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NASA NTRS1990

Solar constant secular changes

A recent model for solar constant secular changes is used to calculate a 'proxy' solar constant for: (1) the past four centuries, based upon the sunspot record, (2) the past nine centuries, based upon C-14 observations and their relation to solar activity, and (3) the next decade, based upon a dynamo theory model for the solar cycle. The proxy solar constant data is tabulated as it may be useful for climate modelers studying global climate changes.

Schatten, Kenneth H.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Significance of Helium in the Solar Wind: Insights from 1 AU

Doubly ionized helium is the 2nd most abundant element in the solar wind. The solar wind’s properties are a function of the source region on the Sun from which it emanates. This includesthe abundances of solar wind Helium and rarer, heavier elements. The speed of the solar wind, when observed near Earth, is also related to the type of source region from which the solar wind originated. Early solar wind models are unable to explain how the solar wind achieved the asymptotically fastest, non-transient speeds observed at 1 AU and the solar wind must be accelerated during transit through interplanetary space. Only recently have observations shown that the solar wind from different source regions is accelerated by different mechanisms. However, the solar wind speed is also known to be an insufficient for identifying the type of solar source from which it originated, likely because these different acceleration mechanisms accelerate the solar wind into two different speed regimes that overlap. Furthermore, the mechanism that provides the coronal plasma sufficient energy to accelerate into the solar wind is still undetermined. These mysteries are further complicated by the Sun’s evolution through its 11-year activity cycle and the impact of the solar cycle on in situ observations. Using solar wind observations of the helium abundance from the Wind spacecraft and heavy ion abundances from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) along with observations of the Sunspot Number – a long-studied proxy for the Sun’s activity – we will discuss the imprint of different solar wind source regions on observations collected at 1 AU. We will draw inferences about the role of helium in the acceleration of coronal plasma into the solar wind. Using the Alfvénicity – a metric related to the solar wind acceleration that occurs during transit through interplanetary space – we will derive a solar wind classification scheme for near-Earth observations that is related to the differences in the source regions from which it emanates.

Benjamin Alterman↗

NASA NTRS2003

Invited Talks at Naples and Coimbra

Prior to observations of the solar irradiance from space that began in 1979 there was no hope of obtaining even rough estimates of the solar irradiance variation over a solar cycle, since the space observations made since showed that the magnitude of the variation over a cycle to date is less than 0.1 %, a value too small to measure from the ground. At the same time, it would be useful to know the cycle-dependent variation over more than just the two recent cycles. Lacking a complete theory for the solar dynamo responsible for this variation, the current hope is to determine what proxy might yield the best values. Because there is an excellent database on sunspot umbral and penumbral areas from the Greenwich Observatory for the years 1874-1976 (but not beyond), the possibility exists that these data could be used. This talk will summarize results of a joint study in which satellite measurements of the solar irradiance variation are compared with ground-based measurements from the Coimbra Observatory of sunspot number, umbral area, and total sunspot area to determine which would serve as the best proxy for using the Greenwich observations back to 1874. From the near constancy of sunspot umbral magnetic fields upon which the useful parameter photometric sunspot index is based, we expected that umbral area would yield the beat proxy. To our surprise, after performing a statistical study of the observations over the period 1980-1990, preliminary indications are that sunspot number (a parameter available back into the 18th century) may be just as useful as the umbral area. As expected, both are quite superior as proxies to total sunspot area, which includes the penumbral area. This conclusion is consistent with earlier work of Hop and Schatten, who sought a proxy by studies of the umbral-penumbral area ratio. A second motivation for pursuing this work is the possibility that relatively small variations in the solar irradiance may induce larger responses in Earth's climate than would occur from simply introducing the corresponding heat differential into the terrestrial atmosphere. The talk will conclude with a description of why some climatologists are beginning to explore this possibility, which is suggest by some of the space observations used in the above search for a solar irradiance variation proxy.

Jordan, Stuart↗

NASA NTRS1979

Anticorrelation of X-ray bright points with sunspot number, 1970-1978

Soft X-ray observations of the solar corona over the period 1970-1978 show that the number of small short-lived bipolar magnetic features (X-ray bright points) varies inversely with the sunspot index. During the entire period from 1973 to 1978 most of the magnetic flux emerging at the solar surface appeared in the form of bright points. In 1970, near the peak of solar cycle 20, the contributions from bright points and from active regions appear to be approximately equal. These observations strongly support an earlier suggestion that the solar cycle may be characterized as an oscillator in wave-number space with relatively little variation in the average total rate of flux emergence.

Golub, L.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Surface magnetic fields during the solar activity cycle

The behavior of the magnetic field of the sun as measured in the Fe I 5250 A line is summarized. A latitudinal distribution of the fields observed over 13.5 yr is presented, and episodic formation of the polar fields (about 6 gauss) from a poleward drift originating at the sunspots is noted. Weak magnetic fields (-2 to +2) reach a maximum two years before the maximum in the average field. The total flux remains constant from minimum to maximum, with strong magnetic flux exhibiting an equatorward drift; both strong and new flux appear mostly around sunspots. The appearance of new flux implies the decay of flux elsewhere on the sun, because of the measured constancy of total flux; total replacement of the surface flux can occur within ten days. Field annihilation is concentrated in the active latitudes, where strong opposite polarity fields occur close together.

Howard, R.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Long-term evolution of a high-latitude active region

The decay phase of one of the largest active regions of solar cycle 22 that developed by the end of June 1987 is studied. Migration of the magnetic fields northward, poleward, and equatorward is shown to lead to the apparent rotation of the magnetic axis of the region. The sunspot motions and pattern of evolution of the magnetic fields noted provide evidence for the existence of a large-scale velocity field within the active region.

Marquette, William H.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Long-Term Variations in Total Solar Irradiance

For more than a decade total solar irradiance has been monitored simultaneously from space by different satellites. The detection of total solar irradiance variations by satellite -based experiments during the past decade and a half has stimulated modeling efforts to help identify their causes and to provide estimates of irradiance data, using "proxy" indicators of solar activity, for the time intervals when no satellite observations exist. In this paper the variations in total solar irradiance observed by the Nimbus-7/ERB, SMM/ACRIM I, and UARS/ACRIM II radiometers are compared to the changes in sunspot darkening and the enhanced emission of bright magnetic elements, including faculae and the magnetic network. Quantitative indices of sunspot darkening have been derived from the area and position of sunspots published in the NOAA-WDC Solar Geophysical Data catalog. The Mg core-to-wing ratio, derived from the irradiance observations of Nimbus-7 and NOAA9 satellites, is used as a proxy for the bright magnetic elements. It has been found that a model, calculated from the Mg II core-to-wing ratio underestimates the observed total irradiance at the time of maximum and during the beginning of the declining portion of solar cycle 22 similar in behaviour just before the maximum of solar cycle 21. Similar results are found using He-line equivalent width and 10.7 cm radio flux which indicates that the current irradiance models are in general not capable to reproducing the changes observed in total solar irradiance.

total↗

NASA NTRS1991

Solar irradiance variability from modern measurements

Direct measurements from satellites of the solar 'constant' (the total irradiance at mean sun-earth distance) during more than ten years show variations over time scales from minutes to years and decades. At high frequencies, solar oscillations contribute to the variance. The most important influences are related to solar activity: during the passage of active regions on the solar disk (sunspots and faculae) changes of a few 0.1 percent lasting for several days are observed. The effects of spots can be well reproduced by the projected sunspot index, whereas the influence of faculae have to be modeled from proxy data like the Ca-K plage index or the He I index. Long-term trends are detected which are connected to the 11-yr solar activity cycle.

Froehlich, C.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Timing of solar cycles by rigid internal rotations

The so-called 11-year cycle of solar activity is really more complex and contains many periods of greatly different lengths. Periods as long as 178 years and as short as 3.1 years are predicted by a theory based on beats between rigidly rotating, inertially oscillating g-modes inside the sun. Most of the beat periods are then confirmed to about 1 percent accuracy in sunspot observations. Since the agreement is of high statistical significance, one can conclude that approximate alignment of major solar oscillation modes contributes to high solar activity. The theory receives further support when tested against an independent class of observations - the large-scale magnetic sector structure. Predicted rotation rates of at least four solar oscillation modes are detected in the sector data with discrepancies all less than 0.3 percent. As a by-product of these successful fits to observation, the mean rotation of the entire solar mass becomes known. Its rotation frequency is 4.49 by 10 to the -7th power Hz, which is a sidereal period of 25.8 days. Magnetic fields have played no role in calculating the length of any of these solar cycles.

Wolff, C. L.↗

NASA NTRS1972

Large scale photospheric magnetic field: The diffusion of active region fields

The large-scale phototospheric magnetic field was computed by allowing observed active region fields to diffuse and to be sheared by differential rotation in accordance with the Leighton (1969) magneto-kinematic model of the solar cycle. The differential rotation of the computed field patterns as determined by autocorrelation curves is similar to that of the observed photospheric field, and poleward of 20 deg. latitude both are significantly different from the differential rotation of the long-lived sunspots (Newton and Nunn, 1951) used as an input into the computations.

Schatten, K. H.↗

NASA NTRS1972

Large-scale photospheric magnetic field - The diffusion of active region fields.

The large-scale photospheric magnetic field has been computed by allowing observed active region fields to diffuse and to be sheared by differential rotation in accordance with the Leighton (1969) magnetokinematic model of the solar cycle. The differential rotation of the computed field patterns as determined by autocorrelation curves is similar to that of the observed photospheric field, and poleward of 20 deg latitude both are significantly different from the differential rotation of the long-lived sunspots (Newton and Nunn, 1951) used as an input into the computations.

Schatten, K. H.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Coronal mass ejections and major solar flares: The great active center of March 1989

The solar flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) events associated with the large and complex March 1989 active region are discussed. This active region gave us a chance to study the relation of CME with truly major solar flares. The work concentrates on questions of the relation of CMEs and flares to one another and to other types of activity on the Sun. As expected, some major (X-3B class) flares had associated CMEs. However, an unexpected finding is that others did not. In fact, there is strong evidence that the X4-4B flare of March 9th had no CME. This lack of a CME for such an outstanding flare event has important implications to theories of CME causation.Apparently, not all major flares cause CMEs or are caused by CMEs. The relations between CMEs and other types of solar activity are also discussed. No filament disappearances are reported for major CMEs studied here. Comparing these results with other studies, CMEs occur in association with flares and with erupting prominences, but neither are required for a CME. The relation between solar structures showing flaring without filament eruptions and structures showing filament eruptions without flares becomes important. The evolutionary relation between an active flaring sunspot region and extensive filaments without sunspots is reviewed, and the concept of an 'evolving magnetic structure' (EMS) is introduced. It is suggested that all CMEs arise in EMSs and that CMEs provide a major path through which azimuthal magnetic fields escape form the Sun during the solar cycle.

Feynman, Joan↗

NASA NTRS1971

Sunspot analysis and prediction

An attempt is made to develop an accurate functional representation, using common trigonometric functions, of all existing sunspot data, both quantitative and qualitative, ancient and modern. It is concluded that the three periods of high sunspot activity (1935 to 1970, 1835 to 1870, and 1755 to 1790) are independent populations. It is also concluded that these populations have long periods of approximately 400, 500, and 610 years, respectively. The difficulties in assuming a periodicity of seven 11-year cycles of approximately 80 years are discussed.

Steyer, C. C.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Tunable diode laser heterodyne spectrometer for remote observations near 8 microns

Infrared heterodyne spectroscopy is a passive technique employing coherent optical detection for the study of spectral features in remote sources. It employs optical components such as mirrors and lenses normally associated with incoherent optics, but because of it's coherent nature, it offers the advantages of ultrahigh spectral resolving power, high frequency precision, and diffraction limited field-of-view. Attention is given to the development of an ultrahigh resolution diode laser heterodyne spectrometer for observational and laboratory use. The instrument is designed for operation in the spectral range from 7.5 to 8.5 microns. A PbSe tuneable diode laser (TDL) is employed as local oscillator. A closed-cycle cooler is employed to keep the oscillator at operating temperatures in the range from 12 to 60 K. Attention is given to factors determining the TDL heterodyne sensitivity, the spectrometer design, and a survey of 8 micron observations, SiO could be detected in the sunspot spectrum.

Glenar, D. A.↗

NASA NTRS1990

The Variation of Solar Fe 14 and Fe 10 Flux over 1.5 Solar Activity Cycles

A new source of data on the solar output, namely limb flux from the one- and two-million degree corona is presented. This parameter is derived from data obtained at the National Solar Observatory at Sacramento Peak with the 40 cm coronagraph of the John W. Evans Solar Facility and the Emission Line Coronal Photometer. The limb flux is defined to be the latitude-averaged intensity in millionths of the brightness of disk center from an annulus of width 1.1 minutes centered at a height of 0.15 solar constant above the limb of emission from lines at 6374A (Fe X) or 5303A (Fe XIV). Fe XIV data have been obtained since 1973 and Fe X since 1984. Examination of the Fe XIV data shows that there is ambiguity in the definition of the last two solar activity minima, which can affect the determination of cycle rise times and lengths. There is an indication that a constant minimum or basal corona may exist at solar minimum. Cycle 22 has had a much faster onset than Cycle 21 and has now overtaken Cycle 21. The rise characteristics of the two cycles were very similar up until Jul. to Aug. 1989, at which time a long-term maximum occurred in Fe X and Fe XIV, which could possibly be the solar maximum. Another maximum is developing at the current time. Cycle 21 was characterized in Fe XIV by at least 4 major thrusts or bursts of activity, each lasting on the order of a year and all having similar maximum limb fluxes which indicates that coronal energy output is sustained over periods in which the sunspot number declines significantly. Dramatic increases in the limb fluxes occur from minimum to maximum, ranging from factors of 14 to 21 in the two lines. Two different techniques to predict the epoch of solar maximum have been applied to the Fe XIV data, resulting in estimates of April 1989 (plus or minus 1 mo) and May 1990 (plus or minus 2 mos).

Altrock, Richard C.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Observations of hysteresis in solar cycle variations among seven solar activity indicators

We show that smoothed time series of 7 indices of solar activity exhibit significant solar cycle dependent differences in their relative variations during the past 20 years. In some cases these observed hysteresis patterns start to repeat over more than one solar cycle, giving evidence that this is a normal feature of solar variability. Among the indices we study, we find that the hysteresis effects are approximately simple phase shifts, and we quantify these phase shifts in terms of lag times behind the leading index, the International Sunspot Number. Our measured lag times range from less than one month to greater than four months and can be much larger than lag times estimated from short-term variations of these same activity indices during the emergence and decay of major active regions. We argue that hysteresis represents a real delay in the onset and decline of solar activity and is an important clue in the search for physical processes responsible for changing solar emission at various wavelengths.

Bachmann, Kurt T.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Heliographic latitude dependence of the Sun's irradiance

It has recently been reported that the total radiative emission variations from solar type stars exceeds the currently solar constant variations (from spacecraft over the last decade) by a factor near 4. Aside from other remote alternatives, this suggests three clear possibilities: (1) the Sun may undergo irradiance variations several times larger than any we have seen; (2) our Sun is highly unusual with regard to its radiative output; or (3) our terrestrial position in the heliosphere provides a special vantage point which reduces the observed solar irradiance variations. We investigate the last possibility by considering the influence of observer latitude upon calculated irradiance variations using a simple model for emission from solar contrast features. We consider modeled sunspots, faculae, and network structures. As the latitude angle of the observer rises relative to the heliographic equator, sunspot deficit contributions diminish and facular plus network contributions escalate. We find that the observing latitude can influence the irradiance variations by a factor near 6. When we integrate the irradiance variations, over the celestial sphere, they average to 3 times the terrestrial effect, suggesting that the solar cycle luminosity variations are proportionally, 3 times larger than the solar constant variations. Thus we suggest the Sun's luminosity output varies even more strongly with the solar cycle than is apparent in the solar constant variations. The influence of the observer viewing angle relative to stellar spin axis, studied here, may be possible to investigate with a thorough statistical examination of other type stars. Additionally, the rotational modulation due to active regions (as a function of observer viewing angle) may also be a valuable are for future investigation.

Schatten, Kenneth H.↗

NASA NTRS2010

Interplanetary Shocks Lacking Type 2 Radio Bursts

We report on the radio-emission characteristics of 222 interplanetary (IP) shocks detected by spacecraft at Sun-Earth L1 during solar cycle 23 (1996 to 2006, inclusive). A surprisingly large fraction of the IP shocks (approximately 34%) was radio quiet (RQ; i.e., the shocks lacked type II radio bursts). We examined the properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and soft X-ray flares associated with such RQ shocks and compared them with those of the radio-loud (RL) shocks. The CMEs associated with the RQ shocks were generally slow (average speed approximately 535 km/s) and only approximately 40% of the CMEs were halos. The corresponding numbers for CMEs associated with RL shocks were 1237 km/s and 72%, respectively. Thus, the CME kinetic energy seems to be the deciding factor in the radio-emission properties of shocks. The lower kinetic energy of CMEs associated with RQ shocks is also suggested by the lower peak soft X-ray flux of the associated flares (C3.4 versus M4.7 for RL shocks). CMEs associated with RQ CMEs were generally accelerating within the coronagraph field of view (average acceleration approximately +6.8 m/s (exp 2)), while those associated with RL shocks were decelerating (average acceleration approximately 3.5 m/s (exp 2)). This suggests that many of the RQ shocks formed at large distances from the Sun, typically beyond 10 Rs, consistent with the absence of metric and decameter-hectometric (DH) type II radio bursts. A small fraction of RL shocks had type II radio emission solely in the kilometric (km) wavelength domain. Interestingly, the kinematics of the CMEs associated with the km type II bursts is similar to those of RQ shocks, except that the former are slightly more energetic. Comparison of the shock Mach numbers at 1 AU shows that the RQ shocks are mostly subcritical, suggesting that they were not efficient in accelerating electrons. The Mach number values also indicate that most of these are quasi-perpendicular shocks. The radio-quietness is predominant in the rise phase and decreases through the maximum and declining phases of solar cycle 23. About 18% of the IP shocks do not have discernible ejecta behind them. These shocks are due to CMEs moving at large angles from the Sun-Earth line and hence are not blast waves. The solar sources of the shock-driving CMEs follow the sunspot butterfly diagram, consistent with the higher-energy requirement for driving shocks.

Gopalswamy, N.↗