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Developing a Logistic Regression Method for Valuation of Grid-Level Energy Storage Systems.
Abstract not provided.
Dispatch Optimization, System Design and Cost Benefit Analysis of a Nuclear Reactor with Molten Salt Thermal Storage
Variable renewable energy availability has increased the volatility in energy prices in most markets. Nuclear power plants, with a large ratio of capital to variable costs, have historically operated as base load energy suppliers but the need for more flexible operation is increasing. We simulate the techno-economic performance of a 950 MWt nuclear power plant, based on the Westinghouse lead-cooled fast reactor, coupled with molten salt thermal storage as a method for flexible energy dispatch. We use the System Advisor Model to model the nuclear reactor thermal power input and power cycle operating modes. We combine this robust engineering model with a mixed-integer linear program model for optimized dispatch scheduling. We then simulate the coupled nuclear and thermal storage system under different market scenarios with varying price volatility. We find that the coupled plant outperforms the base plant under markets where energy price peaks fluctuate by a factor of two or more about the mean price. We show that a calculated power purchase agreement price for the plant improves by up to 10% when operating under California energy market conditions. Sensitivity analysis on the thermal storage cost shows that the optimal design remains unchanged even when doubling costs.
Method and apparatus for shape-based energy analysis of solids
A computer-readable medium stores instructions including storing a model of a physical structure and defining a mesh for the model. The mesh includes finite elements, each defined by a respective set of edges. The instructions include, for each finite element, identifying a governing differential equation and a set of complementary functions that exactly satisfy the governing differential equation. The instructions include determining an applied physical stimulus for the physical structure. The instructions include generating an energy optimization model that minimizes a difference between internal energy and external energy of the finite elements in response to the applied physical stimulus. The model includes a matrix of respective scalar multipliers for the complementary functions for each finite element. The instructions include transforming the matrix and calculating a physical parameter of interest. The instructions include, in response to the physical parameter not satisfying a design parameter, updating the model of the physical structure.
Validation of the single-event method and EPRDATA14 library for low-energy electron transport via stopping power calculations
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Research Highlight - Dispatch Optimization, System Design and Cost Benefit Analysis of a Nuclear Reactor with Molten Salt Thermal Storage
We highlight our work from our previous publication titled "Dispatch Optimization, System Design, and Cost Benefit Analysis of a Nuclear Reactor with Molten Salt Thermal Storage" published in MDPI Energies 2022 (doi.org/10.3390/en15103599). Variable renewable energy availability has increased the volatility in energy prices in most markets. Nuclear power plants, with a large ratio of capital to variable costs, have historically operated as base load energy suppliers but the need for more flexible operation is increasing. We simulate the techno-economic performance of a 950 MWt nuclear power plant, based on the Westinghouse lead-cooled fast reactor, coupled with molten salt thermal storage as a method for flexible energy dispatch. We use the System Advisor Model to model the nuclear reactor thermal power input and power cycle operating modes. We combine this robust engineering model with a mixed-integer linear program model for optimized dispatch scheduling. We then simulate the coupled nuclear and thermal storage system under different market scenarios with varying price volatility. We find that the coupled plant outperforms the base plant under markets where energy price peaks fluctuate by a factor of two or more about the mean price. We show that a calculated power purchase agreement price for the plant improves by up to 10% when operating under California energy market conditions. Sensitivity analysis on the thermal storage cost shows that the optimal design remains unchanged even when doubling costs.
An Analytical Generator for Wave Energy Converter Optimization Using Co-Design Methods
Innovation side of Wave-SPARC Project. Looking into an analytical generator to use within a co-design optimization study
Fundamental data for modeling electron-induced processes in plasma remediation of perfluoroalkyl substances
Plasma treatment of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) contaminated water is a potentially energy efficient remediation method. In this treatment, an atmospheric pressure plasma interacts with surface-resident PFAS molecules. Developing a reaction mechanism and modeling of plasma–PFAS interactions requires fundamental data for electron–molecule reactions. In this paper, we present results of electron scattering calculations, potential energy landscapes and their implications for plasma modelling of a dielectric barrier discharge in PFAS contaminated gases, a first step towards modelling of plasma–water–PFAS intereactions. It is found that the plasma degradation of PFAS is dominated by dissociative electron attachment with the importance of other contributing processes varying depending on the molecule. All molecules posses a large number of shape resonances – transient negative ion states – from near-threshold up to ionization threshold. These states lie in the region of the most probable electron energies in the plasma (4–5 eV) and consequently are expected to further enhance the fragmentation dynamics in both dissociative attachment and dissociative excitation.
Theoretical Particle Physics in the Data-Driven Era (Final Report)
DOE award DE-SC0021447 supports theoretical research in high energy physics. PI and students are not a part of any experimental collaboration, even if some works were done in collaboration with experimental colleagues. All research products are in the form of research articles and they are publicly available under inspirehep.net and arxiv.org, which are typical publication methods in high energy physics. No invention or patent is involved with this research. No equipment or hardware is involved with the research under this award. Research outcomes are used by colleagues in high energy physics, including both theorists and experimentalists. Therefore the outcome of research topics under this award supported the High Energy Physics experimental research program, both in understanding the data and in finding new directions for experimental exploration. The research materials are used to train undergraduate students, graduate students and postdoctoral scholars. We summarize research activity under this award in the following section and major products are listed in section 3. Section 4 contains professional presentations given by PI. Other products developed during the award period are in section 5. Students’ activities are summarized in section 6.
Spin Splitting Energy of Transition Metals: A New, More Affordable Wave Function Benchmark Method and Its Use to Test Density Functional Theory
Accurately predicting the spin splitting energy of chemical species is important for understanding their reactivity and magnetic properties, but it is very challenging, especially for molecules containing transition metals. One impediment to progress is the scarcity of accurate benchmark data. Here we report a set of calculations designed to yield reliable benchmarks for simple transition-metal complexes that can be used to test density functional methods that are affordable for large systems of more practical interest. Various wave function methods are tested against experiment for Fe 2+ , Fe 3+ , and Co 3+ , including CASSCF, CASPT2, CASPT3, MRCISD, MRCISD+Q, ACPF, AQCC, CCSD(T), and CASPT2/CCSD(T) and also a new method called CASPT2.5, which is performed by taking the average of the CASPT2 and CASPT3 energies. Furthermore, we find that MRCISD+Q, ACPF, and AQCC require smaller active spaces for good accuracy than are required by CASPT2 and CASPT3, and this aspect may be important for calculations on larger molecules; here we find that CASPT2.5 extrapolated to a complete basis set is the most suitable method—in terms of computational cost and in terms of accuracy on monatomic systems—and therefore we chose this method for molecular benchmarks. Then Kohn–Sham density functional calculations with 60 exchange-correlation functionals are tested for FeF 2 , FeCl 2 , and CoF 2 . We find that MN15-L, M06-SX, and revM06 have very good agreement with CASPT2.5 benchmarks in terms of both the spin splitting energy and the optimized geometry for each spin state. In addition, we recommend def2-TZVP as the most suitable basis set to perform density functional calculations for molecular spin splitting energies; extra polarization functions in the basis set do not help to increase the accuracy of the spin splitting energy in KS calculations.
Direct measurement of 59 Ni( n, p ) 59 Co and 59 Ni( n, α ) 56 Fe at fast-neutron energies from 500 keV to 10 MeV
We report nuclear reaction data for neutron induced reactions on unstable nuclei are critical for a wide range of applications spanning studies of nuclear astrophysics, nuclear reactor designs, and radiochemistry diagnostics. However, nuclear data evaluations of the reaction cross sections are largely based on calculations due to the difficulty in performing this class of measurements and the resulting lack of experimental data. For neutron induced charged particle reactions at fast neutron energies, at the MeV scale, these cross section predictions are predominately driven by statistical Hauser-Feshbach calculations. In this work, we present partial and total 59 Ni(n, p) and 59 Ni(n, α) cross sections, measured directly with a radioactive 59 Ni target, and compare the results to the present nuclear data evaluations. In addition, the results from this work are compared to a recent study of the 59 Ni(n, xp) reaction cross section that was performed via an indirect surrogate ratio method. The expected energy trend of the cross section, based on the current work, is inconsistent with that of the surrogate work. This calls into question the reliability of that application of the surrogate ratio method and highlights the need for direct measurements on unstable nuclei, when feasible.
Center for Gas Separations (CGS)
The total energy consumption in the U.S. has been rising steadily for decades, and it currently amounts to ~98,000 TBtu/yr, with approximately 30% of this total attributable to the industrial sector. Reasonable estimates indicate that 45–55% of total industry energy consumption derives from chemical separations, and for example, over 120 TBtu/yr alone is used in carrying out olefin/paraffin separations via energy-intensive cryogenic distillation. Therefore, the pursuit of new, even radically different approaches to some of the most energy-intensive industrial separations processes is an imperative scientific pursuit for reducing energy consumption toward a more sustainable future. Adsorbent and membrane-based separations can require a fraction of the energy needed for distillation methods, and as such are considered promising solutions for balancing increasing energy demand in the U.S. with the need for a massive reduction in energy consumption. Although considerable research effort has been devoted to the design of materials capable of carrying out various gas separations, usually operating through size-selective, chemisorptive, or physisorptive mechanisms, it remains a great challenge to design materials that function adequately for real-world applications. Indeed, the chemical and physical differences between molecules in gas mixtures of interest are often small, and therefore it is necessary, through the use of nanoscience and synthetic chemistry, to engineer unprecedented molecular-level control in adsorbate–adsorbent interactions. The overarching mission of the Center for Gas Separations (CGS) was to discover fundamental innovations that have the potential to dramatically reduce the energy associated with critical gas separations. In particular, the CGS developed novel synthetic routes, guided by molecular chemistry principles, as well as advanced characterization and computational methods, that have enabled the discovery of new materials and membranes tailor-made to exhibit exceptional performance for a range of gas separations processes, as required in the clean use of fossil fuels and in reducing CO 2 emissions from industry. A challenge of this magnitude required the collaboration and synergy of a large team of researchers with expertise in materials synthesis, characterization, and computations. During the 11-year project period, the CGS created a range of new materials within the family of highly-tunable, porous solids known as metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). These new frameworks demonstrate novel mechanisms for key industrial gas separations, including revolutionary new cooperative adsorption processes that enable low-energy CO 2 and CO capture, and are capable of efficiently separating olefins from paraffins, O 2 from air, and the shape-selective separation of alkane isomers. In addition, the CGS developed new strategies for incorporating these materials into composite membranes toward highly efficient and selective membrane-based separations. As a testament to the success of the CGS, two start-up companies, Mosaic Materials,4 Inc. and Flux Technology, Inc., grew out of these research efforts, and these companies are seeking to commercialize MOF and composite membranes materials for key separations in industry, including large-scale CO 2 capture and hydrocarbon separations, respectively. Another company, framergy, Inc., licensed IP resulting from CGS research toward the commercialization of adsorbents for various energy-relevant applications.
Constrained Local Approximate Ideal Restriction for Advection-Diffusion Problems
Herein this paper focuses on developing a reduction-based algebraic multigrid (AMG) method that is suitable for solving general (non)symmetric linear systems and is naturally robust from pure advection to pure diffusion. Initial motivation comes from a new reduction-based AMG approach, $\ell \text{AIR}$ (local approximate ideal restriction), that was developed for solving advection-dominated problems. Though this new solver is very effective in the advection-dominated regime, its performance degrades in cases where diffusion becomes dominant. This is consistent with the fact that in general, reduction-based AMG methods tend to suffer from growth in complexity and/or convergence rates as the problem size is increased, especially for diffusion-dominated problems in two or three dimensions. Motivated by the success of $\ell \text{AIR}$ in the advective regime, our aim in this paper is to generalize the AIR framework with the goal of improving the performance of the solver in diffusion-dominated regimes. To do so, we propose a novel way to combine mode constraints as used commonly in energy-minimization AMG methods with the local approximation of ideal operators used in $\ell \text{AIR}$. The resulting constrained $\ell \text{AIR}$ algorithm is able to achieve fast scalable convergence on advective and diffusive problems. In addition, it is able to achieve standard low complexity hierarchies in the diffusive regime through aggressive coarsening, something that was previously difficult for reduction-based methods.
Empirical Results Suggest Quasi-Monte Carlo Sampling Increases Accuracy in the Estimation of Annual Energy Production from Operational Data
Quasi-Monte Carlo sampling was implemented in the OpenOA annual energy production analysis method. Preliminary results show that this method improves the order of the asymptotic convergence of OpenOA’s AEP estimates.
A framework for quantifying uncertainty in DFT energy corrections
In this work, we demonstrate a method to quantify uncertainty in corrections to density functional theory (DFT) energies based on empirical results. Such corrections are commonly used to improve the accuracy of computational enthalpies of formation, phase stability predictions, and other energy-derived properties, for example. We incorporate this method into a new DFT energy correction scheme comprising a mixture of oxidation-state and composition-dependent corrections and show that many chemical systems contain unstable polymorphs that may actually be predicted stable when uncertainty is taken into account. We then illustrate how these uncertainties can be used to estimate the probability that a compound is stable on a compositional phase diagram, thus enabling better-informed assessments of compound stability.
Shallow Bound States and Hints for Broad Resonances with Quark Content b ¯ c ¯ u d in B − D ¯ and B * − D ¯ Scattering from Lattice QCD
We present the first determination of the energy dependence of the B − D ¯ and B * − D ¯ isospin-0, S -wave scattering amplitudes both below and above the thresholds using lattice QCD, which allows us to investigate rigorously whether mixed bottom-charm b ¯ c ¯ u d tetraquarks exist as bound states or resonances. The scattering phase shifts are obtained using Lüscher’s method from the energy spectra in two different volumes. To ensure that no relevant energy level is missed, we use large, symmetric 7 × 7 and 8 × 8 correlation matrices that include, at both source and sink, B ( * ) − D ¯ scattering operators with the lowest three or four possible back-to-back momenta in addition to local b ¯ c ¯ u d operators. We fit the energy dependence of the extracted scattering phase shifts using effective-range expansions. We observe sharp peaks in the B ( * ) − D ¯ scattering rates close to the thresholds, which are associated with shallow bound states, either genuine or virtual, a few MeV or less below the B ( * ) − D ¯ thresholds. In addition, we find hints for resonances with masses of order 100 MeV above the thresholds and decay widths of order 200 MeV. Published by the American Physical Society 2024
Non-Stationary Power System Forced Oscillation Analysis using Synchrosqueezing Transform
Non-stationary forced oscillations (FOs) have been observed in power system operations. However, most detection methods assume that the frequency of FOs is stationary. In this paper, we present a methodology for the analysis of nonstationary FOs. Firstly, Fourier synchrosqueezing transform (FSST) is used to provide a concentrated time-frequency representation of the signals that allows identification and retrieval of non-stationary signal components. To continue, the Dissipating Energy Flow (DEF) method is applied to the extracted components to locate the source of forced oscillations. The methodology is tested using simulated as well as real PMU data. In conclusion, the results show that the proposed FSST-based signal decomposition provides a systematic framework for the application of DEF Method to non-stationary FOs.
Solvation at metal/water interfaces: An ab initio molecular dynamics benchmark of common computational approaches
Determining the influence of the solvent on electrochemical reaction energetics is a central challenge in our understanding of electrochemical interfaces. To date, it is unclear how well existing methods predict solvation energies at solid/liquid interfaces, since they cannot be assessed experimentally. Ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations present a physically highly accurate, but also a very costly approach. In this work, we employ extensive AIMD simulations to benchmark solvation at charge-neutral metal/water interfaces against commonly applied continuum solvent models. We consider a variety of adsorbates including *CO, *CHO, *COH, *OCCHO, *OH, and *OOH on Cu, Au, and Pt facets solvated by water. The surfaces and adsorbates considered are relevant, among other reactions, to electrochemical CO 2 reduction and the oxygen redox reactions. We determine directional hydrogen bonds and steric water competition to be critical for a correct description of solvation at the metal/water interfaces. As a consequence, we find that the most frequently applied continuum solvation methods, which do not yet capture these properties, do not presently provide more accurate energetics over simulations in vacuum. We find most of the computed benchmark solvation energies to linearly scale with hydrogen bonding or competitive water adsorption, which strongly differ across surfaces. Furthermore, we determine solvation energies of adsorbates to be non-transferable between metal surfaces, in contrast to standard practice.