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DOE OSTI2021

TRUST Nonlinear Dynamics (ND) Report

The objective of the Delivery Environments (DE) Testbeds to Reduce Uncertainties in Simulations and Tests (TRUST) work package is to quantify and help increase confidence in specific areas of computational and experimental capabilities that are applicable to current and future delivery environments. More complete quantification of confidence in experimental and computational capabilities and the sufficient increase of confidence in those capabilities is critical to improving weapons engineering design, qualification, and assessment efforts that are critical to the current and future stockpile. Staff development will include cross-discipline training to provide engineers with experience in both numerical simulations and experimental methods. This work will use and provide feedback on analysis tools and experimental results databases for efficient and responsive engineering which are currently under development: engineering common model framework (ECMF), engineering quantification of margins and uncertainties (EQMU), and the test information management system (TIMS).

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

TRUST Contact Thermal Conductance (TRUST-CTC) Report: FY23

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Selection of representative general circulation models under climatic uncertainty for Western North America

Abstract Climate change research uses an ensemble of general circulation model runs (GCMs-runs) to predict future climate under uncertainties. To reduce computational costs, this study selects representative GCM-runs (RGCM-runs) for Western North America (WNA) based on their performance in replicating historical climate conditions from 1981 to 2005 and projecting future changes from 1981–2010 to 2071–2100. This evaluation is conducted under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5. By using an envelope-based selection technique and a multi-objective distance-based approach, we identify four RGCM-runs per RCP representing diverse climatic conditions, including wet-warm, wet-cold, dry-warm, and dry-cold. Compared to the full-set, these selected runs show a decreased mean absolute error (MAE) between the reference and RGCM-runs concerning the monthly average mean air temperature (T̄) and precipitation (P̄). For RCP4.5, T̄ MAE is 0.45 (vs. 0.58 in the full-set) and P̄ MAE is 0.31 (vs. 0.42). For RCP8.5, T̄ MAE is 0.51 (vs. 0.75) and P̄ MAE is 0.25 (vs. 0.36). The lower MAE values in the RGCM-run set indicate closer alignment between predicted and reference values, making the RGCM-run suitable for climate impact assessments in the region.

Water Resources↗

DOE OSTI2026

IAM-FIRE: a Climate Emulator–Based Framework to Project Wildfire Impacts and Risks for Integrated Assessment Models

Most Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) underrepresent dynamic feedbacks from climate-driven disturbances such as wildfires, potentially overestimating the permanence of land-based carbon sinks. In particular, representing the impacts of forest fires is becoming increasingly important, as these are expected to intensify in the coming years. We introduce IAM-FIRE (Integrated Assessment Model – Fire Impacts & Risks Emulator), a novel framework that enables the projection of wildfire burned area (BA) and carbon emissions (CE) directly from IAM outputs. IAM-FIRE combines a spatial climate emulator, land-use downscaling, vegetation productivity modelling, and an empirical fire model to generate global annual wildfire impacts for arbitrary socioeconomic and emissions scenarios at 0.5° resolution for the period 2020–2100. Calibrated against GFEDv5 observations and using inputs from the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), we report projections BA and CE derived from IAM-FIRE for four scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-6.6 and SSP5-7.6. The model reproduces historical global trends for total BA, including the observed global decline since the early 2000s, and for forest BA. Projected fire trajectories differ strongly among scenarios: total BA range from declines under SSP1-2.6 (-3.36 Mha yr-1) to increases under SSP3-6.6 (+1.6 Mha yr-1). Corresponding total CE show a similar divergence ranging from -15 to +10.6 TgC yr-1. Socioeconomic development exerts a dominant suppressing effect on wildfire impacts while climate change and CO2-driven increases in vegetation productivity amplify fire risk, particularly under high-emissions pathways. Compared with CMIP6 fire-enabled Earth System Models, IAM-FIRE exhibits greater sensitivity to radiative forcing and a stronger role for human-driven fire suppression, highlighting substantial structural uncertainties in future fire projections. By providing a computationally efficient and internally consistent approach to represent wildfire impacts within IAMs, IAM-FIRE enables systematic exploration of fire–climate–land feedbacks and supports improved assessments of mitigation permanence and climate risks in future integrated scenarios.

Rouhette, Theo↗

DOE OSTI2025

Emerging applications: Neuromorphic computing and reservoir computing

The emergence of doped hafnium oxide (HfO 2 )-based ferroelectric films has enabled highly scalable and silicon-compatible ferroelectric devices, opening new frontiers in neuromorphic and reservoir computing. Among these, ferroelectric field-effect transistors (FeFETs) are particularly promising due to their analog memory characteristics and unique polarization dynamics. These properties make FeFETs ideal candidates for artificial synapses in neuromorphic architectures, supporting deep neural networks and spiking neural networks based on leaky-integrate-and-fire (LIF) mechanisms. Beyond neuromorphic computing, FeFETs also play a crucial role in physical reservoir computing, leveraging their intrinsic nonlinear and history-dependent behavior for efficient real-time learning. This approach offers significant advantages for time-series processing and edge artificial intelligence (AI) applications, addressing the growing need for energy-efficient computing. As a result, this article explores the principles, key demonstrations, and future potential of FeFET-based neuromorphic and reservoir computing, highlighting their impact on next-generation AI hardware.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2018

Toward a Compatible Reproducibility Taxonomy for Computational and Computing Sciences

Reproducibility is an essential ingredient of the scientific enterprise. The ability to reproduce results builds trust that we can rely on the results as foundations for future scientific exploration. Presently, the fields of computational and computing sciences provide two opposing definitions of reproducible and replicable. In computational sciences, reproducible research means authors provide all necessary data and computer codes to run analyses again, so others can re-obtain the results (J. Claerbout et al., 1992). The concept was adopted and extended by several communities, where it was distinguished from replication: collecting new data to address the same question, and arriving at consistent findings (Peng et al. 2006). The Association of Computing Machinery (ACM), representing computer science and industry professionals, recently established a reproducibility initiative, adopting essentially opposite definitions. The purpose of this report is to raise awareness of the opposite definitions and propose a path to a compatible taxonomy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Historical review and proof-of-concept future method demonstration of adaptive mesh refinement in nuclear engineering for increased fidelity and computational efficiency

As the nuclear industry's use of computational tool increases, the need for increased fidelity and computational efficiency is well known. While most approaches to increased fidelity rely on applying a fine mesh over the problem domain, a more efficient method is to apply an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) algorithm to the mesh definition. In the field of nuclear engineering, AMR has previously been used in conjunction with deterministic methods, including: S{sub N} transport methods, Lattice Boltzmann Methods, and COMSOL. The future of AMR in nuclear engineering is to couple it to a Monte Carlo code with the goal of reducing calculation time. A proof-of-concept example yielded positive results for using the gradient of the flux as a refinement criteria. The refinement criteria was varied from 0.01 to 0.10, which yielded a recommended range of 0.01 to 0.04, and the number of refinement iterations was varied from 0 to 7, with diminishing returns seen after 5 iterations. After the success of the proof-of-concept exercise, work began on creating a full program coupling MCNP6.2 and the AMR algorithm in the deal.II library. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Validation Progress and Plans for ENDF/B-VIII.1β1 at ORNL [Slides]

This presentation opens with a ORNL definition of ENDF/B-VIII.1β1. Following with keff results for CE calculations with VALID. Additionally provided are Preliminary Root Cause Analysis (RCA) results. This presentation then concludes with future plans for additional validation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Quantum Communication Networks for Energy Applications: Review and Perspective

Abstract The energy sector is expected to undergo significant changes in the coming decades with the advent of new technologies, including smart grid development, microgrid expansion, increasing electric vehicle and renewable energy usage, and enhanced measures to minimize greenhouse gas emission, among others. In tandem, these changes are expected to create new opportunities for the deployment of quantum technologies within the energy sector. Building on the authors' previous reviews on the current state of and future opportunities for quantum sensing, quantum computing and quantum simulations for energy sector applications, this work provides an overview of recent progress in quantum networking and communications for the energy industry, with a focus on platforms, devices, and protocols, including quantum teleportation and quantum key distribution. Specific areas of relevance to the energy sector are then analyzed, including the role of quantum networks for greenhouse gas monitoring, secure data collection and transmission in smart grids, nuclear power plants’ safety, facilitating oil and gas exploration, and other energy‐relevant applications. This review concludes with a brief overview of areas for future innovation, including the need for platforms for simulating quantum networks, quantum material and platform design, and computational approaches to accelerate quantum protocol discovery and development.

Paudel, Hari P.↗

DOE OSTI2025

TRUST Contact Thermal Conductance (TRUST-CTC) Report: FY25

The objective of the Delivery Environments (DE) Testbeds to Reduce Uncertainties in Simulations and Tests (TRUST) project is to quantify and help increase confidence in specific areas of computational and experimental capabilities that are applicable to current and future delivery environments [1]. More complete quantification of confidence in experimental and computational capabilities and the sufficient increase of confidence in those capabilities is critical to improving weapons engineering design, qualification, and assessment efforts that are critical to the current and future stockpile. Staff development will include cross-discipline collaboration to provide engineers with experience in both numerical simulations and experimental methods. This work uses and provides feedback on analysis tools and experimental results databases for efficient and responsive engineering which are currently under development.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

ZMPY3D: accelerating protein structure volume analysis through vectorized 3D Zernike moments and Python-based GPU integration

Abstract Motivation Volumetric 3D object analyses are being applied in research fields such as structural bioinformatics, biophysics, and structural biology, with potential integration of artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) techniques. One such method, 3D Zernike moments, has proven valuable in analyzing protein structures (e.g., protein fold classification, protein–protein interaction analysis, and molecular dynamics simulations). Their compactness and efficiency make them amenable to large-scale analyses. Established methods for deriving 3D Zernike moments, however, can be inefficient, particularly when higher order terms are required, hindering broader applications. As the volume of experimental and computationally-predicted protein structure information continues to increase, structural biology has become a “big data” science requiring more efficient analysis tools. Results This application note presents a Python-based software package, ZMPY3D, to accelerate computation of 3D Zernike moments by vectorizing the mathematical formulae and using graphical processing units (GPUs). The package offers popular GPU-supported libraries such as CuPy and TensorFlow together with NumPy implementations, aiming to improve computational efficiency, adaptability, and flexibility in future algorithm development. The ZMPY3D package can be installed via PyPI, and the source code is available from GitHub. Volumetric-based protein 3D structural similarity scores and transform matrix of superposition functionalities have both been implemented, creating a powerful computational tool that will allow the research community to amalgamate 3D Zernike moments with existing AI/ML tools, to advance research and education in protein structure bioinformatics. Availability and implementation ZMPY3D, implemented in Python, is available on GitHub (https://github.com/tawssie/ZMPY3D) and PyPI, released under the GPL License.

Lai, Jhih-Siang (ORCID:0000000156775890)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Multi-Objective Optimization of Uranium Target Assembly–3: A Comparison of Genetic and Traditional Methods

Commonly produced as a byproduct of uranium fission, 99 Mo is a key medical isotope that is in high demand in the United States. An international goal is to switch from medical isotope production technologies that require highly enriched uranium to medical isotope production technologies that require only low-enriched uranium. Niowave Inc. is contributing to this goal by developing an accelerator-driven subcritical assembly called the Uranium Target Assembly (UTA). This work compares the performance of Dakota’s Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA) against traditional sensitivity analysis in the neutronic optimization of the UTA-3 system. The design objectives are k-eigenvalue (k eff ) and natural uranium fission power, which are directly correlated with the amount of 99 Mo produced. Dakota:MOGA did not perform as well as human engineering ingenuity in optimization studies with high numbers of input parameters, such as fuel rod type selection and fuel rod placement. However, Dakota:MOGA did outperform traditional sensitivity analysis in optimization studies with fewer than 20 parameters and revealed the degree to which each parameter influences the optimal design space for k eff and natural uranium fission power (to a lesser extent). As the design model became more complex in the final stage of design, the computational resources required to calculate the design objective values in the Monte Carlo N-Particle transport code from selected input parameter combinations limited Dakota:MOGA’s performance, and, unfortunately, human intervention was required to discern the optimal design space. In conclusion, future work will attempt to reduce computational resource constraints by incorporating areduced-order neutronics model into the optimization cycle.

Accelerator-driven systems↗

DOE OSTI2017

The Heidelberg Laureate Forum on the moving frontier between mathematics and computer science

Here, young and early-career researchers at the 2016 Heidelberg Laureate Forum discuss how the frontier between mathematics and computer science is shifting, what the future promises, and the implications the frontier's shape and dynamics will have on both fields.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2016

Resilience Design Patterns - A Structured Approach to Resilience at Extreme Scale (version 1.0)

Reliability is a serious concern for future extreme-scale high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Projections based on the current generation of HPC systems and technology roadmaps suggest that very high fault rates in future systems. The errors resulting from these faults will propagate and generate various kinds of failures, which may result in outcomes ranging from result corruptions to catastrophic application crashes. Practical limits on power consumption in HPC systems will require future systems to embrace innovative architectures, increasing the levels of hardware and software complexities. The resilience challenge for extreme-scale HPC systems requires management of various hardware and software technologies that are capable of handling a broad set of fault models at accelerated fault rates. These techniques must seek to improve resilience at reasonable overheads to power consumption and performance. While the HPC community has developed various solutions, application-level as well as system-based solutions, the solution space of HPC resilience techniques remains fragmented. There are no formal methods and metrics to investigate and evaluate resilience holistically in HPC systems that consider impact scope, handling coverage, and performance & power eciency across the system stack. Additionally, few of the current approaches are portable to newer architectures and software ecosystems, which are expected to be deployed on future systems. In this document, we develop a structured approach to the management of HPC resilience based on the concept of resilience-based design patterns. A design pattern is a general repeatable solution to a commonly occurring problem. We identify the commonly occurring problems and solutions used to deal with faults, errors and failures in HPC systems. The catalog of resilience design patterns provides designers with reusable design elements. We define a design framework that enhances our understanding of the important constraints and opportunities for solutions deployed at various layers of the system stack. The framework may be used to establish mechanisms and interfaces to coordinate flexible fault management across hardware and software components. The framework also enables optimization of the cost-benefit trade-os among performance, resilience, and power consumption. The overall goal of this work is to enable a systematic methodology for the design and evaluation of resilience technologies in extreme-scale HPC systems that keep scientific applications running to a correct solution in a timely and cost-ecient manner in spite of frequent faults, errors, and failures of various types.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

Traleika Glacier: A hardware-software co-designed approach to exascale computing

The move from current petascale machines to future exascale machines will need both hardware improvements and software changes. Hardware will need to evolve to focus primarily on features that lower energy consumption: near-threshold voltage operation, fine-grained power and clock management and heterogeneity. Software will also need to evolve and be able to express more parallelism, become more dynamic and adaptable in order to be able to operate on a much more variable hardware. Here, we present Traleika Glacier, an effort that seeks to evaluate radical design changes to meet the constraints, both in terms of power and cost, of exascale computing. The salient features of the hardware design presented in the work include a) a use of heterogeneous cores, b) a redesign of the memory system that centers around hierarchical scratchpads and a global address space, c) the hardware acceleration of certain memory and network operations through specialized engines and, d) very fine-grained control and monitoring capabilities. On the software side, we describe a task-based runtime system, the Open Community Runtime (OCR) which aims to express a wide range of higher-level programming models with a very limited set of core concepts: event-driven tasks for computation, events for synchronization and relocatable data-blocks for data management.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Converged Computing: A Best of Both Worlds of High-Performance Computing and Cloud

Collaboration between Cloud and High Performance Computing (HPC) communities has accelerated in the last half decade. A common goal to run batch workloads combined with a desire for reproducibility, automation, and optimization has led to successful projects that range from container technologies to workload management and security. This span of current and future work defines a novel “Converged Computing” paradigm that aims to combine the best of both worlds, both from a technological and cultural standpoint. Furthermore, in this Special Issue, we review common themes in the space, showcasing current work and encouraging a continued effort toward innovative ideas that will enable the next generations of scientific discovery.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Electronic couplings for singlet fission: Orbital choice and extrapolation to the complete basis set limit

Abstract For the search for promising singlet fission candidates, the calculation of the effective electronic coupling, which is required to estimate the singlet fission rate between the initially excited state (S 0 S 1 ) and the multiexcitonic state ( 1 TT, two triplets on neighboring molecules, coupled into a singlet), should be sufficiently reliable and fast enough to explore the configuration space. We propose here to modify the calculation of the effective electronic coupling using a nonorthogonal configuration interaction approach by: (a) using only one set of orbitals, optimized for the triplet state of the molecules, to describe all molecular electronic states, and (b) only taking the leading configurations into consideration. Furthermore, we also studied the basis set convergence of the electronic coupling, and we found, by comparison to the complete basis set limit obtained using the cc‐pV n Z series of basis sets, that both the aug‐cc‐pVDZ and 6–311++G** basis sets are a good compromise between accuracy and computational feasibility. The proposed approach enables future work on larger clusters of molecules than dimers.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2017

Realizing the Power of Near-Term Quantum Technologies

This the final report of the LDRD project entitled "Realizing the Power of Near-Term Quantum Technologies", which was tasked with laying a theoretical foundation and computational framework for quantum simulation on quantum devices, to support both future Sandia efforts and the broader academic research effort in this area. The unifying theme of the project has been the desire to delineate more clearly the interface between existent classical computing resources that are vast and reliable with emerging quantum computing resources that will be scarce and unreliable for the foreseeable future. We seek to utilize classical computing resources to judge the efficacy of quantum devices for quantum simulation tasks and determine when they exceed the performance of classical devices, thereby achieving "quantum supremacy". This task was initially pursued by adapting the general concept of "parameter space compression" to quantum simulation. An inability to scale this analysis efficiently to large-scale simulations precipitated a shift in focus to assessing quantum supremacy of a specific quantum device, a 1D Bose gas trapped in an optical lattice, that was more amenable to large-scale analysis. We also seek to reconstruct unobserved information from limited observations of a quantum device to enhance their utility. This task was initially pursued as an application of maximum entropy reconstruction. Initial attempts to improve entropy approximations for direct reconstruction by free energy minimization proved to be more difficult than expected, and the focus shifted to the development of a quantum thermostat to facilitate indirect reconstruction by evolving a quantum Markov process. An efficient quantum thermostat is broadly useful for quantum state preparation in almost any quantum simulation task. In the middle of the project, a small opportunistic investment was made in a high-risk experiment to build an analog quantum simulator out of hole quantum dots in Ge/SiGe heterostructures. While a useful simulator was not produced, hole quantum dots at a Ge/SiGe interface have been successfully observed for the first time.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗