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Results for “COMPONENT RELIABILITY”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Main bearing response in a waked 15-MW floating wind turbine in below-rated conditions

Increased wind turbine size raises unknowns related to structural flexibility. Moreover, moving to deeper waters, component reliability becomes more critical. This work investigates main bearing response dependence on drivetrain flexibility and wake impingement in a two-turbine wind farm. A 15-MW floating direct-drive turbine is considered. Large eddy simulations (LES) are employed to model neutral, stable and unstable atmospheric conditions at below-rated mean wind speed, while the engineering codes OpenFAST and FAST.Farm simulate turbine and wake behavior. Results indicate significant sensitivities in fatigue estimates to lateral distance between the upstream and downstream turbine. The trends are most substantial in stable conditions, where the waked downwind main bearing sees twice the fatigue damage estimates of the upstream turbine for one position and 50% for another. Main bearing fatigue sensitivity to drivetrain flexibility is minor, while properly including generator rotor inertia loads is important for the axial forces of the locating (axially fixed) bearing, especially in stable conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Resilience and economics of microgrids with PV, battery storage, and networked diesel generators

Current designs and assessments of microgrids have ignored component reliability, leading to significant errors in predicting a microgrid’s performance while islanded. Existing life cycle cost studies on hybrid microgrids—which combine photovoltaics (PV), battery storage and networked emergency diesel generators—also have not identified all the potential economic opportunities. Reducing the number of emergency diesel generators through reliance on PV and battery, retail bill savings, and demand response and wholesale market revenue streams are all important. This paper provides a new statistical methodology that calculates the impact of distributed energy reliability and variability on a microgrid’s performance and a novel use of the optimization platform REopt to explore multiple cost savings and revenue streams. We examine the impacts for microgrids in California, Maryland, and New Mexico and show that a hybrid microgrid is a more resilient and cost-effective solution than a diesel-only system. Under realistic conditions, a hybrid microgrid can provide higher system reliability when islanded and have a lower life cycle cost under multiple market conditions than a traditional diesel generator-based system. The improved performance of the hybrid system is resilient to conditions experienced over the last 20 years in solar irradiance and sees little degradation in performance immediately after a hurricane. The cost savings to provide this more resilient backup power system as compared to a diesel-only microgrid are significant. The net present cost for a hybrid microgrid is 19% lower in New Mexico and 35% lower in Maryland than a diesel-only microgrid. In California, the net present cost of the hybrid microgrid is negative because, unlike a diesel-only microgrid, a hybrid microgrid has lower life cycle costs than the power costs without a microgrid.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

The Trajectory of Additively Manufactured Titanium Alloys with Superior Mechanical Properties and Engineered Microstructures

Additive manufacturing (AM) plays a crucial role in the manufacturing and development of advanced materials including titanium alloys for engineering applications. During the last two decades, a great deal of effort has been devoted to print titanium parts with desired properties. However, due to presence of non-equilibrium/metastable phases, anisotropic microstructure, and various porosities in the printed titanium alloys, achieving an excellent combination of mechanical properties has been challenging. Here this review paper aims to provide a comprehensive overview of multiple post-process and in-process approaches to achieve enhanced strength-ductility combinations by microstructure engineering. Approaches such as addition of alloying elements/nucleants, multi-step post heat treatment, in-situ heat treatment, forced inter-pass cooling, in situ peening/rolling, hybridizing microstructure, high-intensity acoustic vibration, thermo-hydrogen refinement of microstructure, deliberately introducing lack of fusion defects with subsequent hot isostatic pressing are discussed in detail. Finally, we conclude by highlighting the challenges associated with each method and potential areas of improvement that can pave the way to develop reliable components with enhanced performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Navigating the obstacles of carbon-negative technologies

Nine years after the Paris Agreement was adopted, it is clear that negative-emission technologies are required to keep 1.5°C, or even 2°C, of global warming in reach. Yet carbon dioxide removal (CDR) strategies remain rife with political, technical, economic, environmental, and geographic challenges. Here, this Voices surveys the pitfalls of incorporating carbon-negative technologies into climate mitigation plans and asks: how can we navigate around the challenges to make CDR a reliable component of climate mitigation?

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Build-to-Replace Strategy to Reduce Operations and Maintenance Costs for Advanced Reactors

This paper targets the reduction of fixed operations and maintenance (O&M) costs for advanced reactor (AR) designs. This goal will be severely constrained if the underlying assumptions of O&M approaches and practices are not questioned and reexamined, especially today when changes can be implemented effectively and efficiently. Achieving a reduction in AR O&M costs requires a completely new way of thinking -a paradigm shift- not through incremental, technology-focused approaches alone. Here, we address this challenge by evaluating the impact of moving to a shorter design life for major structures, systems, and components and shorter, more predictable refurbishment cycles as modeled by the commercial airline industry: the build-to-replace approach. This paper provides a brief overview of this different mindset to O&M applied to ARs and it provided a set of analytical tools based on multi-objective optimization to identify the benefits of such an approach. In conclusion, we provide a direct example analysis of a build-to-replace scenario by identifying and evaluating scenarios for reduced system and component lifetimes and associated replacement and refurbishment schedules to evaluate impacts on O&M costs and other lifecycle elements, such as structure, system, and component reliability.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

An Analytical Model of Erosive Wear of BioMass Comminution Components

An analytical erosion model that relates critical process parameters (speed and impingement angle) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness, toughness, and fatigue ductility) was applied to model wear in pretreatment milling operations. Results of the model were compared to experimental measurements of wear produced using the Accelerated Wear Test (AWT) rig at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Results showed that there is good agreement between predicted and measured performance, and that a quality-by-design (QbD) tool can be developed to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Application of an Erosion Wear Model to Predict Wear of Hammer Milling Components

A workable analytical erosion model that relates critical hammermill process parameters (hammermill geometry and rotational speed) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, and aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness, toughness, and fatigue ductility) was applied to model wear (more specifically, change in the shape of hammers) in hammer milling operations. Results of the model were compared to experimental observations of the shape of hammers used in the INL Stage 1 Vermeer hammermill. Results showed good agreement between predicted and measured shape of the hammer, and that a quality-by-design (QbD) approach can be developed to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Abrasive Wear Model of Knife Milling to Predict the Impact of Material Properties and Milling Parameters on Knife Edge Recession

A workable analytical abrasion model that relates critical knife-mill process parameters (geometry and rotational speed) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, and aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness and elastic modulus) was formulated to model wear of knives in knife-milling systems. Results of the model were compared to experimental observations of the edge recession of knives used in a knife mill marketed by Eberbach. Results showed good agreement between the predicted and measured shape of a worn knife and showed that a quality-by-design approach can be developed to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Abrasion Wear Model of Rotary Shear Comminution of Biomass Feedstock

The research team formulated a workable analytical abrasion model that relates critical rotary shear process parameters (shear geometry and rotational speed) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, and aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness and elastic modulus) that enabled us to model the wear of shear cutters in a rotary shear milling system developed by Forest Concepts. We compared results of the model to experimental observations of the shape of rotary shear cutters used in a Forest Concept Crumbler® shear mill. Results showed good agreement between the predicted and measured shape of a worn cutter; thus, a quality-by-design (QbD) approach can be developed to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Constitutive Model Development for Aging Polymer Encapsulants (ASC P&EM FY2021 L2 Milestone 7836)

This SAND report fulfills the completion requirements for the ASC Physics and Engineering Modeling Level 2 Milestone 7836 during Fiscal Year 2021. The Sandia Simplified potential energy clock (SPEC) non-linear viscoelastic constitutive model was developed to predict a whole host of polymer glass physical behaviors in order to provide a tool to assess the effects of stress on these materials over their lifecycle. Polymer glasses are used extensively in applications such as electronics packaging, where encapsulants and adhesives can be critical to device performance. In this work, the focus is on assessing the performance of the model in predicting material evolution associated with long-term physical aging, an area that the model has not been fully vetted in. These predictions are key to utilizing models to help demonstrate electronics packaging component reliability over decades long service lives, a task that is very costly and time consuming to execute experimentally. The initiating hypothesis for the work was that a model calibration process can be defined that enables confidence in physical aging predictions under ND relevant environments and timescales without sacrificing other predictive capabilities. To test the hypothesis, an extensive suite of calibration and aging data was assembled from a combination of prior work and collaborating projects (Aging and Lifetimes as well as the DoD Joint Munitions Program) for two mission relevant epoxy encapsulants, 828DGEBA/DEA and 828DGEBA/T403. Multiple model calibration processes were developed and evaluated against the entire set of data for each material. A qualitative assessment of each calibration's ability to predict the wide range of aging responses was key to ranking the calibrations against each other. During this evaluation, predictions that were identified as non-physical, i.e., demonstrated something that was qualitatively different than known material behavior, were heavily weighted against the calibration performance. Thus, unphysical predictions for one aspect of aging response could generate a lower overall rating for a calibration process even if that process generated better quantitative predictions for another aspect of aging response. This insurance that all predictions are qualitatively correct is important to the overall aim of utilizing the model to predict residual stress evolution, which will depend on the interplay amongst the different material aging responses. The DSC-focused calibration procedure generated the best all-around aging predictions for both materials, demonstrating material models that can qualitatively predict the whole host of different physical aging responses that have been measured. This step forward in predictive capability comes from an unanticipated source, utilization of calorimetry measurements to specify model parameters. The DSC-focused calibration technique performed better than compression-focused techniques that more heavily weigh measurements more closely related to the structural responses to be predicted. Indeed, the DSC-focused calibration procedure was only possible due to recent incorporation of the enthalpy and heat capacity features into SPEC that was newly verified during this L2 milestone. Fundamentally similar aspects of the two material model calibrations as well as parametric studies to assess sensitives of the aging predictions are discussed within the report. A perspective on the next steps to the overall goal of residual stress evolution predictions under stockpile conditions closes the report.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

CCF Parameter Estimations, 2020 Update

This report documents the quantitative results of the common-cause failure (CCF) data collection effort (which included data through 2020) and summarizes the results of the parameter estimation quantification process performed on CCF data in the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) CCF database. This is the 2020 update to NUREG/CR-5497, updating data and parameter estimations for CCFs. This release, CCF Parameter Estimation 2020, reflects the CCF data contained within the CCF database, https://rads.inl.gov/Pages/CCF.aspx, by executing (in August 2021) the CCF query rules in the folder SPAR Rules 2020. The data covers the period from 1/1/2006 to 12/31/2020, the most recent 15-year period in which data are available. The use of the most recent rolling 15-year data in parameter estimation differs from previous updates, in which 1/1/1997 was used as the starting date (e.g., 1/1/1997 to 12/31/2015 for the 2015 update, 1/1/1997 to 12/31/2012 for the 2012 update). The new date range (i.e., the most recent 15-year period), was selected for this CCF update so as to be consistent with the date range chosen for the component reliability parameter estimation, and with the effort to include sufficient data for analysis while simultaneously reflecting the most recent industry performance. These results are appropriate for use in probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) studies, including the Standardized Plant Analysis Risk (SPAR) models of commercial nuclear power plants (NPPs) in the U.S. This update may be referred as: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, "CCF Parameter Estimations, 2020 Update," https://nrcoe.inl.gov/publicdocs/CCF/ccfparamest2020.pdf, November 2021.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Industrial Deployment of Computer Aided Manufacturing Software for Hybrid Advanced Manufacturing

GibbsCAM, 3D Systems’ software product, is a full-featured CAM system that provides powerful CNC programming, capabilities, and solutions, delivering high quality parts without sacrificing ease of use. Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) collaborated with GibbsCAM to evaluate their toolpath generating software being developed for both blown powder and hybrid CNC/additive manufacturing machinery. The current approach in toolpath solutions for additive manufacturing is to utilize subtractive toolpaths created by existing CAM software and reversing it for additive manufacturing applications. GibbsCAM is working to develop a full solution to mitigate the challenges that arise with this approach and deploy a fully customized solution for producing quality, reliable components for a range of different DED systems. When successful, this will be an automated solution deployed through a future release of GibbsCAM software.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Enhanced Component Performance Study: Turbine-Driven Pumps 1998-2020

This report presents an enhanced performance evaluation of turbine-driven pumps (TDPs) at U.S. commercial nuclear power plants. The data used in this study are based on the operating experience failure reports from calendar year 1998 through 2020 as reported in the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) Industry Reporting and Information System (IRIS). The TDP failure modes considered for standby systems are fail to start (FTS), fail to run (FTR) for one hour of operation (FTR≤1H), FTR after one hour of operation (FTR>1H), and for normally running systems FTS and FTR. An eight-hour unreliability estimate is also calculated and trended. The component reliability estimates and the reliability data are trended for the most recent 10-year period while yearly estimates for reliability are provided for the entire study period. No increasing trends were identified for TDPs for the most recent 10-year period: The following decreasing trends were identified for TDPs for the most recent 10-year period: • Standby TDP FTR>1H failure rate • Standby TDP unavailability • Standby MDP total unreliability (8-hour mission) • Standby TDP frequency of FTR>1H events (failures per reactor year) • Normally running TDP frequency of start demands (demands per reactor year) • Normally running TDP frequency of run hours (hours per reactor year).

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Analysis of Cutter Blade Wear in Rotary Shear Mills

Following development of an analytical abrasive wear model to predict wear of components in a rotary shear mill, the team used a finite element analysis (FEA) approach to calculate forces and loads acting on particles responsible for abrasive wear. The analytical model related critical rotary shear process parameters (shear geometry and rotational speed) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, and aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness and elastic modulus) that enabled us to model the wear of shear cutters in a rotary shear milling system developed by Forest Concepts. With proper knowledge of the forces acting between abrasive particles and cutter components built into it, the model can accurately predict wear of the cutters and provides a quality by design (QbD) approach to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches. During this reporting period, researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory applied an FEA package to simulate the local stresses and forces between an abrasive silica particle and two rotary shear cutters as the distance between the cutters decreases. The output of the FEA was used to provide more accurate projections of the loads applied to the particles in the analytical wear model. Comparison of the FEA force calculations are in good agreement with the loads assumed in the analytical predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NREL Hydrogen Sensor Testing Laboratory and Smart Hydrogen Wide Area Monitoring

The NREL Hydrogen sensor laboratory aims to ensure that hydrogen sensor technology is available to meet end-user needs and to foster the proper use of sensors by advancing next generation sensing and analysis techniques, supporting codes and standards development, and improving component reliability systems.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A Bootstrap Approach to Quantifying Reliabilities and Uncertainties of Complex Systems

While much work has been done in analyzing margins and uncertainties at the component level, a gap exists in NNSA methodology relating component level reliabilities and uncertainties to system level reliability and uncertainty. This paper shows how component level reliability data can be combined via a bootstrap analysis to estimate system level reliabilities and uncertainties. The performance of the bootstrap for this problem is validated through simulation studies. This paper extends the original work of Crowder by including sensitivity analyses related to changes in samples sizes and component failure probabilities. The use of the bootstrap as a decision-making tool is thus developed by quantifying the effect of such changes on system reliability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fault Detection via Occupation Kernel Principal Component Analysis

Reliable operation of automatic systems is heavily dependent on the ability to detect faults in the underlying dynamics. While traditional model-based methods have been widely used for fault detection, data-driven approaches have garnered increasing attention due to their ease of deployment and minimal need for expert knowledge. In this letter, we present a novel principal component analysis (PCA) method that uses occupation kernels. Occupation kernels result in feature maps that are tailored to the measured data, have inherent noise-robustness due to the use of integration, and can utilize irregularly sampled system trajectories of variable lengths for PCA. The occupation kernel PCA method is used to develop a reconstruction error approach to fault detection and its efficacy is validated using numerical simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗