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At least 55 records · Page 3

The impact of Seasat-A scatterometer data on the numerical prediction of the Queen Elizabeth II storm

The development of the Queen Elizabeth II storm from 1200 UT on September 9, 1978, to 0000 UT on September 11, 1978, is forecast with a limited-area, fine resolution (100 km) numerical weather prediction model. Forecasts from initial conditions that include and exclude Seasat scatterometer surface winds are performed. When the Seasat winds are allowed to influence the upper levels of the atmosphere, a large positive impact is found.

Duffy, D. G.↗

Verification of mesoscale objective analyses of VAS and rawinsonde data using the March 1982 AVE/VAS special network data

Various combinations of VAS (Visible and Infrared Spin Scan Radiometer Atmospheric Sounder) data, conventional rawinsonde data, and gridded data from the National Weather Service's (NWS) global analysis, were used in successive-correction and variational objective-analysis procedures. Analyses are produced for 0000 GMT 7 March 1982, when the VAS sounding distribution was not greatly limited by the existence of cloud cover. The successive-correction (SC) procedure was used with VAS data alone, rawinsonde data alone, and both VAS and rawinsonde data. Variational techniques were applied in three ways. Each of these techniques was discussed.

Doyle, James D.↗

Probable detection of solar neutrons by ground-level neutron monitors during STIP interval 16

The third solar neutron event detected by Earth-orbiting spacecraft was observed during STIP Interval XVI. The solar flare beginning at 2356 UT on 24 April l984 produced a variety of emissions including gamma rays and solar neutrons. The neutrons were observed by the SMM satellite and the neutron-decay protons were observed on the ISEE-3 spacecraft. Between 0000 and 0010 UT on 25 April an increase of 0.7 and 1.7 percent was recorded by neutron monitors at Tokyo (Itabashi) and Morioka, Japan. These stations were located about 42 degrees from the sub-solar point, and consequently, these is approximately 1400 grams of atmosphere between the incident neutrons at the top of the atmosphere and their detection on the Earth's surface. Nevertheless, the time coincidence of a small increase in the total counting rate of two independent neutron monitors indicates the presence of solar neutrons with energies greater than 400 MeV at the top of the Earth's atmosphere. The small increases in the counting rate emphasize the difficulty in identifying similar events using historical neutron monitor data.

Shea, M. A.↗

Verification of mesoscale objective analyses of VAS and rawinsode data using the March 1982 AVE/VAS special network data

Various combinations of VAS (Visible and Infrared Spin Scan Radiometer Atmospheric Sounder) data, conventional rawinsonde data, and gridded data from the National Weather Service's (NWS) global analysis, were used in successive-correction and variational objective-analysis procedures. Analyses are produced for 0000 GMT 7 March 1982, when the VAS sounding distribution was not greatly limited by the existence of cloud cover. The successive-correction (SC) Procedure was used with VAS data alone, rawinsonde data alone, and both VAS and rawinsonde data. Variational techniques were applied in three ways. Each of these techniques was discussed.

Doyle, James D.↗

Static stability variations during the development of an intense extratropical cyclone

The role of static stability (sigma) is diagnosed for an intense extratropical cyclone that developed over the central United States during January 9-11, 1975. Results indicate that minimum sigma values occurred in the lower troposphere at 0000 UTC January 10, 1975, during the period of slow cyclone development, and then increased as rapid development proceeded. Further, the upward advection of smaller static stabilities in the cyclone area, a forcing process in the height tendency equation, resulted in a significant reduction of height falls attributed to vorticity advection, thermal advection, and latent heat release.

Smith, Phillip J.↗

The 27-28 October 1986 FIRE cirrus case study - Meteorology and clouds

A detailed case study is conducted of cirrus clouds that were observed intensely over a 36-h period from 1200 UTC October 27 to 0000 UTC October 29, 1986. The clouds varied in density and structure as synoptic and mesoscale features passed through the region. The study seeks to provide a meteorological overview including a synoptic and regional perspective; to document the rawinsonde-resolved atmospheric structure and large-scale forcing associated with the observed cloud systems; and to provide understanding of the relationship between atmospheric structure and the character of the corresponding cloud fields. Regional analyses of the static stability structure and vertical motion are presented and interpreted with respect to the characteristics of the corresponding cloud fields as deduced from satellite and lidar observations. It is suggested that mesoscale organization must be taken into account in parametric treatments of cirrus for large-scale atmospheric models. It is shown that cloud generation typically occurred at multiple levels.

Starr, David O'C.↗

A Carolina coastal low-level jet during GALE IOP 2

A persistent, diurnally varying low-level jet (LLJ) was observed along the Carolina coastal plain during the early part of GALE IOP 2 between 0000 UTC January 24 and 0600 UTC January 25. A 1D PBL model (Zhang and Anthes, 1982) is utilized to examine the various dynamic forcing mechanisms controlling the formation and evolution of the LLJ. The experiments suggest that a specific geostrophic wind velocity profile in the lower troposphere was necessary to produce a number of the observed Carolina LLJ characteristics.

Doyle, James D.↗

A radio-quiet galaxy at redshift z = 3.409

The discovery of an unresolved radio-quiet object with a redshift of 3.409 and visual magnitude of 24.3 +/-0.5 is reported. The object was identified during an imaging search for Ly-alpha emission near the redshift of a z(abs) = 3.390-damped Ly-alpha absorption-line system which appears in the spectrum of the z(em) = 4.11 QSO 0000-2619. It is determined that the bulk of the object's Ly-alpha and continuum emission comes from an unresolved region less than 9 kpc, and its absolute magnitude in the rest-frame UV near Ly-alpha is about -21.2. A long-slit CCD spectrum at 500 km/s resolution shows that it has kinematically unresolved Ly-alpha emission with a rest equivalent width in the range of about 10-20 A. The object is observed to be about 135 kpc in projection from the sight line to the WSO. No emission at the redshift of the damped Ly-alpha absorber is detected.

Turnshek, D. A.↗

Longwave radiation budget parameters computed from ISCCP and HIRS2/MSU products

The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) retrieved cloud fields and the high-resolution radiation sounder 2 (HIRS2) retrieved cloud fields yield similar outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) due to the cancelation effect of cloud-top altitudes and cloud amount on OLR. For the large regional discrepancies of the order of 30 W/sq m found over northern Africa are largely due to surface temperature differences, and extensive discrepancies over the ocean are due to humidity differences. Harmonic analysis is applied to OLR, clear-sky OLR, and cloud-radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere using the ISCCP products. The diurnal variations of these parameters from 60 deg S to 60 deg N are larger over land than over the ocean. The clear-sky OLR peaks around 1500 LST, usually over land areas, and is associated with the surface/air temperature maximum. The OLR over cloudy regions shows a similar diurnal phase as the cloud top pressure. The cloud radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere has maximum value near 2100 LST mountain areas and near 0000 and 0300 LST over equatorial regions. The ISCCP-computed longwave cloud radiative forcing has smaller diurnal variations over the ocean than the HIRS2-computed longwave cloud radiative forcing. The global mean bias of OLR is around 0.74 W/sq m, and locally, the bias can be as large as 5 to 10 W/sq m. This appears to indicate that the twice-a-day measurements of the HIRS2/MSU (around 0315 and 1515 LST, which are the equatorial cross times at nadir track) can be used to derive monthly mean OLR without significant bias.

Wu, Man L. C.↗

Meso-beta scale numerical simulation studies of terrain-induced jet streak mass/momentum perturbations

Work performed during the report period is summarized. The first numerical experiment which was performed on the North Carolina Supercomputer Center's CRAY-YMP machine during the second half of FY92 involved a 36 hour simulation of the CCOPE case study. This first coarse-mesh simulation employed the GMASS model with a 178 x 108 x 32 matrix of grid points spaced approximately 24 km apart. The initial data was comprised of the global 2.5 x 2.5 degree analyses as well as all available North American rawinsonde data valid at 0000 UTC 11 July 1981. Highly-smoothed LFM-derived terrain data were utilized so as to determine the mesoscale response of the three-dimensional atmosphere to weak terrain forcing prior to including the observed highly complex terrain of the northern Rocky Mountain region. It was felt that the model should be run with a spectrum of terrain geometries, ranging from observed complex terrain to no terrain at all, to determine how crucial the terrain was in forcing the mesoscale phenomena. Both convection and stratiform (stable) precipitation were not allowed in this simulation so that their relative importance could be determined by inclusion in forth-coming simulations. A full suite of planetary boundary layer forcing was allowed in the simulation, including surface sensible and latent heat fluxes employing the Blakadar PBL formulation. The details of this simulation, which in many ways could be considered the control simulation, including the important synoptic-scale, meso-alpha scale, and meso-beta scale circulations is described. These results are compared to the observations diagnosed by Koch and his colleagues as well as hypotheses set forth in the project proposal for terrain-influences upon the jet stream and their role in the generation of mesoscale wave phenomenon. The fundamental goal of the analyses being the discrimination among background geostrophic adjustment, terrain influences, and shearing instability in the initiation and maintainance of mesoscale internal wave phenomena. Based upon these findings, FY93 plans are discussed. A review of linear theory and theoretical modeling of a geostrophic zonal wind anomaly is included.

Lin, Yuh-Lang↗

Metal abundances at z = 3.4

Echelle spectroscopy data were taken of the quasar 0000-263 on the 4m telescope at CTIO in Chile. Three nights of red and three nights of blue data were obtained (about four hours data per night). The resolution is typically 0.4 A at 5000 A (lamda/d(lamda) = 12500) and has good signal-to-noise over the wavelength range 4600 A to 8000 A. To keep the statistics manageable the data were not rebinned, although the instrument was stable enough for each night's data on the object to be co-added. Arc spectra taken between each exposure were also co-added within the nights. During profile fitting the model was convolved with a Gaussian whose width was equal to nearby arc lines, so any broadening generated by the co-adding of data will not affect the final results. Since OI and HI have the same ionization potential (13.6 eV), (O/H) is approximately (OI/HI). Unfortunately, in this data only the 1302 A OI transition is visible, and it is blended with HI in the Lyman Alpha forest. However, OI and NI coexist (the ionization potential for NI is 14.5 eV) and so the NI triplet can constrain the redshift and turbulent width of the OI. When a fit was made to the regions containing OI and NI absorption three systems were apparent with similar redshifts and velocity widths. These three systems were fitted with tied redshifts and turbulent widths, while the other lines in the region were fitted as Lyman-Alpha. The saturated Lyman-Alpha profile was then fitted with three components at the same redshifts as these observed lines, with the line widths tied. Finally, metallicity ratios for the individual lines and their totals were calculated and compared to solar values. The results for the separate clouds from low to high redshift and for the total are presented.

Cooke, Andrew↗

A comparison of regional isentropic-sigma and sigma model simulations of the January 1979 Chicago blizzard

In an initial effort in regional numerical weather prediction, results from the University of Wisconsin isentropic-sigma (UW theta-sigma) hybrid model and an 'identical' sigma model are compared. The two main objectives are to demonstrate the capability of the UW theta-sigma model for regional numerical weather prediction and to identify advantages of the hybrid model in simulating atmospheric water vapor transport and precipitation relative to the sigma model. The 72-h simulations produced by the two models extend over a region covering the western Pacific Ocean, North America, and the western Atlantic Ocean. The simulations begin at 0000 UTC 13 January 1979, a period during which an intense Chicago blizzard develops over the central United States. This period also includes the rapid development of a cyclone in the western Pacific Ocean. Results using the Global Weather Experiment (GWE) ECMWF level IIIB data as initial and verification data indicate that both models produce reasonable and similar 72-h simulations, with the UW theta-sigma model mass and momentum distributions being slightly more accurate than the sigma model. Of particular importance for the Chicago blizzard is that the UW theta-sigma model more accurately simulates water vapor transport northward from the Gulf of Mexico and westward from the Atlantic Ocean. As a result, the hybrid model more accurately simulates observed precipitation, especially over the northeastern U.S. and southeastern Canada.

Zapotocny, Tom H.↗

A FGGE water vapor wind data set

It has been recognized for some time that water vapor structure visible in infrared imagery offers a potential for obtaining motion vectors when several images are considered in sequence (Fischer et al., 1981). A study evaluating water vapor winds obtained from the VISSR atmospheric sounder (Stewart et al., 1985) has confirmed the viability of the approach. More recently, 20 data sets have been produced from METEOSAT water vapor imagery for the FGGE period of 10-25 November 1979. Where possible, two data sets were prepared for each day at 0000 and 1200 GMT and compared with rawinsondes over Europe, Africa, and aircraft observations over the oceans. Procedures for obtaining winds were, in general, similar to the earlier study. Motions were detected both by a single pixel tracking and a cross correlation method by using three images individually separated by one hour. A height assignment was determined by matching the measured brightness temperature to the temperature structure represented by the FGGE-IIIB analyses. Results show that the METEOSAT water vapor winds provide uniform horizontal coverage of mid-level flow over the globe with good accuracy.

Stewart, Tod R.↗

Meteorological analysis of the November 25 FIRE cirrus-2 case: A well-defined ridge-crest cirrus system over Oklahoma

On the morning of 25 Nov. 1991, a cirrus cloud system formed in a region extending eastward from the continental divide into central Oklahoma and southwestern Kansas. The system moved slowly eastward during the day and maintained a relatively constant scale and shape. From the satellite perspective, this cloud system had a number of morphological similarities to the 27-28 Oct. FIRE (First International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project Regional Experiment) Cirrus-1 case analyzed by Starr and Wylie. By comparison, the present case had much better rawinsonde coverage. The rawinsonde network was much more extensive and the cloud system was relatively slow moving and well-located with respect to the enhanced sounding network and the National Weather Service (NWS) Wind Profiler Network. In addition to the rawinsonde soundings (1200 and 1800 UTC on 25 Nov. and 0000 and 0600 UTC on 26 Nov.) and satellite observations, four aircraft sorties were flown in the northern portion of this cirrus cloud system from mid-morning to mid afternoon. These included microphysical-radiation profiling missions by the NCAR Sabreliner near Tulsa (about midway between COF and OUN) and the NCAR King Air near Ponca City (about 80 km upwind of Tulsa), a microphysical profiling mission by the UND Citation near Tulsa, and a NASA ER-2 overflight. Thus, very good data are available for this case although, unfortunately, the cloud system remained south of the FIRE Hub site at Coffeyville (COF) where extensive ground-based remote sensor was located. The northern edge of the cloud system was visible from COF during most of the day. Given the wealth of available in situ and remote sensing observations, the similarity to the FIRE Cirrus-1 focal case study, and the particularly good match in scale and location of the cloud system with the rawinsonde and profiler networks, analysis of this case may yield very useful results on the life-cycle of this cirrus cloud system. The quality of the meteorological description for this case was assessed based on our preliminary analysis of the rawinsonde observations.

Starr, David↗

Mesoscale simulations of the November 25-26 and December 5-6 cirrus cases using the RAMS model

The Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS), developed at Colorado State University, was used during the First ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project) Regional Experiment (FIRE) 2 (13 Nov. through 6 Dec. 1991) to provide real time forecasts of cirrus clouds. Forecasts were run once a day, initializing with the 0000 UTC dataset provided by NOAA (Forecast Systems Laboratory (FSL) Mesoscale Analysis and Prediction System (MAPS)). In order to obtain better agreement with observations, a second set of simulations were done for the FIRE 2 cases that occurred on 25-26 Nov. and 5-6 Dec. In this set of simulations, a more complex radiation scheme was used, the Chen/Cotton radiation scheme, along with the nucleation of ice occurring at ice supersaturations as opposed to nucleation occurring at water supersaturations that was done in the actual forecast version. The runs using these more complex schemes took longer wall clock time (7-9 hours for the actual forecasts as compared to 12-14 hrs for the runs using the more complex schemes) however, the final results of the simulations were definitely improved upon. Comparisons between these two sets of simulations are given. Now underway are simulations of these cases using a closed analytical solution for the auto-conversion of ice from a pristine ice class (sizes less than about 50 microns in effective diameter) to a snow class (effective diameters on the order of several hundred microns). This solution is employed along with a new scheme for the nucleation of ice crystals due to Meyers et al and Demott et al. The scheme is derived assuming complete gamma distributions for both the pristine and snow classes. The time rate of change of the number concentration and mass mixing-ratio of each distribution is found by calculating either the flux of crystals that grow beyond a certain critical diameter by vapor deposition in an ice supersaturated regime or by calculating the flux of crystals that evaporate to sizes below that same critical effective diameter.

Harrington, J. L.↗

Infrared to x-ray spectral energy distributions of high redshift quasars

We have observed 14 quasars with z greater than 2.8 with the ROSAT-PSPC, and detected 12 of them, including the z=4.11 quasar 0000-263. We present the first x-ray spectrum of a radio quiet quasar with z greater than 3, 1946+768. Its x-ray spectrum is consistent with a power law with spectral index alpha(sub E)=1.8(sup +2.1, sub -1.4) and no evidence for absorption in excess of the galactic column (alpha(sub E)=1.00(sup +0.28, sub -0.32) assuming N(sub H)=N(sub H)(Gal)). A Position Sensitive Proportional Counter (PSPC) hardness ratio is used to constrain the x-ray spectral properties of the quasars for which there were less than 100 photons detected. For the radio quiet quasars, (alpha(sub E)) approximately equals 1.2, if one assumes that there is no absorption in excess of the galactic column. We combine the x-ray data with new ground based optical and near-IR spectrophotometry obtained at the Steward 2.3 m and Multiple Mirror Telescope, and data from the literature. The spectral energy distributions are compared to those of low redshift objects. For the radio quiet quasars with z greater than 2.5, the mean (alpha(sub ox)) is approximately 1.8. This is larger than the mean for quasars with z less than 2.5, but consistent with the expected value for quasars with the high optical luminosities of the objects in this sample. For the radio-loud quasars, (alpha(sub ox)) is approximately 1.4, independent of redshift. This is smaller than the expected value for the optically luminous, high redshift objects in this sample, if they are mostly GHz peaked radio sources and hence comparable to steep-spectrum, compact radio sources at lower redshift. Finally, we compare the spectral energy distributions of two representative objects to the predicted spectrum of a thin accretion disk in the Kerr geometry, and discuss the uncertainties in deriving black hole masses and mass accretion rates.

Bechtold, Jill↗

A mesoscale modeling study of the atmospheric circulation of high southern latitudes

The meteorology of high southern latitudes during winter is simulated using a cloud-free version of The Pennsylvania State University-National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model version 4 (MM4) with a 100-km horizontal resolution. Comparisons between idealized simulations of Antarctic with MM4 and with the mesoscale model of Parish and Waight reveal that both models produce similarly realistic velocity fields in the boundary layer. The latter model tends to produce slightly faster drainage winds over East Antarctica. The intensity of the katabatic winds produced by MM4 is sensitive to parameterizations of boundary layer fluxes. Two simulations performed with MM4 using analyses from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for June 1988 as initial and boundary conditions. A simulation of the period from 000 UTC 2 June to 0000 UTC 8 June produces realistic synoptic phenomena including ridge development over East Antarctica, frontogenesis over the Amundsen Sea, and a katabatic surge over the Ross Ice Shelf. The simulated time-averaged fields for June 1988, particularly that of a 500-hPa height, are in good agreement with time-averaged fields analyzed by the ECMWF. The results of the simulations provide detailed features of the Antarctic winter boundary layer along the steeply sloping terrain. Highest boundary layer wind speeds averaged over the month-long simulation are approximately 20 m/s. The lack of latent heating in the simulations apparently results in some bias in the results. In particular, the cloud-free version of MM4 underpredicts the intensity of lows in the sea level pressure field.

Hines, K. M.↗

Unusual locations of Earth's bow shock on September 24 - 25, 1987: Mach number effects

International Sun Earth Explorer 1 (ISEE 1) and Interplanetary Monitoring Platform 8 (IMP 8) data are used to identify 19 crossings of Earth's bow shock during a 30-hour period following 0000 UT on September 24, 1987. Apparent standoff distances for the shock are calculated for each crossing using two methods and the spacecraft location; one method assumes the average shock shape, while the other assumes a ram pressure-dependent shock shape. The shock's apparent standoff distance, normally approximately 14 R(sub E), is shown to increase from near 10 R(sub E) initially to near 19 R(sub E) during an 8-hour period, followed by an excursion to near 35 R(sub E) (where two IMP 8 shock crossings occur) and an eventual return to values smaller than 19 R(sub E). The Alfven M(sub A) and fast magnetosonic M(sub ms). Mach numbers remain above 2 and the number density above 4/cu cm for almost the entire period. Ram pressure effects produce the initial near-Earth shock location, whereas expansions and contractions of the bow shock due to low Mach number effects account, qualitatively and semiquantitatively, for the timing and existence of almost all the remaining ISEE crossings and both IMP 8 crossings. Significant quantitative differences exist between the apparent standoff distances for the shock crossings and those predicted using the observed plasma parameters and the standard model based on Spreiter et al.'s (1966) gasdynamic equation. These differences can be explained in terms of either a different dependence of the standoff distance on Mach number at low M(sub A) and M(sub ms), or variations in shock shape with M(sub A) and M(sub ms) (becoming increasingly "puffed up" with decreasing M(sub A) and M(sub ms), as expected theoretically), or by a combination of both effects.

Cairns, Iver H.↗