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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 505 records · Page 28

Real-time ensemble microalgae growth forecasting with data assimilation

Accurate short-range (e.g., 7-day) microalgae growth forecasts will be beneficial for both production and harvesting of microalgae. This study developed an operational microalgae growth forecasting system with ensemble data assimilation (DA). The forecasting system was validated against observed Monoraphidium minutum 26B-AM growth in two outdoor pond cultures located in Mesa, Arizona, U.S. We first examined the relative roles of uncertainty in the meteorological forecast and initial conditions (i.e., algal concentration at the time of forecast) in the microalgae 7-day forecast and found initial conditions dominated the microalgae forecasting skill, suggesting the importance of implementing DA to improve initial condition characterization. To correct the systematic bias in biomass simulations, we developed a particle filter with bias estimation (PFBE) DA method to estimate biases and correct the model forecast. We found the DA forecasting system could improve the 7-day microalgae forecasting skill by about 85% on average compared to model forecasts without DA. These results suggest the potential accuracy of biomass growth forecasts may be sufficient to inform real-time operational decisions, such as harvesting planning, for commercial-scale microalgae production.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Evapotranspiration Partitioning Using Flux Tower Data in a Semi-Arid Ecosystem

Information about evapotranspiration (ET) and its components, that is, evaporation and transpiration, is crucial for a wide range of water and ecosystem management applications. However, partitioning ET into its two components is often challenging because of their spatiotemporal variabilities and lack of process understanding. This study developed a machine learning (ML) framework to shed light on ET processes and assess the relative importance of different drivers by incorporating hydrometeorology and biomass productivity variables. The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) approach was applied to enhance explainability and rank the importance of ET drivers and their components. A total of 62 variables covering hydrometeorological and biomass productivity dimensions were considered from the Reynolds Creek Critical Zone Observatory (CZO) station in Idaho. The variable importance assessment identified the leading drivers individually for evaporation, transpiration and ET (soil water content for evaporation, vapour pressure deficit for transpiration and soil water content for ET). The results further highlighted the value of combining hydrometeorological and biomass productivity variables to achieve better predictability of ET processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mechanistic Models as Framework for Understanding Biomarker Disposition: Prediction of Creatinine‐Drug Interactions

Creatinine is widely used as a biomarker of glomerular filtration, and, hence, renal function. However, transporter‐mediated secretion also contributes to its renal clearance, albeit to a lesser degree. Inhibition of these transporters causes transient serum creatinine elevation, which can be mistaken as impaired renal function. The current study developed mechanistic models of creatinine kinetics within physiologically based framework accounting for multiple transporters involved in creatinine renal elimination, assuming either unidirectional or bidirectional‐OCT2 transport (driven by electrochemical gradient). Robustness of creatinine models was assessed by predicting creatinine‐drug interactions with 10 perpetrators; performance evaluation accounted for 5% intra‐individual variability in serum creatinine. Models showed comparable predictive performances of the maximum steady‐state effect regardless of OCT2 directionality assumptions. However, only the bidirectional‐OCT2 model successfully predicted the minimal effect of ranitidine. The dynamic nature of models provides clear advantage to static approaches and most advanced framework for evaluating interplay between multiple processes in creatinine renal disposition.

Scotcher, Daniel↗

Economic Consequence Analysis of Disasters: The ECAT Software Tool

This study develops a methodology for rapidly obtaining approximate estimates of the economic consequences from numerous natural, man-made and technological threats. This software tool is intended for use by various decision makers and analysts to obtain estimates rapidly. It is programmed in Excel and Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) to facilitate its use. This tool is called E-CAT (Economic Consequence Analysis Tool) and accounts for the cumulative direct and indirect impacts (including resilience and behavioral factors that significantly affect base estimates) on the U.S. economy. E-CAT is intended to be a major step toward advancing the current state of economic consequence analysis (ECA) and also contributing to and developing interest in further research into complex but rapid turnaround approaches. The essence of the methodology involves running numerous simulations in a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for each threat, yielding synthetic data for the estimation of a single regression equation based on the identification of key explanatory variables (threat characteristics and background conditions). This transforms the results of a complex model, which is beyond the reach of most users, into a "reduced form" model that is readily comprehensible. Functionality has been built into E-CAT so that its users can switch various consequence categories on and off in order to create customized profiles of economic consequences of numerous risk events. E-CAT incorporates uncertainty on both the input and output side in the course of the analysis.

Environmental Economics↗

Bayesian merging of numerical modeling and remote sensing for saltwater intrusion quantification in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta

Saltwater intrusion has become one of the most concerning issues in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) due to its increasing impacts on agriculture and food security of Vietnam. Reliable estimation of salinity plays a crucial role to mitigate the impacts of saltwater intrusion. Here, this study developed a hybrid technique that merges satellite imagery with numerical simulations to improve the estimation of salinity in the VMD. The salinity derived from Landsat images and by numerical simulations was fused using the Bayesian inference technique. The results indicate that our technique significantly reduces the uncertainties and improves the accuracy of salinity estimates. The Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient is 0.74, which is much higher than that of numerical simulation (0.63) and Landsat estimation (0.6). The correlation coefficient between the ensemble and measured salinity is relatively high (0.88). The variance of the ensemble salinity errors (5.0 ppt 2 ) is lower than that of Landsat estimation (10.4 ppt 2 ) and numerical simulations (9.6 ppt 2 ). The proposed approach shows a great potential to combine multiple data sources of a variable of interest to improve its accuracy and reliability wherever these data are available.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Toward memory-efficient melt pool monitoring: a classification framework using event-based imaging and sparse sensing technique

Vision sensors like CMOS and CCD cameras are often used for in-process monitoring of melt pools in laser-based additive and welding processes, but they require transferring large amounts of data and computational processing resources. Event-based neuromorphic imagery, on the other hand, detects only the change in pixel intensity, thus potentially reducing the data amount and latency. With an event imager, this study develops a framework for melt pool condition classification, including image construction, time scale selection, optimal pixel selection, and sparse classification, to achieve a highly memory-efficient scheme. These are based on sparse sensing techniques with singular value decomposition (SVD) and QR pivoting, the two fundamental matrix transformations for linear dimensionality reduction. The framework is then validated by classifying a controlled experiment by exciting various mode shapes of liquid gallium pools of varying depths (3, 6, and 8 mm). At 200 pixels, the classifier can reach overall accuracy of 75%, while at 2000 pixels (0.013% of the total possible pixels), the accuracy is nearly 90% (89.86%). At the same number of pixels, random selection can only achieve 46% and 67%, respectively. The memory savings of the sparsely sampled event data compared to a conventional imager is about 500 times. In addition to performance, implementation and limitations of the framework are also discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Wetting and Erosion of ZrO{sub 2}-Graphite Refractory by CaO-SiO{sub 2} and CaO-Al{sub 2}O{sub 3}-Based Mold Slags for Submerged Entry Nozzle

To moderate the erosion in a slag-line zone and extend the service life of a submerged entry nozzle during continuous casting of high-Mn and high-Al steel, the current study developed a low-reaction CaO-Al{sub 2}O{sub 3}-based slag with lower SiO{sub 2} and higher Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} contents than that of conventional CaO-SiO{sub 2}-based slag. The static sessile drop technique and dynamic rotating cylinder method were utilized to investigate the erosion behavior of ZrO{sub 2}-graphite refractory by the above slags. The main results indicated that silicate-based slag could wet the ZrO{sub 2}-graphite substrate completely, while the aluminate-based slag spread rapidly in the first 20 minutes, and then a slag drop with an unchanged profile formed on the substrate. The equilibrium contact angles with the substrate at 1623 K were 0 and 79 deg for the CaO-SiO{sub 2} and CaO-Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} based slags, respectively. The comparison of the influences of the rotating speed and the temperature revealed that the decrease of erosion rate could be realized by the developed slag. An examination of ZrO{sub 2}-saturation limit also indicated that the low-reaction slag could dissolve much more ZrO{sub 2} oxidation, accompanied by a less-negative effect on the viscosity of the molten slag.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multi-objective surrogate-assisted calibration of CPFEM models using macroscopic response and in situ EBSD measurements of grain reorientation trajectories

Crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) models are widely used to simulate the deformation behaviour of polycrystalline materials, but their calibration is often limited by their high computational cost and the non-convexity of the optimisation landscape. Here, this study develops a multi-objective surrogate-assisted calibration workflow that couples a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA) with an adaptively trained deep neural network (DNN) surrogate model to efficiently identify CPFEM parameters from experimental data. The workflow is demonstrated on three crystal plasticity (CP) formulations of increasing complexity — Voce hardening (VH), two-coefficient latent hardening (LH2), and six-coefficient latent hardening (LH6) — using in situ electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) measurements of Alloy 617 under uniaxial tensile loading. The CPFEM models are calibrated against the experimentally observed stress–strain response and reorientation trajectories of eight grains, then validated against eight additional trajectories and overall texture evolution. Across the CP formulations, the macroscopic response was reproduced reliably, while differences emerged in the robustness and accuracy of the grain-scale predictions. Including grain reorientation trajectories in the multi-objective calibration improved texture evolution predictions and filtered out physically inconsistent parameter sets that can arise from calibrating against only the stress–strain data. The workflow also demonstrates good transferability of calibrated parameters from a low- to a high-fidelity microstructural model. These results provide practical guidance for integrating in situ microstructural data into CPFEM through efficient, repeatable, and physically meaningful multi-objective calibration.

Crystal plasticity finite element method↗

A statistical and simulation-informed model for estimating permeability from pore size distribution in saturated geomaterials

Accurate permeability estimation is essential across subsurface engineering applications but remains challenging due to the complex pore structures of natural geomaterials. Traditional empirical methods and simplified theoretical models often inadequately capture the role of pore size distribution and connectivity. Here, this study develops a statistical and simulation-informed permeability model that collapses pore-scale complexity into a compact scaling of the form k = αϕμ d 2 , where ϕ is porosity, μ d is mean pore size, and α is a weakly varying coefficient. By combining pore network simulations with statistical analysis of unimodal and bimodal pore size distributions, we identify three key findings: (i) permeability is much more sensitive to mean pore size than to porosity; (ii) across extensive datasets, the ratio σ d /μ d (standard deviation to mean) clusters around a characteristic value ∼0.4, allowing the effects of the full pore size distribution to be represented by μ d and a narrowly varying α ≈ 0.05; and (iii) for bimodal systems, there exists a critical fraction of small pores ∼0.78 above which flow becomes small-pore dominated, enabling the definition of an effective flow-controlling pore population and facilitating simplified permeability estimation for such systems. The resulting model, which requires only porosity and a representative mean pore size as inputs, is validated against comprehensive experimental datasets (>1700 samples) spanning diverse soils and rocks and achieves good predictive accuracy. Overall, this work provides a physically grounded yet practically simple permeability estimator suitable for subsurface engineering, environmental protection, and resource management applications.

Permeability↗

Dissipative quantum trajectories in complex space: Damped harmonic oscillator

Dissipative quantum trajectories in complex space are investigated in the framework of the logarithmic nonlinear Schrödinger equation. The logarithmic nonlinear Schrödinger equation provides a phenomenological description for dissipative quantum systems. Substituting the wave function expressed in terms of the complex action into the complex-extended logarithmic nonlinear Schrödinger equation, we derive the complex quantum Hamilton–Jacobi equation including the dissipative potential. It is shown that dissipative quantum trajectories satisfy a quantum Newtonian equation of motion in complex space with a friction force. Exact dissipative complex quantum trajectories are analyzed for the wave and solitonlike solutions to the logarithmic nonlinear Schrödinger equation for the damped harmonic oscillator. These trajectories converge to the equilibrium position as time evolves. It is indicated that dissipative complex quantum trajectories for the wave and solitonlike solutions are identical to dissipative complex classical trajectories for the damped harmonic oscillator. This study develops a theoretical framework for dissipative quantum trajectories in complex space.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of hydrogen fuel production from chlor-alkali processes in the United States

By-product hydrogen from chlor-alkali processes can help meet the increasing demand for hydrogen fuel in early fuel cell electric vehicle markets (e.g., California) in the U.S. Hydrogen produced from chlor-alkali plants is typically combusted for process heat on site, vented to the atmosphere (i.e., wasted), or sold to the external merchant hydrogen market. Whether it is combusted, vented, or sold as a commodity, relevant information is lacking as to the life-cycle environmental benefits or trade-offs of using by-product hydrogen from chlor-alkali plants. A life-cycle analysis framework was employed to evaluate well-to-gate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with by-product hydrogen from chlor-alkali processes in comparison with hydrogen from the conventional centralized natural gas steam methane reforming (central SMR) pathway. U.S.-specific, plant-by-plant, and up-to-date chlor-alkali production characteristics were incorporated into the analysis. In addition to the venting and combustion scenarios, to deal with the multi-functionality of the chlor-alkali processes that simultaneously produce chlorine, sodium hydroxide, and hydrogen, two different co-product allocation strategies were adopted mass allocation and market value allocation. It was estimated that by-product hydrogen production from chlor-alkali processes creates 1.3-9.8 kg CO 2 e/kg H 2 of life-cycle GHG emissions on average, which is 20-90% less than the conventional central SMR pathway. The results vary with co-product treatment scenarios, regional electric grid characteristics, on-site power generation, product prices, and hydrogen yield. Despite the variations in the results, it was concluded that the life-cycle GHG emission reduction benefits of using by-product hydrogen from chlor-alkali processes are robust. In conclusion, with a diverse set of scenario analyses, the study developed a comprehensive and detailed life-cycle GHG emissions inventory of the chlor-alkali by-product hydrogen pathway and quantified sensitivity indices in the context of different assumptions and input parameter values.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Modeling and analysis of heat emissions from buildings to ambient air

Heat emissions from buildings is a significant source of anthropogenic heat influencing the urban microclimate; however, they are usually oversimplified in urban climate and microclimate modeling. This study developed a bottom-up physics-based approach to calculate heat emissions from buildings to the ambient air and implemented the approach in EnergyPlus. In this work, a simple result verification was conducted by comparing the EnergyPlus simulated results against the spreadsheet calculations. Simulations covering 16 commercial building types, four climates, and two energy efficiency levels were conducted to understand and evaluate the building heat emissions and their temporal patterns as well as three major components: (1) building envelope (convective heat transfer to ambient air), (2) zones (air exfiltration and exhaust air), and (3) HVAC systems (relief air and heat rejection from condensers or cooling towers). The main findings are: (1) heat emissions are usually higher than the site energy use (about 2.5 times), and their dynamics should be considered; (2) building characteristics and their energy systems lead to differences in heat emission contributions from the three components, and their dynamics, for example, in the warehouse models, the envelope component accounts for 90.4%, while it is 12.7% for the large office models; (3) for most building typologies, the climate has a strong impact on heat emissions, for example, buildings with dominant heat emissions from the zone exhaust air and/or the HVAC reject heat, a general decrease in heat emissions in hotter climates is observed, while envelope-dominated buildings show the opposite; and (4) building technologies that reduce energy use in buildings may perform differently in reducing heat emissions. The developed heat emissions calculation method can be adopted in EnergyPlus and most other building energy modeling programs. It can provide dynamic building heat emissions as an input to urban climate computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models at a higher spatial and temporal resolution than is currently available, to improve the simulation accuracy of the urban microclimate and capture the urban heat island effect and urban overheating.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Quantifying the effect of multiple load flexibility strategies on commercial building electricity demand and services via surrogate modeling

The expansion of commercial building demand response as a demand-side management resource for the electric grid necessitates new decision support resources for customers seeking to assess the benefit–risk tradeoffs of possible strategies for energy flexible building operations. To address this need, we, in this study, develop surrogate models that predict the impacts of several load flexibility strategies on commercial building electricity demand and indoor temperature, focusing on offices and retail buildings at multiple scales. The surrogate models are fit to a synthetic database generated via whole building simulations, which establish the relationships between the key operational features of a given strategy and potential changes in building demand and temperature across a variety of contexts. The surrogate models are translated to a Bayesian framework to allow straightforward communication of uncertainty and parameter updating given new evidence. We find strong predictive performance across the suite of models, underscoring the usefulness of the approach in guiding decisions about implementing load flexibility strategies under a particular set of operational and environmental conditions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Bringing solar to agriculture: An interdisciplinary design and analysis of a Concord grape agrivoltaic system

Agrivoltaics presents an opportunity to integrate solar photovoltaics (PV) with agricultural production, but crop-specific challenges and operational constraints remain underexplored. This study develops and evaluates a Concord grape agrivoltaic system in the Lake Erie American Viticulture Area, where vineyards face economic pressures and land use conflicts with solar development. Starting with vertical, tracking, and overhead PV systems, we model photosynthetic photon flux density (PPFD) reduction in grapevines and power generation losses from shading using the Agrivoltaic Radiation Tool (ART). Based on these results, which indicate 0.47 % annual grapevine PPFD loss for vertical designs, 1.6 % for tracking, and up to 25 % for the overhead systems, the vertical and tracking designs are selected for further computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis to evaluate airflow interactions. CFD results show that vertical panels do not significantly impact airflow through the grapevine canopy, and that tracking systems in horizontal position may enhance airflow compared to a vine-only scenario. Considering operational constraints for tracking systems, the vertical design is selected for an economic evaluation to reveal key financial outcomes for solar developers (14-year payback period) and growers ($408 reduction in financial losses per acre annually). A sensitivity analysis quantifies uncertainty in power generation (±8.8 %) and PPFD (±5.0 %), ensuring model robustness across different vineyard conditions. Furthermore, these findings provide quantitative evidence for the feasibility of Concord grape agrivoltaics, demonstrating a synergistic opportunity for dual-use solar while preserving cultural heritage in grape-growing regions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Application of machine learning for modeling brønsted-guggenheim-scatchard specific ion interaction theory (SIT) coefficients

Machine learning methodologies can provide insight into Brønsted-Guggenheim-Scatchard specific ion interaction theory (SIT) parameter values where experimental data availability may be limited. This study develops and executes machine learning frameworks to model the SIT interaction coefficient, ε. Key findings include successful estimations of ε via artificial neural networks using clustering and value prediction approaches. Additionally, applicability to other chemical parameters is also assessed briefly. Models developed here provide support for a use-case of machine learning in geologic nuclear waste disposal research applications, namely in predictions of chemical behaviors of high ionic strength solutions (i.e., subsurface brines).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Crystal structure of EGFR T790M/C797S/V948R in complex with EAI045

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths. Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) kinase domain mutations are a common cause of non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLCs), a major subtype of lung cancers. Patients harboring most of these mutations respond well to the anti-EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) gefitinib and erlotinib initially, but soon develop resistance to them in about half of the cases due to the emergence of the gatekeeper mutation T790M. The third-generation TKIs such as AZD9291, HM61713, CO-1686 and WZ4002 can overcome T790M through covalent binding to the EGFR kinase through Cys 797, but ultimately lose their efficacy upon emergence of the C797S mutation that abolishes the covalent bonding. Therefore to develop new TKIs to overcome EGFR drug-resistant mutants harboring T790M/C797S is urgently demanded. EAI001 and EAI045 are a new type of EGFR TKIs that bind to EGFR reversibly and not relying on Cys 797. EAI045 in combination with cetuximab is effective in mouse models of lung cancer driven by EGFR L858R/T790M and L858R/T790M/C797S. Here we report the crystal structure of EGFR T790M/C797S/V948R in complex with EAI045, and compare it to EGFR T790M/V948R in complex with EAI001. The complex structure reveals why EAI045 binds tighter to EGFR than does EAI001, and why EAI001 and EAI045 prefer binding to EGFR T790M. The knowledge may facilitate future drug development studies targeting this very important cancer target.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Integrated thermal and biological conversion of microalgal proteins to lipids

Microalgal composition varies with cultivation strategy, and low-cost approaches often produce high-protein biomass. This presents challenges for biorefineries designed around static, lipid-rich feedstocks. In particular, hydrolysates from high-protein algae are nitrogen-rich and sugar-poor, limiting microbial conversion and reducing product yields. This study develops a sequential thermal conditioning and biological upgrading strategy to integrate high-protein hydrolysate processing within conventional lipid extraction and upgrading designs. Oxidative deconstruction was used to break down proteins into ammonium and short-chain carboxylates. Ammonium was subsequently removed to yield a nitrogen-depleted, carboxylate-rich medium suitable for microbial lipid production. Bioconversion trials with Cutaneotrichosporon oleaginosum showed lipid accumulation only from hydrolysates treated with both oxidative deconstruction and nitrogen removal, reaching 1.2 g/L lipids at 30 % intracellular content. This integrated approach enables protein-to-lipid conversion and improves flexibility to process variable algal feedstocks, advancing fuel-oriented microalgal biorefineries.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

3-Hydroxypropionic acid recovery from fermentation broth through novel downstream processing: Technoeconomic analysis

This study develops and validates a simplified, fully solvent-free downstream processing (DSP) strategy for high-purity recovery of 3-hydroxypropionic acid (3-HP) from real fermentation broth containing 62.3 g/L of 3-HP. Optimized activated carbon treatment achieved 98% color removal, while Amberlite IRA-67 was operated at pH 4.5 and 30 °C to minimize product loss. This is the first integrated demonstration of a fully solvent-free DSP enabling recovery of bio-based 3-HP as both a solid sodium salt and a concentrated aqueous solution, supported by techno-economic analysis. At lab scale, the process achieved 77.3% recovery of sodium 3-HP with 83.2% (w/w) purity and produced a 30% (w/v) aqueous solution. Techno-economic analysis yielded minimum selling prices of $0.551/kg for the solution and $0.892/kg for the salt, both below target thresholds for cost-competitive bio-acrylic acid production. Overall, these results demonstrate an efficient, scalable, and economically viable industrial pathway for 3-HP recovery.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗