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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Switch Opening and Exchange Method for Stochastic Distribution Network Reconfiguration

The purpose of distribution network reconfiguration (DNR) is to determine the optimal topology of an electricity distribution network, which is an efficient measure to reduce network power losses. Electricity load demand and photovoltaic (PV) output are uncertain and vary with time of day, and will affect the optimal network topology. Single-hour deterministic DNR is incapable of handling this uncertainty and variability. Therefore, this paper proposes to solve a multi-hour stochastic DNR (SDNR). Existing solution methods for DNR are either inaccurate or excessively time-consuming, and are therefore incapable of solving multi-hour SDNRs for large distribution networks. In this regard, a switch opening and exchange (SOE) method is proposed. Starting from a looped network with all switches closed, the SOE consists of three steps. The first step is to sequentially open the switches until all of the loops are opened. The second and third steps modify the status of branches obtained in the first step to obtain better radial topologies. Five test systems are used to validate the accuracy and fast solution speed of the SOE and the superiority of multi-hour SDNR over single-hour deterministic DNR.

distribution network reconfiguration↗
DOE OSTI2023

Hand Calculation Methods for Nuclear Criticality Safety

This primer provides an overview of the most common hand calculation methods used for criticality safety calculations. The most widely used tools available to a nuclear criticality safety (NCS) practitioner are probably the common Monte Carlo or deterministic criticality safety codes, which can be used to model very complex systems. However, use of these codes can obscure the parameters to which a particular fissile system may be sensitive, whereas the hand calculation methods can be used to delve into the ways each parameter may affect the reactivity of a fissile material system. Furthermore, practitioners must avoid using computer codes as devices that take inputs and simply provide outputs (i.e., a “black box”). Many years ago, pioneers such as Joe Thomas, David Smith, and Hugh Paxton, among others in the field of nuclear criticality safety, took the time before the advent of high-speed desktop computers to create simple hand methods for criticality safety analyses. Some of the methods can be used for single fissile units; others are applicable to fissile units arranged into simple array configurations. This primer discusses the applicability of the various methods, illustrates how they are used, and provides an interpretation of the various results. The NCS practitioner will need to spend time to master the methods that could be most useful; however, they can provide the practitioner with fast and accurate answers to criticality safety problems if they are used correctly and if critical data exist for the problem at hand. Hand calculation methods can be used as a starting point for more advanced calculations, and in many circumstances, they can provide sensitivity and perturbation information more quickly than using a criticality code.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Accuracy of predictions made by machine learned models for biocrude yields obtained from hydrothermal liquefaction of organic wastes

Hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) has potential for converting abundant wet organic wastes into renewable fuels. Because HTL consists of a complex reaction network, deterministic, physics-based prediction of its biocrude yield is prohibitively difficult. Data-driven methods provide an alternative to the physics-based approach; however, rigorous testing must be performed to ensure the accuracy of predictions made by data-driven methods. To this end, a data set was assembled consisting of 570 data points appearing in the open literature. The data set was divided into training, validation, and test sub-sets and used for evaluating different machine learning regression approaches to predict biocrude yield. Among the tested algorithms, Random Forest and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) predicted biocrude yields in a test set that had not been used for training with the greatest accuracy, with root mean square errors (RMSE) of 8.34 and 8.57, respectively. Further refinement of the Random Forest model reduced its RMSE to 8.07. In comparison, predictions of a series of literature models resulted in RMSE ranging from 9.16 in the most accurate case to 27.6 in the least accurate; most literature models yielded RMSE values > 10. Using biocrude yield predictions from the most accurate Random Forest model and a probabilistic economic analysis found that the model accuracy is sufficient to prioritize allocation of resources based on projected minimum fuel selling price. In our report the models and analysis represent a major advance in the ability to use readily available data to predict biocrude yields on new feedstocks that have not previously been studied.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterizing Absolute Orientations in DNA Self-Assembly of Single Molecules

DNA self-assembly of single molecules (i.e., dyes) with deterministic orientations is a powerful approach for engineering mo-lecular excitons. However, current determination methods of the dye orientation relative to DNA do not account for the orien-tation of the dye plane, which is a missing degree of freedom needed to define absolute three-dimensional orientations. In this work, we combine fluorescence-detected linear dichroism, defocused dipole imaging, and DNA points accumulation for imaging in nanoscale topography (DNA-PAINT) super-resolution microscopy to determine the absolute three-dimensional orientations of single Cy5 dyes relative to host DNA duplexes which includes the dye plane orientation. The data revealed that the absorption and emission dipoles are perpendicular to the DNA duplex, and the mean dye plane is parallel to the DNA bases, which supports the notion that Cy5 dyes intercalate between DNA base pairs. The presented methodology will inspire the investigation of the dye plane orientation for controlling dye arrangement configurations beyond spontaneous π-stacking between dyes as well as achieving novel dye-DNA arrangements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2017

Rapid sampling of stochastic displacements in Brownian dynamics simulations

Here, we present a new method for sampling stochastic displacements in Brownian Dynamics (BD) simulations of colloidal scale particles. The method relies on a new formulation for Ewald summation of the Rotne-Prager-Yamakawa (RPY) tensor, which guarantees that the real-space and wave-space contributions to the tensor are independently symmetric and positive-definite for all possible particle configurations. Brownian displacements are drawn from a superposition of two independent samples: a wave-space (far-field or long-ranged) contribution, computed using techniques from fluctuating hydrodynamics and non-uniform fast Fourier transforms; and a real-space (near-field or short-ranged) correction, computed using a Krylov subspace method. The combined computational complexity of drawing these two independent samples scales linearly with the number of particles. The proposed method circumvents the super-linear scaling exhibited by all known iterative sampling methods applied directly to the RPY tensor that results from the power law growth of the condition number of tensor with the number of particles. For geometrically dense microstructures (fractal dimension equal three), the performance is independent of volume fraction, while for tenuous microstructures (fractal dimension less than three), such as gels and polymer solutions, the performance improves with decreasing volume fraction. This is in stark contrast with other related linear-scaling methods such as the force coupling method and the fluctuating immersed boundary method, for which performance degrades with decreasing volume fraction. Calculations for hard sphere dispersions and colloidal gels are illustrated and used to explore the role of microstructure on performance of the algorithm. In practice, the logarithmic part of the predicted scaling is not observed and the algorithm scales linearly for up to 4×10 6 particles, obtaining speed ups of over an order of magnitude over existing iterative methods, and making the cost of computing Brownian displacements comparable to the cost of computing deterministic displacements in BD simulations. Finally, a high-performance implementation employing non-uniform fast Fourier transforms implemented on graphics processing units and integrated with the software package HOOMD-blue is used for benchmarking.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

On the dual advantage of placing observations through forward sensitivity analysis

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation methodology for assimilating noisy observations into a deterministic model has been the workhorse in forecasting centres for over three decades. While this method provides a computationally efficient framework for dynamic data assimilation, it is largely silent on the important question concerning the minimum number and placement of observations. To answer this question, we demonstrate the dual advantage of placing the observations where the square of the sensitivity of the model solution with respect to the unknown control variables, called forward sensitivities, attains its maximum. By following this approach, we can force the observability Gramian to be of full rank, which in turn guarantees efficient recovery of the optimal values of the control variables, which is the first of the two advantages of this strategy. We further show that the proposed strategy of placing observations has another inherent optimality: the square of the sensitivity of the optimal estimates of the control with respect to the observations (used to obtain these estimates) attains its minimum value, a second advantage that is a direct consequence of the above strategy for placing observations. Our analytical framework and numerical experiments on linear and nonlinear systems confirm the effectiveness of our proposed strategy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Self-Organizing Map-Based Resilience Quantification and Resilient Control of Distribution Systems Under Extreme Events

Due to climate change, extreme weather events are occurring more frequently and with increasing impact. This trend poses a significant challenge for distribution system operators (DSO) to ensure that there is uninterrupted power supply to critical loads in their networks. To embed resilience into DSO's decision-making, resilience needs to be first quantified and then integrated into the system-level optimization. Therefore, this paper first develops a novel self-organizing map (SOM) based method (called SomRes) to quantify the time-varying resilience index of a system that can leverage the powerful classification property of SOMs and removes some of the disadvantages of subjective weight assignment methods. Using SomRes, a resilient resource allocation and operational dispatch algorithm is further developed to enhance system resilience against extreme events by considering the SomRes resilience index directly as the feedback. Here, the proposed resilience quantification approach is benchmarked with a state-of-the-art approach and the efficacy of the proposed resilient dispatch algorithm is demonstrated through several deterministic and statistical case studies on the IEEE 123-bus distribution system. Simulation studies show that the proposed SomRes quantification method is an appropriate indicator of system resilience, and the resilient resource allocation and dispatch strategy can significantly reduce critical load shedding under varying event propagation scenarios.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Source noise suppression in attosecond transient absorption spectroscopy by edge-pixel referencing

Attosecond transient absorption spectroscopy (ATAS) is used to observe photoexcited dynamics with outstanding time resolution. The main experimental challenge of this technique is that high-harmonic generation sources show significant instabilities, resulting in sub-par sensitivity when compared to other techniques. This paper proposes edge-pixel referencing as a means to suppress this noise. Two approaches are introduced: the first is deterministic and uses a correlation analysis, while the second relies on singular value decomposition. Each method is demonstrated and quantified on a noisy measurement taken on WS 2 and results in a fivefold increase in sensitivity. The combination of the two methods ensures the fidelity of the procedure and can be implemented on live data collection but also on existing datasets. The results show that edge-referencing methods bring the sensitivity of ATAS near the detector noise floor. An implementation of the post-processing code is provided to the reader.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2018

Integrating quantitative defense-in-depth metrics into new reactor designs

Risk-informed, performance-based (RIPB) methods have progressed to the point where high-level guidance can be used to augment traditional, deterministic, nuclear safety design practices in areas important to nuclear reactor safety. This paper describes an approach for augmenting the traditional defense-in-depth (DID) qualitative approach with quantitative risk information from a plant-specific probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) in a way that is structured, can be applied on a consistent basis, and allows for clear acceptance criteria. Adding performance-based targets that should be achieved is expected to result in safer and more economical plant designs. Evaluations of DID can be conducted throughout the design process as well as in support of design certification and operating license applications to identify where defense protections could be enhanced or relaxed. Consistent with the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission's policy statement encouraging greater use of PRA to improve safety decision making and regulatory efficiency, this scenario-based DID method can be used to evaluate changes and overall plant design as part of the normal design control process. Although the RIPB method presented in this paper was developed for application to advanced passive light water reactor designs, the metrics could be tailored to other reactor designs. This risk-informed approach to DID helps to ensure that public and worker risk insights are integrated into the design process holistically.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Exact and efficient hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm for accelerated Bayesian inference of gene expression models from snapshots of single-cell transcripts

Single cells exhibit a significant amount of variability in transcript levels, which arises from slow, stochastic transitions between gene expression states. Elucidating the nature of these states and understanding how transition rates are affected by different regulatory mechanisms require state-of-the-art methods to infer underlying models of gene expression from single cell data. A Bayesian approach to statistical inference is the most suitable method for model selection and uncertainty quantification of kinetic parameters using small data sets. However, this approach is impractical because current algorithms are too slow to handle typical models of gene expression. To solve this problem, we first show that time-dependent mRNA distributions of discrete-state models of gene expression are dynamic Poisson mixtures, whose mixing kernels are characterized by a piecewise deterministic Markov process. Here, we combined this analytical result with a kinetic Monte Carlo algorithm to create a hybrid numerical method that accelerates the calculation of time-dependent mRNA distributions by 1000-fold compared to current methods. We then integrated the hybrid algorithm into an existing Monte Carlo sampler to estimate the Bayesian posterior distribution of many different, competing models in a reasonable amount of time. We demonstrate that kinetic parameters can be reasonably constrained for modestly sampled data sets if the model is known a priori. If there are many competing models, Bayesian evidence can rigorously quantify the likelihood of a model relative to other models from the data. We demonstrate that Bayesian evidence selects the true model and outperforms approximate metrics typically used for model selection.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data and scripts associated with the manuscript "Organic Molecules are Deterministically Assembled in River Sediments"

This data package is associated with the publication "Organic Molecules are Deterministically Assembled in River Sediments" submitted to Scientific Reports (Stegen et al., 2024). The study applies community ecology methods to dissolved organic matter (DOM) chemistry from variably inundated riverbed sediments to uncover principles governing DOM composition at a reach-scale. This data package documents the workflow used to process and generate the main findings in the manuscript. The R scripts reference the raw, unprocessed Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry (FTICR-MS) data from another data package, available on ESS-DIVE at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/view/doi:10.15485/1834208. The scripts then process the raw FTICR-MS data and generate the findings and figures presented in the associated manuscript. In brief, this study demonstrates that DOM assemblages in variably inundated sediments are primarily governed by deterministic variable selection, including sediment moisture effecting the degree of deterministic assembly. See the manuscript for more details pertaining to interpretation and implications of the findings. This data package is associated with the GitHub repository found at https://github.com/WHONDRS-Hub/ECA_2020_Sed.This data package is comprised of 6 scripts and 7 folders. The file-level metadata file (file ending in "flmd.csv") lists all files contained in this data package and descriptions for each. The data dictionary (file ending in "dd.csv) describes all tabular data columns and their respective definitions and units. The FTICR_Processing_Scripts produce the outputs found in the "Processed_Data" folder. The remaining scripts (located in the parent directory) produce the outputs found in the following four folders: (1) "MCD_Dendrograms", "MCD_Randomizations", "MCD_bNTI_Outcomes", and "OM_Null_Modeling". The fifth script additionally takes the three comma-separated values (CSV) files found in the parent directory as input ("VGC_texture.csv", "merged_weights.csv", and "ECA2_FTICR_BetaDisp.csv"). The outputs of each of the five scripts serve as the input to the following script, with the final outputs stored in the folder "OM_Null_Modeling".

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Uncertainties in secondary angular distributions and their impact on shielding, criticality and kinetics analysis - 25556

The availability of the covariance data improved over the last decades. Use of covariance matrices of different origin (such as JEFF, JENDL, ENDF, TENDL, SCALE, etc.) and types (files MF31, MF33, MF34, MF35) in sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of vast list of cases ranging from fission to fusion and from criticality, kinetics and shielding to adjustment applications was already studied in the past. The present work focuses on the status and the availability of the covariance of the angular distributions of scattered neutrons (secondary angular distributions - SAD covariances). SAD uncertainties are usually neglected in classical uncertainty propagation codes, even though the methods and codes for calculating the sensitivities are available for decades and excellent agreement was demonstrated between different deterministic and Monte Carlo codes. Of particular concern is still the availability, quality and completeness of covariance matrices. Indeed, in most evaluations the SAD covariances are limited to P1 term, if available at all. Furthermore, some differences were observed between different evaluations, e.g. in the case of iron. (author)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
DOE OSTI2019

An Efficient Bayesian Method for Advancing the Application of Deep Learning in Earth Science

Despite their wide and successful applications, deep learning (DL) models are prone to overfitting for small training datasets, produce a poor predictive performance for uncertain data, and provide point estimations without any indication of the accuracy and credibility. These limitations of the deterministic DL models hinder their effective application in Earth system science where the labelled data are sparse, noisy and incomplete with large uncertainty and where the predictive uncertainty quantification is needed for scientific understanding and policy decision making. Integration of Bayesian inference into DL models adds an estimate of uncertainty and regularization in the predictions. However, traditional Bayesian methods are computationally unaffordable and inflexible for high-dimensional problems, which limits their application to DL systems that typically have millions of model parameters. In this effort, we propose an efficient and general-purpose Bayesian inference method to advance DL model optimization and uncertainty quantification, so as to facilitate the adoption of DL in Earth sciences. In a demonstration, we integrate the proposed Bayesian method with a feedforward neural network (NN) to build a fast-to-evaluate surrogate of the complex Energy Exascale Earth System Land Model for efficient modeling. The formulated Bayesian NN, using a small number of training data, produces an accurate prediction with high credibility, whereas with the same small training size, the deterministic NN cannot yield a reasonable estimation and does not provide confidence information. The proposed Bayesian method is computationally efficient and flexible, capable of integration with diverse network variants such as convolutional NNs and recurrent NNs to advance the application of DL in Earth sciences.

Lu, Dan↗
NASA NTRS1984

Refinement and evaluation of helicopter real-time self-adaptive active vibration controller algorithms

A Real-Time Self-Adaptive (RTSA) active vibration controller was used as the framework in developing a computer program for a generic controller that can be used to alleviate helicopter vibration. Based upon on-line identification of system parameters, the generic controller minimizes vibration in the fuselage by closed-loop implementation of higher harmonic control in the main rotor system. The new generic controller incorporates a set of improved algorithms that gives the capability to readily define many different configurations by selecting one of three different controller types (deterministic, cautious, and dual), one of two linear system models (local and global), and one or more of several methods of applying limits on control inputs (external and/or internal limits on higher harmonic pitch amplitude and rate). A helicopter rotor simulation analysis was used to evaluate the algorithms associated with the alternative controller types as applied to the four-bladed H-34 rotor mounted on the NASA Ames Rotor Test Apparatus (RTA) which represents the fuselage. After proper tuning all three controllers provide more effective vibration reduction and converge more quickly and smoothly with smaller control inputs than the initial RTSA controller (deterministic with external pitch-rate limiting). It is demonstrated that internal limiting of the control inputs a significantly improves the overall performance of the deterministic controller.

Davis, M. W.↗
NASA NTRS1985

On the evaluation of expected performance cost for partially observed closed-loop stochastic systems

New methods are presented for evaluating the expected performance cost of partially observed closed-loop stochastic systems. When the variances of the process statistics are small, a linearized model of the closed-loop stochastic system is defined for which the expected cost can be evaluated by recursion on a set of purely deterministic difference equations. When the variances of the process statistics are large, the linearized model can be used in the control variate method of variance reduction for reducing the number of sample paths required for effective Monte Carlo estimation.

Bayard, D. S.↗
DOE OSTI2017

Spatio-Temporal Data Analysis at Scale Using Models Based on Gaussian Processes

Gaussian processes are the most commonly used statistical model for spatial and spatio-temporal processes that vary continuously. They are broadly applicable in the physical sciences and engineering and are also frequently used to approximate the output of complex computer models, deterministic or stochastic. We undertook research related to theory, computation, and applications of Gaussian processes as well as some work on estimating extremes of distributions for which a Gaussian process assumption might be inappropriate. Our theoretical contributions include the development of new classes of spatial-temporal covariance functions with desirable properties and new results showing that certain covariance models lead to predictions with undesirable properties. To understand how Gaussian process models behave when applied to deterministic computer models, we derived what we believe to be the first significant results on the large sample properties of estimators of parameters of Gaussian processes when the actual process is a simple deterministic function. Finally, we investigated some theoretical issues related to maxima of observations with varying upper bounds and found that, depending on the circumstances, standard large sample results for maxima may or may not hold. Our computational innovations include methods for analyzing large spatial datasets when observations fall on a partially observed grid and methods for estimating parameters of a Gaussian process model from observations taken by a polar-orbiting satellite. In our application of Gaussian process models to deterministic computer experiments, we carried out some matrix computations that would have been infeasible using even extended precision arithmetic by focusing on special cases in which all elements of the matrices under study are rational and using exact arithmetic. The applications we studied include total column ozone as measured from a polar-orbiting satellite, sea surface temperatures over the Pacific Ocean, and annual temperature extremes at a site in New York City. In each of these applications, our theoretical and computational innovations were directly motivated by the challenges posed by analyzing these and similar types of data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

A non‐intrusive domain‐decomposition model reduction method for linear steady‐state partial differential equations with random coefficients

Abstract Domain decomposition methods have been proved to be an effective strategy to reduce the dimension of parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). However, existing domain decomposition methods for parametric PDEs are usually intrusive, which means domain decomposition based solvers need to be implemented from scratch for each target parametric PDE. To address this issue, we develop a new non‐intrusive domain‐decomposition model reduction method for linear steady‐state PDEs with random‐field coefficients. As a variant of our previous work by Mu and Zhang, the new method only needs access to the final linear system, that is, the global stiffness matrix and the right hand side, of a deterministic PDE solver, in order to build a domain‐decomposition‐based reduced model without intrusive implementation from scratch. The key idea is to remove the interface condition between sub‐domains and rely on the correlation between columns of the linear system to couple the sub‐domains. The non‐intrusive feature enables the applicability of the proposed method to a broader class of uncertainty quantification problems, where many legacy codes/solvers can be fully reused by our method. Two numerical examples including diffusion equations with random diffusivity and convection‐dominated transport with random velocity, are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our method.

Zhang, Guannan↗
NASA NTRS1988

Benchmark solutions for the galactic ion transport equations with spatial and energy coupling

In order to anticipate future space shielding requirements, NASA has initiated an effort to formulate computational methods to simulate radiation effects in space. As part of the program, numerical transport algorithms have been developed for the deterministic Boltzman equation describing galactic cosmic ray (GCR) interactions with matter. It thus becomes necessary to assess the accuracy of proposed deterministic algorithms. For this reason, analytical benchmark solutions to mathematically tractable galactic cosmic ray equations have recently been obtained. Even though these problems involve simplifying assumptions of the associated physics, they still contain the essential features of the basic transport processes. The solutions obtained are features of the basic transport processes. The solutions obtained are compared to results from numerical algorithms in order to ensure proper coding and to provide a measure of the accuracy of the numerical methods used in the algorithm. For the first time, mathematical methods have been applied to the galactic ion transport (GIT) equations in the straight ahead approximation with constant nuclear properties. The approach utilizes a Laplace transforms inversion yielding a closed form benchmark solution which is also computationally efficient.

Ganapol, Barry D.↗