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NASA NTRS1986

Giotto-IMS observations of ion flow velocities and temperatures outside the contact surface of Comet Halley

Fluid parameters for He(++) ions obtained from the Giotto ion mass spectrometer are presented. Proton densities and velocities and thermal speeds of protons, alpha particles, and heavy ions in the hour before closest approach are discussed. A region of enhanced He(++) ion densities, and velocity, and decreased temperature is observed from 20:26 to 21:45. Sharp decreases in the proton density are observed at 23:30 and at 23:41. There is a relative flow velocity between alpha particles and oxygen ions of 30 km/sec during a period from 22:55 to 23:30; the difference in flow velocity is less than the experimental uncertainities. The flow properties of protons observed during this period are also discussed.

Goldstein, B. E.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Investigation of lunar crustal structure and isostasy

The lunar mascon basins have strongly free air gravity anomalies, generally exceeding 100 milligals at an elevation of 100 km. The source of the anomalies is a combination of mantle uplift beneath the impact basins and subsequent infilling by high-density mare basalts. The relative contribution of these two components is still somewhat uncertain, although it is generally accepted that the amount of mantle uplift greatly exceeds the thickness of the basalts. Extensive studies have been carried out of the crustal structure of mare basins, based on gravity data, and their tectonic evolution, based on compressive and extensional tectonic features. The present study endeavored to develop a unified, self-consistent model of the lunar crust and lithosphere incorporating both gravity and tectonic constraints.

Thurber, Clifford H.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Optimal dynamic remapping of parallel computations

A large class of computations are characterized by a sequence of phases, with phase changes occurring unpredictably. The decision problem was considered regarding the remapping of workload to processors in a parallel computation when the utility of remapping and the future behavior of the workload is uncertain, and phases exhibit stable execution requirements during a given phase, but requirements may change radically between phases. For these problems a workload assignment generated for one phase may hinder performance during the next phase. This problem is treated formally for a probabilistic model of computation with at most two phases. The fundamental problem of balancing the expected remapping performance gain against the delay cost was addressed. Stochastic dynamic programming is used to show that the remapping decision policy minimizing the expected running time of the computation has an extremely simple structure. Because the gain may not be predictable, the performance of a heuristic policy that does not require estimnation of the gain is examined. The heuristic method's feasibility is demonstrated by its use on an adaptive fluid dynamics code on a multiprocessor. The results suggest that except in extreme cases, the remapping decision problem is essentially that of dynamically determining whether gain can be achieved by remapping after a phase change. The results also suggest that this heuristic is applicable to computations with more than two phases.

Nicol, David M.↗

NASA NTRS1986

POINTS - A small astrometric interferometer in space

The 'precision optical interferometry in space' instrument, or 'POINTS', is an astrometric interferometer design concept which as currently configured possesses a pair of 2-m baselines and four 25-cm telescopes. Fully assembled with its support spacecraft, POINTS would take up one-third of the Space Shuttle cargo bay. For a pair of tenth-magnitude stars about 90 deg apart, POINTS would yield a separation that was uncertain by 5 microarcsecs after 10-min observation. Both instrument design and mission aspects are discussed.

Reasenberg, R. D.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Elemental, isotopic and molecular abundances in comets

The chemical composition of comet nuclei and the factors affecting it are discussed, summarizing the results of recent theoretical, experimental, and observational investigations. Consideration is given to the evidence supporting the view that the nucleus is radially differentiation (except for a thin outer layer), surface differentiation by heat processing and outgassing, and mantle buildup on an undifferentiated core. The nature of the refractory and volatile components is examined, and the elemental and isotopic compositions are given in tables and characterized. The uncertain (except for H2O) molecular composition of the volatile fraction is considered, and it is suggested that some oxides or aldehydes (such as CO, CO2, and H2CO), but no large amounts of fully hydrogenated compounds (such as CH4 and NH3) are included.

Delsemme, A. H.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The physical characteristics of satellite surfaces

Both exogenic and endogenic effects have been proposed to explain the major observed characteristics of satellite surfaces. The current view is that the basic properties of most surfaces result from the intrinsic composition of a body and its geologic history. Exogenic effects have, however, played a role in modifying the appearance of nearly all surfaces. The most important exogenic effect is impact cratering, one manifestation of which is the production of micrometeoroid gardened regoliths on airless bodies. On large, silicate bodies the micrometeoroid bombardment can produce an optically mature, dark agglutinate-rich soil; the nature of regoliths on predominantly icy satellites remains uncertain. Direct accumulation of infalling material does not appear to play a major role in modifying most surfaces. Solar wind radiation effects have not altered greatly the optical properties of solar system objects; magnetospheric charged particles may have modified the optical properties of some outer planet satellites (e.g., sulfur ion bombardment in the case of some of the satellites of Jupiter). Other effects, such as aeolian and liquid/solid chemical weathering, may be important on satellites with atmospheres like Titan and Triton.

Veverka, J.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Stability of the sunlit cometary ionopause

The stability of the sheared MHD flow at the sunlit cometary ionopause at several heliocentric distances is examined, taking into account the effects of ion-neutral drag, sources, curvature, and compressibility. If the ionosphere is regarded as a magnetic field-free cavity, whether it is stable or unstable to the Kelvin-Helmholtz (K-H) mode depends on the value of the velocity shear assumed. Also, for any assumed value of the shear the instability is greater for smaller wavelengths (about 100 km) than for larger (at least 1000 km). It is also shown that even if the ionopause is initially unstable, a modest penetration of the interplanetary magnetic field into the ionosphere could lead to its restabilization. Which of the three instabilities, K-H, flute, or drag, dominates depends on the relative magnitude of the shear, the rather uncertain ion-neutral drag coefficient, and the density ratio across the ionopause. The apparent marginal instability of the ionopause of comet Giacobini-Zinner and the stability of the ionopause of comet Halley are explained essentially in terms of the different solar wind conditions encountered by the two comets.

Ershkovich, A. I.↗

NASA NTRS1987

On the representation and estimation of spatial uncertainty

This paper describes a general method for estimating the nominal relationship and expected error (covariance) between coordinate frames representing the relative locations of objects. The frames may be known only indirectly through a series of spatial relationships, each with its associated error, arising from diverse causes, including positioning errors, measurement errors, or tolerances in part dimensions. This estimation method can be used to answer such questions as whether a camera attached to a robot is likely to have a particular reference object in its field of view. The calculated estimates agree well with those from an independent Monte Carlo simulation. The method makes it possible to decide in advance whether an uncertain relationship is known accurately enough for some task and, if not, how much of an improvement in locational knowledge a proposed sensor will provide. The method presented can be generalized to six degrees of freedom and provides a practical means of estimating the relationships (position and orientation) among objects, as well as estimating the uncertainty associated with the relationships.

Smith, Randall C.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Solar variability due to sunspots and faculae

Results of photometry of solar active regions and their effect on the solar irradiance in the visible part of the spectrum are presented. The effects of sunspots and faculae are given separately, since the measurement of sunspot irradiance fluctuations is less uncertain. It is argued that energy balance may exist between sunspot deficits and facular excesses. The uncertainty, however, is + or - 15 percent (1 sigma). This possible balance also depends on the correct mathematical model for the contrast of faculae as a function of position on the solar disk. Extreme Limb Photometer (ELP) data are presented in such a way as to show that the model for facular limb darkening is consistent with the assumptions inherent in the irradiance modeling. The ELP data support the notion that energy balance between spots and faculae is possible. It is emphasized that even if there is energy balance, there will still be variations in the solar irradiance at the earth.

Chapman, G. A.↗

NASA NTRS1987

High-resolution CCD spectra of stars in globular clusters. II - Metals and CNO in M71

Palomar coude CCD spectra of resolution 0.3 and 0.6 has been used to redetermine abundances in five stars of the relatively metal rich globular cluster M71. The (Fe/H) value is restricted to the limits of -0.6 to -1.0. The largest source of uncertainty is a systematic difference in f-values between those derived via the Holweger-Muller (1974) solar model and the Bell et al. (1976) solar model. If we use absolute f-values measured by the Oxford group (Blackwell et al. 1982) we find Fe/H to lie in the range of -0.6 to -0.75, i.e., as given by using the Bell et al. solar model. The relative abundances of the light elements, i.e., Na through Ca and probably including Ti show an average excess relative to iron of 0.4-dex. The effect of this difference on metal indices derived from broad- and narrow- band photometry is discussed. For three stars we find O/H = -0.6 using absolute f-values. For CN an analysis of individual rotational lines of the 2-0 band of the red system yields lines in the (C/H, N/H) plane that are consistent with either an original C/Fe = N/Fe = 0 or a modest increase in N relative to C due to CN burning and mixing. A search for C-13N was not successful and an uncertain lower limit of C-12/C-13 near 10 was obtained.

Leep, E. Myckky↗

NASA NTRS1986

Solution of nonlinear finite difference ocean models by optimization methods with sensitivity and observational strategy analysis

The paper studies with finite difference nonlinear circulation models the uncertainties in interesting flow properties, such as western boundary current transport, potential and kinetic energy, owing to the uncertainty in the driving surface boundary condition. The procedure is based upon nonlinear optimization methods. The same calculations permit quantitative study of the importance of new information as a function of type, region of measurement and accuracy, providing a method to study various observing strategies. Uncertainty in a model parameter, the bottom friction coefficient, is studied in conjunction with uncertain measurements. The model is free to adjust the bottom friction coefficient such that an objective function is minimized while fitting a set of data to within prescribed bounds. The relative importance of the accuracy of the knowledge about the friction coefficient with respect to various kinds of observations is then quantified, and the possible range of the friction coefficients is calculated.

Schroeter, Jens↗

NASA NTRS1987

An experimental evaluation of apparent strain from foil strain gauges attached to carbon composite substrates

An experimental evaluation of apparent thermal strains is conducted using various combinations of substrate/gauge/attachment structure and redundant high temperature extensometry. It is found that the extensometry could either confirm independent measurements of the substrate's thermal expansion, or quantify nonzero mechanical strains resulting from uncertain material behavior and boundary conditions. Apparent strain and thermal expansion behavior data can then be used to modify the raw strain measurements in order to determine either stress producing or total strains. Limitation of the correction procedure for the three selected strain gauges is noted which is due to relatively large gauge/attachment variability.

Scott, B. R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

The global residual mean circulation in the middle atmosphere for the northern winter period

The residual mean circulation (rmc) has been calculated from the transformed thermodynamic equation using LIMS (Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere) data for the 100-0.1 mb region. For discussion, it has been divided into two components: the diabatic circulation, associated with the diabatic heating, and the transient circulation, more directly connected to eddy activity. The slowly varying diabatic circulation reveals an equator-to-pole circulation at lower levels in the stratosphere, usually overlain by a summer-to-winter pole circulation. However, there are strong seasonal variations, so that the pole-to-pole circulation fills the entire region at the December solstice, while the equator-to-pole circulation extends to above 0.1 mb at the equinoxes. The transient circulation is characterized by rapid variations and small vertical and horizontal scales. Though generally smaller than the diabatic circulation, it can dominate in the lower stratosphere during disturbed conditions. This circulation is consistent with the transformed momentum equation in the lower stratosphere (where drag is expected to be small) during undisturbed periods. It suggests a large drag due to small-scale waves (such as gravity waves) in the mesosphere, although the magnitudes are uncertain. The downward propagation of the semiannual oscillation causes the rmc in the tropics to vary, and it is capable of creating the equatorial water vapor maximum above 10 mb.

Gille, John C.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Elemental technetium and promethium as cosmic-ray clocks

The possibility of using elemental Tc (Z = 43) and Pm (Z = 61) as clocks to measure the mean cosmic-ray confinement time in the Galaxy, tau(epsilon) is considered. For this purpose it is necessary to estimate the unknown beta(+) decay half-lives of several Tc and Pm isotopes; these estimates are obtained using beta-decay systematics. In the case of Tc it is possible to estimate the half-lives sufficiently well and show that this element can indeed be used as a cosmic-ray clock; in the case of Pm the half-lives are too uncertain to permit any conclusion. In order to make meaningful measurement of tau(epsilon) using elemental Tc, a comsic-ray detector must have a charge resolution less than about 0.25e in the region around Tc, and enough collecting power to detect a few hundred Tc nuclei.

Drach, J.↗

NASA NTRS1987

The enigmatic object variable A in M33

Variable A is a very luminous (about -9.5 mag), highly unstable star in M33. In 1950, it was one of the visibly brightest stars in M33, with the spectrum of a very luminous F supergiant. It then rapidly declined in brightness by 3.5 mag, becoming faint and red after slowly increasing in brightness during the previous 50 yr. This paper reports current spectroscopy and visual and infrared photometry. Variable A is still faint and red and now has the spectrum of an M supergiant. It also has a large infrared excess and is today as bright at 10 microns as it was at its visual maximum in 1950. Its energy distribution, luminosities, and mass-loss rate, which is quite large at 0.0002 solar mass/yr, are discussed. Its present late-type spectrum is probably produced in a cool pseudophotosphere, and it is shedding its mass in a high-density, low-velocity wind. A possible explanation is presented for Variable A's bizarre behavior as a massive star near the critical limit to its stabilty for its initial mass and temperature, where the balance between the radiation pressure, turbulence, and gravity of its atmosphere is very uncertain.

Humphreys, Roberta M.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Development of response models for the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) sensors. Part 4: Preliminary nonscanner models and count conversion algorithms

Two count conversion algorithms and the associated dynamic sensor model for the M/WFOV nonscanner radiometers are defined. The sensor model provides and updates the constants necessary for the conversion algorithms, though the frequency with which these updates were needed was uncertain. This analysis therefore develops mathematical models for the conversion of irradiance at the sensor field of view (FOV) limiter into data counts, derives from this model two algorithms for the conversion of data counts to irradiance at the sensor FOV aperture and develops measurement models which account for a specific target source together with a sensor. The resulting algorithms are of the gain/offset and Kalman filter types. The gain/offset algorithm was chosen since it provided sufficient accuracy using simpler computations.

Halyo, Nesim↗

NASA NTRS1987

Real time charge efficiency monitoring for nickel electrodes in NICD and NIH2 cells

The charge efficiency of nickel-cadmium and nickel-hydrogen battery cells is critical in spacecraft applications for determining the amount of time required for a battery to reach a full state of charge. As the nickel-cadmium or nickel-hydrogen batteries approach about 90 percent state of charge, the charge efficiency begins to drop towards zero, making estimation of the total amount of stored charge uncertain. Charge efficiency estimates are typically based on prior history of available capacity following standardized conditions for charge and discharge. These methods work well as long as performance does not change significantly. A relatively simple method for determining charge efficiencies during real time operation for these battery cells would be a tremendous advantage. Such a method was explored and appears to be quite well suited for application to nickel-cadmium and nickel-hydrogen battery cells. The charge efficiency is monitored in real time, using only voltage measurements as inputs. With further evaluation such a method may provide a means to better manage charge control of batteries, particularly in systems where a high degree of autonomy or system intelligence is required.

Zimmerman, A. H.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Probabilistic structural analysis computer code (NESSUS)

Probabilistic structural analysis has been developed to analyze the effects of fluctuating loads, variable material properties, and uncertain analytical models especially for high performance structures such as SSME turbopump blades. The computer code NESSUS (Numerical Evaluation of Stochastic Structure Under Stress) was developed to serve as a primary computation tool for the characterization of the probabilistic structural response due to the stochastic environments by statistical description. The code consists of three major modules NESSUS/PRE, NESSUS/FEM, and NESSUS/FPI. NESSUS/PRE is a preprocessor which decomposes the spatially correlated random variables into a set of uncorrelated random variables using a modal analysis method. NESSUS/FEM is a finite element module which provides structural sensitivities to all the random variables considered. NESSUS/FPI is Fast Probability Integration method by which a cumulative distribution function or a probability density function is calculated.

Shiao, Michael C.↗