to allow countries to meet low-carbon energy targets with power systems that avoid damming high priority rivers (e.g., those that would cause conflicts with other social and environmental benefits) for a similar system cost as status quo approaches. We also show that, through reduction of risk and potential conflict, strategic planning of hydropower site selection can improve financial performance for investors and developers, with a case study from Colombia.

Opperman, Jeffrey J.↗