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The energy supply security pyramid: A quantitative framework for planning and policy making
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Quantitative SANS and multi-model analysis of spacer-dependent micellization of urea-based gemini surfactants
The micellization behavior of urea-based cationic gemini surfactants was investigated using small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) with multi-model form factor analysis. A homologous series of surfactants with urea group included in the hydrophobic tail and polymethylene spacers consisting of two to ten methylene units was analyzed using three form factor models: a core–shell ellipsoid and two variants of homogeneous ellipsoids. The results from all models show a consistent trend of the micelle structures, confirming that the spacer length critically influences micellar geometry, aggregation number, and hydration. The surfactant with four CH 2 groups in the spacer formed the largest micelles with the highest aggregation number, while longer spacers led to progressively smaller, more compact aggregates. The shell hydration—quantified as the volume fraction of heavy water within the hydrophilic region—decreased systematically with increasing spacer length due to enhanced hydrophobicity of the headgroup-spacer region. Intermicellar interactions, modeled as screened Coulomb interaction using the rescaled mean spherical approximation (RMSA), revealed the strongest electrostatic repulsion for the case of four methylene groups in the spacer, corresponding to the highest micellar charge and largest interparticle spacing. The observed spacer-dependent trends were robust across all modeling approaches, demonstrating that the spacer length serves as a key structural determinant of self-assembly in this type of urea-based gemini systems. These findings provide insight into the design of gemini surfactants with tailored aggregation behavior for applications in drug delivery, nanostructure templating, and solubilization technologies.
Quantitative Structure–Activity Relationship Models to Predict Cardiac Adverse Effects
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Cluster-Graph Fingerprinting: A Framework for Quantitative Analysis of Machine-Learned Interatomic Model Training and Simulation Data
Machine-learned interatomic models represent a significant advancement in simulation methods, extending the predictive ability of first-principles methods to previously inaccessible length and time scales. However, the data-driven nature of these models can lead to difficult-to-detect errors that can compromise prediction accuracy. To address this challenge, we introduce a novel fingerprinting approach based on the Chebyshev Interaction Model for Efficient Simulation (ChIMES) ML-IAM graph-based descriptor. Our strategy enables efficient and statistically rigorous analysis of system configurations used in ML-IAM training and those generated by their application, e.g., in molecular dynamics simulations. We demonstrate that these fingerprints can effectively assess novelty of a configuration relative to an existing data set and determine dissimilarity among individual configurations, which are two key tasks in workflows for active learning-based ML-IAM training, data set curation, and on-the-fly uncertainty quantification.
First-Principles-Based Study of the Decomposition of Phenol and Hydroquinone on Pt(111) Combined with Quantitative Information from XPS Spectra to Address the Impact of Coverage and Number of Hydroxyl Functional Groups
A combined first-principles-based and experimental X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy approach was used to investigate the thermal decomposition of two model biofuel compounds, phenol and hydroquinone, on Pt(111) at both low and high coverages. The DFT-based approach yields adsorption geometries and energies, activation barriers and core-level binding energy shifts for C 1s and O 1s. Increasing the coverage in the theoretical model leads to slight shifts in core-level binding energies─toward higher values for C 1s and lower values for O 1s. It also alters the energy profiles of the decomposition reaction pathway, resulting in weaker adsorption energies and changes in both reaction and activation barriers. At low temperatures, we observe a multilayer for phenol and hydroquinone upon adsorption, with desorption occurring at 200 and 270 K, respectively. Following desorption of the multilayer, decomposition proceeds via initial O–H bond scission, followed by two parallel pathways involving either C–H or C–C bond scission, whereby in the case of phenol C–H bond scission occurs first. Here, we further provide characteristic core level binding energies by theoretical calculations that are subsequently used in experimental analyses, establishing a reference database for key spectra of phenolic functionalities applicable to a range of catalytic reactions.
Quantitative Encapsulation and Homogeneity Assessment of Sol–Gel Based Nuclear Explosive Debris Simulants
Nuclear explosive debris simulants are an important material in training and validating aspects of post-detonation nuclear forensic processes. Realistic simulants should replicate several aspects of nuclear explosive debris such as the size, shape, color, density, and chemical and radiological properties. Silica particles produced via sol-gel synthesis have recently been found to successfully reproduce many of these parameters including the controllable incorporation of radionuclide content. However, to be useful as a benchmarking material for validation and verification of laboratory methodologies, radionuclide content from batch-to-batch must be reproducible. Here, in this work, we explore the variance in radionuclide distribution incorporated into sol-gel benchmarking materials with respect to sample subdivision. Results will help inform the sample sizes required to minimize variance between samples.
Quantitative Analysis and Prediction of Thermal Runaway Metrics of High-Nickel Oxide Cathodes by Machine Learning Models
The pursuit of higher energy density in lithium-ion batteries has made high-nickel (Ni) layered oxides leading cathode candidates for next-generation electric vehicles. However, their poor thermal stability, particularly at Ni contents ≥ 90%, increases the risk of cathode-initiated thermal runaway. Furthermore, we present a data-driven framework combining linear and nonlinear machine learning models to predict key thermal runaway descriptors from a high-throughput differential scanning calorimetry database. With cathode composition and state of charge (SOC) as input features, the ensemble model accurately predicts peak temperature, heat release, and peak heat flow. SHAP analysis identifies Ni content and SOC as the dominant factors controlling thermal runaway temperature, while SOC primarily governs heat release and peak heat flow. Al, Mg, and Mn improve thermal stability by strengthening metal–oxygen bonding and delaying structural transformation, whereas B mainly reduces heat release through surface passivation. Validation with a new cathode composition confirms accurate prediction of SOC-dependent thermal runaway behavior and critical SOC.
Quantitative Measurement of Molecular Permeability to a Synthetic Bacterial Microcompartment Shell System
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Quantitative Determination of Electronic Effects in Free Radicals through Open-Shell Hammett Substituent Constants
Hammett substituent constants (σ), which quantify the electronic effects of functional groups, are widely used for predicting the properties of organic compounds and investigating reaction mechanisms. While these values have been obtained for a wide range of closed-shell substituents, measurements of analogous values for open-shell substituents are rare due to challenges associated with their short lifetimes. Here, in this report, we developed a combined experimental and computational approach for quantifying the electronic properties of open-shell substituents based on changes in nitrile vibrational frequencies (ν(C≡N)). By coupling pulse radiolysis and time-resolved infrared spectroscopy (PR-TRIR), we measured ν(C≡N) IR bands of 30 para - and meta -substituted benzonitriles bearing C-, N-, and S-centered radicals. A linear scaling relationship was obtained between these experimental values and values obtained from DFT calculations. Using these computed values, two different Hammett constants, σ m , and σ p + , were determined for a series of C-, N-, O-, S-, Si-, and B-centered radicals. The differences between σm and σp+ values enable the separate evaluation of inductive and resonance effects in these open-shell substituents. The results suggest that there are three classes of radicals: one is electron withdrawing (σ m , σ p + > 0), one is electron donating (σm, σp+ < 0), and one is inductively withdrawing but resonance donating (σ m > 0, σ p + < 0). Our study represents a general approach to the analysis of the electronic properties of open-shell species and has potential applications in a wide range of molecular processes involving free radical intermediates.
Phenology of Photosynthesis in Winter‐Dormant Temperate and Boreal Forests: Long‐Term Observations From Flux Towers and Quantitative Evaluation of Phenology Models
Abstract We examined the seasonality of photosynthesis in 46 evergreen needleleaf (evergreen needleleaf forests (ENF)) and deciduous broadleaf (deciduous broadleaf forests (DBF)) forests across North America and Eurasia. We quantified the onset and end (Start GPP and End GPP ) of photosynthesis in spring and autumn based on the response of net ecosystem exchange of CO 2 to sunlight. To test the hypothesis that snowmelt is required for photosynthesis to begin, these were compared with end of snowmelt derived from soil temperature. ENF forests achieved 10% of summer photosynthetic capacity ∼3 weeks before end of snowmelt, while DBF forests achieved that capacity ∼4 weeks afterward. DBF forests increased photosynthetic capacity in spring faster (1.95% d −1 ) than ENF (1.10% d −1 ), and their active season length (End GPP –Start GPP ) was ∼50 days shorter. We hypothesized that warming has influenced timing of the photosynthesis season. We found minimal evidence for long‐term change in Start GPP , End GPP , or air temperature, but their interannual anomalies were significantly correlated. Warmer weather was associated with earlier Start GPP (1.3–2.5 days °C −1 ) or later End GPP (1.5–1.8 days °C −1 , depending on forest type and month). Finally, we tested whether existing phenological models could predict Start GPP and End GPP . For ENF forests, air temperature‐ and daylength‐based models provided best predictions for Start GPP , while a chilling‐degree‐day model was best for End GPP . The root mean square errors (RMSE) between predicted and observed Start GPP and End GPP were 11.7 and 11.3 days, respectively. For DBF forests, temperature‐ and daylength‐based models yielded the best results (RMSE 6.3 and 10.5 days).
A quantitative comparison of the fingerprint of twinned microstructures through surface and three-dimensional techniques
Assessing the fingerprint of a material’s microstructure is key for supporting materials design. With the emergence of a wide range of 3D characterization techniques, it is critical to understand the main differences in fingerprints reconstructed from 2D and 3D datasets. To this end, we introduce a graph-based microstructure reconstruction framework that enables structural comparisons of twin domain networks in high purity Ti using 3D and 2D electron backscatter diffraction. Insights into the structure of the twin networks are facilitated by combining statistical analysis of twin crystallography with visual and graphical analysis of the novel graph abstractions of the twins. We demonstrate that compared to 3D reconstructions, conventional 2D views of twinning miss key aspects of the microstructure including the high interconnectivity of domains into networks that span the full reconstruction volume. The reduced cross-grain and in-grain twin connectivity typically observed in 2D has notable implications on our understanding of how twinning mediates the plastic response of microstructures and how twin networks evolve. It is thus clear that 3D characterization is critical for accurately inferring both twin network morphologies as well as the key unit processes facilitating network formation.
Quantitative kinetic rules for plastic strain-induced α - ω phase transformation in Zr under high pressure
Plastic strain-induced phase transformations (PTs) and chemical reactions under high pressure are broadly spread in modern technologies, friction and wear, geophysics, and astrogeology. However, because of very heterogeneous fields of plastic strain $E$ p and stress σ tensors and volume fraction c of phases in a sample compressed in a diamond anvil cell (DAC) and impossibility of measurements of σ and $E$ p , there are no strict kinetic equations for them. Here, we develop a kinetic model, finite element method (FEM) approach, and combined FEM-experimental approaches to determine all fields in strongly plastically predeformed Zr compressed in DAC, and specific kinetic equation for α-ω PT consistent with experimental data for the entire sample. Since all fields in the sample are very heterogeneous, data are obtained for numerous complex 7D paths in the space of 3 components of the plastic strain tensor and 4 components of the stress tensor. Kinetic equation depends on accumulated plastic strain (instead of time) and pressure and is independent of plastic strain and deviatoric stress tensors, i.e., it can be applied for various above processes. Our results initiate kinetic studies of strain-induced PTs and provide efforts toward more comprehensive understanding of material behavior in extreme conditions.