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DOE OSTI2016

Cross sections for ν μ and ν ¯ μ induced pion production on hydrocarbon in the few-GeV region using MINERvA

Separate samples of charged-current pion production events representing two semi-inclusive channels ν μ –CC(π + ) and ν¯ μ –CC(π 0 ) have been obtained using neutrino and antineutrino exposures of the MINERvA detector. Distributions in kinematic variables based upon μ±-track reconstructions are analyzed and compared for the two samples. The differential cross sections for muon production angle, muon momentum, and four-momentum transfer Q 2 are reported, and cross sections versus neutrino energy are obtained. Comparisons with predictions of current neutrino event generators are used to clarify the role of the Δ(1232) and higher-mass baryon resonances in CC pion production and to show the importance of pion final-state interactions. For the ν μ –CC(π + ) [ν¯ μ –CC(π 0 )] sample, the absolute data rate is observed to lie below (above) the predictions of some of the event generators by amounts that are typically 1-to- 2σ. Furthermore, the generators are able to reproduce the shapes of the differential cross sections for all kinematic variables of either data set.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Detection Limits of Low-mass, Long-period Exoplanets Using Gaussian Processes Applied to HARPS-N Solar Radial Velocities

Radial velocity (RV) searches for Earth-mass exoplanets in the habitable zone around Sun-like stars are limited by the effects of stellar variability on the host star. In particular, suppression of convective blueshift and brightness inhomogeneities due to photospheric faculae/plage and starspots are the dominant contribution to the variability of such stellar RVs. Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful tool for statistically modeling these quasi-periodic variations. We investigate the limits of this technique using 800 days of RVs from the solar telescope on the High Accuracy Radial velocity Planet Searcher for the Northern hemisphere (HARPS-N) spectrograph. These data provide a well-sampled time series of stellar RV variations. Into this data set, we inject Keplerian signals with periods between 100 and 500 days and amplitudes between 0.6 and 2.4 m s{sup −1}. We use GP regression to fit the resulting RVs and determine the statistical significance of recovered periods and amplitudes. We then generate synthetic RVs with the same covariance properties as the solar data to determine a lower bound on the observational baseline necessary to detect low-mass planets in Venus-like orbits around a Sun-like star. Our simulations show that discovering planets with a larger mass (∼0.5 m s{sup −1}) using current-generation spectrographs and GP regression will require more than 12 yr of densely sampled RV observations. Furthermore, even with a perfect model of stellar variability, discovering a true exo-Venus (∼0.1 m s{sup −1}) with current instruments would take over 15 yr. Therefore, next-generation spectrographs and better models of stellar variability are required for detection of such planets.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Mapping Permafrost Variability and Degradation Using Seismic Surface Waves, Electrical Resistivity, and Temperature Sensing: A Case Study in Arctic Alaska

Subsurface processes significantly influence surface dynamics in permafrost regions, necessitating utilizing diverse geophysical methods to reliably constrain permafrost characteristics. This research uses multiple geophysical techniques to explore the spatial variability of permafrost in undisturbed tundra and its degradation in disturbed tundra in Utqiagvik, Alaska. Here, we integrate multiple quantitative techniques, including multichannel analysis of surface waves (MASW), electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and ground temperature sensing, to study heterogeneity in permafrost’s geophysical characteristics. MASW results reveal active layer shear wave velocities (V s ) between 240 and 370 m/s, and permafrost V s between 450 and 1,700 m/s, typically showing a low-high-low velocity pattern. Additionally, we find an inverse relationship between in situ V s and ground temperature measurements. The V s profiles along with electrical resistivity profiles reveal cryostructures such as cryopeg and ice-rich zones in the permafrost layer. The integrated results of MASW and ERT provide valuable information for characterizing permafrost heterogeneity and cryostructure. Corroboration of these geophysical observations with permafrost core samples’ stratigraphies and salinity measurements further validates these findings. This combination of geophysical and temperature sensing methods along with permafrost core sampling confirms a robust approach for assessing permafrost’s spatial variability in coastal environments. Our results also indicate that civil infrastructure systems such as gravel roads and pile foundations affect permafrost by thickening the active layer, lowering the V s , and reducing heterogeneity. We show how the resulting V s profiles can be used to estimate key parameters for designing buildings in permafrost regions and maintaining existing infrastructure in polar regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2018

Robust Period Estimation Using Mutual Information for Multiband Light Curves in the Synoptic Survey Era

The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) will produce an unprecedented amount of light curves using six optical bands. Robust and efficient methods that can aggregate data from multidimensional sparsely sampled time-series are needed. Here, we present a new method for light curve period estimation based on quadratic mutual information (QMI). The presented method does not assume a particular model for the light curve nor its underlying probability density and it is robust to non-Gaussian noise and outliers. By combining the QMI from several bands the true period can be estimated even when no single-band QMI yields the period. Period recovery performance as a function of average magnitude and sample size is measured using 30,000 synthetic multiband light curves of RR Lyrae and Cepheid variables generated by the LSST Operations and Catalog simulators. The results show that aggregating information from several bands is highly beneficial in LSST sparsely sampled time-series, obtaining an absolute increase in period recovery rate up to 50%. We also show that the QMI is more robust to noise and light curve length (sample size) than the multiband generalizations of the Lomb–Scargle and AoV periodograms, recovering the true period in 10%–30% more cases than its competitors. A python package with efficient Cython implementations of the QMI and other methods is provided.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Joint Probability Density–Based Decomposition of Turbulence in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer

Abstract In convective flows, vertical turbulent fluxes, covariances between vertical velocity and scalar thermodynamic variables, include contributions from local mixing and large-scale coherent motions, such as updrafts and downdrafts. The relative contribution of these motions to the covariance is important in turbulence parameterizations. However, the flux partition is challenging, especially in regions without convective cloud. A method to decompose the vertical flux based on the corresponding joint probability density function (JPD) is introduced. The JPD-based method partitions the full JPD into a joint Gaussian part and the complement, which represent the local mixing and the large-scale coherent motions, respectively. The coherent part can be further divided into updraft and downdraft parts based on the sign of vertical velocity. The flow decomposition is independent of water condensate (cloud) and can be applied in cloud-free convection, the subcloud layer, and stratiform cloud regions. The method is applied to large-eddy simulation model data of three boundary layers. The results are compared with traditional cloud and cloud-core decompositions and a decaying scalar conditional sampling method. The JPD-based method includes a single free parameter and sensitivity tests show weak dependence on the parameter values. The results of the JPD-based method are somewhat similar to the cloud-core and conditional sampling methods. However, differences in the relative magnitude of the flux decomposition terms suggest that an objective definition of the flow regions is subtle and diagnosed flow properties like updraft characteristics depend on the sampling method. Moreover, the flux decomposition depends on the thermodynamic variable and convection characteristics.

Chinita, Maria J.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Blazar variability power spectra from radio up to TeV photon energies: Mrk 421 and PKS 2155−304

ABSTRACT We present the results of the power spectral density (PSD) analysis for the blazars Mrk 421 and PKS 2155−304, using good-quality, densely sampled light curves at multiple frequencies, covering 17 decades of the electromagnetic spectrum, and variability time-scales from weeks up to a decade. The data were collected from publicly available archives of observatories at radio from Owens Valley Radio Observatory, optical and infrared (B, V, R, I, J, H, and Kbands), X-rays from the Swift and the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer, high and very high energy (VHE) γ-rays from the Fermi and Very Energetic Radiation Imaging Telescope Array System as well as the High Energy Stereoscopic System. Our results are: (1) the power-law form of the variability power spectra at radio, infrared, and optical frequencies have slopes ∼1.8, indicative of random-walk-type noise processes; (2) the power-law form of the variability power spectra at higher frequencies, from X-rays to VHE γ-rays, however, have slopes ∼1.2, suggesting a flicker noise-type process; and (3) there is significantly more variability power at X-rays, high and VHE γ-rays on time-scales ≲ 100 d, as compared to lower energies. Our results do not easily fit into a simple model, in which a single compact emission zone is dominating the radiative output of the blazars across all the time-scales probed in our analysis. Instead, we argue that the frequency-dependent shape of the variability power spectra points out a more complex picture, with highly inhomogeneous outflow producing non-thermal emission over an extended, stratified volume.

Goyal, Arti↗

DOE OSTI2018

The beamline ID32 at the ESRF for soft X-ray high energy resolution resonant inelastic X-ray scattering and polarisation dependent X-ray absorption spectroscopy

Here, the ID32 Soft X-ray Beamline line is an ESRF upgrade beamline for X-ray absorption (XAS) and Resonant Inelastic X-ray Scattering (RIXS) spectroscopic studies. It was opened to Users in October 2014 and provides polarised soft X-rays in the 400–1600 eV energy range. It has two branches: One branch has been designed for X-ray magnetic dichroism experiments, both linear (XMLD) and circular (XMCD), with high sensitivity, reproducibility, flexibility, user friendliness and the capability for fast energy scanning. The X-ray beam is available in two experimental areas, one with a dedicated superconducting high field magnet and a sample preparation facility, the second area being open for User instruments. The other branch is dedicated to very high energy resolution Resonant Inelastic X-ray Scattering experiments with a combined resolving power up to 30 000 around 930 eV. A scattering arm which is continuously variable under UHV vacuum over 100 degrees and a four-circle sample goniometer allows accurate positioning of the sample to enable 3D mapping of q space. Combined with the possibility of polarisation analysis of the outgoing photons the beamline provides a state-of-the-art soft X-ray RIXS facility.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Focused‐beam X‐ray fluorescence and diffraction microtomographies for mineralogical and chemical characterization of unsectioned extraterrestrial samples

Abstract This study describes the application of new synchrotron X‐ray fluorescence (XRF) and diffraction (XRD) microtomographies for the 3‐D visualization of chemical and mineralogical variations in unsectioned extraterrestrial samples. These improved methods have been applied to three compositionally diverse chondritic meteorite samples that were between 300 and 400 μm in diameter, including samples prepared from fragments of the CR2 chondrite LaPaz Icefield (LAP) 02342, H5 chondrite MacAlpine Hills (MAC) 88203, and the CM2 chondrite Murchison. The synchrotron‐based XRF and XRD tomographies used are focused‐beam techniques that measure the intensities of fluorescent and diffracted X‐rays in a sample simultaneously during irradiation by a high‐energy microfocused incident X‐ray beam. Measured sinograms of the emitted and diffracted intensities were then tomographically reconstructed to generate 2‐D slices of XRF and XRD intensity through the sample, with reconstructed pixel resolution of 1–2 μm, defined by the resolution of the focused incident X‐ray beam. For sample LAP 02342, primary mineral phases that were visualized in reconstructed slices using these techniques included isolated grains of α‐Fe, orthopyroxene, and olivine. For our sample of MAC 88203, XRF/XRD tomography allowed visualization of forsteritic olivine as a primary mineral phase, a vitrified fusion crust at the sample surface, identification of localized Cr‐rich spinels at spatial resolutions of several micrometers, and imaging of a plagioclase‐rich glassy matrix. In the sample of Murchison, major identifiable phases include clinoenstatite‐ and olivine‐rich chondrules, variable serpentine matrix minerals and small Cr‐rich spinels. Most notable in the tomographic analysis of Murchison is the ability to quantitatively distinguish and visualize the complex mixture of serpentine‐group minerals and associated tochilinite–cronstedtite intergrowths. These methods provide new opportunities for spatially resolved characterization of sample texture, mineralogy, crystal structure, and chemical state in unsectioned samples. This provides researchers an ability to characterize such samples internally with minimal disruption of sample micro‐structures and chemistry, possibly without the need for sample extraction from some types of sampling and capture media.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

DOE OSTI2021

Unexpected Short-period Variability in Dwarf Carbon Stars from the Zwicky Transient Facility

Dwarf carbon (dC) stars, main-sequence stars showing carbon molecular bands, are enriched by mass transfer from a previous asymptotic-giant-branch (AGB) companion, which has since evolved to a white dwarf. While previous studies have found radial-velocity variations for large samples of dCs, there are still relatively few dC orbital periods in the literature and no dC eclipsing binaries have yet been found. Here, we analyze photometric light curves from DR5 of the Zwicky Transient Facility for a sample of 944 dC stars. From these light curves, we identify 34 periodically variable dC stars. Remarkably, of the periodic dCs, 82% have periods less than two days. We also provide spectroscopic follow-up for four of these periodic systems, measuring radial velocity variations in three of them. Short-period dCs are almost certainly post-common-envelope binary systems, because the periodicity is most likely related to the orbital period, with tidally locked rotation and photometric modulation on the dC either from spots or from ellipsoidal variations. We discuss evolutionary scenarios that these binaries may have taken to accrete sufficient C-rich material while avoiding truncation of the thermally pulsing AGB phase needed to provide such material in the first place. We compare these dCs to common-envelope models to show that dC stars probably cannot accrete enough C-rich material during the common-envelope phase, suggesting another mechanism like wind-Roche lobe overflow is necessary. The periodic dCs in this paper represent a prime sample for spectroscopic follow-up and for comparison to future models of wind-Roche lobe overflow mass transfer.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mid-Atlantic US observations of radiocarbon in CO 2 : fossil and biogenic source partitioning and model evaluation

Accurately quantifying regional anthropogenic CO 2 fluxes is fundamental to improving our understanding of the carbon cycle and for creating effective carbon mitigation policies, and the radiocarbon to total carbon ratio in atmospheric CO 2 (Δ 14 CO 2 ) is a robust tracer of fossil fuel CO 2 that can discriminate between biogenic and fossil fuel CO 2 sources. NASA's Atmospheric Carbon and Transport-America (ACT-America) airborne mission between 2016 and 2019 aimed to improve the accuracy of regional greenhouse gas flux estimates, through refining our understanding and characterization of fluxes and flux uncertainties in models. Δ 14 CO 2 observations from 26 flights are presented for examining seasonal CO 2 source partitioning in the Mid-Atlantic USA. Observed variability in boundary layer CO 2 at timescales ranging from intra-day to seasonal was largely driven by biogenic CO 2 (CO 2bio ) variability that ranged from −19.7 ppm in summer to 16.2 ppm in fall, while fossil fuel CO 2 (CO 2ff ) variability remained at 3.3±2.0 ppm. Carbonyl sulfide uptake was well-correlated with CO 2bio uptake, and examining this relationship, as well as that between CO 2 and CO 2bio variability reinforces the seasonal extent of gross primary productivity response throughout ACT-America. We use airborne Δ 14 CO 2 flask sampling alongside in situ carbon monoxide measurements to calculate high-frequency CO 2ff and evaluate the magnitude and diurnal variability of modeled CO 2ff , deducing likely transport errors in an example flight. Although ACT-America CO 2ff signals were attenuated due to the broad source regions sampled, results illustrate the value of Δ 14 CO 2 sampling and observation-based methodologies for regional CO 2 flux attribution, evaluation and improvement of modeled CO 2 .

Baier, Bianca C. [National Oceanic and Atmospheric↗

DOE OSTI2016

Response Variability in Commercial MOSFET SEE Qualification

Single-event effects (SEE) evaluation of five different part types of next generation, commercial trench MOSFETs indicates large part-to-part variation in determining a safe operating area (SOA) for drain-source voltage (V DS ) following a test campaign that exposed >50 samples per part type to heavy ions. These results suggest a determination of a SOA using small sample sizes may fail to capture the full extent of the part-to-part variability. An example method is discussed for establishing a Safe Operating Area using a one-sided statistical tolerance limit based on the number of test samples. Finally, burn-in is shown to be a critical factor in reducing part-to-part variation in part response. Implications for radiation qualification requirements are also explored.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Machine-to-machine variability of roughness and corrosion in additively manufactured 316L stainless steel

Numerous studies on the corrosion response of metal AM have been conducted. Nonetheless, the specimens being tested are commonly ground or polished to remove the outer as-built surface. If metal AM is truly going to be employed as a transformative technology that can produce complex shapes that do not require traditional machining, then the material needs to be evaluated in the as-built state. The reality is that AM alloys have shown significant inconsistencies regarding as-built surface texture, topology, and residual stress. One metric that has shown significant unpredictability in the literature is the susceptibility to localized corrosion of typically passive alloys, such as stainless steel (SS). There are a large number of studies that have attempted to understand the corrosion response of metal AM materials, but these studies are typically performed on materials that have been printed on a single machine and often mechanically polished to a smooth finish. This study compares the corrosion response of as-built AM, laser-beam powder bed fusion (LB-PBF), 316L SS parts that have been fabricated on five different machines. The majority of this work focused on understanding the susceptibility to localized corrosion of AM metals with respect to machine-dependent variables, namely surface roughness, and build angle. Surface roughness data was collected using scanning white light triangulation, laser scanning confocal microscopy, and coherence scanning interferometry. The results show that there is significant variability (p two-tail < 0.05) in the susceptibility to local corrosion initiation of LB-PBF 316L SS samples built on different machines. Surface oxides were probed with electron dispersive spectroscopy and revealed that variations in local corrosion susceptibility likely arise from differences in the stability of the passive film caused by chemical segregation, unique microstructure, and tortuous roughness features at the as-built surfaces. The variability of roughness and corrosion properties from test samples printed on different machines was corroborated by property measurements performed at five different testing sites, proving reproducibility of the data. Most importantly, this study shows that if the as-built surface layer is removed through grinding or electropolishing the machine-to-machine variation observed in the corrosion susceptibility is reduced.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Laser-Induced Spectrochemical Assay for Uranium Enrichment (LISA-UE)

Uranium hexafluoride (UF6) is the uranium compound typically involved in uranium enrichment process. As the first line of defense against nuclear proliferation, accurate determinations of the uranium enrichment ratio in UF6 are critical for materials verification, accounting and safeguards. Shipping gaseous UF6 samples off-site for analysis with mass spectrometry is cumbersome and costly, and results are not available for some time (months). In-field UF6 enrichment assay has the potential to substantially reduce the time, logistics and expense of sample handling. At present, COMPUCEA is the only accepted method for UF6 enrichment assay in the field. Laser-Induced Spectrochemical Assay for Uranium Enrichment (LISA-UE) is an all-optical (based on laser induced plasma emission) analytical technique intended for fieldable, accurate, precise and rapid UF6 enrichment assay. In its operation, laser induced plasma is created directly in the gaseous UF6 sample. Because different U isotopes emit at slightly different wavelengths, the isotopic information of the UF6 sample is inherently encoded in the atomic emission from the plasma. Isotopic emissions from 235U and 238U are measured simultaneously, which eliminate correlated noise from the laser induced plasma. Isotopic information of the UF6 sample can be extracted from the acquired spectrum with theoretical multi-variable non-linear spectral fitting. To date, advances made by the LISA-UE research team include optimization of the spectral window for direct gaseous UF6 enrichment assay with laser induced plasma, development of data reduction algorithms, and demonstrations of the LISA-UE technique with gaseous UF6 samples. In this presentation, the technical aspect of LISA-UE will be overviewed, the data reduction algorithm will be described, and performance of the technique will be discussed.

Chan, George↗

DOE OSTI2016

NEW PHOTOMETRICALLY VARIABLE MAGNETIC CHEMICALLY PECULIAR STARS IN THE ASAS-3 ARCHIVE

The magnetic Ap or CP2 stars are natural atomic and magnetic laboratories. Strictly periodic changes are observed in the spectra and brightness of these stars, which allow the derivation of rotational periods. Related to this group of objects are the He-weak (CP4) and He-rich stars, some of which also undergo brightness changes due to rotational modulation. Increasing the sample size of known rotational periods among CP2/4 stars is important and will contribute to our understanding of these objects and their evolution in time. We have compiled an extensive target list of CP2/4 stars from the General Catalog of Ap, HgMn, and Am stars, including several early-type (spectral types B/A) variables of undetermined type from the International Variable Star Index. We investigated our sample stars using publicly available observations from the ASAS-3 archive. Our previous efforts in this respect led to the discovery of 323 variable stars. Using a refined analysis approach, we were able to identify another 360 stars exhibiting photometric variability in ASAS-3 data. Summary data, folded light curves and, if available, information from the literature are presented for our final sample, which is composed of 334 bona-fide α{sup 2} Canum Venaticorum (ACV) variables, 23 ACV candidates, and 3 eclipsing binary systems. Interesting and unusual objects are discussed in detail. In particular, we call attention to HD 66051 (V414 Pup), which is an eclipsing binary system showing obvious rotational modulation of the light curve due to the presence of an ACV variable in the system.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Exploring the spatial variability of soil properties in an Alfisol Catena

Detailed digital soil maps showing the spatial heterogeneity of soil properties consistent with the landscape are required for site-specific management of plant nutrients, land use planning and process-based environmental modeling. We characterized the short-scale spatial heterogeneity of soil properties in an Alfisol catena in a tropical landscape of Sri Lanka. The impact of different land-uses (paddy, vegetable and un-cultivated) was examined to assess the impact of anthropogenic activities on the variability of soil properties at the catenary level. Conditioned Latin hypercube sampling was used to collect 58 geo-referenced topsoil samples (0–30 cm) from the study area. Soil samples were analyzed for pH, electrical conductivity (EC), organic carbon (OC), cation exchange capacity (CEC) and texture. The spatial correlation between soil properties was analyzed by computing crossvariograms and subsequent fitting of theoretical model. Spatial distribution maps were developed using ordinary kriging. The range of soil properties, pH: 4.3–7.9; EC: 0.01–0.18 dS m –1 ; OC: 0.1–1.37%; CEC: 0.44– 11.51 cmol (+) kg –1 ; clay: 1.5–25% and sand: 59.1–84.4% and their coefficient of variations indicated a large variability in the study area. Electrical conductivity and pH showed a strong spatial correlation which was reflected by the cross-variogram close to the hull of the perfect correlation. Moreover, cross-variograms calculated for EC and Clay, CEC and OC, CEC and clay and CEC and pH indicated weak positive spatial correlation between these properties. Relative nugget effect (RNE) calculated from variograms showed strongly structured spatial variability for pH, EC and sand content (RNE < 25%) while CEC, organic carbon and clay content showed moderately structured spatial variability (25% < RNE < 75%). Spatial dependencies for examined soil properties ranged from 48 to 984 m. The mixed effects model fitting followed by Tukey's post-hoc test showed significant effect of land use on the spatial variability of EC. Our study revealed a structured variability of topsoil properties in the selected tropical Alfisol catena. Except for EC, observed variability was not modified by the land uses. Investigated soil properties showed distinct spatial structures at different scales and magnitudes of strength. Our results will be useful for digital soil mapping, site specific management of soil properties, developing appropriate land use plans and quantifying anthropogenic impacts on the soil system.

Geo-statistical analysis↗

DOE OSTI2016

Uncertainty quantification of microstructural properties due to variability in measured pole figures

Experimental pole figures are an important input for microstructure homogenization models. In this paper, we derive an exact analytical formulation to quantify the uncertainties in homogenized properties due to uncertainty in the experimentally measured pole figures. The pole figures are acquired from a set of Ti-7Al alloy samples. These samples were obtained from the same process: by compressing a beta forged ingot at room temperature followed by annealing. The samples were taken from different regions of the original ingot, and this created variability in the resulting pole figures. The joint multivariate probability distributions of the computed orientation distribution function (ODF) is then found using the method of characteristic functions based on a Gaussian model of the pole figures. Engineering properties such as elastic modulus can be obtained by volume averaging over the ODF. We also show that uncertainty in elastic properties can be analytically obtained using direct transformation of random variables in the homogenization approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data from: 'Abiotic influences on continuous conifer forest structure across a subalpine watershed'

This package archives the core data used for analysis and inference in 'Abiotic influences on continuous conifer forest structure across a subalpine watershed' (Worsham et al., 2025). All data were collected in the East River, Washington Gulch, Slate River, and Coal Creek watersheds of Colorado. In the paper, we quantified the relative influence of climate, topographic, edaphic, and geologic factors on conifer stand structure and composition, and their functional relationships, at the watershed scale. We used waveform LiDAR data to derive spatially continuous stand structure metrics. We fused these with a species-level classification map to estimate tree species abundance. We applied generalized additive and generalized boosted models to evaluate the covariability of structural and compositional metrics with abiotic variables. The package contains the essential products required for reproducing our analysis and the tables and figures reported in the publication. The products comprise four classes: (1) geospatial data, (2) tabular data used for inferential analysis, (3) tabular data describing analytical results and performance statistics, and (4) a data user guide. (1) includes discretized waveform LiDAR data, locations and attributes of individual tree crowns, sampling locations and domain boundaries, a canopy height model, and raster files of estimated forest structural and compositional metrics at 100 m grid scale. (2) includes all response and explanatory variable values applied in inferential models. Response variables include conifer forest stand density, basal area, 95th percentile height, quadratic mean diameter, and others. Explanatory variables include climatic water deficit, actual evapotranspiration, elevation, heat load, soil available water content, and others. (3) includes results of training and testing several individual tree detection (ITD) algorithms, as well as inferential modeling results. (4) is a PDF user guide for this data package, including detailed descriptions and data dictionaries for all files. The data package root contains 17 assets: 8 compressed tape archive (.tar.gz) files, 5 comma-separated values (.csv) files, 3 Geographic Tagged Image File Format (GeoTIFF) (.tif) files, and 1 Portable Document Format (.pdf) file. The compressed .tar.gz archives contain ESRI shapefiles (.shp) .tif, compressed LASer (.laz), and .csv files. The archives must first be decompressed using the widely distributed command-line software utility TAR. All other files, including constituent files within the .tar.gz archives, can be opened in the open-source R statistical computing environment. Alternatively, .csv files may also be read in any simple text editor software or Microsoft Excel. Geospatial files including .shp and .tif files can also be opened in GIS software, such as QGIS (open-source) or ESRI ArcGIS (proprietary). The .pdf Data User Guide can be read with Adobe Acrobat Reader or other compatible readers.

2018 NEON and 2025 CHESS Campaigns↗

DOE OSTI2019

Statistics for Testing Under Adverse Conditions

Here we develop a statistical basis for limited adverse testing. This type of testing simultaneously evaluates system performances against minimum requirements and minimizes costs, particularly for large scale engineering projects. Because testing is often expensive and narrow in scope, the data obtained is relatively limited—precisely the opposite of the recent “large data” movement but no less compelling. Although a remarkably common approach for industrial and large-scale government projects, a statistical basis for adverse testing remains poorly explored. Here we prove mathematically, under specific conditions, that setting each independent variable to an adverse condition leads to a similar level of adversity in the dependent variable. For example, setting all normally distributed independent variables to at least their 95th percentile values leads to a result at the 95th percentile. The analysis considers sample size estimates to clarify the value of replicates in this type of testing, determines how many of the independent variables must be set to adverse condition values, and highlights the essential assumptions, so that engineers, statisticians, and subject matter experts know when this statistical framework may be applied successfully.

42 ENGINEERING↗