Can a Nuclear-Assisted Biofuels System Enable Liquid Biofuels as the Economic Low-carbon Replacement for All Liquid Fossil Fuels and Hydrocarbon Feedstocks and Enable Negative Carbon Emissions?
This report integrates the results of a series of studies and workshops to address the question: Can a nuclear-assisted biofuels system enable liquid biofuels as the economic low-carbon replacement for all liquid fossil fuels and hydrocarbon feedstocks and simultaneously enable negative carbon emissions? “Economic” is defined as economically competitive relative to other low-carbon replacement options for crude oil. “All” refers to the capability to replace the 18 million barrels of oil per day used by the United States. “Nuclear-assisted” refers to the provision of massive quantities of low-carbon heat and hydrogen at the refinery to fully utilize the carbon content of the cellulosic biomass feedstocks for liquid hydrocarbon production. A system is proposed that decarbonizes about half of the U.S. economy while improving long-term soil productivity and sequestering carbon from the atmosphere. In the U.S. almost half the energy consumed by the final customer is in the form of liquid hydrocarbons produced from crude oil. Liquid hydrocarbons are used as (1) an energy source, (2) a method for daily-to-seasonal energy storage, (3) a chemical feedstock, (4) a chemical reducing agent, (5) a method to enhance high-temperature heat transfer in many furnaces and industrial processes and (6) other purposes. As a consequence, the U.S. consumes ~18 million barrels of crude oil per day to produce liquid hydrocarbons. While there are substitutes for liquid hydrocarbons for some applications, our assessment is that the costs and difficulty will dramatically increase if liquid hydrocarbon use goes much below the equivalent of 10 million barrels per day of crude oil. New uses of liquid hydrocarbons to partly replace coal and natural gas could increase demand beyond the equivalent of 10 million barrels of oil per day. One can produce and burn liquid hydrocarbons from biomass without any net addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Plants grow by removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere; thus, burning biomass does not result in any net addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Biomass is typically 40% oxygen. To remove this oxygen to create hydrocarbon liquids, there are two options. The first option is to use biomass as (1) a feedstock, (2) an energy source to operate the process and (3) a supply of carbon to remove the biomass oxygen as carbon dioxide. The second option is to use external heat and hydrogen to remove the oxygen as water and produce liquid hydrocarbons. The use of massive quantities of external heat and hydrogen for hydrocarbon liquid fuels production reduces the biomass feedstock per unit of liquid hydrocarbon product by more than a factor of two reducing land use by more than a factor of two. Many cellulosic feedstocks unsuitable for liquid hydrocarbon production are viable feedstocks with external heat and hydrogen inputs. As a result, there is sufficient cellulosic feedstocks to meet U.S. and global liquid fuels hydrocarbon demand without significant impacts on food and fiber prices. The heat and hydrogen (heat plus electricity) are produced using base-load nuclear power plants—the most economic form of nuclear energy. If low-price natural gas, there is also the option of producing hydrogen from natural gas with sequestration of the carbon dioxide. The biomass is locally processed in depots to produce commodity feedstocks that can be shipped long distances to large biorefineries (250,000 barrels per day, oil equivalent) similar to existing refineries except modifications of front-end processes. The depot system enables local recycle of nutrients back to the soil. The biorefinery can produce variable quantities of liquid hydrocarbon fuels and carbon dioxide for sequestration enabling removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Preliminary estimates are that the liquid hydrocarbon costs are equivalent to crude oil at between $60 and $70 per barrel. The largest cost is for hydrogen with biomass feedstocks and refinery costs a smaller fraction of the total cost.