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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 469 records · Page 26
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1974

Application of remote sensing for prediction and detection of thermal pollution

The first phase is described of a three year project for the development of a mathematical model for predicting thermal pollution by use of remote sensing measurements. A rigid-lid model was developed, and results were obtained for different wind conditions at Biscayne Bay in South Florida. The design of the measurement system was completed, and instruments needed for the first stage of experiment were acquired, tested, and calibrated. A preliminary research flight was conducted.

Veziroglu, T. N.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Feasibility of developing LSI microcircuit reliability prediction models

In the proposed modeling approach, when any of the essential key factors are not known initially, they can be approximated in various ways with a known impact on the accuracy of the final predictions. For example, on any program where reliability predictions are started at interim states of project completion, a-priori approximate estimates of the key factors are established for making preliminary predictions. Later these are refined for greater accuracy as subsequent program information of a more definitive nature becomes available. Specific steps to develop, validate and verify these new models are described.

Ryerson, C. M.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing New Tools for Modeling Rocket Plume-Surface Interactions

With NASA’s goal to land the next human on the lunar surface in the next few years, it has become vitally important that we have a better understanding of how future landing spacecraft will interact with the unique properties of regolith¬¬––the layer of loose, unconsolidated dust and rock on the lunar surface¬¬––which can cause hazards like visual obstructions, particulate clouds, and cratering of the landing zone. Researchers from the Fluid Dynamics Branch at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center are performing plume-surface interaction (PSI) simulations between lander engine plumes and unprepared regolith surfaces, and have developed new tools to provide predictive PSI environments for various NASA projects and missions, including the Human Lander System (HLS), Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS), and future Mars landers. These tools allow the researchers to determine how to best meet the simulation and time requirements for each project by varying model fidelity. The highest fidelity tool is the Gas Granular Flow Solver (Loci/GGFS) that models gas-particle multi-phase interactions to predict regolith cratering and ejection of particles into the immediate surroundings of the lander. At its highest fidelity, it can model microscopic regolith particle interactions with a particle size/shape distribution that statistically replicates actual regolith, however, to be most effective with today’s computing resources, it is currently run using only one to three equivalent particle sizes/shapes. The team also incorporated engineering models into their software suite to create production-ready hybrid tools with reduced fidelity. At the lowest fidelity, the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code Loci/CHEM+DIGGEM can predict crater depth over time by relating local CFD-predicted surface shear stresses to a model of erosion mass flux.

plume surface interaction↗
DOE OSTI2020

Urban Scaling as Validation for Predictions of Imperviousness From Population

Abstract Strategies for creating quantitative projections for human systems, especially impervious surfaces, are necessary to consider the human drivers of climate and ecosystem change. There are models that generate predictions of how impervious surfaces may change in response to different potential futures, but few tools exist for validating those predictions. We seek to fill that gap. We demonstrate a statistically robust sublinear scaling relationship between population and urban imperviousness across a 15 year history. We show that Integrated Climate and Land‐Use Scenarios (ICLUS) urbanization projections are also consistent with theory. These results demonstrate a theory that can be used to validate other models' predictions of urban growth and land cover change, analogous to the ways in which allometric scaling laws in biology have been used to validate process‐based models of ecosystem composition under different climate scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

GPHS Module Pre-Impact test Temperature Prediction with ANSYS [PowerPoint]

The purpose of the project was to: Develop a finite element thermal model of the General Purpose Heat Source (GPHS) Module loaded with four fueled clads; Perform steady state analysis to validate the thermal model via energy balance; Perform transient thermal analysis to predict clad temperatures at various times; and, Transient model results will be used to inform module soak time needed to reach a desired clad temperature prior to impact.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine Tool Data Analytics for Digital Twin and Machine Predictive Maintenance

The primary objective of this project is to improve machining process performance using in-process machining data from the machine tool controller and external sensors. Advances in the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) enable monitoring of machines using controller data. Examples of the data provided by a controller include execution status of the controller, part count, block of code being executed, door status, tool position, the spindle and axis load, etc. MTConnect and OPC-UA are the two common protocols for capturing machine information. In this collaboration, methods for retrieving the machine controller data from selected machine tool controls and making these data accessible in different subsystems (such as digital twins and machine maintenance portals, etc.) will be developed and tested. In addition, analytics to improve machining process performance (by increasing productivity and reducing downtime) will be developed.

42 ENGINEERING↗
NASA NTRS2016

Predictive Measures of Locomotor Performance on an Unstable Walking Surface

Locomotion requires integration of visual, vestibular, and somatosensory information to produce the appropriate motor output to control movement. The degree to which these sensory inputs are weighted and reorganized in discordant sensory environments varies by individual and may be predictive of the ability to adapt to novel environments. The goals of this project are to: 1) develop a set of predictive measures capable of identifying individual differences in sensorimotor adaptability, and 2) use this information to inform the design of training countermeasures designed to enhance the ability of astronauts to adapt to gravitational transitions improving balance and locomotor performance after a Mars landing and enhancing egress capability after a landing on Earth.

Bloomberg, J. J.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Next-Generation Video Ice Particle Sampler Field Campaign Report

The next-generation video ice particle sampler (ngVIPS) was operated on the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s tethered balloon system (TBS) during the IFFExO (Ice Fog Field Experiment at Oliktok Point) project in November, 2020. The purpose of the project was to study ice fog microphysics and the environmental conditions during ice fog to enable better predictions during low-visibility conditions. This project was conducted at the site of the third ARM Mobile Facility (AMF3) at Oliktok Point, Alaska. Among a suite of other instruments, the ngVIPS was operated to observe atmospheric ice particles.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Effect of Mn on eutectic phase equilibria in Al-rich Al-Ce-Ni alloys

Microstructural analysis of additively manufactured (AM) Al-Ce-Ni-Mn alloys has identified phases not predicted from existing ternary liquidus projections in the Al-Ce-Ni system. Because the rapid cooling rate of AM is orders of magnitude above that of traditional casting, it is unclear if these additional phases arose from the non-equilibrium processing conditions of AM, a drastic shift in phase stability in the system due to the addition of 1 wt% Mn, or some combination of these two influences. The phases and microstructure of cast samples of Al-Ce-Ni and Al-Ce-Ni-Mn alloys were characterized for several annealing conditions which revealed the equilibrium phases at different temperatures. Phase analysis confirmed that minute levels of Mn substituted for Ni in the system drastically shifts the liquidus projection in the Al-rich corner of the ternary phase diagram such that the eutectic Al 3 Ni phase is suppressed in favor of the Al 23 Ni 6 (Ce,Mn) 4 phase. Further addition of Mn promotes the formation of Al 20 Mn 2 Ce and Al 10 Mn 2 Ce phases. The phase analysis data was then used to improve the CALPHAD modeling of the liquidus projection and isothermal sections for the Al-rich Al-Ce-Ni-Mn quaternary system. Thermodynamic modeling and experimental analysis on phases in the AM sample of Al-Ce-Ni with Mn confirmed that the phases present are consistent with Mn-containing Al-Ce-Ni cast samples. Here, this investigation demonstrates the potential for using secondary alloying elements to drastically alter phase stability and microstructure in alloy systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Voltage-Dependent Barrier Height of Electron Transport through Iron Porphyrin Molecular Junctions

Electron transport through iron porphyrin (FeP) molecules self-assembled on a gold (Au) substrate was investigated using conductive atomic force microscopy (AFM) to measure current–voltage (I–V) characteristics. In the direct tunneling region (|V| ≤ 0.1 V), the Simmons model was used to characterize the electron transport. Furthermore, the energy barrier between the Fermi energy level of Au and the highest occupied molecular orbital (HOMO) level of the FeP molecule was determined to be between 0.3 and 0.6 eV; the range of the electron attenuation coefficient was 0.6–0.8 Å–1. Instead of a constant barrier height, a voltage-dependent barrier height was adapted to simulate the experimental I–V curves over the entire voltage range (|V| ≤ 2 V) using the Simmons model for the intermediate case. The voltage-dependent barrier height is supported by a previously predicted response of molecular-projected self-consistent Hamiltonian orbitals. The dependence showed that the HOMO level relative to the Fermi energy level of the Au electrode decreased as the bias voltage increased. To verify the deposition of the FeP on the Au substrate, Raman spectroscopy and AFM analysis were performed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand

Levels of fire activity and severity that are unprecedented in the instrumental record have recently been observed in forested regions around the world. Using a large sample of daily fire events and hourly climate data, here we show that fire activity in all global forest biomes responds strongly and predictably to exceedance of thresholds in atmospheric water demand, as measured by maximum daily vapour pressure deficit. The climatology of vapour pressure deficit can therefore be reliably used to predict forest fire risk under projected future climates. We find that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios. Escalating forest fire risk threatens catastrophic carbon losses in the Amazon and major population health impacts from wildfire smoke in south Asia and east Africa.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty quantification for misspecified machine learned interatomic potentials

The use of high-dimensional regression techniques from machine learning has significantly improved the quantitative accuracy of interatomic potentials. Atomic simulations can now plausibly target quantitative predictions in a variety of settings, which has brought renewed interest in robust means to quantify uncertainties. In many practical settings where model complexity is constrained (e.g., due to performance considerations), misspecification — the inability of any one choice of model parameters to exactly match all training data — is a key contributor to errors that is often disregarded. Here, we employ a recent misspecification-aware regression technique to quantify parameter uncertainties, which is then propagated to a broad range of phase and defect properties in tungsten. The propagation is performed through both brute-force resampling and implicit Taylor expansion. The propagated misspecification uncertainties robustly quantify and bound errors on a broad range of material properties. We demonstrate application to recent foundational machine learning interatomic potentials, accurately predicting and bounding errors in MACE-MPA-0 energy predictions across the diverse materials project database.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

How Well Can CMIP6 Models Represent the Observed Influence of the Pacific and Indian Oceans on the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall?

This study evaluates the ability of CMIP6 climate models to simulate the observed effects of tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) on Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) variability. Using observational data and the large ensemble historical simulations of seven CMIP6 models from 1950 to 2014, we applied a cyclostationary linear inverse model (CS-LIM) to isolate the impacts of tropical Pacific SSTAs, Indian Ocean SSTAs and their interaction on the interannual variability of ISMR. Overall, CMIP6 models well reproduced the observed enhanced (reduced) ISMR variability from Pacific SSTAs (Indian Ocean SSTAs and the Indo-Pacific interaction), but with varying spatial patterns and magnitudes. While CESM2 and E3SM-2-0 showed the best agreement with observations for the effects of Pacific SSTAs and the Indo-Pacific interaction, respectively, CMIP6 models showed mixed results for the impacts from Indian Ocean SSTAs. Composite analysis of ISMR anomalies during the developing phases of pure and co-occurring El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) events revealed that the impacts from Pacific SSTAs were captured reasonably well by E3SM-2-0, CESM2, MIROC6, and MPI-ESM1-2-LR, while E3SM-2-0 also showed the best agreement with observations for the effects from the Indo-Pacific interaction. However, all models showed substantial biases in simulating the Indian Ocean SSTA impacts on ISMR, especially for pure El Niño events. Overall, this study provides new insights into how individual CMIP6 models simulate the isolated impacts from the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans, which has important applications for improving ISMR predictions and interpreting ISMR future projections.

monsoon↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hospice Landscape Report

In July 2018, CMS requested assistance from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to provide expert data science support aimed at developing algorithms for data mining of medical data for operational and payment purposes. The project is intended to be exploratory: work is aimed at alleviating challenges associated with improper payments, specifically audit methodologies and targeting and changes to risk scores. Project goals include developing new, sophisticated methods for audit targeting and improved profile– payment error correlations, specifically focused on Medicare Part C, the program under which MAOs provide health care services to beneficiaries. ORNL conducted RADV analyses against RAPS and EDS data as well as a hospice landscape analysis per a January 2015 dataset that included Medicare beneficiaries who were in hospice in 2017 and 2018. Ongoing work under this project also involves development of predictive models for RADV investigations and hospice landscape.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

CVEN 5899 Internship report

The internship is under the project of Center for Space and Earth Science student fellow program of Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The topic of the project is grain-scale prediction of hypervelocity projectile penetration into terrestrial and extraterrestrial granular materials, which is also my PhD research topic. In this research, we would like to use discrete element method (DEM) to simulate the hyper-speed penetration into granular materials and compare with experiment results. The experiment is done by the Proton Radiography (pRad) team of LANL. In the experiment, a jet traveled through the sand with velocity of 4 km/s (fig.1). Our goal is to develop the large deformation constitutive model by the stress and strain upscaling, study the fluid (air) behavior and particle fracture during the hyperspeed penetration.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Validation of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 for Steady-State Single-Phase Natural Circulation

The development of numerical software for engineering applications requires the validation of the code against experimental benchmark datasets. To support the validation of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 in simulating the single-phase natural circulation within nuclear reactor systems, high-precision steady-state experiments are performed to capture single-phase natural circulation phenomena on an existing scaled facility with comprehensive instrumentation. Forced convection tests are designed precisely capturing the facility’s critical thermal-hydraulic parameters required for one-dimensional modeling, and a comprehensive single-phase natural circulation dataset is obtained with well-documented experimental uncertainty and facility description. Analysis and discussion based on the finalized dataset confirm the dataset’s ability in capturing dominant phenomena and address important physical interpretation of parameters. The dataset reported in this project provides a valuable benchmark resource for the validation of system analysis codes under single-phase natural circulation inside nuclear reactors. Validation of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 is then performed against the obtained benchmark dataset to confirm the capability of its physics model in simulating the steady-state single-phase natural circulation. The experimental facility is modeled in the candidate code. Solution verification is performed using Richardson-extrapolation-based estimators to quantify and restrict numerical errors from discretization. Numerical uncertainty originating from finite maximum pseudo-transient time is also quantified and restricted. Input uncertainty provided by the benchmark dataset is forward propagated through the candidate code, directly quantifying the simulation output in a Monte Carlo approach. The composition of the output uncertainty is further determined by the estimators of Sobol’ indices through a variance-based sensitivity analysis. With uncertainty quantified for each individual condition, detailed comparison between the simulation results and experimental data is performed covering the whole dataset, which shows consistent agreement for all important quantities. The validation activity reported in this project demonstrates that SAS4A/SASSYS-1 can predict the primary parameters with satisfactorily accuracy under steady-state single-phase natural circulation.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Biogeochemical Processes Across Aquatic Interfaces

The aquatic interfaces exposing terrestrial soils to oxic-anoxic regime shifts represent biogeochemical “hotspots” that are extremely sensitive to climate and environmental change. However, processes and interaction across theses aquatic interfaces are poorly understood and underrepresented in current Earth system models. In this project, we aim to develop predictive understanding of the feedbacks between microbial systems and geochemical environments that determine emergent ecosystem behaviors and resilience in response to disturbances. We use experimental, mechanistic modeling and meta-analysis tools to elucidate interactions among soil, water, geomorphology and microbiology that regulate the molecular transformations and fluxes of carbon, nutrients, and redox-sensitive compounds across aquatic interfaces.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗