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Results for “Forward sensitivity”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 469 records · Page 26
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2012

Accuracy Assessments of Cloud Droplet Size Retrievals from Polarized Reflectance Measurements by the Research Scanning Polarimeter

We present an algorithm for the retrieval of cloud droplet size distribution parameters (effective radius and variance) from the Research Scanning Polarimeter (RSP) measurements. The RSP is an airborne prototype for the Aerosol Polarimetery Sensor (APS), which was on-board of the NASA Glory satellite. This instrument measures both polarized and total reflectance in 9 spectral channels with central wavelengths ranging from 410 to 2260 nm. The cloud droplet size retrievals use the polarized reflectance in the scattering angle range between 135deg and 165deg, where they exhibit the sharply defined structure known as the rain- or cloud-bow. The shape of the rainbow is determined mainly by the single scattering properties of cloud particles. This significantly simplifies both forward modeling and inversions, while also substantially reducing uncertainties caused by the aerosol loading and possible presence of undetected clouds nearby. In this study we present the accuracy evaluation of our algorithm based on the results of sensitivity tests performed using realistic simulated cloud radiation fields.

Rainbow↗
DOE OSTI2010

Uncertainty quantification for large-scale ocean circulation predictions.

Uncertainty quantificatio in climate models is challenged by the sparsity of the available climate data due to the high computational cost of the model runs. Another feature that prevents classical uncertainty analyses from being easily applicable is the bifurcative behavior in the climate data with respect to certain parameters. A typical example is the Meridional Overturning Circulation in the Atlantic Ocean. The maximum overturning stream function exhibits discontinuity across a curve in the space of two uncertain parameters, namely climate sensitivity and CO{sub 2} forcing. We develop a methodology that performs uncertainty quantificatio in the presence of limited data that have discontinuous character. Our approach is two-fold. First we detect the discontinuity location with a Bayesian inference, thus obtaining a probabilistic representation of the discontinuity curve location in presence of arbitrarily distributed input parameter values. Furthermore, we developed a spectral approach that relies on Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions on each sides of the discontinuity curve leading to an averaged-PC representation of the forward model that allows efficient uncertainty quantification and propagation. The methodology is tested on synthetic examples of discontinuous data with adjustable sharpness and structure.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2017

e-ASTROGAM mission: a major step forward for gamma-ray polarimetry

e-ASTROGAM is a gamma-ray space mission proposed for the fifth medium-size mission (M5) of the European Space Agency. It is dedicated to the study of the nonthermal universe in the photon energy range from ~ 0.15 MeV to 3 GeV with unprecedented sensitivity and angular and energy resolution, together with a ground-breaking capability for gamma-ray polarimetric measurements over its entire bandwidth. We discuss here the main polarization results expected at low energies, between 150 keV and 5 MeV, using Compton interactions in the e-ASTROGAM instrument, from observations of active galactic nuclei, gamma-ray bursts, microquasars, and the Crab Pulsar and Nebula. The anticipated performance of the proposed observatory for polarimetry is illustrated by simulations of the polarization signals expected from various sources. We show that polarimetric analyses with e-ASTROGAM should provide definitive insight into the geometry, magnetization, and content of the high-energy plasmas found in the emitting sources, as well as on the processes of radiation of these plasmas.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ultra-high Q cavity-based search for the Dark Photon: new exclusion limit from Dark SRF phase 1 and step forward for phase 2

We present here the first results of Dark SRF, a light-shining-through-wall (LSW) experiment that leverages ultra-high quality factor superconducting radio frequency (SRF) cavities to search for dark photons. The use of Nb SRF cavities combined with a strict calibration and measurement protocol increased sensitivity to dark photons by several orders of magnitude compared to other LSW experiments, as demonstrated by our new limit that excluded a broad range of previously unstudied dark photon mass and mixing angle.In addition to the results of the search conducted in liquid helium using 1.3GHz SRF cavities, we also present the first steps of the second phase of the experiment, which will take place in a dilution refrigerator using 2.6GHz SRF cavities. These experiments are part of a wider effort of the Superconducting Quantum Materials and Systems (SQMS) Center to employ ultra-high Q SRF cavities to search for Beyond the SM particles and wavelike dark matter.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Hydrodynamic instabilities and mix studies on NIF: predictions, observations, and a path forward

The goals of the Mix Campaign are to determine how mix affects performance, locate the "mix cliff", locate the source of the mix, and develop mitigation methods that allow performance to be increased. We have used several different drive pulse shapes and capsule designs in the Mix Campaign, to understand sensitivity to drive peak power, level of coast, rise time to peak power, adiabat, and dopant level in the capsule. Ablator material mixing into the hot spot has been shown conclusively with x-ray spectroscopy. The observed neutron yield drops steeply when the hot spot mix mass becomes too large. The mix appears to be driven by ablation- front Rayleigh-Taylor instabilities. A high foot, higher adiabat drive has a more stable ablation front and has allowed the mix mass in the hot spot to be reduced significantly. We found two recent high foot shots achieved neutron yields > 10 15 and measured neutron yield over clean 1D simulation (YOC) > 50%, which was one of the central goals of the Mix Campaign.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2013

Applying uncertainty quantification to multiphase flow computational fluid dynamics

Multiphase computational fluid dynamics plays a major role in design and optimization of fossil fuel based reactors. There is a growing interest in accounting for the influence of uncertainties associated with physical systems to increase the reliability of computational simulation based engineering analysis. The U.S. Department of Energy's National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) has recently undertaken an initiative to characterize uncertainties associated with computer simulation of reacting multiphase flows encountered in energy producing systems such as a coal gasifier. The current work presents the preliminary results in applying non-intrusive parametric uncertainty quantification and propagation techniques with NETL's open-source multiphase computational fluid dynamics software MFIX. For this purpose an open-source uncertainty quantification toolkit, PSUADE developed at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has been interfaced with MFIX software. In this study, the sources of uncertainty associated with numerical approximation and model form have been neglected, and only the model input parametric uncertainty with forward propagation has been investigated by constructing a surrogate model based on data-fitted response surface for a multiphase flow demonstration problem. Monte Carlo simulation was employed for forward propagation of the aleatory type input uncertainties. Several insights gained based on the outcome of these simulations are presented such as how inadequate characterization of uncertainties can affect the reliability of the prediction results. Also a global sensitivity study using Sobol' indices was performed to better understand the contribution of input parameters to the variability observed in response variable.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2017

Semiconductor quantum dot-sensitized rainbow photocathode for effective photoelectrochemical hydrogen generation

We discuss the fabrication of CdSe quantum dot (QD)-sensitized photocathodes on NiO-coated indium tin oxide (ITO) electrodes and their H 2 -generating ability upon light irradiation. A well-established spin-coating approach was used to deposit CdSe QD stock solution onto the surface of NiO/ITO electrodes, thereby leading to the construction of various CdSe QD-sensitized photocathodes. The present report includes the construction of rainbow photocathodes by spin-coating different-sized QDs in a sequentially layered manner, thereby creating an energetically favorable gradient for charge separation. The resulting rainbow photocathodes with forward energetic gradient for charge separation and subsequent electron transfer to a solution-based hydrogen-evolving catalyst (HEC) exhibit good light-harvesting ability and enhanced photoresponses compared with the reverse rainbow photocathodes under white LED light illumination. Under minimally optimized conditions, a photocurrent density of as high as 115 μA•cm –2 and a Faradaic efficiency of 99.5% are achieved, which is among the most capable QD-based photocathode water-splitting systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Demonstration of Machine Learning-Based Model-Independent Stabilization of Source Properties in Synchrotron Light Sources

Synchrotron light sources, arguably among the most powerful tools of modern scientific discovery, are presently undergoing a major transformation to provide orders of magnitude higher brightness and transverse coherence enabling the most demanding experiments. In these experiments, overall source stability will soon be limited by achievable levels of electron beam size stability, presently on the order of several microns, which is still 1–2 orders of magnitude larger than already demonstrated stability of source position and current. Until now source size stabilization has been achieved through corrections based on a combination of static predetermined physics models and lengthy calibration measurements, periodically repeated to counteract drift in the accelerator and instrumentation. In this paper, we now demonstrate for the first time how the application of machine learning allows for a physics- and model-independent stabilization of source size relying only on previously existing instrumentation. Such feed-forward correction based on a neural network that can be continuously online retrained achieves source size stability as low as 0.2 μm (0.4%) rms, which results in overall source stability approaching the subpercent noise floor of the most sensitive experiments.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
NASA NTRS2013

Per-Pixel, Dual-Counter Scheme for Optical Communications

Free space optical communications links from deep space are projected to fulfill future NASA communication requirements for 2020 and beyond. Accurate laser-beam pointing is required to achieve high data rates at low power levels.This innovation is a per-pixel processing scheme using a pair of three-state digital counters to implement acquisition and tracking of a dim laser beacon transmitted from Earth for pointing control of an interplanetary optical communications system using a focal plane array of single sensitive detectors. It shows how to implement dim beacon acquisition and tracking for an interplanetary optical transceiver with a method that is suitable for both achieving theoretical performance, as well as supporting additional functions of high data rate forward links and precision spacecraft ranging.

Farr, William H.↗
NASA NTRS2016

Evaluating A Priori Ozone Profile Information Used in TEMPO Tropospheric Ozone Retrievals

Ozone (O3) is a greenhouse gas and toxic pollutant which plays a major role in air quality. Typically, monitoring of surface air quality and O3 mixing ratios is primarily conducted using in situ measurement networks. This is partially due to high-quality information related to air quality being limited from space-borne platforms due to coarse spatial resolution, limited temporal frequency, and minimal sensitivity to lower tropospheric and surface-level O3. The Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) satellite is designed to address these limitations of current space-based platforms and to improve our ability to monitor North American air quality. TEMPO will provide hourly data of total column and vertical profiles of O3 with high spatial resolution to be used as a near-real-time air quality product. TEMPO O3 retrievals will apply the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory profile algorithm developed based on work from GOME, GOME-2, and OMI. This algorithm uses a priori O3 profile information from a climatological data-base developed from long-term ozone-sonde measurements (tropopause-based (TB) O3 climatology). It has been shown that satellite O3 retrievals are sensitive to a priori O3 profiles and covariance matrices. During this work we investigate the climatological data to be used in TEMPO algorithms (TB O3) and simulated data from the NASA GMAO Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) Forward Processing (FP) near-real-time (NRT) model products. These two data products will be evaluated with ground-based lidar data from the Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Network (TOLNet) at various locations of the US. This study evaluates the TB climatology, GEOS-5 climatology, and 3-hourly GEOS-5 data compared to lower tropospheric observations to demonstrate the accuracy of a priori information to potentially be used in TEMPO O3 algorithms. Here we present our initial analysis and the theoretical impact on TEMPO retrievals in the lower troposphere.

ozone↗
NASA NTRS2016

Evaluating a Priori Ozone Profile Information Used in TEMPO Tropospheric Ozone Retrievals

Ozone (O3) is a greenhouse gas and toxic pollutant which plays a major role in air quality. Typically, monitoring of surface air quality and O3 mixing ratios is primarily conducted using in situ measurement networks. This is partially due to high-quality information related to air quality being limited from space-borne platforms due to coarse spatial resolution, limited temporal frequency, and minimal sensitivity to lower tropospheric and surface-level O3. The Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) satellite is designed to address these limitations of current space-based platforms and to improve our ability to monitor North American air quality. TEMPO will provide hourly data of total column and vertical profiles of O3 with high spatial resolution to be used as a near-real-time air quality product.TEMPO O3 retrievals will apply the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory profile algorithm developed based on work from GOME, GOME-2, and OMI. This algorithm uses a priori O3 profile information from a climatological data-base developed from long-term ozone-sonde measurements (tropopause-based (TB) O3 climatology). It has been shown that satellite O3 retrievals are sensitive to a priori O3 profiles and covariance matrices. During this work we investigate the climatological data to be used in TEMPO algorithms (TB O3) and simulated data from the NASA GMAO Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) Forward Processing (FP) near-real-time (NRT) model products. These two data products will be evaluated with ground-based lidar data from the Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Network (TOLNet) at various locations of the US. This study evaluates the TB climatology, GEOS-5 climatology, and 3-hourly GEOS-5 data compared to lower tropospheric observations to demonstrate the accuracy of a priori information to potentially be used in TEMPO O3 algorithms. Here we present our initial analysis and the theoretical impact on TEMPO retrievals in the lower troposphere.

TEMPO↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Advanced Material Options for the Portable Life Support System

Meeting an aggressive mass requirement is a challenge for new space suit development efforts, including that of the Exploration Extravehicular Mobility Unit Portable Life Support System (PLSS) government reference design. To reduce overall system mass, titanium was selected as the primary metal for the PLSS backplate and thermal loop. However, galvanically compatible metals (Hastelloy, Inconel, Monel) have relatively high densities and require further design complexities such as coatings and more challenging manufacturing. Efforts to reduce the mass of the government reference design for an International Space Station (ISS) or lunar mission were halted due to the government’s transition to a commercial Extravehicular Activity (EVA) services approach, but research was conducted into methodologies for mass savings using advanced materials. With the advent of a lunar Artemis mission and potential for future Mars missions, mass becomes a more critical driver going forward. Therefore, alternative materials and processes must be considered to fully close the mass requirement. There are many new materials and processes that can be considered; however, considerations must be made to ensure galvanic compatibility, radiation concerns for sensitive electronics, vacuum compatibility, tight tolerances, fluid compatibility with oxygen and water, and thread insert options. Individual PLSS components may have different requirements and need to be considered separately for reducing overall mass. This report will touch on comparisons between advanced materials, focusing on composites, additive manufacturing, and plastics. It will also address the different processes that may need to be applied when using these materials in the harsh environment of space. Lastly, it will look at specific components and make recommendations for options to reduce the mass of each one.

Ryan Ogilvie↗
NASA NTRS2024

Advanced Material Options for the Portable Life Support System (PLSS)

Meeting an aggressive mass requirement is a challenge for new space suit development efforts, including that of the Exploration Extravehicular Mobility Unit Portable Life Support System (PLSS) government reference design. To reduce overall system mass, titanium was selected as the primary metal for the PLSS backplate and thermal loop. However, galvanically compatible metals (Hastelloy, Inconel, Monel) have relatively high densities and require further design complexities such as coatings and more challenging manufacturing. Efforts to reduce the mass of the government reference design for an International Space Station (ISS) or lunar mission were halted due to the government’s transition to a commercial Extravehicular Activity (EVA) services approach, but research was conducted into methodologies for mass savings using advanced materials. With the advent of a lunar Artemis mission and potential for future Mars missions, mass becomes a more critical driver going forward. Therefore, alternative materials and processes must be considered to fully close the mass requirement. There are many new materials and processes that can be considered; however, considerations must be made to ensure galvanic compatibility, radiation concerns for sensitive electronics, vacuum compatibility, tight tolerances, fluid compatibility with oxygen and water, and thread insert options. Individual PLSS components may have different requirements and need to be considered separately for reducing overall mass. This report will touch on comparisons between advanced materials, focusing on composites, additive manufacturing, and plastics. It will also address the different processes that may need to be applied when using these materials in the harsh environment of space. Lastly, it will look at specific components and make recommendations for options to reduce the mass of each one.

Ryan Ogilvie↗
DOE OSTI2016

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification of Reactor Simulation with Polynomial Chaos Surrogate Model

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) is significant part of modelling and simulation. This is particularly important in the nuclear community due to the fact that the licensing of nuclear installations has shifted from conservative to Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodologies. UQ can be broadly classified as forward UQ and inverse UQ. Forward UQ is the process of quantifying the uncertainties in simulation outputs by propagating the uncertainties in input parameters. It requires knowledge in the input uncertainty, which is often specified by ad-hoc expert judgment which lacks mathematical rigor. The inverse UQ is the process to determine the uncertainty in input parameters given observations of the output. The purpose of this paper is to replace such ad-hoc expert judgment of the statistical properties of input model parameters in nuclear reactor simulation. This summary presents work on inverse UQ of a nonlinear Point Reactor Kinetics Equations - lumped thermal-hydraulics parameter coupled problem. Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are used for the inverse UQ. Because MCMC requires a large number of simulations which is impractical for models that are computationally expensive, surrogate models is constructed by generalized Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansion technique. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2011

Exploring the Possible Use of Information Barriers for future Biological Weapons Verification Regimes

This report describes a path forward for implementing information barriers in a future generic biological arms-control verification regime. Information barriers have become a staple of discussion in the area of arms control verification approaches for nuclear weapons and components. Information barriers when used with a measurement system allow for the determination that an item has sensitive characteristics without releasing any of the sensitive information. Over the last 15 years the United States (with the Russian Federation) has led on the development of information barriers in the area of the verification of nuclear weapons and nuclear components. The work of the US and the Russian Federation has prompted other states (e.g., UK and Norway) to consider the merits of information barriers for possible verification regimes. In the context of a biological weapons control verification regime, the dual-use nature of the biotechnology will require protection of sensitive information while allowing for the verification of treaty commitments. A major question that has arisen is whether - in a biological weapons verification regime - the presence or absence of a weapon pathogen can be determined without revealing any information about possible sensitive or proprietary information contained in the genetic materials being declared under a verification regime. This study indicates that a verification regime could be constructed using a small number of pathogens that spans the range of known biological weapons agents. Since the number of possible pathogens is small it is possible and prudent to treat these pathogens as analogies to attributes in a nuclear verification regime. This study has determined that there may be some information that needs to be protected in a biological weapons control verification regime. To protect this information, the study concludes that the Lawrence Livermore Microbial Detection Array may be a suitable technology for the detection of the genetic information associated with the various pathogens. In addition, it has been determined that a suitable information barrier could be applied to this technology when the verification regime has been defined. Finally, the report posits a path forward for additional development of information barriers in a biological weapons verification regime. This path forward has shown that a new analysis approach coined as Information Loss Analysis might need to be pursued so that a numerical understanding of how information can be lost in specific measurement systems can be achieved.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2011

Anomalous quartic and triple gauge couplings in {gamma}-induced processes at the LHC

We study the W/Z pair production via two-photon exchange at the LHC and give the sensitivities on trilinear and quartic gauge anomalous couplings between photons and W/Z bosons for an integrated luminosity of 30 and 200 fb{sup -1}. For simplicity and to obtain lower backgrounds, only the leptonic decays of the electroweak bosons are considered. The intact protons in the final states are detected in the ATLAS Forward Proton detectors. The high energy and luminosity of the LHC and the forward detectors allow to probe beyond standard model physics and to test the Higgsless and extra dimension models in an unprecedent way.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2018

Analyzing the impact of reaction models on the production of hydrocarbons from thermally upgraded oil shales

Reaction parameters significantly affect oil production from shales by means of heating and in-situ upgrading. In this work, we perform numerical simulations of two chemical reaction models, which are mainly used in the research of kerogen pyrolysis and subsequent hydrocarbon decomposition in organic-rich porous media. They are the Braun and Burnham model and Wellington model. In these forward numerical simulations, we present the influence of the two reaction models on hydrocarbon production. The Braun and Burnham reaction model shows more vigorous kerogen and subsequent decomposition reactions and more hydrocarbon production than the Wellington model. A local sensitivity analysis identifies the reaction parameters with the highest influence on productivity, and the most sensitive outputs. A data-worth analysis identifies the most valuable observation data to be measured for the best prediction of total hydrocarbon production. We find that the most valuable observation data is the cumulative production of heavy oil in the Braun and Burnham model and of light oil in the Wellington model, respectively. Finally, once we determine the maximum allowable prediction uncertainty and the expected measurement uncertainty, the observation data to be measured for the minimization of prediction uncertainty can be obtained.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Matrix Approach to Land Carbon Cycle Modeling

Land ecosystems contribute to climate change mitigation by taking up approximately 30% of anthropogenically emitted carbon. However, estimates of the amount and distribution of carbon uptake across the world's ecosystems or biomes display great uncertainty. The latter hinders a full understanding of the mechanisms and drivers of land carbon uptake, and predictions of the future fate of the land carbon sink. The latter is needed as evidence to inform climate mitigation strategies such as afforestation schemes. To advance land carbon cycle modeling, we have developed a matrix approach. Land carbon cycle models use carbon balance equations to represent carbon exchanges among pools. Our approach organizes this set of equations into a single matrix equation without altering any processes of the original model. The matrix equation enables the development of a theoretical framework for understanding the general, transient behavior of the land carbon cycle. While carbon input and residence time are used to quantify carbon storage capacity at steady state, a third quantity, carbon storage potential, integrates fluxes with time to define dynamic disequilibrium of the carbon cycle under global change. The matrix approach can help address critical contemporary issues in modeling, including pinpointing sources of model uncertainty and accelerating spin-up of land carbon cycle models by tens of times. The accelerated spin-up liberates models from the computational burden that hinders comprehensive parameter sensitivity analysis and assimilation of observational data to improve model accuracy. Such computational efficiency offered by the matrix approach enables substantial improvement of model predictions using ever-increasing data availability. Overall, the matrix approach offers a step change forward for understanding and modeling the land carbon cycle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗