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Southeast Regional CO 2 Utilization and Storage Acceleration Partnership (SECARB-USA): Regional Commercialization Plan (Final): Work Products 4.4.b (Regional Commercialization Plan) & 4.3 (Socioeconomic Impacts of CCUS and Workforce Readiness)

Commercialization of carbon capture and storage (CCS) within the SECARB-USA region is scaling up and will continue as governments and private companies expand on current decarbonization efforts. The Inflation Reduction Act (2022) enhanced 45Q tax credits beyond the 2018 Bipartisan Budget Act levels by incentivizing previously uneconomic projects to develop CCS plans and infrastructure. Additionally, the continued interest and support for CCS mitigates the relative risk of commercial-scale projects that are seeking long-term viability to develop capture facilities to accommodate their emissions reduction goals. This multifaceted Commercialization Plan provides an overview of the current status and potential for CCS in the Southeast and the pathways to achieve emissions reduction goals in the region by 2050. Specifically, the study addresses: • The current status of CCS activities in the SECARB region, • Assessment of buildout pathways for CCS projects and carbon transport infrastructure development opportunities, • Estimation of CCS job creation and economic impacts, and • The social justice considerations and public benefits associated with CCS activities in the SECARB-USA region.

42 ENGINEERING

Environmental life-cycle analysis of hydrogen technology pathways in the United States

Hydrogen is a zero-carbon energy carrier with potential to decarbonize industrial and transportation sectors, but its life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions depend on its energy supply chain and carbon management measures (e.g., carbon capture and storage). Global support for clean hydrogen production and use has recently intensified. In the United States, Congress passed several laws that incentivize the production and use of renewable and low-carbon hydrogen, such as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) in 2021 and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in 2022, which provides tax credits of up to $3/kg depending on the carbon intensity of the produced hydrogen. A comprehensive life-cycle accounting of GHG emissions associated with hydrogen production is needed to determine the carbon intensity of hydrogen throughout its value chain. In the United States, Argonne’s R&D GREET ® (Greenhouse Gases, Regulated emissions, and Energy use in Technologies) model has been widely used for hydrogen carbon intensity calculations. This paper describes the major hydrogen technology pathways considered in the United States and provides data sources and carbon intensity results for each of the hydrogen production and delivery pathways using consistent system boundaries and most recent technology performance and supply chain data.

Elgowainy, Amgad

What Rocks and What's Not So Hot: U.S. Industry Perception of Geothermal Tax Credits

Nationwide, four U.S. federal tax credits promote the adoption of geothermal heat pumps (GHPs) and geothermal power plants and were recently updated with enactment of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).1 However, uptake of these geothermal tax credits has lagged behind other eligible technologies.2 With the support of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)'s Geother- mal Technologies Office, researchers at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) engaged with the geothermal industry to determine: 1) how the industry will use the tax credits, 2) remaining challenges to utilizing tax credits, and 3) suggestions on solutions that could help accelerate tax credit uptake. Insights were obtained through two industry question- naires (59 responses)3 and 21 interviews with representatives from geothermal industry groups, project developers, com- ponent manufacturers, and financiers, as shown in Figures 1 and 2. This article synthesizes the industry's perception of these tax credits, i.e., Section 25D (residential GHP), Section 48 (commer- cial GHP), Section 48E (investment tax credit [ITC] for electricity), and Section 45Y (production tax credit [PTC] for electricity).

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY

Potential for large-scale deployment of offshore wind-to-hydrogen systems in the United States

This study explores the role of producing low-carbon hydrogen using water electrolysis powered by offshore wind in facilitating the United States’ transition to a net-zero emissions economy by 2050. This research introduces an open-source scenario analysis tool for offshore wind-to-hydrogen systems, aiming to assess the impact of technology, regional considerations, and policy incentives on the cost of producing low-carbon hydrogen through offshore wind. Conducting a regional techno-economic analysis at four U.S. coastal sites, the study evaluates two energy transmission configurations and examines associated costs for the years 2025, 2030, and 2035. The results highlight that locations using fixed-bottom technology may achieve cost-competitive water electrolysis hydrogen production by 2030 through leveraging geologic hydrogen storage and federal policy incentives. Furthermore, floating technology locations are expected to see an average 38% reduction in the levelized cost of hydrogen from 2025 to 2035.

17 WIND ENERGY

Technical and Economic Assessment and Gap Analysis of Advanced Nuclear Reactor Integration with a Reference Methanol Synthesis Plant

Efforts continue to identify the most-economic methods to decarbonize several sectors of the United States (U.S.) economy. Industrial processes such as synfuel synthesis and high value commodity chemicals rely heavily on energy-dense and easily stored and transported fossil fuels, which power and feed their operations. Steam methane reforming (SMR) is a widely used process for producing methanol. In this process, methane (CH 4 ) from natural gas (NG) reacts with steam (H 2 O) over a catalyst at high temperatures (700-1,000°C) to produce syngas, a mixture of hydrogen (H 2 ) and carbon monoxide (CO). The syngas is then converted into methanol (CH 3 OH) through a second catalytic reaction. This method is known for being an efficient and commonly employed pathway for industrial methanol production. The high-temperature heat needed for SMR, which is currently used in the natural-gas-to-methanol process, cannot be supplied by small modular nuclear reactor (SMNR) direct heating; the temperatures required for the SMR process exceed those of the main steam produced by near-market high-temperature gas reactors (HTGRs). For the conventional methanol process, this leaves possible nuclear-integration opportunities that include: (1) blending nuclear hydrogen into the SMR NG fuel, or (2) assessing alternative synthesis routes leveraging nuclear capabilities and steam electrolysis outputs. In the reference methanol plant, SMR provides the methanol-synthesis reactor with H 2 and co. In Case (2), the state-of-the-art reverse water gas shift (RWGS) pathway achieves the same, sourcing carbon from an industrial CO 2 source.

08 HYDROGEN

Fall 2024 Solar Industry Update [Slides]

Each quarter, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) conducts the Quarterly Solar Industry Update, a presentation of technical trends within the solar industry. Each presentation focuses on global and U.S. supply and demand, module and system price, investment trends and business models, and updates on U.S. government programs supporting the solar industry.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Technical and Economic Assessment and Gap Analysis of Advanced Nuclear Reactor Integration with a Reference Methanol Synthesis Plant

Efforts continue to identify the most-economic methods to decarbonize several sectors of the United States (U.S.) economy. Industrial processes such as synfuel synthesis and high value commodity chemicals rely heavily on energy-dense and easily stored and transported fossil fuels, which power and feed their operations. Steam methane reforming (SMR) is a widely used process for producing methanol. In this process, methane (CH 4 ) from natural gas (NG) reacts with steam (H 2 O) over a catalyst at high temperatures (700°1,000°C) to produce syngas, a mixture of hydrogen (H 2 ) and carbon monoxide (CO). The syngas is then converted into methanol (CH 3 OH) through a second catalytic reaction. This method is known for being an efficient and commonly employed pathway for industrial methanol production. The high-temperature heat needed for SMR, which is currently used in the natural-gas-to-methanol process, cannot be supplied by small modular nuclear reactor (SMNR) direct heating; the temperatures required for the SMR process exceed those of the main steam produced by near-market high-temperature gas reactors (HTGRs). For the conventional methanol process, this leaves possible nuclear-integration opportunities that include: (1) blending nuclear hydrogen into the SMR NG fuel, or (2) assessing alternative synthesis routes leveraging nuclear capabilities and steam electrolysis outputs. In the reference methanol plant, SMR provides the methanol-synthesis reactor with H 2 and co. In Case (2), the state-of-the-art reverse water gas shift (RWGS) pathway achieves the same, sourcing carbon from an industrial CO 2 source.

08 - HYDROGEN

Data for Bistline, et al. (2025) "Policy Implications of Net-Zero Emissions: A Multi-Model Analysis of United States Emissions and Energy System Impacts"

These files contain input assumptions, results, and figures associated with the Bistline, et al. (2025) article "Policy Implications of Net-Zero Emissions: A Multi-Model Analysis of United States Emissions and Energy System Impacts" in Energy and Climate Change as part of the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study. Please refer to the original paper for details.

climate policy

ION Work Reduction Opportunity Realization Demonstration

The purpose of this research was to realize one of the advanced training work reduction opportunities first presented in the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) report, “Process for Significant Nuclear Work Function Innovation Based on Integrated Operations Concepts” (INL/EXT-21-64134) [1], with a nuclear power plant (NPP) research partner. Researchers modernized two trainings: (1) an accredited instructor-led training (ILT) overview course on Westinghouse DS 480-volt (V) circuit breakers to a multimedia-focused computer-based-training (CBT) learning module, and (2) an on-demand chaptered video on how to properly rack and un-rack a Westinghouse DS 480-V circuit breaker. These modernized work products were developed and implemented in a manner consistent with the industry guidelines found in Institution of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) Teaching and Learning 23-001 [2]. Researchers calculated that the modernized accredited training course reduced the time necessary to prepare and deliver the training material by a factor of 8:1. The amount of time learners spend in class could be reduced by this same factor. In other words, if a course took 8 hours to deliver a class, the new CBT instruction would take just over 1 hour. The researchers noted that the requirement for any practicum training by the learners with the instructor(s) would remain in place. But through interviews with new and experienced learners, the researchers discovered that the confidence of these learners in performing the racking and un-racking of the circuit breaker improved as a result of using the new modernized CBT process. Additionally, the learners who tested the modernized work products enjoyed the modernized CBT and the learning video significantly more than current in-class learning methods. These are encouraging results for the nuclear industry, as this modernization of training can be applied to other classes and is scalable across the industry. In line with the Integrated Operations for Nuclear (ION) model, positive workload analysis supports the investment of resources in modernizing NPP training processes and infrastructure. Implementation of the advanced training technologies in this report is likely to result in substantive long-term workload benefits to instructors and learners and result in hard-dollar savings on contractor spends. Additionally, investment in these modernized training processes will result in improved learner proficiency. The results of this research can be applied to additional operator, technical, and general training topics to provide additional workload and learning benefits in addition to what was explored.

42 ENGINEERING

TechEdSat 7, 10, 13, 15: Exo-brake Experiments on the ISS, First Virgin Orbit, and First Firefly-Alpha Test Flights.

The TechEdSat flight series (TES-n), developed by the Nano Orbital Workshop (NOW) group at NASA Ames, has been studying cube satellite re-entry technologies with a focus on Exo-Brake drag device research. An exo-atmospheric braking device, the Exo-Brake uses the tenuous upper atmosphere acting in a free molecular flow regime to enable controllable adjustment of the drag profile of the host spacecraft, currently enabling rapid disposal of small spacecraft after mission conclusion, and eventual targeted de-orbit to a desired entry point at the Von Karman line, or approximately 100km in altitude. The TES-7 mission, flown on the first successful Virgin Orbit flight January 17, 2021, was injected into a 500km, 61-degree inclination orbit, with an expected orbital lifetime of approximately ten years. After successful deployment of a unique hydrogen gas-cell inflation design ‘disposal’-type Mylar Exo-Brake intended to rapidly de-orbit the spacecraft, the maximum expected orbital lifetime of the TES-7 spacecraft was successfully reduced from ten years to 1.3 years, an 87% reduction in orbit lifetime via a passive, fuel-less system. The subsequent TES-13 mission utilized a new, less complex ‘disposal’-type Exo-Brake design made from collapsible rigid struts rather than inflated struts to reduce the engineering, construction, and safety complexities introduced by the prior hydrogen gas inflation design. The rigid strut Exo-Brake design is stowed via rotational compression and deploys using only stored spring energy once released via electronic actuator. This new rotation compression storage design has become the new Exo-Brake design standard used on TES missions thanks to its simplicity. Following on the success of this new Exo-Brake design demonstrated by TES-13, the design was further refined to enabled active manipulation of the Exo-Brake effective drag area though a winch-like system. Both the TES-10 and TES-15 spacecraft were equipped with geometrically similar Exo-Brake devices capable of such active drag modulation, with the intent of studying the operational impact of having such devices on cube satellite missions. To increase the survival time of the Exo-Brake at low altitudes and thus gain more experiment time and better guidance capability, TES-15 was equipped with a modulated Exo-Brake constructed from 3M™ Nextel™ 440 ceramic oxide fiber, the same fabric material used in the Space Shuttle TPS system, rather than Mylar. After launching on Alpha Flight 2 October 1st, 2022, Firefly’s first successful launch, TES-15 met the same modulation restrictions as TES-10, with modulation prohibited above 200km to avoid possible collision with other spacecraft. In this case, a low deployment orbit caused an extremely short mission life, which, coupled with delayed spacecraft identification, exacerbated collision concerns and caused performance data of the high-temperature Exo-Brake design to be inconclusive. As such, the Nano Orbital Workshop has taken a new approach of only conducting modulated Exo-Brake research on missions deploying below ISS altitude to avoid collision avoidance restrictions, and is working to improve spacecraft identification and location reporting techniques to increase experiment durations. Upcoming TES mission will therefore use one of two classes of Exo-Brake depending on their target altitude, as to be described in the submission.

M Murbach

TechEdSat 7, 10, 13, 15: Exo-brake Experiments on the ISS, First Virgin Orbit, and First Firefly-Alpha Test Flights

The TechEdSat flight series (TES-n), developed by the Nano Orbital Workshop (NOW) group at NASA Ames, has been studying cube satellite re-entry technologies with a focus on Exo-Brake drag device research. An exo-atmospheric braking device, the Exo-Brake uses the tenuous upper atmosphere acting in a free molecular flow regime to enable controllable adjustment of the drag profile of the host spacecraft, currently enabling rapid disposal of small spacecraft after mission conclusion, and eventual targeted de-orbit to a desired entry point at the Von Karman line, or approximately 100km in altitude. The TES-7 mission, flown on the first successful Virgin Orbit flight January 17, 2021, was injected into a 500km, 61-degree inclination orbit, with an expected orbital lifetime of approximately ten years. After successful deployment of a unique hydrogen gas-cell inflation design ‘disposal’-type Mylar Exo-Brake intended to rapidly de-orbit the spacecraft, the maximum expected orbital lifetime of the TES-7 spacecraft was successfully reduced from ten years to 1.3 years, an 87% reduction in orbit lifetime via a passive, fuel-less system. The subsequent TES-13 mission utilized a new, less complex ‘disposal’-type Exo-Brake design made from collapsible rigid struts rather than inflated struts to reduce the engineering, construction, and safety complexities introduced by the prior hydrogen gas inflation design. The rigid strut Exo-Brake design is stowed via rotational compression and deploys using only stored spring energy once released via electronic actuator. This new rotation compression storage design has become the new Exo-Brake design standard used on TES missions thanks to its simplicity. Following on the success of this new Exo-Brake design demonstrated by TES-13, the design was further refined to enabled active manipulation of the Exo-Brake effective drag area though a winch-like system. Both the TES-10 and TES-15 spacecraft were equipped with geometrically similar Exo-Brake devices capable of such active drag modulation, with the intent of studying the operational impact of having such devices on cube satellite missions. To increase the survival time of the Exo-Brake at low altitudes and thus gain more experiment time and better guidance capability, TES-15 was equipped with a modulated Exo-Brake constructed from 3M™ Nextel™ 440 ceramic oxide fiber, the same fabric material used in the Space Shuttle TPS system, rather than Mylar. After launching on Alpha Flight 2 October 1st, 2022, Firefly’s first successful launch, TES-15 met the same modulation restrictions as TES-10, with modulation prohibited above 200km to avoid possible collision with other spacecraft. In this case, a low deployment orbit caused an extremely short mission life, which, coupled with delayed spacecraft identification, exacerbated collision concerns and caused performance data of the high-temperature Exo-Brake design to be inconclusive. As such, the Nano Orbital Workshop has taken a new approach of only conducting modulated Exo-Brake research on missions deploying below ISS altitude to avoid collision avoidance restrictions, and is working to improve spacecraft identification and location reporting techniques to increase experiment durations. Upcoming TES mission will therefore use one of two classes of Exo-Brake depending on their target altitude, as to be described in the submission.

Marcus Murbach

Vulcan Reuse

This is an exciting time in the space launch market. We have providers developing various reuse concepts to help drive continued cost reductions in access to space. At the same time visions of a future marketplace in space are emerging that have energized the community to move toward economically viable space-based ventures. This paper explores the intersection of these two developments. Specifically, we focus on the underlying technologies developed for ULA’s Sensible, Modular, Autonomous Return Technology (SMART) approach to reuse and the intersection with needs in the cislunar marketplace. ULA has been working with NASA Langley Research Center on maturing their Hypersonic Inflatable Aerodynamic Decelerator (HIAD) technology into the Low-Earth Orbit Flight Test of an Inflatable Decelerator (LOFTID) technology demonstration mission scheduled to fly with the JPSS-2 Launch in 2022, and have honed in on a 6m diameter HIAD for that application. These efforts, under the NASA Space Act Agreements (SAA), have helped identify elements requiring further development for SMART Reuse, which could also benefit other potential mission infusion opportunities. This has proved to be a very fruitful collaboration as these aspects have evolved. The paper further delves into applications across commercial space and NASA’s Space Exploration mandate, in addition to the reusable launch vehicle applications.

John G Reed

Archway for Radiation and Micrometeorite Occurrence Resistance

The environmental conditions of the Moon require mitigation if a long-term human presence is to be achieved for extended periods of time. Radiation, micrometeoroid impacts, high-velocity debris, and thermal cycling represent threats to crew, equipment, and facilities. For decades, local regolith has been suggested as a candidate material to use in the construction of protective barriers. A thickness of roughly 3m is sufficient protection from both direct and secondary radiation from cosmic rays and solar protons; this thickness is sufficient to reduce radiation exposure even during solar flares. NASA has previously identified a need for innovations that will support lunar habitats using lightweight structures because the reduction of structural mass translates directly into additional up and down mass capability that would facilitate additional logistics capacity and increased science return for all mission phases. The development of non-pressurized primary structures that have synergy with the development of pressurized structures is also of interest. The use of indigenous or in situ materials is also a well-known and active area of research that could drastically improve the practicality of human exploration beyond low-Earth orbit. The Archway for Radiation and Micrometeorite Occurrence Resistance (ARMOR) concept is a new, multifunctional structure that acts as radiation shielding and micrometeorite impact shielding for long-duration lunar surface protection of humans and equipment. ARMOR uses a combination of native regolith and a deployed membrane jacket to yield a multifunctional structure. ARMOR is a robust and modular system that can be autonomously assembled on-site prior to the first human surface arrival. The system provides protection by holding a sufficiently thick (3 m) archshaped shell of local regolith around a central cavity. The regolith is held in shape by an arch-shaped jacket made of strong but deployable material. No regolith processing is required. During the regolith filling process, an inflatable structure under the arch supports the mass of the regolith, but once regolith filling is complete the catenary arch formed by the regolith and the jacket becomes self-supporting and the inflatable can be deflated and removed. When complete, habitat modules and equipment can be moved into the protected cavity under the arch. ARMOR is a nearterm system that would provide a reliable and robust lightweight structure technology to support large lunar habitats, drastically lower launch mass, and improve efficient volume use, reducing launch costs.

Giersch, Louis R.