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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Metaproteomics-informed stoichiometric modeling reveals the responses of wetland microbial communities to oxygen and sulfate exposure

Abstract Climate changes significantly impact greenhouse gas emissions from wetland soil. Specifically, wetland soil may be exposed to oxygen (O 2 ) during droughts, or to sulfate (SO 4 2- ) as a result of sea level rise. How these stressors – separately and together – impact microbial food webs driving carbon cycling in the wetlands is still not understood. To investigate this, we integrated geochemical analysis, proteogenomics, and stoichiometric modeling to characterize the impact of elevated SO 4 2- and O 2 levels on microbial methane (CH 4 ) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. The results uncovered the adaptive responses of this community to changes in SO 4 2- and O 2 availability and identified altered microbial guilds and metabolic processes driving CH 4 and CO 2 emissions. Elevated SO 4 2- reduced CH 4 emissions, with hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis more suppressed than acetoclastic. Elevated O 2 shifted the greenhouse gas emissions from CH 4 to CO 2 . The metabolic effects of combined SO 4 2- and O 2 exposures on CH 4 and CO 2 emissions were similar to those of O 2 exposure alone. The reduction in CH 4 emission by increased SO 4 2- and O 2 was much greater than the concomitant increase in CO 2 emission. Thus, greater SO 4 2- and O 2 exposure in wetlands is expected to reduce the aggregate warming effect of CH 4 and CO 2 . Metaproteomics and stoichiometric modeling revealed a unique subnetwork involving carbon metabolism that converts lactate and SO 4 2- to produce acetate, H 2 S, and CO 2 when SO 4 2- is elevated under oxic conditions. This study provides greater quantitative resolution of key metabolic processes necessary for the prediction of CH 4 and CO 2 emissions from wetlands under future climate scenarios.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of developmental methylmercury exposure on avian embryonic development, hatchling growth, and survival

Abstract Methylmercury (MeHg) is a globally ubiquitous and persistent environmental toxicant that negatively affects animal behavior, health, and reproduction. In birds, MeHg is transferred from female to egg, contaminating embryos during sensitive stages of early embryonic development and growth. This toxic exposure in the prenatal environment not only induces mortality but also possible lasting impacts on physiology, health, and survival, even once hatched. The purpose of our study was to further elucidate the negative effects of MeHg exposure during avian embryonic development and explore how such exposure can impact offspring development, growth, and survival, both in ovo and posthatch. To assess this, we experimentally dosed fertile mallard and wood duck eggs with MeHg II chloride and reared developing embryos and ducklings to various endpoints. We found that embryos not only readily accumulated MeHg throughout incubation, but they also displayed varying dose-dependent disparities in body mass and morphometrics, with control individuals being larger during early and late embryonic stages of development (p < 0.05). Furthermore, hatched offspring exposed to MeHg exhibited increasingly slower growth rates between 7 to 10 and 10 to 15 days posthatch (p < 0.05), and were found to have lower survival probabilities both under controlled laboratory conditions (p < 0.005), and in the natural environment (p < 0.05). Our findings on the detrimental effects of MeHg on avian embryos and hatchlings emphasize the need for more proactive means of environmental protection and remediation to protect vulnerable avian populations and the ecosystems they inhabit.

Leaphart, James C.↗
DOE OSTI2025

The influence of exposure to early-life adversity on agency-modulated reinforcement learning

Agency beliefs influence how humans learn from different contexts and outcomes. Research demonstrates that stressors, such as exposure to early-life adversity (ELA), are associated with both agency beliefs and learning, but how these processes interact remains unclear. The current study investigated whether exposure to ELA influences agency and interacts with reinforcement learning in adults. Replicating prior behavioral and computational work, ELA resulted in decreased learning, while increased adversity severity was associated with decreased latent agency beliefs. These findings suggest that exposure to adversity in childhood has a nuanced impact on reinforcement learning and agency beliefs in adulthood.

Neurosciences & Neurology↗
DOE OSTI2024

Band structure of Bi surfaces formed on Bi 2 Se 3 upon exposure to air

Bi 2 Se 3 has been the focus of intense interest over the past decade due to its topological properties. Bi surfaces are known to form on Bi 2 Se 3 upon exposure to atmosphere, but their electronic structure has not been investigated. Here, we report band structure measurements of such Bi surfaces using angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy. Measured spectra can be well explained by the band structure of a single bilayer of Bi on Bi 2 Se 3 , and show that Bi surfaces consistently dominate the photoemission signal for air exposure times of at least 1 hour. These results demonstrate that atmospheric effects should be taken into consideration when identifying two-dimensional transport channels, and when designing surface-sensitive measurements of Bi 2 Se 3 , ideally limiting air exposure to no more than a few minutes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Gestational exposure to HIV drugs alters intestinal mucosa-associated microbial diversity in adult rat offspring

The antiretroviral (ARV) drug combination of abacavir sulfate, dolutegravir, and lamivudine [ABC/DTG/3TC; Tri combination Anti-retroviral therapy (TC-ART)] has revolutionized HIV treatment by effectively targeting different stages of viral replication. Despite its therapeutic efficiency for maintaining low viremia in the mother during pregnancy, there are concerns for long-term liabilities in offspring that are indirectly exposed during vulnerable periods of development. The commensal microbiota plays a crucial role in maintaining overall gut health, and disruption of the microbiome is often linked to various extraintestinal effects such as immune dysregulation and inflammation. We recently reported the effects of this drug combination in altering fecal microbiome composition of aged rats perinatally exposed to ABC/DTG/3TC-ART. The fecal microbiome can provide only a snapshot of the composition of microbial community at the end of the digestive tract, which may not reflect the microbial population interacting with ileal mucosa. Thus, the current work reports the effects of this drug combination in the gut mucosa-associated microbiome of the same animals, which showed significant microbial diversity and species richness in high dose exposed female adult offspring, along with dose-dependent changes in Firmicutes/Bacteroidetes ratio. The high dose exposure also showed an increase in opportunistic bacterial species in male animals. Overall, we found that, similar to the fecal microbiome, perinatal exposure to TC-ART led to sex- and dose-dependent alterations in the gut mucosa-associated microbial population in aged rats, suggesting that early life exposure to these drugs may influence gut mucosa-associated immune responses and intestinal permeability.

Research & Experimental Medicine↗
DOE OSTI2026

Cosmogenic 3 He exposure dating in mafic rocks by “Virtual mineral separation” of pyroxene

We describe a “virtual mineral separation” method for measuring the cosmogenic 3 He concentration in pyroxene in mafic rocks that consist mainly of plagioclase and pyroxene, without physically separating the minerals. This approach is significantly faster and more cost-effective than the conventional method, which requires physical separation and purification of pyroxene grains by time-consuming and labor-intensive crushing, acid cleaning, magnetic separation, HF etching, and handpicking under a microscope. The premise of the method is that helium diffusivity is much higher in plagioclase than in pyroxene, so controlled preheating of a mixed whole-rock sample can degas 3 He from plagioclase while retaining all 3 He in pyroxene. A second heating step releases all 3 He from pyroxene for measurement. To then obtain a 3 He concentration in pyroxene rather than the whole rock, we determine the pyroxene weight fraction in the sample using X-ray computed tomography (CT). A comparison of 3 He concentrations in pyroxene measured using virtual mineral separation with those measured in the same samples by physical mineral separation in previous work shows no evidence of systematic bias between the methods. Virtual mineral separation greatly simplifies the workflow for 3 He exposure-dating of mafic rocks, reduces time, effort, and cost, and permits measurements on very small samples. This enables new emerging applications of exposure dating, such as quantifying stochastic surface processes, ecosystem studies, and potential subglacial bedrock exposure dating.

Geosciences↗
DOE OSTI2025

Catecholamine exposure and the gut microbiota in obstructive sleep apnea

Patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) have increased mortality from chronic inflammatory and cardiovascular diseases. Excess catecholamine exposure contributes to the disease associations of OSA, but the underlying mechanism is unknown. This study tested the hypothesis that increased catecholamine exposure is associated with Enterobacteriaceae abundance in OSA. We compared urinary norepinephrine and the fecal microbiota in 24 patients with OSA and 23 controls. Urinary norepinephrine was elevated in OSA patients, consistent with increased sympathetic activation in those patients. OSA patients did not show changes in the community structure of the microbiome or in Enterobacteriaceae abundance compared to controls. Longitudinal changes in Enterobacteriaceae abundance in OSA patients were significantly associated with within-subject changes in norepinephrine, but this association was absent in controls. These results provide a preliminary association between norepinephrine exposure and Enterobacteriaceae in patients with disordered sleep.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advancing process-based flood frequency analysis for assessing flood hazard and population flood exposure

Recent studies have showcased the use of process-based hydrological models with Stochastic Storm Transposition (SST) techniques to conduct Flood Frequency Analysis (FFA). This framework, referred hereby FFA-SST, has proved to be a robust strategy to estimate peak flows of specific annual exceedance probability (e.g., 100-year peak flow) that can reflect natural and anthropogenic disturbances, including changes in land use and meteorological patterns. With the objective of advancing the FFA-SST framework, this study presents for the first time the use of an Integrated Surface-Subsurface Hydrological Model (ISSHM) to conduct FFA-SST by extending the analysis from peak flow responses to flood extent, enabling a unique view and analysis of flood hazard and population flood exposure at the basin scale. As a proof-of-concept, we used the ISSHM, Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (Amanzi-ATS) model, and the SST model, RainyDay, to conduct FFA-SST by simulating the flood response to 5,000 annual synthetic storm events in a 2,227 $km^2$ Southeast Texas watershed. We demonstrate that ATS, without site-specific calibration, provides a robust process-based representation of peak flows, flood extent, streamflow, evapotranspiration, soil moisture content, and water storage changes. Our results and analyses, covering frequency curves up to a 500-year return period for peak flows, basin inundation fractions, and the number of people exposed to flooding, offer a unique perspective to analyze flood impacts across spatial scales. Overall, this study provides critical insights for flood risk management by extending the FFA-SST framework to include both flood hazard and population flood exposure analyses at the basin scale. Such an approach will empower stakeholders and disaster emergency agencies with a more comprehensive understanding of flood impacts across the entire basin domain, facilitating informed decision-making for flood risk assessment and management.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Atomistic‐Level Effects of Noncovalent Interactions and Crystalline Packing for Organic Material Structural Integrity upon Exposure to Gamma Radiation

Developing an atomistic understanding of ionizing radiation induced changes to organic materials is necessary for intentional design of greener and more sustainable materials for radiation shielding and detection. Cocrystals are promising for these purposes, but a detailed understanding of how the specific intermolecular interactions within the lattice upon exposure to radiation affect the structural stability of the organic crystalline material is unknown. This study evaluates atomistic-level effects of γ radiation on both single- and multicomponent organic crystalline materials and how specific noncovalent interactions and packing within the crystalline lattice enhance structural stability. Dose studies were performed on all crystalline systems and evaluated via experimental and computational methods. Changes in crystallinity were evaluated by p-XRD and free radical formation was analyzed via EPR spectroscopy. Type of intermolecular interactions and packing within the crystal lattice was delineated and related to the specific free radical species formed and the structural integrity of each material. Periodic DFT and HOMO-LUMO surface mapping calculations provided atomistic-level identifications of the most probable sites for the radicals formed upon exposure to γ radiation and relate intermolecular interactions and molecular packing within the crystalline lattice to experimental results.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Manganese exposure from spring and well waters in the Shenandoah Valley: interplay of aquifer lithology, soil composition, and redox conditions

Manganese (Mn) is of particular concern in groundwater, as low-level chronic exposure to aqueous Mn concentrations in drinking water can result in a variety of health and neurodevelopmental effects. Much of the global population relies on drinking water sourced from karst aquifers. Thus, we seek to assess the relative risk of Mn contamination in karst by investigating the Shenandoah Valley, VA region, as it is underlain by both karst and non-karst aquifers and much of the population relies on water wells and spring water. Water and soil samples were collected throughout the Shenandoah Valley, to supplement pre-existing well water and spring data from the National Water Information System and the Virginia Household Water Quality Program, totaling 1815 wells and 119 springs. Soils were analyzed using X-ray fluorescence and Mn K-Edge X-ray absorption near-edge structure spectroscopy. Factors such as soil type, soil geochemistry, and aquifer lithology were linked with each location to determine if correlations exist with aqueous Mn concentrations. Analyzing the distribution of Mn in drinking water sources suggests that water wells and springs within karst aquifers are preferable with respect to chronic Mn exposure, with < 4.9% of wells and springs in dolostone and limestone aquifers exceeding 100 ppb Mn, while sandstone and shale aquifers have a heightened risk, with > 20% of wells exceeding 100 ppb Mn. The geochemistry of associated soils and spatial relationships to various hydrologic and geologic features indicates that water interactions with aquifer lithology and soils contribute to aqueous Mn concentrations. Relationships between aqueous Mn in spring waters and Mn in soils indicate that increasing aqueous Mn is correlated with decreasing soil Mn(IV). These results point to redox conditions exerting a dominant control on Mn in this region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Independent and interactive effects of wet bulb globe temperature and air pollution exposures on suicide mortality

Background: Individual components of the ambient environment, such as temperature and air pollution, exist as part of a complex mixture and have been associated with suicide; however, their interactive effects remain poorly understood. This study examined the independent and interactive effects of wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ), and fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) on suicide mortality. Methods: We identified 7,551 suicide cases in Utah, USA, from 2000 to 2016 and assigned exposure to daily maximum WBGT (sourced from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) and PM 2.5 and NO 2 concentrations (sourced from a national spatiotemporal ensemble model) using decedent’s residential address at the time of death. A case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the independent and interactive effects of WBGT max , PM 2.5 , and NO 2 on suicide. For exposure windows, we considered single days preceding suicide (lag 0 to 6) and their averages across preceding days (lag 0–1, 0–3, and 0–6). Analyses were stratified by season. Results: We identified a significant association between WBGT max and suicide across all seasons (odds ratio [OR] = 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01, 1.10; per 5 °C increase on lag 0–3 days). The associations were stronger in the warm season (March 22 to September 21), with ORs and 95% CIs ranging from 1.08 (1.02, 1.15) to 1.20 (1.10, 1.30) per 5 °C increase depending on the lag periods. We observed synergistic interactions between WBGT max and PM 2.5 and NO 2 in the warm season, associated with higher odds of suicide. The associations of WBGT max with suicide were most pronounced at high NO 2 levels. Conclusions: We found evidence of synergistic interactions between WBGT max and PM 2.5 and NO 2 on suicide in the warm season, emphasizing the need for considering the combined effects of heat stress and air pollution in suicide prevention strategies.

Fine particulate matter↗
DOE OSTI2026

Genetic variations and their interaction with thirdhand smoke exposure on anxiety and memory in Collaborative Cross mice

Thirdhand smoke (THS) is linked to adverse health effects, but the effect of genetic variations on behavioral outcomes is poorly understood. To investigate this, we assessed anxiety- and memory-related behaviors in 820 mice from 21 strains of the genetically diverse Collaborative Cross (CC) mouse that were exposed to THS from 4 through 10 weeks of age. Anxiety was evaluated with a light/dark box assay with a previously established risk score system. Females were generally more sensitive: THS reduced anxiety risk in strains CC013, CC019, and CC051, but increased risk in CC036 and CC061, while males showed no significant effects. Memory was tested using passive avoidance: impairments were observed in both sexes in CC016 and CC019, with sex-dependent effects in CC002 and CC051. A genome-wide association study identified 2,347 SNPs associated with anxiety and 1,568 SNPs with memory, with 32 and 85 SNPs, respectively, interacting with THS exposure. Enrichment analyses revealed distinct biological processes underlying susceptibility, including axonogenesis, synapse organization, cognition, and learning and memory. KEGG pathway analysis identified distinct genetic pathways, including GTPase binding and GTPase regulatory activity, that act as critical molecular switches in the brain that regulate synaptic plasticity, dendritic spine structure, and neuronal signaling, directly influencing anxiety-like behaviors and memory formation. These findings show that THS exposure affects neurobehavioral outcomes in a sex- and genotype-dependent manner, highlighting critical gene-environment interactions and providing a foundation for mechanistic insights into THS neurotoxicity

Anxiety↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effects of dissolved cations, dissolved organic carbon, and exposure concentrations on per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances bioaccumulation in freshwater algae

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) have attracted global attention because of their persistence, toxicity, bioaccumulation potential, and associated adverse effects. As important primary producers, freshwater algae constitute the base of the food web in freshwater aquatic ecosystems. However, the effects of key environmental factors on PFAS uptake and bioaccumulation in freshwater algae have not been thoroughly studied. In this study, three bioaccumulation experiments were conducted to evaluate the influence of dissolved cations, dissolved organic carbon, and exposure concentrations on PFAS bioaccumulation in algae. Among the 14 studied PFAS, seven long-chain PFAS tended to bioaccumulate in algae. Elevated divalent cations (Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ ) and dissolved organic carbon did not significantly change the algal bioconcentration factors (BCFs) of PFAS, suggesting complexity of the interactions among PFAS, environmental factors, and biotic activities. Additionally, increasing exposure concentrations (0.5, 1, 5, and 10 μg/L of each PFAS) increased PFAS concentrations in algae but decreased the BCF values. This indicated that attention should be paid to the application of BCFs in future studies, including ecological risk assessment. Moreover, fluorotelomer sulfonic acids (FTSs) were incompletely recovered, suggesting that biotransformation occurred. Further studies should be conducted to evaluate whether algae play a role in FTSs biotransformation and to determine the mechanisms. In conclusion, studying the impacts of key environmental factors on PFAS bioaccumulation in algae is crucial for understanding the bioaccumulation processes that occur at the lowest trophic level and that eventually affect the dynamics of entire aquatic ecosystems.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Simultaneous exposure to neutron radiation and hydrogen environment: Effect on hydrogen retention

Here, this study demonstrates a novel methodology that simultaneously exposes materials to both neutron irradiation and a hydrogen environment, enabling study on in pile interaction between radiation-induced defects and hydrogen in tungsten. The hydrogen environment was established by releasing hydrogen from vanadium hydride within an irradiation capsule. The hydrogen pressure during irradiation was estimated as 14.2 Torr. Post-irradiation thermal desorption spectroscopy analysis showed increased hydrogen retention in irradiated tungsten compared to unirradiated samples. Two dominant desorption peaks at ∼470 °C and ∼700 °C were observed in irradiated and unirradiated tungsten samples, suggesting similar trapping mechanisms between the two samples. However, an additional desorption peak at ∼800 °C in irradiated tungsten from the hydride capsule suggests an interplay between irradiation induced defects and hydrogen exposure, leading to the formation of additional hydrogen trapping sites. These findings provide critical insights into hydrogen retention in tungsten under fusion-relevant conditions and stimulate future studies to investigate the synergistic effects of neutron irradiation and hydrogen exposure.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-resolution modeling of indoor radon exposure with uncertainty quantification in Utah

Indoor radon accounts for 37% of population-level exposure to ionizing radiation in the United States. However, radon metrics are typically reported at coarse spatial scales, potentially obscuring meaningful local variation. We developed a high-resolution modeling framework to estimate indoor radon concentrations across Utah while explicitly quantifying predictive uncertainty. A total of 19,497 residential radon measurements collected between 2006 and 2017 were combined with environmental and housing characteristics and analyzed using a geospatial neural network that accommodates spatial dependence and nonlinear associations. Predictions were generated on a uniform hexagonal grid at 0.73 km2 resolution (H3 level 8). Out-of-sample predictions aggregated to the H3 level 8 grid showed good agreement with observed concentrations (Pearson r=0.64), while household-level predictions exhibited more moderate agreement (r=0.45). The model produced well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, with 24.1% of held-out observations exceeding the predicted 75th-percentile threshold. Maps of predicted radon concentrations and the probability of exceeding the U.S. EPA action level of 148 Bq/m3 (4 pCi/L) revealed substantial fine-scale spatial heterogeneity that was not apparent in conventional coarse-resolution summaries, with greater local variability observed in densely monitored urban counties than in sparsely sampled regions. High-resolution radon models that explicitly quantify uncertainty provide a useful framework for characterizing the spatial distribution of indoor radon and identifying areas of elevated exceedance risk. These findings highlight the value of fine-scale monitoring data and uncertainty-aware modeling approaches for radon exposure assessment, environmental risk characterization, and radon-related health research.

Wu, Yunhan [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000178842994)↗
DOE OSTI2026

Stability of Metal–Organic Framework-Supported Amines under Exposure to Ozone Generated from Air

Amine compounds supported on porous materials such as metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) have shown promising performance for direct air capture (DAC) due to their enhanced affinity for CO 2 . Although features such as adsorption capacity and selectivity are paramount in these composites, their long-term stability has a major impact on the operating cost of DAC systems. In this work, changes in carbon capture performance, crystallinity, porosity and chemical environment of the constituting atoms of MOF-amine composites are explored after exposure to ozone and NOx impurities generated from corona discharge applied to air. From the obtained results, the stabilities of Mg 2 (dobpdc) (dobpdc 4– = 4,4′-dioxidobiphenyl-3,3′-dicarboxylate) grafted with ethylenediamine (en), N-methylethylenediamine (men), and N,N-dimethylethylenediamine (dmen), as well as MIL-101(Cr) MOF impregnated with polyethylenimine (PEI), are compared. A negative effect in the overall CO 2 adsorption capacity is observed for all MOF composites after exposure, as well as a decrease in the adsorption step pressure of CO 2 for Mg 2 (dobpdc) amine-grafted composites, as shown via dynamic gravimetric adsorption experiments. Spectroscopic analyses indicate that oxidation of amine groups through the formation of nitro functional groups occurs as well as a decrease in the electron-donation interaction between the supported amines and the metal nodes of the MOFs.

adsorption↗
DOE OSTI2026

Comparative Analysis of Report-Back of Research Results Strategies for Personal Chemical Exposure Data

Background. Report-back of research results (RBRR) is ethically supported and highly requested by participants yet lacks broadly transferable guidelines for RBRR. Effective RBRR must be responsive to target audience needs and may not be addressed by a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach. Objective. Within a subset of our 19 studies on RBRR, we had the unique opportunity to carry out a comparative analysis of RBRR strategies across cohorts with similar development and evaluation methods, yet distinct in life stage, geography, number and type of chemicals assessed, and community contexts. Methods. We highlight key outcomes from three environmental health studies: an ongoing New York, NY cohort (Fair Start; n=486) and a Detroit, MI cohort (CLEAR; n=34) assessing exposure to ambient urban pollution during pregnancy, and a longitudinal cohort in Houston, TX (Houston-3H) following Hurricane Harvey (n=312). Focus group and survey data were analyzed to identify lessons learned and explore how RBRR supports understanding of environmental health. Results. Commonalities emerged in RBRR development, design, organization, and data visualization, as well as in how RBRR can contribute to an understanding of health-environment connections. Differences included preferences for individual versus community level findings, as well as distinguishable contextual considerations. For pregnancy cohorts, messaging was framed with cultural sensitivity, and to avoid unintended consequences of parental guilt due to prenatal exposures. In the post-disaster Houston-3H study, participants requested additional transparency regarding sampling design and study rationale. Significance. All RBRR case studies reported chemicals without known regulatory or health guidelines, so results were contextualized within the study population. Participants across cohorts requested multi-study comparisons to better understand their results beyond their communities. While foundational RBRR elements (e.g. plain language, graphic organizers) may supersede cohort-specific differences, RBRR should be personalized to encompass perceptions of health across different life-stage, cultural, and environmental contexts.

Vogel, Taylor J.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Global projections of heat exposure of older adults

The global population is aging at the same time as heat exposures are increasing due to climate change. Age structure, and its biological and socio-economic drivers, determine populations’ vulnerability to high temperatures. Here we combine age-stratified demographic projections with downscaled temperature projections to mid-century and find that chronic exposure to heat doubles across all warming scenarios. Moreover, >23% of the global population aged 69+ will inhabit climates whose 95th percentile of daily maximum temperature exceeds the critical threshold of 37.5 °C, compared with 14% today, exposing an additional 177–246 million older adults to dangerous acute heat. Effects are most severe in Asia and Africa, which also have the lowest adaptive capacity. Our results facilitate regional heat risk assessments and inform public health decision-making.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗