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DOE OSTI2020

Revisiting the Architecture of the KOI-89 System

While high stellar obliquities observed in exoplanetary systems may be attributed to processes that tilt the planetary orbits, it is also possible that they reflect misalignments between protoplanetary disks and stellar spins. This latter hypothesis predicts the presence of coplanar multiplanetary systems misaligned with their central stars. Here we reevaluate the evidence of such an architecture that has been claimed for the KOI-89 system. An early-type star, KOI-89 has one validated transiting planet, KOI-89.01/Kepler-462b (period 84.7 days, radius 3.0 R {sub ⊕}), and one transiting planet candidate, KOI-89.02 (period 207.6 days, radius 4.0 R {sub ⊕}), where the latter exhibits transit timing variations (TTVs). A previous modeling of the stellar gravity-darkening effect in the transit light curves inferred a high stellar obliquity of ≈70°. We perform photodynamical modeling of the Kepler transit light curves and use the resulting constraints on the orbital configuration and transit times to update the gravity-darkened transit model. As a result, we find no firm evidence for the gravity-darkening effect in the transit shapes and conclude that stellar obliquity is not constrained by the data. Given the evidence for low orbital eccentricities from the dynamical analysis, the system architecture can thus be consistent with many other multitransiting systems with flat, near-circular orbits aligned with the stellar spin. We find that the TTVs imparted on its neighbor imply that KOI-89.01 has a mass ≳20 M {sub ⊕}. This would render it one of the densest known sub-Neptunes, mostly composed of a solid core. Lower masses are possible if the TTVs are instead due to an unseen third planet.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

On the influence of over-parameterization in manifold based surrogates and deep neural operators

Constructing accurate and generalizable approximators (surrogate models) for complex physico-chemical processes exhibiting highly non-smooth dynamics is challenging. The main question is what type of surrogate models we should construct and should these models be under-parameterized or over-parameterized. In this work, we propose new developments and perform comparisons for two promising approaches: manifold-based polynomial chaos expansion (m-PCE) and the deep neural operator (DeepONet), and we examine the effect of over-parameterization on generalization. While m-PCE enables the construction of a mapping by first identifying low-dimensional embeddings of the input functions, parameters, and quantities of interest (QoIs), a neural operator learns the nonlinear mapping via the use of deep neural networks. Here, we demonstrate the performance of these methods in terms of generalization accuracy by solving the 2D time-dependent Brusselator reaction-diffusion system with uncertainty sources, modeling an autocatalytic chemical reaction between two species. We first propose an extension of the m-PCE by constructing a mapping between latent spaces formed by two separate embeddings of the input functions and the output QoIs. To further enhance the accuracy of the DeepONet, we introduce weight self-adaptivity in the loss function. We demonstrate that the performance of m-PCE and DeepONet is comparable for cases of relatively smooth input-output mappings. However, when highly non-smooth dynamics is considered, DeepONet shows higher approximation accuracy. We also find that for m-PCE, modest over-parameterization leads to better generalization, both within and outside of distribution, whereas aggressive over-parameterization leads to over-fitting. In contrast, an even highly over-parameterized DeepONet leads to better generalization for both smooth and non-smooth dynamics. Furthermore, we compare the performance of the above models with another recently proposed operator learning model, the Fourier Neural Operator, and show that its over-parameterization also leads to better generalization. Taken together, our studies show that m-PCE can provide very good accuracy at very low training cost, whereas a highly over-parameterized DeepONet can provide better accuracy and robustness to noise but at higher training cost. In both methods, the inference cost is negligible.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

On the Stochastic Stability of Deep Markov Models

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models which are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models have not been thoroughly investigated. In this paper, we present a novel stability analysis method and provide sufficient conditions of DMM's stochastic stability. The proposed stability analysis is based on the contraction of probabilistic maps modeled by deep neural networks. We make connections between the spectral properties of neural network's weights and different types of used activation function on the stability and overall dynamic behavior of DMMs with Gaussian distributions. Based on the theory, we propose a few practical methods for designing constrained DMMs with guaranteed stability. We empirically substantiate our theoretical results via intuitive numerical experiments using the proposed stability constraints.

Drgona, Jan↗

DOE OSTI2020

Genetic circuit characterization by inferring RNA polymerase movement and ribosome usage

To perform their computational function, genetic circuits change states through a symphony of genetic parts that turn regulator expression on and off. Debugging is frustrated by an inability to characterize parts in the context of the circuit and identify the origins of failures. Here, we take snapshots of a large genetic circuit in different states: RNA-seq is used to visualize circuit function as a changing pattern of RNA polymerase (RNAP) flux along the DNA. Together with ribosome profiling, all 54 genetic parts (promoters, ribozymes, RBSs, terminators) are parameterized and used to inform a mathematical model that can predict circuit performance, dynamics, and robustness. The circuit behaves as designed; however, it is riddled with genetic errors, including cryptic sense/antisense promoters and translation, attenuation, incorrect start codons, and a failed gate. While not impacting the expected Boolean logic, they reduce the prediction accuracy and could lead to failures when the parts are used in other designs. Finally, the cellular power (RNAP and ribosome usage) required to maintain a circuit state is calculated. This work demonstrates the use of a small number of measurements to fully parameterize a regulatory circuit and quantify its impact on host.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Real-time neutron multiplicity and source localization for criticality safety during fuel debris removal

Advancing neutron detection and analysis techniques for complex radiation environments is an ongoing focus in nuclear instrumentation and monitoring. This proposal presents research and development of a generalized real-time neutron monitoring and analysis system, applicable to any detector capable of producing time-tagged neutron count data. While the work is demonstrated using the Neutron Multiplication Analysis Detector (NoMAD), a modular 15-tube helium-3 (He-3) array, due to its availability, spatial resolution, and flexible deployment, the methods developed are extensible to other systems, including organic scintillators and fast digital detectors. This research investigates two complementary analytical techniques for real-time characterization of neutron emitting sources: neutron multiplicity estimation based on the Hage-Cifarelli formalism and spatial localization using supervised machine learning applied to spatial count rate patterns. These methods are designed to operate under dynamic, evolving conditions such as fuel debris retrieval or reactor startup, where neutron-emitting material geometries may be partially unknown or changing over time. By integrating statistical neutron emission data with spatial localization, this research aims to develop and evaluate methods for real time neutron monitoring, source characterization, and material verification. Key contributions include implementation of a low-latency data pipeline for continuous neutron multiplicity analysis, development and validation of machine learning models for spatial inference, and experimental evaluation of system performance under variable measurement conditions. The outcomes are intended to support applications in nuclear safeguards, verification, emergency response, and reactor startup.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2023

Identifying crack tip position and stress intensity factors from displacement data

Fracture prognosis and characterization efforts require knowledge of crack tip position and the Stress Intensity Factors (SIFs) acting in the vicinity of the crack. Here, in this work, we present an efficient numerical approach to infer both of these characteristics under a consistent theoretical framework from noisy, unstructured displacement data. The novel approach utilizes the separability of the asymptotic linear elastic fracture mechanics fields to expedite the search for crack tip position and is particularly useful for noisy displacement data. The manuscript begins with an assessment of the importance of accurately locating crack tip position when quantifying the SIFs from displacement data. Next, the proposed separability approach for quickly inferring crack tip position is introduced. Comparing to the widely used displacement correlation approach, the performance of the separability approach is assessed. Cases involving both noisy data and systematic deviation from the asymptotic linear elastic fracture mechanics model are considered, e.g. inelastic material behavior and finite geometries. An open source python implementation of the proposed approach is available for use by those doing field and laboratory work involving digital image correlation and simulations, e.g. finite element, discrete element, molecular dynamics and peridynamics, where the crack tip position is not explicitly defined.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Multiprobe constraints on early and late time dark energy

We perform a multiprobe analysis combining cosmic microwave background (CMB) data from Planck and the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT), ACT CMB lensing, and large-scale structure (LSS) measurements from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), including DESI Legacy Imaging Survey (LS) galaxies and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAOs). We present the first 5×2 pt analysis of ACT DR6 lensing, DESI LS, and Planck Integrated Sachs-Wolfe (ISW). Within Λ⁢CDM, this yields 𝑆 8 =𝜎 8 ⁢(Ω 𝑚 /0.3) 0.5 =0.819 ±0.016, in good agreement with primary CMB inferences and provides a sound-horizon-free Hubble constant constraint of 𝐻 0 =70.0±4.4 km s −1 Mpc −1 . Then, combining with CMB primary and BAO, we reconfirm a CMB–BAO discrepancy in the Ω 𝑚 –$\frac{𝐷𝑣}{𝑟𝑑}$ plane, which is heightened when combining BAO with the 5 ×2 pt data vector. We explore two dark-energy extensions that may reconcile this: an early-time modification, early dark energy (EDE), and late-time dynamical dark energy (DDE) parametrized by 𝑤 0 ⁢𝑤 𝑎 . For CMB primary +BAO +5 ×2 pt, we find a 3.3⁢𝜎 preference for DDE over Λ⁢CDM, while EDE is modestly favored at 2.3⁢𝜎. The models address different shortcomings of Λ⁢CDM: DDE relaxes the neutrino mass bound (𝑀 𝜈 <0.17 eV vs <0.050 eV under Λ⁢CDM), making it compatible with neutrino oscillation measurements, while EDE raises the Hubble constant to 𝐻 0 =70.5±1.2 km s −1 Mpc −1 , easing the discrepancy with SH0ES. However, neither model resolves both issues simultaneously. Our analysis indicates that both DDE and EDE remain viable extensions of Λ⁢CDM within current uncertainties and demonstrates the capacity of combined probes to place increasingly stringent constraints on cosmological parameters.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A theoretical study on quasifission and fusion–fission processes in heavy-ion collisions

Despite recent advances and focus on rigorous uncertainty quantification for microscopic models of quantum many-body systems, the uncertainty on the dynamics of those systems has been underexplored. To address this, we have used time-dependent Hartree-Fock to examine the model uncertainty for a collection of low-energy, heavy-ion fusion reactions. Fusion reactions at near-barrier energies represent a rich test-bed for the dynamics of quantum many-body systems owing to the complex interplay of collective excitation, transfer, and static effects that determine the fusion probability of a given system. The model uncertainty is sizable for many of the systems studied and the primary contribution arises from static properties that are ill-constrained, such as the neutron radius of neutron-rich nuclei. These large uncertainties motivate the use of information from reactions to better constrain existing models and to infer static properties from reaction data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Comparative Genomics and Transcriptomics Analyses Reveal Divergent Plant Biomass-Degrading Strategies in Fungi

Plant biomass is one of the most abundant renewable carbon sources, which holds great potential for replacing current fossil-based production of fuels and chemicals. In nature, fungi can efficiently degrade plant polysaccharides by secreting a broad range of carbohydrate-active enzymes (CAZymes), such as cellulases, hemicellulases, and pectinases. Due to the crucial role of plant biomass-degrading (PBD) CAZymes in fungal growth and related biotechnology applications, investigation of their genomic diversity and transcriptional dynamics has attracted increasing attention. In this project, we systematically compared the genome content of PBD CAZymes in six taxonomically distant species, Aspergillus niger, Aspergillus nidulans, Penicillium subrubescens, Trichoderma reesei, Phanerochaete chrysosporium, and Dichomitus squalens, as well as their transcriptome profiles during growth on nine monosaccharides. Considerable genomic variation and remarkable transcriptomic diversity of CAZymes were identified, implying the preferred carbon source of these fungi and their different methods of transcription regulation. In addition, the specific carbon utilization ability inferred from genomics and transcriptomics was compared with fungal growth profiles on corresponding sugars, to improve our understanding of the conversion process. This study enhances our understanding of genomic and transcriptomic diversity of fungal plant polysaccharide-degrading enzymes and provides new insights into designing enzyme mixtures and metabolic engineering of fungi for related industrial applications.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Revealing the Structure and Dynamics of Self-Generated Electric and Magnetic Fields Near Plasma Stagnation in Laser-Driven Hohlraums

By coupling newly developed triparticle charged particle radiography with radiography reconstruction algorithms and novel reconstruction postprocessing techniques, the spatial structure and time evolution of self-generated electric and magnetic fields in laser-driven vacuum hohlraums have been quantitatively revealed. Through high-fidelity data from a series of experiments, it is shown that late in the hohlraum evolution (after the end of laser drive) these fields are strongly correlated in both space and time, providing evidence that their evolution is primarily dominated by advection with the plasma flow. At these late times, plasma flow velocities inferred from both gross radiography analysis and field reconstructions (and corroborated with Thomson scattering measurements) indicate that the plasma is approaching stagnation near the hohlraum axis. Finally, these experiments provide not only new physical insight into spontaneously generated hohlraum fields, but also provide important spatially and temporally resolved information for future benchmarking of numerical codes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling Spatial Heterogeneity in Surface Turbulent Heat Flux in the U.S. Southern Great Plains

Advances in numerical modeling of cloud dynamics are driving a need for improved land model prediction at convective storm scales. Here, satellite and ground-based vegetation remote sensing data were combined with land model experiments to more accurately characterize land surface spatial heterogeneity in the Community Land Model (CLM4.0). The new subgrid classification of plant functional types (PFT) and leaf area index (LAI) enables consistent comparison between models and ground-based flux measurements in the U.S. southern Great Plains. Errors in vegetation data sets (inferred from comparison between 250 m satellite and ground-based LAI), while large, had less impact on the simulated characteristics of spatial heterogeneity compared to errors in model representation of surface energy partitioning (between latent and sensible heat flux) and its relationship to LAI. Predicted spatial heterogeneity in surface energy partitioning was enhanced after replacing soil and stomatal resistance parameters with a new set that better predicts the observed relationship to LAI. These modifications increase the number of smaller (mesoscale) dry land patches having higher sensible heat flux. The parameter experiments suggest that vegetation state and processes (transpiration) act to broaden the size spectrum of surface heat flux heterogeneity, which can influence clouds and convective initiation. Moreover, improvements in vegetation input data and model parameters had partially compensating effects on surface flux heterogeneity, indicating the importance of evaluating input data and parameterizations together to improve prediction at higher spatial resolutions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Estimating cross-field particle transport at the outer midplane of TCV by tracking filaments with machine learning

Abstract Cross-field transport of particles in the boundary region of magnetically confined fusion plasmas is dominated by turbulence. Blobs, intermittent turbulent structures with large amplitude and a filamentary shape appearing in the scrape-off layer (SOL), are known from theoretical and experimental studies to be the main contributor to the cross-field particle transport. The dynamics of blobs differs depending on various plasma conditions, including triangularity ( δ ). In this work, we analyze triangularity dependence of the cross-field particle transport at the outer midplane of plasmas with δ = + 0.38 , +0.15, −0.14, and −0.26 on the Tokamak à Configuration Variable, using our novel machine learning (ML) blob-tracking approach applied to gas puff imaging data. The cross-field particle flux determined in this way is of the same order as the overall transport inferred from KN1D, GBS, and SOLPS-ITER simulations, suggesting that the blobs identified by the ML blob-tracking account for most of the cross-field particle transport in the SOL. Also, the ML blob-tracking and KN1D show a decrease in the cross-field particle transport as δ becomes more negative. The blob-by-blob analysis of the result from the tracking reveals that the decrease of cross-field particle transport with decreasing δ is accompanied by a decrease in the number of blobs in a fixed time, which tend to have larger area and lower radial speed. Also, the blobs in these plasmas are in the connected sheath regime, and show a velocity scaling consistent with the two-region model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Theoretical uncertainty quantification for heavy-ion fusion

Despite recent advances and focus on rigorous uncertainty quantification for microscopic models of quantum many-body systems, the uncertainty on the dynamics of those systems has been underexplored. To address this, we have used time-dependent Hartree-Fock to examine the model uncertainty for a collection of low-energy, heavy-ion fusion reactions. Fusion reactions at near-barrier energies represent a rich test-bed for the dynamics of quantum many-body systems owing to the complex interplay of collective excitation, transfer, and static effects that determine the fusion probability of a given system. The model uncertainty is sizable for many of the systems studied and the primary contribution arises from static properties that are ill-constrained, such as the neutron radius of neutron-rich nuclei. Furthermore, these large uncertainties motivate the use of information from reactions to better constrain existing models and to infer static properties from reaction data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

A surprising proliferation of detwinning in β -tin at extreme loading rates

Integrating data from dynamic compression experiments of condensed matter across three national laboratories has led to insight and quantitative calibration of materials strength over decades of loading rate. For many materials, a single strength model (such as PTW) is sufficient to capture the flow-stress strain rate relationship which is monotonic. Here, we show here that β -tin, a tetragonal metal, exhibits dramatic deviations from this behavior. Naive fitting to a single PTW model is insufficient to capture the behavior; indeed, such resulting inferred flow stress versus strain exhibits a non-monotonic behavior. We suggest a resolution to this by proposing that in β -tin there are important Bauschinger effects arising from favorable conditions for twinning and detwinning. A simple yield surface model when paired with PTW hardening captures the experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Longitudinal Phase Space Tomography for the Booster Synchrotron

Efforts in the study of the longitudinal behavior of charged particles in the Fermilab Booster can be catalyzed with an image of the two-dimensional phase space distribution. In the past, tomography has been extensively employed in the reconstruction of the phase space in accelerators such as the Recycler at Fermilab and the Proton Synchrotron Booster at CERN. However, such a capability had yet to realize for the Fermilab Booster synchrotron. In this work, the first successful tomographic phase space reconstruction of a low-energy Booster bunch is presented along with validation metrics. A numerical turn-by-turn model of the longitudinal particle dynamics in the Booster has been implemented, which utilizes a fast, map-based particle transport algorithm. Using a sinogram generated from the Wall Current Monitor, the iterative reconstruction algorithm recovers a discretized image of the original phase space distribution at variable resolution. The reconstruction result shows low root-mean-square error and a rapid convergence toward the solution, providing strong evidence of accuracy. Future and ongoing work includes modeling high-energy bunches above transition and using tomography to infer certain machine parameters such as synchronous phase, peak gap voltage, and synchronous energy in addition to the phase space distribution.

Ebeid, Safi [Unlisted]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Longitudinal Phase Space Tomography for the Booster Synchrotron (Abstract Only)

Ebeid, Safi [Unlisted, US]↗

DOE OSTI2022

First Sagittarius A* Event Horizon Telescope Results. I. The Shadow of the Supermassive Black Hole in the Center of the Milky Way

We present the first Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observations of Sagittarius A* (Sgr A*), the Galactic center source associated with a supermassive black hole. These observations were conducted in 2017 using a global interferometric array of eight telescopes operating at a wavelength of λ = 1.3 mm. The EHT data resolve a compact emission region with intrahour variability. A variety of imaging and modeling analyses all support an image that is dominated by a bright, thick ring with a diameter of 51.8 ± 2.3 μas (68% credible interval). The ring has modest azimuthal brightness asymmetry and a comparatively dim interior. Using a large suite of numerical simulations, we demonstrate that the EHT images of Sgr A* are consistent with the expected appearance of a Kerr black hole with mass ∼4 × 10$^{6}$ M $_{⊙}$, which is inferred to exist at this location based on previous infrared observations of individual stellar orbits, as well as maser proper-motion studies. Our model comparisons disfavor scenarios where the black hole is viewed at high inclination (i > 50°), as well as nonspinning black holes and those with retrograde accretion disks. Our results provide direct evidence for the presence of a supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way, and for the first time we connect the predictions from dynamical measurements of stellar orbits on scales of 10$^{3}$–10$^{5}$ gravitational radii to event-horizon-scale images and variability. Furthermore, a comparison with the EHT results for the supermassive black hole M87* shows consistency with the predictions of general relativity spanning over three orders of magnitude in central mass.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Digital Twin for Chemical Science: a case study on water interactions on the Ag(111) surface

Directly visualizing chemical trajectories offers insights into catalysis, gas-phase reactions and photoinduced dynamics. Tracking the transformation of chemical species is best achieved by coupling theory and experiment. Here we developed Digital Twin for Chemical Science (DTCS) v.01, which integrates theory, experiment and their bidirectional feedback loops into a unified platform for chemical characterization. DTCS addresses a core question: given a set of experimental conditions, what is the expected outcome and why? It consists of a forward solver that takes a chemical reaction network and predicts spectra under experimental conditions, and an inverse solver that infers kinetics from measured spectra. We applied DTCS to ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy measurements of the Ag–H2O interface as an example. This approach enables real-time knowledge extraction and guides experiments until a stopping condition is met based on accuracy and degeneracy. As a step toward autonomous chemical characterization, DTCS provides mechanistic knowledge in a verified, standardized manner.

Chemistry↗