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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Analysis Program (2023 Annual Progress Report)

This document summarizes the progress of VTO Analysis projects supported during the fiscal year 2023. The VTO Analysis Program supports mission-critical technological, economic, and interdisciplinary analyses to assist in prioritizing VTO technology investments and to inform research portfolio planning. These efforts provide essential vehicle and market data, modeling and simulation, and integrated and applied analyses, using the unique capabilities, analytical tools, and expertise resident in the DOE’s national laboratory system. VTO Analysis projects also demonstrate additional capabilities and expertise provided by research partnerships that may include academia, the private sector, and non-profit organizations.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Building MCP-native hierarchical AI scientist ecosystems: a perspective on scaling multi-agent scientific discovery

Large language models (LLMs) are evolving from chatbots with limited tool-using capabilities to agentic AI systems that can perform deep research, assist in proposing hypotheses, help design experiments, automate data analysis, and draft scientific reports. However, there are currently two bottlenecks limiting LLMs' real-world impact on the broader scientific research community beyond academic demonstrations: lack of interoperability (repetitive manual tool-integration is required across scenarios) and the need for scalable coordination (unstructured communication and memory become brittle as the number of agents grows). In this Perspective, we argue that the next phase of agentic scientific discovery requires the development of an ecosystem of protocol-native agents and tools organized through hierarchies inspired by human society, beyond the current paradigm of a single monolithic “AI scientist”. We use Model Context Protocol (MCP) as a concrete example of an emerging interoperability layer for scientific tool and context exchange, and we propose three complementary pathways to increase the scaling capabilities of an MCP-native scientific ecosystem by addressing the composability issues: (1) MCP servers for high-value scientific tools maintained by domain experts, (2) automated transformation of existing code repositories into MCP services, and (3) autonomous invention and evolution of new agents and workflows. Finally, we provide a practical roadmap for scaling AI-driven scientific discovery by expanding tool supply and coordination in MCP-native scientific ecosystems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Strategic Planning for Energy-Resilient Communities

Distributed energy resources (DERs) offer flexibility and community benefits in both blue- and black-sky conditions. Outside of a power disruption, they can provide significant cost savings and reduce grid stress during times of high demand. During a disruption to the central grid, these technologies can meet critical energy needs through the use of battery storage. However, communities must consider many planning and design dimensions and tradeoffs to integrate energy systems that meet financial and resilience goals. This presentation, given at the 2026 State Energy Conference of North Carolina, defines resilience in an energy context, discusses strategies and best practices for planning resilient energy systems and sites, including resilience hubs and microgrids, highlights NLR tools and capabilities for helping communities in this space, and features successful case studies in North Carolina related to energy resilience.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Application of an Empirical Density Law via Python for Aqueous Plutonium Chloride Systems for MCNP6

Criticality safety models for aqueous plutonium chloride systems often contain a significant bias due to assumptions in material compositions. These systems are currently modeled as a fictitious metal-water mixture because little is known about the true solution density. Furthermore, no predictive density tools or capabilities for modeling aqueous plutonium chloride systems are approved for use at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Recent density measurements of this ternary system (PuCl 3 -HCl-H 2 O) have allowed for the development of a more realistic density law, which is applied in this work via an empirical method based in Python. This tool, entitled PuCS (Plutonium Chloride Solution tool) may be used to determine solution density and composition based on the plutonium content, acid content, and temperature for MCNP6 inputs. PuCS has been found to predict density within 2% of experimental data. In conclusion, MCNP6 calculations have found that crediting minimal amounts of free acid (0.5 M) may correspond to a ~12% decrease in peak reactivity in comparison to current modeling methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Automated and Accelerated Continuum Model Development for Electrochemical Systems (Abbreviated Report)

Despite the availability of computational resources and advancements in numerical computing capabilities, the multiscale models core to understanding, predicting the behaviors of, and designing energy and environmental systems involving porous media are still 1.) developed through by-hand derivations and 2.) limited by many methodological assumptions employed during model derivation. As a result, the advancement of effective media models for engineering DOE mission-critical systems (e.g., batteries, flow batteries, electrolyzers, geothermal systems, subsurface chemical storage systems, etc.) is slow (i.e., it takes years for models to traverse from stages of “development” to “practical utilization”), hindering our ability to effectively optimize such systems and stay at the cutting-edge of the energy frontier. In this work, we aimed to address these limitations by 1.) automating and accelerating multiscale model derivation via symbolic computing and 2.) develop a novel multiscale modeling methodology for flow and transport through porous media that avoids the typical assumptions hindering previous models. As a result of our efforts, we 1.) developed a hybrid symbolic-numeric code called Fouriera for fully-automating the implementation of multiphysical and phase-field models via the Fourier spectral method for materials science research, and 2.) advanced a multiscale modeling methodology called The Method of Finite Averages that rigorously predicts the behaviors of flow and transport through heterogeneous porous media under the influence of non-local effects and strong advection. Ultimately, these deliverables provide strong foundations from which further efforts can advance multiscale modeling tools and capabilities that do not intrinsically rely on 1.) the speed and mathematical capabilities of humans, nor 2.) the methodological assumptions limiting current models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A machine learning based approach to online electron reconstruction at CLAS12

Online reconstruction is key for monitoring purposes and real time analysis in High Energy and Nuclear Physics experiments. A necessary component of reconstruction algorithms is particle identification that combines information left by a particle passing through several detector components to identify the particle’s type. Of particular interest to electro-production Nuclear Physics experiments such as CLAS12 is electron identification which is used to trigger data recording. A machine learning approach was developed for CLAS12 to reconstruct and identify electrons by combining raw signals at the data acquisition level from several detector components. Here, this approach achieves an electron identification purity above 75% whilst retaining an efficiency close to 100%. The machine learning tools are capable of running at high rates exceeding the data acquisition rates and will allow electron reconstruction in real-time. This work enhances online analyses and monitoring and can contribute to improved triggering at CLAS12. This machine learning driven approach will also be crucial for experiments aiming to transition to streaming readout operations where online reconstruction will be a key component of the data taking paradigm.

Artificial intelligence↗

Radio Frequency Field Programable Gate Array Implementation of Reflectometry Cable Monitoring

PNNL has developed an innovative cable testing system that leverages the Xilinx RF System-on-Chip (RFSoC) technology to create a more flexible and capable measurement tool than traditional approaches. The architecture is designed on the ZCU111 development board and takes advantage of the high-speed digital to analog converters (DAC) and analog to digital converters (ADC) to generate and capture digitally synthesized waveforms. The platform allows engineers to easily adjust power, frequency, duration and modulation on the fly rather than being locked into fixed hardware configurations

Tedeschi, Jonathan [Pacific Northwest National Lab↗

The Lithuania 100% Renewable Energy Study - Interim Results: Electricity System Scenarios for 2030 [Slides]

Lithuania's Energy Vision aims to achieve self-sufficiency in electricity generation by 2035 and transition to 100% renewable energy as soon as possible while maintaining affordability, reliability, and energy security. The Lithuania Energy Agency (LEA) is partnering with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to conduct the Lithuania 100% Renewable Energy Study (Lithuania 100) to provide evidence-based analysis for development of Lithuania's National Energy Independence Strategy. The Lithuania 100 Study leverages unique tools and capabilities of NREL to provide rigorous technical analysis of clean energy policies to achieve 100% renewable energy, and assess impacts on electricity grid operations, hydrogen system development, electricity distribution networks, air quality, and human health outcomes. The study is supported by a stakeholder committee chaired by the Ministry of Energy of Lithuania and implemented by four technical working groups. This report provides highlights of key interim results from modeling of Lithuania's near-term electricity grid through the year 2030. Results show that Lithuania has sufficient renewable energy potential, flexible generation capacity, and interconnection with neighboring European Union countries to reliably meet projected 2030 electricity demand with 100% renewable energy. A range of scenarios were modeled, each of which achieves at least 100% renewable energy in electricity, on average over the year, by 2030. Potential demands for hydrogen across industrial and transportation sectors were also evaluated, as well as the cost of hydrogen produced in Lithuania by 2030.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Advancing 1D thermo-hydraulic tools for large cryogenic facilities

The Cryogenic Division at Fermilab develops large-scale cryogenic systems for particle accelerators and superconducting test facilities. To support design and diagnostics, a Python-based code was created to calculate pressure drops in components such as valves and pipes. This paper presents recent enhancements to the code, including new heat transfer functions that improve the accuracy of thermal and hydraulic predictions. The first application models pressure and temperature changes in PIP-II relief pipes, aiding pipe sizing and protecting relief valves. The second example analyzes heat load evolution in a pipe carrying sub-atmospheric helium, helping interpret temperature sensor data and understand gas return behavior to cold compressors. These improvements significantly expand the tool’s capabilities, offering a practical resource for designing and troubleshooting cryogenic systems under dynamic thermal and flow conditions.

Beckwith, Rosalyn [Fermilab]↗

Community Requirements Meta-Analysis: Characterizing Needs and Opportunities for HPDF

This High Performance Data Facility (HPDF) Project is creating a new scientific user facility to provide advanced infrastructure for data-intensive science, supporting the DOE’s Office of Science (SC) community. HPDF’s mission is to enable and accelerate scientific discovery by delivering state-of-the-art data management infrastructure, capabilities, and tools. This meta-analysis examines the needs of the breadth of the SC community, captured in publicly available community reports or mission documents. The meta-analysis identifies and provides initial characterization of fifteen core requirements for the HPDF Project team to consider during the conceptual design phase. The fifteen requirements illustrate how scientific work among SC communities requires modern, seamless user experiences across the ASCR Ecosystem to advance the use of large volumes of heterogeneous data. The scientific community requires support for the missing middle of compute between local and HPC to interactively and collaboratively use growing datasets. Data producers and end users will benefit from enhanced data catalogs and portals that improve data access through advanced search of well curated data. The fifteen requirements are examined here organized across five themes for discussion. Examples in each theme illustrate the array of scientific needs that convey the important role that the fully realized and operational High Performance Data Facility will be able to play as an integral part of the evolving ASCR Ecosystem. Our amalgamated data tables from ESnet reports demonstrate ranges to the volumes of data HPDF must be concerned with, but limitations are inherent to this meta-analysis (see Key Challenges & Limitations). Feedback and validation of these requirements along with additional details and emergent community requirements will be gathered through user research and design activities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Advanced Load Forecasting

This presentation presents information about electric utility load forecasting in the U.S. It provides an overview of load forecasting and describes the current state of the industry. Current load forecasting challenges, opportunities, and interests are presented, including feedback from a 2024 workshop on Integrated Distribution System Planning. The presentation also describes a variety of NREL tools and capabilities that support utility load forecasting efforts. This was presented as part of NREL's Utility Planning Resources for Energy Transition Webinar Series.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A method for modeling battery-temperature-aware EV power profiles utilizing Next-Gen Profile data

With the expected increase in the number of electric vehicles (EVs) on the road in the coming years, it is important that analysis tools are capable of modeling and predicting the expected load on the power grid due to both individual EV charging sessions as well as large populations of vehicles. To do this accurately, the power profile of an EV charge session must be accurately modeled, including for scenarios where the temperature is above or below the ideal, and also take into account the nuances of manufacturer charging preferences. This paper introduces a method that utilizes the data in the Next-Gen Profile (NGP) data collection project to build a model of EV charging that takes into account the variations in charging power that occur due to off-nominal battery temperature and manufacturer preferences that limit power due to cold temperatures or high battery state-of-charge.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Transforming Buildings Around the World

Buildings are where we live, work, go to school, gather as a community, and so much more. Globally, buildings are responsible for 30% of energy consumption and 26% of energy-related emissions. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is committed to adapting tools and capabilities to support emerging economies and improve the energy efficiency and flexibility of their buildings.

building technology innovation↗

State, Local, and Tribal Program

NLR's State, Local, and Tribal Program delivers customized, data-driven support that strengthens local energy systems - expanding access to America's abundant energy resources, reducing costs, and supporting energy reliability across the country. NLR's world-class staff use a wide variety of cutting-edge energy tools and capabilities to deliver robust modeling, validation, and deployment support to hundreds of communities annually.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Advancing 1D thermo-hydraulic tools for large cryogenic facilities

The Cryogenic Division at Fermilab develops large-scale cryogenic systems for particle accelerators and superconducting magnet test facilities. To support design and diagnostics, a Python-based code was created to calculate pressure drops in components such as valves and pipes. This paper presents recent enhancements to the code, including new heat transfer functions that improve the accuracy of thermal and hydraulic predictions. The first application models pressure and temperature changes in Proton Improvement Plant PIP-II relief pipes, aiding pipe sizing and protecting relief valves. The second example analyses heat load evolution in a pipe carrying sub-atmospheric helium, helping interpret temperature sensor data and understand gas return behavior to cold compressors. These improvements significantly expand the tool's capabilities, offering a practical resource for designing and troubleshooting cryogenic systems under dynamic thermal and flow conditions.

Beckwith, R. [Fermilab]↗

LLNL Presentation TMAP8

Presentation to send to a working group of IFE researchers about MOOSE tools and capabilities

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DRE: Designing for Resilience through Emulation

Threats to cyber- and cyber-physical systems have continued to increase over the past decade. Now more than ever, it is vital that cyber-physical system stakeholders have the tools to deeply understand their systems and the threats they face. High-fidelity modeling capabilities are powerful tools to support system understanding and decision-making, but they currently lack scientifically rigorous experimentation practices and infrastructures. The purpose of the project Designing for Resilience through Emulation (DRE) was to bring together past research and existing tools into a new pipeline to improve our ability to quantitatively evaluate future cyber scenarios. DRE offers new integrated capabilities for large dataset collection, noise studies, sensitivity analysis, uncertainty quantification, and surrogate modeling using a cyber-physical system emulation environment. These new capabilities significantly improve our ability to establish the credibility of the answers derived from emulation environments, ultimately leading to better critical decision support.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗