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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 469 records · Page 26
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

OzDES reverberation mapping program: Lag recovery reliability for 6-yr C iv analysis

ABSTRACT We present the statistical methods that have been developed to analyse the OzDES reverberation mapping sample. To perform this statistical analysis we have created a suite of customizable simulations that mimic the characteristics of each source in the OzDES sample. These characteristics include: the variability in the photometric and spectroscopic light curves, the measurement uncertainties, and the observational cadence. By simulating the sources in the OzDES sample that contain the C iv emission line, we developed a set of criteria that rank the reliability of a recovered time-lag depending on the agreement between different recovery methods, the magnitude of the uncertainties, and the rate at which false positives were found in the simulations. These criteria were applied to simulated light curves and these results used to estimate the quality of the resulting Radius–Luminosity relation. We grade the results using three quality levels (gold, silver, and bronze). The input slope of the R–L relation was recovered within 1σ for each of the three quality samples, with the gold standard having the lowest dispersion with a recovered a R–L relation slope of 0.454 ± 0.016 with an input slope of 0.47. Future work will apply these methods to the entire OzDES sample of 771 AGN.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS1987

UV flux distributions of novalike variables

Previous estimates of distance, reddening, orbital inclination, and white dwarf mass for a sample of nine nova-like cataclysmic variables are presented, along with their representative IUE fluxes. Blackbody and Kurucz (1979) model atmosphere fluxes are used to construct sequences of model accretion disk spectra. It is found that the Kurucz-type accretion disk models do not reproduce simultaneously the UV flux level and color.

Wade, Richard A.↗
DOE OSTI2017

Analyzing the Effect of Ocean Internal Variability on Depth-Integrated Steric Sea-Level Rise Trends Using a Low-Resolution CESM Ensemble

Ocean heat uptake is a key indicator of climate change, in part because it contributes to sea-level rise. Quantifying the uncertainties surrounding ocean heat uptake and sea-level rise are important in assessing climate-related risks. Here, comprehensive global climate model ensembles are used to evaluate uncertainties surrounding decadal trends in depth-integrated global steric sea-level rise due to thermal expansion of the ocean. Results are presented against observational estimates, which are used as a guide to the state of recent literature. The first ensemble uses the Community Earth System Model (CESM), which samples the effects of internal variability within the coupled Earth system including contributions from the sub-surface ocean. We compare and contrast these results with an ensemble based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), which samples the combined effects of structural model differences and internal variability. The effects of both internal variability and structural model differences contribute substantially to uncertainties in modeled steric sea-level trends for recent decades, and the magnitude of these effects varies with depth. The 95% range in total sea-level rise trends across the CESM ensemble is 0.151 mm·year –1 for 1957–2013, while this range is 0.895 mm·year –1 for CMIP5. These ranges increase during the more recent decade of 2005–2015 to 0.509 mm·year –1 and 1.096 mm·year –1 for CESM and CMIP5, respectively. The uncertainties are amplified for regional assessments, highlighting the importance of both internal variability and structural model differences when considering uncertainties surrounding modeled sea-level trends. Results can potentially provide useful constraints on estimations of global and regional sea-level variability, in particular for areas with few observations such as the deep ocean and Southern Hemisphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Tracking of Nuclear Cable Insulation Polymer Structural Changes using the Gel Fraction and Uptake Factor Method

Cross-linked polyethylene (XLPE) cable insulation samples were exposed to heat and gamma radiation at a series of temperatures, dose rates, and exposure times to evaluate the effects of these variables on material degradation. The samples were tested using the solvent incubation method to collect gel fraction and uptake factor data in order to assess the crosslinking and chain scission occurring in polymer samples with aging. Consistent with previous reports, gel fraction values were observed to increase and uptake factor values to decrease with radiation and thermal exposure. The trends seen were also more prominent as exposure time increased, suggesting this to be a viable method of tracking structural changes in the XLPE-insulated cable material over extended periods. For the conditions explored, the cable insulation material evaluated did not indicate signs of anomalous aging such as inverse temperature effect in which radiation-induced aging is more severe at lower temperature. Ongoing aging under identical radiation conditions and at lower temperature will further inform conclusions regarding the importance of inverse temperature effects for this material under these conditions.

cable aging↗
NASA NTRS2018

Reworking and Diagenesis of Martian Soil: Pathway to Murray Formation Sediments?

In Gale crater, the Curiosity Mars rover has climbed over 300 meters of the Murray formation from the base of the Pahrump Hills to the crest of Vera Rubin Ridge. We discuss the possibility that fine-grained mudstone of the Murray formation is a diagenetic product of sediments with a chemical and mineralogical composition similar to present-day martian soil. Typical (low Ca-sulfate) Murray samples have Na2O, Al2O3, SiO2, SO3, TiO2 and FeOT concentrations within 10% (relative) of average martian soil. These oxides constitute ~85% of each sample. The Al/Si and Ti/Si ratios of Murray samples are comparable to average martian soil but distinct from other martian geologic units. Percentage difference in P2O5, Cl, K2O, Cr2O3, MnO, Ni, Zn, Br, and Ge between soil and Murray samples generally exceed 10%, but these elements and oxides amount to less than 4% of the samples. These constituents are highly variable in Murray mudstone and may reflect mobility in fluid interactions. Large discrepancies in MgO and CaO with ~50% lower concentrations in the Murray samples (~2% absolute differences) are indicative of open-system alteration if the Murray mudstone originated from soil-like material. Mineralogically, martian soil is dominated by plagioclase feldspar, pyroxenes, and olivine with minor hematite, magnetite, and Ca-sulfate. In comparison, Murray samples generally have less feldspar and pyroxene, little to no olivine, more iron oxides and Ca-sulfates, and Fe-containing phyllosilicates. If Murray mudstone originated from a Mars soil composition, aqueous alteration could have converted olivine and pyroxenes to iron oxides and phyllosilicates. Intermixed or zoned plagioclase feldspars could have lost a larger portion of calcic constituents, consistent with susceptibility to weathering, resulting in a change from ~An55 (soil) to ~An40 (Murray). This alteration could be consistent with the major element chemistry, including the small decrease in MgO and CaO. A subsequent influx of minor/trace elements and Ca-sulfate, e.g. from groundwater, would be required. In this diagenetic scenario, the bulk of the alteration would have been nearly isochemical, suggesting limited mineral segregation and aqueous alteration during transport from the drainage basin or a significant direct aeolian contribution to the Murray sediments.

Yen, Albert S.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Sampling analysis for the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite System mission based on orbital coverage and cloud variability

It is pointed out that accurate computation of the earth's radiation budget from satellite measurements requires spatial and temporal sampling which accounts for variations in cloud and surface conditions. It is in this connection important that cloud radiative properties and areal cloud cover be accurately determined for the desired time period. The reported investigation represents an extension of a study by Harrison et al. (1976). The time and space coverage capabilities of various sampling schemes are analyzed for the proposed Earth Radiation Budget Satellite System. The effects of cloud cover variability on the measured monthly mean reflected shortwave (0.2-5.0 micrometers) irradiance are also analyzed for several spatial scales.

Harrison, E. F.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Development of improved space sampling strategies for ocean chemical properties: Total carbon dioxide and dissolved nitrate

Large-scale ocean observing programs such as the Joint Global Ocean Flux Study (JGOFS) and the World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) today, must face the problem of designing an adequate sampling strategy. For ocean chemical variables, the goals and observing technologies are quite different from ocean physical variables (temperature, salinity, pressure). We have recently acquired data on the ocean CO2 properties on WOCE cruises P16c and P17c that are sufficiently dense to test for sampling redundancy. We use linear and quadratic interpolation methods on the sampled field to investigate what is the minimum number of samples required to define the deep ocean total inorganic carbon (TCO2) field within the limits of experimental accuracy (+/- 4 micromol/kg). Within the limits of current measurements, these lines were oversampled in the deep ocean. Should the precision of the measurement be improved, then a denser sampling pattern may be desirable in the future. This approach rationalizes the efficient use of resources for field work and for estimating gridded (TCO2) fields needed to constrain geochemical models.

Goyet, Catherine↗
NASA NTRS2012

Variability Selected Low-Luminosity Active Galactic Nuclei in the 4 Ms Chandra Deep Field-South

The 4 Ms Chandra Deep Field-South (CDF-S) and other deep X-ray surveys have been highly effective at selecting active galactic nuclei (AGN). However, cosmologically distant low-luminosity AGN (LLAGN) have remained a challenge to identify due to significant contribution from the host galaxy. We identify long-term X ray variability (approx. month years, observed frame) in 20 of 92 CDF-S galaxies spanning redshifts approx equals 00.8 - 1.02 that do not meet other AGN selection criteria. We show that the observed variability cannot be explained by X-ray binary populations or ultraluminous X-ray sources, so the variability is most likely caused by accretion onto a supermassive black hole. The variable galaxies are not heavily obscured in general, with a stacked effective power-law photon index of Gamma(sub Stack) approx equals 1.93 +/- 0.13, and arc therefore likely LLAGN. The LLAGN tend to lie it factor of approx equal 6-89 below the extrapolated linear variability-luminosity relation measured for luminous AGN. This may he explained by their lower accretion rates. Variability-independent black-hole mass and accretion-rate estimates for variable galaxies show that they sample a significantly different black hole mass-accretion-rate space, with masses a factor of 2.4 lower and accretion rates a factor of 22.5 lower than variable luminous AGNs at the same redshift. We find that an empirical model based on a universal broken power-law power spectral density function, where the break frequency depends on SMBH mass and accretion rate, roughly reproduces the shape, but not the normalization, of the variability-luminosity trends measured for variable galaxies and more luminous AGNs.

Young, M.↗
NASA NTRS2017

3D Material Response Analysis of PICA Pyrolysis Experiments

The PICA decomposition experiments of Bessire and Minton are investigated using 3D material response analysis. The steady thermoelectric equations have been added to the CHAR code to enable analysis of the Joule-heated experiments and the DAKOTA optimization code is used to define the voltage boundary condition that yields the experimentally observed temperature response. This analysis has identified a potential spatial non-uniformity in the PICA sample temperature driven by the cooled copper electrodes and thermal radiation from the surface of the test article (Figure 1). The non-uniformity leads to a variable heating rate throughout the sample volume that has an effect on the quantitative results of the experiment. Averaging the results of integrating a kinetic reaction mechanism with the heating rates seen across the sample volume yield a shift of peak species production to lower temperatures that is more significant for higher heating rates (Figure 2) when compared to integrating the same mechanism at the reported heating rate. The analysis supporting these conclusions will be presented along with a proposed analysis procedure that permits quantitative use of the existing data. Time permitting, a status on the in-development kinetic decomposition mechanism based on this data will be presented as well.

Oliver, A. Brandon↗
DOE OSTI2018

Incremental nonnegative matrix factorization based on correlation and graph regularization for matrix completion

Matrix factorization is widely used in recommendation systems, text mining, face recognition and computer vision. As one of the most popular methods, nonnegative matrix factorization and its incremental variants have attracted much attention. The existing incremental algorithms are established based on the assumption of samples are independent and only update the new latent variable of weighting coefficient matrix when the new sample comes, which may lead to inferior solutions. To address this issue, we investigate a novel incremental nonnegative matrix factorization algorithm based on correlation and graph regularizer (ICGNMF). The correlation is mainly used for finding out those correlated rows to be updated, that is, we assume that samples are dependent on each other. We derive the updating rules for ICGNMF by considering the correlation. We also present tests on widely used image datasets, and show ICGNMF reduces the error by comparing other methods.

Zhang, Xiaoxia↗
DOE OSTI2025

Back trajectories for TBS flights (c1-level)

The ARMTRAJ VAP provides four trajectory datasets initialized at ARM deployment coordinates and configured using ARM datasets. The four trajectory datasets support aerosol, cloud, and planetary boundary layer research. Trajectory calculations use the HYSPLIT model informed by the ERA5 reanalysis dataset at its highest spatial resolution (~31 km). For each sample in each of the four datasets, HYSPLIT will also be run at multiple starting locations surrounding ARM deployments, enabling an ensemble of runs from which the mean and variability (estimated uncertainty) of each sample's trajectory coordinates, thermodynamic properties, or other fields will be reported.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2011

Analysis of Mars Analogue Soil Samples Using Solid-Phase Microextraction, Organic Solvent Extraction and Gas Chromatography/Mass Spectrometry

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are robust and abundant molecules in extraterrestrial environments. They are found ubiquitously in the interstellar medium and have been identified in extracts of meteorites collected on Earth. PAHs are important target molecules for planetary exploration missions that investigate the organic inventory of planets, moons and small bodies. This study is part of an interdisciplinary preparation phase to search for organic molecules and life on Mars. We have investigated PAH compounds in desert soils to determine their composition, distribution and stability. Soil samples (Mars analogue soils) were collected at desert areas of Utah in the vicinity of the Mars Desert Research Station (MDRS), in the Arequipa region in Peru and from the Jutland region of Denmark. The aim of this study was to optimize the solid-phase microextraction (SPME) method for fast screening and determination of PAHs in soil samples. This method minimizes sample handling and preserves the chemical integrity of the sample. Complementary liquid extraction was used to obtain information on five- and six-ring PAH compounds. The measured concentrations of PAHs are, in general, very low, ranging from 1 to 60 ng g(sup -1). The texture of soils is mostly sandy loam with few samples being 100% silt. Collected soils are moderately basic with pH values of 8-9 except for the Salten Skov soil, which is slightly acidic. Although the diverse and variable microbial populations of the samples at the sample sites might have affected the levels and variety of PAHs detected, SPME appears to be a rapid, viable field sampling technique with implications for use on planetary missions.

Orzechowska, G. E.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Conformational space exploration of cryo-EM structures by variability refinement

Cryo-EM observation of biological samples enables visualization of sample heterogeneity, in the form of discrete states that are separable, or continuous heterogeneity as a result of local protein motion before flash freezing. Variability analysis of this continuous heterogeneity describes the variance between a particle stack and a volume, and results in a map series describing the various steps undertaken by the sample in the particle stack. While this observation is absolutely stunning, it is very hard to pinpoint structural details to elements of the maps. Here, in order to bridge the gap between observation and explanation, we designed a tool that refines an ensemble of structures into all the maps from variability analysis. Using this bundle of structures, it is easy to spot variable parts of the structure, as well as the parts that are not moving. Comparison with molecular dynamics simulations highlights the fact that the movements follow the same directions, albeit with different amplitudes. Ligand can also be investigated using this method. Variability refinement is available in the Phenix software suite, accessible under the program name phenix.varref.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Processing Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties in Experimental Data From Sparse Replicate Tests of Stochastic Systems for Real-Space Model Validation

This paper presents a practical methodology for propagating and processing uncertainties associated with random measurement and estimation errors (that vary from test-to-test) and systematic measurement and estimation errors (uncertain but similar from test-to-test) in inputs and outputs of replicate tests to characterize response variability of stochastically varying test units. Also treated are test condition control variability from test-to-test and sampling uncertainty due to limited numbers of replicate tests. These aleatory variabilities and epistemic uncertainties result in uncertainty on computed statistics of output response quantities. The methodology was developed in the context of processing experimental data for “real-space” (RS) model validation comparisons against model-predicted statistics and uncertainty thereof. The methodology is flexible and sufficient for many types of experimental and data uncertainty, offering the most extensive data uncertainty quantification (UQ) treatment of any model validation method the authors are aware of. It handles both interval and probabilistic uncertainty descriptions and can be performed with relatively little computational cost through use of simple and effective dimension- and order-adaptive polynomial response surfaces in a Monte Carlo (MC) uncertainty propagation approach. A key feature of the progressively upgraded response surfaces is that they enable estimation of propagation error contributed by the surrogate model. Sensitivity analysis of the relative contributions of the various uncertainty sources to the total uncertainty of statistical estimates is also presented. Finally, the methodologies are demonstrated on real experimental validation data involving all the mentioned sources and types of error and uncertainty in five replicate tests of pressure vessels heated and pressurized to failure. Simple spreadsheet procedures are used for all processing operations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
NASA NTRS1978

Sampling analysis for the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite System mission based on orbital coverage and cloud variability

The reported study represents an extension of an investigation by Harrison et al. (1976). Based on the results of sampling studies, two 98 deg inclined orbits coupled with a 56 deg inclination orbit appear to satisfy the science requirements on both regional and zonal scales. The NOAA sun-synchronous satellites in the TIROS-N series could adequately cover the high latitudes and a satellite having an inclination of 56 deg could provide sampling in the mid and low latitude areas where variations in radiation energetics are most dynamic. Attention is given to studies of time and space coverage, zonal evaluations, a regional analysis, and statistics describing the regional variations of cloud cover. A table is presented with data concerning the uncertainty of monthly mean reflected irradiance due to cloud variability for selected northern hemisphere regions.

Harrison, E. F.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Autonomous organic synthesis for redox flow batteries via flexible batch Bayesian optimization

Traditional trial-and-error methods for materials discovery are inefficient to meet the urgent demands posed by the rapid progression of climate change. This urgency has driven the increasing interest in integrating robotics and machine learning into materials research to accelerate experimental learning. However, idealized decision-making frameworks to achieve maximum sampling efficiency are not always compatible with high-throughput experimental workflows inside a laboratory. For multi-step chemical processes, differences in hardware capacities can complicate the digital framework by introducing constraints on the maximum number of samples in each step of the experiment, hence causing varying batch sizes in variable selection within the same batch. Therefore, designing flexible sampling algorithms is necessary to accommodate the multi-step synthesis with practical constraints unique to each high-throughput workflow. In this work, we designed and employed three strategies on a high-throughput robotic platform to optimize the sulfonation reaction of redox-active molecules used in flow batteries. Our strategies adapt to the multi-step experimental workflow, where their formulation and heating steps are separate, causing varying batch size requirements. By strategically sampling using clustering and mixed-variable batch Bayesian optimization, we were able to iteratively identify optimal conditions that maximize the yields. Our work presents a flexible approach that allows tailoring the machine learning decision-making to suit the practical constraints in individual high-throughput experimental platforms, followed by performing resource-efficient yield optimization using available open-source Python libraries.

Tamura, Clara [Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (U↗
DOE OSTI2021

Variability in NGC 3201 Giant Stars and Its Impact on Their Spectroscopic [Fe/H] Determination

We present the analysis of 34 light curves in V and I of 17 giant stars in the globular cluster NGC 3201 to check if such stars are variable and if their variability has some kind of impact on the iron abundance as obtained from spectroscopic measurements. First, we computed the generalized Lomb–Scargle and phase dispersion minimization periodograms of the sample to check if the stars were variables. In this way, seven stars of the sample were found to be nonvariable, two stars are considered as possible variables, and eight stars were found to be variable, with periods ranging from 0.0881 ± 0.0001 to 0.5418 ± 0.0027 days. According to the literature, the variables have distinct values of [Fe I/H]: the three most metal-rich stars are in the red giant branch (RGB) stage, one has [Fe I/H] = −1.37 dex, while the other two have [Fe I/H] = −1.31 dex. The two most metal-poor variables have [Fe I/H] = −1.61 dex and [Fe I/H] = −1.62 dex, and are AGB stars; the remaining variables have [Fe I/H] = −1.44, −1.48, and −1.50 dex, the first two being RGB stars while the last is an AGB star. On the other hand, stars that appear to be nonvariable have −1.56 ≤ [Fe I/H] ≤ −1.40. We conclude that variability somehow affects the spectroscopic determination of the iron content of giant stars in NGC 3201, increasing the iron spread of the cluster. If variability is not taken into account, this spread could be incorrectly interpreted as due to an intrinsic iron spread affecting the stars of the cluster.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Characterizing soil water content variability across spatial scales from optimized high-resolution distributed temperature sensing technique

Fiber-optic Distributed Temperature Sensing, when combined with the Single-probe Heat-pulse technique can measure soil moisture (θ) across spatial scales. The key limitation of this system is in obtaining the relationship between soil thermal conductivity (λ) and θ for a specific field. Using the Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) site, this study tested a new methodology to account for the spatial variability in the λ-θ relationship using a Gaussian processes model. The resulting accurate θ measurements (RMSE = 0.03 m 3 m –3 ) were used to characterize the spatial variability of θ across scales and to develop an empirical equation that can correct for the changes in the θ spatial variability observed at different spatial resolutions. In addition, the number of required samples to accurately characterize θ and its variability over scales ranging from 5 m and 350 m were estimated. Finally, these findings provide key information to scale soil moisture from centimeters to hundreds of meters for process understanding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗