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At least 487 records · Page 27

Energetic Electron Precipitation Driven by Electromagnetic Ion Cyclotron Waves from ELFIN’s Low Altitude Perspective

We review comprehensive observations of electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) wave-driven energetic electron precipitation using data collected by the energetic electron detector on the Electron Losses and Fields InvestigatioN (ELFIN) mission, two polar-orbiting low-altitude spinning CubeSats, measuring 50-5000 keV electrons with good pitch-angle and energy resolution. EMIC wave-driven precipitation exhibits a distinct signature in energy-spectrograms of the precipitating-to-trapped flux ratio: peaks at >0.5 MeV which are abrupt (bursty) (lasting ~17 s, or ΔL ~ 0.56) with significant substructure (occasionally down to sub-second timescale). We attribute the bursty nature of the precipitation to the spatial extent and structuredness of the wave field at the equator. Multiple ELFIN passes over the same MLT sector allow us to study the spatial and temporal evolution of the EMIC wave - electron interaction region. Case studies employing conjugate ground-based or equatorial observations of the EMIC waves reveal that the energy of moderate and strong precipitation at ELFIN approximately agrees with theoretical expectations for cyclotron resonant interactions in a cold plasma. Using multiple years of ELFIN data uniformly distributed in local time, we assemble a statistical database of ~50 events of strong EMIC wave-driven precipitation. Most reside at L ~ 5 – 7 at dusk, while a smaller subset exists at L ~ 8 – 12 at post-midnight. The energies of the peak-precipitation ratio and of the half-peak precipitation ratio (our proxy for the minimum resonance energy) exhibit an L-shell dependence in good agreement with theoretical estimates based on prior statistical observations of EMIC wave power spectra. The precipitation ratio’s spectral shape for the most intense events has an exponential falloff away from the peak (i.e., on either side of ~ 1.45 MeV). It too agrees well with quasi-linear diffusion theory based on prior statistics of wave spectra. It should be noted though that this diffusive treatment likely includes effects from nonlinear resonant interactions (especially at high energies) and nonresonant effects from sharp wave packet edges (at low energies). Sub-MeV electron precipitation observed concurrently with strong EMIC wave-driven >1 MeV precipitation has a spectral shape that is consistent with efficient pitch-angle scattering down to ~ 200-300 keV by much less intense higher frequency EMIC waves at dusk (where such waves are most frequent). At ~100 keV, whistler-mode chorus may be implicated in concurrent precipitation. These results confirm the critical role of EMIC waves in driving relativistic electron losses. Nonlinear effects may abound and require further investigation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Support of Adhesion Mechanisms in Al 2 O 3 Aerosol Deposition Through Laser-Induced Particle Impact Testing

Aerosol deposition (AD) is a kinetic spray process capable of depositing ceramic coatings at room temperature, but AD process development is generally a laborious exploration of a large process parameter space. Here, this paper presents a case study investigating whether laser-induced particle impact testing (LIPIT) could be applied to expedite development of an alumina (Al 2 O 3 ) coating on nickel (Ni): Specifically, whether LIPIT measurements could predict critical velocities of adhesion on Ni and Al 2 O 3 , and the effect of ball milling the Al 2 O 3 powder. Because LIPIT has a diffraction-limited lower bound on imageable particle size, the usefulness of Al 2 O 3 powder agglomerates as a proxy for single particles was additionally studied. Overall, LIPIT measurements and AD sprays agreed that ball milling dramatically improves adhesion. Additionally, LIPIT measurements of critical velocity of adhesion of Al 2 O 3 powder agglomerates on Ni and Al 2 O 3 substrates (150 meters per second [m/s] and 250 m/s, respectively) quantitatively agreed with predictions from a previously published model based on picoindentation and molecular dynamics simulations. Together, these findings support the established hypothesis that Al 2 O 3 adheres via a dislocation-mediated mechanism in AD, that Al 2 O 3 powder agglomerates adhere as individual constituent particles rather than collectively, and that, for this case study, LIPIT measurements were predictive of AD process parameters.

Al2O3↗

What Can Plastic Flow Fields Tell Us About Heat Sources in Deformation Processing?

We characterize primary (shape-change) and secondary (friction) deformation, and associated temperature fields, in metal cutting and forming processes, using in situ imaging and simulation. The experimental configurations enable access to the deformation zones and die contact-interfaces, for measuring deformation, temperature, and frictional drag. Infra-red thermography reveals that the plastic strain-rate field is an excellent proxy for the deformation-induced heat sources. Both spatially confined and diffuse strain-rate fields occur, depending on the initial workpiece deformation state. When the strain rate is confined, as in pre-hardened material, the temperature modeling is much simplified, as the heat source is also now localized. However complex, microstructure-driven deformation modes, like sinuous flow in annealed metals, result in spatially diffuse strain-rate and body heat sources, more challenging to analyze. Furthermore, our unified measurements should be of value for accurately estimating the fraction of plastic dissipation that is converted into heat in large-strain deformation processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Stochastic Unit Commitment: Model Reduction via Learning

As weather-dependent renewable generation increases its share in the generation mix of most electric energy systems, a stochastic unit commitment becomes the natural day-ahead scheduling tool. However, such a tool is generally computationally intractable if a detailed uncertainty description is considered. Taking this into account, we proposed a learning method to make the stochastic unit commitment problem tractable. Here, recent advances in statistical learning and machine learning to address optimization problems can be advantageously applied to the rather intractable stochastic unit commitment problem. Considering these advances, we explore simple learning techniques to drastically reduce the size of a stochastic unit commitment problem without significantly altering its optimal solution. The considered stochastic unit commitment problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic programming problem. The first stage represents commitment decisions, while the second one represents the operation conditions under different scenarios. Taking into account historical solved instances (or proxies for them), we reduce the size (measured by numbers of constraints and variables) of the stochastic unit commitment problem by (i) fixing unchanged binary variables and by (ii) eliminating inactive inequality constraints. Our numerical results show that the reduced problem generally requires significantly less time to solve while obtaining high-quality solutions, which are very close to or indistinguishable from the one obtained by solving the original problem. We use an Illinois 200-bus system to illustrate and characterize the performance of the proposed problem-reduction method.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Chapter 6: TEA and LCA of Bio-Based Polyurethanes

For bio-based polyurethane (PU) to replace its conventional petroleum-based counterpart, it must be cost-competitive while providing a positive environmental benefit. Techno-economic analysis (TEA) and life cycle assessment (LCA) provide tools to quantify the economic and environmental viability of bio-based PU and to identify key drivers. Here we describe TEA and LCA methodologies for assessing bio-based PU, including an example case study for producing a flexible PU foam. This process has the potential to be cost-competitive with traditional PU based on a published study using a linseed oil proxy feedstock. Bio-based PU also demonstrates environmental advantages in some categories considered but faces challenges in others compared to petroleum-based PU. Further TEA and LCA beyond the case study may enable assessment for alternative product and process variations that are possible for bio-based PU.

bio-based polyurethane↗

Sensitivity analysis of generic deep geologic repository with focus on spatial heterogeneity induced by stochastic fracture network generation

Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment Framework is a state-of-the-art simulation software toolkit for probabilistic post-closure performance assessment of systems for deep geologic disposal of nuclear waste developed by the United States Department of Energy. This paper presents a generic reference case and shows how it is being used to develop and demonstrate performance assessment methods within the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment Framework that mitigate some of the challenges posed by high uncertainty and limited computational resources. Variance-based global sensitivity analysis is applied to assess the effects of spatial heterogeneity using graph-based summary measures for scalar and time-varying quantities of interest. Behavior of the system with respect to spatial heterogeneity is further investigated using ratios of water fluxes. This analysis shows that spatial heterogeneity is a dominant uncertainty in predictions of repository performance which can be identified in global sensitivity analysis using proxy variables derived from graph descriptions of discrete fracture networks. New quantities of interest defined using water fluxes proved useful for better understanding overall system behavior.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Tree growth, transpiration, and water-use efficiency between shoreline and upland red maple (Acer rubrum) trees in a coastal forest

Coastal shoreline forests are vulnerable to seawater exposure, the impacts of which will increase due to sea-level rise, but the longterm adaption strategies and vulnerability of coastal forests are not well understood. We used whole-tree transpiration, leaf water potential, tree-ring width, and tree-ring d13C (a proxy for intrinsic water use efficiency, iWUE) to examine the long-term adaption strategies of red maple (Acer rubrum) trees at the coastal interface (i.e., shoreline) and nearby upland in Maryland, USA. Red maple trees that grew along the shoreline and were exposed to slightly saline water (up to two PSU) had higher transpiration rates than those growing in the nearby upland forest during a wet year, but these differences disappeared during a normal precipitation year. Shoreline trees grew more slowly than upland trees over the last four decades, but these growth differences have disappeared in the last six years. Shoreline and upland trees had similar variation in iWUE, indicating that higher transpiration rates of the seawater exposed trees did not translate into differences in water use efficiency. There were no differences in predawn and midday water potential between upland and shoreline trees, suggesting no water stress occurs in shoreline trees. These findings indicate that urrent soil salinity is below the threshold to constrain coastal red maple physiological activities.

Wang, Wenzhi↗

Editorial special issue: Advancing foundational sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence science

The first research on the possibilities offered by chlorophyll-a fluorescence to track the daily course of CO 2 assimilation by leaves dates back to the last century (Kautsky and Hirsch, 1931). In the second half of the XXth Century, the development of the field of active fluorescence, which relies mainly on the pulse amplitude modulation (PAM) fluorimetry technique, allowed the unraveling of the relationship between the yield of chlorophyll-a fluorescence and photochemistry (linear electron transport), which is modulated by a third process known as non-photochemical quenching (Genty et al., 1989). Since then, active fluorescence has been regularly used in ecophysiology, forestry, and crop sciences to understand the plant response to stress (Schreiber, 2004). Since the beginning of the 2000s, the development of portable field spectrometers allows for measuring passive sun-induced fluorescence (SIF) at strong solar or telluric absorption features, which do not rely on the use of artificial excitation light (e.g., Meroni and Colombo, 2006; Meroni et al., 2009; Perez-Priego et al., 2005). Since then, the field has rapidly evolved, and now fluorescence is measurable with automated field spectrometers in the field (Grossmann et al., 2018; Gu et al., 2019b; Rossini et al., 2010), airborne platforms (Rascher et al., 2015; Zarco-Tejada et al., 2000), and satellites (Guanter et al., 2012; Sun et al., 2018). These advances offer the potential to couple ecosystem-scale measurements of CO 2 fluxes and SIF to probe new aspects related to ecosystem structural impacts on SIF andphotosynthesis processes at different time-scales and on different ecosystems (e.g., Damm et al., 2010; Magney et al., 2019; Porcar-Castell et al., 2021). While SIF has been proven as a good proxy of gross primary productivity (GPP), mainly across large spatial and temporal gradients, a series of studies showed that different factors could confound this relationship, namely different canopy structures (e.g., Dechant et al., 2020; Migliavacca et al., 2017), stress conditions (e.g., Martini et al., 2022; Wieneke et al., 2018; Wohlfahrt et al., 2018), nutritional conditions (Cendrero-Mateo et al., 2015; Martini et al., 2019), species-specific differences (e.g., Van Wittenberghe et al., 2013) and light regimes (e.g., Liu and Liu, 2018). At the same time, the modeling of SIF developed rapidly (Gu et al., 2019a; Han et al., 2022; Han et al., 2021; van der Tol et al., 2014; van der Tol et al., 2009) and with an increasing degree of realism, offering the possibility to retrieve important vegetation parameters from remote sensing (Pacheco-Labrador et al., 2019; Verrelst et al., 2015; Verrelst et al., 2016; Zhang et al., 2014). Excellent and comprehensive reviews of the field are by (Mohammed et al., 2019; Porcar-Castell et al., 2021; Porcar-Castell et al., 2014; Sun et al., 2023a; Sun et al., 2023b). Despite the exponential increase in the number of publications in the field, significant progress is still needed. Here, this special issue aims to report foundational SIF science, including theoretical modeling and measurement-based research that is urgently needed to unleash the full potential of SIF for physiological and ecological applications at scales spanning from leaf to globe. The 14 articles collected in this special issue reported on the following specific aspects: first, technical capabilities enabling spectrally resolved SIF observations and their inter-comparability in space and time; second, theoretical developments in SIF-photosynthesis relationships to correctly interpret the signal and extract mechanistic information on vegetation structure and function; third, evaluation of the potential of SIF to track process beyond photosynthesis, such as transpiration; fourth, large scale-applications of SIF observations; and finally, upscaling fluorescence from leaf to canopy scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Trajectory of Growth of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Variants in Houston, Texas, January through May 2021, Based on 12,476 Genome Sequences

Certain genetic variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are of substantial concern because they may be more transmissible or detrimentally alter the pandemic course and disease features in individual patients. SARS-CoV-2 genome sequences from 12,476 patients in the Houston Methodist health care system diagnosed from January 1 through May 31, 2021 are reported here. Prevalence of the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant increased rapidly and caused 63% to 90% of new cases in the latter half of May. Eleven B.1.1.7 genomes had an E484K replacement in spike protein, a change also identified in other SARS-CoV-2 lineages. Compared with non–B.1.1.7-infected patients, individuals with B.1.1.7 had a significantly lower cycle threshold (a proxy for higher virus load) and significantly higher hospitalization rate. Other variants [eg, B.1.429 and B.1.427 (Epsilon), P.1 (Gamma), P.2 (Zeta), and R.1] also increased rapidly, although the magnitude was less than that in B.1.1.7. Twenty-two patients infected with B.1.617.1 (Kappa) or B.1.617.2 (Delta) variants had a high rate of hospitalization. Breakthrough cases (n = 207) in fully vaccinated patients were caused by a heterogeneous array of virus genotypes, including many not currently designated variants of interest or concern. Finally, in the aggregate, this study delineates the trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 variants circulating in a major metropolitan area, documents B.1.1.7 as the major cause of new cases in Houston, TX, and heralds the arrival of B.1.617 variants in the metroplex.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Autonomous monitoring of algal biomass: Success stories and lessons learned from long-term field deployment

Autonomous, high-frequency monitoring of outdoor algal ponds is needed to quantify biomass productivity and detect culture decline in environments prone to contamination, grazers, and variable operating conditions. We report successes and lessons learned in translating a laboratory spectroradiometric monitoring approach to a multi-year autonomous field deployment at the Arizona Center for Algae Technology and Innovation (AzCATI). The system measures spectrally resolved pond reflectance by ratioing upwelling radiance from each raceway to simultaneous downwelling sky irradiance using fiber-coupled spectrometers. A physics-based reflectance model (ASHARP) is fit to each spectrum pair to estimate optical parameters, including a biomass-proxy coefficient (C a ) which enables near-real-time tracking of biomass accumulation and culture state at 2–5 min intervals. From May 2022 through September 2025 the platform operated continuously while scaling from two to six raceway ponds. Several strains of algae were monitored successfully, including the high productivity Tetraselmis striata and Picochlorum celeri. Transitioning data acquisition from a Windows laptop to a Raspberry Pi improved uptime from 57% (2022) to ~89% (2024–2025) and enabled routine real-time analysis. Further, we converted relative biomass estimates to absolute ash-free dry weight (AFDW) using experimentally-derived calibrations, providing field-relevant biomass predictions with conservative confidence bounds. These results demonstrate the feasibility of long-term, autonomous optical monitoring for well-mixed open-raceway algal cultivation and provide practical guidance for reliable field operation and scaling.

Katinas, Christopher Michael [Sandia National Labo↗

Extrapair offspring of the blue-footed booby show no sign of higher fitness in the first 10 years of life

According to the good genes and genetic compatibility hypotheses, females of socially monogamous species obtain genetic benefits for their offspring by performing extrapair copulations with males of higher quality than their social mates or males with whom they are more genetically compatible. If extrapair offspring do receive genetic benefits in the form of advantageous alleles or more compatible allele combinations, they should outperform their within-pair half-siblings' survival and/or reproductive output. Here, in this study, we followed 52 extrapair and 737 within-pair blue-footed booby, Sula nebouxii, offspring during their first 10 years of life (excluding the embryonic period and the first 10 days after hatching) to assess whether they differed in fledging probability, fledgling body condition, recruitment probability, age at first reproduction, number of breeding events or accumulated breeding success. Extrapair and within-pair offspring did not differ in any of these proxies of fitness. Furthermore, we found that extrapair offspring were equally likely to occur in any hatching position. However, differences in fledgling production over the lifetime could not be ruled out, and because only within-pair production of eggs and fledglings was tallied, the possibility remains that extrapair offspring could produce more extrapair offspring later in life than do within-pair offspring. Furthermore, the possibility of context-dependent genetic benefits occurring only under stressful conditions cannot be discounted because our sample of offspring was obtained in a single exceptionally favourable reproductive season.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multiphysics modeling of a critical dual-purpose canister in a saturated geological repository

Dual purpose dry cask storage canisters for spent nuclear fuel are designed for storage and transportation, but are not licensed for permanent disposal in a geological repository. If dual purpose canisters were to be used to dispose of spent nuclear fuel in a geological repository, they would be expected to eventually breach and be flooded with groundwater, and it is shown that some fraction of these canisters will achieve criticality. In order to evaluate the consequences of canisters going critical in a repository, an initial capability has been developed for estimating the quasi-static power level of a critical canister using loosely coupled multiphysics simulations. The low power level in a critical canister enables coupling through precomputed physics proxies. This calculated power level is then used to compute the change in the critical canister’s isotopic inventory as a function of time. Three as-loaded canisters are evaluated and two were found to have power levels below 4 kW, with a modest effect on the radiological inventory over time. This effort also shows that although some DPCs will have extremely peaked power shapes, the relatively low power and long-time scales result in relatively homogenized thermohydraulic properties in the water within the DPC.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Co-optimizing water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection projects using a machine learning assisted computational framework

In this report, a robust machine-learning-based computational framework that couples multi-layer neural network (MLNN) proxies and a multi-objective particle swarm optimizer (MOPSO) to design water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection (CO 2 -WAG) projects is presented. The proposed optimization protocol considers various objectives, including oil recovery and CO 2 storage volume. Expert MLNN systems are trained and employed as surrogate models of the high-fidelity compositional simulator in the optimization workflow. When multiple objective functions are considered, two approaches are employed to treat the objectives: the weighted sum method and the Pareto-front-based scheme. A field-scale implementation focusing on tertiary recovery in the Morrow B formation at Farnsworth Unit (FWU) is presented. The developed Pareto-optimal solutions indicate the maximal available oil production can be 1.64 × 10 7 barrels and maximal carbon storage can achieve 2.35 × 10 7 tons. Trade-offs factor is defined to divide the constructed Pareto front into 4 sections with the trade-off factors’ value ranges from 0.35 to 49.9. This work also compares the optimum solution found by the aggregative objective function and the solution repository covered by the Pareto front that considers the physical and operational constraints and reduces uncertainties involved by the multi-objective optimization process. Our comparison indicates multiple solutions exist to satisfy the objective criteria of the WAG design, and these results cannot be found using the traditional weighted sum method. The Pareto front solution can provide more options for project designers, but decisions regarding necessary trade-offs must be made using the solution repository to balance the project economics and CO 2 storage amount.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

The role of current and emerging technologies in meeting Japan’s mid- to long-term carbon reduction goals

Using Japan as a proxy for a developed nation, we investigated the role of existing and nascent technologies in curbing carbon emissions. We simulated possible pathways to meeting 2030 and 2050 emission targets within the Japanese electricity supply sector using a single-region model in The Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES). Critically, our simulations incorporate novel technologies like hydrogen electrolysers, carbon capture, photochemical water splitting, and emerging photovoltaic cells, assess long-term impacts up to the year 2100, and include life-cycle emissions and learning curves for parameters such as investment cost, efficiency, and emission coefficients. Results indicate that a hybrid approach, using nuclear power and hydrogen from renewable energy-based electrolysis, is cost-effective and provides long-term emission reduction along with energy security. Finally, nuclear, wind, solar, and hydrogen from renewables emerge as key emission reduction technologies, while natural gas with carbon capture plays a minor role in achieving emission reduction targets.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Dynamic development of geochemical reaction fronts during hydraulic stimulation of shale

Injection of acidic hydraulic fracture fluid (HFF) into shale formations for unconventional oil/gas production results in chemical reactions in the shale matrix that can alter fluid transport. Here, we report the results of set of experiments designed to evaluate the impact of calcite dissolution as a function of carbonate mineral content on matrix chemical reactivity and pore-space modification concomitant with imbibition. In this study, we tracked acidic HFF transport in four samples of Wolfcamp shale with calcite contents varying from 4% to 59% by monitoring the rate and spatial extent of bromide tracer transport using synchrotron-based X-ray fluorescence microprobe (XFM) imaging. Concurrently, we also carried out XFM imaging of the spatial distribution of Ca in the Wolfcamp shale cores (as a proxy of calcite distribution). Our approach thus yields a direct record of time-resolved selective ion transport resulting from the penetration of acidic HFF and the associated mineral transformations in the shale cores. We show that the variability in calcite content of Wolfcamp shale samples can directly affect the rate and spatial extent of imbibition. Although reaction of the acidic HFF with carbonates in shales enhances calcite dissolution and increases porosity, the spatial extent of calcite dissolution in the shale matrix is limited due to a rapid neutralization of pH. The relative abundance and spatial distribution of calcite control the chemical saturation state of the HFF progressing into the matrix. As a result, calcite has a major impact on the spatial extent and rate of matrix alteration and thus on HFF transport during subsurface reservoir stimulation. Consequently, increased calcite content in the shale matrix inhibits the spatial extent of the pore-volume increase and, by extension, the spatial extent and rate of imbibition. Our results thus show that the overall rates of calcite dissolution approach the rates of acidic HFF transport (i.e., Damköhler number ~1), which could contribute to the efficiency of subsurface reservoir stimulation. A better understanding of HFF-calcite reaction rates is crucial for improving the prediction and optimization of fluid transport across HFF-shale interfaces during hydraulic fracturing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

How much information on precipitation is contained in satellite infrared imagery?

Satellite infrared (IR) brightness temperature providing information on the characteristics of cloud tops is one of the primary input data used for estimating precipitation from satellites. Thus, the natural questions to ask are: Does IR imagery contain more information about precipitation in some regions more than others? What are the factors that lead to such differences? Should we expect the amount of information provided by IR imagery to change with respect to temporal or spatial aggregation? Comprehensive analysis of the accuracy of satellite-based precipitation estimates obtained from any given algorithm may provide qualitative answers to the above questions. However, such an approach only offers conclusions within the limited context of the algorithm used to obtain precipitation estimates; that is, patterns caused by the inherent information content of IR imagery are inextricable from those induced by assumptions embedded in the precipitation estimation algorithm. Here, we address the abovementioned questions from a different perspective using an information-theoretic measure, free of structural assumptions and general to a wide range of relationships, to characterize the average and seasonal dependence between IR imagery provided by satellite sensors in the spectral range (10.7–11.5 μm) and precipitation rates in the contiguous United States (CONUS) across distinct temporal and spatial scales. We analyze a total of more than 1.3 billion pairs of IR and precipitation observations over CONUS, and we observe interesting patterns. First, we show that there is a strong inverse relationship (ρ = - 0.73) between the information content of IR data and the number of no-rain observations; however, its robustness varies regionally and seasonally with less significant correlation during the warm season. Second, we demonstrate that the intuitive relationship of increasing dependence between IR and precipitation as a result of temporal or spatial aggregation exhibits a diminishing returns behavior. For instance, temporal aggregation from 1 to 3 h increases the dependence approximately 7 times as much as temporal aggregation from 12 to 24 h. Furthermore, we quantitatively examine and re-confirm several statements previously reported in the literature such as the strong association between IR and precipitation in convective storms and the low association in orographic rainfall. Finally, we conclude by illustrating the potential of the analysis in diagnosis of operational algorithms for estimating precipitation from IR brightness temperature. The findings of this study pinpoint spatial domains and time scales at which IR is not an adequate proxy for estimating precipitation. Thus, they can potentially guide the development of operational algorithms that utilize satellite Infrared imagery for estimating, downscaling and data fusion of precipitation. Finally, the analysis presented here opens up the possibility of developing new methodologies for diagnosis of satellite-based precipitation estimation algorithms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Disturbance and diversity: Lichen species richness decreases with increasing anthropogenic disturbance

Anthropogenic disturbance is rapidly increasing through habitat degradation, development, and deforestation. Gaps remain in understanding the effects of this disturbance on diverse and ecologically important organisms such as lichens. In North America, studies have focused on epiphytic macrolichens and catastrophic disturbance, largely ignoring microlichens and less severe disturbances. The Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis predicts these moderate disturbances will lead to higher species richness. Here we examine the effects of anthropogenic disturbance in the form of land management on overall lichen richness, including microlichens, and on the species richness of eight lichen functional groups. The study draws on a comprehensive data set of 872 species, in 208 one-hectare plots throughout the Southern Appalachian Mountains, a global biodiversity hotspot in eastern North America. A habitat quality index based on an established forestry metric was used as a proxy for anthropogenic disturbance and was quantified using a 10-part score including categories such as percent native tree canopy cover and degree of fragmentation. Linear models were used to compare habitat quality scores to overall species richness and to species richness of functional groups. Rather than following the Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis, all groups uniformly follow a negative linear relationship: as disturbance increases, species richness decreases. This pattern held even for widely variable functional groups such as morphotype. Effective conservation of lichen richness should prioritize the maintenance of existing older, less-disturbed stands within large, contiguously forested areas.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Optimization-based, property-preserving finite element methods for scalar advection equations and their connection to Algebraic Flux Correction

In this paper, we continue our efforts to exploit optimization and control ideas as a common foundation for the development of property-preserving numerical methods. Here we focus on a class of scalar advection equations whose solutions have fixed mass in a given Eulerian region and constant bounds in any Lagrangian volume. Our approach separates discretization of the equations from the preservation of their solution properties by treating the latter as optimization constraints. This relieves the discretization process from having to comply with additional restrictions and makes stability and accuracy the sole considerations in its design. A property-preserving solution is then sought as a state that minimizes the distance to an optimally accurate but not property-preserving target solution computed by the scheme, subject to constraints enforcing discrete proxies of the desired properties. Furthermore, we consider two such formulations in which the optimization variables are given by the nodal solution values and suitably defined nodal fluxes, respectively. A key result of the paper reveals that a standard Algebraic Flux Correction (AFC) scheme is a modified version of the second formulation obtained by shrinking its feasible set to a hypercube. In conclusion, we present numerical studies illustrating the optimization-based formulations and comparing them with AFC

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗