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At least 487 records · Page 27

High-Burnup BWR LOCA Burst Analysis Framework Development and Demonstration

Nuclear power currently contributes approximately 20% of total electricity generation in the United States and more than 10% globally. Given the increasing reliance on nuclear energy to achieve our nation’s goal of reaching net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, there is significant pressure on the existing nuclear industry to extend plant operational licenses and improve efficiency. This is crucial as the existing nuclear fleet serves as a vital bridge until new light water and advanced reactors can be developed and deployed, bolstering the supply of carbon-free energy to meet domestic demands. Operational costs primarily consist of plant operation and maintenance and fuel costs, influenced by materials and reactor core designs. These factors, coupled with heavily subsidized renewable energy markets, create a challenging economic environment for the existing light water reactor fleet, as well as for new build projects. To address these economic challenges, the nuclear industry has developed a strategic blueprint aimed at enhancing nuclear power’s economic sustainability. Past initiatives, such as efforts to eliminate fuel failures by 2010 and reduce operating costs by 30% before 2020, have laid the groundwork. Optimizing core design parameters, including burnup limits and enrichment levels, can lengthen cycles, reduce outages, reduce batch reload batch fractions and spent fuel storage requirements, and lower maintenance and operating expenses, thereby enhancing economic viability. In the United States, boiling water reactors (BWRs) comprise approximately one-third of the fleet, although much of the research and development focus has traditionally been on pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Advances in modeling and simulation, particularly through the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, are crucial to the long-term viability of BWRs, just as they are for PWRs. A key research area of the high burnup/increased enriched fuel initiative is focused on addressing loss-of-coolant-accident (LOCA)-related issues. NEAMS has dedicated significant effort to enhancing tools to better support BWRs, with a current focus on showcasing the BWR framework for high-burnup LOCA analysis. This high-fidelity work will demonstrate a best estimate pin-by-pin high-burnup BWR LOCA analysis to assess full-core cladding rupture behavior. This modeling capability will help with better understanding and realistic evaluation of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) phenomena at BWRs, which then could be used to prevent FFRD at BWRs without penalizing operational parameters. In addition, the results of this work will help identify strategies to identify additional margins or to potentially limit cladding rupture through core design optimizations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Computational Infrastructure for Engine Structural Performance Simulation

Select computer codes developed over the years to simulate specific aspects of engine structures are described. These codes include blade impact integrated multidisciplinary analysis and optimization, progressive structural fracture, quantification of uncertainties for structural reliability and risk, benefits estimation of new technology insertion and hierarchical simulation of engine structures made from metal matrix and ceramic matrix composites. Collectively these codes constitute a unique infrastructure readiness to credibly evaluate new and future engine structural concepts throughout the development cycle from initial concept, to design and fabrication, to service performance and maintenance and repairs, and to retirement for cause and even to possible recycling. Stated differently, they provide 'virtual' concurrent engineering for engine structures total-life-cycle-cost.

Chamis, Christos C.↗

Adaptation of Commercially Available Robots for Conditioning and Packaging ILW at Sellafield - 18282

The Legacy Ponds and Silos at Sellafield site contain some of the most hazardous Intermediate Level Waste (ILW) in the UK. As part of a multi-billion pound decommissioning programme, this waste will be retrieved and transported across the site for conditioning and packaging in the Box Encapsulation Plant (BEP). Current plans are to commence plant active commissioning in 2022, which will represent a major milestone in the UK nuclear decommissioning programme. Within the plant, skips of waste will be transferred from the shielded transport package into standard 3 cubic metre ILW containers. Waste from the Pile Fuel Storage Pond and First Generation Magnox Storage Pond will be immobilised in cementitious grout before being transferred to an adjacent store. Waste from the Magnox Swarf Storage Silo will not be immobilised in grout, but will be packaged, providing multi-barrier containment. During the concept design, the project team selected commercially available robots as the most viable technology for carrying out the numerous dexterous and repetitive tasks involved in characterising, conditioning and packaging the waste within the shielded 'hot' cells. Significant technical challenges had to be overcome during the design to adapt a commercially available robot for use within a high radiation / high contamination environment, where human access is not safe even for short periods of time. These challenges included: - Designing robot assemblies that could be retrofitted into the existing cell structure that was constructed as part of an earlier project but never completed; - Designing robot assemblies that could be recovered to their 'transport' position without requiring manual intervention; - Designing robot assemblies that could be remotely removed and replaced with new ones if they failed part way through the plant operational life; - Designing through-wall service and power connections that allow maintenance and recovery; - Designing control systems and human-machine interfaces that enable both manual and automated operation of the robot, whilst avoiding collisions with the in-cell cranes and other in cell furniture; - Assessing the radiation tolerance of all items. Bespoke computer simulations and full-scale development trials have been carried out, using non-active test materials, in order to demonstrate the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) required by Sellafield Limited (SL) at each stage of the project [1]. The results of these trials have been recorded in both video and written form so that they can form part of the project's Knowledge Management database. Detailed designs and specifications for the robot assemblies have been updated to incorporate the recommendations from the development trials. Procurement and manufacture of robot assemblies has already commenced to deliver two waste handling robots, two waste container lidding / swabbing robots and associated critical spares. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Hanford Direct Feed Low Activity Waste Program Throughput Optimization Through Modeling - 18587

The Direct Feed Low Activity Waste (DFLAW) program at Hanford allows for the early treatment of tank wastes years earlier than previously planned. Operational Research (OR) modeling is being used to provide invaluable insight into how complex and integrated processes will operate. The DFLAW OR models are used to help optimize the design and operation of the integrated system. The DFLAW OR models include the processes and real-life complexities involved in the day-to-day operation of the systems and equipment, and can predict key performance characteristics including throughput, mission timescale, equipment and labor utilization, lag storage and capacity requirements. The DFLAW OR models also have the in-built capability to simulate random events such as equipment failures. Adding random variability to models introduces a real-life element to model results. For example, OR modeling breakdown analysis of equipment failure and restoration times may inform specific improvements to a design and plant operation, including areas where the provision of spare (duty/standby) equipment would prove beneficial; the optimum number and capacity of lag storage tanks (for waste intermediate storage, reagents, etc.); operational issues, including scheduling constraints, labor resource constraints, effect of shift schedules (e.g. days only, extended shifts, 24/7),, maintenance strategies, including planned maintenance, equipment upgrades, on-hand spare part stockholding, etc. At Hanford, standalone OR models to date, have been used to help identify key operational issues and improve the design and operation of individual systems within the Tank Farms, Low Activity Waste Pretreatment System (LAWPS), Low Activity Waste (LAW) Vitrification and Effluent Management Facility (EMF) and Integrated Disposal Facility (IDF), logistics and infrastructure, 222-S laboratory [References 1 and 2] including: - Identification of critical spares including transfer pumps; - Underpin size and number of lag storage tanks to maintain continuous LAW feed to the LAW melters; - Underpin sample turnaround times at the 222-S Laboratory (e.g. feed prequalification and evaporator campaign samples) and determine how targets can be achieved without impacting waste feed delivery to LAWPS and the LAW Vitrification Facility; - Determine operational strategy required at IDF including shift schedules and sizes and the number of ILAW transporters that can support DFLAW throughput; - Identification of lag storage management strategies for glass formers, reagents, other consumables due to delivery distance and delays due to bad weather; and - Truck delivery badging needs to support 24/7 operation and management of shift in/out times required to reduce congestion. An Integrated DFLAW OR model has been developed and combines the standalone OR models such that integrated throughput and availability can be assessed from a program perspective. The Integrated OR model will provide a more detailed understanding of the interactions between Tank Farms, LAWPS, LAW VIT and IDF such that key bottleneck areas can be identified and ensure improvements are focused. Examples of future improvements that may be considered include identification of critical spare parts, required on-site maintenance capabilities, shift scheduling, and craft and labor availability. The methods, results and insights derived by DFLAW OR modeling efforts are expected to provide useful applications to other projects that involve combinations of mechanical handling, chemical processing, waste treatment/packaging or environmental remediation operations. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Comparative study of decay heat calculations with FLUKA and MCNP/CINDER2008

In designing a high-power tungsten target, decay heat driven temperature rise in the spallation volume is a safety concern during maintenance and in loss of coolant accidents. As tungsten hydrates and becomes volatile in steam at above 800 ◦C, it is important to keep the target temperature below this threshold when active cooling is unavailable. Decay heat in a target is calculated with particle transport simulation codes combined with transmutation codes. The calculated decay heat usually differs depending on the nuclear cross sections and the decay particle transport models built in the code architecture. In this paper, we calculated decay heat of a water-cooled tungsten target using popular particle transport codes, FLUKA and MCNP6® paired with CINDER2008 and compared the results. The target-moderator-reflector (TMR) system is modeled with a water-cooled solid tungsten target, water premoderators, liquid hydrogen cold moderators and beryllium reflectors. Water-cooled stainless-steel shielding is modeled around the TMR system. The tungsten volume is clad with a thin layer of erosion/corrosion resistant material. This study provides information about the uncertainty range in decay heat prediction of high-power spallation targets for hazard analysis.

Lee, Yong Joong↗

Updated Liquid Secondary Waste Grout Formulation and Preliminary Waste Form Qualification

This report describes the results from liquid secondary waste grout (LSWG) formulation and cementitious waste form qualification tests performed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) for Washington River Protection Solutions, LLC (WRPS). New formulations for preparing a cementitious waste form from a high-sulfate liquid secondary waste stream simulant, developed for Effluent Management Facility (EMF) process condensates merged with low activity waste (LAW) caustic scrubber, and the release of key constituents (e.g. 99 Tc and 129 I) from these monoliths were evaluated. This work supports a technology development program to address the technology needs for Hanford Site Effluent Treatment Facility (ETF) liquid secondary waste (LSW) solidification and supports future Direct Feed Low-Activity Waste (DFLAW) operations. High-priority activities included simulant development, LSWG formulation, and waste form qualification. The work contained within this report relates to waste form development and testing and does not directly support the 2017 integrated disposal facility (IDF) performance assessment (PA). However, this work contains valuable information for use in PA maintenance past FY17, and for future waste form development efforts. The provided data should be used by (i) cementitious waste form scientists to further understanding of cementitious dissolution behavior, (ii) IDF PA modelers who use quantified constituent leachability, effective diffusivity, and partitioning coefficients to advance PA modeling efforts, and (iii) the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) contractors and decision makers as they assess the IDF PA program. The results obtained help fill existing data gaps, support final selection of a LSWG waste form, and improve the technical defensibility of long-term waste form performance estimates.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Updated Liquid Secondary Waste Grout Formulation and Preliminary Waste Form Qualification

This report describes the results from liquid secondary waste grout (LSWG) formulation and cementitious waste form qualification tests performed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) for Washington River Protection Solutions, LLC (WRPS). New formulations for preparing a cementitious waste form from a high-sulfate liquid secondary waste stream simulant, developed for Effluent Management Facility (EMF) process condensates merged with low activity waste (LAW) caustic scrubber, and the release of key constituents (e.g. 99Tc and 129I) from these monoliths were evaluated. This work supports a technology development program to address the technology needs for Hanford Site Effluent Treatment Facility (ETF) liquid secondary waste (LSW) solidification and supports future Direct Feed Low-Activity Waste (DFLAW) operations. High-priority activities included simulant development, LSWG formulation, and waste form qualification. The work contained within this report relates to waste form development and testing and does not directly support the 2017 integrated disposal facility (IDF) performance assessment (PA). However, this work contains valuable information for use in PA maintenance past FY17, and for future waste form development efforts. The provided data should be used by (i) cementitious waste form scientists to further understanding of cementitious dissolution behavior, (ii) IDF PA modelers who use quantified constituent leachability, effective diffusivity, and partitioning coefficients to advance PA modeling efforts, and (iii) the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) contractors and decision makers as they assess the IDF PA program. The results obtained help fill existing data gaps, support final selection of a LSWG waste form, and improve the technical defensibility of long-term waste form performance estimates.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Collimation Systems for the PSR

This note provides a review of collimator systems being used or considered in high-intensity proton accelerators like SNS, J-PARC, LHC, and PIP-II. These facilities use collimators to remove beam halo, restrict transverse size and momentum in the beam to constrain beam losses around collimators and minimize beam losses downstream, particularly losses arising from particles missing the design location at the stripping foil when injected into the proton storage ring. Collimators are placed either in the transport injection lines (single-pass collimators) or in the rings (multi-pass collimators). Collimators in the transport line are placed around stripping foils in H- accelerators, allowing the beamline optics to get rid of the unstripped protons into well localized absorbers. Rings and proton accelerators mostly rely on tungsten scrapers and collimators in a multi-stage configuration to clean the scattered beam particles mainly responsible for heavy losses at high energies. Placement of the collimators is carefully chosen in terms of the right phase advance to maximize the collimating efficiency, whether the collimation is intended to match an injection stripping foil or a downstream acceptance. Collimation systems are designed with the specific concerns of each facility in mind, although all of them prioritize the minimization of activation due to beam losses to enable hands-on access during maintenance periods. At LANSCE, there are no high-energy collimators, although pairs of horizontal and vertical jaws are routinely used in the LEBT to clean and control the transverse beam profile delivered downstream. This report will help in understanding, together with the beam dynamics simulations, which collimation schemes would be most effective for the PSR upgrade. For example, SNS designed off-momentum collimators to be placed in a 90° arc bend, a high-dispersion region in the beam injection line, very similar to the bend at Line D in LANSCE. This system was very effective at minimizing losses during injection into the SNS accumulator ring and is being re-designed for future operation.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Ontario International Airport Fleet Electrification Blueprint: Zero-Emission Vehicle Technology Assessment for Energy Optimization [Slides]

Ontario International Airport Authority (OIAA)'s Electric Vehicle (EV) Blueprint project presentation focuses on the possibilities for fleet electrification, including medium heavy duty charging and hydrogen refueling and their associated planning, infrastructure, operation, and maintenance options. This report includes detailed list of available electric ground support equipment (GSE), description of NREL tools for EV infrastructure design and optimization, and analyses of the current fleet and the potential grid impacts of electrification. Key recommendations are made in regard to simulation-based and in-depth system analyses to identify optimal charging infrastructure and long-term grid stability, and to ensure that the selected station architecture will provide enough space and capacity for future expansion and resiliency.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Development of Lightweight Structural Materials with Improved Properties for Fission Batteries

The notion of a “fission battery” conveys a vision focused on realizing very simple “plug-and-play” nuclear systems that can be integrated into a variety of applications requiring affordable, reliable energy in the form of electricity and/or heat and function without operations and maintenance staff. Fission batteries require lightweight structural materials to increase their mobility, and the lightweight materials must demonstrate structural resilience under various conditions. The objective of this work is to develop lightweight structural material featuring a good combination of mechanical properties using advanced modeling and simulation together with an advanced additive manufacturing technique such as laser powder bed fusion. The preliminary results show that different lattice structures and types can be successfully meshed using nTopology software, and the lattice structure data can be successfully transformed to Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) input. Finite Element Analysis (FEA) displays that, at macro/engineering scale simulation, the weight saving design has an obvious effect on tensile behavior such as effective elastic modulus and yield stress. The novel approaches of this work are (1) development of optimized lattice structures for improved mechanical properties using advanced simulation and modeling techniques; and (2) model predictions of the mechanical properties (e.g., strength and stress distribution) of macroscopic materials in order to preliminarily select a lattice structure for additive manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

New systems in MOOSE

The Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) serves as a common library of classes between applications developed for advanced reactor analysis, fusion device engineering, spent fuel cask analysis, geochemistry studies, among other fields. These applications drive the development of the framework to meet their needs. Systems in MOOSE group capabilities that share a common purpose and generally common code. They can be leveraged by all downstream applications, providing extensive code re-use and shared maintenance. They facilitate the discovery by new users of the classes meeting at least partially their needs, and offer the same opportunities for customization as other systems. The addition of a new system to MOOSE opens new ways of solving or discretizing nonlinear problems, of performing distributed postprocessing, and a plethora of other needs. While new systems can be introduced in downstream applications rather than at the framework level, the framework team monitors common needs across the community and often triggers their addition. Documentation, training material, development needs can be centralized, limiting duplicated work across the community. The last three years have seen a large expansion in the capabilities of MOOSE. The supporting role of the framework in the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has created numerous feature requests to support neutronics, thermal hydraulics, computational fluid dynamics and thermo-mechanics simulations in the Griffin, SAM, Pronghorn and Bison applications respectively. Similarly, laboratory-directed research and development (LDRD) projects in additive manufacturing, high-Reynolds flow simulations, structure optimization also necessitate an expansion of the framework capabilities. This summary reports on the new systems created in MOOSE, their design, their capabilities and some of the relevant interfaces.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Control of free-flying space robot manipulator systems

New control techniques for self contained, autonomous free flying space robots were developed and tested experimentally. Free flying robots are envisioned as a key element of any successful long term presence in space. These robots must be capable of performing the assembly, maintenance, and inspection, and repair tasks that currently require human extravehicular activity (EVA). A set of research projects were developed and carried out using lab models of satellite robots and a flexible manipulator. The second generation space robot models use air cushion vehicle (ACV) technology to simulate in 2-D the drag free, zero g conditions of space. The current work is divided into 5 major projects: Global Navigation and Control of a Free Floating Robot, Cooperative Manipulation from a Free Flying Robot, Multiple Robot Cooperation, Thrusterless Robotic Locomotion, and Dynamic Payload Manipulation. These projects are examined in detail.

Cannon, Robert H., Jr.↗

Coherent Doppler Laser Radar: Technology Development and Applications

NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center has been investigating, developing, and applying coherent Doppler laser radar technology for over 30 years. These efforts have included the first wind measurement in 1967, the first airborne flights in 1972, the first airborne wind field mapping in 1981, and the first measurement of hurricane eyewall winds in 1998. A parallel effort at MSFC since 1982 has been the study, modeling and technology development for a space-based global wind measurement system. These endeavors to date have resulted in compact, robust, eyesafe lidars at 2 micron wavelength based on solid-state laser technology; in a factor of 6 volume reduction in near diffraction limited, space-qualifiable telescopes; in sophisticated airborne scanners with full platform motion subtraction; in local oscillator lasers capable of rapid tuning of 25 GHz for removal of relative laser radar to target velocities over a 25 km/s range; in performance prediction theory and simulations that have been validated experimentally; and in extensive field campaign experience. We have also begun efforts to dramatically improve the fundamental photon efficiency of the laser radar, to demonstrate advanced lower mass laser radar telescopes and scanners; to develop laser and laser radar system alignment maintenance technologies; and to greatly improve the electrical efficiency, cooling technique, and robustness of the pulsed laser. This coherent Doppler laser radar technology is suitable for high resolution, high accuracy wind mapping; for aerosol and cloud measurement; for Differential Absorption Lidar (DIAL) measurements of atmospheric and trace gases; for hard target range and velocity measurement; and for hard target vibration spectra measurement. It is also suitable for a number of aircraft operations applications such as clear air turbulence (CAT) detection; dangerous wind shear (microburst) detection; airspeed, angle of attack, and sideslip measurement; and fuel savings through headwind minimization. In addition to the airborne and space platforms, a coherent Doppler laser radar system in an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) could provide battlefield weather and target identification.

Kavaya, Michael J.↗

Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy of Alloys in a Simulated Space Shuttle Launch Environment

Corrosion studies began at NASA/Kennedy Space Center in 1966 during the Gemini/Apollo Programs with the evaluation of long-term protective coatings for the atmospheric protection of carbon steel. An outdoor exposure facility on the beach near the launch pad was established for this purpose at that time. The site has provided over 35 years of technical information on the evaluation of the long-term corrosion performance of many materials and coatings as well as on maintenance procedures. Results from these evaluations have helped NASA find new materials and processes that increase the safety and reliability of our flight hardware, launch structures, and ground support equipment. The launch environment at the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) is extremely corrosive due to the combination of ocean salt spray, heat, humidity, and sunlight. With the introduction of the Space Shuttle in 1981, the already highly corrosive conditions at the launch pad were rendered even more severe by the acidic exhaust from the solid rocket boosters. Over the years, many materials have been evaluated for their corrosion performance under conditions similar to those found at the launch pads. These studies have typically included atmospheric exposure and evaluation with conventional electrochemical methods such as open circuit potential (OCP) measurements, polarization techniques, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS). The atmosphere at the Space Shuttle launch site is aggressive to most metals and causes severe pitting in many of the common stainless steel alloys such as type 304L stainless steel (304L SS). A study was undertaken to find a more corrosion resistant material to replace the existing 304L SS tubing. This paper presents the results from atmospheric exposure as well as electrochemical measurements on the corrosion resistance of AL-6XN (UNS N08367) and 254-SMO (UNS S32154). Type 304L SS (UNS S30403) was used as a control. Conditions at the Space Shuttle launch pad were simulated by using a hydrochloric acid (HC1) and alumina (Al203) slurry rinse for the atmospheric exposure and an electrolyte consisting of 3.55% sodium chloride (NaC1) with increased concentrations of hydrochloric acid (HC1) for the electrochemical measurements. The results from both types of measurements revealed the superior corrosion performance of the higher-alloyed materials. Unlike 304L SS, 254-SMO and AL-6XN exhibited a significantly improved resistance to corrosion as the concentration of hydrochloric acid in he 3.55% NaCl electrolyte solution was increased.

Calle, L. M.↗

Comprehensive Total Cost of Ownership Quantification for Vehicles with Different Size Classes and Powertrains

In order to accurately compare the costs of two vehicles, the total cost of ownership (TCO) should consist of all costs related to both purchasing and operating the vehicle. This TCO analysis builds on previous work to provide a comprehensive perspective of all relevant vehicle costs of ownership. In this report, we present what we believe to be the most comprehensive explicit financial analysis of the costs that will be incurred by a vehicle owner. This study considers vehicle cost and depreciation, financing, fuel costs, insurance costs, maintenance and repair costs, taxes and fees, and other operational costs to formulate a holistic total cost of ownership and operation of multiple different vehicles. For each of these cost parameters that together constitute a comprehensive TCO, extensive literature review and data analysis were performed to find representative values in order to build a holistic TCO for vehicles of all size classes. The light- and heavy-duty vehicles selected for analysis in this report are representative of those that are on the road today and expected to be available in the future. Important additive analyses in this study include systematic analysis of vehicle depreciation, in-depth examination of insurance premium costs, comprehensive maintenance and repair estimates, analysis of all relevant taxes and fees, and considerations of specific costs applicable to commercial vehicles. We find that cars depreciate faster than light trucks and that older plug-in electric vehicles have a greater depreciation rate than newer electric vehicles. Light-duty vehicle (LDV) insurance costs show comparable costs for different powertrains, and lower costs for larger size classes. Medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) insurance costs vary significantly by vocation. Electric and electrified powertrains have lower maintenance and repair costs than internal combustion engine (ICE) powertrains for all vehicle sizes, relative to vehicle price. MHDV maintenance and repair costs depend heavily on vocation and duty cycle. LDV taxes and fees are comparable across powertrain types and size classes, though marginally higher registration fees exist for alternative fuel vehicles. MHDV fees depend on the vocation, weight rating, and state. Many electric tractor trailers would be affected by additional battery weight, reducing the available payload capacity, and this cost can be substantial. Electric vehicle charging for commercial vehicles can be time-consuming; labor rates can cause this cost to dominate TCO. With improved knowledge of each of the cost components, we calculate a lifetime TCO for comparison across vehicles of different types and attributes. For a simulated small sport utility vehicle in 2025, modeled using Autonomie, the hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) has the lowest cost, followed by the conventional ICE vehicle. For MHDV, TCO can be drastically different depending on the vocation. Long-haul vehicles typically have the lowest per-mile costs. Excluding labor costs, the class 4 delivery has a comparable TCO to the day cab. Vocational trucks, refuse trucks, and transit buses have a high per-mile cost of ownership due to maintenance and insurance. For all of these vehicles, the cost of operating the vehicle is heavily weighted by the labor of the driver, followed by the fuel costs. While the HEV begins as the lowest cost powertrain for passenger vehicles, fuel cells are forecast to reach cost parity by 2030 when hydrogen prices reach $\$ 5$/kg while battery electric vehicles (BEV) reach cost parity by 2035 at a battery cost of $\$ 98$ per usable kWh of capacity, with these two technologies being the lowest cost in 2050. For the class 8 day cab tractor, the HEV and ICE vehicle begin as the lowest cost powertrains, and the 250-mile BEV reduces in cost from the most expensive to the least expensive by 2030.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

WRF Modelling of Deep Convection and Hail for Wind Power Applications

Deep convection and the related occurrence of hail, intense precipitation and wind gusts represent a hazard to a range of energy infrastructure including wind turbine blades. Wind turbine blade leading edge erosion (LEE) is caused by the impact of falling hydrometeors onto rotating wind turbine blades. It is a major source of wind turbine maintenance costs and energy losses from wind farms. In the United States Southern Great Plains (SGP), where there is widespread wind energy development, deep convection and hail events are common, increasing the potential for precipitation-driven LEE. A 25-day Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation conducted at convection-permitting resolution and using a detailed microphysics scheme is carried out for the SGP to evaluate the effectiveness in modelling the wind and precipitation conditions relevant to LEE potential. WRF output for these properties is evaluated using radar observations of precipitation (including hail) and reflectivity, in situ wind speed measurements and wind power generation. This research demonstrates some skill for the primary drivers of LEE. Wind speeds, rainfall rates and precipitation totals show good agreement with observations. Here, the occurrence of precipitation during power producing wind speeds is also shown to exhibit fidelity. Hail events frequently occur during periods when wind turbines are rotating and are especially important to LEE in the SGP. The presence of hail is modelled with a mean proportion correct of 0.77 and an odds ratio 4.55. Further research is needed to demonstrate sufficient model performance to be actionable for the wind energy industry and there is evidence for positive model bias in cloud reflectivity.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Effluent Management Facility Evaporator Bottom-Waste Streams Formulation and Waste Form Qualification Testing

This report describes the results from grout formulation and cementitious waste form qualification testing performed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) for Washington River Protection Solutions, LLC (WRPS). These results are part of a screening test that investigates three grout formulations proposed for wide-range treatment of different waste stream compositions expected for the Hanford Effluent Management Facility (EMF) evaporator bottom waste. This work supports the technical development need for alternative disposition paths for the EMF evaporator bottom wastes and future direct feed low-activity waste (DFLAW) operations at the Hanford Site. High-priority activities included simulant production, grout formulation, and cementitious waste form qualification testing. The work contained within this report relates to waste form development and testing, and does not directly support the 2017 Integrated Disposal Facility (IDF) performance assessment (PA). However, this work contains valuable information for use in PA maintenance past FY 2017 and future waste form development efforts. The provided results and data should be used by (1) cementitious waste form scientists to further the understanding of cementitious leach behavior of contaminants of concern (COCs), (2) decision makers interested in off-site waste form disposal, and (3) the U.S. Department of Energy, their Hanford Site contractors and stakeholders as they assess the IDF PA program at the Hanford Site. The results reported help fill existing data gaps, support final selection of a cementitious waste form for the EMF evaporator bottom waste, and improve the technical defensibility of long-term waste form risk estimates.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Analyses in Support of Risk-Informed Natural Gas Vehicle Maintenance Facility Codes and Standards: Phase II

Safety standards development for maintenance facilities of liquid and compressed natural gas fueled vehicles is required to ensure proper facility design and operating procedures. Standard development organizations are utilizing risk-informed concepts to develop natural gas vehicle (NGV) codes and standards so that maintenance facilities meet acceptable risk levels. The present report summarizes Phase II work for existing NGV repair facility code requirements and highlights inconsistencies that need quantitative analysis into their effectiveness. A Hazardous and Operability study was performed to identify key scenarios of interest using risk ranking. Detailed simulations and modeling were performed to estimate the location and behavior of natural gas releases based on these scenarios. Specific code conflicts were identified, and ineffective code requirements were highlighted and resolutions proposed. These include ventilation rate basis on area or volume, as well as a ceiling offset which seems ineffective at protecting against flammable gas concentrations. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors gratefully acknowledge Bill Houf (SNL -- Retired) for his assistance with the set-up and post-processing of the numerical simulations. The authors also acknowledge Doug Horne (retired) for his helpful discussions. We would also like to acknowledge the support from the Clean Cities program of DOE's Vehicle Technology Office.

03 NATURAL GAS↗