Impacts of climate change on energy consumption and peak demand in buildings: A detailed regional approach
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Dirks, James A.↗
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Influence of turbulence and thermophysical fluid properties on cavitation erosion predictions in channel flow geometries
Cavitation and cavitation-induced erosion have been observed in fuel injectors in regions of high acceleration and low pressure. Although these phenomena can have a large influence on the performance and lifetime of injector hardware, questions still remain on how these physics should be accurately and efficiently represented within a computational fluid dynamics model. While several studies have focused on the validation of cavitation predictions within canonical and realistic injector geometries, it is not well documented what influence the numerical and physical parameters selected to represent turbulence and phase change will have on the predictions for cavitation erosion propensity and severity. In this work, a range of numerical and physical parameters are evaluated within the mixture modeling approach in CONVERGE to understand their influence on predictions of cavitation, condensation and erosion. Particular attention is paid to grid resolution, turbulence model and near-wall treatment, fuel surrogate properties, and non-condensable gas content. Assessment of cavitation predictions are conducted through comparison of measured and predicted mass flow rates and cavitation probability distributions for flow through a channel with a sharp inlet. Predictions for hydrodynamic impact loading and cavitation erosion are compared with the experimentally measured incubation period and critical site for erosion. Based on these findings, recommendations are provided for modeling turbulent cavitating flows, using the single fluid mixture modeling approach, to improve predictions for cavitation-induced erosion. In particular, to capture the fluid dynamic phenomena characterizing cavitation cloud formation, development and shedding, a Large Eddy simulation with grid resolution as fine as 2.50 μm is recommended. The assumed concentration of non-condensable gas content is observed to have a strong influence on the predicted cavitation erosion severity, which motivates the need for dissolved gas concentration measurements for future cavitation erosion experimental studies. Using the best practices established in this work, good agreement is achieved between the measured and predicted cavitation parameters, as well as the critical site for cavitation-induced erosion.
Magnotti, Gina Maureen↗
Investigating the dependence of SCM simulated precipitation and clouds on the spatial scale of large-scale forcing at SGP [Investigating the scale dependence of SCM simulated precipitation and cloud by using gridded forcing data at SGP]
Large-scale forcing data, such as vertical velocity and advective tendencies, are required to drive single-column models (SCMs), cloud-resolving models, and large-eddy simulations. Previous studies suggest that some errors of these model simulations could be attributed to the lack of spatial variability in the specified domain-mean large-scale forcing. This study investigates the spatial variability of the forcing and explores its impact on SCM simulated precipitation and clouds. A gridded large-scale forcing data during the March 2000 Cloud Intensive Operational Period at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program's Southern Great Plains site is used for analysis and to drive the single-column version of the Community Atmospheric Model Version 5 (SCAM5). When the gridded forcing data show large spatial variability, such as during a frontal passage, SCAM5 with the domain-mean forcing is not able to capture the convective systems that are partly located in the domain or that only occupy part of the domain. This problem has been largely reduced by using the gridded forcing data, which allows running SCAM5 in each subcolumn and then averaging the results within the domain. This is because the subcolumns have a better chance to capture the timing of the frontal propagation and the small-scale systems. As a result, other potential uses of the gridded forcing data, such as understanding and testing scale-aware parameterizations, are also discussed.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Temporal Convolutional Network Using Empirical Mode Decomposition to Detect Faults in Grid Connected Systems
Grid-connected power electronic systems require timely and reliable fault detection to prevent equipment damage and reduce downtime. This paper presents a forecasting-based anomaly detection pipeline that decomposes voltage and current measurements into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using empirical mode decomposition (EMD), then trains a causal temporal convolutional network (TCN) on normal-operation IMF data to predict short-horizon future dynamics. Deviations between forecasts and observations are summarized as reliability-weighted residual scores and thresholded per sensor using robust statistics with temporal persistence constraints to suppress false positives. To reduce runtime, EMD is performed on downsampled signals for detection, while raw-rate EMD is applied only within a short region of interest for high-frequency interpretability near detected events. Results on a simulated grid-connected converter system demonstrate that IMF-domain forecasting improves anomaly separability relative to raw-signal forecasting and provides interpretable evidence of faults across decomposition channels.
Sutton, Elizabeth [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000078885935)↗
Input files and WRF run directory for a LASSO-CACTI simulation
Tar file containing files necessary for reproducing a given Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulation from the Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) deep-convection scenario for the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign. The LASSO-CACTI simulations span grid spacings from 7.5 km to 100 m for convection near the Sierras de Córdoba mountain range, roughly centered on the ARM Mobile Facility. More information can be found at https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/modeling/lasso. Types of files in this tar include the initial and boundary conditions, WRF namelist, and other files present in a WRF run directory.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
New approach for precise computation of Lyman-α forest power spectrum with hydrodynamical simulations
Current experiments are providing measurements of the flux power spectrum from the Lyman-α forests observed in quasar spectra with unprecedented accuracy. Their interpretation in terms of cosmological constraints requires specific simulations of at least equivalent precision. In this paper, we present a suite of cosmological N-body simulations with cold dark matter and baryons, specifically aiming at modeling the low-density regions of the inter-galactic medium as probed by the Lyman-α forests at high redshift. The simulations were run using the GADGET-3 code and were designed to match the requirements imposed by the quality of the current SDSS-III/BOSS or forthcoming SDSS-IV/eBOSS data. They are made using either 2 × 768{sup 3} ≅ 1 billion or 2 × 192{sup 3} ≅ 14 million particles, spanning volumes ranging from (25 Mpc h{sup −1}){sup 3} for high-resolution simulations to (100 Mpc h{sup −1}){sup 3} for large-volume ones. Using a splicing technique, the resolution is further enhanced to reach the equivalent of simulations with 2 × 3072{sup 3} ≅ 58 billion particles in a (100 Mpc h{sup −1}){sup 3} box size, i.e. a mean mass per gas particle of 1.2 × 10{sup 5}M{sub ⊙} h{sup −1}. We show that the resulting power spectrum is accurate at the 2% level over the full range from a few Mpc to several tens of Mpc. We explore the effect on the one-dimensional transmitted-flux power spectrum of four cosmological parameters (n{sub s}, σ{sub 8}, Ω{sub m} and H{sub 0}) and two astrophysical parameters (T{sub 0} and γ) that are related to the heating rate of the intergalactic medium. By varying the input parameters around a central model chosen to be in agreement with the latest Planck results, we built a grid of simulations that allows the study of the impact on the flux power spectrum of these six relevant parameters. We improve upon previous studies by not only measuring the effect of each parameter individually, but also probing the impact of the simultaneous variation of each pair of parameters. We thus provide a full second-order expansion, including cross-terms, around our central model. We check the validity of the second-order expansion with independent simulations obtained either with different cosmological parameters or different seeds. Finally, a comparison to the one-dimensional Lyman-α forest power spectrum obtained with BOSS by [1] shows an excellent agreement.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Inverter Model Validation and Calibration Using Phasor Measurement Unit Data
As the penetration of inverter-based renewable energy resources increases in the power grid, especially at the distribution and microgrid levels, the need to accurately represent them in planning studies increases as well. However, due to the lack of well-established standard procedures, and vendor reluctance towards the detailed sharing of proprietary models, automated dynamic model validation and parameter calibration tools for inverter based resources (IBRs) remain scarce. This work presents a model validation and parameter calibration platform for representing IBRs with generic phasor-domain models. Phasor measurements of power system events are used for continuous validation using the data playback method, and model parameters are re-calibrated if a significant mismatch between measurements and model response is observed. Unique features of the proposed platform include- (a) an iterative Bayesian optimization approach towards parameter calibration to address a possible mismatch between the structures of generic models implemented in simulation softwares and actual commercial inverters, (b) error metrics designed to account for a possible mismatch between the time resolution of simulation and measurements, and (c) analysis of the measurement-simulation mismatch to provide guidance to engineering personnel regarding model shortcomings. The performance of the platform has been illustrated using both simulated data and field measurements to validate/calibrate inverter models in GridLAB-D.
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
Hydrodynamic simulations of white dwarf–white dwarf mergers and the origin of R Coronae Borealis stars
We study the properties of double white dwarf (DWD) mergers by performing hydrodynamic simulations using the new and improved adaptive mesh refinement code OCTO-TIGER. We follow the orbital evolution of DWD systems of mass ratio $q=0.7$ for tens of orbits until and after the merger to investigate them as a possible origin for R Coronae Borealis (RCB) type stars. We reproduce previous results, finding that during the merger, the helium WD donor star is tidally disrupted within 20–80 min since the beginning of the simulation onto the accretor carbon–oxygen WD, creating a high temperature shell around the accretor. We investigate the possible helium burning in this shell and the merged object’s general structure. Specifically, we are interested in the amount of oxygen-16 dredged-up from the accretor to the hot shell and the amount of oxygen-18 produced. This is critical as the discovery of very low oxygen-16 to oxygen-18 ratios in RCB stars pointed out the merger scenario as a favourable explanation for their origin. A small amount of hydrogen in the donor may help keep the oxygen-16 to oxygen-18 ratios within observational bounds, even if moderate dredge-up from the accretor occurs. In addition, we perform a resolution study to reconcile the difference found in the amount of oxygen-16 dredge-up between smoothed-particle hydrodynamics and grid-based simulations.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Advanced grid-forming (GFM) inverter controls, modeling and system impact study for inverter dominated grids
Our main goals in this project are to understand: 1) the stability of the power system with very high penetration of PV or other inverter-based resources (IBR), 2) the interactions among IBRs and traditional generators, and 3) the impact of the GFM inverters on bulk power system. To achieve these goals, we took a holistic research and development approach. First, an impedance-based large system modeling and stability analysis tool was developed to aid the large IBR system small-signal stability analysis. Second, consensus-based control and transient overload ride through were developed to control and coordinate multiple GFM inverters in a large system to maintain transient stability during big grid events. Third, high fidelity electromagnetic transient (EMT) IBR models were developed and integrated into a large reduced WECC model to study the system impact from IBRs. Lastly, extensive validation tests of the GFM control which was developed in this project and implemented in two 1MW commercial solar inverters were performed using different validation platforms, e.g., control hardware-in-the-loop (CHIL) platform, power hardware- in-the-loop (PHIL) platform, and a real PV plant.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Realistic large eddy and dispersion simulation experiments during project sagebrush phase 1
Typical dispersion simulations use mesoscale models at grid spacing greater than 1 km to simulate pollutant transport. Advances in computing power have allowed Large Eddy Simulations (LES), (grid spacing less than 100 m) to be run with boundary conditions in the grayscale regime (grid size of 1 km–100 m). We used the WRF mesoscale/LES model and the HYSPLIT particle dispersion model to simulate SF 6 transport from Project Sagebrush Phase 1, using a grayscale-aware scheme with 4 nests of 3 km, 1 km, 200 m, 67 m. The WRF/LES simulation was in satisfactory agreement with meteorological observations but the HYSPLIT SF6 simulations indicated insufficient sub-grid turbulence kinetic energy, especially in the lowest 100 m. This resulted in over predictions of the surface SF6 concentration and insufficient vertical transport. Best agreement with the Sagebrush observations was obtained with the WRF/LES large-scale and sub-grid turbulence, enhanced with a HYSPLIT parameterized turbulence profile.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Subsetted model output for process-tendency-related variables from a LASSO-CACTI WRF simulation
Process-tendency-related model output, mostly for the Thompson microphysics scheme (when used), from a Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulation from the Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) deep-convection scenario for the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign. The LASSO-CACTI simulations span grid spacings from 7.5 km to 100 m for convection near the Sierras de Córdoba mountain range, roughly centered on the ARM Mobile Facility. More information can be found at https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/modeling/lasso. This version of the output is a collection of variables subsetted from the raw WRF output to reduce the file overhead for users not needing the full raw dataset. The subset files are in netCDF format with the height-based variables on the raw, model eta levels.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Subsetted model output for tracer-related variables from a LASSO-CACTI WRF simulation
Inert-tracer-related model output from a Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulation from the Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) deep-convection scenario for the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign. The LASSO-CACTI simulations span grid spacings from 7.5 km to 100 m for convection near the Sierras de Córdoba mountain range, roughly centered on the ARM Mobile Facility. More information can be found at https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/modeling/lasso. This version of the output is a collection of variables subsetted from the raw WRF output to reduce the file overhead for users not needing the full raw dataset. The subset files are in netCDF format with the height-based variables on the raw, model eta levels.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
On the Influence of Swell Propagation Angle on Surface Drag
Abstract A combination of turbulence-resolving large-eddy simulations and observations are used to examine the influence of swell amplitude and swell propagation angle on surface drag. Based on the analysis a new surface roughness parameterization with nonequilibrium wave effects is proposed. The surface roughness accounts for swell amplitude and wavelength and its relative motion with respect to the mean wind direction. The proposed parameterization is tested in uncoupled three-dimensional Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) simulations at grid sizes near 1 km where we explore potential implications of our modifications for two-way coupled atmosphere–wave models. Wind–wave misalignment likely explains the large scatter in observed nondimensional surface roughness under swell-dominated conditions. Andreas et al.’s relationship between friction velocity and the 10-m wind speed under predicts the increased drag produced by misaligned winds and waves. Incorporating wave-state (speed and direction) influences in parameterizations improves predictive skill. In a broad sense, these results suggest that one needs information on winds and wave state to upscale buoy measurements.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
On the estimation of gravitational wave spectrum from cosmic domain walls
We revisit the production of gravitational waves from unstable domain walls analyzing their spectrum by the use of field theoretic lattice simulations with grid size 1024{sup 3}, which is larger than the previous study. We have recognized that there exists an error in the code used in the previous study, and the correction of the error leads to the suppression of the spectrum of gravitational waves at high frequencies. The peak of the spectrum is located at the scale corresponding to the Hubble radius at the time of the decay of domain walls, and its amplitude is consistent with the naive estimation based on the quadrupole formula. Using the numerical results, the magnitude and the peak frequency of gravitational waves at the present time are estimated. It is shown that for some choices of parameters the signal of gravitational waves is strong enough to be probed in the future gravitational wave experiments.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
What do we mean by the word “Shock”?
From one vantage point, a shock is a continuous but drastic change in state variables that occurs over very small time and length scales. These scales and associated changes in state variables can be measured experimentally. From another vantage point, a shock is a mathematical singularity consisting of instantaneous changes in state variables. This more mathematical view gives rise to analytical solutions to idealized problems. And from a third vantage point, a shock is a structure in a hydrocode prediction. Its width depends on the simulation’s grid resolution and artificial viscosity. These three vantage points can be in conflict when ideas from the associated fields are combined, and yet combining them is an important goal of an integrated modeling program. This presentation explores an example of how models for real materials in the presence of real shocks react to a hydrocode’s numerical shocks of finite width. The presentation will include an introduction to plasticity for the novice, an historical view of plasticity algorithms, a demonstration of how pursuing the meaning of “shock” has resulted in hydrocode improvements, and will conclude by answering some of the questions that arise from that pursuit. After the technical part of the presentation, a few slides advertising LANL’s Computational Physics Student Summer Workshop will be shown.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
The Building ENergy Demand (BEND) Model: A Comprehensive Composite Building Energy Modeling Framework
The Building ENergy Demand (BEND) model was developed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to simulate climate-dependent hourly building energy demand with the ability to disaggregate down to or aggregate up to any geographic area of interest, including counties, states, electric utility service territories, and census regions. The BEND modeling framework is designed to study the effects of climate change, economics, technology advancement, and various mitigation policies on aggregate building energy demand. To make the process computationally feasible, BEND reduces granularity in building characteristics and weather forcing while maintaining enough detail to minimize systematic differences (biases) between BEND results and data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Based on the Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) and Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) databases, BEND establishes a set of representative buildings with predefined sets of building types, sizes, and vintages. These representative buildings are defined for each of the four U.S. census regions and the five climate zones used by the EIA for building surveys (hereafter “EIA climate zones”). BEND’s representative buildings are based on a statistical analysis of the CBECS and RECS databases that infers detailed parameters such as construction type, thermal properties, internal loads, equipment and mechanical systems, and operation schedules from the high-level descriptors in those databases (building type, vintage, size, and location). The representative buildings are simplified and consolidated into a set of prototype buildings for the purpose of simulating building energy demand. Combining the prototype buildings with weather files from selected locations and years, BEND creates a set of simulation-ready building models to be run using the EnergyPlus simulation engine (EnergyPlus). The base spatial unit of each BEND simulation is a subregion that is the intersection of an International Energy Conservation Code climate zone, a census region, and an EIA climate zone; analysis for each spatial unit is influenced by the weather file BEND selects to represent the climate-similar area. The major simulation outputs of interest to BEND are hourly energy consumption values for each simulated year, possibly for multiple fuel types. Based on building-stock weights derived from the CBECS/RECS data, the hourly output streams are aggregated to a single, 8760-hour load profile for each of the major building categories—residential and commercial—with the possibility of segregating by fuel types. To correct for biases inherent in the use of a limited suite of representative buildings, BEND is calibrated against observational targets of total annual building energy consumption and hourly load profiles (including peak demand) obtained for the decision-relevant geographic scales of interest (e.g., total electric load data for individual balancing authorities available from EIA). Based on available data such as population distribution, BEND is able to aggregate both up and down scales, allowing the study of building energy demand over a range of spatial scales (e.g., states or counties within the Western Electricity Coordinating Council, Eastern Interconnection, or the entire U.S.) and/or subsets of building types (e.g., office buildings with particular size ranges).
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Moving body overset grid methods for complete aircraft tiltrotor simulations
A hypothetical, but realistic, set of flight conditions for the V-22 aircraft is established to facilitate rigorous testing of a new domain connectivity algorithm, and to carry out an overset grid proof-of-concept tiltrotor simulation. Relative motion and interference effects between the V-22 airframe and rotor-blades are directly simulated within the context of an unsteady, thin-layer Navier-Stokes computation. The domain connectivity algorithm is verified to perform at rates equal to or greater than those realized previously for store-separation-like applications. The feasibility of carrying out unsteady Navier-Stokes analyses of rotorcraft problems is demonstrated.
Meakin, Robert L.↗
Refinement of Vortex Generators in a Streamline-Traced, External-Compression Supersonic Inlet
Computational simulations of the flow within a streamline-traced, external-compression supersonic inlet for Mach 1.664 without and with vortex generators were performed to refine the characterization of the inlet performance as measured by the total pressure recovery and the radial and circumferential total pressure distortion indices at the engine face. The refinement of the simulations concerned two aspects: 1) refinement of the grid for the simulations to evaluate and reduce uncertainty, and 2) refinement of the modeling and design of the vortex generators. The vortex generators studied were rectangular vane-type vortex generators arranged in co-rotating arrays within the subsonic diffuser. The vortex generator geometric factors of interest included the height, circumferential spacing, and angle-of-incidence. The flow through the inlet was simulated numerically through the solution of the steady-state, Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations on multi-block, structured grids using the Wind-US flow solver. The vortex generators were simulated using either a vortex generator model or with grids generated about each vortex generator. Statistical methods were used to compute confidence intervals and grid convergence indices to establish the uncertainties of the analyses with respect to grid refinement. Design-of-experiments methods were applied to quantify the effects of the geometric factors of the vortex generators. The analyses of the computed results illustrate the complexities of quantifying the uncertainties of the inlet performance and the implications of the uncertainties for the design of a vortex generator array for the STEX inlet.
Slater, John W.↗