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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

In-situ observations of cyclic deformation in an extruded Mg-2Nd-1Y-0.1Zr-0.1Ca alloy

In this study, the evolution of deformation mechanisms during cyclic loading in an extruded, solution-treated Mg–2Nd–1Y–0.1Zr–0.1Ca alloy was investigated using a combination of in-situ loading, scanning electron microscopy (SEM), electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD), and focused ion beam (FIB) nanofabrication. The initial microstructure exhibited a random crystallographic texture with no preferred grain orientation. Flat, rectangular dog-bone specimens were subjected to load-controlled, fully reversed fatigue for 50 cycles, during which the same region was sequentially mapped to track microstructural changes. After 10 cycles of loading deformation twins were observed. During tensile reloading detwinning or narrowing of those twinned regions occurred. After 20 cycles, detwinning ceased and residual twins remained in the material. SEM imaging revealed numerous surface slip traces after cyclic loading. EBSD-assisted slip trace analysis identified the activation of prismatic and pyramidal < c+a> slip systems during low-cycle fatigue. Site-specific scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) further revealed that deformation was also accommodated by basal < a> slip and the dissociation of < c+a> dislocations. Center-of-symmetry (COS) analysis confirmed that the dissociation of < c+a> dislocations resulted in the formation of I₁ intrinsic stacking faults after cyclic loading. These findings provide new insights into the complex interplay of dislocation mechanisms governing fatigue deformation in rare-earth-containing Mg alloys.

Cyclic deformation↗
DOE OSTI2024

Insights from FEED studies for retrofitting existing fossil power plants with carbon capture technology

Recent United States Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored front-end engineering design (FEED) studies for retrofitting existing fossil-fueled power plants with state-of-the-art carbon capture technology contain previously overlooked real-world design considerations for near-term deployment of carbon capture. Insights from examining seven recently published FEED study reports are summarized in this paper. This includes a discussion of the design, performance, and cost implications associated with (1) location-specific considerations such as water availability, land availability, and accessibility; (2) host-plant-specific factors such as flue gas specifications, allowable degree of integration between the capture system and host plant, and operational mode; and (3) miscellaneous factors such as market conditions, permitting requirements, and business case incentives. In conclusion, this manuscript highlights (1) water availability as a key design and cost driver, with host plant steam extraction increasing capture system cooling water availability, (2) modularization and constructability impacts on the number of capture trains, (3) the impacts of host plant operational mode and capacity factor on the business case for installing capture, and (4) the merit of continued research, development, and demonstration efforts addressing steam extraction, host plant tie-in at the stack, solvent reclamation and air emissions control.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Deep learning model for fast, science-based forecasting of fluid migration along faults in geologic carbon storage scenarios

Effective long-term geologic storage depends on robust site selection and credible, science-based forecasting of subsurface behavior to ensure storage integrity. For this work, we develop a deep learning–based reduced-order model (ROM) to quantify potential carbon dioxide (CO₂) and brine migration through geological faults. The ROM combines a Transformer model for binary classification and a Stacked Ensemble for regression, trained on a comprehensive dataset generated from 1400 physics-based reservoir simulations. Key geologic and operational parameters—including fault geometry, reservoir structure, and injection conditions—were systematically varied to capture a wide range of fluid migration scenarios. The ROM accurately predicts the onset of migration, cumulative migration volumes of both CO₂ and brine, and associated migration rates, as compared to an independent set of validation simulations, while significantly reducing computational cost compared to traditional simulation methods. Model performance was evaluated across diverse fault configurations, revealing that shallow reservoir geometry and fault angle are among the most influential factors governing migration behavior. Sensitivity analysis using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) provided interpretability, revealing distinct patterns in how geological and operational features drive transient versus cumulative migration outcomes. The ROM’s ability to rapidly simulate fault migration scenarios enables efficient sensitivity analyses, scenario evaluations, and decision support for site selection and monitoring design. This approach enhances the safety, scalability, and long-term operational performance of geologic carbon storage (GCS) systems by providing a robust, interpretable tool for predicting subsurface fluid migration and assessing fault-related migration potential.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Grid-responsive hydrogen production: Capital utilization and current density vs. efficiency in variable electricity markets

To achieve low-cost hydrogen production from water electrolyzers, grid tied electrolysis may need to operate dynamically to minimize the cost of supplying energy to the electrolyzer stack and produce hydrogen during low-cost hours and turn off/down during high-cost hours. Operating systems in this way can decrease capital utilization (capacity factor) and electricity costs. This strategy would shift the dominant cost drivers away from electricity (and thus efficiency) to the capital costs of the system, due to the underutilized capital when operating at low-capacity factors. Increasing the operational current density of the system could, in effect, reduce the capital cost of the system while producing hydrogen at a lower efficiency on a per unit energy basis. In the variable electricity cost profiles analyzed in this paper, increasing the current density for liquid alkaline from 0.5 A/cm2 to 1.5 Ac/m2 and proton exchange membrane electrolyzers from 2 A/cm2 to 4 A/cm2 resulted in substantial reductions in the levelized cost of hydrogen. Additionally, as capacity factors and electricity costs decrease, the optimal operating current density of the electrolyzer systems analyzed increases. These findings suggest R&D efforts should focus on increasing the operational current densities, reducing the turn down ratios, and understanding the durability implications of those strategies on low-temperature liquid alkaline and proton exchange membrane electrolyzers.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-Throughput Uniformity and Defect Monitoring in Low-Temperature Electrolysis Porous Transport Layers Using X-Ray Radiography

Effective quality control (QC) for manufacturing proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) components is critical to enabling widespread adoption of the technology for hydrogen generation. This study investigates X-ray radiography as a novel, high-throughput, potentially in-line QC technique for detecting defects and assessing material property distributions in titanium-based porous transport layers (PTLs) which constitute a crucial component of low temperature PEMWE stacks. We obtain radiographs of a set of fifteen PTLs and model their absorbance of the broadband radiation as a second-order polynomial to account for the non-monoenergetic radiation source used in this study. The resulting model serves as a basis for predicting the areal density and porosity distributions of the PTLs. We find radiography successful in detecting multiple instances of defects, including holes/depressions, cracks, and excess material on the surface or in the pores of the material, demonstrating its potential as a robust in-line QC tool for PTL manufacturing.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

In planta production of the nylon precursor beta-ketoadipate

Beta-ketoadipate (βKA) is an intermediate of the βKA pathway involved in the degradation of aromatic compounds in several bacteria and fungi. Beta-ketoadipate also represents a promising chemical for the manufacturing of performance-advantaged nylons. We established a strategy for the in planta synthesis of βKA via manipulation of the shikimate pathway and the expression of bacterial enzymes from the βKA pathway. Using Nicotiana benthamiana as a transient expression system, we demonstrated the efficient conversion of protocatechuate (PCA) to βKA when plastid-targeted bacterial-derived PCA 3,4-dioxygenase (PcaHG) and 3-carboxy-cis,cis-muconate cycloisomerase (PcaB) were co-expressed with 3-deoxy-D-arabinoheptulosonate 7-phosphate synthase (AroG) and 3-dehydroshikimate dehydratase (QsuB). This metabolic pathway was reconstituted in Arabidopsis by introducing a construct (pAtβKA) with stacked pcaG, pcaH, and pcaB genes into a PCA-overproducing genetic background that expresses AroG and QsuB (referred as QsuB-2). The resulting QsuB-2 x pAtβKA stable lines displayed βKA titers as high as 0.25 % on a dry weight basis in stems, along with a drastic reduction in lignin content and improvement of biomass saccharification efficiency compared to wild-type controls, and without any significant reduction in biomass yields. Using biomass sorghum as a potential crop for large-scale βKA production, techno-economic analysis indicated that βKA accumulated at titers of 0.25 % and 4 % on a dry weight basis could be competitively priced in the range of $2.04-34.49/kg and $0.47-2.12/kg, respectively, depending on the selling price of the residual biomass recovered after βKA extraction. This study lays the foundation for a more environmentally-friendly synthesis of βKA using plants as production hosts.

Kazaz, Sami↗
DOE OSTI2025

Coarse-grained simulation of colloidal self-assembly, cation exchange, and rheology in Na/Ca smectite clay gels

Knowledge Gap: The aggregation of clay minerals—layered silicate nanoparticles—strongly impacts fluid flow, solute migration, and solid mechanics in soils, sediments, and sedimentary rocks. Experimental and computational characterization of clay aggregation is inhibited by the delicate water-mediated nature of clay colloidal interactions and by the range of spatial scales involved, from 1 nm thick platelets to flocs with dimensions up to micrometers or more. Simulations: Using a new coarse-grained molecular dynamics (CGMD) approach, we predicted the microstructure, dynamics, and rheology of hydrated smectite (more precisely, montmorillonite) clay gels containing up to 2,000 clay platelets on length scales up to 0.1 μm. Further, simulations investigated the impact of simulation time, platelet diameters (6 to 25nm), and the ratio of Na to Ca exchangeable cations on the assembly of tactoids (i.e., stacks of parallel clay platelets) and larger aggregates (i.e., assemblages of tactoids). We analyzed structural features including tactoid size and size distribution, basal spacing, counterion distribution in the electrical double layer, clay association modes, and the rheological properties of smectite gels. Findings: Our results demonstrate new potential to characterize and understand clay aggregation in dilute suspensions and gels on a scale of thousands of particles with explicit representation of counterion clouds and with accuracy approaching that of all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. For example, our simulations predict the strong impact of Na/Ca ratio on clay tactoid formation and the shear-thinning rheology of clay gels.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Analysis of measurements from an array of radioxenon samplers near to Hartlepool Nuclear Power Station

As part of a scientific research and development project, the radionuclide fingerprint of an operating advanced gas-cooled reactor 25 (AGR) has been studied across several facets (Goodwin et al., 2024). One part of this project was to deploy an array of 26 radioxenon samplers to the region for a period of around 1 year, to measure any radioxenon emissions from the reactors of the 27 Hartlepool nuclear power station at a range of tens of kilometres away. The array of 3 sensors was operational for around 12 28 months from March 2022 and detected many occurrences of isotopes of radioxenon. Here we provide a detailed analysis and 29 interpretation of the data and where possible, attribution of detections to a source or region. Whilst a key part of this work is to 30 measure any emissions of radioxenon from Hartlepool, this work presents one of the most comprehensive efforts to determine the 31 source of a great number of (mostly) 133Xe detections. A combination of different types of atmospheric dispersion modelling 32 techniques, including the use of stack monitoring data from nearby civil radioxenon-emitting nuclear facilities has enabled the 33 majority of detections to be attributed to one or more possible sources. Whilst emissions from Hartlepool have been detected on 34 the systems, the majority of detections are associated with a medical isotope production facility in Fleurus, Belgium (IRE).

Advanced gas-cooled reactor↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exceptional radiation resistance of hardened amorphous SiC under high-temperature hydrogen ion implantation

This study provides a compelling comparison of the structural and mechanical responses of single-crystal silicon carbide (sc-SiC), nanocrystalline silicon carbide (nc-SiC), and amorphous silicon carbide (am-SiC) to hydrogen ion implantation at 650 °C across three distinct fluences: low, medium, and high (LF, MF, HF). While both sc-SiC and nc-SiC exhibit blistering, microcracking, and exfoliation, am-SiC remains free of blisters, demonstrating superior resilience. Notably, nc-SiC, with its high density of stacking faults (SFs), requires a higher fluence to initiate blistering compared to sc-SiC. At high fluences, hydrogen accumulation at grain boundaries (GBs) in nc-SiC elevates internal gas pressure, intensifying exfoliation. In sc-SiC, blistering leads to increased hardness, whereas in nc-SiC, the degradation of the SF structure results in a reduction in hardness. In contrast, am-SiC undergoes structural relaxation during irradiation, resulting in a significant increase in hardness while maintaining its structural integrity, with only the formation of nano-sized spherical bubbles observed. Furthermore, these findings highlight the exceptional suitability of am-SiC for nuclear applications, where resistance to radiation-induced microcracking is critical.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Siloxane-modified polycarbosilane flexible Prepregs for fabrication of ceramic matrix composites via compression molding and PIP densification

For this work, the development of ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) using 5 harness satin carbon fiber fabric impregnated with commercial polycarbosilane precursor plasticized by siloxane copolymer was investigated aiming to improve wetting behavior and shape conformability. The polycarbosilane precursor and polysiloxane plasticizer were mixed at varying weight ratios to obtain flexible preceramic resin prepreg cloths. 13 plies of preceramic polymer prepreg cloths were stacked in 0/90° layup and cured by compression molding, followed by densified via PIP process. The CMCs were densified with eight PIP cycles followed by final crystallization at 1600 °C. The CMCs made with 10 wt% polysiloxane loading showed lower viscosity of the prepreg resin as well as higher strength and displacement to failure compared to those fabricated from unplasticized polycarbosilane prepolymer. In contrast, at higher concentration of plasticizer, viscosity of the prepreg resin increased, and the CMC became more brittle; however, it exhibited considerably higher thermal conductivity.

Carbosilane↗
DOE OSTI2026

Numerical simulation of vortex-induced vibration response of a single IEA 10-MW wind turbine blade

Three-dimensional simulation of vortex-induced vibration (VIV) of a single International Energy Agency (IEA) 10-MW reference wind turbine blade with a length of 97.325 m is performed using the ExaWind stack, an open-source suite of codes. This study aims to illustrate the spanwise VIV response characteristics and cross-validate the results with an existing commercial framework. Five near-body meshes and three time steps are selected for the convergence study. To improve computational efficiency, several VIV triggering methods are also compared to shorten the VIV development period. The ExaWind-based VIV simulation strategy for a single IEA 10-MW blade is determined. First, the modal shape is validated against published results. Then, spanwise VIV responses of four blade configurations under a fixed and varied incoming flow velocity are analyzed. Results show that the VIV response is dominated by the first edgewise (second overall) mode. Little first-mode contributions appear near the second-mode node, producing a pi phase jump, and a higher harmonics response occurs near the blade root. Rotational degrees of freedom are minor compared with translational motion. The response versus reduced velocity is analyzed, showing a two-branch behavior similar to that of VIV for a bluff cylinder. Across all tested cases, the dominant frequency remains locked to the natural frequency of the second mode with no observed desynchronization. A mild deviation is observed for the case of 90-degree pitch and 310-degree azimuth rotation near a reduced velocity of 6, which will be examined with additional cases in future work. These findings indicate that severe VIV responses can arise under specific configurations and flow conditions, thereby increasing the potential for VIV fatigue damage and requiring greater attention during operation.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing 2D hydrodynamic flood models through machine learning and urban drainage integration

Two-dimensional hydrodynamic flood models are commonly employed for simulating flood extent and inundation depth. However, the influence of urban drainage network (UDN) is frequently overlooked in these models, potentially compromising their accuracy. Furthermore, the expensive computational costs and longer processing times make them challenging for large-scale hydrodynamic simulation. To address these challenges, this paper develops a machine learning (ML)-driven emulator for an open-source flood model, the Two-dimensional Runoff Inundation Toolkit for Operational Needs (TRITON). A TRITON-ML Emulator (TR-Emulator) that utilizes Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory is developed to capture the spatiotemporal features of flood events based on the outputs from TRITON. We further enhance the emulator by integrating UDN parameters (TR-UDN), such as the flow capacity of drainage pipes, pipe size, and pipe length, via an ML stacking technique to improve the water surface elevation (WSE) simulation. Hurricane Harvey 2017 in Houston, TX is used as the case study. We compare WSE results from TRITON, TR-Emulator, TR-UDN, and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) observations to evaluate the performance of these models. The results indicate that the TR-Emulator effectively replicates the WSE simulated by TRITON. Additionally, TR-UDN performs well in capturing WSE patterns and peak flows, aligning more closely with USGS observations, except in areas with milder slopes where conveyance discrepancies are observed. We further test the generalizability of our ML-based models using another smaller event. This paper shows that the TR-Emulator is effective for users and engineers to emulate a 2D hydrodynamic model, and the enhanced version of the TR-Emulator, TR-UDN, can be an efficient tool for predicting WSEs during urban flooding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Digital bead modeling for wire-arc directed energy deposition

Prediction of 2D cross-section and full 3D geometry for stacked weld beads is critical for the outcome of wire-arc directed energy deposition (DED) parts; however, most additive path planning software packages model beads as extrusions of a rectangle. Weld beads are not rectangular, and the resulting shape is dependent upon physics effects at the moment of deposition. Physics phenomena such as the geometry of the underlying surface, the heat input of the welding mode, and the direction of gravity contribute to bead shape. Here, this paper presents a novel implicit modeling method that discretizes a 2D area or 3D volume of space into pixels or voxels and constructs fields based on these physics phenomena. The fields are combined using a weighting scheme trained on 3D scan measurements of welds and wire-arc DED prints. Pixels or voxels are added until the known amount of deposited volume has been achieved. Thereby, a strong conservation of mass principle is applied to the process. Utilizing machine learning techniques, the present model can be trained on a database of scans allowing for the representation of a wide variety of prints. Results show that this method can produce predictions with realistic bead morphology and sub-millimeter form error.

Bead geometry modeling↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dislocation nano-hydrides in nickel: Nucleation, evolution and effects on dislocation behaviors

Nano-hydrides have been predicted to precipitate at the core of edge dislocations in the Ni-H system, a mechanism that may promote hydrogen embrittlement. However, nano-hydride nucleation, growth, and effects on dislocation behavior have seldom been explored. This work combines molecular dynamics grand canonical Monte Carlo (MD-GCMC) simulations and continuum modeling to uncover a wide range of phenomena linked to dislocation nano-hydrides. Simulations reveal that nano-hydrides can be stabilized at dislocation cores with all character angles, including screw segments, due to the hydrostatic stresses around the cores of the Shockley partials. Nano-hydride nucleation takes place in these regions, and growth is dictated by the character angle θ of the perfect dislocation. The equilibrium stacking fault width d eq varies dynamically to increase the local hydrostatic stress field and facilitate the formation of the nano-hydride, forming a constriction-like feature and leading to three distinct behaviors: d eq decreases for θ > 30°, d eq remains unchanged for θ = 30°, and d eq increases for θ < 30°. Remote hydrostatic and Escaig stresses are also shown to influence the nucleation stage, implying stress concentrations such as those ahead of crack tips may facilitate nano-hydride precipitation. Moreover, we identify a new hydrogen-induced 60° dislocation reaction that emits a Shockley partial on a conjugate plane, with potential implications for twin nucleation. Testable predictions from this study are then used to reinterpret previous results from the literature. In conclusion, these findings provide a comprehensive framework to assess nano-hydride formation and evolution at dislocations in nickel and other face-centered cubic metals, with important implications to hydrogen embrittlement.

Dislocations↗
DOE OSTI2024

A high-volume resonator for L-band DNP-NMR

DNP-NMR and EPR experiments that operate at or greater than L-band (i.e., ν 0 (e – ) = 1–2 GHz) are typically limited to maximum sample volumes of several hundred µL. These experiments rely on well-known resonator designs for DNP/EPR irradiation such as the loop-gap resonator and Alderman-Grant coil, where their maximum volumes limit further application to imaging experiments and high-throughput screening beyond L-band. Herein, we demonstrate a birdcage (BC) resonator design that can accommodate several mL of sample while operating around 1.5 GHz. The sample volume is maximized by using two identical BC resonators in a stacked configuration. Simulations are used to optimize the BC design and the performance is validated experimentally with liquid-state Overhauser-DNP-NMR experiments. This BC design exploits just the parasitic capacitance of conductive rings and features no fixed tuning capacitors. An enhancement of –77 is achieved on a 10 mM 4-Amino-TEMPO in H 2 O sample for a 5 mL sample volume. Finally, the associated sample heating is minimal due to the low-E-fields generated and the large sample mass with +3.4 K when driving 100 W for several seconds.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Microstructural evolution of compositionally complex solid-solution alloys under in-situ dual-beam irradiation

Here, this work attempts to link the microstructural evolution of single-phase compositionally complex alloy (CCA) compositions under dual-beam irradiation to their Mn-content via the stacking-fault energy (SFE) and vacancy migration energies. Two alloys, Cr 18 Fe 27 Mn 27 Ni 28 and Cr 15 Fe 35 Mn 15 Ni 35 , along with less compositionally complex pure Ni and Fe 56 Ni 44 binary were irradiated at 500 and 600 °C under dual-beam 1 MeV Kr 2+ and 16 keV He + heavy-ions up to 7 displacements per atom (dpa) with a He/dpa ratio of 0.75 %/dpa using in situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Due to the bubble-stabilizing effect of implanted He, bubbles were observed in all irradiations, and populations of faulted interstitial loops were characterized in Cr 18 Fe 27 Mn 27 Ni 28 and Cr 15 Fe 35 Mn 15 Ni 35 . A reduction in swelling was observed in the two CCAs compared to pure Ni and Fe 56 Ni 44 . Although swelling increased from 500 to 600 °C in Fe 56 Ni 44 , Cr 15 Fe 35 Mn 15 Ni 35 and Cr 18 Fe 27 Mn 27 Ni 28 both swelled slightly more at 500 °C. This was attributed to the difference in vacancy mobility, stronger pinning effect of vacancies on He, and the sink strength of faulted dislocation loops. Faulted interstitial loops nucleated with a higher number density and dislocation line density in Cr 15 Fe 35 Mn 15 Ni 35 at both temperatures, and at 600 °C in both materials. The differences in faulted loop population and temperature effect on swelling are correlated to the Mn-content and the measured SFE (20.2 ± 6.7 mJ/m 2 for Cr 18 Fe 27 Mn 27 Ni 28 and 9.2 ± 3.4 mJ/m 2 for Cr 15 Fe 35 Mn 15 Ni 35 ).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Irradiation-induced shift in the thermodynamic stability of phases and the self-healing effect in transformative high entropy alloys

Here, this work investigated Fe 40 Mn 20 Cr 15 Co 20 Si 5 high entropy alloy (CS-HEA), which exhibits transformation induced plasticity (TRIP) from γ-fcc → ε-hcp, as a probable candidate for nuclear applications. CS-HEA is an extensively-explored, low stacking fault energy alloy with superior strength, ductility, fatigue resistance, and corrosion resistance. This study delved into the effect of irradiation on the shift in thermodynamic stability of the phases and thus radiation tolerance. The evolution of phases, lattice parameters, and transformation volume, V γ→ε , were evaluated from X-ray diffraction experiments along with the mechanical response from nanoindentation. The alloy exhibited a recently-proposed novel self-healing mechanism possible due to the TRIP effect to minimize irradiation damage by restraining the γ-fcc → ε-hcp transformation via thermal aid; this self-healing mechanism was confirmed by transmission electron microscopy. The results were corroborated by a negative change in V γ→ε and a low |V γ→ε |, which is an important criterion for recovery of parent γ-fcc phase. Thus, this alloy was deemed a good radiation-tolerant candidate for nuclear application.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic data-driven multiscale modeling for predicting the degradation of a 316L stainless steel nuclear cladding material

Here, we have developed a long short-term memory stacked ensemble (LSTM-SE) surrogate modeling approach that can provide rapid predictions of microstructural evolution and the resultant mechanical properties of American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) 316L series stainless steel (316LSS) fuel cladding under conditions of varying temperature and radiation dose rate. To acquire training data, we developed and implemented a kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) model to simulate precipitation kinetics of M 23 C 6 , γ', and G phases within SS316L cladding. Experimentally reported precipitation kinetics of SS316L in literature were linked to the kinetic parameters of the simulated precipitation in our KMC model. The model was then used to simulate microstructure evolution under synthetically generated treatments of varying temperature and radiation dose rate, for periods of up to 3000 hours. Changes in volume fraction, number density, and particle size of precipitates were recorded, and particle area fractions were correlated using statistical methods to develop the surrogate model. Simultaneously, the mechanical properties of the simulated microstructures were evaluated using microstructure-based finite element method (FEM) analysis to determine the elastic modulus, yield stress, ultimate tensile strength, and elongation to failure of the aged microstructures. Using this approach, our surrogate model can predict precipitation behavior within 0.25% volume fraction and mechanical properties within 6% relative error from the values predicted by the KMC and FEM models using 50 training simulations as input. The trained recurrent neural network-based model can return estimations of precipitation kinetics and mechanical properties ~1000 times faster than the physics-based codes. This work demonstrates, as a proof of concept, that reactor material service lifetimes under variable service conditions can be predicted for a statistics-based model from a practicably obtainable dataset.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗