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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 469 records · Page 26
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Techno-economic analysis and network design for CO 2 conversion to jet fuels in the United States

The conversion of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) into jet fuel holds significant potential for reducing CO 2 emissions, providing an alternative to carbon-based resources, and offering a renewable means of energy storage. The objective of this study is to conduct a techno-economic analysis and optimize the supply chain network for converting CO 2 to jet fuel in the United States, aiming to minimize total costs while assessing the environmental and economic feasibility of two CO 2 conversion pathways. This first pathway is based on Fischer-Tropsch synthesis (FTS), and the other one is based on the valorization and upgrading of light methanol (MeOH). Incorporating spatial and techno-economic data, a mixed-integer linear programming model was developed to select source plants and conversion pathways, locations of conversion refinery sites, and the amount of captured CO 2 across the United States. The optimal results indicate that the FTS pathway is adopted at all selected refineries when the hydrogen price is 1000 dollars/t and the operating cost, mainly electricity used in conversion, is reduced to 5 % of its current level. Under this scenario, the total annual profit is 8 billion dollars, and the net carbon emissions are -88,783,284 tons. The sensitivity analyses reveal that the prices of electricity and hydrogen significantly contribute to total production costs. The CO 2 recycle percentage of the FTS pathway influences the choice of applied pathways at refineries. Additionally, a higher conversion rate holds a substantial promise for reducing the total production cost and can make the MeOH pathway a viable choice.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Anaerobic benzene oxidation in Geotalea daltonii involves activation by methylation and is regulated by the transition state regulator AbrB

ABSTRACT Benzene is a widespread groundwater contaminant that persists under anoxic conditions. The aim of this study was to more accurately investigate anaerobic microbial degradation pathways to predict benzene fate and transport. Preliminary genomic analysis of Geotalea daltonii strain FRC-32, isolated from contaminated groundwater, revealed the presence of putative aromatic-degrading genes. G. daltonii was subsequently shown to conserve energy for growth on benzene as the sole electron donor and fumarate or nitrate as the electron acceptor. The hbs gene, encoding for 3-hydroxybenzylsuccinate synthase (Hbs), a homolog of the radical-forming, toluene-activating benzylsuccinate synthase (Bss), was upregulated during benzene oxidation in G. daltonii , while the bss gene was upregulated during toluene oxidation. Addition of benzene to the G. daltonii whole-cell lysate resulted in toluene formation, indicating that methylation of benzene was occurring. Complementation of σ 54 - (deficient) E. coli transformed with the bss operon restored its ability to grow in the presence of toluene, revealing bss to be regulated by σ 54 . Binding sites for σ 70 and the transition state regulator AbrB were identified in the promoter region of the σ 54 -encoding gene rpoN, and binding was confirmed. Induced expression of abrB during benzene and toluene degradation caused G. daltonii cultures to transition to the death phase. Our results suggested that G. daltonii can anaerobically oxidize benzene by methylation, which is regulated by σ 54 and AbrB. Our findings further indicated that the benzene, toluene, and benzoate degradation pathways converge into a single metabolic pathway, representing a uniquely efficient approach to anaerobic aromatic degradation in G. daltonii . IMPORTANCE The contamination of anaerobic subsurface environments including groundwater with toxic aromatic hydrocarbons, specifically benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene, has become a global issue. Subsurface groundwater is largely anoxic, and further study is needed to understand the natural attenuation of these compounds. This study elucidated a metabolic pathway utilized by the bacterium Geotalea daltonii capable of anaerobically degrading the recalcitrant molecule benzene using a unique activation mechanism involving methylation. The identification of aromatic-degrading genes and AbrB as a regulator of the anaerobic benzene and toluene degradation pathways provides insights into the mechanisms employed by G. daltonii to modulate metabolic pathways as necessary to thrive in anoxic contaminated groundwater. Our findings contribute to the understanding of novel anaerobic benzene degradation pathways that could potentially be harnessed to develop improved strategies for bioremediation of groundwater contaminants.

Bullows, James E.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Catabolism of β-5 linked aromatics by Novosphingobium aromaticivorans

ABSTRACT Aromatic compounds are an important source of commodity chemicals traditionally produced from fossil fuels. Aromatics derived from plant lignin can potentially be converted into commodity chemicals through depolymerization followed by microbial funneling of monomers and low molecular weight oligomers. This study investigates the catabolism of the β-5 linked aromatic dimer dehydrodiconiferyl alcohol (DC-A) by the bacterium Novosphingobium aromaticivorans . We used genome-wide screens to identify candidate genes involved in DC-A catabolism. Subsequent in vivo and in vitro analyses of these candidate genes elucidated a catabolic pathway composed of four required gene products and several partially redundant dehydrogenases that convert DC-A to aromatic monomers that can be funneled into the central aromatic metabolic pathway of N. aromaticivorans . Specifically, a newly identified γ-formaldehyde lyase, PcfL, opens the phenylcoumaran ring to form a stilbene and formaldehyde. A lignostilbene dioxygenase, LsdD, then cleaves the stilbene to generate the aromatic monomers vanillin and 5-formylferulate (5-FF). We also showed that the aldehyde dehydrogenase FerD oxidizes 5-FF before it is decarboxylated by LigW, yielding ferulic acid. We found that some enzymes involved in the β-5 catabolism pathway can act on multiple substrates and that some steps in the pathway can be mediated by multiple enzymes, providing new insights into the robust flexibility of aromatic catabolism in N. aromaticivorans . A comparative genomic analysis predicted that the newly discovered β-5 aromatic catabolic pathway is common within the order Sphingomonadales. IMPORTANCE In the transition to a circular bioeconomy, the plant polymer lignin holds promise as a renewable source of industrially important aromatic chemicals. However, since lignin contains aromatic subunits joined by various chemical linkages, producing single chemical products from this polymer can be challenging. One strategy to overcome this challenge is using microbes to funnel a mixture of lignin-derived aromatics into target chemical products. This approach requires strategies to cleave the major inter-unit linkages of lignin to release monomers for funneling into valuable products. In this study, we report newly discovered aspects of a pathway by which the Novosphingobium aromaticivorans DSM12444 catabolizes aromatics joined by the second most common inter-unit linkage in lignin, the β-5 linkage. This work advances our knowledge of aromatic catabolic pathways, laying the groundwork for future metabolic engineering of this and other microbes for optimized conversion of lignin into products.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Pore architecture controls on mineral reactivity

Mineral dissolution rates measured in natural environments are much slower than those measured in laboratory settings. This project tested the hypothesis that the way fluid flows through rocks in natural systems creates areas where mineral dissolution is fast and areas where mineral dissolution is slow. This hypothesis was tested with a combination of laboratory experiments and numerical simulation. We demonstrated a separation of fluid flow pathways and rates of mineral dissolution in laboratory experiments for the first time using an experimental approach where we created synthetic rocks that have different ratios of connected and dead-end pathways for fluid flow. In laboratory experiments with higher proportions of dead-end pathways, the mineral dissolution rates were slower. We found that where fluid flows through connected pathways the continuous refreshing of fluid at the mineral surface creates conditions where dissolution is fast. In contrast, where fluid either flows slowly through poorly connected pathways or is stagnant in dead-end pathways, mineral dissolution is slow. The results from this project suggest that the overall slowing of rates of mineral dissolution is important when the proportion of dead-end pathways is greater than ~40%. This project informs our understanding of the way that fluids react with rocks in carbon dioxide sequestration and enhanced geothermal projects where fluids are purposefully injected into rocks for energy applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Methyl formate oxidation kinetics up to 100 atm

Methyl formate (MF, CH3OCHO), the simplest ester, is a representative oxygenated fuel with high oxygen content, and low sooting tendency. However, its oxidation behavior under high-pressure and intermediate-temperature conditions remains insufficiently understood, especially where low-temperature peroxy radical chemistry, methanol chemistry, and pressure-dependent reaction pathways play a critical role. In this study, MF oxidation experiments were conducted in the Princeton supercritical-pressure jet-stirred reactor (SP-JSR) at 20 and 100 atm over the temperature range of 400–950 K under both fuel-lean and fuel-rich conditions. Based on the experimental results, an updated HP-Mech was developed by incorporating previous MF sub-mechanisms, expanded low-temperature peroxy pathways, and evaluated pressure-dependent decomposition kinetics. The newly updated HP-Mech shows greatly improved performance in predicting the onset temperature, the key intermediate species fractions, methanol formation, and the progression of MF oxidation across all the experimental conditions. Path flux analysis indicates that MF consumption at the onset stage is dominated by H-abstraction at the methyl site, forming CH2OCHO radicals that lead to the formation and isomerization of O2CH2OCHO, driving low-temperature chain propagation. Moreover, H-abstraction at the formate site forms CH3OCO radicals that preferentially decompose to CH3, initiating the methanol formation pathway linked to CH3O2 and HO2 chemistry. At the same time, HO2 formation is strongly coupled to MF oxidation through multiple MF-derived radical pathways. HCO originates from MF oxidation and acts as a key coupling species linking fuel consumption to HO2 buildup, especially under high-pressure and intermediate-temperature conditions. In addition to this dominant channel, supplementary HO2 formation pathways involving CH3, CH3O, CH2OH, and CH3O2 reacting with O2 further connect methanol chemistry and oxygenated radical chemistry to the HO2 pool, indicating the central role of HO2 in governing MF oxidation. Sensitivity analysis identifies MF with OH/HO2/CH3O2 reactions and the HO2/H2O2/OH sequence as the key factors controlling reactivity in the high-pressure and intermediate-temperature regime. MF directly reacts with OH/HO2/CH3O2 to consume the fuel and produce reactive radicals like CH2OCHO and CH3OCO that undergo subsequent oxidation pathways. Moreover, HO2 recombination suppresses oxidation at lower temperatures, while thermal decomposition of H2O2 accelerates OH production and promotes fuel consumption as temperature increases. The direct formation of active OH from HO2 radicals further completes the mechanism, improving its prediction especially during the oxidation onset stage.

Low-temperature Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating Possible Formation Mechanisms of Criegee Intermediates during the Heterogeneous Autoxidation of Squalene

Organic molecules in the environment oxidatively degrade by a variety of free radical, microbial, and biogeochemical pathways. A significant pathway is heterogeneous autoxidation, in which degradation occurs via a network of carbon and oxygen centered free radicals. Recently, we found evidence for a new heterogeneous autoxidation mechanism of squalene that is initiated by hydroxyl (OH) radical addition to a carbon–carbon double bond and apparently propagated through pathways involving Criegee Intermediates (CI) produced from β-hydroxy peroxy radicals (β-OH-RO 2 •). It remains unclear, however, exactly how CI are formed from β-OH-RO 2 •, which could occur by a unimolecular or bimolecular pathway. Combining kinetic models and multiphase OH oxidation measurements of squalene, we evaluate the kinetic viability of three mechanistic scenarios. Scenario 1 assumes that CI are formed by the unimolecular bond scission of β-OH-RO 2 •, whereas Scenarios 2 and 3 test bimolecular pathways of β-OH-RO 2 • to yield CI. Scenario 1 best replicates the entire experimental data set, which includes effective uptake coefficients vs [OH] as well as the formation kinetics of the major products (i.e., aldehydes and secondary ozonides). Finally, although the unimolecular pathway appears to be kinetically viable, future high-level theory is needed to fully explain the mechanistic relationship between CI and β-OH-RO 2 • in the condensed phase.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Repeated exposure to eucalyptus wood smoke alters pulmonary gene and metabolic profiles in male Long-Evans rats

Abstract Exposure to wildfire smoke is associated with both acute and chronic cardiopulmonary illnesses, which are of special concern for wildland firefighters who experience repeated exposure to wood smoke. It is necessary to better understand the underlying pathophysiology by which wood smoke exposure increases pulmonary disease burdens in this population. We hypothesize that wood smoke exposure produces pulmonary dysfunction, lung inflammation, and gene expression profiles associated with future pulmonary complications. Male Long-Evans rats were intermittently exposed to smoldering eucalyptus wood smoke at 2 concentrations, low (11.0 ± 1.89 mg/m3) and high (23.7 ± 0.077 mg/m3), over a 2-week period. Whole-body plethysmography was measured intermittently throughout. Lung tissue and lavage fluid were collected 24 h after the final exposure for transcriptomics and metabolomics. Increasing smoke exposure upregulated neutrophils and select cytokines in the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid. In total, 3446 genes were differentially expressed in the lungs of rats in the high smoke exposure and only 1 gene in the low smoke exposure (Cd151). Genes altered in the high smoke group reflected changes to the Eukaryotic Initiation Factor 2 stress and oxidative stress responses, which mirrored metabolomics analyses. xMWAS-integrated analysis revealed that smoke exposure significantly altered pathways associated with oxidative stress, lung morphogenesis, and tumor proliferation pathways. These results indicate that intermittent, 2-week exposure to eucalyptus wood smoke leads to transcriptomic and metabolic changes in the lung that may predict future lung disease development. Collectively, these findings provide insight into cellular signaling pathways that may contribute to the chronic pulmonary conditions observed in wildland firefighters.

Toxicology↗
DOE OSTI2026

Data for High Yield Production of 3-Hydroxypropionic Acid Using Issatchenkia orientalis

Biomanufacturing provides a more sustainable alternative to fossil-based chemical manufacturing. 3-Hydroxypropionic acid (3HP) is a top Department of Energy value-added chemical and precursor to bioplastics, yet cost-effective microbial production remains elusive. Here, we establish the acid-tolerant yeast Issatchenkia orientalis as a robust host for low-pH 3HP biosynthesis. Genome-scale modeling identifies the β-alanine pathway as optimal, offering the highest theoretical yield and lowest oxygen requirement. Thermodynamic analysis confirms its favorability under acidic conditions. Using sequence similarity network analysis, we discover highly active aspartate 1-decarboxylase (PAND), β-alanine-pyruvate aminotransferase (BAPAT), and 3HP dehydrogenase (YDFG), which significantly improve the pathway efficiency. Next, to further elevate the production, pathway optimization through multi-copy PAND integration, byproduct elimination (knockouts of pyruvate decarboxylase and glycerol-3-phosphate dehydrogenase), and reinforcement of aspartate flux by overexpression of pyruvate carboxylase and aspartate amino transferase improves the titer to 29 g/L in shake flasks. Fed-batch fermentation at pH 4 with low-cost corn steep liquor medium further increases the production to 92 g/L with 0.7 g/g yield and 0.55 g/L/h productivity. Techno-economic analysis indicates that such performance could potentially enable a financially viable process for sustainable acrylic acid production. This work establishes I. orientalis as a next-generation platform for cost-effective 3HP production and paves the way toward industrial commercialization.

Bioproducts↗
DOE OSTI2024

Influence of alloy solidification path on melt pool behavior in additive manufacturing

Numerical models used to study transport phenomena in laser-powder bed fusion processes often rely on assumptions and simplifications to reduce their computational expense. One common simplification is in the description of latent heat evolution during the solid-liquid phase change (i.e., the solidification pathway), justified by the fact that the mushy zone thickness is similar to the numerical grid spacing used for continuum transport models. The lack of resolution of transport phenomena in the mushy zone motivates the use of computationally convenient solidification paths such as linear or sigmoidal relationships over pathways derived from fundamental solidification theory such as equilibrium or Scheil models. In the present work, an uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework is used to analyze the influence of solidification pathway selection on the solidification dynamics and melt pool geometries in laser based additive manufacturing (AM) of IN625. Results show the solidification pathway has a quantifiable influence on the cooling rate at the liquidus isotherm, mushy zone thickness, and solidification time. Due to similarities in the latent heat evolution at the beginning of solidification, the equilibrium and Scheil models predict similar cooling rates near the liquidus isotherm, however the wider freezing range of Scheil leads to a wider mushy zone compared to equilibrium. The non-physical latent heat release profiles of sigmoidal and linear paths lead to significant overpredictions of cooling rates at the liquidus isotherm compared to equilibrium and Scheil. Finally, these results indicate that careful consideration should be given to the choice of solidification pathway to ensure reliable model predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Lyotropic Liquid Crystal Mediated Assembly of Donor Polymers Enhances Efficiency and Stability of Blade-Coated Organic Solar Cells

Conjugated polymers can undergo complex, concentration-dependent self-assembly during solution processing, yet little is known about its impact on film morphology and device performance of organic solar cells. Herein, lyotropic liquid crystal (LLC) mediated assembly across multiple conjugated polymers is reported, which generally gives rise to improved device performance of blade-coated non-fullerene bulk heterojunction solar cells. Using D18 as a model system, the formation mechanism of LLC is unveiled employing solution X-ray scattering and microscopic imaging tools: D18 first aggregates into semicrystalline nanofibers, then assemble into achiral nematic LLC which goes through symmetry breaking to yield a chiral twist-bent LLC. The assembly pathway is driven by increasing solution concentration – a common driving force during evaporative assembly relevant to scalable manufacturing. This assembly pathway can be largely modulated by coating regimes to give 1) lyotropic liquid crystalline assembly in the evaporation regime and 2) random fiber aggregation pathway in the Landau–Levich regime. The chiral liquid crystalline assembly pathway resulted in films with crystallinity 2.63 times that of films from the random fiber aggregation pathway, significantly enhancing the T80 lifetime by 50-fold. The generality of LLC-mediated assembly and enhanced device performance is further validated using polythiophene and quinoxaline-based donor polymers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Linking DSC/TGA to Cell Levels: Energetics, Evolved Gases, and Thermal Safety of NMC811‐Graphite Micro‐Cell

Thermochemical characterization of battery materials links intrinsic material properties to decomposition pathways, heat generation, and gas evolution that govern performance and safety. Despite extensive work on NMC811-Graphite, variability across partial configurations and the limited adoption of micro-cell architectures (cathode+anode+electrolyte+separator) hinder robust cell-scale interpretation. Accordingly, this work establishes a bottom-up, component-resolved methodology integrating DSC/TGA, evolved gas analysis (EGA), and in situ XRD to link decomposition pathways and energy release across partial and micro-cell configurations, providing a transferable assessment of safety and stability in emerging chemistries. In separator-free configurations, the gas–solid reaction between cathode-evolved O 2 and anode-leached Li dominates the net heat release (1139 J g −1 ). In contrast, in the micro-cell configuration, the separator hinders O 2 transport and alters the timing and pathways of other reactions, and reduces the net energy release to 618 J g −1 . Energy release was organized into defined temperature windows that provide a framework for a thermodynamic model combining quantified gas evolution with selected decomposition pathways and effective reaction enthalpies to estimate net specific energy release, with agreement between DSC and cell-level tests. Ex situ XPS of heat-treated samples extends post-mortem analysis to thermal-abuse regimes, supporting key pathway elements.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Spin‐Polarized Interfaces Redirect CO 2 Reduction From CO to Formate

Achieving high product selectivity in electrocatalytic carbon dioxide reduction (CO 2 RR) remains a critical challenge due to competition between multiple proton-coupled electron-transfer pathways on catalyst surfaces. Meanwhile, chirality-induced spin selectivity (CISS), which enables spin-polarized electron transport through chiral interfaces, has recently emerged as a promising strategy to modulate interfacial electrochemical reactions. Although the CISS effect has been shown to enhance selectivity and efficiency in the spin-sensitive oxygen evolution reaction (OER), its role in regulating CO 2 RR pathways and in stabilizing intermediates remains largely unexplored. Here, chiral molecules (R- and S-1,1′-bi-2-naphthyl-2,2′-diyl hydrogen phosphate, BNP) were integrated with SnO 2 to construct chiral-modified catalysts (R-BNP/SnO 2 and S-BNP/SnO 2 ). Compared with bare SnO 2 and racemic BNP-modified SnO 2 (Rac-BNP/SnO 2 ), the chiral catalysts exhibited a pronounced shift in product selectivity from CO toward formate production. Importantly, in-situ attenuated total reflectance surface-enhanced infrared absorption spectroscopy (ATR-SEIRAS) reveals that the chiral interface selectively stabilizes the O-bound *OCHO intermediate associated with the formate pathway and modulates interfacial water structure and hydrogen-bonding dynamics. These findings demonstrate that spin-polarized interfacial electron transfer can regulate CO 2 RR pathway selectivity by modulating the stabilization of key intermediates. More broadly, this work establishes chiral spin-selective interfaces as a new strategy for regulating competitive electrocatalytic reaction pathways.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hyperspectral leaf reflectance of grasses varies with evolutionary lineage more than with site

Abstract To predict ecological responses at broad environmental scales, grass species are commonly grouped into two broad functional types based on photosynthetic pathway. However, closely related species may have distinctive anatomical and physiological attributes that influence ecological responses, beyond those related to photosynthetic pathway alone. Hyperspectral leaf reflectance can provide an integrated measure of covarying leaf traits that may result from phylogenetic trait conservatism and/or environmental conditions. Understanding whether spectra‐trait relationships are lineage specific or reflect environmental variation across sites is necessary for using hyperspectral reflectance to predict plant responses to environmental changes across spatial scales. We measured hyperspectral leaf reflectance (400–2400 nm) and 12 structural, biochemical, and physiological leaf traits from five grass‐dominated sites spanning the Great Plains of North America. We assessed if variation in leaf reflectance spectra among grass species is explained more by evolutionary lineage (as captured by tribes or subfamilies), photosynthetic pathway (C 3 or C 4 ), or site differences. We then determined whether leaf spectra can be used to predict leaf traits within and across lineages. Our results using redundancy analysis ordination (RDA) show that grass tribe identity explained more variation in leaf spectra (adjusted R 2 = 0.12) than photosynthetic pathway, which explained little variation in leaf spectra (adjusted R 2 = 0.00). Furthermore, leaf reflectance from the same tribe across multiple sites was more similar than leaf reflectance from the same site across tribes (adjusted R 2 = 0.12 and 0.08, respectively). Across all sites and species, trait predictions based on spectra ranged considerably in predictive accuracies ( R 2 = 0.65 to <0.01), but R 2 was >0.80 for certain lineages and sites. The relationship between Vc max , a measure of photosynthetic capacity, and spectra was particularly promising. Chloridoideae, a lineage more common at drier sites, appears to have distinct spectra‐trait relationships compared with other lineages. Overall, our results show that evolutionary relatedness explains more variation in grass leaf spectra than photosynthetic pathway or site, but consideration of lineage‐ and site‐specific trait relationships is needed to interpret spectral variation across large environmental gradients.

Pau, Stephanie [Department of Geography University↗
DOE OSTI2024

The role of the iron and steel sector in achieving net zero U.S. CO 2 emissions by 2050

The U.S. steel sector is a hard-to-abate sector because of its heavy dependence on fossil fuels and its high capital requirements. In 2015, the sector was one of the major carbon emitters, contributing 10 % of the U.S. industrial CO 2 emissions. The ability to decarbonize the U.S. iron and steel sector directly affects the ability of the U.S. to achieve economy-wide net zero CO 2 by 2050. In this paper, we use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) to analyze different U.S. steel sector decarbonization pathways under varying technology, policy, and demand futures. These pathways provide insights on how various low-carbon steelmaking technologies such as those using carbon capture and storage (CCS), hydrogen, or scrap could help reduce U.S. steel emissions by mid-century. In our primary decarbonization pathway, we find that nearly all of the conventional fossil-based steelmaking capacity is fully integrated with CCS by 2050. However, without CCS availability, almost all of the conventional fossil-based steelmaking is phased-out by 2050 and is replaced by hydrogen-based production. Scrap-based production continues to remain vital across both of these decarbonization pathways. Furthermore, we find that demand reduction could help reduce the required levels of CCS and hydrogen-based production in the decarbonization pathways. Implementation of advanced energy efficiency measures could help substantially reduce the sector's energy usage. Finally, we observe that addressing the embodied carbon transfer associated with steel imports will be crucial for fully decarbonizing the U.S. steel sector.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Health and air pollutant emission impacts of net zero CO2 by 2050 scenarios from the energy modeling forum 37 study

Carbon dioxide and non-greenhouse gas air pollutants are emitted from many of the same sources. Decarbonization actions thus typically yield air pollutant emission reductions, resulting in significant air quality benefits. Although several studies have highlighted this connection, including in the context of net zero carbon emission targets, substantial uncertainty remains regarding how alternative technological pathways to this goal will affect the spatial distribution and magnitude of air pollutants. Comprehensive multi-model and multi-scenario analyzes are needed to explore the relative impacts of alternative pathways. Here, our study begins to address this gap by leveraging the results from the recent Energy Modeling Forum 37 inter-model comparison exercise on U.S. decarbonization pathways. Comparing the results of the six teams who submitted air pollutant emissions suggests that strategies that target net zero U.S. carbon emissions would yield significant reductions in many air pollutants, and that this finding is generally robust across pathways. However, some energy sources, such as biomass and fossil fuels with carbon capture, will emit air pollutants and can potentially influence the magnitude, spatial distribution, and even sign of localized air pollutant emission changes. In the second part of this analysis, a simplified air quality and health impacts screening model is used to evaluate the air quality impacts in 2035 of sectoral emission changes from the three models that provided sectoral detail. Relative to a reference scenario, a net zero pathway is estimated to reduce fine particulate matter concentrations across the contiguous U.S., with health benefits from reduced mortality ranging from $\$$65 billion to $\$$250 billion in 2035 alone (2023$\$$s). These benefits would be expected to grow over time as the net zero trajectory becomes more stringent. Both the magnitude of potential benefits and the substantial variation of the projections across models underscore the need for an EMF-like inter-model comparison exercise focused on air quality.

Air pollutants↗
DOE OSTI2026

Impact of DMP-30 catalyst concentration on the degradation and kinetics of bisphenol A epoxy thermosets cured with linear amine hardener

Epoxy thermosets are a crucial component in carbon-fiber composites, serving as the organic binding matrix. Catalysts are commonly used in prepolymer formulations to accelerate curing of the thermosets. However, the impact of catalysts on the thermal stability, degradation pathways, and kinetics of the final thermoset is poorly understood. Here, in this work, Product-Specific Kinetics (PSK) analysis was utilized with isoconversional kinetics to provide a first look into the degradation kinetics of major pyrolysis pathways in bisphenol A (BPA) epoxy resins and determine the impact of altering catalysis concentrations on these kinetic pathways. Results revealed new insights into previously identified degradation pathways, provided evidence of multiple degradation pathways for some products, and showed that use of excess catalyst results in polymer network alterations and reduced thermal stability of the thermosets.

Bisphenol A↗
DOE OSTI2025

Opportunity Assessment for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production from Woody Biomass via Ex Situ Catalytic Fast Pyrolysis and Refinery Hydroprocessing

Biofuels have become a promising solution to reduce emissions in hard-to-electrify transportation sectors, such as aviation. However, several biofuel conversion pathways will likely be needed to scale sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production to meet lower carbon intensity goals when biomass feedstock availability constraints are considered. This study evaluates the future potential of the catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) pathway to contribute to U.S. SAF production goals as outlined in the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) SAF Grand Challenge, understanding that the CFP pathway is still under development toward maturity and scaleup. National forestland resource data from the DOE’s 2023 Billion Ton Study are integrated with recent experimental results demonstrating end-to-end woody biomass conversion to SAF via CFP and hydroprocessing in a novel bioeconomy optimization framework. U.S. refinery hydroprocessing capacity is also considered with repurposing and coprocessing strategies. Results indicate that the CFP process can contribute up to 4.6 billion gallons of SAF annually by 2040, meeting 13% of the 2050 SAF Grand Challenge target while reducing the carbon intensity (CI) of the U.S. jet fuel pool by 16%. The study further explores optimal processing strategies, suggesting that colocating CFP operations with existing petroleum refineries and repurposing some U.S. hydrocracking capacity may offer significant cost advantages and enhance the commercial viability of the CFP pathway. These results underscore the CFP pathway’s potential to support the global aviation industry’s lower carbon intensity objectives while producing other renewable fuels and products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Degrees of Rate Control in Interconnected Reaction Networks

Overall reactions in interconnected networks exhibit net, forward, and reverse rates that are governed by both constitutive elementary steps in the pathway of interest and branching elementary steps that lead to alternative products. Accordingly, steps in branching pathways exhibit negative net, forward, and reverse degrees of rate control, as they reduce reaction flux to the desired product. We here contextualize the forward and reverse degrees of rate control in terms of kinetic resistances (inverse of rates) and leverage the additive nature of kinetic resistance to decouple kinetic driving forces contributed by constitutive elementary steps and branching points (nodal species) in interconnected networks. Regardless of the network connectivity, forward and reverse degrees of rate control are shown to converge at equilibrium. Away from equilibrium, we identify two critical features of interconnected networks: stoichiometric regularity─condition where all stoichiometric numbers are unity─and pathway symmetry around nodal species─condition where branching pathways share the same rate constants, stoichiometry, and species concentrations/activities─that result in (i) equal forward, reverse, and consequently net degrees of rate control and (ii) forward and reverse degrees of rate control that exhibit constant offsets, respectively, across all extents of reaction. Furthermore, our discourse further provides a mathematical description for the influence of stoichiometric irregularity and pathway asymmetry on forward and reverse degrees of rate control. Altogether, the presented work details the effects of network (inter)connectivity and stoichiometry on reaction kinetics and, in doing so, establishes general protocols for capturing these effects as additive terms in the formulation of forward and reverse degrees of rate control.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗