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Stability and Control of Burning Tokamak Plasmas with Resistive Walls (Final Report)

Work supported by the grant, "Stability and Control of Burning Tokamak Plasmas with Resistive Walls" in the period Aug 2017 to 2023 can be cast in three general categories: (1) linear tearing regimes and the effects on the response to error fields and resistive walls: (2) nonlinear tearing modes in the presence of error fields, with locking; and (3) energetic particle effects. In the first category, we have completed a study of tearing mode regimes with extended MHD effects, including parallel dynamics and toroidal effects, notably favorable average curvature. This work has been presented at the 2018 Sherwood Conference. This work has been published in the ArXiv and is being prepared for publication in Physics of Plasmas. A systematic study of shaping in a tokamak plasma with resistive tearing layers and a resistive wall has been presented in the PhD dissertation by Dov Rhodes, a student of Andrew Cole at Columbia University. John Finn was on Rhodes's PhD committee, and was a co-author of a paper published in Physics of Plasmas on that work. A detailed study of nonlinear tearing modes in the presence of finite beta, favorable average curvature, and an error field has been nearly completed. In this study it was found that the response to an error field with real frequency a tearing layer agreed with analytic results, and that tearing mode saturation by flattening of the current profile as well as destabilization due to flattening of the pressure profile were important factors in the locking process. This work was presented at the 2017 APS/DPP Conference and at the 2018 Sherwood Conference. The effects of energetic ions on tearing modes was presented at the 2017 APS/DPP Conference and in the PhD dissertation of Michael Halfmoon. John Finn served as a committee member on Halfmoon's PhD committee. Extensions to this work including two fluid effects were performed and presented at the APS/DPP Conference in 2017.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

ARC physics basis–magnetohydrodynamics

ARC is designed to produce 400 ⁢MW of net electricity and prove the commercial feasibility of a fusion power plant. In order to achieve this goal ARC has to operate with optimal core performance in a stationary scenario that minimises wear on the first wall and divertor. This requires avoiding or mitigating magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) instabilities which have the potential to not only degrade the plasma core but also lead to deleterious transient heat loads on plasma facing components. Therefore, this work aims at characterising the MHD stability of the high performance ARC scenario and inform the design of error field correction coils. Firstly, simulations of vertical displacement events show that an in-vessel coil is not needed and instead the poloidal shaping coils can be used to control vertical stability. These simulations also inform the demands on the corresponding coil power supplies. Stability analysis of the ideal kink mode with or without a conducting wall and kinetic effects suggests that the ARC baseline scenario operates deeply in the stable region. Using RDCON, tearing modes at the 𝑚/𝑛 =2/1 and 3/2 surfaces (with poloidal mode number 𝑚, and toroidal mode number 𝑛) are shown to be linearly stable, and including thermal transport effects in the rational surfaces lead to further stabilisation. However, other transient plasma instabilities can seed neoclassical tearing modes (NTMs). The marginally stable width of NTMs in ARC strongly depends on the internal inductance and can fall below 0.1% of the normalised poloidal flux. Furthermore, an empirical cross-machine model of the 𝑛 =1 error field leading to a disruption predicts a critical error field larger than SPARC but smaller than ITER. Three-dimensional coils can be designed with the Generalised Purturbed Equilbium Code based on a simple model that calculates the maximum correctable error field that is limited by the neoclassical toroidal viscosity torque. Broad scans of different coil geometries identify a set of 2 rows of off-midplane coils to be a suitable solution. It is also determined that such a set of three-dimensional coils is capable of correcting 𝑛 =2 error fields to some degree and creating strong enough 𝑛 =2 or 𝑛 =3 edge resonant perturbation fields for the suppression of edge-localised modes at reasonable coil currents. The final design of the first ARC will be further informed by results from SPARC.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Field quality of the 4.5 m-long MQXFA pre-series magnets for the HL-LHC Upgrade as observed during magnet assembly

We report that the U.S. High-Luminosity LHC Accelerator Upgrade Project (HL-LHC AUP) is developing MQXFA magnets, a series of 4.5 m long 150 mm aperture high-field Nb 3 Sn quadrupole magnets for the HL-LHC upgrade at CERN. Five pre-series magnets, MQXFA03 through MQXFA07, have been developed. During the magnet assembly stage, we perform magnetic measurements on the coil-pack sub-assembly and magnets after loading to track the field quality for two purposes. First, it serves as a quality assurance tool to check if the magnetic field quality is on track to meet the acceptance criteria. Magnetic measurements are used to understand if magnetic shims are needed to compensate low-order field errors and to meet the field quality targets. Second, the measurements during the assembly stage can also help understand the field quality, especially the geometric field errors, for Nb 3 Sn accelerator magnets. Here we summarize the measurement results of the pre-series MQXFA magnets, including the magnetic axis and twist angle. The results will provide useful feedback for the series production of Nb 3 Sn magnets and on the optimization of field quality of accelerator magnets based on the wind-and-react Nb 3 Sn technology.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A resistive MHD model and simulation on plasma flow evolution in the presence of resonant magnetic perturbation in a tokamak

Nonaxisymmetric magnetic fields such as the intrinsic error field and the externally applied resonant magnetic perturbation (RMP) in a tokamak are known to influence the plasma momentum transport and flow evolution through plasma response, which itself strongly depends on the plasma flow as well. The nonlinear interaction between plasma response and flow has been previously modeled in the conventional error field theory with the “no-slip” condition, which has been recently extended to allow the “free-slip” condition. In this work, we further target this specific process and numerically simulate the nonlinear plasma response and flow evolution in the presence of a single-helicity RMP in a circular-shaped model tokamak configuration, based on the full resistive MHD model in the initial-value code NIMROD. Time evolution of the parallel (to k) flow or “slip frequency” profile and its asymptotic steady state obtained from the NIMROD simulations are compared with both conventional and extended nonlinear response theories. Here, k is the wave vector of the propagating island. Good agreement with the extended theory with free-slip condition has been achieved for the parallel flow profile evolution in response to RMP in all resistive regimes, whereas the difference from the conventional theory with the no-slip condition tends to diminish as the plasma resistivity approaches zero.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Updated magnetized transport coefficients: impact on laser-plasmas with self-generated or applied magnetic fields

Errors in the Epperlein and Haines (1986 Phys. Fluids ) transport coefficients were recently found at low electron magnetizations, with new magnetic transport coefficients proposed simultaneously by two teams (Sadler et al 2021 Phys. Rev. Lett. and Davies et al 2021 Phys. Plasmas ); these two separate sets of updated coefficients are shown in this paper to be in agreement. Here, the importance of these new coefficients in laser-plasmas with either self-generated or applied magnetic fields is demonstrated. When an external magnetic field is applied, the cross-gradient-Nernst term twists the field structure; this twisting is reduced by the new coefficients in the low magnetization regime. For plasmas where only self-generated magnetic fields are present, the new coefficients are found to result in the magnetic field moving with the Righi–Leduc heat-flow, enhancing the impact of MHD. Simulations of Biermann battery magnetic fields around ICF hot-spot perturbations are presented, with cross-gradient-Nernst transport increasing spike penetration.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Probabilistic locked mode predictor in the presence of a resistive wall and finite island saturation in tokamaks

We present a framework for estimating the probability of locking to an error field in a rotating tokamak plasma. This leverages machine learning methods trained on data from a mode-locking model, including an error field, resistive magnetohydrodynamics modeling of the plasma, a resistive wall, and an external vacuum region, leading to a fifth-order ordinary differential equation (ODE) system. It is an extension of the model without a resistive wall introduced by Akçay et al. [Phys. Plasmas 28, 082106 (2021)]. Tearing mode saturation by a finite island width is also modeled. We vary three pairs of control parameters in our studies: the momentum source plus either the error field, the tearing stability index, or the island saturation term. The order parameters are the time-asymptotic values of the five ODE variables. Normalization of them reduces the system to 2D and facilitates the classification into locked (L) or unlocked (U) states, as illustrated by Akçay et al., [Phys. Plasmas 28, 082106 (2021)]. This classification splits the control space into three regions: L̂, with only L states; Û, with only U states; and a hysteresis (hysteretic) region Ĥ, with both L and U states. In regions L̂ and Û, the cubic equation of torque balance yields one real root. Region Ĥ has three roots, allowing bifurcations between the L and U states. The classification of the ODE solutions into L/U is used to estimate the locking probability, conditional on the pair of the control parameters, using a neural network. We also explore estimating the locking probability for a sparse dataset, using a transfer learning method based on a dense model dataset.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Reflectance-Based Imaging Spectrometer Error Budget Field Practicum at the Railroad Valley Test Site, Nevada

Calibration and validation determine the quality and integrity of the data provided by sensors and have enormous downstream impacts on the accuracy and reliabilityof the products generated by these sensors. With the imminent launch of the next generation of space borne imaging spectroscopy sensors, the IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society's (GRSS's) Geoscience Spaceborne Imaging Spectroscopy Technical Committee (GSIS TC) initiated a calibration and validation initiative.This article reports on a recent reflectance-based imaging spectrometer error budget field practicum focused on radiometric calibration of spaceborne imaging spectroscopy sensors. The field exercise, conducted at Railroad Valley in Nevada, provided valuable training for personnel in a variety of Earth observation (EO) areas, from engineers developing future sensors to calibration scientists actively working in the field. Future work in this area will focus on analyzing the data acquired as part of the training to answer numerous scientific questions, e.g., understanding the spatial and spectral homogeneity of the site being measured, identifying the optimal sampling to characterize the site, and optimizating the sampling techniques, including looking into the automation of some measurement protocol aspects. The training exercise was recorded to ensure that the knowledge can be disseminated across the GRSS and wider imaging spectroscopy community.

Ong, Cindy↗

Machine learning methods for probabilistic locked-mode predictors in tokamak plasmas

A rotating tokamak plasma can interact resonantly with the external helical magnetic perturbations, also known as error fields. This can lead to locking and then to disruptions. We leverage machine learning (ML) methods to predict the locking events. We use a coupled third-order nonlinear ordinary differential equation model to represent the interaction of the magnetic perturbation and the plasma rotation with the error field. This model is sufficient to describe qualitatively the locking and unlocking bifurcations. Here, we explore using ML algorithms with the simulation data and experimental data, focusing on the methods that can be used with sparse datasets. These methods lead to the possibility of the avoidance of locking in real-time operations. We describe the operational space in terms of two control parameters: the magnitude of the error field and the rotation frequency associated with the momentum source that maintains the plasma rotation. The outcomes are quan- tified by order parameters that completely characterize the state, whether locked or unlocked. We use unsupervised ML methods to classify locked/unlocked states and note the usefulness of a certain normalization of the order parameters. Three supervised ML classifiers are used in suite to estimate the probability of locking in the region of control parameter space with hysteresis, i.e., the set of control parameters for which both locked and unlocked states can exist. The results show that a neural network gives the best estimate of the locking probability. An analogy of the present locking model with the van der Waals equation of state is also provided.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

3D modeling of n = 1 RMP driven heat fluxes on the SPARC tokamak PFCs using HEAT

3D heat flux calculations at the lower outer divertor plate of SPARC using the HEAT code show that 3D fields generated from error field correction coils can lead to enhanced peak heat fluxes up to 15 times larger compared to the axisymmetric case. Previously employed to simulate axisymmetric heat flux on 3D plasma facing components, the HEAT code can now predict 3D heat flux generated by non-axisymmetric plasmas. This is achieved via a new HEAT module which leverages the 3D field line tracing capabilities of MAFOT starting from an M3D-C1 (MHD resistive code) perturbed equilibria. The resulting heat flux is assigned using the magnetic footprint and the heat flux layer model, an extension of the 2D heat flux model also known as the Eich, to 3D non-axisymmetric plasmas. For SPARC, the new capabilities of HEAT are used to calculate the 3D heat loads resulting from n = 1 perturbation fields (with n indicating the toroidal periodicity) applied through a toroidal array of six picture frame coils with different amplitude. The comparison with the unperturbed case shows significant changes in shape and intensity of the heat flux profile. The results show that the application of n = 1 3D field leads to a localized enhancement of the heat flux peak, influenced by the wetted area impacted by the magnetic footprint, and the appearance of a secondary heat flux peak, whose intensity depends on amplitude of the applied 3D field and toroidal location.

3D heat flux↗

Retrieval of sea-surface temperatures from HIRS2/MSU

The methods used at the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres to retrieve sea surface temperatures from HIRS2/MSU data for the four months of the NASA sea surface temperature intercomparison workshop are described. Results are shown comparing anomaly fields produced using data from ships, AVHRR, HIRS2/MSU, SMMR AND VAS for the last three of these months. Fields from AVHRR and HIRS2 show the highest accuracy compared to ship fields. Errors in the HIRS2 fields appear more random while AVHRR data shows large area, spatially coherent errors. The random errors in the HIRS2 fields can be further reduced by performing the retrievals at a higher spatial resolution.

Susskind, J.↗

Simultaneous stabilization and control of the n = 1 and n = 2 resistive wall mode

Abstract DIII-D experiments demonstrate simultaneous stability measurements and control of resistive wall modes (RWMs) with toroidal mode numbers n = 1 and n = 2. RWMs with n > 1 are sometimes observed on DIII-D following the successful feedback stabilization of the n = 1 mode, motivating the development of multi- n control. A new model-based multi-mode feedback algorithm based on the VALEN physics code has been implemented on the DIII-D tokamak using a real-time GPU installed directly into the DIII-D plasma control system. In addition to stabilizing RWMs, the feedback seeks to control the stable plasma error field response, enabling compensation of the typically unaddressed DIII-D n = 2 error field component. Experiments recently demonstrated this algorithm’s ability to simultaneously control n = 1 and n = 2 perturbed fields for the first time in a tokamak, using reactor relevant external coils. Control was maintained for hundreds of wall-times above the n = 1 no-wall pressure limit and approaching the n = 1 and n = 2 ideal-wall limits. Furthermore, a rotating non-zero target was set for the feedback, allowing stability to be assessed by monitoring the rotating plasma response (PR) while maintaining control. This novel technique can be viewed as a closed-loop extension of active MHD spectroscopy, which has been used to validate stability models through comparisons of the PR to applied, open-loop perturbations. The closed-loop response measurements are consistent with open-loop MHD spectroscopy data over a wide range of β N approaching the n = 1 ideal-wall limit. These PR measurements were then fit to produce both VALEN and single-mode stability models. These models allowed for important plasma stability information to be determined and have been shown to agree with experimentally observed RWM growth rates.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Retrieval of sea surface temperatures from HIRS2/MSU

The methods used at the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) to retrieve sea surface temperatures from HIRS2/MSU data for the last 2 months of the NASA sea surface temperature intercomparison workshop are described. Results are shown that compare anomaly fields produced by using data from ships, AVHRR, and HIRS2/MSU for these months. Monthly mean fields derived from AVHRR and HIRS2 data show roughly comparable statistical accuracy compared to ship fields. Errors in the HIRS2 fields appear more random, while AVHRR data have larger regionally dependent biases and show large area spatially coherent errors. The random errors in the HIRS2 fields should be further reduced by performing the retrievals at a higher spatial resolution.

Susskind, J.↗

PM4Stell: A prototype permanent magnet stellarator structure

Permanent magnets provide a possible solution to simplify complicated stellarator coils. Here, a prototype permanent magnet stellarator structure, PM4Stell, has been funded to demonstrate the technical feasibility of using permanent magnets to create the shaping field of a stellarator. Permanent magnets in uniform cubes with three polarization directions will be carefully placed to generate the required magnetic field for a National Compact Stellarator eXperiment-like equilibrium together with planar toroidal field coils. Discrete magnets will be glued together and inserted into a “post-office-box-like” supporting structure. Electromagnetic and structural analyses have been done to validate the design. Error field correction magnets will be used to shim possible error fields. The design efforts of the prototype permanent magnet stellarator structure are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

First attempt to quantify W7-X island divertor plasma by local experiment-model comparison

As a complement to our recent work, which focused on understanding the basic detachment physics and general experimental and numerical trends observed in the W7-X island divertor, this paper compares EMC3-Eirene simulation results with different local diagnostics, including IR cameras, Langmuir probes, H α -cameras, and Thomson scattering. The main purposes are to (1) justify the simulation setup in the previous work, (2) identify the application limitations of the current EMC3-Eirene model, (3) verify the consistency of different diagnostics, and (4) isolate the main geometric and physical effects that need to be prioritized in further developing the EMC3-Eirene code and improving diagnostic capabilities. It turns out that the current version of the EMC3-Eirene code (without drifts) is not yet able to quantitatively reproduce all selected local measurements simultaneously under the current experimental conditions (in particular, the existence of error fields). Nevertheless, it can be shown that within a reasonable range of variation in magnetic configuration, cross-field transport, and SOL plasma state in the modeling, a region of overlap between the numerical results and the local measurements can be established. More accurate model-experiment comparisons will require clarification of error fields, implementation of drifts in EMC3, and improvement of diagnostic capabilities.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The effect of increased horizontal resolution on GLA Fourth Order model forecasts

A benchmark series of ten-day weather forecasts has been run with the GLA Fourth Order GCM with both a 4 deg latitude by 5 deg longitude resolution and a 2 deg latitude by 2.5 deg longitude resolution. Ensemble statistics of forecast skill and maps of systematic error fields have been generated for both resolutions. The enhanced resolution added 24 hours of useful predictive skill to the sea level pressure forecasts and 6 hours to the 500 mb height forecasts, but 5 to 6 days into the forecasts the advantage of the finer resolution was lost. The systematic error fields showed that by 8 days the 'climate drift' of the 2 x 2.5 deg forecasts had become pronounced and had caused the loss of predictive skill relative to the 4 x 5 deg forecasts. Additional results indicate that a gravity wave drag parameterization scheme might alleviate the climate drift problem.

Helfand, H. M.↗

Constrained stellarator coil curvature optimization with FOCUS

Finding less complicated coils that have adequately low field errors is a crucial step in stellarator development. One coil metric that is of high importance is the maximum curvature of the coil centreline, or coil single filament. Conductors cannot be bent below some threshold minimum radius of curvature. High coil curvatures can cause strains to exceed acceptable levels, especially in superconducting coils. We investigate three ways to optimize coil curvature and find that applying penalty functions to the coil curvature solves for coils that have a constrained maximum curvature and low field error. Penalty functions are implemented in FOCUS and coil solutions optimized for an HSX-like ‘plasma boundary’ are presented.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Mars gravitational field estimation error

The error covariance matrices associated with a weighted least-squares differential correction process have been analyzed for accuracy in determining the gravitational coefficients through degree and order five in the Mars gravitational potential junction. The results are presented in terms of standard deviations for the assumed estimated parameters. The covariance matrices were calculated by assuming Doppler tracking data from a Mars orbiter, a priori statistics for the estimated parameters, and model error uncertainties for tracking-station locations, the Mars ephemeris, the astronomical unit, the Mars gravitational constant (G sub M), and the gravitational coefficients of degrees six and seven. Model errors were treated by using the concept of consider parameters.

Compton, H. R.↗

Forecasts of time averages with a numerical weather prediction model

Forecasts of time averages of 1-10 days in duration by an operational numerical weather prediction model are documented for the global 500 mb height field in spectral space. Error growth in very idealized models is described in order to anticipate various features of these forecasts and in order to anticipate what the results might be if forecasts longer than 10 days were carried out by present day numerical weather prediction models. The data set for this study is described, and the equilibrium spectra and error spectra are documented; then, the total error is documented. It is shown how forecasts can immediately be improved by removing the systematic error, by using statistical filters, and by ignoring forecasts beyond about a week. Temporal variations in the error field are also documented.

Roads, J. O.↗