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At least 55 records · Page 3

Causal simulation and sensor planning in predictive monitoring

Two issues are addressed which arise in the task of detecting anomalous behavior in complex systems with numerous sensor channels: how to adjust alarm thresholds dynamically, within the changing operating context of the system, and how to utilize sensors selectively, so that nominal operation can be verified reliably without processing a prohibitive amount of sensor data. The approach involves simulation of a causal model of the system, which provides information on expected sensor values, and on dependencies between predicted events, useful in assessing the relative importance of events so that sensor resources can be allocated effectively. The potential applicability of this work to the execution monitoring of robot task plans is briefly discussed.

Doyle, Richard J.↗

Hot or Not? An Evaluation of Methods for Identifying Hot Moments of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From Soils

Abstract Effectively quantifying hot moments of nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions from agricultural soils is critical for managing this potent greenhouse gas. However, we are challenged by a lack of standard approaches for identifying hot moments, including (a) determining thresholds above which emissions are considered hot moments, and (b) considering seasonal variation in the magnitude and frequency distribution of net N 2 O fluxes. We used one year of hourly N 2 O flux measurements from 16 autochambers that varied in flux magnitude and frequency distribution in a conventionally tilled maize field in central Illinois, USA, to compare three approaches to identify hot moment thresholds: standard deviations (SD) above the mean, 1.5x the interquartile range (IQR), and isolation forest (IF) identification of anomalous values. We also compared these approaches on seasonally subdivided data (early, late, and non‐growing seasons) versus the whole year. Our analyses revealed that 1.5x IQR method best identified N 2 O hot moments. In contrast, using 2 or 4 SD both yielded hot moment threshold values too high, and IF yielded threshold values too low, leading to missed N 2 O hot moments or low net N 2 O fluxes mischaracterized as hot moments, respectively. Furthermore, seasonally subdividing the data set not only facilitated identification of smaller hot moments in the late‐ and non‐growing seasons when N 2 O hot moments were generally smaller but it also increased hot moment threshold values in the early growing season when N 2 O hot moments were larger. Consequently, of the methods evaluated here, we recommend using the 1.5x IQR method on whole year data sets to identify N 2 O hot moments.

Stuchiner, Emily R. [Institute for Sustainability,↗

Anomalous resistivity on auroral field lines

Consideration is given to a possible explanation for the one-dimensional anomalous resistivity and breakdown of runaway acceleration observed in the auroral zones. It is shown that under conditions existing along auroral field lines, where the cyclotron frequency is greater than the plasma frequency and density fluctuations exceed 0.25, trapping of a major portion of the electron distribution function by large-amplitude ion cyclotron waves can inhibit the free acceleration of runaways and act to violate the conservation of the first adiabatic invariant for electrons above a certain threshold velocity. Particle simulations combining the effects of finite ion cavities and pitch angle scattering at the anomalous Doppler resonance are then presented which demonstrate the formation of a runaway distribution upon the application of a constant dc field and the effects of the instability at the anomalous Doppler resonance in preventing it. The necessity for further large-scale macrophysics simulations to gain a fuller understanding of the total system dynamics is pointed out.

Rowland, H. L.↗

J/psi photoproduction close to threshold at GlueX

Close-to-threshold photoproduction probes small-size gluon configurations in the proton. Under certain assumptions it allows us to study the proton properties, as gluonic GPDs, anomalous contribution to the mass of the proton, gravitational form factors, and the mass radius of the proton. A careful comparison of the experimental data with the theoretical predictions would help us to verify the validity of those assumptions. The first cross-section measurements of near-threshold reaction by the GlueX Collaboration (Phys. Rev. Lett. 123, 072001 (2019)) has attracted a considerable theoretical interest. Along with the relation to the gluonic properties of the proton, the measurement exploited a possibility of the LHCb Pentaquark production in the s-channel of the observed reaction, placing a limit of the decay probability . Here we present new GlueX results based on a four-times larger data set. The higher statistics along with the full acceptance of the GlueX spectrometer allow us to measure the differential cross section in several energy ranges and compare the results with several theoretical calculations.

Chudakov, Eugene↗

Turbulent resistivity, diffusion and heating

Experimental and theoretical studies are reported on ion acoustic and ion cyclotron turbulence and their roles in anomalous resistivity, viscosity, diffusion and heating and in the structure of collisionless electrostatic shocks. Resistance due to ion acoustic turbulence has been observed in experiments with a streaming cesium plasma in which electron current, potential rise due to turbulent resistivity, spectrum of unstable ion acoustic waves, and associated electron heating were all measured directly. Kinetic theory calculations for an expanding, unstable plasma, give results in agreement with the experiment. In a strong magnetic field, with T sub e/T sub i approximately 1 and current densities typical for present Tokomaks, the plasma is stable to ion acoustic but unstable to current driven electrostatic ion cyclotron waves. Relevant characteristics of these waves are calculated and it is shown that for ion, beta greater than m sub e/m sub i, the electromagnetic ion cyclotron wave has a lower instability threshold than the electrostatic one. However, when ion acoustic turbulence is present experiments with double plasma devices show rapid anomalous heating of an ion beam streaming through a plasma.

Fried, B. D.↗

Classification based anomaly detection

An example device includes processing circuitry and a memory. The memory includes instructions that cause the device to perform various functions. The functions include receiving datastreams from a plurality of sensors of a high performance computing system, classifying each datastream of the each sensor to one of a plurality of datastream models, selecting an anomaly detection algorithm from a plurality of anomaly detection algorithms for each datastream, determining parameters of the each anomaly detection algorithm, determining an anomaly threshold for each datastream, and generating an indication that the sensor associated with the datastream is acting anomalously.

Serebryakov, Sergey↗

Algorithmically detected rain-on-snow flood events in different climate datasets: a case study of the Susquehanna River basin

Abstract. Rain-on-snow (RoS) events in regions of ephemeral snowpack – such as the northeastern United States – can be key drivers of cool-season flooding. We describe an automated algorithm for detecting basin-scale RoS events in gridded climate data by generating an area-averaged time series and then searching for periods of concurrent precipitation, surface runoff, and snowmelt exceeding predefined thresholds. When evaluated using historical data over the Susquehanna River basin (SRB), the technique credibly finds RoS events in published literature and flags events that are followed by anomalously high streamflow as measured by gauge data along the river. When comparing four different datasets representing the same 21-year period, we find large differences in RoS event magnitude and frequency, primarily driven by differences in estimated surface runoff and snowmelt. Using dataset-specific thresholds improves agreement between datasets but does not account for all discrepancies. We show that factors such as meteorological forcing and coupling frequency, as well as choice of land surface model, play roles in how data products capture these compound extremes and suggest care is to be taken when climate datasets are used by stakeholders for operational decision-making.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Electronic density of states of a U ( 1 ) quantum spin liquid with spinon Fermi surface. II. Zeeman magnetic field effects

The Zeeman effect lowers the energy of electrons with spin states which are antiparallel to the applied magnetic field but lifts that of spin parallel states. In quantum spin liquids where the spin and charge degrees of freedom are fractionalized, an anomalous Zeeman response may be expected. In the case of spin liquids with a spinon Fermi surface, the threshold energy to excite an electronic state is found to exhibit no Zeeman shift. This is specific to the spinon Fermi surface case. In contrast, other gapped spin liquids are expected to exhibit the standard Zeeman shift at the band edge even though they also exhibit spin-charge fractionalization. Further, when gauge-field fluctuations are included, we find that the Zeeman shift of the electronic states gets affected by the gauge field induced binding. In the electronic density of states spectra, weak gauge binding induces band-edge resonance peaks which exhibit the Zeeman shift in the same direction as that in the standard Zeeman effect, but the shift is reduced as the binding potential increases. With further increase in the binding potential, the resonance becomes true in-gap bound states and eventually the Zeeman shift direction reverses so it is opposite to the standard Zeeman effect. We propose that one can perform spin-polarized scanning tunneling microscope measurements as a test of the spinon Fermi sea ground state in quantum spin liquid candidate materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Skylab contamination control

The optical contamination control systems of Skylab are reviewed, covering contamination sources, critical elements, flight hardware configuration, contamination monitoring sensors, mathematical contamination prediction models, contamination cloud and deposition models, and hardware implementation. Also considered are supportive contamination tests, contamination mission support activities, Skylab contamination evaluation, contamination measurement experiments, and the effectiveness of contamination control measures. Sources of contamination are identified, Skylab system susceptibility to contamination is determined, and predictions are made for surface contamination deposition and background brightness levels. Mission evaluation results indicate that, barring anomalous conditions, Skylab mission equipment and activities are adequate to reduce the general contamination level to the sensitivity threshold levels for experiments and affected subsystems.

Davis, C. M.↗

An Energy-Integrated Analysis for Measuring the Anomalous Precession Frequenzc for the Muon g - 2 Experiment at Fermilab

In the search for physics beyond the Standard Model, the Muon g - 2 Experiment at Fermilab (E989) will make the most precise measurement of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon, a μ . Improvements in precision come from both increased statistics and new techniques to significantly reduce previous systematic uncertainties. The muon a μ is determined by extracting both the anomalous spin precession frequency, ω a , and the average magnetic field sampled by the muons, B. Traditionally an energy threshold analysis method which requires reconstruction of decay positrons from the muon decay, μ + → e + ν e ν μ has been used to extract ω a . This thesis will describe a novel, energy-integrated analysis method for ωa extraction that does not require full reconstruction of positron hits and lowers the energy threshold therefore sampling more of the stored muons. This new technique has different sensitivities to effects like gain fluctuations and positron pulse pile-up. The analysis results will focus on data taken in 2019, the second year of running the experiment.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Transition from retrograde to prograde drift instabilities in a magnetron microdischarge

Rotating plasma structures, or “spokes,” in magnetized discharges characterized by perpendicular electric and magnetic fields have been seen in a growing number of studies and are believed to be the result of gradient-driven drift instabilities. Under certain conditions, we have shown the spoke’s rotation to be opposite to the E B direction, i.e., retrograde in its expected direction. Recently, we have linked such counter-intuitive rotation to a local inversion of the electric field. Here, we give further experimental evidence for this inversion and attempt to provide an explanation for a relatively distinct transition seen between retrograde and positive (prograde) drift. In the experiments, a partially magnetized plasma forms inside a magnetron device of mm radius operated with argon. Discharge current–voltage measurements are acquired for a range of argon fill pressure and inter-electrode spacing. We find two branches of operation—a low current branch of negative resistance, coinciding with the retrograde spoke rotation, and a higher current branch of positive resistance, coincident with prograde spoke rotation. We postulate that at low discharge currents, high magnetic field confinement leads to a large density gradient, causing more electron transport to the anode than that demanded by the external circuit. At higher currents, anomalous axial electron transport (across the magnetic field lines) becomes dominant, eliminating the conditions for field inversion. Here, the current thresholds for the field inversion are found to be sensitive to the argon pressure and inter-electrode spacing.

42 ENGINEERING↗

SOLPRO: A computer code to calculate probabilistic energetic solar proton fluences

A code was developed for the calculation of interplanetary solar proton fluences at 1 AU for the active years 1977 to 1983. The fluences are presented as functions of mission duration tau, energy threshold E, and confidence level Q. For a given combination of tau and Q, the routine determines whether ordinary or anomalously large events are to be considered, and in the latter case, the number of anomalously large events that are predicted by probabilistic theory for the specified mission duration. The code is described in detail. A listing and sample calculations are included.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗

Threshold charmonium photoproduction with GlueX

We report the total and differential cross sections for J/ψ photoproduction obtained using the large acceptance GlueX spectrometer at the 12 GeV JLab accelerator over the full near-threshold kinematic region. The GlueX experiment uses tagged linearly-polarized photon beam from coherent Bremsstrahlung off a thin diamond. Charmonium photoproduction near threshold, under certain assumptions including gluon exchange and factorization, can be used to study important aspects of the gluon structure of the proton, such as the gluon GPD, the gravitational form factors, the mass radius of the proton, and the anomalous contribution to the proton mass. In the measured cross sections we find evidence for possible contributions beyond gluon exchange. The results are compared to a wide range of theoretical predictions including GPD calculations and models with open-charm intermediate states. Photoproduction near threshold of charmonium states with opposite-to-photon parity offer another opportunity, complementary to the J/ψ, to understand the reaction mechanism of the charmonium photoproduction. While we see some evidence for such states, comprehensive studies of such higher-mass charmonia can be done only with the proposed JLab energy upgrade. An electron beam energy of up to 22 GeV significantly increases the photon flux and polarization in the corresponding threshold regions allowing for precise cross section and polarization measurements there.

Pentchev, Lubomir↗

Solar proton fluences for 1977-1983 space missions

The probability with which any given solar proton fluence level will be exceeded during a space mission is computed for mission to be flown during the active phase of the next solar cycle (1977-1983). This probability is a function of fluence level, proton energy threshold, and mission duration. Calculations are based on 1966-1972 data only. In estimating mission fluences, a distinction is made between ordinary and anomalously large events. Probable numbers of each type of event are estimated from Burrell's extension of Poisson statistics. Fluences of all anomalously large events are assumed to have a spectrum given by the August 1972 event, while fluences of the ordinary events are assumed to obey a log normal distribution.

King, J. H.↗

Linear ion-scale microstability analysis of high and low-collisionality NSTX discharges and NSTX-U projections

Linear gyrokinetic simulations were conducted to investigate ion-gyroradius-scale micro-instability predictions for high-beta NSTX discharges and NSTX-U projections that span over an order of magnitude variation in collisionality. A complex mix of microtearing modes and hybrid trapped electron modes/kinetic ballooning modes (TEM/KBM) is predicted for all experimental or projected conditions. Ion temperature gradient (ITG) instabilities are typically stable in the NSTX discharges investigated, consistent with the observed neoclassical ion thermal transport. ITG thresholds inferred from the simulations are typically much higher than the experimental NSTX gradients, as well as the projected gradients in the NSTX-U scenario, which assumed ion temperatures limited by neoclassical transport only. The analysis suggests ITG instabilities are unlikely to contribute significant anomalous thermal losses in high-beta, lower collisionality NSTX-U scenarios. On the other hand, the NSTX experimental profiles and NSTX-U projections are predicted to be very close to the predicted onset of unstable KBM at most radii investigated. The proximity of the various discharges to the KBM instability threshold implies it may play an important role in setting profile shapes and limiting global energy confinement. Here, it remains to be understood and predicted how KBM contributes to multi-channel transport (thermal and particle transport, for both ions and electrons) in a way that is consistent with experimental inferences.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The role of interannual ENSO events in decadal timescale transitions of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

The build-up of decadal timescale upper ocean heat content in the off-equatorial western tropical Pacific can provide necessary conditions for interannual El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events to contribute to decadal timescale transitions of tropical Pacific SSTs to the opposite phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). This can be viewed as a corollary to subseasonal westerly wind burst events contributing to El Niño interannual timescale transitions. In this work, a long pre-industrial control run with CESM1 is analyzed to show that there is a greater chance of ENSO activity to contribute to an IPO transition when off-equatorial western Pacific Ocean heat content reaches either a maximum (for El Niño to contribute to a transition to positive IPO) or minimum (for La Niña to contribute to a transition to negative IPO) as seen in observations. If above a necessary ocean heat content threshold, the convergence associated with westerly anomaly near-equatorial surface winds associated with El Niño activity can draw that heat content equatorward to sustain anomalously warm western and central Pacific SSTs. These are associated with positive precipitation and convective heating anomalies, a Gill-type response and wind stress curl anomalies that continue to feed warm water into the near-equatorial western Pacific. These conditions then sustain the decadal-timescale transition to positive IPO (with the opposite sign for transition to negative IPO). Associated central equatorial Pacific convective heating anomalies produce SLP and wind stress anomalies in the North and South Pacific that can excite westward-propagating off-equatorial oceanic Rossby waves to contribute to the western Pacific thermocline depth and consequent heat content anomalies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Generation of lower-hybrid noise by superthermal cross-field ion currents

A kinetic model for generating lower-hybrid waves by a low-density, superthermal ion beam directed across a magnetic field is investigated. Growth rate calculations demonstrate the salient features of the process, in particular, the small threshold drift of several background ion thermal speeds required for instability. The mechanism is suitable for collisionless dissipation in systems which evince the characteristics of anomalous resistivity in the presence of relatively small electrical currents.

Barbosa, D. D.↗

Highly efficient pseudomorphic InGaAs/GaAs/AlGaAs single quantum well lasers for monolithic integration

Highly efficient ridge waveguide pseudomorphic single quantum well lasers, emitting at 980 nm, have been fabricated from an In(0.2)Ga(0.8)As/GaAs/AlGaAs graded-index separate confinement heterostructure grown by molecular beam epitaxy. The laterial index guiding provided by the ridge reduces the anomalously large lateral loss of optical power found in gain-guided structures, thereby reducing the internal loss by more than 50 percent. The low threshold current (7.6 mA) and high differential quantum efficiency (79 percent) obtained under continuous operation as well as the transparency of the GaAs substrate to the emitted radiation render these lasers attractive for Ga-As-based optoelectronic integration.

Larsson, A.↗