Results for “Pressure Gradient” — Page 28

DOE OSTI2021

Type-I ELM mitigation by continuous lithium granule gravitational injection into the upper tungsten divertor in EAST

Large edge-localized modes (ELMs) were mitigated by gravitational injection of lithium granules into the upper X-point region of the EAST device with tungsten plasma-facing components. The maximum ELM size was reduced by ~ 70% in high βN H-mode plasmas. Large ELM stabilization was sustained for up to about 40 energy confinement times, with constant core radiated power and no evidence of high-Z or low-Z impurity accumulation. The lithium granules injection reduced the edge plasma pedestal density and temperature and their gradients, due to increased edge radiation and reduced recycling from the plasma-facing components. Ideal stability calculations using the ELITE code indicate that the stabilization of large ELMs correlates with improved stability of intermediate-n peeling-ballooning modes, due to reduced edge current resulting from the profile changes. The pedestal pressure reduction was partially offset by a core density increase, which resulted in a modest ~ 7% drop in core stored energy and normalized energy confinement time. We surmise that the remnant small ELMs are triggered by the penetration of multiple Li granules just past the separatrix, similar to small ELMs triggered by deuterium pellet [S. Futatani et al., Nucl. Fusion 54 (2014) 073008]. This study extends previous ELM elimination with Li powder injection [R. Maingi et al., Nucl. Fusion 58 (2018) 024003] in EAST because 1) use of small, dust-like powder and the related potential health hazards were eliminated, and 2) use of macroscopic granules should be more applicable to future devices, due to deeper penetration than dust particles, e.g. inside the separatrix with velocities ~ 10 m/s in EAST.

EAST↗

DOE OSTI2021

Pantropical Tree Sapwood Hydraulic Properties, 1991 - 2014

This data package contains sapwood pressure-volume parameters including osmotic potential at full turgot, turgor loss point, bulk elastic modulus, and others, determined by curve fitting to raw isotherm data (paired measurements of water content and water potential). Raw data were digitized from published figures. Data are from natural tropical and subtropical forests or savannas and span rainfall gradients from deciduous dry tropical forests to everwet tropical forests, and come from the following countries: Argentina, Panama, Brazil, Costa Rica, and Madagascar. Included in the attached zip file are four CSV files. sapwood_PV_recal_headers.csv: description of variables in the two files below sapwood_PV_recal_corrected.csv: bias-corrected sapwood PV data (see Methods in the associated reference) sapwood_PV_recal_uncorrected.csv: uncorrected sapwood PV data (see Methods in the associated reference) sapwood_PV_references.csv: citation, bibliographic reference, and DOI for the published references from which data were extracted.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of Compressibility Effects and Nonlinear Property Variations in a Supercritical CO2 Mixing Layer

Calculations are performed using the large eddy simulation technique to qualitatively assess the effects of fluid compressibility and thermodynamic nonlinearities on the dynamics of a supercritical flow field. Resulting data are also used to interrogate instantaneous subfilter-scale fields, as modeled by the mixed-dynamic Smagorinsky closure and gradient diffusion model. A three-dimensional wall-resolved calculation of a spatially evolving mixing layer composed solely of carbon dioxide is performed. This is followed by a coarse grid calculation to examine model performance as a function of resolution. Theoretical analysis indicates that the partial derivatives of density with respect to pressure and temperature are important modulators of the temperature and pressure field evolution, respectively. Results pertaining to subfilter velocity-velocity and velocity-temperature fields indicate that the models are most stressed in the regions where compressibility and thermo-fluid nonlinearities dominate the physics.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Method and apparatus for removal of microscopic contaminant particulates from superconducting radio frequency cavities and cavity strings

A method and apparatus for removing microscopic contaminant particulates by high pressure liquid nitrogen jet cleaning from the inner surface of a superconducting radio frequency cavity or a string of multiple cavities and transporting the removed particulates out of the inner space enclosed by the cleaned surfaces. The cleaning method of the invention suppresses field emission, resulting in an increase of the usable accelerating gradient of the cavities and a reduction of the activated radioactivity in accelerator components around cavities.

Geng, Rongli↗

DOE OSTI2025

Harvesting Reactor Pressure Vessel Beltline Material from the Decommissioned Zion Nuclear Power Plant Unit 1

The decommissioning of the Zion Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) provided a unique opportunity to harvest and study service-aged reactor pressure vessel (RPV) beltline materials. This work, conducted through the U.S. Department of Energy’s Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program, aims to improve the understanding of radiation-induced embrittlement to support extended nuclear plant operations. Material segments containing the Linde 80 flux, wire heat 72105 (WF-70) beltline weld and the A533B Heat B7835-1 base metal, obtained from the intermediate shell region with a peak fluence of 0.7 × 10 19 n/cm 2 (E > 1.0 MeV), were extracted, cut into blocks, and machined into test specimens for mechanical and microstructural characterization. The segmentation process involved oxy-propane torch-cutting, followed by precision machining using wire saws and electrical discharge machining (EDM). A chemical composition analysis confirmed the expected variations in alloying elements, with copper levels being notably higher in the weld metal. The harvested specimens enable a detailed evaluation of through-wall embrittlement gradients, a comparison with the existing surveillance data, and the validation of predictive embrittlement models. This study provides critical data for assessing long-term reactor vessel integrity, informing aging-management strategies, and supporting regulatory decisions to extend the life of nuclear plants. This article is a revised and expanded version of a paper entitled, “Current Status of the Characterization of RPV Materials Harvested from the Decommissioned Zion Unit 1 Nuclear Power Plant”, PVP2017-65090, which was accepted and presented at the ASME 2017 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference, Waikoloa, HI, USA, 16–20 July 2017.

harvesting beltline material↗

DOE OSTI2023

Boundary Layer Height Variation over the Savannah River Site during a Heat Wave

With the number of heat waves expect to increase in both in their severity and frequency in the coming years, an insight into their impact on planetary boundary layer (PBL) heights is essential for one development of future emergency and safety plans. Using High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) atmospheric model output, an analysis is done on the effects a heat wave has on PBL heights and temperature inversions across the Savannah River Site (SRS). This study showed that due to its adjacency to anthropogenic land use, SRS experiences a non-negligible gradient in its PBL height, with higher heights to the northwest. The singular location PBL heigh measurement and forecasts for SRS do not account for this gradient, which has potential implications on pollutant and smoke dispersion onsite. During a heat wave this gradient is present but PBL heights are less impacted than surrounding developed areas, possibly attributable to the woody wetlands that surround the Savannah River's banks. Additionally, the heat wave appears to strongly enhance the nocturnal temperature inversions that the site and surrounding areas experience. This is possibly due to increased stability from higher pressure conditions, which are often associated with heat waves. This influence on nocturnal inversions, however, is limited to their intensity, leaving their timing relatively unaltered. The impact a heat wave has on PBL heights and temperature inversions across SRS is seen to be more dependent on adjacent land use and features rather than the unique land use types onsite.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

An adjoint-based method for optimising MHD equilibria against the infinite- n , ideal ballooning mode

We demonstrate a fast adjoint-based method to optimise tokamak and stellarator equilibria against a pressure-driven instability known as the infinite-n ideal ballooning mode. We present three finite-β (the ratio of thermal to magnetic pressure) equilibria: one tokamak equilibrium and two stellarator equilibria that are unstable against the ballooning mode. Using the self-adjoint property of ideal magnetohydrodynamics, we construct a technique to rapidly calculate the change in the eigenvalue, a measure of ideal ballooning instability. Using the SIMSOPT optimisation framework, we then implement our fast adjoint gradient-based optimiser to minimise the eigenvalue and find stable equilibria for each of the three originally unstable equilibria.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Electronic transport, thermal transport, thermal expansion, and magnetization in the strongly correlated metal LaNi⁢O 3

Perovskite structured LaNiO 3 is a strongly correlated metal with intriguing thermal and magnetic properties. The volume dependence of calculated and measured physical properties can add additional critical information to develop a more in-depth understanding of this strongly correlated phenomenon. Taking advantage of recent single crystal LaNiO 3 growth using the floating-zone method, we have measured the thermal expansion, the magnetostriction, and the pressure dependence of the magnetic susceptibility, which then allows derivation of the Grüneisen parameters γ e = $\frac{dlnN(E_F)}{d lnV}$, γ χ = $\frac{dlnχ}{d lnV}$, as well as of electric and thermal transport properties. We simulate the volume dependence of structural and magnetic properties using Density Functional Theory calculations at the Generalized Gradient Approximation level. A large discrepancy between experimental values and calculated ones suggests that strong correlations are likely to be dynamic in nature. This study also provides a side-by-side comparison of measurements in single crystal and polycrystalline samples of LaNiO 3 to elucidate intrinsic materials properties. A broad hump at high temperatures in the temperature dependence of magnetization found in the single crystal sample of LaNiO 3 has been rationalized by a model that includes the influence of electron correlations on the Landau diamagnetism.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2022

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

Halide perovskites are promising photovoltaic (PV) materials with the potential to lower the cost of electricity and greatly expand the penetration of PV if they can demonstrate long-term stability under illumination in the presence of moisture and oxygen. The solar cell service lifetime as quantified by the T80 (the time required for the power conversion efficiency to drop to 80% of its starting value) is a useful metric to assess stability. The T80 for utility, commercial, or residential PV systems needs to be several decades in order to yield low-cost electricity, and thus it is not practical to directly measure the T80. It would be useful if T80 could be predicted from the initial dynamics of a solar cell’s performance, but until now no models have been developed to forecast T80. In this work, we report the development of machine learning models to predict T80 of ITO/NiOx/CH3NH3PbI3/C60/BCP/Ag solar cells operating at maximum power point under 1-sun equivalent photon flux in air at varying temperatures and relative humidities. Efficiency losses are driven by short-circuit current and fill factor, indicating that chemical decomposition of the perovskite is a major contributor to degradation. Spatial patterns evident from in situ dark field optical microscopy suggest that the electric field gradient at device edges plays a significant role in perovskite decomposition, along with photochemical reactions with O2 and H2O. Models are trained using a menu of features from three distinct categories: (i) features based on measurements of the initial rates of change of device parameters, (ii) features based on the ambient conditions during operation (temperature, & partial pressure of H2O), and (iii) features based on underlying physics and chemistry. We show that a theory-based physiochemical feature derived from a model of the chemical reaction kinetics of the rate of degradation of the CH3NH3PbI3 is particularly valuable for prediction. This physiochemical feature was selected as the first or second most dominant feature in the best performing models. With a dataset consisting of 45 accelerated degradation experiments with T80 that range over a factor of 30, the model predicts T80 with an accuracy of about 40% (|predicted T80 - observed T80| / observed T80) on samples not used in training. This hybrid ML approach should be effective when applied to other compositions, device architectures, and advanced packaging schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

Halide perovskites are promising photovoltaic (PV) materials with the potential to lower the cost of electricity and greatly expand the penetration of PV if they can demonstrate long-term stability under illumination in the presence of moisture and oxygen. The solar cell service lifetime as quantified by the T80 (the time required for the power conversion efficiency to drop to 80% of its starting value) is a useful metric to assess stability. The T80 for utility, commercial, or residential PV systems needs to be several decades in order to yield low-cost electricity, and thus it is not practical to directly measure the T80. It would be useful if T80 could be predicted from the initial dynamics of a solar cell’s performance, but until now no models have been developed to forecast T80. In this work, we report the development of machine learning models to predict T80 of ITO/NiOx/CH3NH3PbI3/C60/BCP/Ag solar cells operating at maximum power point under 1-sun equivalent photon flux in air at varying temperatures and relative humidities. Efficiency losses are driven by short-circuit current and fill factor, indicating that chemical decomposition of the perovskite is a major contributor to degradation. Spatial patterns evident from in situ dark field optical microscopy suggest that the electric field gradient at device edges plays a significant role in perovskite decomposition, along with photochemical reactions with O2 and H2O. Models are trained using a menu of features from three distinct categories: (i) features based on measurements of the initial rates of change of device parameters, (ii) features based on the ambient conditions during operation (temperature, & partial pressure of H2O), and (iii) features based on underlying physics and chemistry. We show that a theory-based physiochemical feature derived from a model of the chemical reaction kinetics of the rate of degradation of the CH3NH3PbI3 is particularly valuable for prediction. This physiochemical feature was selected as the first or second most dominant feature in the best performing models. With a dataset consisting of 45 accelerated degradation experiments with T80 that range over a factor of 30, the model predicts T80 with an accuracy of about 40% (|predicted T80 - observed T80| / observed T80) on samples not used in training. This hybrid ML approach should be effective when applied to other compositions, device architectures, and advanced packaging schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Tunable noninteracting free-energy density functionals for high-energy-density physics applications

In this work, we introduce the concept of a tunable noninteracting free-energy density functional and present two examples realized: (i) via a simple one-parameter convex combination of two existing functionals and (ii) via the construction of a generalized gradient approximation (GGA) enhancement factor that contains one free parameter and is designed to satisfy a set of incorporated constraints. Functional (i), constructed as a combination of the local Thomas–Fermi and a pseudopotential-adapted GGA for the noninteracting free-energy, has already demonstrated its practical usability for establishing the high temperature end of the equation of state of deuterium [Phys. Rev. B 104, 144104 (2021)] and CHON resin [Phys. Rev. E 106, 045207 (2022)] for inertial confinement fusion applications. Hugoniot calculations for liquid deuterium are given as another example of how the application of computationally efficient orbital-free density functional theory (OF-DFT) can be utilized with the employment of the developed functionals. Once the functionals have been tuned such that the OF-DFT Hugoniot calculation matches the Kohn–Sham solution at some low-temperature point, agreement with the reference Kohn–Sham results for the rest of the high temperature Hugoniot path is very good with relative errors for compression and pressure on the order of 2% or less.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Field and Model Data Associated with the Manuscript “Drivers of Streamflow Intermittency in Humid Regions: 2. Evaluating Controls on Flow Persistence in an Urbanized Catchment”

This package contains field data, modeling files, and scripts supporting the investigation of the drivers of streamflow intermittency in an urbanized catchment. It includes the field data collected from electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) surveys, distributed temperature sensing (DTS), continuous self-potential (SP) monitoring, groundwater and stilling well. In addition, it contains the data and results of the coupled water- and electrical-flow model developed using the COMSOL Multiphysics and Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS), as well as software files and Jupyter notebooks used to process the data and generate figures in the manuscript submitted for peer review. The data archive is organized in the following directories: 1) Climate Includes hourly precipitation and daily evapotranspiration time series (2024 – 2025) provided as CSV files, alongside a text file detailing dataset units. 2) Coupled_model Field_Application subfolder contains the ATS XML input scripts, data files, output data for the SP site. It also contains the Jupyter notebook (Plot_final_calib.ipynb) to visualize the results of the modeled SP, stream-groundwater exchange and moisture content. The flow model simulation is executed using the ATS XML scripts and the included Python script (generate_data_set.py) to convert ATS output to COMSOL-ready input. COMSOL Multiphysics template (.m can only be used with COMSOL with MATLAB) is executed using the ATS output data to simulate the potential field. 3) Discharge Includes the electrical conductivity (EC) time series (provided as CSV files) from salt slug injections. It also includes the Jupyter notebook (Discharge_process.ipynyb) used to estimate discharge. All discharge measurements collated into rating_curve_processed.csv 4) DTS Contains collated DTS data including raw Stokes and anti-Stokes measurement (provided as .h5 file). It also includes DTS processing.ipynb, a Jupyter notebook for calibrating the DTS data using dts_calibration Python package. cooler_calibration.csv is the DTS calibration CSV used in the calibration sequence. 5) ERT Contains raw resistivity data (provided as CSV files), spatial location of each of the electrodes (provided as CSV files), and files used for the resistivity inversion. 6) Slug_test Includes the slug test data at all the groundwater wells provided as CSV files, as well as the Jupyter notebook (Slug_test.ipynb) for calculating hydraulic conductivity. 7) SP Contains the SP data collected in field at the SP sites (provided as CSV files). 8) Well_data Contains two subfolders: 1) Raw, which provides unprocessed pressure, electrical conductivity and temperature timeseries downloaded from the loggers in all the groundwater and stilling wells, and 2) Processed, which contains sorted, QA/QC timeseries data for each well. The data archive also contains data_process.ipynb, a Jupyter notebook used for field data analysis and generating figures (plotting well, SP, climate, and discharge data, as well as calculating head gradient at sites with nested groundwater wells). Note: Code files (.ipynb, .py, .xml) can be opened in any standard code editor, .exo file can be viewed using Paraview, .h5 files can be opened using HDFView software and h5py Python package, and .resipy file can be opened with the open-source ResIPy software.

ATS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mechanical Design and Vacuum Pressure Impregnation of Combined Function Electromagnets

There are 96 combined function magnets, 48 focusing and 48 defocusing, that have been in operation in the Fermi NAL Booster without a critical failure requiring replacement for over 50 years. The Proton Improvement Plan-II (PIP-II) poses risk to these magnets and Fermilab does not currently have the tooling or knowledge of process to fabricate spares. Two new variants of these magnets are needed to reduce beam loss by having a larger aperture (Booster Gradient Defocusing Wide, or BGDS) and create space for a new injection system (Booster Gradient Defocusing Short, or BGDS). Risk of failure and need for spares will increase substantially with the implementation of PIP-II in consequence of a frequency increase from 15 Hz to 20 Hz and a 30 percent increase in peak to ground voltage. The BGDS and BGDW magnets will be fabricated in the same way as the current booster magnets so that future combined function magnet spares can be produced using learned processes.

Szabo, B. [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2023

Staggered scheme for the compressible fluctuating hydrodynamics of multispecies fluid mixtures

Here, we present a numerical formulation for the solution of nonisothermal, compressible Navier-Stokes equations with thermal fluctuations to describe mesoscale transport phenomena in multispecies fluid mixtures. The novelty of our numerical method is the use of staggered grid momenta along with a finite volume discretization of the thermodynamic variables to solve the resulting stochastic partial differential equations. The key advantages of the numerical scheme are that it significantly simplifies the discretization of diffusive and stochastic momentum fluxes into a more compact form, and it provides an unambiguous prescription of boundary conditions involving pressure. The staggered grid scheme more accurately reproduces the equilibrium static structure factor of hydrodynamic fluctuations in gas mixtures compared to a collocated scheme described previously by Balakrishnan et al. [Phys. Rev. E 89, 013017 (2014)1539-375510.1103/PhysRevE.89.013017]. The numerical method is tested for ideal noble gases mixtures under various nonequilibrium conditions, such as applied thermal and concentration gradients, to assess the role of cross-diffusion effects, such as Soret and Dufour, on the long-ranged correlations of hydrodynamic fluctuations, which are also more accurately reproduced compared to the collocated scheme. We numerically study giant nonequilibrium fluctuations driven by concentration gradients and fluctuation-driven Rayleigh-Taylor instability in gas mixtures. Wherever applicable, excellent agreement is observed with theory and measurements from the direct simulation Monte Carlo method.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Effects of Internal and External Heat Sources on Cladding Microstructure and Rupture Performance

In the event of a Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA), the primary supply of cooling water for a nuclear reactor is lost, leading to a significant pressure differential across the cladding wall. Without adequate cooling, the fuel rods continue to heat as a result of fission reactions. Research at Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s (ORNL’s) Severe Accident Test Station (SATS) is currently focused on evaluating fuel cladding performance using an external infrared lamp as a heat source, whereas legacy testing primarily utilized an internal heating approach. While external heating may better simulate the effect of neighboring fuel rods heating a central rod, it may not accurately represent the internal heat absorption from the fuel during accident transients. The heating dynamics depend greatly on the fuel rod's position within the bundle and the reactor. To fully understand the implications of a LOCA event and assess the influence of internal heating on cladding performance, combined internal heating and pressurization capability was developed at ORNL. Tests were conducted to compare cladding segments heated internally (representing heat from the fuel within the rod) and externally (representing heat from adjacent fuel rods). The findings indicate that both internal and external heating result in comparable rupture temperatures during 5°C/s laboratory LOCA tests and also agree with legacy test data. Axial temperature gradients and internal heat source dispersal were found to significantly impact cladding deformation and rupture geometry. Clear modifications were outlined to further improve the capability with heating rates above 5°C/s.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Effects of Internal and External Heat Sources on Cladding Microstructure and Rupture Performance

In the event of a Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA), the primary supply of cooling water for a nuclear reactor is lost, leading to a significant pressure differential across the cladding wall. Without adequate cooling, the fuel rods continue to heat as a result of fission reactions. Research at Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s (ORNL’s) Severe Accident Test Station (SATS) is currently focused on evaluating fuel cladding performance using an external infrared lamp as a heat source, whereas legacy testing primarily utilized an internal heating approach. While external heating may better simulate the effect of neighboring fuel rods heating a central rod, it may not accurately represent the internal heat absorption from the fuel during accident transients. The heating dynamics depend greatly on the fuel rod's position within the bundle and the reactor. To fully understand the implications of a LOCA event and assess the influence of internal heating on cladding performance, combined internal heating and pressurization capability was developed at ORNL. Tests were conducted to compare cladding segments heated internally (representing heat from the fuel within the rod) and externally (representing heat from adjacent fuel rods). The findings indicate that both internal and external heating result in comparable rupture temperatures during 5°C/s laboratory LOCA tests and also agree with legacy test data. Axial temperature gradients and internal heat source dispersal were found to significantly impact cladding deformation and rupture geometry. Clear modifications were outlined to further improve the capability with heating rates above 5°C/s.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Co-free gradient lithium-rich cathode for high-energy batteries with optimized cyclability

Lithium-rich layered oxides (LLOs) hold the promise for high-energy battery cathodes. However, its application has been hindered by voltage decay associated with irreversible reactions at high voltages despite decades of intensive efforts. Here, we first theoretically studied the molecular orbitals of Mn-based Li-rich configurations. We found that the π-bond ring formed within the LiMn 6 structure could participate in stable redox reactions as one unit, but Co could disrupt its symmetry. We thus designed and synthesized Co-free concentration-gradient LLOs (CF-CG-LLOs) materials. The combination of concentration gradient and Co removal leads to exceptional capacity retention without any fading over 100 cycles of the pouch cell. More importantly, it exhibits an extraordinarily low voltage decay of 0.15 mV/cycle, accompanied by a high Coulombic efficiency of 99.86%. This concept and demonstration of CF-CG-LLO cathodes reveal a viable avenue toward low-cost, high-energy-density battery cathodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Decoding the dynamics of poleward shifting climate zones using aqua-planet model simulations

Growing evidence indicates that the atmospheric and oceanic circulation experiences a systematic poleward shift in a warming climate. However, the complexity of the climate system, including the coupling between the ocean and the atmosphere, natural climate variability and land-sea distribution, tends to obfuscate the causal mechanism underlying the circulation shift. Here, using an idealised coupled aqua-planet model, we explore the mechanism of the shifting circulation, by isolating the contributing factors from the direct CO 2 forcing, the indirect ocean surface warming, and the wind-stress feedback from the ocean dynamics. We find that, in contrast to the direct CO 2 forcing, ocean surface warming, in particular an enhanced subtropical ocean warming, plays an important role in driving the circulation shift. This enhanced subtropical ocean warming emerges from the background Ekman convergence of surface anomalous heat in the absence of the ocean dynamical change. Additionally, it expands the tropical warm water zone, causes a poleward shift of the mid-latitude temperature gradient, hence forces a corresponding shift in the atmospheric circulation and the associated wind pattern. The shift in wind, in turn drives a shift in the ocean circulation. Our simulations, despite being idealised, capture the main features of the observed climate changes, for example, the enhanced subtropical ocean warming, poleward shift of the patterns of near-surface wind, sea level pressure, storm tracks, precipitation and large-scale ocean circulation, implying that increase in greenhouse gas concentrations not only raises the temperature, but can also systematically shift the climate zones poleward.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗