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At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

LoVoCCS. II. Weak Lensing Mass Distributions, Red-sequence Galaxy Distributions, and Their Alignment with the Brightest Cluster Galaxy in 58 Nearby X-Ray-luminous Galaxy Clusters

The Local Volume Complete Cluster Survey is an ongoing program to observe nearly a hundred low-redshift X-ray-luminous galaxy clusters (redshifts 0.03 < z < 0.12 and X-ray luminosities in the 0.1–2.4 keV band L X500c > 10 44 erg s −1 ) with the Dark Energy Camera, capturing data in the u, g, r, i, z bands with a 5σ point source depth of approximately 25th–26th AB magnitudes. Here, we map the aperture masses in 58 galaxy cluster fields using weak gravitational lensing. These clusters span a variety of dynamical states, from nearly relaxed to merging systems, and approximately half of them have not been subject to detailed weak lensing analysis before. In each cluster field, we analyze the alignment between the 2D mass distribution described by the aperture mass map, the 2D red-sequence (RS) galaxy distribution, and the brightest cluster galaxy (BCG). We find that the orientations of the BCG and the RS distribution are strongly aligned throughout the interiors of the clusters: the median misalignment angle is 19° within 2 Mpc. We also observe the alignment between the orientations of the RS distribution and the overall cluster mass distribution (by a median difference of 32° within 1 Mpc), although this is constrained by galaxy shape noise and the limitations of our cluster sample size. These types of alignment suggest long-term dynamical evolution within the clusters over cosmic timescales.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

SOSAT: Geohazard Risk Assessment in Carbon Sequestration Operations

Like all operations in which fluids are injected into the subsurface, geologic carbon storage (GCS) presents inherit risks that must be assessed and mitigated to successfully deploy such technology in the field. For example, alterations to pore pressure and the stress state due to fluid injection may trigger certain geohazards, such as potential fault activation and induced seismicity or unintentional hydraulic fracturing. Here we present capabilities for assessing these potential risks using the State of Stress Analysis Tool (SOSAT): a Python library and web-based application capable of probabilistically estimating the subsurface state of stress informed by various field observations. Using posterior distributions of principal stress components, SOSAT can assess the risk of fault activation within the injection formation for either a critically oriented fault or a fault with a user-prescribed orientation. Additionally, SOSAT can estimate the probability of unintentional hydraulic fracturing of the intact reservoir rock. Here, we demonstrate these SOSAT capabilities using a hypothetical GCS site. This type of risk assessment can assist with the effective deployment of GCS technology in the field by informing safe design and management practices.

Haagenson, Ryan J.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bounds on spectral gaps of Hyperbolic spin surfaces

We describe a method for constraining Laplacian and Dirac spectra of two dimensional compact orientable hyperbolic spin manifolds and orbifolds. The key ingredient is an infinite family of identities satisfied by the spectra. These spectral identities follow from the consistency between 1) the spectral decomposition of functions on the spin bundle into irreducible representations of SL(2,R) and 2) associativity of pointwise multiplication of functions. Applying semidefinite programming methods to our identities produces rigorous upper bounds on the Laplacian spectral gap as well as on the Dirac spectral gap conditioned on the former. In several examples, our bounds are nearly sharp; a numerical algorithm based on the Selberg trace formula shows that the [0;3,3,5] orbifold, a particular surface with signature [1;3], and the Bolza surface nearly saturate the bounds at genus 0, 1 and 2 respectively. Under additional assumptions on the number of harmonic spinors carried by the spin-surface, we obtain more restrictive bounds on the Laplacian spectral gap. In particular, these bounds apply to hyperelliptic surfaces. We also determine the set of Laplacian spectral gaps attained by all compact orientable two-dimensional hyperbolic spin orbifolds. We show that this set is upper bounded by 12.13798; this bound is nearly saturated by the [0;3,3,5] orbifold, whose first non-zero Laplacian eigenvalue is λ^(0)_1 ≈ 12.13623.

Spectral theory↗
DOE OSTI2026

Automatic Calibration and Health Monitoring of Infrastructure Sensors

Smart transportation infrastructure relies on networks of heterogeneous sensors - cameras, radars, and lidars - continuously monitoring traffic conditions. However, executing the initial spatial calibration of multiple sensors and the subsequent health monitoring presents significant operational challenges. Environmental factors, mechanical vibrations, and gradual drift cause spatial misalignment, degrading fusion performance and tracking accuracy. Traditional calibration approaches require manual intervention with specialized targets or survey equipment, resulting in service interruptions and high maintenance costs. This work presents an automated framework for initial calibration and continuous health monitoring without human intervention or service disruption. Our approach addresses two critical problems: (1) detecting when sensors become miscalibrated during operation, and (2) automatically re-establishing spatial alignment using only operational traffic data. The health monitoring component analyzes measurement innovations - differences between sensor observations and predicted object states - to detect systematic biases indicative of calibration drift. By computing bias magnitude, directional consistency, and rejection rates, the system identifies miscalibrations as small as 0.5 meters. Unlike traditional methods requiring known calibration targets, our diagnostic operates continuously on live traffic observations, enabling early detection before fusion quality degrades. The automatic recalibration algorithm leverages overlapping sensor fields-of-view and temporal correlation of vehicle observations. Using graph-based optimization, the system automatically discovers which sensor pairs observe common regions, estimates pairwise spatial transformations using RANSAC-based robust estimation, and jointly optimizes all sensor poses through bundle adjustment. The framework handles practical deployment challenges, including different sensor sampling rates (1-10 Hz), varying installation positions, unknown orientations, and limited overlap regions (>10%). When approximate sensor positions are available from installation surveys (+/-1m accuracy), the algorithm additionally estimates sensor orientations, refining both position and rotation to sub-meter and sub-degree accuracy. We validate the framework on multi-hour traffic datasets from six heterogeneous sensors with sampling rates ranging from 1 Hz to 10 Hz. Results demonstrate successful calibration even with sparse overlap (<20%) and automatic detection of miscalibrations exceeding 0.8 meters. This work enables a "deploy-and-forget" sensor infrastructure that maintains calibration autonomously, reducing maintenance costs while improving tracking accuracy. The techniques generalize beyond transportation to any multi-sensor monitoring application requiring robust spatial alignment, including smart cities, industrial monitoring, and surveillance systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bifacial Vertical Testbed and Ground Irradiance Data in Golden, Colorado

This data was collected for Tonita et al., “Vertical bifacial photovoltaic system model validation: study with field data, various orientations, and latitudes,” for validation of optical models for vertically-oriented photovoltaics under high albedo. Ground irradiance data for vertical PV arrays modeling in agrivoltaics is also provided. The dataset is provided for further use or study as open source. For any questions on the dataset, email silvana.ovaitt@nlr.gov.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Validating Irradiance Models for High-Latitude Vertical Bifacial Photovoltaic Systems

Bifacial photovoltaic systems oriented vertically facing east-west are an emerging design, targeting production in morning and afternoon hours and providing competitive annual energy yield to traditional south-tilted modules for high latitude locations. The accuracy of existing bifacial PV models when modules are oriented vertically has yet to be examined in detail. Here, we compare four bifacial PV irradiance models in ~150 locations between 15-80 degrees N on the utility-scale, finding higher inter-model deviations for vertical PV systems than south-tilted across all latitudes less than 75 degrees N. We validate model-predicted irradiance with test-site data collected in Golden, Colorado and Fairbanks, Alaska for E-W vertical and south-tilted arrays. View factor models agree with E-W vertical test-site data in Golden with RMSE=15%. Modelling error increases for the Alaskan test-site to RMSE values between 21-30%, driven in part by high albedo measurement uncertainty during snowy months.

bifacial↗
DOE OSTI2024

Effect of Heat Treatment on Microstructure and Mechanical Property of 316L Stainless Steel Produced by Laser Powder Bed Fusion

The advanced non-light water reactor designs (Gen IV reactors), including molten salt/ very high temperature/ sodium-cooled and lead-cooled fast reactors, typically operate at higher temperatures and more extreme radiation conditions than light water reactors. An intrinsic part of the deployment and progress of Gen IV reactor designs is selecting the most suitable structural material for a specific application. Additive manufacturing (AM), a fairly new process of making physical, three-dimensional objects from a computer design file, is going to completely change the way of design, build and certify nuclear systems. It offers a range of opportunities to produce complex geometries from existing materials, offers new routes for processing of previously difficult to process materials, allows for design of new high-performance materials, and finally facilitates hybridization of dissimilar materials. This emerging technology has successfully produced cars, wind turbine blade molds and even live cells. It could also open up big opportunities for the nuclear industry to quickly deploy technologies at a fraction of the cost. So far, AM techniques have been preliminarily applied in the field of nuclear reactors, including the classical parts such as the pressure vessel of a small reactor with 508-III steel, the bottom nozzle of a fuel assembly with 304L steel, the fuel cladding with zirconium alloy and the integrated impeller of a pump and the multi-channel valve body with 316L steel [6,7]. The AM applications for operating nuclear reactors started in auxiliary plant components and have slowly migrated to metallic reactors and core components, but many of these are not safety critical components. Although many parts used for nuclear reactors have been fabricated by AM techniques, practical applications in engineering are still a long way off due to the uncertainty factors focused on the processing, material properties, analysis methods and application standards, which feeds the safety and life-cycle of the nuclear reactor. Due to rapid, repeated heating and cooling during production, a high dislocation density was present in the AM material. This microstructure feature is unstable at elevated temperature while high temperature is one of the typical operation environments for nuclear reactors. Thus, it is important to understand the thermal effect on the microstructure of AM material. The objectives of this study are to investigate the effect of heat treatment on the microstructure and mechanical properties of 316L stainless steel produced by laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing, and to determine an appropriate heat treatment practice that will be applied to the lightweight AM lattice-structured material with the same chemistry. The heat treatment study consisted of annealing the samples at a temperature range of 800 to 1200 oC with a 50 oC increment for different times (1-24 hours), followed by vacuum or air cooling. Microstructural characterization was carried out by Scanning Electron Microscope (SEM). Grain size and crystallographic orientation were investigated by Electron Backscatter Diffraction (EBSD). Vickers hardness tests with a 0.5 kg load were employed to determine the hardness of samples after different heat treatments. After heat treatment, the random crystallographic orientation was preserved, and the volume fraction of high-angle grain boundaries (grain boundary misorientation =15 oC) remained the same. The dislocation density decreased with annealing temperature due to recovery. The fine subgrain structures in the as-printed specimen were quite stable up to 1200 oC. Minimal recrystallization was observed up to 1200 oC. Recrystallization initiated only after 8.5 hours at 1200 oC. The SEM images did not show obvious dependence of microstructure on cooling rate. The hardness of the specimens decreased with increasing annealing temperature as a result of the decrease in dislocation density. It is interesting to note that the AM material showed very similar hardness to the wrought material when annealing at similar temperature, although the microstructures are very different. Annealing at 1050 oC for 1 hour followed by air cooling was selected as the heat treatment procedure for the lattice designed lightweight AM 316L material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Virtual Substrates for Wide Bandgap AlyX1-yN Growth

Lattice-matched substrates are critical for growth of high quality, compositionally-targeted ternary AlyX1-yN compounds with properties suitable for a wide variety of next-generation opto- and power electronic applications. [DOI:10.1149/2.0111702jss] We have identified the (111) plane of transition metal carbides and nitrides as lattice matched "virtual" substrate layers that have additional benefits of electrical conductivity and appropriate coefficients of thermal expansion for nitride layer at both growth and operating temperatures. [arXiv:2208.11769 2022] In this work, (111)-oriented TaC and ZrN are grown by RF sputtering and optimized as substrate layers for AlyGa1-yN and AlyGd1-yN, respectively. TaC is demonstrated as a full proof of concept. (111)-stabilized TaC layers with a rock-salt crystal structure are annealed to improve surface crystal quality and surface morphology and then used as a template for growth of an Al0.7Ga0.3N layer by molecular beam epitaxy. X-ray diffraction (XRD) demonstrates epitaxial registry of the grown layer to the substrate. High resolution transmission electron microscopy (TEM) is used to investigate interface behavior, showing regions of abrupt interface transitions and nitrogen polar termination of the Al0.7Ga0.3N. We also grew (111)-oriented ZrN on Ti-Zr-N graded buffer layers as a lattice-matched virtual substrate for AlyGd1-yN. Structure, morphology, and strain are analyzed using XRD and atomic force microscopy. Structure and quality of initial Al0.8Gd0.2N thin films are investigated for both in-situ and ex-situ growths.

AlyX1-yN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Tailoring Growth Interfaces of Virtual Substrates for Power Electronics

Power electronics materials are poised to play a critical role in fulfilling next generation energy needs, with up to 90% of future energy demand predicted to flow through power electronics at some point. AlxGa1-xN ranks high among candidate materials, having bipolar dopability, thermal and chemical stability and an ultra-wide bandgap. However, AlGaN growth is limited by a lack of lattice-matched substrates, ultimately stunting material quality at higher thicknesses needed for power electronics applications. Further, high power applications increasingly call for fully vertical device structures, necessitating a conductive substrate. Recently our group identified the (111) plane of TaC as a conductive surface lattice-matched to Al0.55Ga0.45N, taking inspiration from prior work of AlN and GaN binaries on carbide and boride substrates. In this talk we demonstrate the growth of (111)-oriented TaC by RF sputtering. We investigate the interface of TaC with sapphire and SiC substrates and identify means to suppress competing Ta2C nucleation in order to stabilize (111)-oriented TaC. Potential stacking sequences are identified with respect to crystal structure and observed twinning in the TaC films. We next assess structural changes and film recrystallization that results from face-to-face annealing of TaC thin films at high temperatures above 1500 degrees C. Changes to grain structure and domain size are assessed by x-ray diffraction and surface morphology is explored using atomic force microscopy. Figure 1 shows significant improvements to in- and out-of-plane strain following annealing along with the formation of terraced step edges at the film surface. Strain as a function of material composition and thickness is considered, as this may play a major role in future nucleation of AlGaN layers. (1) R. J. in a face-to-face configuration, as illustrated in the schematic at left. Kaplar et al 2017, ECS J. Solid State Sci. Technol. 6 Q3061; (2) D. M. Roberts et al 2022, https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.11769; (3) T. Aizawa et al 2008, J Crys Growth 310, 1 22; (4) R. Liu et al 2002, Appl. Phys. Lett. 81, 3182-3184.

ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cycloturbine modular river current energy converter and method and apparatus for deploying marine hydrokinetic turbine assembly to harvest riverine and ocean tidal current energy

A hydrokinetic turbine system for harvesting energy from riverine and tidal sources, including a first floating dock, a marine hydrokinetic turbine mounted on the first floating dock, and a second floating dock. The system further includes a winch assembly mounted on the second floating dock and operationally connected to the first floating dock and a linkage assembly operationally connected to the first floating dock and to the second floating dock. The linkage assembly may be actuated to pull the first floating dock into contact with the second floating dock. The linkage assembly may be actuated to distance the first floating dock from the second floating dock, and the winch assembly may be energized to orient the first floating dock into a position wherein the marine hydrokinetic turbine is above the first floating dock and wherein the winch assembly may be energized to orient the first floating dock into a position wherein the marine hydrokinetic turbine is below the first floating dock.

Chen, Jun↗
DOE OSTI2025

Explicit Dynamic Impact Analysis of the Building 3525 Packages

The safe transport and handling of radioactive material containers is critical to ensure the protection of personnel, facilities, and the environment. Accidental drops during handling pose a significant hazard, necessitating robust design and analysis to mitigate potential consequences. This study presents an explicit dynamic impact analysis of two container designs, the Baby Sugarman and the Core Conduction Cooldown Test Facility (CCCTF) Tall Boy, used in Building 3525 at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The analysis employed nonlinear finite element modeling in LS-DYNA to simulate free-fall impacts from a height of 16.5 ft across eight critical orientations. The study evaluated deformation, strain failure, and shielding integrity under these extreme conditions. Results demonstrated that both designs maintain structural integrity, with no breaches or loss of shielding under specified administrative controls. Notably, a maximum shielding loss of 10 lbs was observed during a top-corner drop, highlighting the need to limit drop heights to less than 1 ft for certain orientations. These findings underscore the effectiveness of engineering controls and design measures in preventing containment breaches and ensuring compliance with safety requirements. This work provides a comprehensive methodology for impact analysis, contributing valuable insights to the field of radioactive materials packaging and transportation safety.

Martinez, Oscar [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000181814046)↗
DOE OSTI2026

From Detector Layout to Signal Analysis: Geometry Optimization and Neutron-Gamma Tagging in Plastic Scintillator Detectors

Neutrinos are elementary particles with many properties still unknown. Their masses so far have only upper and lower limits. Still, due to neutrino oscillations, it is clear that they are not massless, as stated by the Standard Model of Elementary Particles. Neutrinos are also present in the Universe in vast amounts, but they rarely interact with the surrounding matter. Their abundance makes them very interesting for many theories beyond the Standard Model, e.g., dark matter searches and CP symmetry violation in the leptonic sector, which could be (partially) responsible for the observed matter-antimatter asymmetry in today's Universe.\\ The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiment that will study neutrinos with unprecedented precision and may answer many open questions. DUNE uses a powerful neutrino beam from Fermilab. It consists of a Near Detector (ND) complex to measure neutrinos before oscillat ion, and a Far Detector (FD) complex $1300\ \mathrm{km}$ away to measure them after oscillation. As part of the ND complex, measurements are also possible with different angles to the neutrino beam. This enables excellent control of systematic uncertainties of e.g., neutrino cross section measurements.\\ One detector in the near detector complex is The Muon Spectrometer (TMS), an extension of a Liquid Argon (LAr) detector that measures the charge and momentum of muons produced in neutrino interactions within the LAr. The design of this detector, which consists of alternating layers of steel and plastic scintillator bars, must be optimized for the expected muon energies.\\ In this thesis, a study of the optimal module orientation plan is presented, which is necessary for the physics performance of the near detector complex and, by extension, DUNE. As part of this study, the event reconstruction was also developed and improved. Simulated muons are then reconstructed, and the performan ce of different module orientation plans is tested.\\ As a second part, a study of neutron and gamma tagging using a Pulse Shape Discriminating (PSD) plastic scintillator is presented. The properties of this material allow particle differentiation based on the temporal distribution of emitted light. A novel approach to using the individual light signals was successfully tested using data from a small, local test setup.

Nehm, Asa [Mainz U.]↗
DOE OSTI2024

A317_Fast and Thermal Neutron Spectrum Dosimetry Measurements in the Advanced Test Reactor large-B and small-I Positions Following the Sixth Core Internals Change-out

The Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) has a wide variety of irradiation positions that have had experiments that were developed by users from around the world. Most experiment irradiations rely on thoroughly benchmarked numerical models. However, some irradiation positions in ATR are not as well- characterized and are complicated by spectral perturbations from control cylinder orientation. The “small I” and “large-B” irradiation positions are located nearby control cylinders and suffer from these flux perturbations from control cylinder orientations that change during an irradiation cycle to maintain the desired core power distribution. Models predicted that these types of position would exhibit both spectral shifts and amplitude changes in neutron flux, but few measurements have been conducted to benchmark these predictions. Recently, requalification testing was performed to confirm the operational readiness of the ATR following the completion of the Core Internals Change-out (CIC). These tests provided a unique opportunity to validate the analytical methods used to simulate the ATR because nearly all components in the reactor were in a clean as-built state, significantly reducing modelling uncertainties. One subset of the testing included characterization of the fast and thermal neutron flux in the “small-I” and “large-B” positions using silver, cobalt, and nickel neutron dosimetry. In contrast to typical irradiation cycles, the control cylinders were held in position during the post-CIC nuclear testing. The specific activity of these dosimeter wires was measured following two low-power tests with different control cylinder positions.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Anisotropic Adsorption of De Novo Allosteric Two‐Component Protein Fibers on Mica Surfaces

Protein adsorption at solid–liquid interfaces underlies many biomedical and materials applications, yet the mechanisms governing adsorption of proteins and their assemblies remain poorly understood. Here we investigate de novo–designed proteins that self-assemble into three fibrillar morphologies — small (S), large (L), and helical (H)—on muscovite mica. S-fibers are metastable, forming first but diminishing as L- and H-fibers develop and deposit. Adsorption of both fibers and monomers depends on fiber morphology and solvent environment, which is modulated by the substrate. The anisotropic surface features of the fiber types—long axis of S- and L-fibers and helical grooves of H-fibers—correlate with specific crystallographic directions on mica (001). S- and L-fibers align along the unique lattice axis, while the substrate-facing groove of H-fibers preferentially aligns along the remaining symmetry-related directions. Increasing potassium chloride (KCl) concentrations to molar levels alters adsorption, decreasing monomer coverage relative to fibers. These observations, interpreted through the effect of interfacial interface, indicate that ion-mediated modulation of hydration layers governs electrostatic interactions and alignment. This study reveals how coupling between protein topography, substrate crystallography, and hydration structure dictates selective adsorption and orientation of protein assemblies, offering insights for rational biomolecular material design.

AFM↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring microstructures and anisotropies of serpentinites

Serpentine minerals have received a lot of attention because of their unique crystal structures, their wide occurrence in orogenic belts and their potential role in contributing seismic anisotropy in subducting slabs. Several studies have investigated crystal preferred orientation (CPO) in high temperature antigorite serpentinites from Japan, the Alps, Spain, Cuba and Tibet, documenting significant crystal alignment. However, only a limited number of lower grade serpentines have been explored to date. Mainly because of submicroscopic microstructural heterogeneities CPO cannot be measured with conventional methods such as optical microscopy and EBSD. In this study 15 serpentinites from different tectonic settings in California, the Central Alps and Northern Spain have been investigated, mainly with high energy synchrotron X-ray diffraction, to quantify bulk crystal alignment. We find that CPO is strong on sheared surfaces of fractured blocks and secondary veins but the bulk of most serpentinite samples, except high-grade recrystallized antigorite serpentinite, show only weak crystal alignment. Correspondingly calculated seismic anisotropy based on CPO is not very significant. This is supported by very heterogeneous microstructures as documented with SEM and TEM analyses.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantification of grain rotation in bulk nanostructured copper via in situ heating white beam synchrotron X-ray diffraction

Grain rotation during microstructural relaxation under heating is conventionally studied extensively through transmission electron microscopy and simulations. However, there is a shortage in examining grain rotations at larger length and volume scales in bulk materials. It is critical to understand the thermal stability of bulk nanostructured metals, since those enhanced mechanical properties have been well recognized. Here, this study aimed to employ a white beam microdiffraction X-ray technique under in situ heating from 300 K to 1073 K at 12 K/min on a nanostructured copper processed by high-pressure torsion, yielding an initial grain size of ∼260 nm before the heating. Evaluation across a wide range of temperatures reveals transition temperatures associated with microstructural relaxation processes. By tracking separate Laue diffraction peaks stemming from individual grains, changes in their orientations can be estimated and quantified. This approach becomes particularly effective when the number of grains within the probed volume is reasonably small. At temperatures above 940 K, about 7.5 % of Cu grains are rotating at speeds of ∼2 × 10 –3 °/s. The radial direction of the disk specimen is found to be the preferred direction of grain rotation, with the rotation axis along the shear direction. Further analysis found no correlation between peak intensity and peak size, related to grain sizes and deviatoric strain, respectively, with rotation conditions or speed. These findings demonstrate that the diffraction technique utilizing white beam X-rays is a complementary and novel characterization tool for understanding microstructural evolution, especially in grain rotations, of bulk crystalline materials.

Grain orientation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Physics vs structure: A systematic benchmark of learning strategies for multi-zone building thermal dynamics

Recent advances in physics-informed and data-driven machine learning promise improved thermal models for advanced building control, yet there is limited quantitative evidence on when added physics structure and architectural complexity are beneficial. Here, this work presents a systematic benchmark of five representative system identification methods for modeling multi-zone building thermal dynamics: linear state-space models, multi-layer perceptrons, neural state-space models, neural ordinary differential equations, and physically-consistent neural networks. The methods are evaluated across multiple data regimes and zone coupling strategies. Using a high-fidelity multi-zone commercial building emulator, we examine short-term and long-term prediction accuracy, computational efficiency, and ease of development. Our results reveal critical trade-offs between prediction performance, model complexity, and physical consistency. We demonstrate that decoupled, nonlinear black-box models consistently outperform coupled physics-constrained architectures in both predictive accuracy and out-of-distribution robustness in majority of the test cases for the building type considered in the study. Our findings quantify the cost of complexity in building thermal modeling and provide concrete, actionable, scenario-based guidelines for selecting model classes for control-oriented applications.

Building thermal modeling↗
DOE OSTI2025

In situ deformation of antigorite-olivine two-phase mixtures: Implications for dynamics and seismic anisotropy in the mantle wedge

Water released from hydrous minerals in subducting slabs reacts with the overlying plate, resulting in widespread serpentinization in the mantle wedge. Deformation of serpentinized peridotites has been invoked to explain forearc seismic anisotropy, yet studies of the mechanical properties and deformation behaviors of serpentine-bearing multiphase aggregates remain limited. Here we deformed olivine-antigorite mixtures containing 70, 50, and 20 vol.% of antigorite at 2.5 – 7.6 GPa, 673 K and strain rates of ∼10 –5 –10 –4 s –1 . Elasto-viscoplastic self-consistent simulations, constrained by synchrotron X-ray diffraction (XRD) data, were used to estimate lattice strain, stress–strain partitioning, crystallographic preferred orientations (CPO) development, and aggregate strength. Selected run products were also analyzed by electron backscatter diffraction for comparison with the CPO results obtained from XRD experiments. We found olivine transitions from A- or B-type to C-type when antigorite fraction drops to 20 vol.%, coinciding with a microstructural change from interconnected weak layers to a load-bearing framework (LBF). An additional run on a sample Atg50/Ol50 with preexisting microstructures suggested the formation of LBF was promoted by these microstructures, although the preexisting antigorite CPO has been overprinted at 20.8 % strain and could be erased completely by subsequent deformation in nature. Estimated viscosity of the two-phase mixtures suggests that low-degree serpentinization (≤20 %) in the mantle wedge may increase the strength of olivine-rich peridotite and hinder slab-mantle decoupling, whereas high-degree serpentinization (≥50–70 %) weakens the peridotite and favors decoupling if sufficient viscosity contrast (>10) develops. Seismic anisotropy shows a nonlinear dependence on antigorite fraction: antigorite CPO governs the anisotropy of the mixtures with ≥50 vol.% antigorite, whereas olivine CPO dominates at low fractions (∼20 vol.%). The presence of pre-existing microstructures reduces seismic anisotropy of the deformed mixtures, however the persistence of pre-existing CPO in actively subducting slabs remains uncertain, making their significance over geological timescales questionable.

Crystallographic preferred orientation↗