The evolution of a sheared potential magnetic field in the solar corona
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Karpen, J. T.↗
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An Early Prediction of the Amplitude of Solar Cycle 25
A “Solar Dynamo” (SODA) Index prediction of the amplitude of Solar Cycle 25 is described. The SODA Index combines values of the solar polar magnetic field and the solar spectral irradiance at 10.7 cm to create a precursor of future solar activity. The result is an envelope of solar activity that minimizes the 11-year period of the sunspot cycle. We show that the variation in time of the SODA Index is similar to several wavelet transforms of the solar spectral irradiance at 10.7 cm. Polar field predictions for Solar Cycles 21 – 24 are used to show the success of the polar field precursor in previous sunspot cycles. Using the present value of the SODA index, we estimate that the next cycle’s smoothed peak activity will be about 140 ± 30 solar flux units for the 10.7 cm radio flux and a Version 2 sunspot number of 135 ± 25. This suggests that Solar Cycle 25 will be comparable to Solar Cycle 24. The estimated peak is expected to occur near 2025.2 ± 1.5 year. Because the current approach uses data prior to solar minimum, these estimates may improve as the upcoming solar minimum draws closer.
Solar Cycle Predictions↗
Major Geomagnetic Storms (Dst less than or equal to -100 nT) Generated by Corotating Interaction Regions
Seventy-nine major geomagnetic storms (minimum Dst less than or equal to -100 nT) observed in 1996 to 2004 were the focus of a Living with a Star Coordinated Data-Analysis Workshop (CDAW) in March, 2005. In 9 cases, the storm driver appears to have been purely a corotating interaction region (CIR) without any contribution from coronal mass ejection-related material (interplanetary coronal mass ejections, ICMEs). These storms were generated by structures within CIRs located both before and/or after the stream interface that included persistently southward magnetic fields for intervals of several hours. We compare their geomagnetic effects with those of 159 CIRs observed during 1996 - 2005. The major storms form the extreme tail of a continuous distribution of CIR geoeffectiveness which peaks at Dst approx. -40 nT but is subject to a prominent seasonal variation of - 40 nT which is ordered by the spring and fall equinoxes and the solar wind magnetic field direction towards or away from the Sun. The O'Brien and McPherron [2000] equations, which estimate Dst by integrating the incident solar wind electric field and incorporating a ring current loss term, largely account for the variation in storm size. They tend to underestimate the size of the larger CIR-associated storms by Dst approx. 20 nT. This suggests that injection into the ring current may be more efficient than expected in such storms. Four of the nine major storms in 1996 - 2004 occurred during a period of less than three solar rotations in September - November, 2002, also the time of maximum mean IMF and solar magnetic field intensity during the current solar cycle. The maximum CIR-storm strength found in our sample of events, plus additional 23 probable CIR-associated Dst less than or equal to -100 nT storms in 1972 - 1995, is (Dst = -161 nT). This is consistent with the maximum storm strength (Dst approx. -180 nT) expected from the O'Brien and McPherron equations for the typical range of solar wind electric fields associated with CIRs. This suggests that CIRs alone are unlikely to generate geomagnetic storms that exceed these levels.
Richardson, I. G.↗
Apparent Relations Between Solar Activity and Solar Tides Caused by the Planets
A solar storm is a storm of ions and electrons from the Sun. Large solar storms are usually preceded by solar flares, phenomena that can be characterized quantitatively from Earth. Twenty-five of the thirty-eight largest known solar flares were observed to start when one or more tide-producing planets (Mercury, Venus, Earth, and Jupiter) were either nearly above the event positions (less than 10 deg. longitude) or at the opposing side of the Sun. The probability for this to happen at random is 0.039 percent. This supports the hypothesis that the force or momentum balance (between the solar atmospheric pressure, the gravity field, and magnetic field) on plasma in the looping magnetic field lines in solar corona could be disturbed by tides, resulting in magnetic field reconnection, solar flares, and solar storms. Separately, from the daily position data of Venus, Earth, and Jupiter, an 11-year planet alignment cycle is observed to approximately match the sunspot cycle. This observation supports the hypothesis that the resonance and beat between the solar tide cycle and nontidal solar activity cycle influences the sunspot cycle and its varying magnitudes. The above relations between the unpredictable solar flares and the predictable solar tidal effects could be used and further developed to forecast the dangerous space weather and therefore reduce its destructive power against the humans in space and satellites controlling mobile phones and global positioning satellite (GPS) systems.
Hung, Ching-Cheh↗
Simultaneous plasma and magnetic-field measurements of probable tangential discontinuities in the solar wind.
Plasma and magnetic field measurements of tangential discontinuities in solar wind by Pioneer 6, considering velocity shears and rotation of sun
Lazarus, A. J.↗
Stereo Science Results at Solar Minimum
The magnetic fields that drive solar activity are complex and inherently three-dimensional structures. Twisted flux ropes, magnetic reconnection and the initiation of solar storms, as well as space weather propagation through the heliosphere, are just a few of the topics that cannot properly be observed or modeled in only two dimensions. Examination of this three-dimensional complex has been hampered by the fact that solar remote sensing observations have occurred only from the Earth-Sun line, and in situ observations, while available from a greater variety of locations, have been sparse throughout the heliosphere.
Christian, Eric R.↗
Interplanetary magnetic field enhancements in the solar wind Statistical properties at 1 AU
The present investigation is concerned with interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) enhancements which do not resemble any of the previously reported amplifications in the IMF. The magnetic field enhacements observed increase slowly at first and then more rapidly to a peak followed by a symmetrical decay. Interplanetary magnetic field enhacement observed by ISEE-3 on various dates are considered, giving attention to observations on June 5, 1979; September 8-9, 1980; February 5, 1981; and June 14-15, 1981. Interplanetary magnetic field enhancement observed with the aid of IMP-8 are also considered. A total of 45 events is found in surveying a 9-year period of magnetic field data.
Arghavani, M. R.↗
Observation of a Magnetic Switchback in the Solar Corona
Switchbacks are sudden, large radial deflections of the solar wind magnetic field, widely revealed in interplanetary space by the Parker Solar Probe. The switchbacks’ formation mechanism and sources are still unresolved, although candidate mechanisms include Alfvénic turbulence, shear-driven Kelvin–Helmholtz instabilities, interchange reconnection, and geometrical effects related to the Parker spiral. This Letter presents observations from the Metis coronagraph on board a Solar Orbiter of a single large propagating S-shaped vortex, interpreted as the first evidence of a switchback in the solar corona. It originated above an active region with the related loop system bounded by open-field regions to the east and west. Observations, modeling, and theory provide strong arguments in favor of the interchange reconnection origin of switchbacks. Metis measurements suggest that the initiation of the switchback may also be an indicator of the origin of slow solar wind.
Solar corona↗
Plasma properties and magnetic field structure of the solar corona, based on coordinated Max 1991 observations from SERTS, the VLA, and magnetographs
The purposes of this investigation are to determine the plasma properties and magnetic field structure of the solar corona using coordinated observations obtained with NASA/GSFC's Solar EUV rocket Telescope and Spectrograph (SERTS), the Very Large Array (VLA), and magnetographs. The observations were obtained under the auspices of NASA's Max '91 program. The methods of achieving the stated purposes of this investigation are: (1) to use SERTS spectra and spectroheliograms to determine coronal plasma properties such as temperature, density, and emission measure; (2) to use the coronal plasma properties to calculate the intensity of the thermal bremsstrahlung microwave emission from the coronal plasma (the minimum microwave intensity expected from the emitting plasma); (3) to establish which emission mechanism(s) contribute to the observed microwave emission by comparing the calculated thermal bremsstrahlung intensity with the observed microwave intensity; (4) to derive the coronal magnetic field for regions in which gyroemission contributes to the microwave emission by determining the appropriate harmonic of the local electron gyrofrequency; (5) to derive the coronal magnetic field for regions in which thermal bremsstrahlung emission alone is responsible for the observed microwave emission by calculating the magnetic field which yields the observed microwave polarization; (6) to derive three-dimensional models of the coronal plasma and magnetic field which are consistent with all of the EUV spectra and spectroheliograms, as well as with the intensity and polarization maps at all of the microwave observing frequencies; and (7) to compare the coronal magnetic field derived from the coordinated multiwaveband observations with extrapolations from photospheric magnetograms.
Brosius, Jeffrey W.↗
Plasma Properties and Magnetic Field Structure of the Solar Corona, Based on Coordinated Max 1991 Observations from SERTS, the VLA, and Magnetographs
The purposes of this investigation are to determine the plasma properties and magnetic field structure of the solar corona using coordinated observations obtained with NASA/GSFC's Solar EUV Rocket Telescope and Spectrograph (SERTS), the Very Large Array (VLA), and magnetographs. The observations were obtained under the auspices of NASA's Max '91 program. The methods of achieving the stated purposes are to use SERTS spectra and spectroheliograms to determine coronal plasma properties such as temperature, density, and emission measure. These properties are subsequently used to calculate the intensity of the thermal bremsstrahlung microwave emission from the coronal plasma (the minimum microwave intensity expected from the emitting plasma). This, in turn, can be used to establish which emission mechanism(s) contribute to the observed microwave emission. Because both mechanisms that may contribute to quiescent active region microwave emission (thermal bremsstrahlung and thermal gyroemission) depend upon the coronal magnetic field in known ways, this information can ultimately be used to derive the coronal magnetic field. Ideally, three-dimensional models of the coronal plasma and magnetic field which are consistent with all of the EUV spectra and spectroheliograms, as well as with the intensity and polarization maps at all of the microwave observing frequencies, can be derived. For completeness, the coronal magnetic field derived from the coordinated multiwaveband observations must be compared with extrapolations from photospheric magnetograms.
Brosius, Jeffrey W.↗
An MHD simulation of the effects of the interplanetary magnetic field By component on the interaction of the solar wind with the earth's magnetosphere during southward interplanetary magnetic field
The interaction between the solar wind and the earth's magnetosphere has been studied by using a time-dependent three-dimensional MHD model in which the IMF pointed in several directions between dawnward and southward. When the IMF is dawnward, the dayside cusp and the tail lobes shift toward the morningside in the northern magnetosphere. The plasma sheet rotates toward the north on the dawnside of the tail and toward the south on the duskside. For an increasing southward IMF component, the plasma sheet becomes thinner and subsequently wavy because of patchy or localized tail reconnection. At the same time, the tail field-aligned currents have a filamentary layered structure. When projected onto the northern polar cap, the filamentary field-aligned currents are located in the same area as the region 1 currents, with a pattern similar to that associated with auroral surges. Magnetic reconnection also occurs on the dayside magnetopause for southward IMF.
Ogino, T.↗
On the latitude and solar cycle dependence of the interplanetary magnetic field strength
Twenty years of solar magnetograph and in-ecliptic IMF measurements are used to verify that the radial IMF component (B sub r) can be approximated by a superposition of the sun's inclined magnetic dipole moment and a current sheet normal to the dipole axis. The net field is found to be about three times stronger along the dipole axis than near the current sheet. Over the sunspot cycle, the absolute value of B sub r should undergo the least modulation near the heliographic equator and the greatest modulation above the sun's poles, where, at 1 AU, it varies systematically between about 10 nT near sunspot minimum and about 1 nT near sunspot maximum. The latitudinal gradients in the absolute value of B sub r are expected to be steepest around sunspot minimum and flattest near sunspot maximum. It is predicted that Ulysses will encounter very strong fields when it flies over the solar poles during the declining phase of sunspot cycle 22.
Wang, Y.-M.↗
Correlative studies of the solar wind. The interplanetary magnetic field, and their effects on the geomagnetic cavity using Explorer 33 and 35 data
The work completed in the study of the effects of the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field on the bow shock and geomagnetic cavity is reported along with work underway but not yet completed. The correlative data from Explorer 33 and 35, and the computer programs for processing the data are described. The research discussed includes: polar cusps, substorms, geomagnetic activity, and North-South component of the interplanetary magnetic field. Lists of publications, and papers presented at meetings are included.
Coleman, P. J., Jr.↗
Type ii bursts and the magnetic field in the corona
Type ii solar radio bursts and magnetic field in corona
CORONA↗
Photoelectrons and lunar limb shocks
It is suggested that boundary conditions for solar wind/lunar limb interactions are active. The 'whole-moon' limb does not evoke a shock cone because warm solar wind electrons are replaced by cool photoelectrons that are ejected from the generally smooth areas of the lunar terminator illuminated at glancing angles by the sun. A localized volume of low thermal pressure is created in the solar wind by these cool photoelectrons. The solar wind expands into this volume without shock production. Directly illuminated highland areas exchange hot photoelectrons for warm solar wind electrons. The hot electrons generate a localized pressure increase in the adjacent solar wind flow which evokes a shock streamer in the solar wind. Shock streamers are identifiable by a coincident increase in the magnitude of the solar wind magnetic field. Shock occurrence is controlled by lunar topography, solar activity in the hard ultraviolet, solar wind electron density and thermal velocity, and the density of the solar wind magnetic field.
Criswell, D. R.↗
Variations in the interplanetary magnetic field - Mariner 2. Part 3 - Some effect upon solar cosmic rays
Effect of variations in interplanetary magnetic field on solar cosmic rays from Mariner II OBSERVATIONS
INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD↗
Interplanetary solar-wind measurements by mariner ii.
Presentation of data collected by mariner ii concerning interplanetary magnetic field and solar plasma
MARINER II SPACE PROBE↗
Critical Magnetic Field Strengths for Unipolar Solar Coronal Plumes In Quiet Regions and Coronal Holes?
Coronal plumes are bright magnetic funnels that are found in quiet regions and coronal holes that extend high into the solar corona whose lifetimes can last from hours to days. The heating processes that make plumes bright involve the magnetic field at the base of the plume, but their intricacies remain mysterious. Raouafi et al. (2014) infer from observation that plume heating is a consequence of magnetic reconnection at the base, whereas Wang et al. (2016) infer that plume heating is a result of convergence of the magnetic flux at the plume's base, or base flux. Both papers suggest that the base flux in their plumes is of mixed polarity, but do not quantitatively measure the base flux or consider whether a critical magnetic field strength is required for plume production. To investigate the magnetic origins of plume heating, we track plume luminosity in the 171 Å wavelength as well as the abundance and strength of the base flux over the lifetimes of six unipolar coronal plumes. Of these, three are in coronal holes and three are in quiet regions. For this sample, we find that plume heating is triggered when convergence of the base flux surpasses a field strength of approximately 300 − 500 Gauss, and that the luminosity of both quiet region and coronal hole plumes respond similarly to the strength of the magnetic field in the base.
Avallone, Ellis↗