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Analysis and Planning Framework for Nuclear Plant Transformation

Commercial nuclear power in the United States has been an unqualified success by any measure, providing low cost, carbon-free, and safe baseload electricity for decades. The industry today is at the peak of its historical performance in terms of generation output, reliable operations, and demonstrated nuclear safety. However, it is no longer among the lowest-cost electric generation sources with the emergence of subsidized renewables and shale gas generation. The business model that has served the operating nuclear fleet so well over its life is now a drag on cost performance due to its reliance on a large highly skilled labor force. In contrast, digital technology and innovation are enabling dramatic efficiencies in energy production, resulting in fierce competition for a commodity such as electricity. The nuclear power industry has responded to this challenge with many initiatives to improve efficiency and modernize plant equipment, especially where reliability and obsolescence issues are pressing. However, it would be a missed opportunity to merely modernize the plant components and the work processes of an outdated business model that was formulated to manage the technology of the 1960s. Rather, the greater opportunity is to transform that business model to one that fully exploits the capabilities of modern digital technology, resulting in substantially lower production costs and sustainable market viability. One successful example of such transformation is the concept of Integrated Operations, which was introduced into the North Sea oil and gas industry a couple of decades ago when the profitability of operating these fields was severely threatened by low world petroleum prices and the high overhead of operating the offshore oil and gas platforms. This effort resulted in significant changes to how these oil fields were operated and allowed the industry to continue profitable operation of these platforms. This example has some remarkable parallels to the U.S. commercial nuclear industry as described in the next section. This report provides an analysis and planning framework for such a nuclear plant operating model transformation based on the transferable learnings from the North Sea transformation. This framework is termed Integrated Operations for Nuclear or ION. This report describes the key principles and methods of Integrated Operations and how they are being applied in a collaboration between the DOE Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program and Xcel Energy in an initiative to transform its operating model for performance improvement and long-term sustainability. It describes a method to bring the operating costs of a nuclear fleet in line with market-based pricing, transforming work functions to reduce cost with technology innovations. This initiative will continue over the next several years in the detailed development of transformative concepts for nuclear plants, which will be published as follow-up to this initial report on Integrated Operations for Nuclear.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

High Temperature Erosion Modeling in Particle Based CSP Systems

1. Introduction. Wear and erosion damage of materials from solid particle and surface interactions is a major issue in various industries. Although more common in mining and oil and gas production, erosion is becoming a critical issue in renewable technologies as well such as particle based concentrated solar thermal power (CSP) systems. In particle based CSP systems, solid particles are used to absorb solar energy and as thermal storage. However, these particles may cause significant amount of wear to system components while through the system at high temperatures. This damage can be costly, and therefore, requires a greater understanding of solid particle erosion in CSP systems. Throughout the years, models and tools have been developed to predict and control erosion in industries such as oil and gas production. However, these erosion models and erosion prediction tools have been mainly developed based on erosion data for much higher velocities and lower temperatures, i.e. the operating conditions for which the existing models have been built are not pertinent to those expected in CSP system. It is known that erosion depends on many factors such as material properties, erodent particle properties, and particle impact speed and angle. However, the effect of temperature on erosion is not vastly investigated. In this work, a temperature-based correlation is introduced that will be used to modify the existing erosion models to predict erosion rates at velocities and temperatures relevant to Gen3 CSP systems. The existing models are first validated against erosion experiments run at low temperatures and low velocities. Subsequently, a temperature correction term is developed that can extend the existing models to high temperatures, based on the available experimental data showing the effect of temperature on impact erosion. 2. Erosion Models. Continuing sequence of impacts from solid particles on surfaces would result in loss of material due to mechanical interaction between solid surface and particles. Erosion equations have been developed to predict erosion under different conditions and erosion mechanism, including cutting and deformation erosion. These models are mainly either mechanistic, empirical, and semi-mechanistic models, when the latter combine the theory of the erosion mechanism and particle motion with the available experimental data. One of the first empirical correlation was introduced by American Petroleum Institute (API) Recommended Practice (RP) 14E [1]. This correlation was very conservative, and several improved empirical and semi-mechanistic equations were developed in the years following. More recently, the models introduced by Erosion/Corrosion Research Center (E/CRC) at the University of Tulsa and Arabnejad. et al. [2] are frequently used in the literature and industry, as they account for many parameters affecting erosion including particle impact speed and angle, material density and hardness, and particle size and shape. However, both these models were developed based on data at relatively high velocities and also do not take into account any mechanical changes in material associated with thermal cycling at high temperatures. 3. Erosion Prediction at High Temperatures. In this work, the accuracy of Arabnejad et al. model and E/CRC model is investigated to predict impact erosion at conditions relevant to Gen3 CSP systems. Two significant deviations expected in Gen3 systems compared to operating conditions used to build these models are particle impact velocities and system temperature. As a first step, the performance of these models was validated at low velocities and temperatures. Impact erosion experiments were conducted on SS316 coupons using HSP 40/70 ceramic particles. Assuming particle rate of 1 kg/s/m, 0.0254 m of particle curtain thickness, and particle velocity of 1.5 m/s in the system, an overall erosion of 0.59 mm/year was calculated. The experimental results were subsequently compared to those from computational simulations and erosion of 0.47 mm/year was obtained using the Arabnejad et al. model. The results indicated that the models work well at low velocities and low temperature conditions. To account for temperature effect, a mathematical correlation was developed using data published by DUCOM [3] for Inconel 600 eroded by alumina particles at high velocities. The correlation was applied to both Arabnejad et. al model and the E/CRC model. The prediction results from these modified models were within 20% of this experimental data. Predictions of of erosion by the modified E/CRC model at three different temperatures are made. Similar to the calculation at low temperature, a typical CSP system with 1 kg/s/m of particle flow rate per unit length of the particle curtain and a curtain thickness of 0.0254 m is assumed. The annual thickness loss calculations were run for different particle impact velocities, assuming a uniform particle impact area equal to the cross-sectional area of the curtain (particle-particle interactions and dispersion of particles are not considered in obtaining the results). It is observed that erosion increases exponentially as temperature increases. Furthermore, it is also noted that, erosion changes non-linearly with impact velocity. Currently, experiments are also being conducted to measure erosion of SS316 at 800 ºC with HSP 40/70 particles at low impact velocities. We expect to use the results from high temperature testing to further improve the temperature correlation function. Similar models are also being developed for abrasion erosion resulting from particle sliding along the surfaces as well as attrition from particle to particle and particle to surface interactions. References. [1] Institute, A. P. (1991). API Recommended Practice for Design and Installation of Offshore Production Platform Piping System, API RP 14E. [2] Arabnejad, H., Mansouri, A., Shirazi, S. A., and McLaury, B. S. (2015a). Development of mechanistic erosion equation for solid particles. Wear, 332–333, 1044–1050. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.wear.2015.01.031. [3] https://ducom.com/high-temperature-erosion-evaluating-sample-wear/

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Federal Best Practices: Core Principles of Sustainable Fleet Management

This report helps agency fleet managers understand and implement optimal petroleum reduction strategies for fleet locations by evaluating the most appropriate combination of the four core principles of sustainable fleet management: right-sizing the fleet to agency mission by implementing a vehicle allocation methodology study; minimizing vehicle miles traveled; increasing fleet fuel efficiency by replacing inefficient vehicles with more fuel-efficient vehicles, maintaining vehicles, driving more efficiently, and avoiding excessive idling; and optimizing cost-effective alternative fuel use, including maximizing utilization of existing alternative fuel infrastructure, installing alternative fuel infrastructure where practical (including electric vehicle charging stations), and aligning deployment of alternative fuel vehicles with fueling infrastructure.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Assessment of Potential Future Demands for Hydrogen in the United States

H2@Scale is a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) initiative that brings together stakeholders to advance the affordable production, transport, storage, and utilization of hydrogen (H2) as an energy carrier to increase revenue opportunities in multiple energy sectors. The focus of the current work is to characterize the growth potential of diverse hydrogen industries in the United States, given research and development (R&D) advancements in hydrogen technologies. Current and emerging hydrogen production technologies utilize diverse energy sources, including natural gas (NG) reforming, as well as renewable and nuclear power for low-temperature and high-temperature water splitting. The produced hydrogen also enables emerging domestic industries that value conventional and renewable hydrogen as an energy carrier for intermediate and end use. The success of H2@Scale (Figure ES.1) depends not only on hydrogen demand from growing existing markets such as petroleum refining and ammonia (NH 3 ) production, but also on the development of new markets such as metals refining, synthetic fuel (synfuel) and chemical production, biofuels, light-duty (LD) and heavy-duty (HD) hydrogen fuel cell (FC) electric vehicles (FCEVs), and injection into NG pipelines, all of which can significantly increase hydrogen demand relative to current levels of approximately10 million metric tons [MMT] annually. This study focused primarily on five demand sectors — synfuels, upgrading of oil/biomass, NH 3 /fertilizer, metals refining, and hydrogen vehicles (transportation) — along with gas infrastructure. For each sector, a hydrogen demand potential was quantified, along with a “threshold price.” The hydrogen demand potential reflects a practical amount of hydrogen that could be used in that sector, barring economic considerations. The threshold price reflects the price at which the consumer would utilize hydrogen in lieu of an alternative that could supply the same performance.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Federal Best Practices: Core Principles of Sustainable Fleet Management

This document is designed to help agency fleet managers understand and implement optimal petroleum reduction strategies for each fleet location by evaluating the most appropriate combination of the four core principles of sustainable fleet management: Right-sizing the fleet to agency mission by implementing a vehicle allocation methodology study; Minimizing vehicle miles traveled; Increasing fleet fuel efficiency by replacing inefficient vehicles with more fuel-efficient vehicles, maintaining vehicles, driving more efficiently, and avoiding excessive idling; Optimizing cost-effective alternative fuel use, including maximizing utilization of existing alternative fuel infrastructure, installing alternative fuel infrastructure where practical (including electric vehicle charging stations), and aligning deployment of alternative fuel vehicles with fueling infrastructure.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

NFD Methodology Report

The NetFlow Dynamics (NFD) model was developed for estimating the availability of a commodity supplied by a national- or regional-scale infrastructure following unexpected disruption of one or more of its components. The large scope of the disruptions of interest produce changes in availability lasting days to weeks. Consequently, the model does not resolve daily variations in system state and does not include the long-term processes that cause infrastructures to evolve as assets are added and removed according to owners ’planning decisions. NFD simulates fluid flow, including petroleum and other incompressible fluids, as well as natural gas and other compressible fluids, through pipeline networks characterized by limits on transmission capacity and storage. It was designed to enable efficient exploration of possible transmission system responses to large-scale disruptions lasting for days or longer. The model formulation reflects constraints on transmission and storage capacity imposed by the physical system assets. Those capacity limits are input parameters and are not derived from more basic system properties such as pipeline diameters and compressor power. A system’s response to a large disruption is controlled by operational decisions as well as damage to physical assets. The NFD model formulation allows users to efficiently consider alternative scenarios about the way remaining capacity might be used so that the analysis result appropriately reflects uncertainties about operator response.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Center for direct catalytic conversion of biomass to biofuels (Final Technical Report)

Lignocellulosic biomass has only one-third the energy density of crude oil and lacks petroleum’s versatility as a feedstock for fuels and chemicals. Since 2009, the Center for direct Catalytic Conversion of Biomass to Biofuels (C3Bio) has recognized the potential of chemical catalysis and fast-pyrolysis to overcome such limitations by transforming the main components of biomass (cellulose, xylan, and lignin) from grasses and trees directly to liquid hydrocarbons and aromatic co-products. In 2014, C3Bio proposed to develop critical systems-level understanding of how biomass structural complexity at molecular, nanoscale, and mesoscale levels impacts the yields and selectivities of desired products from catalytic and pyrolytic transformations. Our long-term goal was to gain unprecedented control of effective routing of carbon: we aimed to specify both the structures within, and the reaction products from, lignocellulosic biomass. Enabled by the EFRC high-risk, high-reward approach to grand challenge science, our interdisciplinary team of plant biologists, chemists, and chemical engineers disrupted the conventional paradigm of the cellulosic biorefinery into a new future of “no carbon left behind” - the full utilization of carbon from plant cell walls in energy-dense fuels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 39

The Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 39 is a statistical compendium prepared and published by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) under contract with the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Vehicle Technologies Office. Designed for use as a desk-top reference, the Data Book represents an assembly and display of statistics and information that characterize transportation activity and presents data on other factors that influence transportation energy use. The purpose of this document is to present relevant statistical data in the form of tables and graphs. The latest edition of the Data Book is available via the Internet (tedb.ornl.gov).This edition of the Data Book has 13 chapters which focus on various aspects of the transportation industry. Chapter 1 focuses on petroleum; Chapter 2 – energy; Chapter 3 – highway vehicles; Chapter 4 – light vehicles; Chapter 5 – heavy vehicles; Chapter 6 – alternative fuel vehicles; Chapter 7 – transit and other shared mobility; Chapter 8 – fleet vehicles; Chapter 9 – household vehicles; Chapter 10 – nonhighway modes; Chapter 11 – transportation and the economy; Chapter 12 – greenhouse gas emissions; and Chapter 13 – criteria pollutant emissions. The sources used represent the latest available data. There are also three appendices which include detailed source information for some tables, measures of conversion, and energy tables with electricity generation and distribution. A glossary of terms is also included for the reader’s convenience.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Adoption of Biofuels for the Marine Shipping Industry: A Long-Term Price and Scalability Assessment

One of the biggest challenges in the 21st Century is transforming the transportation sector into a low carbon-based sustainable industry, including maritime shipping. Bioenergy has an essential role in the transition to move maritime shipping toward carbon neutrality. Biomass-derived fuels can undoubtedly play a crucial role in the future of marine propulsion that as renewable alternatives can offer potential synergistic benefits when blended with petroleum fuels. With inherently zero- or low-sulfur and renewable carbon sources, biofuels will help mitigate marine shipping sulfur emissions, improve overall emission profiles, and enable the decarbonization transition. As biofuel for marine propulsion is still at its nascent stage, knowledge gaps exist, including the life cycle environmental impacts, compatibility of biofuel blending with conventional marine fuels, scalability, and cost. This study assessed the biofuel availability and cost aspects for marine use and was supported by the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration (MARAD) Office of Environment to project the long-term price and annual biofuel production capacity potential for marine propulsion in the United States. The study will shed light on the prospect of biofuel adoption for the maritime shipping industry.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Assessment of Light-Duty Plug-in Electric Vehicles in the United States (2010 - 2020)

This report examines properties of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) sold in the United States from 2010 to 2020, exploring vehicle sales, miles driven, electricity consumption, petroleum reduction, vehicle manufacturing, and battery production, among other factors. Over 1.7 million PEVs have been sold, driving 52 billion miles on electricity since 2010, thereby reducing national gasoline consumption by 0.42% in 2020 and 1.9 billion gallons cumulatively through 2020. In 2020, PEVs used 4.4 terawatt-hours of electricity to drive 13.7 billion miles, offsetting 500 million gallons of gasoline. Since 2010, 68% of PEVs sold in the United States have been assembled domestically, and 77 gigawatt-hours of lithium-ion batteries have been installed in vehicles to date.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

New Energy Infrastructure Outlook 2021 [Slides]

This report provides a perspective on energy infrastructure under development in the continental U.S. as of the end of 2020, focusing on those making significant progress toward achieving commercial operation. Infrastructures covered in this report include power plants, electric transmission, natural gas pipelines and liquefied natural gas terminals. Additionally, this report includes a section on stockpiled volumes of coal, natural gas, and petroleum.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Ex Situ Catalytic Fast Pyrolysis of Lignocellulosic Biomass to Hydrocarbon Fuels: 2020 State of Technology

Biomass catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) research was funded by the Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) to enable technical breakthroughs to help reduce the cost of conversion of biomass to liquid hydrocarbon fuels. The key goals were to achieve a mature plant modeled Minimum Fuel Selling Price of $3/GGE, with greater than 60% greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction over petroleum derived gasoline by 2022. Experimental results at NREL and PNNL, along with lifecycle analysis by ANL show that we achieved these goals based on performance at the bench scale. A Pt/TiO2 catalyst was used in a fixed bed reactor for upgrading pyrolysis vapors from an upstream fast pyrolysis reactor (ex-situ configuration) to produce CFP oil with 16.5% oxygen content. Subsequent co-hydrotreating of 10 vol% of CFP oil with 90 vol% straight run diesel (SRD) at the bench scale yielded greater than 95% carbon efficiency for the CFP oil portion of the feed. Light oxygenated coproducts were recovered from the off gases from the CFP process via adsorption and subsequent desorption. Aspen Plus modeling of purification of the desorbed stream using the UNIFAC property method showed that acetone and methyl-ethyl-ketone can be purified to chemicals grade and sold as coproducts to benefit the economics and reduce GHG emissions attributed to the fuel product. Some of the key risks and uncertainties associated with this process, and potential future work are mentioned in this report.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Multitude Characterization and Prediction of DOE Advanced Biofuels Properties

Advanced multitude of experiments ranging from the liquid fuel to combustion are conducted on Co-OPTIMA fuels to aid the characterization of the fuels. The series of targeted experiments characterized Co-OPTIMA fuel spray atomization, flame topology, flame speed, autoignition, volatility, viscosity, soot/coking, and compatibility. The fuels are selected and prioritized based on input from national lab members. The research characterized and predicted biomass-based, low greenhouse gas fuels and blends combustion, autoignition, and physical properties of mixtures of identified compounds at engine-relevant conditions, in particular those properties that blend non-linearly. The main challenge of Co-OPTIMA is the evaluation of a variety of biofuels and blends in all the reaction conditions that might be encountered in new high-efficiency engines. Despite the improved high-throughput experimental techniques, it seems unlikely that all of the performance metrics could be measured for all relevant petroleum derived, bio-derived molecules and mixtures, and reaction conditions. A series of targeted experiments ranging from the liquid fuel to the combustion process is required, and to extract the maximum information from each experiment. These targeted experiments evaluated how a specific fuel will perform in an engine. The series of targeted experiments are as follows: (a) Spray Atomization, Vaporization and Droplet Formation (b) Combustion Flame and Local Fuel/Air Image-Based Measurements (c) Laminar Flame Speed Measurements (d) Autoignition and Soot Measurements (e) Synchrotron Coupled Fundamental Autoignition Experiments (f) Fuel Coking and Hot Surface Deposit g) Fuel Volatility Measurements (h) Viscosity Measurements (i) Seal Flexible Fuel Compatibility These experimental processes provide an essential pathway for the prediction of fuel behaviors in engines and systematic process for fuel down select.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Supply Chain Sustainability Analysis of Renewable Hydrocarbon Fuels via Indirect Liquefaction, Ex Situ Catalytic Fast Pyrolysis, Hydrothermal Liquefaction, Combined Algal Processing, and Biochemical Conversion: Update of the 2020 State-of-Technology Cases

This technical report describes the SCSAs for the production of renewable hydrocarbon transportation fuels via a range of conversion technologies in the 2020 SOTs: (1) renewable high octane gasoline (HOG) via indirect liquefaction (IDL) of woody lignocellulosic biomass (note that the IDL pathway in this SCSA represents the syngas conversion design); (2) renewable gasoline (RG) and diesel (RD) blendstocks via ex situ catalytic fast pyrolysis of woody lignocellulosic biomass; (3) RD via hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) of wet sludge from a wastewater treatment plant; (4) renewable hydrocarbon fuels via biochemical conversion of herbaceous lignocellulosic biomass; (5) renewable diesel via HTL of a blend of algae and woody biomass; and (6) renewable diesel via combined algae processing (CAP). This technical report focuses on the environmental performance of these six biofuel production pathways in their 2020 SOT cases. The results of these renewable hydrocarbon fuel pathways in these SCSA analyses update those for the respective 2019 SOT cases. They also provide an opportunity to examine the impact of technology improvements in both biomass feedstock production and biofuel production that have been achieved in 2020 SOTs on the sustainability performance of these renewable transportation fuels. The SCSA results also reflect updates to Argonne National Laboratory’s Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies (GREET ® ) model, which was released in October 2020. These GREET updates include the production of natural gas, electricity, and petroleum-based fuels that can influence biofuels’ supply chain greenhouse gas (GHG) (CO 2 , CH 4 , and N 2 O) emissions, water consumption, and air pollutant emissions. GHG emissions, water consumption, and nitrogen oxides (NO x ) emissions are the main sustainability metrics assessed in this analysis. In this analysis, we define water consumption as the amount of water withdrawn from a freshwater source that is not returned (or returnable) to a freshwater source at the same level of quality. Life-cycle fossil energy consumption and net energy balance, which is the life-cycle fossil energy consumption deducted from the renewable biofuel energy produced, are also assessed.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

NETL Energy Related Diagrams - 2020 Edition [Slides]

This report uses Sankey type diagrams to illustrates energy use and CO2 generation within the U.S. for the year 2020. The diagrams show primary energy consumption from coal, natural gas, nuclear, petroleum, and renewables for the electric, residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sectors, fossil fuel trade/domestic production, and CO2 generation by fuel and end user.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The development of yield-based sooting tendency measurements and modeling to enable advanced combustion fuels

This project produced clear evidence that biofuels can reduce particulate emissions from road vehicles compared with petroleum-derived fuels. It also produced fundamental knowledge that can be used to select fuel compositions and engine designs that will maximize this benefit. This information has been disseminated through more than 20 peer-reviewed publications, more than 30 conference presentations, and 5 freely available internet databases and web tools. This project also provided educational opportunities to 17 students at the high school, undergraduate, and graduate levels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Rheological Characterization of Biomass Feedstock for Alternative Energy Applications

With the increased necessity of alternative energy resources, bulk feedstock biomass materials were characterized with the purpose of replacing depleting energy supplies such as fossil fuels and other nonrenewable energy sources. Residual organic waste material (biomass) left over from agricultural processing and handling systems was recycled, and further investigated for renewable energy use. Understanding the scope of flowability for biomass material yielded more efficient, and economical crop harvesting, transporting, and storing method design for the agricultural industry. The effects of moisture on bulk solid flowability was investigated using a variety of parametric testing methods that measure basic flowability energy, and other properties such as compressibility and material resistance. In an industry where organic material is a wasteful byproduct, converting this biomass material into a new energy source and streamlining efficiently for innovative agricultural development supports a clean, renewable energy approach to everyday nonrenewable energy uses, such as oil, propane, and coal. As observed from the repeatable results from the investigated rheological material properties, biomass is an incredibly diverse material that requires modern engineering solutions to revolutionize biomass into a renewable energy source. Biomass will decarbonize petroleum (nonrenewable) derived fuels and chemicals, yielding recyclable carbon. This push to replace fossil fuels with recycled carbon is ideal because of the abundant, renewable, and otherwise agricultural waste of corn stover material. Decarburization, and reduction of C0 2 emissions reduces the effects of global warming.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Vehicle Technologies and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Research and Development Programs Benefits Assessment Report for 2020

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Vehicle Technologies and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Offices (VTO and HFTO) support research and development of efficient and sustainable transportation technologies that will improve energy efficiency, minimize emissions, and enable America to use less petroleum. VTO and HFTO regularly revisit and update relevant research and development goals and areas of emphasis in response to the latest technological advancements and in alignment with current national priorities. As such, analyses of expected benefits resulting from VTO and HFTO investments and anticipated goal achievements are updated periodically and will be again for 2021 in the context of the latest national-level transportation decarbonization goals. The analysis in the present report is based on technical progress goals established in VTO and HFTO in the years immediately prior to and including 2020, and it summarizes the estimated energy and emissions benefits corresponding to achievement of those goals. The goals span research activities on batteries, electric drive technologies (EDT), combustion, lightweight materials, fuel cells, and hydrogen storage. The evaluation includes detailed analyses into the benefits of technology improvements on the U.S. light-duty (LD) vehicle fleet and separately on the U.S. medium- and heavy-duty (MDHD) vehicle fleet. This report summarizes the outcomes from each of these analyses both independently and in combination.

08 HYDROGEN↗