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Gamma Radiation-Induced Degradation of Acetohydroxamic Acid (AHA) in Aqueous Nitrate and Nitric Acid Solutions Evaluated by Multiscale Modelling

Acetohydroxamic acid (AHA) has been proposed for inclusion in advanced, single-cycle, used nuclear fuel reprocessing solvent systems for the reduction and complexation of plutonium and neptunium ions. For this application, a detailed description of the degradation of AHA in dilute aqueous nitric acid is required. To this end, we present a comprehensive, multiscale computer model for the coupled radiolytic and hydrolytic degradation of AHA in aqueous sodium nitrate and nitric acid solutions. Rate coefficients for the reactions of AHA and HA with the oxidizing nitrate radical were measured for the first time using pulsed electron radiolysis and used as inputs in the kinetic model. The computer model results are validated by comparison to experimental data from steady state gamma irradiations, for which the agreement is excellent. Here, the presented model accurately predicts the yields of the major degradation products of AHA: acetic acid, hydroxylamine, nitrous oxide, and molecular hydrogen.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Direct Electrical Detection of Iodine Gas by a Novel Metal–Organic-Framework-Based Sensor

High-fidelity detection of iodine species is of utmost importance to the safety of the population in cases of nuclear accidents or advanced nuclear fuel reprocessing. In this paper, we describe the success at using impedance spectroscopy to directly detect the real-time adsorption of I 2 by a metal–organic framework zeolitic imidazolate framework (ZIF)-8-based sensor. Methanolic suspensions of ZIF-8 were dropcast onto platinum interdigitated electrodes, dried, and exposed to gaseous I 2 at 25, 40, or 70 °C. Using an unoptimized sensor geometry, I 2 was readily detected at 25 °C in air within 720 s of exposure. The specific response is attributed to the chemical selectivity of the ZIF-8 toward I 2 . Furthermore, equivalent circuit modeling of the impedance data indicates a >10 5 × decrease in ZIF-8 resistance when 116 wt % I 2 is adsorbed by ZIF-8 at 70 °C in air. This irreversible decrease in resistance is accompanied by an irreversible loss in the long-range crystallinity, as evidenced by X-ray diffraction and infrared spectroscopy. Air, argon, methanol, and water were found to produce minimal changes in ZIF-8 impedance. Finally, this report demonstrates how selective I 2 adsorption by ZIF-8 can be leveraged to create a highly selective sensor using >10 5 × changes in impedance response to enable the direct electrical detection of environmentally relevant gaseous toxins.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Off-Gas Adsorption Model Capabilities and Recommendations

Off-gas treatment is required to reduce emissions from aqueous fuel reprocessing. Evaluating the products of innovative gas adsorption research requires increased computational simulation capability to more effectively transition from fundamental research to operational design. Early modeling efforts produced the Off-Gas SeParation and REcoverY (OSPREY) model that, while efficient in terms of computation time, was of limited value for complex systems. However, the computational and programming lessons learned in development of the initial model were used to develop Discontinuous Galerkin OSPREY (DGOSPREY), a more effective model. Initial comparisons between OSPREY and DGOSPREY show that, while OSPREY does reasonably well to capture the initial breakthrough time, it displays far too much numerical dispersion to accurately capture the real shape of the breakthrough curves. DGOSPREY is a much better tool as it utilizes a more stable set of numerical methods. In addition, DGOSPREY has shown the capability to capture complex, multispecies adsorption behavior, while OSPREY currently only works for a single adsorbing species. This capability makes DGOSPREY ultimately a more practical tool for real world simulations involving many different gas species. While DGOSPREY has initially performed very well, there is still need for improvement. The current state of DGOSPREY does not include any micro-scale adsorption kinetics and therefore assumes instantaneous adsorption. This is a major source of error in predicting water vapor breakthrough because the kinetics of that adsorption mechanism is particularly slow. However, this deficiency can be remedied by building kinetic kernels into DGOSPREY. Another source of error in DGOSPREY stems from data gaps in single species, such as Kr and Xe, isotherms. Since isotherm data for each gas is currently available at a single temperature, the model is unable to predict adsorption at temperatures outside of the set of data currently available. Thus, in order to improve the predictive capabilities of the model, there is a need for more single-species adsorption isotherms at different temperatures, in addition to extending the model to include adsorption kinetics. This report provides background information about the modeling process and a path forward for further model improvement in terms of accuracy and user interface.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The Rise and Fall of ASASSN-18pg: Following a TDE from Early to Late Times

Here, we present nearly 500 days of observations of the tidal disruption event (TDE) ASASSN-18pg, spanning from 54 days before peak light to 441 days after peak light. Our data set includes X-ray, UV, and optical photometry, optical spectroscopy, radio observations, and the first published spectropolarimetric observations of a TDE. ASASSN-18pg was discovered on 2018 July 11 by the All-Sky Automated Survey for Supernovae (ASAS-SN) at a distance of $\textit{d}$ = 78.6 Mpc; with a peak UV magnitude of $\textit{m}$ ≃ 14, it is both one of the nearest and brightest TDEs discovered to-date. The photometric data allow us to track both the rise to peak and the long-term evolution of the TDE. ASASSN-18pg peaked at a luminosity of $\textit{L}$ ≃ 2.4 × 10 44 erg s -1 , and its late-time evolution is shallower than a flux ∝$\textit{t}^{–5/3}$ power-law model, similar to what has been seen in other TDEs. ASASSN-18pg exhibited Balmer lines and spectroscopic features consistent with Bowen fluorescence prior to peak, which remained detectable for roughly 225 days after peak. Analysis of the two-component Hα profile indicates that, if they are the result of reprocessing of emission from the accretion disk, the different spectroscopic lines may be coming from regions between ~10 and ~60 lt-days from the black hole. No X-ray emission is detected from the TDE, and there is no evidence of a jet or strong outflow detected in the radio. Our spectropolarimetric observations indicate that the projected emission region is likely not significantly aspherical, with the projected emission region having an axis ratio of ≳0.65.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Space telescope and optical reverberation mapping project. III. Optical continuum emission and broadband time delays in NGC 5548

We present ground-based optical photometric monitoring data for NGC 5548, part of an extended multiwavelength reverberation mapping campaign. The light curves have nearly daily cadence from 2014 January to July in nine filters (BVRI and ugriz). Combined with ultraviolet data from the Hubble Space Telescope and Swift, we confirm significant time delays between the continuum bands as a function of wavelength, extending the wavelength coverage from 1158 Å to the z band (∼9160 Å). We find that the lags at wavelengths longer than the V band are equal to or greater than the lags of high-ionization-state emission lines (such as He ii λ1640 and λ4686), suggesting that the continuum-emitting source is of a physical size comparable to the inner broad-line region (BLR). The trend of lag with wavelength is broadly consistent with the prediction for continuum reprocessing by an accretion disk with τ∝λ{sup 4/3}. However, the lags also imply a disk radius that is 3 times larger than the prediction from standard thin-disk theory, assuming that the bolometric luminosity is 10% of the Eddington luminosity (L=0.1L{sub Edd}). Using optical spectra from the Large Binocular Telescope, we estimate the bias of the interband continuum lags due to BLR emission observed in the filters. We find that the bias for filters with high levels of BLR contamination (∼20%) can be important for the shortest continuum lags and likely has a significant impact on the u and U bands owing to Balmer continuum emission.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Space Telescope and Optical Reverberation Mapping Project. III. Optical Continuum Emission and Broadband Time Delays in NGC 5548

We present ground-based optical photometric monitoring data for NGC 5548, part of an extended multiwavelength reverberation mapping campaign. The light curves have nearly daily cadence from 2014 January to July in ninefilters (BVRI and ugriz). Combined with ultraviolet data from the Hubble Space Telescope and Swift, we confirm significant time delays between the continuum bands as a function of wavelength, extending the wavelength coverage from 1158 Angstrom to the z band (approximately 9160 angstrom). We find that the lags at wavelengths longer than the V band are equal to or greater than the lags of high-ionization-state emission lines (such as He pi lambdal1640 and lambda 4686), suggesting that the continuum-emitting source is of a physical size comparable to the inner broad-line region (BLR). The trend of lag with wavelength is broadly consistent with the prediction for continuum reprocessing by an accretion disk with (tau varies as lambda(exp 4/3)). However, the lags also imply a disk radius that is 3 times larger than the prediction from standardthin-disk theory, assuming that the bolometric luminosity is 10 percent of the Eddington luminosity (L 0.1L(sub Edd)).Using optical spectra from the Large Binocular Telescope, we estimate the bias of the interband continuum lagsdue to BLR emission observed in the filters. We find that the bias for filters with high levels of BLR contamination(20 percent) can be important for the shortest continuum lags and likely has a significant impact on the u and U bandsowing to Balmer continuum emission.

galaxies: active – galaxies: individual (NGC 554↗

Aging Processes of Silver Mordenite and Silver Functionalized Aerogel in Dry Air, Humid Air and NO/N{sub 2}

One major problem in the treatment of nuclear-fuel reprocessing off-gas streams is the loss of capacity of the adsorbents exposed to off-gas streams containing air, I{sub 2} vapor, H{sub 2}O vapor, NO and NO{sub 2} over extended periods of time. These aging processes decrease the adsorption capacity of the reduced silver exchanged mordenite (Ag{sup 0}Z) and silver functionalized silica aerogel (Ag{sup 0}-aerogel) columns during the long processing time of iodine adsorption. Significant work has been performed over the past few years at ORNL on Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}-aerogel aging. The Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}-aerogel were aged in 4 different gas streams at 150 deg. C for periods of time up to 6 months. The aging samples were then loaded with I{sub 2} to determine the capacity loss after the aging. The results are summaries in Tab. 1. It was found that both Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}-aerogel had different amounts of capacity loss in different gases. For example, 40% and 22% capacity loss were observed for Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}-aerogel when aged in dry air for 6 months, while 78% and 43% capacity loss were observed when aged in 1% NO{sub 1} for 2 months. In addition, it was found that Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}-aerogel had a different capacity loss when aged at the same conditions. For example, after aged in 2% NO{sub 2} for 2 months, Ag{sup 0}Z lost 30% iodine capacity, but there was no capacity loss for Ag{sup 0}- aerogel. The differences in capacity loss should be due to different aging processes occurred when Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}- aerogel were exposed to different gases. The mechanisms of the aging processes have not been determined and need to be studied with proper chemical and physical characterization methods. Towards this objective, experimental work is proposed and on-going to obtain data to determine the mechanisms of the aging processes of Ag{sup 0}Z and Ag{sup 0}-aerogel in different aging gas streams. In addition, models will be developed to describe the deactivation process of the adsorbents when exposed to off gases. The deactivation model will be included in the transport models for predicting the adsorption processes over these long-time periods.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A High Signal-To-Noise Ultraviolet Spectrum of NGC 7469: New Support for Reprocessing of Continuum Radiation

From 1996 June 10 to 1996 July 29, the International AGN Watch monitored the Seyfert 1 galaxy NGC 7469 using the International Ultraviolet Explorer, the Rossi X-Ray Timing Explorer, and a network of ground-based observatories. On 1996 June 18, in the midst of this intensive monitoring period, we obtained a high signal-to-noise snapshot of the UV spectrum from 1150 to 3300 A, using the Faint Object Spectrograph (FOS) on the Hubble Space Telescope. This spectrum allows us to disentangle the UV continuum more accurately from the broad wings of the emission lines, to identify clean continuum windows free of contaminating emission and absorption, and to deblend line complexes such as Ly(alpha) + N V, C IV + He II + O III], Si III] + C III], and Mg II + Fe II. Using the FOS spectrum as a template, we have fitted and extracted line and continuum fluxes from the IUE monitoring data. The cleaner continuum extractions c o n h the discovery of time delays between the different UV continuum bands by Wanders et al. Our new measurements show delays increasing with wavelength for continuum bands centered at 1485, 1740, and 1825 A, relative to 1315 A with delays of 0.09, 0.28, and 0.36 days, respectively. Like many other Seyfert I galaxies, the UV spectrum of NGC 7469 shows intrinsic, blue-shifted absorption in Ly(alpha), N V, and C IV. Soft X-ray absorption is also visible in archival ASCA X-ray spectra. The strength of the UV absorption, however, is not compatible with a single-zone model in which the same material absorbs both the UV and X-ray light. Similar to other Seyfert galaxies, such as NGC 3516, the UV-absorbing gas in NGC 7469 has a lower ionization parameter and column density than the X-ray-absorbing material. While the UV and X-ray absorption does not arise in the same material, the frequent occurrence of both associated UV absorption and X-ray warm absorbers in the same galaxies suggests that the gas supply for each has a common origin.

Kriss, Gerard A.↗

Improvements of On-orbit Characterization of Terra MODIS Short-wave Infrared Spectral Bands Out-of-Band Responses

The short-wave infrared (SWIR) bands (5-7, 26) of Terra MODIS, which are co-located with the mid-wav e infrared (MWIR) bands (20-25) on the short and mid-wave infrared (SMIR) Focal Plane Assembly (FPA),have a known issue related to 5.3 μm out-of-band (OOB) thermal leak and electronic crosstalk that was identified prelaunch. As a result, a crosstalk correction algorithm was designed and implemented in the MODIS Level 1B (L1B) calibration. Shortly after the Terra launch, extensive efforts were under taken to help characterize and mitigate the impact due to the OOB response and crosstalk on the SWIR on-orbit calibration and, consequently, the associated L1Bdata products. In addition, special night time day mode (NTDM) operations have been regularly scheduled to derive the crosstalk correction coefficients. Since MODIS does not have a spectral band centered at 5.3 μm, its band 28 (7.325 μm) was chosen as the surrogate sending band to simulate the OOB radiances at 5.3 μm. This was largely based on the measurements from the MODIS Airborne Simulator (MAS) spectrometer field campaigns in the early months after the Terra launch. In the case of Aqua MODIS, the magnitude of the SWIR crosstalk was much smaller and band 25 (4.52 μm) was found to be more effective as the sending band for the crosstalk correction. In recent years, the Terra MODIS photovoltaic (PV) long-wave infrared (LWIR) bands (27-30)electronic crosstalk has increased considerably, especially after the spacecraft safe-mode event occurred in February2016. This accentuated degradation in the PV LWIR performance has also impacted the performance of the SWIR crosstalk correction and thus its calibration and data quality. In this paper, we examine the use of band 25 as the sending band for the Terra MODIS SWIR crosstalk correction and compare its performance with that based on band 28 as the sending band. Results indicate an improvement of on-orbit gain stability for the SWIR calibration and reduced detector to detector and sub-frame to sub-frame striping in the calibrated L1B imagery, especially during the period when the PV LWIR electronic crosstalk has become more severe. This approach has been implemented in the forward production of Terra MODIS Collection 6 and Collection 6.1,starting from July 2019, and is planned to be used for the future reprocessing of MODIS L1B and to help improve the mission-long reflectance calibration and trending stability of the SWIR bands.

MODIS, Terra, Aqua, MODIS, SWIR, calibration, out-↗

The orbital period of 4U/MXB 1636-53 (V801 Arae)

The results of CCD photometry of the optical counterpart (V801 Arae) of the X-ray burst source 4U/MXB 1636-53, obtained between 1984 and 1988 are reported. From these data, and additional measurements discussed previously, a linear orbital ephemeris P(orb) = 3.803878 + or - 0.000022 h covering the interval between 1980 and 1988 is derived. The results confirm that substantial night-to-night variations occur in the shape of the light curve, superposed on the periodic brightness variations. No evidence is found for a relation between orbital phase and the delays of optical bursts relative to the coincident X-ray bursts. The variation with orbital phase of the corresponding ratios of optical to X-ray burst fluences and peak fluxes does not follow the average optical light curve. These results suggest that substantial long-term changes occur in the spatial distribution of reprocessing matter in the binary system.

Van Paradijs, J.↗

Separation of Actinides from Lanthanides in Molten Fluorides by the Modulated-Current Electrolysis

Recently, the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) is taking a renewed attraction as one of the reactor systems highlighted by the Generation IV International Forum. It is a non-classical (liquid fuel) system which can be operated as a breeder within the {sup 232}Th-{sup 233}U fuel cycle with the very interesting breeding factor. The necessary precondition for its proper functionality is the online reprocessing within the MSR's fuel cycle. A lot of effort is given to the development of the on-line pyrochemical reprocessing technology. Among the processes considered to be suitable for this process, the electrochemical separations are highlighted. Within this context, it is necessary to study electrochemical behavior of both fissile material and fission products in the molten salt systems and to develop the processes of their extraction from the system at various stages of the whole cycle. In this contribution, the study of the electrochemical separation of U from Gd in the LiF-CaF{sub 2} molten system by the modulated current electrolysis is presented. The study of MSR-related electrochemistry will continue as a part of the new Czech MSR R and D program. The knowledge of the electrochemical behavior of actinides and lanthanides in molten fluorides is necessary to the development of any electrochemical separation process. In our previous work, electrochemical characteristics of uranium, thorium, as well as that of several lanthanides, were measured in LiF-BeF{sub 2} (the basic melt considered for the MSR concept) and Be-free melts (LiF-NaFKF, LiF-NaF, LiF-CaF{sub 2}), and added to available literature data. If the fluoride carrier melt is electrochemically stable enough, it is possible to deposit the element of interest in its basic, metallic state (e.g. uranium in all types of fluoride melts tested) by the electrolysis. In the case of insufficient electrochemical stability of the fluoride melt in which the actinides and lanthanides are dissolved for the experiments, it is possible to use a reactive working electrode made of a material which creates alloys with the element to be deposited. An alloying reaction can shift the deposition potential in a favorable direction and therefore achieve the separation of an element from the system. The use of reactive electrode can also improve the adhesion of the deposit. When two or more electroactive species are present in the system at the same time, the efficiency of their separation by an electrolysis depends on how different the deposition potentials of these two species are. If we input certain modulation to the electrolytic current, we can improve overall result of an electrolytic experiment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Savannah River Site HB-Line Plutonium Oxide Production Process Simulation Model - 17458

The AFS II/Plutonium Oxide Production process is in its initial operational phase at the Savannah River Site's (SRS) HB-Line. The process is new for the facility where it is being performed, but the facility itself has been in use on and off for over 50 years. Beginning this process inside the facility has resulted in multiple process delays, due to both equipment issues and process restrictions. In order to better understand the process and to identify ways to improve facility performance, Savannah River Nuclear Solutions (SRNS), in conjuncture with Newport News Shipbuilding (NNS), developed the HB-Line Process Simulation Model. This tool completely replicates the operations that comprise the HB-Line process and simulates all of the constraints associated with the process. The model realistically accounts for the number of personnel required for a process step, the time required for a process step to occur, rules related to the parallel operation of process steps, and realistic equipment and operational delay data. The result is a tool that allows SRNS to test different scenarios for improving the process throughput, while realistically accounting for potential process delays and restrictions. The tool is currently in use and has allowed SRNS to present to their customer, the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), estimated production capabilities over wide-ranging timetables and assumptions. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Adsorption Equilibrium and Modeling of Water Vapor on Reduced and Unreduced Silver-Exchanged Mordenite

This work is related to the removal of tritiated water and radioactive iodine from off-gases released during spent nuclear fuel reprocessing. Specifically, it is focused on the adsorption equilibrium of water on reduced silver mordenite (Ag 0 Z), which is the state-of-art solid adsorbent for iodine retention in the off-gas treatment. As the off-gases contain different gas species, including iodine and water, Ag 0 Z would take up iodine and water simultaneously during the adsorption process. Therefore, understanding the adsorption of water on Ag 0 Z is important and necessary for studying the performance of Ag 0 Z in off-gas treatment processes. The isotherms of water (nonradioactive water) on Ag 0 Z were obtained at temperatures of 25, 40, 60, 100, 150, and 200 °C with a continuous-flow adsorption system. The data were analyzed using the Heterogeneous Langmuir and generalized statistical thermodynamic adsorption (GSTA) models, and thermodynamic parameters of the isotherms were obtained from both models. Both models were found capable of describing the isotherms. Isotherms of water on the unreduced silver mordenite (AgZ) were also obtained at 25, 40, and 60 °C and parametrized by the GSTA model. Through the comparison of the isotherms of Ag 0 Z and AgZ, it was found that Ag 0 Z had a higher water adsorption capacity than AgZ. The comparison of their thermodynamic parameters suggested that the interaction of water molecules with the H + in Ag 0 Z was stronger than that with the Ag + in AgZ.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Does Oxygen Isotopic Heterogeneity in Refractory Inclusions and Their Wark-Lovering Rims Record Nebular Repressing?

Large systematic variations in O-isotopic compositions found within individual mineral layers of rims surrounding Ca-, Al-rich inclusions (CAIs) and at the margins of some CAIs imply formation from distinct environments [e.g., 1-3]. The O-isotope compositions of many CAIs preserve a record of the Solar nebula gas believed to initially be O-16-rich (delta O-17 less than or equal to -25%0) [4-5]. Data from a recent study of the compact Type A Allende CAI, A37, preserve a diffusion profile in the outermost ~70 micrometers of the inclusion and show greater than 25%0 variations in delta O-17 within its ~100 micrometer-thick Wark-Lovering rim (WL-rim) [3]. This and comparable heterogeneity measured in several other CAIs have been explained by isotopic mixing between the O-16-rich Solar reservoir and a second O-16-poor reservoir (probably nebular gas) with a planetary-like isotopic composition, e.g., [1,2,3,6]. However, there is mineralogical and isotopic evidence from the interiors of CAIs, in particular those from Allende, for parent body alteration. At issue is how to distinguish the record of secondary reprocessing in the nebula from that which occurred on the parent body. We have undertaken the task to study a range of CAI types with varying mineralogies, in part, to address this problem.

Simon, J. I.↗

Report on Concepts & Approaches for SSBD for eCHEM

The verification of special nuclear material (SNM) in spent fuel pyroprocessing is an important safeguards challenge. The detection of spontaneous fission (SF) neutrons from curium is an accepted, non-destructive technique that has been applied to verify special nuclear material (SNM) content in used fuel and other materials in the fuel cycle. The nuclear material accounting (NMA) technique at the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute’s Reference Engineering-scale Pyroprocessing Facility (REPF) is based on the Cm balance technique. Several publications have demonstrated the safeguards benefit from using process monitoring (PM) on nuclear facilities as a complementary measure to NMA. More recently, this concept was expanded and preliminarily demonstrated for pyroprocessing. The concept of Signature Based Safeguards (SBS) is part of this expansion, and is built around the interpretation of input from various sensors in a declared facility coupled with complementary NMA methods to increase confidence and lower standard error inventory differences (SEID). The SBS methodology was conceptually developed and relies on near real time analysis of process monitoring data to detect material diversion complemented by robust containment and surveillance (C/S) measures. This work demonstrates one example of how the SBS framework can be used in the electrorefiner. In this SBS application, a combination of cyclic voltammetry (CV) and neutron counting is applied to track and monitor Pu mass balance. The main purpose of this experiment is to determine if meaningful information can be gained from CV measurements with regard to the Mg/Gd ratio. This data will be coupled with ICP-MS to verify Gd concentrations and analyzed for statistical significance. It is expected the CV data will register a significant change under the off-normal operating conditions. Knowing how to identify and interpret those changes may help inform how to target more traditional neutron counting methods, which could support a more efficient safeguards system. The experimental results will be compared with theoretical calculations and the ERAD simulations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

High‐Frequency Intermittency in Observed and Model‐Simulated Precipitation

Abstract A newly reprocessed, bias‐corrected version of hourly satellite observations that provides global coverage of precipitation at high space‐time resolution is evaluated and compared with climate model simulations. Irregular subdaily fluctuations are the dominant component around the world, greater than variance of daily mean precipitation, and much greater than variance associated with the mean diurnal cycle of precipitation. Irregular subdaily fluctuations of precipitation are severely underestimated by models, even after taking into account the observational “error bars” implied by different space‐time resolutions. Variance of daily mean precipitation is less severely underestimated. Although mean diurnal cycle amplitudes vary among the models, this component is but a small part of total precipitation variance. Therefore, the total precipitation variance is significantly underestimated by models in general. Further exploration of model‐data discrepancies in precipitation at high‐time frequency may lead to new and useful climate model diagnostics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

GPS Monitoring of Surface Change During and Following the Fortuitous Occurrence of the M(sub w) = 7.3 Landers Earthquake in our Network

Accomplishments: (1) Continues GPS monitoring of surface change during and following the fortuitous occurrence of the M(sub w) = 7.3 Landers earthquake in our network, in order to characterize earthquake dynamics and accelerated activity of related faults as far as 100's of kilometers along strike. (2) Integrates the geodetic constraints into consistent kinematic descriptions of the deformation field that can in turn be used to characterize the processes that drive geodynamics, including seismic cycle dynamics. In 1991, we installed and occupied a high precision GPS geodetic network to measure transform-related deformation that is partitioned from the Pacific - North America plate boundary northeastward through the Mojave Desert, via the Eastern California shear zone to the Walker Lane. The onset of the M(sub w) = 7.3 June 28, 1992, Landers, California, earthquake sequence within this network poses unique opportunities for continued monitoring of regional surface deformation related to the culmination of a major seismic cycle, characterization of the dynamic behavior of continental lithosphere during the seismic sequence, and post-seismic transient deformation. During the last year, we have reprocessed all three previous epochs for which JPL fiducial free point positioning products available and are queued for the remaining needed products, completed two field campaigns monitoring approx. 20 sites (October 1995 and September 1996), begun modeling by development of a finite element mesh based on network station locations, and developed manuscripts dealing with both the Landers-related transient deformation at the latitude of Lone Pine and the velocity field of the whole experiment. We are currently deploying a 1997 observation campaign (June 1997). We use GPS geodetic studies to characterize deformation in the Mojave Desert region and related structural domains to the north, and geophysical modeling of lithospheric behavior. The modeling is constrained by our existing and continued GPS measurements, which will provide much needed data on far-field strain accumulation across the region and on the deformational response of continental lithosphere during and following a large earthquake, forming the basis for kinematic and dynamic modeling of secular and seismic-cycle deformation. GPS geodesy affords both regional coverage and high precision that uniquely bear on these problems.

Miller, M. Meghan↗

Continuum Reverberation Mapping of the Accretion Disks in Two Seyfert 1 Galaxies

We present optical continuum lags for two Seyfert 1 galaxies, MCG+08-11-011 and NGC 2617, using monitoring data from a reverberation mapping campaign carried out in 2014. Our light curves span the ugriz filters over four months, with median cadences of 1.0 and 0.6 days for MCG+08-11-011 and NGC 2617, respectively, combined with roughly daily X-ray and near-UV data from Swift for NGC 2617. We find lags consistent with geometrically thin accretion-disk models that predict a lag-wavelength relation of τ ∝ λ 4/3 . However, the observed lags are larger than predictions based on standard thin-disk theory by factors of 3.3 for MCG+08-11-011 and 2.3 for NGC 2617. Furthermore, these differences can be explained if the mass accretion rates are larger than inferred from the optical luminosity by a factor of 4.3 in MCG+08-11-011 and a factor of 1.3 in NGC 2617, although uncertainty in the SMBH masses determines the significance of this result. While the X-ray variability in NGC 2617 precedes the UV/optical variability, the long (2.6 day) lag is problematic for coronal reprocessing models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗