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At least 487 records · Page 27

Modeling Flow and Transport in Fractured Rock using Machine Learning [Slides]

Fractured systems in the subsurface play a role in many natural and engineered applications such as geologic carbon sequestration, hydraulic fracturing and underground nuclear test detection. Structural information (fracture size, orientation, etc.) plays a key role in governing the dominant physics for these systems but can only be known statistically. Traditional modeling approaches either ignore or idealize structural information at these larger scales because we lack a computational framework that utilizes it in its entirety. The work presented here integrates computational physics, machine learning and graph theory to make a paradigm shift from computationally intensive high-fidelity models to coarse-scale graphs without loss of critical structural information. We exploit the underlying discrete structure of fracture networks in systems considering flow through fractures and fracture propagation. We demonstrate that compact graph representations require significantly fewer degrees of freedom (dof) to capture micro-fracture information and further accelerate these models with Machine Learning.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Integration of seismic-pressure-petrophysics inversion of continuous active-seismic monitoring data for monitoring and quantifying CO 2 plume (Final Report)

The overall objective of this project is to develop and validate an integrated package of joint seismic-pressure-petrophysics inversion (jSPPI) of continuous active-source seismic monitoring dataset capable of providing real-time monitoring of CO 2 plume during geologic carbon sequestration (GCS). The three specific developments include: (a) the methodologies for fast seismic full waveform inversion of continuous active source seismic monitoring, (CASSM) datasets for simultaneously estimating velocity and attenuation, and with data assimilation; (b) joint Bayesian petrophysical inversion of seismic models and pressure data for providing and updating CO 2 saturation models; (c) the methods using multiple datasets including (Crainfield and Frio-II borehole) synthetic, laboratory, and field CASSM datasets. The outcomes of jSPPI include (a) a workflow for processing CASSM data, (b) Bayesian inversion algorithms using CASSM data and pressure response data, and (c) integration with data assimilation algorithms for continuously updating site-specific models used for prediction and reservoir management. The validation of joint FWI will be conducted using synthetic models based on the Cranfield and Frio experiments as well as field CASSM datasets collected as part of the Frio-II pilot injection. To quantify and map the mass and distribution of CO 2 (saturation), we will jointly invert velocity and attenuation measurements from the FWI with a Bayesian approach using a rock physics model for attenuation (e.g., White’s attenuation model with two selected patch sizes (White, 1976; Dutta and Seriff, 1979)). The Bayesian inversion will be applied to each time step in the CASSM survey in an updating scheme, which integrates with an ensemble of reservoir simulations at each step. A more complete experimental validation dataset will be collected as part of a mesoscale (2-3 m) gas-CO 2 injection experiment utilizing a higher frequency version of the CASSM system developed for laboratory studies; the integrated inversion will be demonstrated using this dataset which will provide both a dense geometry as well as more precise secondary confirmation measurements (e.g. saturation) typically not available in the field. The resulting real-time map of CO 2 saturation is able to provide a deeper scientific understanding of the complex, time-varying dynamics of subsurface fluid flow migration path as well as the rapid detection of CO 2 leakage hazards.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Interrogating organo-mineral interactions by Py-GC/MS and ToF-SIMS

Soil organic matter (SOM) is crucial to soil fertility and agricultural sustainability in the face of climate change, and organo-mineral interactions are a key mechanism for stabilizing SOM. The stability of mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM) can be approximated by the strength of bonds between biomolecules and mineral surfaces. We hypothesized that factors such as mineral reactivity and solution pH would impact bonding strength. To test these factors, sorption isotherms were performed on minerals differing in particle size, morphology, and reactivity (quartz, goethite, gibbsite, kaolinite, montmorillonite), under two pH conditions (4 and 6), and across a range of tannic acid concentration (0-1400 ppm). The quantity and quality of organo-mineral bonds was assessed by quantifying post-sorption solution compounds using an absorbance plate reader and assessing the thermal energy needed to break bonds using evolved gas analysis (EGA) on a pyrolysis gas chromatograph-mass spectrometer (Py-GC/MS). Organo-mineral surfaces were also interrogated using Time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS). Sorption experiments revealed an asymptotic relationship between sorbed tannic acid and increasing initial concentrations which suggests our concentration range saturated available mineral surfaces. Results indicated that mineral identity, chiefly surface area and native pH, impacted the amount of compound sorbed to mineral surfaces. Evolved gas analyses of organo-mineral samples uncovered increased thermal stability of sorbed compounds compared to our tannic acid standard particularly on the iron oxide, goethite. ToF-SIMS revealed that goethite surface ions were covered by increasing concentrations of adsorbed tannic acid with the replacement of chlorine and sulfate ions by tannic acid related ions. Our results indicate that Py-GC/MS and ToF-SIMS are useful techniques to determine the nature and strength of organo-mineral bonds and are steppingstones to understanding controls on carbon sequestration in terrestrial systems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Abstract for CRADA between NETL and MetroLaser, Inc. (AGMT-1363)

NETL and MetroLaser, Inc. (MetroLaser) will collaborate on the commercialization design and validation of a split laser system, useful for sensing and measurement applications relevant to fossil energy and carbon management in subsurface environments relevant to carbon sequestration.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantitative Risk Assessment (Topical Report)

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) in geological formations plays a key role in mitigating anthropogenic CO 2 emissions and achieving the aggressive goal of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. Quantitative risk assessment is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of geologic carbon storage (GCS) by evaluating CO 2 migration in subsurface, forecasting potential leakage and induced seismicity risks, and optimizing operational and monitoring plans. We present the use, progress, and research trends of risk assessment from the Southwest Regional Partnership on Carbon Sequestration (SWP) as an example of large-scale CCUS projects in North America. The information provided in this report can help readers understand the significance of risk and uncertainty assessment and apply them effectively in large-scale CCUS projects.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Pathways for Agricultural Decarbonization in the United States

In the United States, agricultural production is both a significant source of greenhouse gases (GHGs) (Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 2022) and uniquely susceptible to climate change impacts (Vermeulen et al., 2012). Decarbonization solutions have been proposed for addressing agricultural GHGs; however, research has been limited in synthesizing qualitative and quantitative analysis of potential GHG mitigation solutions in the United States. In this report, we review U.S. agricultural GHG sources by activity and quantify potential mitigation solutions based on a comprehensive data and literature analysis. We also discuss agricultural carbon sequestration options to offset GHG emissions. In our analysis, we identified two significant and hard-to-abate GHG sources (N 2 O from soil management, and CH 4 from enteric fermentation from livestock) as well as high-impact GHG mitigation solutions (e.g. agroforestry, reforestation, and biochar application) and cross-cutting GHG mitigation solutions (renewable energy production, precision agriculture, no-till, integrated nutrient management, and biochar). This report is meant to provide initial analysis and establish a foundation for future agricultural decarbonization research - it is not an exhaustive analysis of all available studies. However, to our knowledge this report is the most comprehensive assessment of agricultural GHG emissions and associated mitigation opportunities in the United States to date. Future empirical research is recommended to close research gaps in different climates, soils, and agricultural systems. Meta-analyses for all mitigation solutions would increase confidence in the estimated GHG mitigation potentials. To conclude this report, we discuss short-term and long-term pathways for agricultural decarbonization in the United States, the importance of accounting for total GHG fluxes, potential co-benefits of agricultural decarbonization, analysis of study data confidence, and research gaps.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

SMART Deliverable 6.1.2a: Application of the ORION tool to the IBDP Carbon Storage Site

Forecasting and managing potential induced seismic activity is one of the challenges facing commercialscale geologic carbon sequestration (GCS), as well as other geologic energy extraction and byproduct disposal technologies. Historically, the process to develop robust, science-based forecasts of induced seismicity has required an integrated effort from experts in seismology, geomechanics, and reservoir engineering to manage data, develop and evaluate models of subsurface processes, and to calibrate and interpret the results from a range of models to understand site behavior relative to prescribed standards and in the context of uncertainty in geologic characterization data, forecasting models, and operational scenario uncertainty. The Operational Forecasting of Induced Seismicity (ORION) toolkit is an open-source, observation-based forecasting toolkit that is being co-developed by two U.S. DOE-funded initiatives: the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) and the Scienceinformed Machine Learning for Accelerating Real Time Decisions in Subsurface Applications (SMART) Initiative. ORION is designed to provide functionality to support decision making about seismic hazard analysis and risk management for GCS stakeholders ranging from the public to site operators to expert seismologists. The tool, which is written as open-source code in the Python programming language, is composed of a desktop graphical user interface (GUI) and an underlying forecasting engine. The forecasting engine uses available reservoir properties, well and fluid injection scenario details, and observed seismic catalog data as inputs to produce a set of temporal and spatio-temporal seismic forecasts.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A case study of denoising microseismic data in the Farnsworth, TX CO 2 EOR site

As geologic carbon sequestration projects begin to be funded with a higher degree of frequency, microseismic monitoring will become more necessary to establish caprock integrity and induced seismicity risk. The Farnsworth, TX site, which hosts enhanced oil recovery operations, provides an ideal laboratory to test essential components of microseismic monitoring such as surface station placement, denoising, and different autopicker methods. We find that despite careful optimization, the surface station placement at the Farnsworth site was insufficient given the high level of background noise from the industrial operations at the oil field. Thus, we use only borehole geophone data in our processing. Two denoising techniques were examined: the DeepDenoiser and the continuous wavelet transform. The continuous wavelet transform was shown to be a valuable tool in converting between raw waveforms to processed denoised waveforms for microseismic monitoring. In the case of the noisy waveforms, only ten detections are found, compared with 90 in the denoised data for a two-hour window. The DeepDenoiser suffered from the fact that the training data was regional earthquake data. In addition, the PhaseNet machine-learning autopicker was applied to both the noisy and the denoised data, and this algorithm detected thousands of more arrivals in the data denoised with the continuous wavelet transform technique.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Integrating Qualitative and Quantitative Aspects of Risk Management

This topical report summarizes the integration of qualitative and quantitative aspects of the risk management workflow for the Southwest Regional Partnership on Carbon Sequestration (SWP) Phase III Demonstration Project, located near the community of Farnsworth in northernmost Texas. Detail on some aspects of this subject has been previously provided in internal project reports on qualitative risk assessment processes, in a published paper summarizing quantitative risk modeling, and in many other published papers on specific risk modeling efforts. These prior documents are cited but the details are not repeated here. The report documents work undertaken for Task 7.4.1 of U.S. Department of Energy award number DE- FC26-05NT42591.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Risk Communications and Risk Mitigation

This topical report summarizes risk communications and risk treatment (a.k.a. mitigation) aspects of risk management workflow for the Southwest Regional Partnership on Carbon Sequestration (SWP) Phase III Demonstration Project, located near the community of Farnsworth in northernmost Texas. Detail on risk communications previously provided in an internal project report is summarized here, while detail on risk treatment is presented for the first time. A principal message is that the effective development and execution of risk treatments depends on effective communications among project staff. Farnsworth Project relied primarily on internal communications; in contrast, projects that also rely heavily on public approval will be relatively more dependent upon effective information sharing with external stakeholders. The report documents work undertaken for Tasks 7.4.2 and 7.4.3 of U.S. Department of Energy

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Capillary Pressure to Relative Permeability: Task 7.3.4 Relative Permeability Analysis Final Report

Surface tension affects all aspects of fluid flow in porous media. Through measurements of surface tension interaction under multiphase conditions, a relative permeability relationship can be determined. Relative permeability is a numerical description of the interplay between two or more fluids and the porous media they flow through. It is a critical parameter for various tools used to characterized subsurface multiphase flow systems, such as numerical simulation for oil and gas development, carbon sequestration, and groundwater contamination remediation. Therefore, it is critical to get a good statistic distribution of relative permeability in the porous media under study. Empirical relationships for determining relative permeability from capillary pressure are already well established but do not provide the needed flexibility required to match laboratory derive relative permeability relationships. By expanding the existing methods for calculating relative permeability from capillary pressure data, it is possible to create both two and three-phase relative permeability relationships. Existing laboratory-measured relative permeability data along with mercury intrusion capillary (MICP) data coupled with interfacial tension and contact angle measurements were used to determine the efficacy of this approach to relative permeability curve creation. The relative permeability relationships determined with this method were fit to existing laboratory data to elucidate common fitting parameters that were then used to create relative permeability relationships from MICP data that does not have an associated laboratory-measured relative permeability relationship.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Characterizing Hydraulic Fracture Propagation Before Fracture Hits

Estimating the distance from hydraulic fracture tip to monitor well can be very useful for fracture characterization, well spacing optimization, and preventing parent-child well interference. Heart-shape signal is referred to as the extensional precursor of fracture hit recorded by cross-well strain measurements and can be served as a vital tool to make such estimation. This study incorporates the 3D Displacement Discontinuity Method to understand the impact of fracture geometry and monitor well offset on the heart-shape signal’s characteristics. Results from numerical simulation and analytical solutions reveal a strong linear correlation between the spatial extent of heart shape signal and fracture tip distance. This relationship was further developed to predict tip distance using field data from the Hydraulic Fracture Test Site 2. A reasonable approximation result from field data further validates the methodology. In addition, it is worth noting that the estimation accuracy depends on the ratio between fracture dimension and tip distance. The findings of this study offer a novel approach for real-time monitoring and characterizing hydraulic fracture propagation, which can be further used for well spacing optimization in unconventional and Enhanced Geothermal System reservoir development, as well as cap rock integrity monitoring for carbon sequestration projects.

Jin, Ge↗

Enhancing Fluid Flow Pressure and Saturation Prediction Accuracy and Reducing Uncertainty with Committee Machine – Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) as a Case Study

Presentation at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24, 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a way to play a critical role in the global transition to a low-emission economy. Current progress is hampered by a number of factors, among which the lack of risk-informed design tools and decision support frameworks is seen as a major roadblock. Significant interest exists in using artificial intelligence to accelerate CCS site feasibility studies, as well as to facilitate the permit application process. Existing works commonly train a single deep learning model. This work investigates the feasibility of using a conventional ensemble learning (committee machine) technique to further improve prediction accuracy. Ensemble-based algorithms generally improve over individual base learners in terms of robustness and accuracy. Deep ensembles, however, are time-consuming to create and train. A pragmatic question is whether small-sized ensembles may lead to prediction improvement. Here we evaluated the efficacy of an ensemble learning technique using the latent spectral model (LSM), an efficient deep neural operator algorithm, as base learners. Preliminary results, obtained using the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project (IBDP) carbon sequestration data/model, show that small-sized ensembles can improve prediction over the base learners, achieving prediction accuracy of ~1.6 psi root mean square error (RMSE) on pressure (relative the average reservoir pressure of 3150 psi), and less than 1.3% for saturation.

Sun, Alexander↗

A Field-Deployable Magnetic Resonance Imaging Rhizotron for Modeling and Enhancing Root Growth and Biogeochemical Function

A collaborative team from Texas A&M AgriLife Research, ABQMR Inc., the Soil Health Institute, the Athinoula A. Martinos Center for Biomedical Imaging, and NIST developed low-field magnetic resonance imaging (LF-MRI) instrumentation capable of imaging intact soil-root systems. The system measured root biomass, architecture, 3D mass distribution, and growth rates, providing a non-destructive means to evaluate ideal plant characteristics based on root metrics. It also successfully generated three-dimensional images of soil water content, a key property influencing root growth and exploration. Operating much like an MRI used in a medical setting, the system functioned in field conditions without damaging plants, overcoming the limitations of traditional methods such as trenching, soil coring, and root excavation. Over the course of the project, the team designed and built three functional prototype systems. These prototypes provided new insights into root–water–soil interactions that drive processes such as nutrient uptake, water use, and carbon management. This information contributed to efforts to optimize plants for carbon sequestration without sacrificing economic yield. The project also supported the identification of desirable traits for energy sorghum, including high root growth rates, more vertical root angles, and enhanced drought resilience under water-limiting conditions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) Prediction of Mixed Mass-Heat-Crystallization Limited Methane Hydrate Formation and Dissociation in Micro-Confinement

The creation and use of Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) for simulating the dynamics of methane hydrate formation and dissociation will be presented. The PINN framework's main benefit is its capacity to impose physical consistency with only a partial comprehension of the governing equations. This makes the algorithm especially useful for systems with little experimental evidence or a lack of theoretical knowledge. A strong basis for forecasting methane hydrate behavior over the verified operating ranges of 30.0-80.9 bar pressure and 1.0-4.0 K sub-cooling conditions is provided by the combination of conductive heat transfer equations and mixed mass-transfer–crystallization kinetics. PINNs were more accurate at predicting the mixed mass-heat-crystallization limited kinetics than conventional Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), demonstrating remarkable predictive accuracy for methane hydrate production over the ANN model. The efficiency of incorporating physical limitations from first principles into machine learning frameworks for methane hydrate crystallizations is reinforced by these findings. For hydrate-related applications in energy generation, carbon sequestration, and climate modelling, our study establishes PINNs as a computational tool that is both scalable and efficient. The proven capacity to close the gap between conventional physics-based simulations and solely data-driven models creates new opportunities for expedited hydrate research and practical applications.

Hartman, Ryan L [NYU Tandon School of Engineering]↗

Southeast Regional CO 2 Utilization and Storage Acceleration Partnership (SECARB-USA): Results of Existing CO 2 Source and Sink Databases Analysis

The “Southeast Regional CO 2 Utilization and Storage Acceleration Partnership” (SECARB-USA) project supported the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Fossil Energy's (FE) mission to help the United States meet its need for secure, affordable, and environmentally sound fossil energy supplies by utilizing the advancements made since 2003 by the Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (RCSP) Initiative to continue to identify and address knowledge gaps.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Integrated Anaerobic Membrane Bioreactor (AnMBR) – electro assisted fermentation platform for total resource recovery from diverse wastewaters

The overall objective of the project was to demonstrate a successful wastewater resource recovery platform comprising an Anaerobic Membrane Bioreactor (AnMBR) to achieve >50% Carbon sequestration efficiency as Volatile Fatty Acids (VFAs) or as methane gas from agricultural (animal feeding operations) wastewater along with the generation of final water exceeding Biological Nutrient Removal (BNR) standards for indirect potable reuse by coupling with constructed wetlands has been successfully accomplished. The AnMBR achieved stable performance over 350 days, removing 80–90% of COD and BOD₅ and recovering methane (0.17±0.07 L CH4/g COD at 66.5±0.03% v/v) at 3-5 LMH flux and 5-9 days HRT with 3-5% w/v total solids. Phosphorus recovery via CaO addition in an 80-L coagulation-flocculation-sedimentation unit ranged from 40.6% to 99.7%, yielding products with 11.4–13.6% P content and citric acid solubility of 32–38.6% P, comparable to rock phosphate mineral. Ammonium adsorption achieved ~94.5% recovery with exchange capacity of 10 – 16 g NH4-N/kg clinoptilolite. The CW polishing step met Kansas discharge standards for BOD5 and TN (<30 and <10 mg /L,) and approached the TP standard (~2.5 – 4 mg P/L). These findings have either already resulted in two peer reviewed publications, two patent applications, and one publication in conference proceedings.

42 ENGINEERING↗