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DOE OSTI2024

Cluster-dynamics-based parameterization for sulfuric acid–dimethylamine nucleation: comparison and selection through box and three-dimensional modeling

Clustering of gaseous sulfuric acid (SA) enhanced by dimethylamine (DMA) is a major mechanism for new particle formation (NPF) in polluted atmospheres. However, uncertainty remains regarding the SA–DMA nucleation parameterization that reasonably represents cluster dynamics and is applicable across various atmospheric conditions. This uncertainty hinders accurate three-dimensional (3-D) modeling of NPF and the subsequent assessment of its environmental and climatic impacts. Here we extensively compare different cluster-dynamics-based parameterizations for SA–DMA nucleation and identify the most reliable one through a combination of box model simulations, 3-D modeling, and in situ observations. Results show that the parameterization derived from Atmospheric Cluster Dynamic Code (ACDC) simulations, incorporating the latest theoretical insights (DLPNO-CCSD(T)/aug-cc-pVTZ//ωB97X-D/6-311++G(3df,3pd) level of theory) and adequate representation of cluster dynamics, exhibits dependable performance in 3-D NPF simulation for both winter and summer conditions in Beijing and shows promise for application in diverse atmospheric conditions. Another ACDC-derived parameterization, replacing the level of theory with RI-CC2/aug-cc-pV(T+d)Z//M06-2X/6–311++G(3df,3pd), also performs well in NPF modeling at relatively low temperatures around 280 K but exhibits limitations at higher temperatures due to inappropriate representation of SA–DMA cluster thermodynamics. Additionally, a previously reported parameterization incorporating simplifications is applicable for simulating NPF in polluted atmospheres but tends to overestimate particle formation rates under conditions of elevated temperature (>∼300 K) and low-condensation sink (<∼3×10 -3 s −1 ). Our findings highlight the applicability of the new ACDC-derived parameterization, which couples the latest SA–DMA nucleation theory and holistic cluster dynamics, in 3-D NPF modeling. The ACDC-derived parameterization framework provides a valuable reference for developing parameterizations for other nucleation systems.

Shen, Jiewen↗

DOE OSTI2020

Low Energy Implantation into Transition-Metal Dichalcogenide Monolayers to Form Janus Structures

Atomically-thin two-dimensional (2D) materials face significant energy barriers for synthesis and processing into functional metastable phases such as Janus structures. Here, in this study, the controllable implantation of hyperthermal species from pulsed laser deposition (PLD) plasmas is introduced as a top-down method to compositionally engineer 2D monolayers. The kinetic energies of Se clusters impinging on suspended monolayer WS 2 crystals were controlled in the <10 eV/atom range with in situ plasma diagnostics to determine the thresholds for selective top layer replacement of sulfur by selenium for the formation of high quality WSSe Janus monolayers at low (300 °C) temperatures, and bottom layer replacement for complete conversion to WSe 2 . Atomic-resolution electron microscopy and spectroscopy in tilted geometry confirm the WSSe Janus monolayer. Molecular dynamics simulations reveal that Se clusters implant to form disordered metastable alloy regions, which then recrystallize to form highly ordered structures, opening the door for low-energy implantation by PLD as a novel method to explore the synthesis of 2D Janus layers and alloys of variable composition.

2D materials↗

DOE OSTI2024

Interpreting the spatial distribution of soil properties with a physically-based distributed hydrological model

Digital soil maps are commonly data-driven as the development of physically-based models for soil mapping is difficult due to the complexity of soils. However, physically-based hydrologic models have been successful in simulating water dynamics. Since water movement is a major driver of pedogenesis, the physical rules that govern water movement might help explain and predict the spatial variation of soil properties. Here, we demonstrate the novel use of a physically-based, distributed hydrologic model to inform the spatial distribution of soil properties. The Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) was utilized to simulate soil moisture content (SM) and water table depth (WTD) in two hillslope catchments under pasture and forest management wherein hydrologic model outputs were then compared with soil properties measured in situ. SM sensors and wells were installed in both catchments to validate simulations of soil water movement via Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (E). In-situ observations were made at 87 sites within both catchments to study the connection between simulated water movement (SM and WTD) and observed soil properties, namely the depth and thickness of the argillic (Bt), fragic (Btx), and C horizons, and the depth of redoximorphic features. The simulated time series of SM and WTD were also clustered per season using Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), which identified similarity among time series at varying timescales. Model validation suggested that simulations of surficial SM (0–20 cm) were reasonable (E = 0.45), however, simulated subsurface SM (45–60 cm) and WTD were not sufficiently accurate. The thickness of Btx horizons were spatially grouped into different populations by SM clusters from every season except spring. For the other properties, only SM dynamics of specific seasons grouped into significantly different populations, suggesting that the explanatory power of simulated water movement varies seasonally and was greater during winter. Here, we show clusters of simulated SM separated soil properties into statistically different populations, showing that hydrologic models could inform areas that followed different water dynamics related to pedogenic trajectories and related biogeochemical processes not necessarily simulated by the model. As such, physically-based modeling of water dynamics can, therefore, inform and advance digital soil mapping by linking water movement patterns stemming from hydrologic model outputs to spatial patterns of soil properties and pedogenesis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

The importance of accounting for the Tolman correction to surface tension for nucleation and growth modeling of Fe clusters

Gibbs free energies of clusters are required for predictive modeling of cluster growth during condensation of a cooling vapor. Here, we present a straightforward method of calculating free energies of cluster formation using the data from molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. We apply this method to iron clusters having from 2 to 100 atoms. The energies obtained are verified by comparing to an MD-simulated equilibrium cluster size distribution in a sub-saturated vapor. We show that these free energies differ significantly from those obtained with a commonly used spherical cluster approximation, which relies on a surface tension coefficient of a flat surface, as it is used in the classical nucleation theory (CNT). We show that the spherical cluster approximation in CNT can be improved by using a cluster-size-dependent Tolman correction for the surface tension. The Tolman length and effective surface tension values were derived for iron clusters, and they significantly differ from the commonly used experimentally measured values. This improved approximation does not account for geometric magic number effects responsible for spikes and troughs in densities of neighbor cluster sizes. Nonetheless, it allows to more accurately model cluster formation from a cooling vapor. It better reproduces the condensation timeline, overall shape of the cluster size distribution, average cluster size, and the distribution width. In contrast, using a constant surface tension coefficient (as done in CNT) resulted in incorrect condensation dynamics and cluster size distributions. The analytical expression for cluster nucleation rate from CNT was updated to account for the size-dependence of cluster surface tension.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Effect of free surfaces on localized plastic deformation in single-crystal nickel containing helium bubbles and radiation-induced self-interstitial atom clusters

This paper presents molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of plastic deformation in single-crystal Ni models containing internal distributions of helium (He) bubbles and self-interstitial atom (SIA) clusters corresponding to experimental characterization of ex-service Inconel X-750 components. Here, we simulate single crystals with and without free surfaces at room temperature and 588K, the latter temperature corresponding to the Inconel X-750 service conditions. Both models are deformed under multiple slip to a maximum deviatoric strain of ~10 %. A dislocation slip band forms in the model without free surfaces, but not in the model with free surfaces. However, the latter exhibits nano-twin nucleation from surfaces. Helium (He) bubbles that overlap with a slip band or a nano-twinned region deform more severely than other bubbles in the model. Nevertheless, the bubbles do not link up and do not form configurations that resemble incipient cracks.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Topological phase transition without single particle gap closing in strongly correlated systems

Here, in this study, we show two models where changing topology does not necessarily close the bulk insulating charge gap as demanded in the standard noninteracting picture. From extensive determinantal and dynamical cluster quantum Monte Carlo simulations of the half-filled and quarter-filled Kane-Mele-Hubbard model, we show that, for sufficiently strong interactions at either half- or quarter-filling, a transition between topological and trivial insulators occurs without the closing of a charge gap. To shed light on this behavior, we illustrate that an exactly solvable model reveals that while the single-particle gap remains, the many-body gap does, in fact, close. These two gaps are the same in the noninteracting system but depart from each other as the interaction turns on. We purport that for interacting systems, the proper probe of topological phase transitions is the closing of the many-body rather than the single-particle gap.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2022

Implementation and testing of physics-based pulverization model in BISON

This report summarizes lower length scale computational research conducted to improve the pulverization criterion for high-burnup UO 2 fuel in the BISON fuel performance code. This research was sponsored by the NEAMS program during FY22. Efforts to improve the model primarily focus on calculating the current pressure of bubbles in the high-burnup structure (HBS) region, as well as the critical bubble pressure at which pulverization occurs in the HBS. The phase-field model for predicting initial bubble pressure in the HBS was improved by implementing a more realistic model for defect production, and by coupling the phase-field model for inter-granular bubble evolution with the spatially-resolved cluster dynamics code Xolotl to simulate intra-granular fission gas evolution. An evolution equation for current bubble pressure was added to BISON, an improvement over the previous model that assumed that bubble pressure was static following HBS formation. To improve calculations of critical bubble pressure for pulverization, 3-D phase-field fracture simulations were performed, and a function for critical bubble pressure was fit—based on the simulation results—to replace the previous function, which had been determined using 2-D simulations. The impacts of these modifications to the existing pulverization assessment cases will be reported in the forthcoming engineering scale milestone on high-burnup UO 2 pulverization. A poromechanics-based approach was used to include the effect of bubble over pressurization on the stress state of the pellet at the engineering scale, and the initial strategy for integration of the pulverization criterion with pellet-scale mechanical degradation using a smeared cracking model was developed. This report also describes the initial research that was conducted to inform a forthcoming transient fission gas release (tFGR) model in BISON. Focusing on the fission gas release caused by pulverization of the outer pellet rim, a model for the amount of fission gas release was developed as a function of fuel porosity, bubble size, and fragment size. Implementation of this model in BISON and its impact of engineering-scale predictions will also be described in the aforementioned engineering-scale milestone on high-burnup UO 2 pulverization.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Taming the Pseudoelastic Response of Nitinol Using Ion Implantation

Implantation of Ni 50.5 Ti 49.5 wire with 30 MeV Ni 6+ ions at doses (< 0.1 DPA) typically smaller than employed in the literature is shown to systematically alter the pseudoelastic response, with extrema in Berkovich nanoindentation load (+50%), hysteresis (–60%), and recoverable displacement (–19%) occurring at ~ 3.6 μm below the implantation surface. These extraordinary values are attributed to ~ 10 to 20 nm amorphous clusters that constrain the stress-induced B2-B19' phase transformation. This is substantiated by phase field simulations of crystalline-amorphous composites and molecular dynamics simulations of crystalline-vacancy cluster composites showing the spatial refinement of martensite caused by nm-scale defects. Finally, the results suggest that ion implantation may potentially expand the processing and performance space for NiTi, by creating amorphous defects at smaller length scales than dislocation substructures produced by conventional deformation processing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-entropy electrolytes for practical lithium metal batteries

Electrolyte engineering is crucial for improving battery performance, particularly for lithium metal batteries. Recent advances in electrolytes have greatly improved cyclability by enhancing electrochemical stability at the electrode interfaces, but concurrently achieving high ionic conductivity has remained challenging. Here we report an electrolyte design strategy for enhanced lithium metal batteries by increasing the molecular diversity in electrolytes, which essentially leads to high entropy electrolytes (HEEs). We find that in weakly solvating electrolytes, the entropy effect reduces ion clustering while preserving the characteristic anion-rich solvation structures, which is characterized by synchrotron-based X-ray scattering and molecular dynamics simulations. Electrolytes with smaller- sized clusters exhibit a 2-fold improvement in ionic conductivity compared to conventional weakly- solvating electrolytes, enabling stable cycling at high current densities up to 2C (6.2 mA cm -2 ) in anode- free LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 (NMC622)||Cu pouch cells. In conclusion, the efficacy of the design strategy is verified by performance improvements in three disparate weakly solvating electrolyte systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

X-ray morphology of cluster-mass haloes in self-interacting dark matter

ABSTRACT We perform cosmological zoom-in simulations of 19 relaxed cluster-mass haloes with the inclusion of adiabatic gas in the cold dark matter (CDM) and self-interacting dark matter (SIDM) models. These clusters are selected as dynamically relaxed clusters from a parent simulation with $M_{\rm 200} \simeq (1\!-\!3)\times 10^{15}{\, \rm M_\odot }$. Both the dark matter and the intracluster gas distributions in SIDM appear more spherical than their CDM counterparts. Mock X-ray images are generated based on the simulations and are compared to the real X-ray images of 84 relaxed clusters selected from the Chandra and ROSAT archives. We perform ellipse fitting for the isophotes of mock and real X-ray images and obtain the ellipticities at cluster-centric radii of $r\simeq 0.1\!-\!0.2R_{\rm 200}$. The X-ray isophotes in SIDM models with increasing cross-sections are rounder than their CDM counterparts, which manifests as a systematic shift in the distribution function of ellipticities. Unexpectedly, the X-ray morphology of the observed non-cool-core clusters agrees better with SIDM models with cross-section $(\sigma /m)= 0.5\!-\!1\, {\rm cm}^2\, {\rm g}^{-1}$ than CDM and SIDM with $(\sigma /m)=0.1\, {\rm cm}^2\, {\rm g}^{-1}$. Our statistical analysis indicates that the latter two models are disfavoured at the $68{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ confidence level (as conservative estimates). This conclusion is not altered by shifting the radial range of measurements or applying a temperature selection criterion. However, the primary uncertainty originates from the lack of baryonic physics in the adiabatic model, such as cooling, star formation and feedback effects, which still have the potential to reconcile CDM simulations with observations.

Shen, Xuejian (ORCID:000000026196823X)↗

NASA NTRS2022

X-Ray Morphology of Cluster-Mass Haloes in Self-Interacting Dark Matter

We perform cosmological zoom-in simulations of 19 relaxed cluster-mass haloes with the inclusion of adiabatic gas in the cold dark matter (CDM) and self-interacting dark matter (SIDM) models. These clusters are selected as dynamically relaxed clusters from a parent simulation with M200(1-3) × 10 15 M. Both the dark matter and the intracluster gas distributions in SIDM appear more spherical than their CDM counterparts. Mock X-ray images are generated based on the simulations and are compared to the real X-ray images of 84 relaxed clusters selected from the Chandra and ROSAT archives. We perform ellipse fitting for the isophotes of mock and real X-ray images and obtain the ellipticities at cluster-centric radii of r0.1–0.2R 200 .The X-ray isophotes in SIDM models with increasing cross-sections are rounder than their CDM counterparts, which manifests as asystematic shift in the distribution function of ellipticities. Unexpectedly, the X-ray morphology of the observed non-cool-coreclusters agrees better with SIDM model swith cross-section (σ/m)=0.5–1cm2g−1 than CDM and SIDM with (σ/m)=0.1cm2g−1. Our statistical analysis indicates that the latter two models are disfavoured at the 68 percent confidence level (as conservative estimates). This conclusion is not altered by shifting the radial range of measurements or applying a temperature selection criterion. However, the primary uncertainty originates from the lack of baryonic physics in the adiabatic model, such as cooling, star formation and feedback effects, which still have the potential to reconcile CDM simulations with observations.

dark matter – cosmology↗

DOE OSTI2021

Effects of Ionic Group Distribution on the Structure and Dynamics of Amorphous Polymer Melts

Ionizable groups tethered to a polymer backbone often associate to form ionic clusters, whose features are determined by the balance of the polymer backbone and electrostatics. These assemblies impact the dynamics of the macromolecules and their ability to transport ions. Here, using fully atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, we investigate the effects of the distribution of ionizable groups along the polymer backbone on cluster characteristics and the resulting impacts on the structure and dynamics of amorphous polymers. Particularly, we probe polystyrene sulfonates (PSS) with random, precise, and block configurations of the SO 3 – sulfonate groups along the backbone with Na + as the counterion. We find that the distribution of the ionic groups affects the shape and distribution of the clusters as well as the internal packing of the ionizable groups in the cluster and the number of unique chains that participate in each cluster, affecting the structure and the dynamics of the polymers. Furthermore, the signature of ionic clusters, observed in the static structure factor S(q) for all three distributions, is significantly more pronounced for the precise and blocky polymers compared to the random one. Remarkably, we find that the local mobility of the polymer segments is not only affected by the number and size of the clusters but also by the number of polymer chains associated with clusters.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Revealing Au13 as Elementary Clusters During the Early Formation of Au Nanocrystals

Understanding the formation mechanism of nanocrystals in solution is very fundamental to the development of materials science. For a metal nanocrystal, the cluster mediated formation mechanism is still poorly understood. Particularly, identifying what types of clusters are dominant and how they evolve into a nanocrystal in the early nucleation stage remains a great challenge. Here, using liquid-cell transmission electron microscopy, we directly observe the formation of ultra-small Au clusters (~0.84 nm) in the presence of PAA-Na. These clusters, which correspond to the size of Au13 cluster, coalesce to form nanocrystals. Our molecular dynamics simulations suggest Au13 in an aqueous environment have higher stability when compared to other cluster sizes and provide atomistic details of growth by cluster coalescence. Collectively, our demonstration of Au13 as the dominant species with elaboration of their coalescence kinetics sheds light on nonclassical nanocrystal formation mechanisms and offers useful guidelines for designing innovative pathways for synthesis of nanomaterials.

Au13 clusters, cluster coalescence, liquid-cell TE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comparing XRISM Cluster Velocity Dispersions with Predictions from Cosmological Simulations: Are Feedback Models Too Ejective?

The dynamics of the intracluster medium (ICM), the hot plasma that fills galaxy clusters, are shaped by gravity-driven cluster mergers and feedback from supermassive black holes (SMBHs) in the cluster cores. XRISM measurements of ICM velocities in several clusters offer insights into these processes. We compare XRISM measurements for nine galaxy clusters (Virgo, Perseus, Centaurus, Hydra-A, PKS 0745–19, A2029, Coma, A2319, and Ophiuchus) with predictions from three state-of-the-art cosmological simulation suites, TNG-Cluster, the Three Hundred Project GADGET-X, and GIZMO-SIMBA, that employ different models of feedback. In cool cores, XRISM reveals systematically lower velocity dispersions than the simulations predict, with all 10 measurements below the median simulated values by a factor of 1.5–1.7 on average and all falling within the bottom 10% of the predicted distributions. The observed kinetic-to-total pressure ratio is also lower, with a median value of 2.2%, compared to the predicted 5.0%–6.5% for the three simulations. Outside the cool cores and in non-cool-core (NCC) clusters, simulations show better agreement with XRISM measurements, except for the outskirts of the relaxed, cool-core cluster A2029, which exhibits an exceptionally low kinetic pressure support (<1%), with none of the simulated systems in either of the three suites reaching such low levels. The NCC Coma and A2319 exhibit dispersions at the lower end but within the simulated spread. Our comparison suggests that the three numerical models may overestimate the kinetic effects of SMBH feedback in cluster cores. Additional XRISM observations of NCC clusters will clarify if there is a systematic tension in the gravity-dominated regime as well.

galaxy clusters↗

DOE OSTI2025

Interpreting experimental measurements of helium bubbles using stochastic cluster dynamics models of heterogeneous nucleation and growth in irradiated ferritic alloys

Among a number of other advantageous features, ferritic/martensitic steels are being considered as fusion reactor structural materials due to their low intrinsic swelling under irradiation. However, under high-energy neutron irradiation, He produced through (n, α) reactions stabilizes vacancy clusters, which then act as seeds for bubble formation and growth, negating the intrinsic swelling resistance of these alloys. Standard models of irradiation damage accumulation and microstructural evolution consider homogeneous nucleation as the basis for bubble formation and growth. However, this generally does not explain the large bubble densities and sizes observed experimentally under a number of different conditions. Here, we propose a more realistic physical model of bubble nucleation, formation, and growth designed to capture recent experimental measurements of He-bubble formation and evolution during co-implantation of He and Fe ions in model ferritic alloys. We find that experimental results are explained only when the following three features are considered simultaneously: (i) heterogeneous nucleation of He-vacancy bubbles at defect sinks (e.g., dislocations, grain boundaries, and second-phase precipitates), (ii) nucleation and growth of bubbles via the ‘trap mutation’ mechanism (i.e., spontaneous production of Frenkel pairs due to absorption of He atoms), and (iii) transition from a growth-limited, He-stabilized bubble regime to a ‘runaway’ void-type growth scenario. The model is implemented into a stochastic cluster dynamics framework that takes advantage of cluster size grouping methods to accelerate the simulations, allowing us to reach 10 dpa of simulated irradiated dose, and to capture cluster sizes in excess of 20 nm. Further, a careful extrapolation exercise conducted assuming classical nucleation theory leads to excellent agreement with the experimental measurements at 50 dpa of irradiation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1997

The Universe at Moderate Redshift

The report covers the work done in the past year and a wide range of fields including properties of clusters of galaxies; topological properties of galaxy distributions in terms of galaxy types; patterns of gravitational nonlinear clustering process; development of a ray tracing algorithm to study the gravitational lensing phenomenon by galaxies, clusters and large-scale structure, one of whose applications being the effects of weak gravitational lensing by large-scale structure on the determination of q(0); the origin of magnetic fields on the galactic and cluster scales; the topological properties of Ly(alpha) clouds the Ly(alpha) optical depth distribution; clustering properties of Ly(alpha) clouds; and a determination (lower bound) of Omega(b) based on the observed Ly(alpha) forest flux distribution. In the coming year, we plan to continue the investigation of Ly(alpha) clouds using larger dynamic range (about a factor of two) and better simulations (with more input physics included) than what we have now. We will study the properties of galaxies on 1 - 100h(sup -1) Mpc scales using our state-of-the-art large scale galaxy formation simulations of various cosmological models, which will have a resolution about a factor of 5 (in each dimension) better than our current, best simulations. We will plan to study the properties of X-ray clusters using unprecedented, very high dynamic range (20,000) simulations which will enable us to resolve the cores of clusters while keeping the simulation volume sufficiently large to ensure a statistically fair sample of the objects of interest. The details of the last year's works are now described.

Cen, Renyue↗

DOE OSTI2021

Sulfur-doped graphene anchoring of ultrafine Au 25 nanoclusters for electrocatalysis

The biggest challenge of exploring the catalytic properties of under-coordinated nanoclusters is the issue of stability. We demonstrate herein that chemical dopants on sulfur-doped graphene (S-G) can be utilized to stabilize ultrafine (sub-2 nm) Au 25 (PET)18 clusters to enable stable nitrogen reduction reaction (NRR) without significant structural degradation. The Au 25 @S-G exhibits an ammonia yield rate of 27.5μgNH 3 ∙ mg Au -1 ∙ h -1 at -0.5 V with faradic efficiency of 2.3%. More importantly, the anchored clusters preserve ~ 80% NRR activity after four days of continuous operation, a significant improvement over the 15% remaining ammonia production rate for clusters loaded on undoped graphene tested under the same conditions. Isotope labeling experiments confirmed the ammonia was a direct reaction product of N 2 feeding gas instead of other chemical contaminations. Ex-situ X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy and X-ray absorption near-edge spectroscopy of post-reaction catalysts reveal that the sulfur dopant plays a critical role in stabilizing the chemical state and coordination environment of Au atoms in clusters. Further ReaxFF molecular dynamics (RMD) simulation confirmed the strong interaction between Au nanoclusters (NCs) and S-G. Furthermore, this substrate-anchoring process could serve as an effective strategy to study ultrafine nanoclusters’ electrocatalytic behavior while minimizing the destruction of the under-coordinated surface motif under harsh electrochemical reaction conditions.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian prior construction for uncertainty quantification in first-principles statistical mechanics

First-principles statistical mechanics enables the prediction of thermodynamic and kinetic properties of materials, but is computationally expensive. Many approaches require surrogate models to calculate energies within Monte Carlo or molecular dynamics simulations. Inexpensive surrogates such as cluster expansions enable otherwise intractable calculations by interpolating data from higher accuracy methods, such as Density Functional Theory (DFT). Surrogate models introduce uncertainty into downstream calculations, in addition to any uncertainty inherent to DFT calculations. Bayesian frameworks address this by quantifying uncertainty and incorporating expert knowledge through priors. However, constructing effective priors remains challenging. This work introduces and describes practical strategies for building Bayesian cluster expansions, focusing on basis truncation, hyperparameter selection, and ground state replication. We analyze multiple basis truncation schemes, compare cross-validation to the evidence-approximation for hyperparameter optimization, and provide methods to find and enforce ground-state-preserving models through priors. Additionally, we compare the uncertainties between different approximations to DFT (LDA, PBE, SCAN) against the uncertainty introduced with the use of cluster expansion surrogate models. These approaches are demonstrated on the BCC Li x Mg 1-x and Li x Al 1-x alloys, which are both of interest for solid-state Li batteries. Our results provide guidelines for constructing and utilizing Bayesian cluster expansions, thereby improving the transparency of materials modeling. Furthermore, the approaches and insights developed in this work can be transferred to a wide range of cluster expansion surrogate models, including the atomic cluster expansion and related machine-learned interatomic potential architectures.

Alloy theory↗