Simulation of Decision Making Process Using Quantum Parallelism
A quantum device simulating human decision making process is introduced.
Decision Quantum↗
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Making an Informed Decision on Freshwater Management by Integrating Remote Sensing Data with Traditional Data
The US National Research Council (NRC) recommended that: "The U.S. government, working in concert with the private sector, academe, the public, and its international partners, should renew its investment in Earth-observing systems and restore its leadership in Earth science and applications." in response to the NASA Earth Science Division's request to prioritize research areas, observations, and notional missions to make those objectives. In this presentation, we will discuss our approach to connect remote sensing science to decision support applications by establishing a framework to integrate direct measurements, earth system models, inventories, and other information to accurately estimate fresh water resources in global, regional, and local scales. We will discuss our demonstration projects and lessons learned from the experience. Deploying a monitoring system that offers sustained, accurate, transparent and relevant information represents a challenge and opportunity to a broad community spanning earth science, water resource accounting and public policy. An introduction to some of the scientific and technical infrastructure issues associated with monitoring systems is offered here to encourage future treatment of these topics by other contributors as a concluding remark.
climate↗
Effects of Airport Tower Controller Decision Support Tool on Controllers Head-Up Time
Despite that aircraft positions and movements can be easily monitored on the radar displays at major airports nowadays, it is still important for the air traffic control tower (ATCT) controllers to look outside the window as much as possible to assure safe operations of traffic management. The present paper investigates whether an introduction of the NASA's proposed Spot and Runway Departure Advisor (SARDA), a decision support tool for the ATCT controller, would increase or decrease the controllers' head-up time. SARDA provides the controller departure-release schedule advisories, i.e., when to release each departure aircraft in order to minimize individual aircraft's fuel consumption on taxiways and simultaneously maximize the overall runway throughput. The SARDA advisories were presented on electronic flight strips (EFS). To investigate effects on the head-up time, a human-in-the-loop simulation experiment with two retired ATCT controller participants was conducted in a high-fidelity ATCT cab simulator with 360-degree computer-generated out-the-window view. Each controller participant wore a wearable video camera on a side of their head with the camera facing forward. The video data were later used to calculate their line of sight at each moment and eventually identify their head-up times. Four sessions were run with the SARDA advisories, and four sessions were run without (baseline). Traffic-load levels were varied in each session. The same set of user interface - EFS and the radar displays - were used in both the advisory and baseline sessions to make them directly comparable. The paper reports the findings and discusses their implications.
airport surface operations↗
Demonstration of Prognostics-Enabled Decision Making Algorithms on a Hardware Mobile Robot Test Platform
Prognostics-enabled Decision Making (PDM) is an emerging research area that aims to integrate prognostic health information and knowledge about the future operating conditions into the process of selecting subsequent actions for the system. Previous work developing and testing PDM algorithms has been done in simulation; this paper describes the effort leading to a successful demonstration of PDM algorithms on a hardware mobile robot platform. The hardware platform, based on the K11 planetary rover prototype, was modified to allow injection of selected fault modes related to the rover’s electrical power subsystem. The PDM algorithms were adapted to the hardware platform, including development of a software module framework, a new route planner, and modifications to increase the algorithms’ robustness to sensor noise and system timing issues. A set of test scenarios was chosen to demonstrate the algorithms’ capabilities. The modifications to run with a hardware platform, the test scenarios, and the test results are described in detail. The results show a successful use of PDM algorithms on a hardware test platform to optimize mission planning in the presence of electrical system faults.
Prognosis↗
Future Surface Decision Support Overview
This presentation presents the capabilities of the Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 (ATD-2) Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface (IADS) system as a surface decision support tool for users, including Air Traffic Control (ATC) personnel working at the tower and Center facilities and airline Ramp personnel. The ATD-2 IADS capabilities include data exchange and integration, modeling and scheduling, surface metering, and departure scheduling for overhead stream insertion of constrained flights.
Surface Decision Support↗
Envisioning the Future Role of an Exploration Clinical Decision Support System
The Exploration Medical Capability Element of the NASA Human Research Program seeks to fuse new and existing technologies with practical mission goals into feasible and fiscally realizable human missions to the Moon and Mars. Expected communication delays with Earth-based medical experts will require unprecedented crew self-reliance to rapidly identify and treat anticipated and unforeseen medical conditions using constrained onboard resources with limited crew clinical skill. During this session, the current status of this project will be presented. We will discuss how current modes of decision support (e.g., alerts of critical values, reminders of overdue preventive health tasks, guided clinical workflows, advice for drug prescribing, critiques of existing health care orders, and suggestions for various active care issues) can be tailored to exploration crew needs.
human-system integration↗
Quantum Decision Maker Theory and Simulation
A quantum device simulating the human decision making process is introduced. It consists of quantum recurrent nets generating stochastic processes which represent the motor dynamics, and of classical neural nets describing the evolution of probabilities of these processes which represent the mental dynamics.
Quantum↗
Quantum Decision-Maker
A quantum device simulating human decision making process is introduced. It consists of quantum recurrent nets generating stochastic processes which represent the motor dynamics, and a classical neural nets describing evolution of probabilities of these processes which represent the mental dynamics.
quantum↗
Initial Evaluation of CropManage Decision-Support Model for Vineyard ET Estimation
The CropManage(CM) decision-support web application was originally developed by U.C. Cooperative Extension to support evapotranspiration (ET) based irrigation scheduling and nutrient management of cool-season vegetables. The model uses prescribed crop phenology curves to develop daily estimates of fractional green canopy cover (Fc) within the field. Periodic Fc observations acquired by ground-based methods or imported from NASA’s Satellite Irrigation Management Support (SIMS) can be used to adjust the prescribed timeseries for such factors as weather anomalies or non-standard agronomic practice, as needed. Fc is then converted to daily crop coefficient (fraction of reference ET) values. The crop coefficient is combined with reference evapotranspiration, collected by the California Irrigation Management Information System, to derive daily ET estimates for the given field. Irrigation runtime recommendations are issued for a given date based on total ET since the last irrigation event (less any rainfall), and corrected for distribution uniformity of the water delivery system. In this project, CM was adapted to vineyards by adding sub-models to account for early-season depletion of stored soil moisture, cover crop presence, and intentional water stress. An initial trial was performed on a Central Coast winegrape vineyard, where an eddy covariance tower measured daily ET during from May-Dec 2020. Total ET for the period showed strong agreement between the tower-based measurements (443 mm) and the CM model (431 mm). The model tended to overestimate cumulative ET during mid-June by up to 30 mm (about 15%) and later underestimated cumulative ET by as much as 65 mm (about 23%) in late September, suggesting that additional model calibration is needed to improve simulation of within-season variability. Results will be reported for trials on additional vineyard sites conducted during the 2021 season.
Evaluation↗
Exploration Medical Capability Clinical Decision Support Use Cases for CDSS Test Bed
Long-duration, deep-space exploration missions present significant challenges to crew health and performance. These challenges include the individual and combined effects of microgravity, radiation exposure, isolation, limited resources (mass, volume, power, data, and crew time), limited options for evacuation, and those associated with delayed or constrained communications. Each of these challenges necessitates greater degrees of crew autonomy as our distance from Earth increases. Specifically, as communication delays intensify - and evacuation capability diminishes the further we explore space - the unqualified need for Earth-independent medical operations focused on autonomous diagnosis, treatment and prevention will become key to mission continuation and success. This need will be especially true should a crewmember become ill or injured wherein treatment and disposition “in-situ” ultimately falls to the crew itself to determine. To augment the requisite knowledge, skills, and abilities (KSAs) of a time-constrained exploration mission crew operating under stressful conditions, combatting fatigue, and facing a potential medical crisis, a robust clinical decision support system (CDSS) is a probable solution. A CDSS would facilitate, guide, and inform Earth-independent medical operations while assisting crewmembers through various clinical presentations. The CDSS would allow crewmembers to take advantage of pre-mission training tied to the in-flight/in-mission use of pre-planned protocols that offer both a range of diagnostic options and “just-in-time” (refamiliarization) training and assistance. CDSS will expand such capabilities by improving the utility and effectiveness of various available diagnostic, treatment, and health maintenance tools, techniques, and measures.
ExMC↗
Overview of Two Decision-Support Systems for Viticulture
Sustainable water management is one of the most challenging issues of our time, especially in the arid western U.S. Adequate water supplies are crucial to maintaining the health of communities, rivers, and wildlife, and nothing is more important to agriculture’s ability to produce food for the world’s growing population. Maximizing the benefits of our water supplies requires careful measurement of their availability and use. For irrigated agriculture, satellite-based estimates of evapotranspiration (ET) provide a measure of the water used to grow food — the biggest share of water consumption in most arid environments around the world. However, access to ET data has been limited and expensive, keeping it out of the hands of most water users and decision-makers. OpenET provides open, easily accessible satellite-based ET data for water management support. The OpenET collaborative includes leading national and international experts in remote sensing of ET, cloud computing, and water policy, partnered with nationally recognized web development teams and leaders in the western agriculture and water management communities. The system can be accessed at https://openetdata.org/.
Overview↗
Verification of the Uniformly-Ordered Binary Decision Algorithm in Correlated-Benchmark Whisper Calculations
Whisper is a nuclear criticality safety code package that aids analysts in validation exercises by computing upper subcritical limits (USL) for applications of interest. To obtain statistically meaningful, significant, and conservative USLs, the analyst must ensure that Whisper selects a sufficient number of benchmarks that are neutronically similar to the application. Many of the available benchmarks are correlated but are currently treated as independent, leading to an artificially small sample size, as their individual information contributions will be overestimated. To aid the analyst in obtaining a sufficient sample size, prior work [2] demonstrated application of the Uniformly-Ordered Binary Decision (UOBD) algorithm in adjusting benchmark weights to account for benchmark correlations. This work provides verification of the Whisper implementation and considers the impact of updated benchmark correlations compared to those available previously. We demonstrate that the UOBD algorithm performs as expected with an analytic example. With HEU-SOL-THERM-001 cases 1 through 10 as the applications, we compare the USLs computed with benchmark correlations available in the Whisper 1.1 release only to those computed with additional benchmark correlations from DICE 2023 and demonstrate substantive differences.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
Chloroplast Stress Signals: Control of Retrograde Signaling, Chloroplast Turn-Over, and Cell Fate Decisions
Chloroplasts (photosynthetic plastids) are semiautonomous organelles that contain their own small genomes. The proteomes of chloroplasts, however, are a mixture of plastid and nuclear-encoded proteins. Chloroplasts perform photosynthesis, which is prone to damaging the organelles, leading to the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) that damage the cell under environmental stresses. Thus, for the cell to maintain proper chloroplast function, efficient photosynthesis, and avoid ROS damage, it relies on complex crosstalk between the chloroplast, the nucleus, other organelles within the cell, and the cytoplasm in between. This communication involves retrograde signals from chloroplasts to control nuclear gene expression, programmed cell death (PCD), and chloroplast degradation. Here we review these signals with an emphasis on the roles of the ROS singlet oxygen ( 1 O 2 ) and plastid gene expression. We cover (1) recent work on understanding how multiple 1 O 2 signaling pathways can be initiated within stressed chloroplasts, (2) how individualized post-translational regulatory systems allow chloroplasts to control their proteomes and degradation, and (3) how chloroplast signals ultimately control cell fate decisions, such as PCD, senescence, and vacuole-mediated degradation of chloroplasts (chloroplast quality control). Overall, this chapter discusses how chloroplasts can act as environmental sensors for the cell and allow plants to acclimate to stress and thrive in dynamic environments.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Siting bioenergy facilities in the United States: Measuring participation in decisions and distribution of effects
Scientists and stakeholders can inform the process of siting renewable energy facilities in ways that do not perpetuate socioeconomic disparities associated with fossil fuel industries or create new ones. Procedural justice indicators and distributional justice indicators that incorporate environmental, social, and economic objectives can be used to site energy facilities in ways that increase benefits and reduce negative impacts to disadvantaged and underserved populations. A generic list of potential energy justice indicators for siting bioenergy facilities was developed collaboratively between U.S. bioenergy researchers and diverse agriculture, energy, and energy and environmental justice stakeholders and experts. From this list smaller numbers of indicators can be selected or modified with communities for local siting of bioenergy facilities. Groups of indicators can be used to guide biorefinery or biopower siting and permitting decisions, e.g., to compare siting options, to draw early attention to key problems, or to track progress toward justice-related targets.
09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
Utilizing waste heat in wastewater treatment plants for water desalination: Modeling and Multi-Objective optimization of a Multi-Effect desalination system using Decision Tree Regression and Pelican optimization algorithm
This paper examines the feasibility of using waste heat from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) for water desalination. A model was developed to utilize waste heat from the gensets at As Samra WWTP in Jordan, using real data and TRNSYS® software to calculate available waste heat. The desalination process was then modeled with ASPEN PLUS® software, focusing on multi-effect desalination (MED). Both series and parallel configurations for the MED system were compared. The study investigated the effects of system feeding flow rate, feeding pressure, and heat input on productivity, performance ratio, and recovery ratio. The study also introduces a novel optimization technique combining machine learning and modern optimization algorithms to maximize system productivity and performance. Initially, a decision tree regression (DTR) model is developed to establish relationships between key independent variables (flow rate, feed pressure, and heat input) and dependent variables (productivity, performance ratio, and recovery ratio). The Pelican Optimization Algorithm (POA) is then used to identify the optimal values of the independent variables for maximum productivity and performance. The results show that using a series configuration yields a system productivity of 3984.2 kg/hr, a performance ratio of 3.78, and a recovery ratio of 0.991 at a feed flow rate of 4000 kg/hr, feed pressure of 3 bars, and heat input of 719 kW. Optimal productivity (4421 kg/hr), performance ratio (3.81), and recovery ratio (0.851) are achieved at a feed flow rate of 5166 kg/hr, feed pressure of 3.2 bars, and heat input of 794 kW. In conclusion, the techno-economic assessment indicates a levelized cost of water of 1.63 USD/m 3 for parallel configurations and 1.65 USD/m 3 for series configurations, with a payback period of less than two years.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Nanosecond anomaly detection with decision trees and real-time application to exotic Higgs decays
Abstract We present an interpretable implementation of the autoencoding algorithm, used as an anomaly detector, built with a forest of deep decision trees on FPGA, field programmable gate arrays. Scenarios at the Large Hadron Collider at CERN are considered, for which the autoencoder is trained using known physical processes of the Standard Model. The design is then deployed in real-time trigger systems for anomaly detection of unknown physical processes, such as the detection of rare exotic decays of the Higgs boson. The inference is made with a latency value of 30 ns at percent-level resource usage using the Xilinx Virtex UltraScale+ VU9P FPGA. Our method offers anomaly detection at low latency values for edge AI users with resource constraints.
72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
A machine learning decision criterion for reducing scan time for hyperspectral neutron computed tomography systems
We present the first machine learning-based autonomous hyperspectral neutron computed tomography experiment performed at the Spallation Neutron Source. Hyperspectral neutron computed tomography allows the characterization of samples by enabling the reconstruction of crystallographic information and elemental/isotopic composition of objects relevant to materials science. High quality reconstructions using traditional algorithms such as the filtered back projection require a high signal-to-noise ratio across a wide wavelength range combined with a large number of projections. This results in scan times of several days to acquire hundreds of hyperspectral projections, during which end users have minimal feedback. To address these challenges, a golden ratio scanning protocol combined with model-based image reconstruction algorithms have been proposed. This novel approach enables high quality real-time reconstructions from streaming experimental data, thus providing feedback to users, while requiring fewer yet a fixed number of projections compared to the filtered back projection method. In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning criterion that can terminate a streaming neutron tomography scan once sufficient information is obtained based on the current set of measurements. Our decision criterion uses a quality score which combines a reference-free image quality metric computed using a pre-trained deep neural network with a metric that measures differences between consecutive reconstructions. The results show that our method can reduce the measurement time by approximately a factor of five compared to a baseline method based on filtered back projection for the samples we studied while automatically terminating the scans.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Evaluating Supply Prioritization Strategies for Risk-Informed Decision Making in an Arbitrary Gas Network
Supply disruptions and infrastructure failures in natural gas networks present critical challenges to energy reliability and risk-informed planning. This study evaluates two supply prioritization strategies, Maximum Delivery Prioritization (MDP) and Demand-Based Prioritization (DBP), within an arbitrary natural gas network under conditions of supply shortage. Model performance under both strategies is assessed in response to node and edge failure using demand satisfaction metrics, system-wide and localized dependency scores, and geographic information system (GIS)-based spatial analysis. Results show that DBP better preserves supply for high-demand nodes, while MDP offers broader coverage. The underlying network topology plays a critical role in shaping prioritization outcomes. Integrated GIS visualization enhances the interpretability of vulnerability assessments, revealing structurally critical components and localized vulnerabilities. The proposed framework supports scalable, data-driven decision-making for infrastructure planners and engineers, enabling improved disruption recovery and efficiency in constrained natural gas networks. These insights contribute to the development of more robust energy systems capable of withstanding stress and disruptions.
Peterson, Steven [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000287672998)↗