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DOE OSTI2019

Workshop Report on Basic Research Needs for Scientific Machine Learning: Core Technologies for Artificial Intelligence

Scientific Machine Learning (SciML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) will have broad use and transformative effects across the Department of Energy. Accordingly, the January 2018 Basic Research Needs workshop identified six Priority Research Directions (PRDs). The first three PRDs describe foundational research themes that correspond to the need for domain-awareness (PRD #1), interpretability (PRD #2), and robustness (PRD #3). The other three PRDs describe capability research themes and correspond to the three major use cases for massive scientific data analysis (PRD #4), machine learning-enhanced modeling and simulation (PRD #5), and intelligent automation and decision-support for complex systems (PRD #6). The Priority Research Directions provide a sound basis for a coherent, long-term research and development strategy in SciML and AI. Over the last decade, DOE investments in applied mathematics have laid the groundwork for the type of basic research that will underpin key advances in the six PRDs. Such advances will build on the work from leading researchers in optimization, linear algebra, high-performance solvers and algorithms, multiscale modeling and simulation, complex systems research, uncertainty quantification, and the new basic research areas that will emerge from the pursuit of transformative technologies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2018

Brochure on Basic Research Needs for Scientific Machine Learning: Core Technologies for Artificial Intelligence [Slides]

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

2020 Multiscale Microbial Dynamics Modeling Course

The 2020 Multiscale Microbial Dynamics course is adapted from the virtual 2020 Mutliscale Microbial Dynamics Summer School that was hosted by Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory (EMSL), a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) science user facility located on the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) campus, in collaboration with the Joint Genome Institute (JGI) and the DOE Systems Biology Knowledgebase (KBase). The course course covers how to incorporate microbial metagenomic and environmental metabolite data from watershed ecosystems into metabolic and community modeling using computational frameworks, such as KBase and PFLOTRAN. The curriculum includes lectures and software and data analysis tutorials. All materials are freely accessible to the community as part of the 2020 Microbial Dynamics Summer School Organization in KBase.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Development of Composite Photocatalyst Materials that are Highly Selective for Solar Hydrogen Production and their Evaluation in Z-Scheme Reactor Designs

The key technology gap preventing a vertically stacked dual-bed particle suspension reactor from achieving the DOE MYRD&D ultimate cost target for H 2 production remains the lack of materials in particle form factor that exhibit ≥10% solar-to-H 2 energy conversion (STH) efficiency as a suspension. Therefore, our project goals centered around strategies to increase the STH efficiency by enhancing photophysical properties of perovskite oxide particles including increased visible-light absorption, increased selectivity for electrocatalysis of the H 2 evolution reaction (HER) and the O 2 evolution reaction (OER) through development of ultrathin oxide coatings, correlating composition and structure to function, and improving understanding of multiscale transport and kinetic processes.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Utilizing Oxygen Redox in Layered Cathode Materials from Multiscale Perspective

We report in high-capacity layered oxide cathode materials, utilization of lattice oxygen as a redox center is considered to be one of the most promising approaches to overcome the capacity limitation set by conventional transition metal redox centers. However, rapid material degradation is often associated with oxygen oxidation, leading to formidable challenges in utilizing oxygen redox. Further mechanistic understanding of the oxygen activities thus becomes critical to better control oxygen redox reactions. This review summarizes recent advances for investigating oxygen redox reactions in cathode materials from a multiscale perspective, i.e., from the atomistic level to the microstructure regime. First the mechanistic aspects of oxygen redox and the consequences of this reaction on various electrode degradation pathways during battery operation (e.g., oxygen loss, transition metal migration, irreversible phase transition), relating structural changes at the crystallographic scale to those at the macro scale, are discussed. Then recent developments based on atomic and microstructure modifications that are promising for improving the reversibility of oxygen redox reaction or mitigating the harmful processes arising from oxidation of the oxygen centers under high operating voltage are recounted. The analysis is concluded with a commentary on further research directions toward optimizing the oxygen activity for high-capacity charge storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2014

Multiscale Mathematics for Biomass Conversion to Renewable Hydrogen

Our two key accomplishments in the first three years were towards the development of, (1) a mathematically rigorous and at the same time computationally flexible framework for parallelization of Kinetic Monte Carlo methods, and its implementation on GPUs, and (2) spatial multilevel coarse-graining methods for Monte Carlo sampling and molecular simulation. A common underlying theme in both these lines of our work is the development of numerical methods which are at the same time both computationally efficient and reliable, the latter in the sense that they provide controlled-error approximations for coarse observables of the simulated molecular systems. Finally, our key accomplishment in the last year of the grant is that we started developing (3) pathwise information theory-based and goal-oriented sensitivity analysis and parameter identification methods for complex high-dimensional dynamics and in particular of nonequilibrium extended (high-dimensional) systems. We discuss these three research directions in some detail below, along with the related publications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2019

Multiscale Modeling of Microstructural Evolution in Fused-Coating Additive Manufacturing

A quantitative phase field model with adaptive-computational-domain-expansion (ACDE) method was developed to simulate the microstructural evolution in fused-coating additive manufacturing process. A heat transfer and fluid flow model was established to investigate the solidification behavior of the molten pool in a single deposited layer. The solidification parameters such as temperature gradient and solidification rate were calculated from the macroscopic model and then fed into the phase field model to get the microstructure at different positions within a single deposited layer. Columnar dendrites were formed at the bottom of the deposited layer, and equiaxed dendrites appeared in the upper part of the layer. The ACDE method is used to improve the simulation efficiency. The metallographic experiments and energy-dispersive spectrometer analysis for composition were conducted on the fused-coating specimen, and the results were in good accordance with the simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Multiscale-Informed Modeling of High Temperature Component Response with Uncertainty Quantification

This report summarizes a joint effort between Argonne National Laboratory, Idaho National Laboratory, and Los Alamos National Laboratory to develop and deploy constitutive models targeted at predicting the life of Grade 91 alloy components subjected to high temperature environments typical of those that structural components in advanced nuclear reactors would experience. Two distinct, but complementary constitutive modeling approaches have been taken here. The first employs a phenomenological viscoplastic model for which parameters have been calibrated based on experimental data for a wide range of Grade 91 alloy that has undergone a variety of processing. A Bayesian approach was used to derive distributions of uncertain parameters for this model based on this data set. The second approach is a reduced order model suitable for engineering-scale analysis that is based on the results of a large set of mesoscale simulations. Mesoscale models allow for the microstructure and composition of a particular alloy to be directly taken into account in the computation of the viscoplastic response, but are computationally expensive, which makes it impractical to directly call those models for the material constitutive response in an engineering-scale simulation. The reduced-order representation of the response of the underlying model used here allows for an engineering-scale model to take into account the characteristics of the underlying microstructure, while only incurring a reasonable computational expense. Both of these approaches have different strengths, and are applicable for different parts of the design/analysis process. The phenomenological models can be readily parameterized based on a set of experimental data for a given class of materials and used for scoping calculations. Once a specific material is chosen and adequately characterized, the reduced order models can accurately predict the response of that specific alloy, and because the models are based on predictive models of the underlying microstructure, they can be used to more confidently predict the response under conditions in regions where there is limited experimental data. Both of these models have been integrated in the Grizzly code, which is used here to perform proof-of-concept uncertainty quantification analyses of a simple component under prototypical conditions. The built- in stochastic analysis capabilities in the MOOSE framework that Grizzly is built on are used here to run large sets of simulations for this uncertainty quantification analysis. As would be expected, because the reduced order models are developed for a much more tightly defined alloy, they predict tighter distributions of the time to failure than the phenomenological models, which are calibrated to a broader set of data. Also important is that these simulations demonstrate that a reduced order modeling approach can be successfully deployed to propagate uncertainties from the material scale to practical engineering-scale component simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

A Multi-Model Framework for Assessing Long- and Short-Term Climate Influences on the Electric Grid

Climate change influences many aspects of the electric grid, but prior work and industry practices often ignore the potential effects of changing climate, or they only consider a single effect or individual effects in isolation. Challenges vary with each grid and include adapting to long-term trends such as changing temperature and precipitation or shorter-term events such as drought or storms that could increase in frequency or intensity. Here we present a multi-model framework designed to analyze the effects of long and short-term climate impacts in combination. This framework couples capacity expansion and production cost models with hydrologic models and future climate scenario data to analyze alternative climate and energy futures at high spatial, temporal, and process resolutions. Furthermore, we constructed and evaluated the results of a suite of simulated scenarios exploring climate impacts on capacity investment and stress-tested the resulting future infrastructures using hourly dispatch modeling under alternative drought and load conditions. We demonstrate the approach through a case study of the U.S. Western Interconnection, where climate impacts depend on interactions between temperature-induced load, water availability for hydropower, technology competitiveness, and demand flexibility. Changes in 2038 generating capacity range from -8.5-16.6 GW, and changes in 2038 transmission capacity range from -1-2 GW. Capacity increases are driven by higher load from higher temperatures, while capacity reductions can be achieved in scenarios with higher future hydropower availability and increased demand flexibility. Scenarios requiring additional capacity cost an additional $\$5$-$\$17$ billion (discounted) from 2018 to 2038; however, scenarios with capacity reductions cost $\$1$-$\$18$ billion less. Stress tests on four 2038 infrastructures demonstrated that the identified systems were able to serve at least 99.999% of load and 99.96% of reserves. However, drought and unexpected high-load conditions can result in reduced capacity to respond to contingency events we did not model. Although these results are system and scenario specific, they highlight the importance of considering multiple climate change impacts simultaneously in long-term planning efforts and demonstrate a multi-model, multiscale approach that can be flexibly applied to any system and set of climate change concerns.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2018

Rapid freezing of water under dynamic compression

Understanding the behavior of materials at extreme pressures is a central issue in fields like aerodynamics, astronomy, and geology, as well as for advancing technological grand challenges such as inertial confinement fusion. Dynamic compression experiments to probe high-pressure states often encounter rapid phase transitions that may cause the materials to behave in unexpected ways, and understanding the kinetics of these phase transitions remains an area of great interest. We examine experimental and theoretical/computational efforts to study the freezing kinetics of water to a high-pressure solid phase known as ice VII. We first present a detailed analysis of dynamic compression experiments in which water has been observed to freeze on sub-microsecond time scales to ice VII. This is followed by a discussion of the limitations of currently available molecular and continuum simulation methods in modeling these experiments. We then describe how our phase transition kinetics models, which are based on classical nucleation theory, provide a more physics-based framework that overcomes some of these limitations. We give suggestions on future experimental and modeling work on the liquid–ice VII transition, including an outline of the development of a predictive multiscale model in which molecular and continuum simulations are intimately coupled.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2021

Water-Oil Displacement in Shale: New Insights from a Comparative Study Integrating Imbibition Tests and Multiscale Imaging

Water-oil displacement is an important process that occurs in a shale matrix after hydraulic fracturing and in water-based enhanced oil recovery. Current understanding of this displacement process is limited because of the complicated pore structure and surface properties in shale. In this work, this process and its controlling factors are investigated through a comparative study of three shale samples that have different types of pore systems and wettability. Here, an integrated method of imbibition and multiscale imaging was applied, and a modified oleic tracer that can better represent oil flow was used in imbibition testing and micro-computed tomography (CT) imaging. Scanning electron microscope (SEM) pore characterization was then performed under high magnification with guidance from the micro-CT images showing the changes caused by oil or water imbibition. New insights were obtained on the importance of both wettability and pore size effect on oil recovery and the distribution of residual oil after water-oil displacement. Connectivity of pores with different wettability is also discussed based on 3D analysis and SEM pore characterization. Collectively, these new findings improve the understanding of the complicated process of water-oil displacement and the role of influencing factors. Important implications for improved oil recovery strategy in shale are discussed for different types of reservoir rocks. The integrated imaging and imbibition technique provides a new path for further investigation of improved oil recovery in shale.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Development of a MOOSE thermal model of the MPC-32 canister and HI-STORM overpack

Nuclear power is a significant source of electricity in the United States, but the average age of nuclear power plants is around 40 years old. Safe management of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) is a key aspect of the back end of the nuclear fuel cycle, and SNF dry storage systems are becoming a popular, effective solution in this area, given the absence of a final disposal system. The spent fuel cask system (dry cask method) provides a feasible solution for maintaining SNF (~60 years) prior to final disposal. This project aims to develop a thermal model of the MPC-32 canister and HI-STORM overpack, using the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE). MOOSE is an open-source framework developed by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) for multiscale, multiphysics simulations. This study will investigate and demonstrate the thermal-hydraulics capabilities of the MOOSE framework, including natural circulation, heat transfer, porous flows, etc. The ultimate goal of the project is to verify whether MOOSE tools (including Pronghorn) can be used to study the thermal performance of the SNF dry cask storage system. This study provides reliable and inclusive solving strategy for dry cask problems. The detailed information about the solving scheme and the governing equations related to the physics of the system is provided in the report. The results for thermal-hydraulic analysis of the HI-STORM system is produced with using open source modules of the MOOSE framework. This results highlights the flexibility and modularity of the MOOSE which makes it a unique candidate for the frameworks and code packages. Therefore, integration of the MOOSE to UNF ST&DARDS will improve the thermal-hydraulic capability of the system while providing distinctive features to users.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Multiscale investigation of thermomechanical and compositional developments in Ni alloy 718 under laser processing

Laser processing has been widely employed in various applications due to its exceptional spatial resolution. However, the rapid temperature gradients generated in localized areas present significant challenges for experimental characterization using conventional instruments. To characterize Ni alloy 718 during laser processing, we employed in-situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction with a high-speed detector, a method particularly well-suited for probing processes with high temporal and spatial resolution. Through a series of in-situ experiments, we investigated the local variations in the evolution of microstructures and thermomechanical behaviors within a keyhole mode melt pool. The in situ macroscopic thermomechanical behaviors were quantified using an empirical model derived from diffraction patterns, with experimental results showing reasonable agreement with finite element analysis. Various laser parameters were tested to assess their influences on the residual strains in the melt pools. The results revealed that the residual strain in the keyhole mode melt pool is relatively insensitive to variations in the parameters and is smaller than that in the melt pool created under conduction mode laser scanning. Additionally, we analyzed the shapes of individual diffraction spots, providing insights into the plastic behaviors and compositional developments in the resolidified alloy. The analysis confirmed that compositional variations in a dendritic microstructure manifest as asymmetric broadening of the diffraction spots.

Ni alloy 718↗

DOE OSTI2023

Subtle Molecular Changes Largely Modulate Chiral Helical Assemblies of Achiral Conjugated Polymers by Tuning Solution-State Aggregation

Understanding the solution-state aggregate structure and the consequent hierarchical assembly of conjugated polymers is crucial for controlling multiscale morphologies during solid thin-film deposition and the resultant electronic properties. However, it remains challenging to comprehend detailed solution aggregate structures of conjugated polymers, let alone their chiral assembly due to the complex aggregation behavior. Herein, we present solution-state aggregate structures and their impact on hierarchical chiral helical assembly using an achiral diketopyrrolopyrrole-quaterthiophene (DPP-T4) copolymer and its two close structural analogues wherein the bithiophene is functionalized with methyl groups (DPP-T2M2) or fluorine atoms (DPP-T2F2). Combining in-depth small-angle X-ray scattering analysis with various microscopic solution imaging techniques, we find distinct aggregate in each DPP solution: (i) semicrystalline 1D fiber aggregates of DPP-T2F2 with a strongly bound internal structure, (ii) semicrystalline 1D fiber aggregates of DPP-T2M2 with a weakly bound internal structure, and (iii) highly crystalline 2D sheet aggregates of DPP-T4. These nanoscopic aggregates develop into lyotropic chiral helical liquid crystal (LC) mesophases at high solution concentrations. Intriguingly, the dimensionality of solution aggregates largely modulates hierarchical chiral helical pitches across nanoscopic to micrometer scales, with the more rigid 2D sheet aggregate of DPP-T4 creating much larger pitch length than the more flexible 1D fiber aggregates. Combining relatively small helical pitch with long-range order, the striped twist-bent mesophase of DPP-T2F2 composed of highly ordered, more rigid 1D fiber aggregate exhibits an anisotropic dissymmetry factor (g-factor) as high as 0.09. This study can be a prominent addition to our knowledge on a solution-state hierarchical assembly of conjugated polymers and, in particular, chiral helical assembly of achiral organic semiconductors that can catalyze an emerging field of chiral (opto)electronics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Mesoscale structural gradients in human tooth enamel

The outstanding mechanical and chemical properties of dental enamel emerge from its complex hierarchical architecture. An accurate, detailed multiscale model of the structure and composition of enamel is important for understanding lesion formation in tooth decay (dental caries), enamel development (amelogenesis) and associated pathologies (e.g., amelogenesis imperfecta or molar hypomineralization), and minimally invasive dentistry. Although features at length scales smaller than 100 nm (individual crystallites) and greater than 50 µm (multiple rods) are well understood, competing field of view and sampling considerations have hindered exploration of mesoscale features, i.e., at the level of single enamel rods and the interrod enamel (1 to 10 µm). Here, we combine synchrotron X-ray diffraction at submicrometer resolution, analysis of crystallite orientation distribution, and unsupervised machine learning to show that crystallographic parameters differ between rod head and rod tail/interrod enamel. This variation strongly suggests that crystallites in different microarchitectural domains also differ in their composition. Thus, we use a dilute linear model to predict the concentrations of minority ions in hydroxylapatite (Mg 2+ and CO 3 2- /Na + ) that plausibly explain the observed lattice parameter variations. While differences within samples are highly significant and of similar magnitude, absolute values and the sign of the effect for some crystallographic parameters show interindividual variation that warrants further investigation. In conclusion, by revealing additional complexity at the rod/interrod level of human enamel and leaving open the possibility of modulation across larger length scales, these results inform future investigations into mechanisms governing amelogenesis and introduce another feature to consider when modeling the mechanical and chemical performance of enamel.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Coupled Climate Simulations With E3SM‐MMF

Simulations of the recent historical period from 1950 to 2014 are conducted with E3SM‐MMF, which uses an embedded 2D cloud resolving model that runs efficiently on GPUs in place of traditional parameterizations for cloud and turbulence. Analysis of the climate and variability reveal several aspects where E3SM‐MMF produces smaller biases compared to E3SMv2, including better agreement with the observed evolution of global mean surface temperature, although the representation of ENSO is too weak and fast. Three idealized abrupt CO 2 experiments were also conducted to assess climate sensitivity and feedbacks. These yield three estimates of effective climate sensitivity (4.38, 5.21, and 6.06 K), with a corresponding spread in the shortwave cloud feedbacks. These estimates are on the higher end of sensitivity estimates from CMIP ensembles, and the spread indicates substantial state‐dependent feedbacks. These results demonstrate how multiscale modeling framework (MMF) models can be used for climate relevant experiments and projections by leveraging modern GPU enabled computational platforms. The unique qualities of E3SM‐MMF shown in previous literature are largely still present, but various instances of reduced biases suggest that MMF models have utility in improving future projections.

E3SM↗

DOE OSTI2019

Automated Multiscale Approach To Predict Self-Diffusion from a Potential Energy Field

For large-scale screening studies there is a need to estimate the diffusion of gas molecules in nanoporous materials more efficiently than (brute force) molecular dynamics. In particular for systems with low diffusion coefficients molecular dynamics can be prohibitively expensive. An alternative is to compute the hopping rates between adsorption sites using transition state theory. For large-scale screening this requires the automatic detection of the transition states between the adsorption sites along the different diffusion paths. Here an algorithm is presented that analyzes energy grids for the moving particles. It detects the energies at which diffusion paths are formed, together with their directions. This allows for easy identification of nondiffusive systems. For diffusive systems, it partitions the grid coordinates assigned to energy basins and transitions states, permitting a transition state theory based analysis of the diffusion. We test our method on CH 4 diffusion in zeolites, using a standard kinetic Monte Carlo simulation based on the output of our grid analysis. We find that it is accurate, fast, and rigorous without limitations to the geometries of the diffusion tunnels or transition states.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Microstructural-Level Fuel Performance Modeling of U-Mo Monolithic Fuel

As the physics that governs the microstructural evolution of nuclear fuel span various time and spatial scales, to fully understand the fuel behavior inevitably involves atomic to mesoscale resolution that can be difficult to determine experimentally. Microstructural-level modeling and simulations can be used to develop physics-based materials models that can provide physical understanding to inform fabrication process control, as well as a valuable feedback mechanism between post-irradiation examination (PIE) results and fabrication parameters. In accordance with the program schedule, the primary goals of the microstructure modeling effort are to: 1. Address critical microstructural questions and provide practical guidance to the fabricator via the fuel product specification; 2. Provide mechanistic inputs for the existing fuel performance code to improve its descriptive and predictive capability at the macroscopic scale. In fiscal year (FY)-21, the work scope consisted of six main facets: (1) the effect of carbides on fuel performance; (2) gas diffusivity in different phases; (3) integration of microstructural fuel performance modeling; (4) property degradation; (5) irradiation creep; and (6) historical analysis of microstructure data. Brief summaries of each are included below.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗