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At least 523 records · Page 29

Potential Effects of Climate Change and Solar Radiation Modification on Renewable Energy Resources

Solar radiation modification (SRM) is a possible deliberate approach to decrease or reflect incoming solar radiation with the goal of reducing global temperatures, which have increased over the last decades due to high atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Stratospheric aerosol injection, specifically, has shown potential for successfully reducing global temperatures in climate model simulations. Despite the growing literature in the areas of climate change and SRM, their combined effects on renewable energy generation, a climate change mitigation strategy, have not been addressed. In this review paper, we synthesize previous literature on the possible effects of climate change and SRM on renewable energy resources (i.e., wind energy, solar energy, biomass energy, and hydropower), review the status of climate change and SRM research, and explore potential effects of SRM on renewable energy primarily in the Continental United States (CONUS), but with global perspectives as well. We discuss the research challenges and impacts of SRM on renewable energy and conclude by discussing the potential implications of SRM for renewables for SRM governance and policy. This work is not advocating for or against SRM. It is highlighting an important potential impact for future decision makers.

Kumler, Andrew [National Renewable Energy Laborato↗

Photo-DAC: Light-Driven Ambient-Temperature Direct Air Capture by a Photobase

Direct air capture (DAC) may reduce atmospheric CO 2 concentrations to preindustrial levels, yet the high energies and temperatures involved in current DAC technologies hinder large-scale deployment. In the case of aqueous-based CO 2 absorbents, a large energetic penalty is associated with heating and boiling off water, as required for thermally driven solvent regeneration. This could be avoided via photochemically driven pH swings involving photoacids or photobases, and harnessing abundant and renewable solar energy, though efficient solvent regeneration and recycling in a realistic multicycle DAC process remains challenging. Herein, we report a photochemically driven DAC process (photo-DAC) in which atmospheric CO 2 capture by an aqueous glycylglycine (GlyGly) solution is enabled through a pH swing by a pyridine-substituted diiminoguanidine (PyDIG) photobase. Upon irradiation with UV light, the PyDIG photobase undergoes photoisomerization from the E,E to the Z,Z isomer, corresponding to a pK a increase of 2.8 units that activates GlyGly for DAC through deprotonation. After the GlyGly/PyDIG solvent is saturated with atmospheric carbon dioxide, leaving it in the dark under ambient conditions leads to the isomerization of PyDIG from the Z,Z back to the E,E isomer, which is accompanied by a pH drop and CO 2 release. To demonstrate the recyclability of the GlyGly/PyDIG solvent, we have completed six consecutive DAC cycles, with a measured average cyclic capacity in the range of 0.21–0.26 mol CO 2 per mol of GlyGly/PyDIG. These results open the prospect for energy-efficient DAC cycles completed entirely at ambient conditions, thereby avoiding the significant energy penalties associated with heating and boiling aqueous solvents.

Einkauf, Jeffrey D. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory↗

Attribution of Snowpack Errors to Simulated Temperature and Precipitation in E3SMv1 Over the Contiguous United States

Abstract Snow water equivalent (SWE), temperature, and precipitation biases and trends are evaluated in the atmosphere‐land simulations of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (E3SMv1) in comparison to the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) and two other models using the ground measurement‐based University of Arizona (UA) snow product. SWE, temperature, and precipitation biases are highest in magnitude in the Western contiguous United States (CONUS). SWE errors are attributed to temperature and precipitation through multiple linear regressions of normalized errors, the coefficients of which represent the sensitivities to temperature and precipitation errors. SWE errors are more sensitive to temperature errors throughout the CONUS. Model SWE and temperature trends are generally opposite from UA product trends in the Western CONUS. SWE trend errors are also attributed to temperature and precipitation trend errors using multiple linear regressions of normalized trend errors. SWE trend errors are more sensitive to those of precipitation at higher elevations (>1,500 m) in the Western CONUS in these simulations. Thus, the sensitivity to temperature and precipitation differ for SWE errors and its trend errors. Furthermore, the SWE trend errors are more sensitive to temperature and precipitation in the atmosphere‐ocean coupled simulations in which the atmosphere‐land is coupled to an active ocean model. These results suggest that both errors in simulated temperature and precipitation contribute to SWE errors.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Spectroscopic Investigation of the High-Pressure Behavior of Aliphatic Hydrocarbon: Implications for Planetary Processes

Octadecane (C 18 H 38 ) is an aliphatic hydrocarbon that is abundant in carbonaceous chondritic meteorites. It is debated whether these hydrocarbons found in the meteorite are pristine or are a result of subsequent modifications as these meteorites are delivered to the Earth. It is well-known that meteorites are often subjected to extreme pressures and temperatures upon entering the Earth’s atmosphere. To explore the behavior of octadecane at high pressures, that is, how its molecular structure responds to compression, we use a diamond anvil cell in conjunction with Raman spectroscopy. Here, we find that at room temperatures, upon compression to ~5 GPa, a linear-chain octadecane molecule transforms into a bent-chain configuration. Similar transitions from linear to a bent configuration in other hydrocarbons have been documented. We find a linear correlation between the transition pressure from linear to bent configuration, and the chain length of the alkane, that is, longer chain lengths, is likely to be less stable in the linear configuration under compression. These kinks in the bent-chain configuration are likely sites for the dissociation of the longer chain hydrocarbons to smaller hydrocarbons. The octadecane sample examined in this study did not undergo any additional transition to the highest pressure (~18 GPa) explored in this study.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Are Atmospheric Models Too Cold in the Mountains? The State of Science and Insights from the SAIL Field Campaign

Mountains play an outsized role in water resource availability, and the amount and timing of water they provide depend strongly on temperature. To that end, we ask the question: How well are atmospheric models capturing mountain temperatures? We synthesize results showing that high-resolution, regionally relevant climate models produce 2-m air temperature (T2m) measurements colder than what is observed (a “cold bias”), particularly in snow-covered midlatitude mountain ranges during winter. We find common cold biases in 44 studies across global mountain ranges, including single-model and multimodel ensembles. We explore the factors driving these biases and examine the physical mechanisms, data limitations, and observational uncertainties behind T2m. Our analysis suggests that the biases are genuine and not due to observation sparsity or resolution mismatches. Cold biases occur primarily on mountain peaks and ridges, whereas valleys are often warm biased. Our literature review suggests that increasing model resolution does not clearly mitigate the bias. By analyzing data from the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) field campaign in the Colorado Rocky Mountains, we test various hypotheses related to cold biases and find that local wind circulations, longwave (LW) radiation, and surface-layer parameterizations contribute to the T2m biases in this particular location. We conclude by emphasizing the value of coordinated model evaluation and development efforts in heavily instrumented mountain locations for addressing the root cause(s) of T2m biases and improving predictive understanding of mountain climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Distinct roles of land cover in regulating spatial variabilities of temperature responses to radiative effects of aerosols and clouds

Surface temperature responses to radiative perturbations due to aerosols and clouds are complicated by the land surface properties. To disentangle these complexities, this study, from a terrestrial surface energy budget perspective, isolates the underlying biophysical processes from the instantaneous radiative effects of aerosols and clouds on surface temperature using the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Earth System Model version 1.2.1. It is found that in comparison with the global heterogeneous distributions of instantaneous radiative perturbations at the surface induced by aerosols and clouds, the spatial variations of the corresponding surface temperature responses to aerosol direct radiative effects (DRE) during the daytime and cloud radiative effects (CRE) during the nighttime are amplified. It is because of the consistent global distribution of the local surface climate sensitivity (a function of land cover properties such as surface roughness and Bowen ratio) with those of daytime DRE and nighttime CRE. By applying identical anthropogenic aerosol and precursor emissions over eight major past, present and projected future anthropogenic aerosol emitting regions (i.e. Brazil, China, East Africa, India, Indonesia, South Africa, United States and Western Europe), surface temperature responses to aerosol radiative cooling in the daytime and cloud radiative warming in the nighttime over these regions positively regulated by local surface climate sensitivities are prominent.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mesospheric temperature and circulation response to the Hunga Tonga-Hunga-Ha'apai volcanic eruption

The Hunga Tonga Hunga-Ha'apai (HTHH) volcanic eruption on 15 January 2022 injected water vapor and SO 2 into the stratosphere. Several months after the eruption, significantly stronger westerlies, and a weaker Brewer-Dobson circulation developed in the stratosphere of the Southern Hemisphere and were accompanied by unprecedented temperature anomalies in the stratosphere and mesosphere. In August 2022, the Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) satellite instrument observed record-breaking temperature anomalies in the stratosphere and mesosphere that alternate signs with altitude. Ensemble simulations carried out with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM6) indicate that the strengthening of the stratospheric westerlies explains the mesospheric temperature changes. The stronger westerlies cause stronger westward gravity wave drag in the mesosphere. Although the enhanced gravity wave drag is partly balanced by a weakening of planetary wave forcing, the net result is an acceleration of the mesospheric mean meridional circulation. The stronger mesospheric circulation, in turn, plays a dominant role in driving the changes in mesospheric temperatures. This study highlights the impact of large volcanic eruptions on middle atmospheric dynamics and provides insight into their long-term effects in the mesosphere. On the other hand, we could not discern a clear mechanism for the observed changes in stratospheric circulation. In fact, an examination of the WACCM ensemble reveals that not every member reproduces the large changes observed by SABER. We conclude that there is a stochastic component to the stratospheric response to the HTHH eruption.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Are Atmospheric Models Too Cold in the Mountains? The State of Science and Insights from the SAIL Field Campaign

Mountains play an outsized role in water resource availability, and the amount and timing of water they provide depend strongly on temperature. To that end, we ask the question: How well are atmospheric models capturing mountain temperatures? We synthesize results showing that high-resolution, regionally relevant climate models produce 2-m air temperature (T2m) measurements colder than what is observed (a “cold bias”), particularly in snow-covered midlatitude mountain ranges during winter. We find common cold biases in 44 studies across global mountain ranges, including single-model and multimodel ensembles. We explore the factors driving these biases and examine the physical mechanisms, data limitations, and observational uncertainties behind T2m. Our analysis suggests that the biases are genuine and not due to observation sparsity or resolution mismatches. Cold biases occur primarily on mountain peaks and ridges, whereas valleys are often warm biased. Our literature review suggests that increasing model resolution does not clearly mitigate the bias. By analyzing data from the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) field campaign in the Colorado Rocky Mountains, we test various hypotheses related to cold biases and find that local wind circulations, longwave (LW) radiation, and surface-layer parameterizations contribute to the T2m biases in this particular location. We conclude by emphasizing the value of coordinated model evaluation and development efforts in heavily instrumented mountain locations for addressing the root cause(s) of T2m biases and improving predictive understanding of mountain climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Predicting the influence of particle size on the glass transition temperature and viscosity of secondary organic material

Abstract Atmospheric aerosols can assume liquid, amorphous semi-solid or glassy, and crystalline phase states. Particle phase state plays a critical role in understanding and predicting aerosol impacts on human health, visibility, cloud formation, and climate. Melting point depression increases with decreasing particle diameter and is predicted by the Gibbs–Thompson relationship. This work reviews existing data on the melting point depression to constrain a simple parameterization of the process. The parameter $$\xi $$ ξ describes the degree to which particle size lowers the melting point and is found to vary between 300 and 1800 K nm for a wide range of particle compositions. The parameterization is used together with existing frameworks for modeling the temperature and RH dependence of viscosity to predict the influence of particle size on the glass transition temperature and viscosity of secondary organic aerosol formed from the oxidation of $$\alpha $$ α -pinene. Literature data are broadly consistent with the predictions. The model predicts a sharp decrease in viscosity for particles less than 100 nm in diameter. It is computationally efficient and suitable for inclusion in models to evaluate the potential influence of the phase change on atmospheric processes. New experimental data of the size-dependence of particle viscosity for atmospheric aerosol mimics are needed to thoroughly validate the predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mitigation of Molten Salt Corrosion

The desire to increase the peak operational temperature of Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) plants to lower the levelized cost of CSP-derived electricity, has led to consideration of an earth-abundant, low-cost, thermally-stable, molten MgCl 2 -KCl-NaCl (40-40-20 mole%) salt for high-temperature thermal energy storage and heat transfer. The reliable, long-term containment of such a molten salt is challenging, however, due to the corrosion of cost-effective, high-temperature structural metal alloys in this salt (particularly if this salt is contaminated with oxygen-bearing species). This project has been focused on: i) development of equipment for evaluating corrosion kinetics in molten chlorides under well-controlled thermal, fluid dynamic, and atmospheric conditions at CSP-relevant temperatures, ii) use of such equipment to evaluate the influence of forced convection on corrosion kinetics (to determine the role of liquid phase diffusion on such corrosion), and iii) identifying a corrosion-mitigation strategy that can be industrially applied to achieve a projected annual corrosion ≤30 μm at CSP-relevant temperatures. The overall goals of this project have been: i) to understand the rate-limiting step(s) and associated kinetic laws governing corrosion in molten chlorides at 750°C, ii) to determine key operational parameters affecting the corrosion kinetics in molten salts, and iii) to demonstrate the tailoring of such parameters to appreciably reduce such corrosion.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Tungsten Electrodeposition

Tungsten is a refractory metal with a very high melting point (3422 °C), hardness (7.5 on Mohs hardness scale), and chemical resistance, making it useful in applications with extreme conditions. Electrodeposition is an attractive technique for coating metals because of its scalability and applicability to objects of intricate shape, though tungsten electrodeposition remains difficult. Some multi-step methods first coat either a sacrificial metal such as zinc or a layer of tungsten oxide which is then converted to metallic tungsten with WCl6 immersion (i.e. a redox replacement reaction) or heating in a reducing atmosphere, respectively. Single step deposition would save time and money, making it more viable on an industrial scale. Most reports detailing direct tungsten electrodeposition use molten salts which are energy intensive, hazardous, and difficult to maintain. Few reports have demonstrated single-step, low temperature electrodeposition deposition of tungsten in atmosphere. An article from 1931 reports successful metal tungsten electrodeposition from a highly basic sodium tungstate solution, though the authors reported very low current efficiency (<1%) and required heating to 80+ °C to obtain metallic films. This report outlines our attempts to electroplate tungsten from various solutions on different electrode materials, none of which succeeded. Our intent is to guide future researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory that would attempt tungsten electrodeposition.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Influence of Vegetation Canopy Architecture on Dynamics of Spatiotemporal Light Distribution and its Effect on Land-Biosphere-Atmosphere Fluxes of Energy, Carbon, and Water

The dynamic spatiotemporal distribution of light and micro climatic variables (wind speed, atmospheric CO 2 concentration, humidity, pressure, and air temperature) within the plant canopy as determined by the canopy architecture play a critical role in land-biosphere-atmosphere (LBA) photosynthetic carbon uptake, transpiratory water loss and energy partitioning. Vegetation models that include effects of sun and shade flecks, leaf temperature and energy balance partitioning between sensible and latent heat fluxes, and reduced turbulent mixing in dense vegetation canopies can accurately predict canopy performance, particularly its shaded leaves, which can constitute 80% of leaf area and contribute up to 50% of carbon update and 65% of water loss. However, current vegetation models with their bulk characterization of shaded leaves poorly represent the complex three dimensional (3D) canopy architecture are insufficient to capture the spatiotemporal dynamics of shaded leaves. Here, we propose to employ an x-ray computed tomography (XCT) imaging technique in combination with an automated, high throughput, image processing pipeline (3DArch, to be developed) to obtain an explicit 3D triangulated surface mesh of a plant canopy (Fig 1). 3DArch would provide a much needed technological jump in 3D LBA modeling where computer generated artificial 3D models suffer from lack of high resolution detailed canopy architecture parameters. The 3D canopy surface mesh output from 3DArch is coupled with an explicit 3D forward ray tracing model (fastTracer) to obtain a high resolution representation of the dynamic spatiotemporal light environment within the canopy over the course of a day (Fig 1). The results from the light attenuation model are then coupled with a process based multi-scale bio-physical canopy and leaf model of photosynthesis (PlantGro) to get fluxes of carbon, water and energy at the leaf and canopy scale, in addition to estimating whole plant carbon uptake, and water loss. Our proposed model framework would be the first of its kind to provide a breakthrough capability in the field of process-based plant modeling that bridges the key technological gap in shaded leaf modeling through explicit representation of 3D canopy architecture. Computer generated artificial 3D model canopy simulations on grasses show that the canopy light distribution does not follow an exponential behavior as assumed in most 1D vegetation models, but rather exhibits a heterogeneous behavior, with a small but significant portion of interior canopy leaves experiencing peak light levels due to sun flecks while the rest of the canopy receives substantially lower light levels. These results indicate a bias in traditional models that overestimates shaded leaf contribution towards whole canopy photosynthesis by up to 15% and underestimate transpiration by up to 12% with an associated increase in sensible heat fluxes since photosynthesis, transpiration and energy partitioning are tightly coupled processes. However, these test results need to be validated using the 3D architecture obtained from a real plant imaged in 3D using 3DArch, rather than an artificial model plant. Our proposed model framework would allow us to identify inefficiencies in canopy light distribution and prescribe optimal canopy architectures (leaf optical properties, leaf area, leaf angles, row spacing, planting density, etc.) to traditional and genetic engineering based crop breeders, for maximizing target functions such as light use efficiency, water use efficiency, drought tolerance, crop yield, crop resilience etc., with important applications in biofuel crops such as sorghum, and switchgrass. Our model can also be applied for designing optimal canopy architecture that increase surface albedo as a mitigation strategy for global warming and projections of crop yield for future food and water security under climate change.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

High-Temperature Pretreatment Effect on Co/SiO 2 Active Sites and Ethane Dehydrogenation

Here, we report the synthesis, optimization, and characterization of Co/SiO 2 for ethane nonoxidative dehydrogenation. Co/SiO 2 is synthesized via strong electrostatic adsorption using the widely available Co(NO 3 ) 2 as the precursor. We demonstrate that high-temperature pretreatment (900 °C) in an inert atmosphere can significantly enhance the initial activity of the Co/SiO 2 catalyst. X-ray absorption near-edge spectroscopy (XANES), temperature-programmed reduction (TPR), and high-angle annular dark-field scanning transmission electron microscopy (HAADF-STEM) suggest that highly dispersed Co(II) clusters are more active than Co 0 or CoO x nanoparticles. Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) and isopropanol (IPA) temperature-programmed desorption and density functional theory (DFT) calculations suggest that high-temperature treatment significantly increases the density of active Lewis acid sites, possibly via surface dehydroxylation of the catalyst.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantifying sources of subseasonal prediction skill in CESM2

Abstract Subseasonal prediction fills the gap between weather forecasts and seasonal outlooks. There is evidence that predictability on subseasonal timescales comes from a combination of atmosphere, land, and ocean initial conditions. Predictability from the land is often attributed to slowly varying changes in soil moisture and snowpack, while predictability from the ocean is attributed to sources such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation. Here we use a set of subseasonal reforecast experiments with CESM2 to quantify the respective roles of atmosphere, land, and ocean initial conditions on subseasonal prediction skill over land. These reveal that the majority of prediction skill for global surface temperature in weeks 3–4 comes from the atmosphere, while ocean initial conditions become important after week 4, especially in the Tropics. In the CESM2 subseasonal prediction system, the land initial state does not contribute to surface temperature prediction skill in weeks 3–6 and climatological land conditions lead to higher skill, disagreeing with our current understanding. However, land-atmosphere coupling is important in week 1. Subseasonal precipitation prediction skill also comes primarily from the atmospheric initial condition, except for the Tropics, where after week 4 the ocean state is more important.

Richter, Jadwiga H. (ORCID:0000000170480781)↗

The lightness of water vapor helps to stabilize tropical climate

Moist air is lighter than dry air at the same temperature, pressure, and volume because the molecular weight of water is less than that of dry air. We call this the vapor buoyancy effect. Although this effect is well documented, its impact on Earth’s climate has been overlooked. Here, we show that the lightness of water vapor helps to stabilize tropical climate by increasing the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). In the tropical atmosphere, buoyancy is horizontally uniform. Then, the vapor buoyancy in the moist regions must be balanced by warmer temperatures in the dry regions of the tropical atmosphere. These higher temperatures increase tropical OLR. This radiative effect increases with warming, leading to a negative climate feedback. At a near present-day surface temperature, vapor buoyancy is responsible for a radiative effect of 1 W/m 2 and a negative climate feedback of about 0.15 W/m 2 per kelvin.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Carbon dioxide, water vapor and methane soil efflux (soil respiration) in a Pinus palustris root exclusion in Georgetown, SC

This dataset contains processed data from a combination of survey flux chambers and long-term automated flux chambers. Soil flux measurements were conducted from June 2023 through December 2025 in a mature longleaf pine forest in Georgetown, SC. Soil respiration measurements were conducted approximately biweekly for two and a half years, before and after a root exclusion that took place on May 5, 2024. Processed, QAQC’d data for the treatment (root exclusion) and control (roots intact) before and after the root exclusion can be found in the file: 1_DATA_ESS_DOE_HR_RS_HB2_QAQC_Survey_Data_20260223.csv. Two multiday deployments were also conducted prior to the root exclusion using long-term automated chambers to continuously monitor greenhouse gas soil efflux. Processed, QAQC’d data for both long-term deployments can be found in the file: 2_DATA_ESS_DOE_HR_RS_HB2_QAQC_Longterm_Data_20260209.csv. Raw and working data files (.json, .81x, & .82z format) from LI-COR equipment are included for reference and can be accessed using SoilFluxPro software. CSV metadata files describe the raw data and modifications made using SoilFluxPro v5 and Matlab R2024b, as well as formatting and units for processed CSVs. Matlab code is included for reading in the processed CSVs, with sample figures comparing treatment and control. This research was performed as part of the project: “Improving models of stand and watershed carbon and water fluxes with more accurate representations of soil-plant-water dynamics in southern pine ecosystems”, which examines in part the effects hydraulic redistribution on soil efflux of carbon dioxide, water vapor and methane, as well as soil moisture and temperature in a southern pine ecosystem with sandy soils and high water table.

CARBON DIOXIDE FLUX↗