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At least 469 records · Page 26

Radiation Detection System Integration Using Multiple-Input Multiple-Output Radios

This study describes the application development of multiple-input multiple-output radios to provide persistent mobile ad hoc network (MANET) for the Department of Homeland Security. By using Man Portable Unit (MPU5) fifth generation radios (manufactured by Persistent Systems) with the Android Team Awareness Kit (ATAK), an Android smartphone geospatial infrastructure and military situational awareness application, the Remote Sensing Laboratory has developed a MANET connectivity to monitor deployed nuclear/radiological search operation assets.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Measuring Economy-Wide Circularity of the United States: An Input-Output Model in Mass Units

The ideal of creating closed material cycles by transforming the way we make, use and repurpose goods has become known as the circular economy. Besides its visionary appeal, material efficiency strategies central to circular economy can allow us to meet decarbonization goals that are otherwise out of reach. Production of basic materials such as cement, iron and steel and petrochemicals is one of the largest drivers of greenhouse gas emissions. Measuring circularity, and understanding its relationship with other sustainability metrics, however, is still difficult due to lack of data in mass units covering the entire economic system. Input-output (I-O) tables were originally created as a means of tracking the monetary flows that represent exchanges of goods and services within an economy, but have found additional uses in life cycle assessment and material flow accounts. In the traditional approach of environmentally extended I-O tables, emissions and energy data augment monetary flows. This approach can lead to price effects that distort physical quantities. Also, circular economy strategies and their goals relate to mass, not monetary flows. Therefore, it is best to simulate them using physical quantities. With these issues in mind, we have developed I-O tables in mass units to measure the flow of goods in the U.S. economy. This allows us to better measure how circular the economy really is, and how policy changes to affect this circularity may also affect decarbonization goals. Improving knowledge of these linkages could allow manufacturers to make changes in their production to achieve their sustainability and decarbonization targets. Our tool also provides a standard approach and public repository for data in physical units, making such data more available, useful, and meaningful. Following an established set of material flow metrics used by the European Union, we have used our tool to calculate material footprints over time differentiated by oil and gas versus other extractive industries. This approach also shows the relative trade balances of the U.S. in materials. We have developed a case study for the iron and steel sector, showing how different decarbonization scenarios affect not only economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions, but also total material use.

circular economy↗

A low-input strategy for chromium removal from industrial stormwater using peat sorbent

Low-cost and low-input water treatment systems are important for industrial stormwater remediation. Here we examine a flow-through reactor treatment installation where water exceeds the allowable maximum concentration for drinking water in multiple metals (e.g., chromium [Cr], cadmium [Cd], zinc [Zn]) prior to treatment. Specifically, we seek to understand why Cr attenuated in the reactors is not leachable by identifying the specific chemical form of Cr and dominant mechanisms promoting sequestration in the reactors. Total solid-phase Cr concentration in the peat media ranged from 50 to 150 mg/kg after 1 yr of exposure to stormwater to 300 to 900 mg/kg after 3.5 yr. X-ray fluorescence mapping images show Cr, iron (Fe), and Zn spatially correlated over a scale of 10 μm to 5 mm. Chromium rinds form on the edges of peat particles as Cr accumulates. Chromium and Fe K-edge X-ray absorption near edge structure spectroscopy reveal chromium predominately in the 3+ oxidation state with lesser amounts of elemental Cr. We propose the primary means of chromium attenuation in the reactors is precipitation as Cr-Fe hydroxides combined with trivalent Cr adsorption onto peat surfaces.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Influence of Heat Input and Cold Wire Feeding Rate on Pitting Corrosion Resistance of Submerged Arc Welding Duplex Stainless Steel Welds

Welding thermal cycles may severely impair duplex stainless steel (DSS) performance, especially local pitting resistance and toughness. The restricted welding energy between 0.5 and 2.5 kJ mm{sup −1} represents a limiting factor for productivity increase in DSS welding, and the addition of cold wire is an interesting alternative to increase the welding deposition rate without adding extra heat. The aim of this work is to evaluate the influence of the cold wire feeding rate (CW) and heat input (HI) on pitting corrosion behavior of DSS UNS S32304 bead-on-plate welds obtained by submerged arc welding (SAW). Cyclic potentiodynamic polarization was carried out in transverse weld sections using 1 mol L{sup −1} NaCl solution at room temperature. Most pitting corrosion spots were located on the heat-affected zone (HAZ), and the pitting potentials were lower than the base metal due to higher ferrite fractions and the presence of chromium nitrides. Considering the same CW, the HI increasing reduced E{sub pit} for 1.6, 1.9, 2.2 kJ mm{sup −1}, but increased E{sub pit} for 2.7 kJ mm{sup −1}, due to a balance between the HAZ width and the austenite fraction.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Observer-based H{sub ∞} control for nonlinear Markovian jump systems with time-delay and input saturation

This paper focus on the problem of observer-based H{sub ∞} control for uncertain nonlinear Markovian jump systems with time-delay and actuator saturation. A delay-dependent sufficient condition is proposed which guarantees that the uncertain nonlinear Markovian jump system with time-delay and input saturation is stochastically stable via Lyapunov theory and linear matrix inequality (LMI) approach. Then, with this condition, the estimation of stability region and the design method of observer-based H{sub ∞} controller are given by solving LMIs and convex optimization problems. Finally, numerical examples are exploited to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

H{sub ∞} memory feedback control for uncertain singular Markov jump systems with time-varying delay and input saturation

This paper concerns with the H{sub ∞} robust exponential stability and memory state feedback stabilization of singular Markov jump systems with time-delay and input saturation. Linear matrix inequality conditions are given to guarantee regularity, impulse-freeness and exponential stability for the singular Markov jump system. Moreover, sufficient conditions are presented to ensure the H{sub ∞} disturbance attenuation level, and the design method of memory feedback controller is developed by solving linear matrix inequalities optimization problem without any decompositions of system matrices and equivalent transformation. Furthermore, the function in the proof procedure belongs to multiple Lyapunov-like functions whose advantage lies in their flexibility. Finally, numerical examples are employed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods and to illustrate the significant improvement on the conservativeness of some reported results in the literature.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Effect of input parameters intensity and duration on dynamic performance of MED-TVC plant

Multi-Effect-Desalination (MED) may be exposed to fluctuations (disturbances) in input parameters during operation. Therefore, there is a requirement to analyze the transient behavior of such MED systems. In this work, a dynamic model is developed and used to examine the effect of abrupt and ramp changes in the main operational parameters on the plant behavior and performance. The results show that the disturbance intensity variation has a major role in the desalination plant behavior. For the current MED-TVC configuration, it is recommended to limit the reduction in the seawater cooling flow rate to under 12% of the designed steady-state value to avoid dry out in the evaporators. Here, a reduction in the motive steam flow rate and cooling seawater temperature of more than 20% and 35% of the nominal operating values, respectively, may lead to flooding in the evaporators and a complete plant shutdown. On the other hand, the disturbance period has a minimal effect on plant performance if it avoids the critical values of the disturbance intensity that can cause plant shutdown. Simultaneous combinations of two different disturbances with opposing effects result in a modest effect on the plant operation and they can be used to control and mitigate the flooding/drying effects of the disturbances. For simultaneous combinations of disturbances with similar effect, the plant needs an accurate control system to avoid an operational shutdown.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Role of Input Assumptions and Model Structures in Projections of Variable Renewable Energy: A Multi-Model Perspective of the U.S. Electricity System

Recent wind and solar deployment in the United States has grown at unprecedented rates, but the extent to which this growth will continue is a key question. Energy-economic planning models are often used to develop future projections of these technologies, and although it is well-understood that model outcomes are sensitive to assumptions about technology developments and market conditions, it is less clear how underlying model structures might impact outcomes. For wind and solar technologies, model structures might be an even larger driver due to the complexity required to represent their variability, uncertainty, and location-dependence. Here, we apply three state-of-the-art electric sector planning models to evaluate variable renewable generation under different conditions with both harmonized and native input assumptions to isolate the impact that model structures might have on deployment outcomes. We find growth in wind and solar deployment in all models under a business-as-usual scenario (without new policies), where the median value for variable renewable energy generation share is found to be 27% by 2050 - but with a wide range of estimates (18-43%), types of renewable technologies deployed, and regional distributions across models. With harmonized assumptions about technology costs and market conditions the range narrows slightly, but a large range in penetration outcomes remains (24-41% by 2050) suggesting that model representations play significant roles in projections of future wind and solar deployment. We also assess the implications of achieving 55% wind and solar penetration by 2050 - to assess potential challenges at higher penetration levels - and the magnitude of variable generation under a carbon-constrained future. Finally, we identify research needs to better assess the future deployment of variable renewable energy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A new approach to modeling temperature-related mortality: Non-linear autoregressive models with exogenous input

Highlights: • NARX models are established in other environmental research, but are unused in temperature-related mortality research. • NARX models do not assume any particular shape to the temperature-mortality association. • NARX models are cross-validated and are easily modified to take on real-time, multi-step-ahead predictions and hindcasts. • Year-round, daily mortality in 41 different US cities was modeled using an ensemble of NARX models in each location. • Models show skill everywhere. Results vary spatially and seasonally, improving upon a persistence model by 17% points. • When compared with distributed lag non-linear models, the output time series are largely similar Temperature-mortality relationships are nonlinear, time-lagged, and can vary depending on the time of year and geographic location, all of which limits the applicability of simple regression models in describing these associations. This research demonstrates the utility of an alternative method for modeling such complex relationships that has gained recent traction in other environmental fields: nonlinear autoregressive models with exogenous input (NARX models). All-cause mortality data and multiple temperature-based data sets were gathered from 41 different US cities, for the period 1975–2010, and subjected to ensemble NARX modeling. Models generally performed better in larger cities and during the winter season. Across the US, median absolute percentage errors were 10% (ranging from 4% to 15% in various cities), the average improvement in the r-squared over that of a simple persistence model was 17% (6–24%), and the hit rate for modeling spike days in mortality (>80th percentile) was 54% (34–71%). Mortality responded acutely to hot summer days, peaking at 0–2 days of lag before dropping precipitously, and there was an extended mortality response to cold winter days, peaking at 2–4 days of lag and dropping slowly and continuing for multiple weeks. Spring and autumn showed both of the aforementioned temperature-mortality relationships, but generally to a lesser magnitude than what was seen in summer or winter. When compared to distributed lag nonlinear models, NARX model output was nearly identical. These results highlight the applicability of NARX models for use in modeling complex and time-dependent relationships for various applications in epidemiology and environmental sciences.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Soil organic carbon accrual due to more efficient microbial utilization of plant inputs at greater long-term soil moisture

High long-term soil moisture may either stimulate or inhibit soil organic carbon (SOC) losses through changes to mineral and chemical composition, and resultant organo-mineral interactions. Yet, the trade-off between mineralization and accrual of SOC under long-term variation in unsaturated soil moisture remains uncertain. We tested the underexplored relationships between long-term soil moisture and organo-mineral chemical composition and its implications for SOC persistence in an experimental field in New York, USA, with differences in long-term mean soil volumetric water content (0–0.15 m depth) ranging from 0.40 to 0.63 (v/v) during the growing season. Long-term soil moisture across 20 subplots on four fallow plots were positively correlated with SOC (R 2 = 0.23; P = 0.019, n = 20), mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM) content (g fraction/g soil) (R 2 = 0.44; P = 0.001; n = 20) and occluded particulate organic matter (oPOM) content (R 2 = 0.18; P = 0.033; n = 20). Higher long-term soil moisture was associated with a decrease in the relative content of sodium pyrophosphate extractable Fe (R 2 = 0.33; P < 0.005; n = 20), an increase in sodium dithionite extractable Fe (R 2 = 0.44; P < 0.001; n = 20), and an increase in SOC retention by non-crystalline Al pools (R 2 = 0.51; P = 0.0002 for sodium pyrophosphate extracts, R 2 = 0.41; P = 0.0014 for hydroxylamine hydrochloride extracts; n = 20 for both). Increasing long-term soil moisture was associated with a four-fold increase in microbial biomass C (per unit SOC) and lower metabolic quotient (R 2 = 0.56, P < 0.001). MAOM fractions of high-moisture soils had lower C:N (from C:N 9.5 to 9.0, R 2 = 0.27, P = 0.011, n = 20). Consistent with decreasing C:N, increasing decomposition with increasing moisture was reflected by a 15% and 10% greater proportion of oxidized carboxylic-C to aromatic-C and O-alkyl C, respectively, as measured with 13 C NMR, and a more pronounced FTIR signature of N-containing proteinaceous compounds in high-moisture MAOM fractions, indicative of microbial metabolites and transformation products. A partial least squares regression showed that SOC content increased with greater long-term moisture (P = 0.019), pyrophosphate-extractable Al (P = 0.0001), and exchangeable Ca (P = 0.013). Here our results show that higher long-term soil moisture resulted in SOC accrual by enhancing conversion of plant inputs into microbial biomass that interacts with reactive minerals.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Gaussian wave packet transform based numerical scheme for the semi-classical Schrödinger equation with random inputs

In this work, we study the semi-classical limit of the Schrödinger equation with random inputs, and show that the semi-classical Schrödinger equation produces O(ε) oscillations in the random variable space. With the Gaussian wave packet transform, the original Schrödinger equation is mapped to an ordinary differential equation (ODE) system for the wave packet parameters coupled with a partial differential equation (PDE) for the quantity w in rescaled variables. Further, we show that the w equation does not produce ε dependent oscillations, and thus it is more amenable for numerical simulations. We propose multi-level sampling strategy in implementing the Gaussian wave packet transform, where in the most costly part, i.e. simulating the w equation, it is sufficient to use ε independent samples. We also provide extensive numerical tests as well as meaningful numerical experiments to justify the properties of the numerical algorithm, and hopefully shed light on possible future directions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

GenMod: A generative modeling approach for spectral representation of PDEs with random inputs

Here, we propose a method for quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional PDE systems with random parameters, where the number of solution evaluations is small. Parametric PDE solutions are often approximated using a spectral decomposition based on polynomial chaos expansions. For the class of systems we consider (i.e., high dimensional with limited solution evaluations) the coefficients are given by an underdetermined linear system in a regression formulation. This implies additional assumptions, such as sparsity of the coefficient vector, are needed to approximate the solution. Here, we present an approach where we assume the coefficients are close to the range of a generative model that maps from a low to a high dimensional space of coefficients. Our approach is inspired be recent work examining how generative models can be used for compressed sensing in systems with random Gaussian measurement matrices. Using results from PDE theory on coefficient decay rates, we construct an explicit generative model that predicts the polynomial chaos coefficient magnitudes. The algorithm we developed to find the coefficients, which we call GenMod, is composed of two main steps. First, we predict the coefficient signs using Orthogonal Matching Pursuit. Then, we assume the coefficients are within a sparse deviation from the range of a sign-adjusted generative model. This allows us to find the coefficients by solving a nonconvex optimization problem, over the input space of the generative model and the space of sparse vectors. We obtain theoretical recovery results for a Lipschitz continuous generative model and for a more specific generative model, based on coefficient decay rate bounds. We examine three high-dimensional problems and show that, for all three examples, the generative model approach outperforms sparsity promoting methods at small sample sizes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Evaluation of distributed process-based hydrologic model performance using only a priori information to define model inputs

Fully distributed, integrated surface–subsurface hydrological models (ISSHMs) have seen renewed interest due to availability of better software, high performance computing facilities, and high-resolution, spatially extensive data products. ISSHMs are valuable as tools for advancing system understanding as they can resolve multiple processes defined on the plot scale including three-dimensional interaction of surface water and groundwater. Here, we evaluated the performance of an ISSHM, the Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS), on seven diverse catchments across the continental US using widely available data products to define model inputs without calibration. We compare the ATS-simulated streamflow and evapotranspiration with gauge observations and MODIS-derived evapotranspiration, respectively. Using the Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) as metric, ATS with default data products performed reasonably well at 6 of 7 catchments for streamflow. However, in one of those 6 catchments ATS had poor performance on baseflow and ATS’s overall performance was thus judged to be inadequate despite the acceptable KGE. ATS performance for evapotranspiration was good in all 7 catchments using default data products. In the two catchments where ATS streamflow performance using default data products was not acceptable, the performance was significantly improved by using local information on subsurface properties below the soil. We also compare the model-simulated streamflow and evapotranspiration with the Sacramento soil moisture accounting (SAC-SMA) model, a semi-distributed model that was calibrated on a catchment-by-catchment basis. Uncalibrated ATS performance is comparable to the calibrated SAC-SMA model in terms of streamflow while ATS performance is similar to or better (much better in certain catchments) in reproducing MODIS-derived evapotranspiration. Reasonably good performance of ATS without catchment-specific calibration provides new confidence in the ISSHM class of models and community data products as tools for advancing understanding of watershed function in a changing environment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Omega-Limit Sets and Input-To-State Stability in Power Grids with Switching Equilibria

This paper studies a power transmission system with both conventional generators (CGs) and distributed energy assets (DEAs) providing frequency control. We consider an operating condition with demand aggregating two dynamic components: one that switches between different values on a finite set, and one that varies smoothly over time. Such dynamic operating conditions may result from protection scheme activations, external cyber-attacks, or due to the integration of dynamic loads, such as data centers. Mathematically, the dynamics of the resulting system are captured by a system that switches between a finite number of vector fields - or modes -, with each mode having a distinct equilibrium point induced by the demand aggregation. To analyze the stability properties of the resulting switching system, we leverage tools from hybrid dynamic inclusions and the concept of ..omega.. -limit sets from sets. Specifically, we characterize a compact set that is semi-globally practically asymptotically stable under the assumption that the switching frequency and load variation rate are sufficiently slow. For arbitrarily fast variations of the load, we use a level-set argument with multiple Lyapunov functions to establish input-to-state stability of a larger set and with respect to the rate of change of the loads. The theoretical results are illustrated via numerical simulations on the IEEE 39-bus test system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Time-interval distributions in a digital gamma multi-channel analyzer at extreme input rates

Here, this study explores the relationship between experimentally observed inter-event time-interval distributions (TIDs) and measured dead times for pulses generated by a HPGe gamma detector and processed by a digital spectrometer. The system utilizes a fast and slow channel, pile-up rejector, trapezoid filtering, and flash analog-to-digital converter. The experimentally derived TIDs were compared with theory for validation. The results demonstrate that the theoretical model reliably describes measured TIDs up to 40% dead time. However, significant distortion effects become increasingly pronounced at higher input rates. It appears that the deviation between the measured and calculated time-interval distributions take the shape of higher-order convolutions of the TID, which represent the time difference between counts for more than two successive events. In this work, theoretical functions for the TID are expanded to reproduce measurements up to 90%. This refinement in the interpretation and treatment of the measured TIDs provides improved accuracy and precision in the prediction of the true event rate and measured dead time in the counter. Even though it reflects occasional count loss that is specific to the set-up, it is expected that a similar adjustment may be applicable to other detection systems as well.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Atomistic Simulations of Polydisperse Lignin Melts Using Simple Polydisperse Residue Input Generator

Understanding the physics of lignin will help rationalize its function in plant cell walls as well as aiding practical applications such as deriving biofuels and bioproducts. Here, in this work, we present SPRIG (Simple Polydisperse Residue Input Generator), a program for generating atomic-detail models of random polydisperse lignin copolymer melts i.e., the state most commonly found in nature. Using these models, we use all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to investigate the conformational and dynamic properties of polydisperse melts representative of switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.) lignin. Polydispersity, branching and monolignol sequence are found to not affect the calculated glass transition temperature, T g . The Flory–Huggins scaling parameter for the segmental radius of gyration is 0.42 ± 0.02, indicating that the chains exhibit statistics that lie between a globular chain and an ideal Gaussian chain. Below T g the atomic mean squared displacements are independent of molecular weight. In contrast, above T g , they decrease with increasing molecular weight. Therefore, a monodisperse lignin melt is a good approximation to this polydisperse lignin when only static properties are probed, whereas the molecular weight distribution needs to be considered while analyzing lignin dynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Life-Cycle Emissions and Human Health Implications of Multi-Input, Multi-Output Biorefineries

To meaningfully broaden the supply of fuels for the transportation sector, biofuel production must be scaled up and this requires a wider array of biomass feedstocks, including agricultural residues and organic waste. Rather than pursuing conversion of lignocellulosic biomass to fuels and anaerobic digestion of wastes as separate pathways, there are economic and environmental advantages associated with integrating these processes in a single facility. However, existing research rarely goes beyond carbon footprints in quantifying the effects of such a shift in bioenergy production. In addition to CO2, CH4, and N2O, this study explores the life-cycle air pollution (NH3, volatile organic compounds, NOx, SO2, and PM2.5), marine eutrophication, acidification, and local external cost implications of biorefineries capable of taking in crop residues, food waste, and manure to produce liquid fuel, electricity, and/or other options such as renewable natural gas (RNG), hydrogen, bioplastics, and protein-rich livestock feed. Relative to a single-input, single-output baseline, biorefineries integrated with organic waste codigestion to coproduce electricity or RNG can reduce life-cycle CO2-equivalent emissions by 84-149%, and the monetized external impacts across all scenarios range from $1.07/gallon to -$0.75/gallon ethanol.

Air pollution↗

Perturbed Input Ensemble Modeling With the Space Weather Modeling Framework

Abstract To assess the effect of uncertainties in solar wind driving on the predictions from the operational configuration of the Space Weather Modeling Framework, we have developed a nonparametric method for generating multiple possible realizations of the solar wind just upstream of the bow shock, based on observations near the first Lagrangian point. We have applied this method to the solar wind inputs at the upstream boundary of Space Weather Modeling Framework and have simulated the geomagnetic storm of 5 April 2010. We ran a 40‐member ensemble for this event and have used this ensemble to quantify the uncertainty in the predicted Sym‐H index and ground magnetic disturbances due to the uncertainty in the upstream boundary conditions. Both the ensemble mean and the unperturbed simulation tend to underpredict the magnitude of Sym‐H in the quiet interval before the storm and overpredict in the storm itself, consistent with previous work. The ensemble mean is a more accurate predictor of Sym‐H, improving the mean absolute error by nearly 2 nT for this interval and displaying a smaller bias. We also examine the uncertainty in predicted maxima in ground magnetic disturbances. The confidence intervals are typically narrow during periods where the predicted d B H /d t is low. The confidence intervals are often much wider where the median prediction is for enhanced d B H /d t . The ensemble also allows us to identify intervals of activity that cannot be explained by uncertainty in the solar wind driver, driving further model improvements. This work demonstrates the feasibility and importance of ensemble modeling for space weather applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗